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Emissions from biomass production
           Gary J. Lanigan
Caroline Narayan1, Órlaith Ní Chonchubair1,2, Dominika
                        Krol 1,3
 John Clifton-Brown, Marta Dondini3, Karl Richards1,
  John Finnan, Bruce Osborne2, Mike Jones3, Chris
               Mueller2, Mike Williams3
   Saul Otero2, Matt Saunders2, Wanne Kromdijk4,
   Howard Griffiths4, Astley Hastings5, Pete Smith5
  1 Teagasc, Johnstown Castle Environmental Research Centre, Wexford
      2 School of Biological & Environmental Science, UCD, Dublin 4
          3 School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College, Dublin 2
     4 Department of Plant Sciences, Cambridge University, CB2 3EA
       5 Department of Soils & Global Change, Aberdeen University
                        Funding
     RSF 06 403, RSF 07 528 & RSF 07 527
Outline
• Policy Context
• Shifting to Biomass – Measurements
• Change in emissions associated with
  LUC
• Conclusions
Future challenges
• Post Kyoto –
  –20% from the non-ETS sectors without a
   global agreement
  –30% with an agreement
• Agriculture will come under sustained
  pressure to reduce emissions in the
  medium term
• Impetus for increased production
• NZ/Australia are placing agriculture
  within national ETS
Shifting to biomass production
• Enhanced Carbon sequestration – direct
  removal of CO2 from the atmosphere
• Displacement of N2O emissions
• Substitution of fossil fuel emissions
Components of the agricultural C budget
NBP:     Biome Productivity, Soil C balance
NEE: Net Ecosystem Exchange, Atmospheric C balance
                                          NBP

                                    NEP

                             NPP

                       GPP



           Photosynthesis Autotrophic   Heterotrophic   Cuts   Manure
                          respiration    respiration
Ecosystem fluxes – Eddy covariance
Soil respiration
Pasture Net C Balance
                                      Loss
                  40

                  20
C flux (gC m-2)




                   0
                        0   10   20    30       40   50   60
                  -20

                  -40

                  -60

                  -80



                                       Uptake
Pasture/Maize Net C Balance

                  40
C flux (gC m-2)




                  20

                   0
                        0     10   20   30   40   50      60
                  -20

                  -40

                  -60

                  -80
Pasture/OSR Net C Balance

                  40
C flux (gC m-2)




                  20

                   0
                        0     10   20   30   40   50    60
                  -20

                  -40

                  -60

                  -80
Pasture/Maize/Miscanthus Net C Balance

                  40
C flux (gC m-2)




                  20

                   0
                        0         10      20      30      40      50     60
                  -20

                  -40

                  -60

                  -80

                            Miscanthus has a long growing season and little
                                             disturbance
Potential Biomass Production
                   14

                   12
Biomass (t ha-1)




                   10

                   8

                   6

                   4                                                                              Miscanthus
                   2
                                                                                                  SRC
                   0
                        1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21



                                                              Year
= (a x b)/(b + PFD)
Modelled GPP using isotopic models
Quality as well as quantity: The ultimate fate of SOC
Particulate SOC (tC ha-1)



                            25

                            20

                            15

                            10                                                               New C
                            5

                            0                                                                Old C
                                 Barley   Maize   Miscanthus   Barley   Maize   Miscanthus
Dondini et al 2009 GCB-Bioenergy
NPP

 Soil C


Trace gases
10
                  9                       Measured
                  8                       Modelled
NPP (t C ha-1)




                  7
                  6
                  5
                  4
                  3
                  2
                  1
                  0
                      Maize    Maize    OSR (2008) Miscanthus   Grassland   RCG
                      (2008)   (2009)
160
                                                                        Measured
                         140
Soil Carbon (t C ha-1)




                                                                        Modelled
                         120
                         100
                         80
                         60
                         40
                         20
                          0
                               Grass (JC)   Maize (4 yrs   Grass (OP)    Arable    Miscanthus
                                               LUC)
Modelled vs Measured N2O
                                                emissions
                                    8
Modelled N2O (kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1)




                                    6

                                                                                    Arable
                                    4
                                                                                    Pasture

                                    2


                                    0
                                        0     2           4            6        8

                                            Measured N2O (kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1)
100

                80
Modelled



                60
                                                                                                                     Poorly –drained
                40
                                                                                                                       Loam/clay
                20
                                                                                                         R2 = 0.34
                0
                     0       10    20        30        40        50        60        70        80
                                                   Measured




                120

                100

                 80
     Modelled




                 60
                                                                                                            R2 = 0.44
                 40

                 20
                                                                                                           Moderate –drained
                     0                                                                                          Loam
                         0    10        20        30        40        50        60        70        80
                                                       Measured
Requirements
• Soils characteristics including bulk
  density and C stocks
• A soils map and a land-use tracking
  system
• Spatially integrated measurements of
  N2O in grazed pasture systems
• Ground-truthing across a range of soil
  types and land-uses
Conclusions
• Sequestration potential of perennial biomass
  crops could be high: 1-5 tCO2 ha-1 a-1
• SOC loss due to ploughing of pasture NOT as
  high as defaults
• 30% Co-firing Target: Replacement of ~0.91
  million tonnes of peat = 0.85 Mt CO2-eq –
  Heat Production C savings potentially even
  greater (+1.5 million tonnes)
• Who gets the credits?

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Emissions from Biomass Production - Gary Lanigan

  • 1. Emissions from biomass production Gary J. Lanigan
  • 2. Caroline Narayan1, Órlaith Ní Chonchubair1,2, Dominika Krol 1,3 John Clifton-Brown, Marta Dondini3, Karl Richards1, John Finnan, Bruce Osborne2, Mike Jones3, Chris Mueller2, Mike Williams3 Saul Otero2, Matt Saunders2, Wanne Kromdijk4, Howard Griffiths4, Astley Hastings5, Pete Smith5 1 Teagasc, Johnstown Castle Environmental Research Centre, Wexford 2 School of Biological & Environmental Science, UCD, Dublin 4 3 School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College, Dublin 2 4 Department of Plant Sciences, Cambridge University, CB2 3EA 5 Department of Soils & Global Change, Aberdeen University Funding RSF 06 403, RSF 07 528 & RSF 07 527
  • 3. Outline • Policy Context • Shifting to Biomass – Measurements • Change in emissions associated with LUC • Conclusions
  • 4. Future challenges • Post Kyoto – –20% from the non-ETS sectors without a global agreement –30% with an agreement • Agriculture will come under sustained pressure to reduce emissions in the medium term • Impetus for increased production • NZ/Australia are placing agriculture within national ETS
  • 5. Shifting to biomass production • Enhanced Carbon sequestration – direct removal of CO2 from the atmosphere • Displacement of N2O emissions • Substitution of fossil fuel emissions
  • 6. Components of the agricultural C budget NBP: Biome Productivity, Soil C balance NEE: Net Ecosystem Exchange, Atmospheric C balance NBP NEP NPP GPP Photosynthesis Autotrophic Heterotrophic Cuts Manure respiration respiration
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Ecosystem fluxes – Eddy covariance
  • 12. Pasture Net C Balance Loss 40 20 C flux (gC m-2) 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -20 -40 -60 -80 Uptake
  • 13. Pasture/Maize Net C Balance 40 C flux (gC m-2) 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -20 -40 -60 -80
  • 14. Pasture/OSR Net C Balance 40 C flux (gC m-2) 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -20 -40 -60 -80
  • 15. Pasture/Maize/Miscanthus Net C Balance 40 C flux (gC m-2) 20 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 -20 -40 -60 -80 Miscanthus has a long growing season and little disturbance
  • 16. Potential Biomass Production 14 12 Biomass (t ha-1) 10 8 6 4 Miscanthus 2 SRC 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Year
  • 17. = (a x b)/(b + PFD)
  • 18. Modelled GPP using isotopic models
  • 19. Quality as well as quantity: The ultimate fate of SOC Particulate SOC (tC ha-1) 25 20 15 10 New C 5 0 Old C Barley Maize Miscanthus Barley Maize Miscanthus
  • 20. Dondini et al 2009 GCB-Bioenergy
  • 21.
  • 23. 10 9 Measured 8 Modelled NPP (t C ha-1) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Maize Maize OSR (2008) Miscanthus Grassland RCG (2008) (2009)
  • 24. 160 Measured 140 Soil Carbon (t C ha-1) Modelled 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Grass (JC) Maize (4 yrs Grass (OP) Arable Miscanthus LUC)
  • 25. Modelled vs Measured N2O emissions 8 Modelled N2O (kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1) 6 Arable 4 Pasture 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 Measured N2O (kg N2O-N ha-1 yr-1)
  • 26. 100 80 Modelled 60 Poorly –drained 40 Loam/clay 20 R2 = 0.34 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Measured 120 100 80 Modelled 60 R2 = 0.44 40 20 Moderate –drained 0 Loam 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Measured
  • 27. Requirements • Soils characteristics including bulk density and C stocks • A soils map and a land-use tracking system • Spatially integrated measurements of N2O in grazed pasture systems • Ground-truthing across a range of soil types and land-uses
  • 28. Conclusions • Sequestration potential of perennial biomass crops could be high: 1-5 tCO2 ha-1 a-1 • SOC loss due to ploughing of pasture NOT as high as defaults • 30% Co-firing Target: Replacement of ~0.91 million tonnes of peat = 0.85 Mt CO2-eq – Heat Production C savings potentially even greater (+1.5 million tonnes) • Who gets the credits?