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Using DayCent for estimating
  greenhouse gas emissions
       Tamara Hochstrasser
     University College Dublin
          with help from:
 Steve del Grosso, Colorado State
University, Catherine Watson, AFBI,
Christoph Mueller, Florence Renou-
               Wilson
Outline
 UCD-soils group
 DayCent: some simulations of Irish
  grasslands
 Using DayCent for the whole of Ireland
UCD-soils group (Christoph Müller)
 Forests: Thomas Cummins
 Grasslands: Tamara Hochstrasser
 Peatlands: Florence Renou-Wilson,
  David Wilson
 Ibrahim Khalil

    Main aim: to develop a mechanistic
    understanding of organic matter
    dynamics and greenhouse gas emissions
    from Irish soils
Techniques
 Field gas measurements using closed
  chambers
 Stable isotope tracing techniques
 Modelling: statistical techniques, small
  process-specific mechanistic models, for
  grasslands: ecosystem model (DayCent)
Grassland DayCent modelling
 Aim: to provide greenhouse gas balance
  for agricultural grasslands under different
  management regimes in Ireland
 Two step approach:
  1) Parameterisation of DayCent based on
  long-term (1989-99) dataset from
  experiment in Northern Ireland (Watson et
  al. 2007)
  2) (planned) Extrapolation to different soil
  types and management regimes under a
  range of climates
Parameterisation for Irish grasslands
                                                 Daily weather data
Fertilizer
                                                 Longitude and latitude
Grazing / cutting
                             Grass/
                              Crop
Management                            Growth rate
                                                    Atmosphere
                                      C:N ratio
                                      Lignin content
                                      Root:shoot ratio
                                      (Whitehead, 1995)
            Soil texture
            Field capacity
            Bulk density
                              Soil
            pH

                                                          Flux of carbon/
                                                           nitrogen
                                                          Control
Net Ecosystem Exchange
NEE component   Units      High N loam       High N clay       Low N loam       Low N clay
Harvested C     gC/m2            293 (37)          331 (24)         212 (19)          232 (10)




N2O             g N2O/m2      0.45 (0.04)        0.77 (0.11)      0.18 (0.02)      0.27 (0.04)


N2O eq          g CO2/m2     133.5 (10.5)      230.6 (32.5)        52.7 (4.6)      81.9 (13.0)
CH4             g CH4/m2      -0.21 (0.02)      -0.12 (0.01)     -0.21 (0.02)      -0.12 (0.01)
CH4eq           g CO2/m2        -5.2 (0.4)        -3.0 (0.2)       -5.2 (0.4)        -3.1 (0.2)


CO2             g CO2/m2     380.9 (31.6)      444.9 (29.6)      329.2 (22.9)     373.1 (20.1)




NEE             tC/ha                -1.5              -1.5              -1.1             -1.1


                                 Hochstrasser et al. unpublished manuscript
Yield
          16                                             16
          14                                             14
          12                                             12
Yield (t/ha)




                                                              Biomass                               Biomass
          10                                             10
                                                              measured                              measured
               8                                          8
               6                                          6
               4                                          4 Simulated                               Simulated
                                                            biomass                                 biomass
               2                                          2
               0                                          0
                   88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99        88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
                                Time (Years)                               Time (Years)

                        100 kg N/ha/yr                                   500 kg N/ha/yr
Volumetric soil water content
                                            1992
            0.7


            0.6


            0.5


            0.4
                                                                             Simulated
     VSWC




                                                                             Actual
            0.3


            0.2


            0.1


             0
                  0   50   100   150      200        250   300   350   400
                                       Time (days)




                                                           Data from Hillsborough, NI
Soil Carbon
       8000

       7000
                                                                       somtc
       6000
                                                                       Total C (with roots)
       5000
g/m2




                                                                       rootC
       4000
                                                                       measured C
       3000

       2000

       1000

          0
              81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98

                                     year
                                                                      100 kg N/ha/yr
Peatland




  Raised bog: Allen series, Co. Offaly. Picture by: Bob Hammond
What about peatlands?
1) Soil moisture is usually evenly distributed
  which is not the case in peat soils
2) Soil temperature vary differently to
  mineral soils, especially in the winter time
3) Gas-diffusion processes are different in
  the peat matrix
4) Processes of anaerobic biogeochemistry
  are also different to mineral soils
5) Low pH

                          Slide by: Florence Renou-Wilson
Preliminary conclusions
 DayCent is capturing the main processes
  in grasslands on mineral soils, but not
  peatlands
 Further improvement of model
  parameterisation may allow for a more
  realistic simulation of soils high in organic
  matter
 Long-term data are essential to develop
  an understanding of complex system
  dynamics
Extrapolation to Ireland?
 Will need:
  - climate (daily weather for 30+ years)
  - soil information
  - ‘typical’ management
 All existing combinations will have to be
  run separately and then a weighted (by
  area) average of the output values
  calculated
 Expensive, but has potential to show
  where large difference can be made
Conclusions
   An ecosystem model such as DayCent can be
    used to interpret data and enhance our
    understanding of soil organic matter
    dynamics
   If application for the whole of Ireland is
    envisaged, it is very important to change and
    develop the model so it is able to simulate
    organic soils
   In the longer term, if DayCent is used for
    greenhouse gas inventories, it is important to
    have the capacity to adapt the model as new
    insights are gained

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Using DayCent for estimating greenhouse gas emissions - Tamara Hochstrasser, UCD

  • 1. Using DayCent for estimating greenhouse gas emissions Tamara Hochstrasser University College Dublin with help from: Steve del Grosso, Colorado State University, Catherine Watson, AFBI, Christoph Mueller, Florence Renou- Wilson
  • 2. Outline  UCD-soils group  DayCent: some simulations of Irish grasslands  Using DayCent for the whole of Ireland
  • 3. UCD-soils group (Christoph Müller)  Forests: Thomas Cummins  Grasslands: Tamara Hochstrasser  Peatlands: Florence Renou-Wilson, David Wilson  Ibrahim Khalil Main aim: to develop a mechanistic understanding of organic matter dynamics and greenhouse gas emissions from Irish soils
  • 4. Techniques  Field gas measurements using closed chambers  Stable isotope tracing techniques  Modelling: statistical techniques, small process-specific mechanistic models, for grasslands: ecosystem model (DayCent)
  • 5. Grassland DayCent modelling  Aim: to provide greenhouse gas balance for agricultural grasslands under different management regimes in Ireland  Two step approach: 1) Parameterisation of DayCent based on long-term (1989-99) dataset from experiment in Northern Ireland (Watson et al. 2007) 2) (planned) Extrapolation to different soil types and management regimes under a range of climates
  • 6. Parameterisation for Irish grasslands Daily weather data Fertilizer Longitude and latitude Grazing / cutting Grass/ Crop Management Growth rate Atmosphere C:N ratio Lignin content Root:shoot ratio (Whitehead, 1995) Soil texture Field capacity Bulk density Soil pH Flux of carbon/ nitrogen Control
  • 7. Net Ecosystem Exchange NEE component Units High N loam High N clay Low N loam Low N clay Harvested C gC/m2 293 (37) 331 (24) 212 (19) 232 (10) N2O g N2O/m2 0.45 (0.04) 0.77 (0.11) 0.18 (0.02) 0.27 (0.04) N2O eq g CO2/m2 133.5 (10.5) 230.6 (32.5) 52.7 (4.6) 81.9 (13.0) CH4 g CH4/m2 -0.21 (0.02) -0.12 (0.01) -0.21 (0.02) -0.12 (0.01) CH4eq g CO2/m2 -5.2 (0.4) -3.0 (0.2) -5.2 (0.4) -3.1 (0.2) CO2 g CO2/m2 380.9 (31.6) 444.9 (29.6) 329.2 (22.9) 373.1 (20.1) NEE tC/ha -1.5 -1.5 -1.1 -1.1 Hochstrasser et al. unpublished manuscript
  • 8. Yield 16 16 14 14 12 12 Yield (t/ha) Biomass Biomass 10 10 measured measured 8 8 6 6 4 4 Simulated Simulated biomass biomass 2 2 0 0 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Time (Years) Time (Years) 100 kg N/ha/yr 500 kg N/ha/yr
  • 9. Volumetric soil water content 1992 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 Simulated VSWC Actual 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Time (days) Data from Hillsborough, NI
  • 10. Soil Carbon 8000 7000 somtc 6000 Total C (with roots) 5000 g/m2 rootC 4000 measured C 3000 2000 1000 0 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 year 100 kg N/ha/yr
  • 11. Peatland Raised bog: Allen series, Co. Offaly. Picture by: Bob Hammond
  • 12. What about peatlands? 1) Soil moisture is usually evenly distributed which is not the case in peat soils 2) Soil temperature vary differently to mineral soils, especially in the winter time 3) Gas-diffusion processes are different in the peat matrix 4) Processes of anaerobic biogeochemistry are also different to mineral soils 5) Low pH Slide by: Florence Renou-Wilson
  • 13. Preliminary conclusions  DayCent is capturing the main processes in grasslands on mineral soils, but not peatlands  Further improvement of model parameterisation may allow for a more realistic simulation of soils high in organic matter  Long-term data are essential to develop an understanding of complex system dynamics
  • 14. Extrapolation to Ireland?  Will need: - climate (daily weather for 30+ years) - soil information - ‘typical’ management  All existing combinations will have to be run separately and then a weighted (by area) average of the output values calculated  Expensive, but has potential to show where large difference can be made
  • 15. Conclusions  An ecosystem model such as DayCent can be used to interpret data and enhance our understanding of soil organic matter dynamics  If application for the whole of Ireland is envisaged, it is very important to change and develop the model so it is able to simulate organic soils  In the longer term, if DayCent is used for greenhouse gas inventories, it is important to have the capacity to adapt the model as new insights are gained