Future of
Programmatic Workshop
European Publisher Summit
June 3, 2014
Matt O’Neill
Unanimis
One Chart to Understand
Programmatic
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Confusing Logo Farm
Slides
Marketing Cash Spent
(in MM)
Programmatic & RTB
Conferences
Use of WTF in Industry
Headlines
Display CPMs
“The industry has gone from
a niche area of digital to a
nearly agreed-upon bulwark
of the future media system.
The question now is just what
shape it takes.”
How we got here
• Optimization of network demand and
remnant supply is becoming the de facto
trading standard
• Spot solution  Industry standard
• Not just display banners but mobile, video,
rich media, and a robust data market
Percent of Display
11
19
28 34 41 47 52
13
18
25
29
32
32
31
76
62
47
36
27 21 17
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Programmatic - RTB Programmatic - Non-RTB Non-Programmatic
59%
Source: Magna Global RTB & Programmatic Report – Oct. 2013
Patterns + Tools
Solving a problem
PublisherNetwork 1
Exchange
1
Network 2 Network 3
Network 4
Exchange
2
Projections & Stats
• Global / US
– Programmatic 80% of digital display by 2017
– Programmatic sales to surpass direct sales in next 18 months
– $6Bln  $32Bln between 2014 and 2017
• UK Specific
– Currently programmatic is 17% of total UK Display spend
– Spend estimated to hit 30% by 2016
• Core areas of growth projected
– Premium & Private
– Mobile & Cross Platform (Flow)
– Data & Audience
– Content Marketing
• All roads are leading to programmatic
Sources:
AOP Organizational census on programmatic & data
Magna Global Report October 2013
Programmatic – Great Unifier
ProgrammaticDisplay
Data
Social
Search
Content
Marketing
Programmatic – Delivering scale
UAP /
Search
Large
Formats &
Video
Remnant Sponsorship
Scalability
Yield
Challenges, Risks & Threats
• CMO adoption & acceptance
– Confusion holds back the BIG cash
Programmatic still isn’t well
understood
12%
23%
10%26%
29%
I am unaware of this way of
buying
I understand it and use it to
execute campaigns
I understand it but haven't
used it yet
I understand the concept
but need to learn more
about how to apply it to
campaigns
Challenges, Risks & Threats
• CMO adoption & acceptance
– Confusion holds back cash
• Increasing Fragmentation
– Adds ‘right device’ to the equation
Top activities performed during
simultaneous screen usage
Challenges, Risks & Threats
• CMO adoption & acceptance
– Confusion holds back cash
• Increasing Fragmentation
– Adds ‘right device’ to the equation
• Increased buy-side control
– Race to bottom on CPMs & Display Revenue
US Newspaper Ad Revenue
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Print
Online
Total
http://stateofthemedia.org/2013/newspapers-stabilizing-but-still-threatened/newspapers-by-the-numbers/
Global Programmatic Advertising
Pricing Trends
Challenges, Risks & Threats
• CMO adoption & acceptance
– Confusion holds back cash
• Increasing Fragmentation
– Adds ‘right device’ to the equation
• Increased buy-side control
– Race to bottom on CPMs & Display Revenue
• Privacy concerns & Cookie Challenges
– Always a unknown threat in the wings
Key Opportunities
• Market Growth
A rising tide…
Key Opportunities
• Market Growth
• Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs
• Open RTB & Deal ID
Selling Methods for Premium Pubs
Open Exchanges
Private Exchanges (PMP)
Fixed-Price Unreserved
(DealID)
Fixed-Price Reserved,
Automated
Direct, Manual
Key Opportunities
• Market Growth
• Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs
• Open RTB & Deal ID
• Mobile, Video, and Multi-device
Advertising
Cross Device & Mobile Targeting
Key Publisher Opportunities
• Market Growth
• Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs
• Open RTB & Deal ID
• Mobile, Video, and Multi-device
Advertising
• Data Monetisation & Optimisation
It’s coming together
Data
Mobile
Premium
Programmatic
Destination Targeting
Case in point
Delivering Data at Scale
Guardian 1st
Party Data
Rubicon
Krux 3rd Party
Data
Invite
Media
£1.00
£0.75
£2.50
Key Opportunities
• Market Growth
• Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs
• Open RTB & Deal ID
• Mobile, Video, and Flow Advertising
• Data Monetisation & Optimisation
• Native & Brand Marketing
Native Advertising Growth
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
£0.0
£0.5
£1.0
£1.5
£2.0
£2.5
£3.0
£3.5
£4.0
£4.5
£5.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Native Spending
Pct. Change
Source: Business Insider, October 2013
An Ad by Any Other Name
Source: Online Publishers Association (OPA) Study in Partnership with Radar Research
Native & Programmatic
Native
Advertising
• Standardization Is
Coming
• “Answering” the
Scale Question
• Expect Greater
Regulation
• Native will Be More
Data-driven
Programmatic
Buying
• Buyers will Grow into
Tech Experts
• Premium
Programmatic will Be
Key
• Marrying
Programmatic and
Native
• Direct Sales will Go
Programmatic
http://www.foliomag.com/2014/native-advertising-and-programmatic-buying-predictions-2014#.U4YAp_ldVQA
Whatever you call it, it is coming…
You want to know how I know?
THANK YOU
Matt O’Neill

5 Things about the Future of Programmatic - Digiday EU Publisher Summit 2014

  • 1.
    Future of Programmatic Workshop EuropeanPublisher Summit June 3, 2014 Matt O’Neill Unanimis
  • 2.
    One Chart toUnderstand Programmatic 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Confusing Logo Farm Slides Marketing Cash Spent (in MM) Programmatic & RTB Conferences Use of WTF in Industry Headlines Display CPMs
  • 3.
    “The industry hasgone from a niche area of digital to a nearly agreed-upon bulwark of the future media system. The question now is just what shape it takes.”
  • 4.
    How we gothere • Optimization of network demand and remnant supply is becoming the de facto trading standard • Spot solution  Industry standard • Not just display banners but mobile, video, rich media, and a robust data market
  • 5.
    Percent of Display 11 19 2834 41 47 52 13 18 25 29 32 32 31 76 62 47 36 27 21 17 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Programmatic - RTB Programmatic - Non-RTB Non-Programmatic 59% Source: Magna Global RTB & Programmatic Report – Oct. 2013
  • 6.
  • 7.
    Solving a problem PublisherNetwork1 Exchange 1 Network 2 Network 3 Network 4 Exchange 2
  • 9.
    Projections & Stats •Global / US – Programmatic 80% of digital display by 2017 – Programmatic sales to surpass direct sales in next 18 months – $6Bln  $32Bln between 2014 and 2017 • UK Specific – Currently programmatic is 17% of total UK Display spend – Spend estimated to hit 30% by 2016 • Core areas of growth projected – Premium & Private – Mobile & Cross Platform (Flow) – Data & Audience – Content Marketing • All roads are leading to programmatic Sources: AOP Organizational census on programmatic & data Magna Global Report October 2013
  • 10.
    Programmatic – GreatUnifier ProgrammaticDisplay Data Social Search Content Marketing
  • 11.
    Programmatic – Deliveringscale UAP / Search Large Formats & Video Remnant Sponsorship Scalability Yield
  • 12.
    Challenges, Risks &Threats • CMO adoption & acceptance – Confusion holds back the BIG cash
  • 13.
    Programmatic still isn’twell understood 12% 23% 10%26% 29% I am unaware of this way of buying I understand it and use it to execute campaigns I understand it but haven't used it yet I understand the concept but need to learn more about how to apply it to campaigns
  • 14.
    Challenges, Risks &Threats • CMO adoption & acceptance – Confusion holds back cash • Increasing Fragmentation – Adds ‘right device’ to the equation
  • 15.
    Top activities performedduring simultaneous screen usage
  • 16.
    Challenges, Risks &Threats • CMO adoption & acceptance – Confusion holds back cash • Increasing Fragmentation – Adds ‘right device’ to the equation • Increased buy-side control – Race to bottom on CPMs & Display Revenue
  • 17.
    US Newspaper AdRevenue 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Print Online Total http://stateofthemedia.org/2013/newspapers-stabilizing-but-still-threatened/newspapers-by-the-numbers/
  • 18.
  • 19.
    Challenges, Risks &Threats • CMO adoption & acceptance – Confusion holds back cash • Increasing Fragmentation – Adds ‘right device’ to the equation • Increased buy-side control – Race to bottom on CPMs & Display Revenue • Privacy concerns & Cookie Challenges – Always a unknown threat in the wings
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
    Key Opportunities • MarketGrowth • Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs • Open RTB & Deal ID
  • 23.
    Selling Methods forPremium Pubs Open Exchanges Private Exchanges (PMP) Fixed-Price Unreserved (DealID) Fixed-Price Reserved, Automated Direct, Manual
  • 24.
    Key Opportunities • MarketGrowth • Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs • Open RTB & Deal ID • Mobile, Video, and Multi-device Advertising
  • 25.
    Cross Device &Mobile Targeting
  • 26.
    Key Publisher Opportunities •Market Growth • Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs • Open RTB & Deal ID • Mobile, Video, and Multi-device Advertising • Data Monetisation & Optimisation
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
    Delivering Data atScale Guardian 1st Party Data Rubicon Krux 3rd Party Data Invite Media £1.00 £0.75 £2.50
  • 30.
    Key Opportunities • MarketGrowth • Programmatic ‘Premium’ & PMPs • Open RTB & Deal ID • Mobile, Video, and Flow Advertising • Data Monetisation & Optimisation • Native & Brand Marketing
  • 31.
    Native Advertising Growth 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% £0.0 £0.5 £1.0 £1.5 £2.0 £2.5 £3.0 £3.5 £4.0 £4.5 £5.0 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Native Spending Pct. Change Source: Business Insider, October 2013
  • 32.
    An Ad byAny Other Name Source: Online Publishers Association (OPA) Study in Partnership with Radar Research
  • 33.
    Native & Programmatic Native Advertising •Standardization Is Coming • “Answering” the Scale Question • Expect Greater Regulation • Native will Be More Data-driven Programmatic Buying • Buyers will Grow into Tech Experts • Premium Programmatic will Be Key • Marrying Programmatic and Native • Direct Sales will Go Programmatic http://www.foliomag.com/2014/native-advertising-and-programmatic-buying-predictions-2014#.U4YAp_ldVQA
  • 34.
    Whatever you callit, it is coming…
  • 35.
    You want toknow how I know?
  • 36.

Editor's Notes

  • #11 Programmatic allows the scalable delivery of previously challening, complex ad strategeis – data, mobile, social, etc. are all activate by prgrmmatic trading. Programmatic unlocks the revenue potential of these marketing technoologies in a way that coldnt be done manually or through tradoionally direct channels.
  • #12 High yield, highly scalable ads are no longer the exclusive province of direct, sponsorship, deals. Programmatic offers scale to the masses while at the same tie offering brand and editorial checks and balances. There are of course traps and challenges along the way – fraud. Viewabiity, transparency. Commoditization, etc. There is no one size fits all solution to programmatic. It is, after all, just the opposite of manual. It’s not all RTB. It’s not al about direct response. It’s not measured the same way.
  • #13 Increasing Fragmentation - multi device & simultaneous usage Race to bottom on CPMs - while all these techs offer possible short term reversals of declining CPMs, will bid density be enough to keep up with exponential inventory growth? Will viewability & fraud offer scaricty to help drive CPMs up? Will we be able to charge enough of a premium to keep yield the same or possibly increase? Privacy concerns - We’ve dodged the initial bullets in short-sighted and ignorant privacy policy but I suspect this problem won’t go away and the use of increasbinlgy personalised levels of targeting via mobile geolocation and 3rd party sources may further exacerbate the problem. Blanket legistlation could significnatly harm the indusytry Device ID adoption Increased buy-side control
  • #14 http://blogs.wsj.com/cmo/2014/03/31/marketers-want-more-transparency-from-media-agencies/ 126 marketers 23 Percent of CMOs understood programmatic advertising enough to use it in campaigns. 12 Percent of respondents hadn’t heard of it at all.
  • #15 Increasing Fragmentation - multi device & simultaneous usage Race to bottom on CPMs - while all these techs offer possible short term reversals of declining CPMs, will bid density be enough to keep up with exponential inventory growth? Will viewability & fraud offer scaricty to help drive CPMs up? Will we be able to charge enough of a premium to keep yield the same or possibly increase? Privacy concerns - We’ve dodged the initial bullets in short-sighted and ignorant privacy policy but I suspect this problem won’t go away and the use of increasbinlgy personalised levels of targeting via mobile geolocation and 3rd party sources may further exacerbate the problem. Blanket legistlation could significnatly harm the indusytry Device ID adoption Increased buy-side control
  • #16 http://marketingland.com/study-90-percent-use-multiple-screens-throughout-the-same-day-20386
  • #17 Increasing Fragmentation - multi device & simultaneous usage Race to bottom on CPMs - while all these techs offer possible short term reversals of declining CPMs, will bid density be enough to keep up with exponential inventory growth? Will viewability & fraud offer scaricty to help drive CPMs up? Will we be able to charge enough of a premium to keep yield the same or possibly increase? Privacy concerns - We’ve dodged the initial bullets in short-sighted and ignorant privacy policy but I suspect this problem won’t go away and the use of increasbinlgy personalised levels of targeting via mobile geolocation and 3rd party sources may further exacerbate the problem. Blanket legistlation could significnatly harm the indusytry Device ID adoption Increased buy-side control
  • #20 Increasing Fragmentation - multi device & simultaneous usage Race to bottom on CPMs - while all these techs offer possible short term reversals of declining CPMs, will bid density be enough to keep up with exponential inventory growth? Will viewability & fraud offer scaricty to help drive CPMs up? Will we be able to charge enough of a premium to keep yield the same or possibly increase? Privacy concerns - We’ve dodged the initial bullets in short-sighted and ignorant privacy policy but I suspect this problem won’t go away and the use of increasbinlgy personalised levels of targeting via mobile geolocation and 3rd party sources may further exacerbate the problem. Blanket legistlation could significnatly harm the indusytry Device ID adoption Increased buy-side control Add fraud/viewability/trust/transparency