The recent decision of the US President to adopt a protectionist policy vs. imported goods could
trigger a domino effect in the global context. The conquest by the Chinese economy of new markets such as the
African countries is part of a strategy that includes a network of alliances in order to mitigate the effects of the
policy of protectionism
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
This document discusses the benefits of international investing through diversification and exposure to higher growth rates abroad. It notes that international markets can experience different returns than the US market, potentially lowering overall portfolio risk. While international investing brings additional risks, these can be reduced through a diversified portfolio that includes both developed and emerging markets. The document advocates for a globally diversified portfolio for most investors.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
The document discusses emerging markets and economic development. It describes how countries have shifted from being hostile to foreign investment to seeking economic growth through globalization. Countries like China, India, and others are undergoing changes to become vast markets. The stages of economic development are outlined from traditional societies to mass consumption societies. Factors like infrastructure, information technology, and market forces shape how marketing strategies must be adapted for different levels of development in emerging economies.
The US is China’s number one export partner. For most of the last eight years, China has been the largest holder of US debt. The two countries are closely linked economically. As the world’s number one and number two economies, trade between these giants effects the entre globe. Donald Trump is accusing China of currency manipulation and unfair trade, vowing to remove the US from the Transpacific Partnership and to levy a 45% tariff on Chinese products. He is also threatening a 35% tax on US companies who export jobs to China. This presentation will explore these concepts in detail as well as look at the possible outcome of a trade war between the US and China.
China is ASEAN’s largest trading partner and a growing economic force in the Asia-Pacific region. Thousands of miles away, America has a new president, Donald Trump, who is threatening to enact anti-China trade policies and to remove the United States from the Transpacific Partnership. This presentation will explore China’s importance in Asia, as well as how changes in Trump-China trade policies will impact ASEAN.
Special report emerging markets (the economist)ARTOTEL Academy
This document provides a summary of emerging markets and some of the risks they face. It discusses that emerging markets have historically provided both risks and profits for investors. While emerging markets have shown recent improvements in exports, GDP growth, and financial markets, there are still risks from factors like higher US interest rates, commodity price swings, protectionism, and political populism. However, the document argues that emerging economies have become more resilient in recent years, though perhaps less dynamic, and this improved resilience should allow their recovery to continue despite the threats they face.
The recent decision of the US President to adopt a protectionist policy vs. imported goods could
trigger a domino effect in the global context. The conquest by the Chinese economy of new markets such as the
African countries is part of a strategy that includes a network of alliances in order to mitigate the effects of the
policy of protectionism
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
This document discusses the benefits of international investing through diversification and exposure to higher growth rates abroad. It notes that international markets can experience different returns than the US market, potentially lowering overall portfolio risk. While international investing brings additional risks, these can be reduced through a diversified portfolio that includes both developed and emerging markets. The document advocates for a globally diversified portfolio for most investors.
« Market Perspectives » est notre revue mensuelle des marchés. Elle présente de la façon la plus synthétique possible :
- notre analyse des principaux faits marquants et indicateurs macro susceptibles de dessiner les marchés sur le mois.
- notre vision sur les différentes classes d’actifs
Cette revue sera continument enrichie avec nos indicateurs quantitatifs.
La plupart de nos analyses sont disponibles sur www.finlightresearch.com
Our monthly publication “Market Perspectives” presents a synthetic view of all the asset classes we cover.
The report is composed of six sections covering Macro, Equities, FI & credit, FX, Commodities and Alternatives.
Each section is preceded by a summary of our views on the related asset class.
Most of our publications are available on our web site www.finlightresearch.com
The document discusses emerging markets and economic development. It describes how countries have shifted from being hostile to foreign investment to seeking economic growth through globalization. Countries like China, India, and others are undergoing changes to become vast markets. The stages of economic development are outlined from traditional societies to mass consumption societies. Factors like infrastructure, information technology, and market forces shape how marketing strategies must be adapted for different levels of development in emerging economies.
The US is China’s number one export partner. For most of the last eight years, China has been the largest holder of US debt. The two countries are closely linked economically. As the world’s number one and number two economies, trade between these giants effects the entre globe. Donald Trump is accusing China of currency manipulation and unfair trade, vowing to remove the US from the Transpacific Partnership and to levy a 45% tariff on Chinese products. He is also threatening a 35% tax on US companies who export jobs to China. This presentation will explore these concepts in detail as well as look at the possible outcome of a trade war between the US and China.
China is ASEAN’s largest trading partner and a growing economic force in the Asia-Pacific region. Thousands of miles away, America has a new president, Donald Trump, who is threatening to enact anti-China trade policies and to remove the United States from the Transpacific Partnership. This presentation will explore China’s importance in Asia, as well as how changes in Trump-China trade policies will impact ASEAN.
Special report emerging markets (the economist)ARTOTEL Academy
This document provides a summary of emerging markets and some of the risks they face. It discusses that emerging markets have historically provided both risks and profits for investors. While emerging markets have shown recent improvements in exports, GDP growth, and financial markets, there are still risks from factors like higher US interest rates, commodity price swings, protectionism, and political populism. However, the document argues that emerging economies have become more resilient in recent years, though perhaps less dynamic, and this improved resilience should allow their recovery to continue despite the threats they face.
This document discusses whether stock markets promote economic growth. It begins by outlining the debate on whether financial development causes growth or vice versa. The authors then:
1) Describe previous empirical studies on the relationship between financial development/stock markets and economic growth that have limitations in establishing causality.
2) Explain their use of Granger causality tests on data from 64 countries over varying time periods to help determine the causal direction of the relationship.
3) Present sample statistics showing differences in growth rates and financial development across income levels and degrees of financial market freedom.
This document provides an overview of China's economic growth and its impact on the world economy. It discusses several key topics:
1) The ongoing US-China trade war and tensions as the US challenges China's rise.
2) China's transformation from a capital importer to a major capital exporter through foreign direct investments.
3) The Belt and Road Initiative which aims to boost infrastructure and connectivity but faces concerns about debt traps.
4) China's increasing trade ties with emerging economies and how fluctuations in Chinese demand can significantly impact countries reliant on exports to China.
Trade deficit tax losses violates constitutional law. This presentation has sound and provide and indepth overview of the trade deficit. It provides an understanding of equal trade as a corrective action. It also invites the reader to sign a petition at the website www.CitizensForEqualTrade.org.
The document is the World Investment Report 2011 published by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). It focuses on non-equity modes of international production and development.
Some key points:
- Non-equity modes of international production such as contract manufacturing, outsourcing, franchising and licensing have grown significantly and allow firms in developing countries to integrate more deeply into global value chains.
- These modes provide opportunities for technology transfer, skills upgrading, export generation and local value added but also social and environmental challenges that need addressing.
- The report examines trends in different world regions and sectors, drivers behind the rise of non-equity modes, and their development impacts on employment, exports and skills.
The document is the preface to the World Investment Report 2011 which discusses non-equity modes of international production and development. It notes that while global FDI has not yet returned to pre-crisis levels, some regions are recovering better than others. It forecasts that FDI flows will recover to pre-crisis levels over the next two years barring economic shocks. It also highlights that developing economies absorbed close to half of global FDI inflows in 2010 for the first time, and generated record FDI outflows, much directed to other developing countries. This demonstrates the growing importance of developing countries and of South-South cooperation and investment for sustainable development. It acknowledges the opportunities that new forms of international engagement like outsour
The document summarizes findings from the Global Competitiveness Index 2007-2008 regarding Mexico's competitiveness. It finds that while Mexico has made progress in establishing macroeconomic stability, its annual GDP growth rates of around 3% lag behind other emerging markets like India and China. The document uses the Global Competitiveness Index framework to analyze Mexico's competitive landscape. It finds that Mexico performs best in infrastructure and health but faces challenges in higher education, technological readiness, financial market sophistication, and innovation. The analysis aims to identify priority areas for Mexico to improve its competitiveness and sustain long-term growth.
1.[1 15]study of bric countries in the financial turnmoilAlexander Decker
This document analyzes the dynamic relationship between emerging BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) during financial turmoil from 2008-2011. It aims to quantify the interrelationships between stock market indices of these countries, using the IBOV, RTS, S&P Nifty, and SSE Composite Index. Statistical tests show the indices are non-normally distributed but stationary. Granger causality tests examine causal relationships between the BRIC country indices. Previous literature has found mixed evidence on cointegration between developed and emerging markets, and that BRIC countries have become more integrated globally in recent decades.
The document discusses the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and compares it to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank (WB). It notes that while the AIIB is smaller, it aims to fund infrastructure projects in Asia in a similar way to how the IMF and WB fund projects globally. Some experts believe the AIIB may compete with the IMF and WB by offering loans more quickly with fewer restrictions. The document also examines the roles and histories of the IMF, WB, and AIIB and how the rise of the AIIB could challenge the dominance of the IMF and WB in global financial institutions.
This document is a thesis that evaluates EU trade relations with developing countries through the lens of dependency theory. It begins with an introduction that outlines the research question and sub-questions. The first sub-question examines how dependency theory accounts for underdevelopment in developing regions. Dependency theory argues that developing countries' lack of development is due to their structural dependence within the global capitalist system and the active role of dominant economies in underdeveloping other regions. The thesis will apply the perspectives of dependency theorists André Gunder Frank and Samir Amin to analyze EU trade policies and their impact on developing countries' development opportunities.
Facebook fue creado en 2004 por Mark Zuckerberg como una red social para estudiantes universitarios. Se expandió rápidamente y en un año ya tenía más de 11 millones de usuarios. Aunque comenzó solo para universidades, pronto permitió que cualquier persona con correo electrónico se uniera. Desde entonces, Facebook ha continuado creciendo y ahora tiene miles de millones de usuarios en todo el mundo.
Facebook fue creado en 2004 por Mark Zuckerberg como una red social para estudiantes universitarios. Se expandió rápidamente y en un año ya tenía más de 11 millones de usuarios. Aunque comenzó solo para universidades, pronto permitió que cualquier persona con correo electrónico se uniera. Facebook ha continuado creciendo desde entonces y actualmente tiene miles de millones de usuarios en todo el mundo.
Francisco J. Larios is a senior economist with over 10 years of experience in macroeconomic forecasting, risk analysis, and consulting. He has expertise analyzing markets in Asia, Latin America, and Emerging Europe as well as global economic trends and trade. Larios has effectively managed research teams and delivered economic insights to financial institutions, corporations, and governments in the US, Latin America, and Europe. He is fluent in English and Spanish with competence in Portuguese and reading knowledge of French.
Lourdes Zita R. Batanes has over 20 years of experience in the banking industry. She is currently the Branch Head at Sterling Bank of Asia Quezon Ave. Br., a position she has held since 2008. In this role, she oversees branch operations and markets bank products and services. She has received numerous awards and recognitions for excelling in areas such as sales, income contribution, and exceeding targets. Prior to her current role, she held several other managerial and banker positions at various banks, demonstrating a track record of success in implementing strategies to achieve goals. She has a Bachelor of Arts in Economics degree from the University of Santo Tomas and some graduate studies in Business Administration.
This document discusses the history and misconceptions around absinthe, including that it does not target young partygoers but rather artistic and creative individuals. It notes that most people have never tried absinthe or only did so once due to beliefs it causes hallucinations. The document refers to absinthe providing artistic inspiration and changing one's mindset. It aims to create a thought-provoking atmosphere for unrestrained visionaries and make Vieux Carré the next chapter in absinthe's story.
- Clair is an open source project for analyzing container images for known software vulnerabilities. It uses static analysis to detect vulnerabilities by examining the content of container images without running the containers.
- Clair's analysis can be done once and reused to inform about current and future vulnerabilities. It also suggests fixes and notifies users about new vulnerabilities.
- Clair is designed as an extensible framework, including detectors for vulnerabilities from different sources, datastores, updaters, notifiers and support for multiple container formats and operating systems. The presenter discusses current and potential future capabilities.
Xiang Li gave a presentation on etcd, a distributed key-value store. He discussed how etcd can be used to coordinate CoreOS cluster updates and store application configurations. He highlighted requirements like strong consistency, high availability, and watchability. Li also demonstrated etcd's capabilities including key-value operations, streaming watches, multi-version concurrency control, and leases. He showed how etcd achieves high performance and reliability through techniques such as incremental snapshots, write-ahead logging, and failure injection testing. Finally, he announced that etcd version 3.0 beta is now available.
This document discusses Kube-AWS, which is a tool for deploying Kubernetes clusters on AWS. It outlines the design goals of creating artifacts that are secure, reproducible, and auditable. It then demonstrates "under the hood" how Kube-AWS works by initializing a cluster configuration, rendering assets, deploying the cluster, exporting the deployment details, and making changes to reproduce the cluster. Recent work is noted along with future plans.
Tectonic Summit 2015: Containers Across the Cloud and Data CenterCoreOS
At Tectonic Summit in December 2015, Rob Cornish, CTO of International Securities Exchange, and Paul Morgan, Systems Architect, International Securities Exchange spoke about how they use containers across the cloud and data center.
The last decade belonged to virtual machines and the next one belongs to containers. CoreOS is a new Linux distribution designed specifically for application containers and running them at scale. This talk will examine all the major components of CoreOS (etcd, fleet, docker, systemd) and how these components work together.
Latin America has been strongly affected by the international crisis and recession since late 2008. In comparison to historical experience, how has Latin America coped with the global crisis, which has been the role of different transmission mechanisms, and how have the region's structural and policy conditions affected its sensitivity to foreign shocks? Moreover, what policies can protect the region better from world crises and shocks, and to which extent should it rely on a strategy of close trade and financial integration into a world economy punctuated by shocks and crises? This paper addresses the latter questions in three steps. First, by assessing empirically the sensitivity of growth in the region's seven major economies during 1990-2009 to large number of structural and cyclical factors, based on high-frequency panel-data estimations. Second, by using the latter results to decompose the amplitude of GDP reductions in both recessions according to the individual and combined contribution of the different growth factors. Third, to derive the main implications of the results for the choice of macroeconomic regimes and development strategies.
Authored by: Vittorio Corbo and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel
Published in 2011
This document provides information for a course on international business. It outlines important assessment details including an essay, group presentations, and an exam. It discusses expectations for student engagement, preparation, and seeking help if needed. It also covers various topics to be discussed in tutorials including different legal systems, transition economies, and determinants of economic development relevant to international business. Group project allocations are provided on specific topics to be covered in later weeks.
This document discusses whether stock markets promote economic growth. It begins by outlining the debate on whether financial development causes growth or vice versa. The authors then:
1) Describe previous empirical studies on the relationship between financial development/stock markets and economic growth that have limitations in establishing causality.
2) Explain their use of Granger causality tests on data from 64 countries over varying time periods to help determine the causal direction of the relationship.
3) Present sample statistics showing differences in growth rates and financial development across income levels and degrees of financial market freedom.
This document provides an overview of China's economic growth and its impact on the world economy. It discusses several key topics:
1) The ongoing US-China trade war and tensions as the US challenges China's rise.
2) China's transformation from a capital importer to a major capital exporter through foreign direct investments.
3) The Belt and Road Initiative which aims to boost infrastructure and connectivity but faces concerns about debt traps.
4) China's increasing trade ties with emerging economies and how fluctuations in Chinese demand can significantly impact countries reliant on exports to China.
Trade deficit tax losses violates constitutional law. This presentation has sound and provide and indepth overview of the trade deficit. It provides an understanding of equal trade as a corrective action. It also invites the reader to sign a petition at the website www.CitizensForEqualTrade.org.
The document is the World Investment Report 2011 published by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). It focuses on non-equity modes of international production and development.
Some key points:
- Non-equity modes of international production such as contract manufacturing, outsourcing, franchising and licensing have grown significantly and allow firms in developing countries to integrate more deeply into global value chains.
- These modes provide opportunities for technology transfer, skills upgrading, export generation and local value added but also social and environmental challenges that need addressing.
- The report examines trends in different world regions and sectors, drivers behind the rise of non-equity modes, and their development impacts on employment, exports and skills.
The document is the preface to the World Investment Report 2011 which discusses non-equity modes of international production and development. It notes that while global FDI has not yet returned to pre-crisis levels, some regions are recovering better than others. It forecasts that FDI flows will recover to pre-crisis levels over the next two years barring economic shocks. It also highlights that developing economies absorbed close to half of global FDI inflows in 2010 for the first time, and generated record FDI outflows, much directed to other developing countries. This demonstrates the growing importance of developing countries and of South-South cooperation and investment for sustainable development. It acknowledges the opportunities that new forms of international engagement like outsour
The document summarizes findings from the Global Competitiveness Index 2007-2008 regarding Mexico's competitiveness. It finds that while Mexico has made progress in establishing macroeconomic stability, its annual GDP growth rates of around 3% lag behind other emerging markets like India and China. The document uses the Global Competitiveness Index framework to analyze Mexico's competitive landscape. It finds that Mexico performs best in infrastructure and health but faces challenges in higher education, technological readiness, financial market sophistication, and innovation. The analysis aims to identify priority areas for Mexico to improve its competitiveness and sustain long-term growth.
1.[1 15]study of bric countries in the financial turnmoilAlexander Decker
This document analyzes the dynamic relationship between emerging BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) during financial turmoil from 2008-2011. It aims to quantify the interrelationships between stock market indices of these countries, using the IBOV, RTS, S&P Nifty, and SSE Composite Index. Statistical tests show the indices are non-normally distributed but stationary. Granger causality tests examine causal relationships between the BRIC country indices. Previous literature has found mixed evidence on cointegration between developed and emerging markets, and that BRIC countries have become more integrated globally in recent decades.
The document discusses the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and compares it to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank (WB). It notes that while the AIIB is smaller, it aims to fund infrastructure projects in Asia in a similar way to how the IMF and WB fund projects globally. Some experts believe the AIIB may compete with the IMF and WB by offering loans more quickly with fewer restrictions. The document also examines the roles and histories of the IMF, WB, and AIIB and how the rise of the AIIB could challenge the dominance of the IMF and WB in global financial institutions.
This document is a thesis that evaluates EU trade relations with developing countries through the lens of dependency theory. It begins with an introduction that outlines the research question and sub-questions. The first sub-question examines how dependency theory accounts for underdevelopment in developing regions. Dependency theory argues that developing countries' lack of development is due to their structural dependence within the global capitalist system and the active role of dominant economies in underdeveloping other regions. The thesis will apply the perspectives of dependency theorists André Gunder Frank and Samir Amin to analyze EU trade policies and their impact on developing countries' development opportunities.
Facebook fue creado en 2004 por Mark Zuckerberg como una red social para estudiantes universitarios. Se expandió rápidamente y en un año ya tenía más de 11 millones de usuarios. Aunque comenzó solo para universidades, pronto permitió que cualquier persona con correo electrónico se uniera. Desde entonces, Facebook ha continuado creciendo y ahora tiene miles de millones de usuarios en todo el mundo.
Facebook fue creado en 2004 por Mark Zuckerberg como una red social para estudiantes universitarios. Se expandió rápidamente y en un año ya tenía más de 11 millones de usuarios. Aunque comenzó solo para universidades, pronto permitió que cualquier persona con correo electrónico se uniera. Facebook ha continuado creciendo desde entonces y actualmente tiene miles de millones de usuarios en todo el mundo.
Francisco J. Larios is a senior economist with over 10 years of experience in macroeconomic forecasting, risk analysis, and consulting. He has expertise analyzing markets in Asia, Latin America, and Emerging Europe as well as global economic trends and trade. Larios has effectively managed research teams and delivered economic insights to financial institutions, corporations, and governments in the US, Latin America, and Europe. He is fluent in English and Spanish with competence in Portuguese and reading knowledge of French.
Lourdes Zita R. Batanes has over 20 years of experience in the banking industry. She is currently the Branch Head at Sterling Bank of Asia Quezon Ave. Br., a position she has held since 2008. In this role, she oversees branch operations and markets bank products and services. She has received numerous awards and recognitions for excelling in areas such as sales, income contribution, and exceeding targets. Prior to her current role, she held several other managerial and banker positions at various banks, demonstrating a track record of success in implementing strategies to achieve goals. She has a Bachelor of Arts in Economics degree from the University of Santo Tomas and some graduate studies in Business Administration.
This document discusses the history and misconceptions around absinthe, including that it does not target young partygoers but rather artistic and creative individuals. It notes that most people have never tried absinthe or only did so once due to beliefs it causes hallucinations. The document refers to absinthe providing artistic inspiration and changing one's mindset. It aims to create a thought-provoking atmosphere for unrestrained visionaries and make Vieux Carré the next chapter in absinthe's story.
- Clair is an open source project for analyzing container images for known software vulnerabilities. It uses static analysis to detect vulnerabilities by examining the content of container images without running the containers.
- Clair's analysis can be done once and reused to inform about current and future vulnerabilities. It also suggests fixes and notifies users about new vulnerabilities.
- Clair is designed as an extensible framework, including detectors for vulnerabilities from different sources, datastores, updaters, notifiers and support for multiple container formats and operating systems. The presenter discusses current and potential future capabilities.
Xiang Li gave a presentation on etcd, a distributed key-value store. He discussed how etcd can be used to coordinate CoreOS cluster updates and store application configurations. He highlighted requirements like strong consistency, high availability, and watchability. Li also demonstrated etcd's capabilities including key-value operations, streaming watches, multi-version concurrency control, and leases. He showed how etcd achieves high performance and reliability through techniques such as incremental snapshots, write-ahead logging, and failure injection testing. Finally, he announced that etcd version 3.0 beta is now available.
This document discusses Kube-AWS, which is a tool for deploying Kubernetes clusters on AWS. It outlines the design goals of creating artifacts that are secure, reproducible, and auditable. It then demonstrates "under the hood" how Kube-AWS works by initializing a cluster configuration, rendering assets, deploying the cluster, exporting the deployment details, and making changes to reproduce the cluster. Recent work is noted along with future plans.
Tectonic Summit 2015: Containers Across the Cloud and Data CenterCoreOS
At Tectonic Summit in December 2015, Rob Cornish, CTO of International Securities Exchange, and Paul Morgan, Systems Architect, International Securities Exchange spoke about how they use containers across the cloud and data center.
The last decade belonged to virtual machines and the next one belongs to containers. CoreOS is a new Linux distribution designed specifically for application containers and running them at scale. This talk will examine all the major components of CoreOS (etcd, fleet, docker, systemd) and how these components work together.
Latin America has been strongly affected by the international crisis and recession since late 2008. In comparison to historical experience, how has Latin America coped with the global crisis, which has been the role of different transmission mechanisms, and how have the region's structural and policy conditions affected its sensitivity to foreign shocks? Moreover, what policies can protect the region better from world crises and shocks, and to which extent should it rely on a strategy of close trade and financial integration into a world economy punctuated by shocks and crises? This paper addresses the latter questions in three steps. First, by assessing empirically the sensitivity of growth in the region's seven major economies during 1990-2009 to large number of structural and cyclical factors, based on high-frequency panel-data estimations. Second, by using the latter results to decompose the amplitude of GDP reductions in both recessions according to the individual and combined contribution of the different growth factors. Third, to derive the main implications of the results for the choice of macroeconomic regimes and development strategies.
Authored by: Vittorio Corbo and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel
Published in 2011
This document provides information for a course on international business. It outlines important assessment details including an essay, group presentations, and an exam. It discusses expectations for student engagement, preparation, and seeking help if needed. It also covers various topics to be discussed in tutorials including different legal systems, transition economies, and determinants of economic development relevant to international business. Group project allocations are provided on specific topics to be covered in later weeks.
This document provides an introduction to international accounting. It discusses how international accounting differs from domestic accounting due to factors like differing business practices, regulations, and tax codes between countries. The document also outlines the historical development of international accounting standards and how certain countries influenced other regions. Finally, it discusses contemporary issues in international accounting like the growth of multinational operations, financial innovation, global competition, and the internationalization of capital markets.
The key theme of the report is whether emerging and developed economies will converge or diverge over the decade. It finds that convergence will continue in two areas: market structures and investment approaches. For market structures, 56% expect further convergence in areas like standard of living and market depth. For investment approaches, 32% expect convergence in cognitive aspects of investing, but less in intuitive aspects like buy-and-hold investing. Overall, the report examines whether investor perceptions of emerging markets are changing, what will drive asset prices in emerging and developed economies, and what asset classes will be in most demand.
This document discusses the global financial crisis that began in 2007-2008 and its impacts. It provides background on how the crisis started with the US housing market collapse and spread globally. It then summarizes recent news headlines reflecting ongoing issues and debates around global economic recovery efforts. Charts on international trade flows and GDP statistics by country are also presented.
This article talks about Management strategies for economic and market recovery. It has been co- authored by Dr. Uday Salunkhe, Director of the prestigious Welingkar Institute of Management and Research.
EMERGING ECONOMIES OF THE WORLD 2021 (1).pptxAmarwaha
An emerging market economy is an economy that is in the process of becoming a developed economy.
Emerging market economies typically feature a unified currency, stock market, and backing system, and are in the process of industrializing.
Emerging market economies can offer greater returns to investors due to rapid growth, but also offer greater exposure to some inherent risks due to their status.
The document presents findings from a study on the effect of the 2008 financial crisis on investors' investment patterns in India. The study found that while the crisis impacted some sectors more than others, investors remain optimistic about the long-term growth prospects of both the Indian and US economies. Most preferred future investment sectors included services and savings accounts.
Forex Fundamental Analysis: Practical GuideLucky Gods
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Unlock the secrets of fundamental analysis: Demystify key concepts like interest rates, inflation, GDP, and trade balances, and how they impact currencies.
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Make informed decisions: Gain the confidence to buy, sell, or hold currencies based on your fundamental analysis, not just gut feelings.
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This practical guide is your key to:
Understanding the "why" behind currency movements
Minimizing risk and maximizing potential returns
Building a solid foundation for long-term success in forex trading
No prior knowledge of forex or economics required! "Forex Fundamental Analysis: Practical Guide" starts with the basics and takes you step-by-step through the key concepts, equipping you with the tools you need to navigate the market with confidence.
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Then dive into "Forex Fundamental Analysis: Practical Guide" and start charting your course to forex success!
P.S. Don't forget to grab your bonus resources:
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Case studies of successful fundamental analysis trades for inspiration.
Forum Nexus Finance Class - Brians presentations - FinalBrian David Butler
The document provides an introduction to Brian Butler, the instructor for an international finance class. It outlines the topics that will be covered in the class, including international financial markets, foreign exchange, exchange rate risk management, and the global economic crisis. It emphasizes thinking critically and challenging assumptions.
THIRD QUARTER 2016
RETROSPECTIVE AND PROSPECTIVE
And The Band Played On…
“When democratic governments create economic calamity, free markets get the blame.”-Jack Kemp
“Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason.”- Mark Twain
Thus far, the calamities predicted by the pundits that would result from the Brexit vote to leave the European Union have not been as severe as anticipated. Perhaps this is due to the building geopolitical and economic stresses that have diverted the focus from Brexit to other issues. Furthermore, the impact of Brexit will likely take some time to discern as the trade, migration, political and other ramifications evolve over the coming months and years. Meanwhile, governments globally continue in their efforts to stimulate economic growth with what appears to be diminishing results.
This document provides a summary of Liliana Rojas-Suarez's education and professional experience. She has a PhD in Economics from the University of Western Ontario and has held various positions at institutions like the Inter-American Development Bank, Deutsche Bank, and the International Monetary Fund. Currently she is a Senior Fellow at the Center for Global Development and President of the Latin American Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee. She has published extensively on issues related to Latin American economics and financial systems.
Analysis of the Credit Suisse Asia Corporate Bond FundMuhammad Aqdas
It is looked as to how the Credit Suisse Asia Corporate Bond Fund can be promoted to buyers. The focus is on analyzing and evaluating the world and then specifically the Chinese economic situation, explaining the prospects and challenges ahead and then commenting on how the fund should be promoted based on this analysis.
The Global Risk Nexus: Economics, Politics, Policy & Markets - MSCI Instituti...Jay Pelosky
I use the Global Risk Nexus framework to develop original insights into the investment landscape. Given where we are calendar wise the Politics and Policy sections are definitely worth a look.
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The document discusses different currencies used globally and factors that influence currency exchange rates such as interest rates and economic opportunities in a country. It defines a financial crisis as a rapid fall in the value of one or more currencies, more likely in emerging markets with high foreign currency borrowing. A financial crisis involves investors withdrawing money from savings accounts, an economic downturn, and stock market crashes. Government responses to speculative attacks on a currency include devaluing the exchange rate, intervening in foreign exchange markets, and raising interest rates. The chapter reviews literature on the impact of the global financial crisis on India's GDP and the relative resilience of the Indian economy.
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
This document summarizes the key discussions and conclusions from a conference on challenges and opportunities for Japan in the global economy. The conference highlighted that the global financial crisis requires an international response due to economic interconnectivity. Japan is well positioned to take advantage of opportunities from global turmoil due to its large cash reserves. However, Japan needs to engage more globally and demonstrate leadership on issues like climate change. Its relationship with China is also critical and both countries need to resolve bilateral issues to create a true partnership.
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby...Donc Test
Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition 2024, by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting, 8th Canadian Edition by Libby, Hodge, Verified Chapters 1 - 13, Complete Newest Version Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Solution Manual For Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Chapters Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Ebook Download Stuvia Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Financial Accounting 8th Canadian Edition Pdf Download Stuvia
OJP data from firms like Vicinity Jobs have emerged as a complement to traditional sources of labour demand data, such as the Job Vacancy and Wages Survey (JVWS). Ibrahim Abuallail, PhD Candidate, University of Ottawa, presented research relating to bias in OJPs and a proposed approach to effectively adjust OJP data to complement existing official data (such as from the JVWS) and improve the measurement of labour demand.
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Who Is the Largest Producer of Soybean in India Now.pdf
Francisco J. Larios, Ph.D.
1. FRANCISCO J. LARIOS, PH.D.
16062 SW 43
rd
Terrace ♦ Miami, FL 33185 ♦ Cell: 305.788.6681 ♦ franjlarios@comcast.net
GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS ECONOMIST / STRATEGIST
Expertise in managing the production and delivery of financial, political and economic
information for investment decisions
Summary.
Efficiently manages research teams to develop a framework for fixed income, currency and equity
investments, delivering alpha generating top-down insights and risk profiles.
Successfully applies methodologies rigorously anchored in macroeconomics but which also include a
focus on political and policy trends to perform data-driven analysis of markets, countries, regions and
global trends.
Expert knowledge of a large array of economies: Latin American including but not limited to Mexico,
Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, Ecuador; Asian including China, India , Korea, Indonesia; European
emerging markets including Turkey, Russia, Poland. (Please see Addendum for partial list of reports and
research.)
Succesful, efficient communicator, both in writing and orally, in English and Spanish, with vast
experience presenting to decision-makers in large and small groups, in the US, Latin America and Europe.
Enthusiastic self-starter and efficient team player, manager and product developer, including risk
models and publications.
CORE COMPETENCIES
♦Research Coordination and Management
♦Product Development♦ Client Relationship Management
♦ Sales & Marketing
♦ Macroeconomic, Policy and Risk Analysis ♦Political and Geopolitical Analysis
♦ Global Asset Allocation ♦Fixed Income and Currency Markets
♦Fluent in Spanish and Portuguese. ♦Reading knowledge of French.
2. EXPERIENCE & ACHIEVEMENTS
DECISION ECONOMICS, INC., HQ IN BOSTON, MA ♦ 2001 –NOV 2015
Chief Emerging Markets Economist & Strategist
Directed the Decision Economics Emerging Markets team of up to 5 economists and strategists
accountable for delivering coherent strategic views of the global economy, incorporating a rigorous study
of national economies and markets, political and geo-political shifts, and comparison across regions and
countries.
Delivered strategic financial and economic research and views for use in global investments decisions
through direct communications with 25 major institutional clients, as well as 300 subscribers via email. Met
with prospective clients, driving new revenues while enhancing retention with existing clients.
Communicated views and research results through customized and intensely interactive (frequent 1-on-1
or group phone presentations, individualized emails and visits) and through frequent written publications.
Functioned as media contact for active sales and marketing support in the U.S. and Europe.
FRANCISCO J. LARIOS, PH.D. ♦ Cell: 305.788.6681♦ franjlarios@comcast.net Page Two
Continued….
STANDARD & POOR’S DRI, LEXINGTON, MA ♦ 1995 - 2000
Senior Emerging Markets Economist
Senior member of the World Markets group for macroeconomic forecasting and risk analysis of Emerging
Markets. Macroeconomic forecasting, client presentations, development of Standard & Poor’s DRI country
risk models. Covered Japan and emerging Asia from 1998 through 1999. Developed joint ventures with
Mexican financial-information firms.
RELATED INSTRUCTOR & CONSULTING EXPERIENCE
MIAMI DADE COLLEGE, MIAMI, FL ♦ 2015 - PRESENT
3. Lecturer of Economics and Finance
Teaching undergraduate economics courses.
HUIZENGA SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, NOVA SOUTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY, FORT LAUDERDALE, FL ♦ 2009 -
PRESENT
Adjunct Lecturer of Economics and Finance
Teach Economics in MBA program, Monetary Theory and Policy in undergraduate program.
ANDREAS SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, BARRY UNIVERSITY, MIAMI SHORES, FL ♦ JANUARY 2009 – MAY 2009
Lecturer of Finance
Taught Financial Statement Analysis and Managerial Finance.
PUBLIC SECTOR MANAGEMENT PROGRAM, CENTRAL AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION,
MANAGUA, NICARAGUA ♦ JUNE 1994 – NOVEMBER 1994
Visiting Professor
Taught International Economics and Finance.
EDUCATION
Ph.D. in Economics, Florida International University
REFERENCES
• Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D., Chief Economist, IHS Global Insight, +1 781 354 7913
• Jeff Brummette, Chief Investment Officer, OneWall Advisors, London, UK, +44 20 3205 3350
• Christopher Probyn, Ph.D., Chief Economist, State Street Global Advisors +1 617 786 3000
• Peter A. Sullivan, CPA, CFA, Managing Director, International Fixed Income, Liberty Mutual Group
Asset Management Inc. +1 617 654 3937
• Robert Cruz, Ph.D., Chief Economist, Florida Tax Watch Research Institute, +1 850 222 5052
• John Blank, Ph.D., Chief Equity Strategist at Zacks Investment Research +213-248-5899
4. Francisco J. Larios, Ph.D.
16062 SW 43
rd
Terrace ♦ Miami, FL 33185 ♦ Cell: 305.788.6681 ♦ franjlarios@comcast.net
ADDENDUM
Reports & Research (Partial List)
A Few Thoughts on China’s Stock Market Gyrations—July 7, 2015
Greece, China and the EMs—Is a Crisis Coming?—June 29, 2015
Asian EM Trade: Worsening—Some Implications—June 25, 2015
Turkey’s Monetary Policy: a Long Pause? –June 24, 2015
India’s Monetary Policy: Further Easing Ahead?—June 2, 2015
Brazil’s Q1 GDP: Recession Deepening—May 28, 2015
Mexico’s Q1 GDP: Modest, Steady—and a Few Hopeful Signs—May 21, 2015
Emerging Markets: Some Thoughts on the Outlook—April 9, 2015
China’s February Data: Is the Slowdown Intensifying?—Policy Implications—March 12, 2015
Russia: A Policy Turnaround?—January 30, 2015
Russia: Recession—Default?—December 16, 2014
China’s November Data: Further Deceleration?—December 12, 2014
A Few Thoughts on Brazil’s Elections (II)—November 21, 2014
The Emerging Markets Slowdown: A Recap—October 20, 2014
Emerging Markets: Losing Ground—Some Thoughts and Forecasts—August 12, 2014,
Latin America: Stagnation or Recovery?—Some Thoughts and Forecasts—May 5, 2014
China: Increasing Risks—March 18, 2014
Turkey’s Monetary Policy: Further Tightening?—October 29, 2013
Brazil’s Monetary Policy: How Much Tighter? –October 11, 2013
Mexico’s Real GDP growth: Good News, Bad News—September 23, 2013
India’s Economy: A Crisis?—August 20, 2013
5. Turkey: Is Monetary Policy Too Easy?—August 5, 2013
Korea: Bottoming Out?—July 25, 2013
India’s Monetary Policy: A Stagflation Dilemma?—April 15, 2013
Mexico’s Retail Sales and Monetary Policy—January 14, 2013
India GDP: A Cyclical Bottom?—November 14, 2012
China: Trade Data modestly constructive (Do Other Emerging Markets Matter?)—October 15, 2012
China: A Turning Point?--July 13, 2012
Mexico: A Case of “Show Me the Money”—July 3, 2012
India: Is the RBI Behind the Curve? (II)--May 31, 2012
Argentina: Some Potential Consequences of the YPF Takeover—April 18, 2012
Brazil: Recession? (III)—April 3, 2012
Turkey: Monetary Policy Easing?—February 12, 2012
Korea’s GDP: Anemic, Vulnerable.—January 26, 2012
Brazil: Recession?--December 6, 2011
Korea’s GDP Growth: Stable, Sub-par, Vulnerable--October 27, 2011
China: PMIs, Industrial Activity and Policy--July 21, 2011
Korea’s Monetary Policy: is there really a “war on inflation”?--June 10, 2011
Turkey: Is the current central bank strategy sustainable?--May 27, 2011
Mexico: GDP Slows in First Quarter--May 19, 2011
Turkey: How Vulnerable?--January 13, 2011
Korea’s GDP Growth: Stable, Sub-par, Vulnerable--October 27, 2011
China: A Few Words on Trade and Policy--October 13, 2011
Korea’s Monetary Policy: is there really a “war on inflation”?--June 10, 2011
Turkey: Is the current central bank strategy sustainable?--May 27, 2011
Mexico: Unimpressive Recovery Points to Potential Monetary Policy Easing--November 24, 2010
6. China’s Accelerating Economy: Is a Real Estate Bubble Developing? Policy and Market Implications--
February 5, 2010
Asia’s Near-term Recovery and Long-term Adjustment: Implications for Real Estate and Other Domestic
Activities--November 30, 2009
Brazil versus Central Europe: A Few Notes on Sovereign Risk. November 19, 2009.
Brazil: The New Tax on Capital Inflows is Unlikely to Have Major Effect. October 21, 2009.
China: The Export-Weak Recovery and the Long March to Normalization. October 14, 2009
Emerging Markets: The Next Phase. October 9, 2009.
Turkey: Monetary Policy and Growth Outlook. September 18, 2009.
South Korea: A V-Shaped Recovery? July 24, 2009
China’s Stimulus Plan: Off to a Good Start. July 16, 2009
Brazil’s GDP: Is a V-Shaped Recovery in Store? June 9, 2009
Emerging Markets after the Crisis: Removing the Proverbial Punch Bowl. May 4, 2009.
China and India: Where Has the Consumer Gone? June 30, 2009
Mexico: Swine Flue Epidemic. April 27, 2009.
Emerging Markets after the Crisis: Removing the Proverbial Punch Bowl. May 4, 2009.
A Few Thoughts On Recent Emerging Markets Data: Has The Recession Bottomed? May 27, 2009
Brazil: Monetary Easing Likely to Accelerate. March 10, 2009
China: Industrial Output, Sales, and the Stimulus Program. March 12, 2009.
South Korea: A Light at the End of the Deep Tunnel. April 24, 2009
China and India: Contrasting Global Crisis Consequences and Policy Responses, February 20, 2009
Malaysia’s inflation and Bank Negara’s policy. July 23, 2008
Emerging Markets: Trends, Risks, Investment Themes. July 8, 2008
The Spreading Credit Crisis: What EMGs are more vulnerable? September 9, 2008
Some notes on Chinese banks´ exposure to US financial problems. September 18, 2008
7. Emerging Markets: Is a Recession in the Horizon? September 22, 2008
Emerging Markets Currencies, Debt and Financial Risk after the October Crash. October 20, 2008
US Fed Swap Lines for Key Emerging Markets. October 28, 2008
Some Potential Consequences of China’s Economic Stimulus Package. November 10, 2008
Indonesia: Will Its Economy Outperform Emerging Asia? November 17, 2008
Taiwan: Indicators Show Deepening Slump. November 24, 2008
Taiwan: Economy in Recession. November 20, 2008
Philippines: Economy Remains Resilient, Central Bank Eases. January 29, 2009
India: Will Monetary Policy and Oil Prices Choke Expansion? U.S., Global, and India Economic and Market
Perspectives-- July, 2006
India: Economy Surprises on the Upside, But Equities Might Continue to Languish, U.S., Global, and India
Economic and Market Perspectives. June, 2006
Indian Stocks: fundamentals are strong, but risks are on the rise, U.S., Global, and India Economic and
Market Perspectives. May, 2006
India: Will The RBI Postpone Tightening? U.S., Global, and India Economic and Market Perspectives--
January, 2007
Brazil—Why a Near-Term Sovereign Default Is Unlikely; What Could Still Trigger It. October 2002
Turkey: The Elections and Political Risk. September 13, 2002
Hong Kong: Short and Medium Term Risks Increasing. August 23, 2002
The Impact of Japanese Macroeconomic Policy on Emerging Asia. February 15, 2002
Korea: Corporate Reform and the Elections. May 3, 2002
Emerging Markets: Likely Winners And Losers in The Aftermath of The U.S. War Against Iraq. March 19,
2003
Philippines: Central Bank Keeping Policy Options Open. May 6, 2005
Focus on South African Monetary Policy Outlook. June 10, 2005
8. Czech Koruna: Economic Fundamentals Cloud The Horizon. November 22, 2003
Emerging Markets: Likely Winners And Losers in The Aftermath of The U.S. War Against Iraq. March 19,
2003
Turkey: The Elections and Political Risk. September 13, 2002
Argentina: The End of Convertibility—Will The New System Last? January 4, 2002
Thailand: An Update On Economic Trends And Macroeconomic Policy. August 8, 2001
Hungary: An Update. December 10, 2001
Argentina: Summary Overview of the Likely Outcomes and Consequences of the Crisis. July 30, 2001
Argentina: Why the Cavallo Plan Will Fail. May 21, 2001