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ISSN 1810-6358




វិទ              នបណ្ណុះប                    ល និង ្រ               វ្រ        វេដើម្បីអភិវឌ្ឍន៍កម្ពុ
                     CDRI—Cambodia’s leading independent
                      development policy research institute




      រ           យ                រណ៍ថ្មីៗស្តីពីេសដ្ឋកិច្ចកម្ពុ
    Flash Report on the Cambodian Economy

                                    វចឆក ២០១១ ¼
                                     ិ ិ                     November 2011

                                                រតន វឌ ន
                                                 ័      ¼ Roth Vathana
                                                 អ៊ន វមល ¼ Ourn Vimoil
                                                   ួ ិ



                                          បកែ បេ     យ៖ យូ សិទីរទធ និង េខង េសង
                                                               ធ ិ




                                                    ភនេពញ កមពុជ
                                                      ំ




                                 Phnom Penh, Cambodia

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 Office address: #56, Street 315, Tuol Kork, Phnom Penh, Cambodia; postal address: CDRI, PO Box 622 Phnom Penh, Cambodia;
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Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011
                     របក្រ     យ         ងសំ     ន់ៗ                               Highlights

របយករណេនះ
      ៍              បក      យពីសូចនករេសដកិចសំខន់ៗរបស់កមពុជ
                                            ច
                                                                This report highlights a number of economic
                                                                indicators of Cambodia and its partners. It
នងប
 ិ         បេទសៃដគូពណជជកមម
                     ិ                   េ យេធករេ ប បេធ បតួេលខ compares recent figures with those of earlier
កនុងែខថមីៗេនះ ជមួយនងែខមុនៗ។
                   ឹ                                            periods.

េន តមសទី២ ឆ២០១១ កម បក អភវឌ ន៍កមពុជ មនមនអនុមត
    ី      នំ       ឹ   ិ           ិ      ័                        In the second quarter of 2011, there were no new
                                                                    fixed asset investments in agriculture approved by
វនិេយគគិតជ ទពយសកមមជប់
 ិ                                ប់ថីម កនុងវស័យកសិកមមេទ។ េនែខ
                                             ិ
                                                                    the Council for the Development of Cambodia. In
កញ ចំនួនេភញ វេទសចរបរេទសសរុបមកដល់កមពុជ ធក់ចុះ ១៦%
  ញ                                                                 September, total foreign arrivals to Cambodia
េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម ២០៩.៨០៤នក់។ េភញ វេទសចរមកស មក
                 ឹ                                                  dropped by 16 percent from a month earlier, to
                                                                    209,804. Visitors for holidays decreased by 18
លំ ែហ ធក់ចុះ ១៨% មក តឹម ១៩៤.៤៨៥នក់ នង េភញ វមក
                                    ិ                               percent to 194,485 and other arrivals by 5.8
កនុងបំណងេផ ងៗេទ ត ធក់ចុះ ៥.៨% មក តម   ឹ                ២៦១៨នក់។     percent to 2618. Business arrivals went up by 8.8
           ំ
េភញ វមកេធជនួញ េកន ៨.៨% ដល់ ១២.៧០១នក់។
                                                                   percent to 12,701.

េនែខសី           តៃមអនុមតិគេ មង                   In August the value of villa and house construction
                                       ងសង់ភូមិ គះ និងផទះ េនទី កង
                                                 ឹ
                                                  approvals in Phnom Penh rose by 627 percent
ភនេពញ េកន ៦២៧% េធ បនឹងែខមុន ដល់ ៨០,៨ នដុ រ េហយ compared to the preceding month, to USD80.8 m,
  ំ
តៃមអនុមតិគេ មង ងសង់េផ ងៗេទ ត េកន ២៤% ដល់ ១៥,៥ and “other” rose by 24 percent to USD15.5 m. The
    នដុ រ។ តៃមអនុមតិគេ មងផទះែលង ធក់ចុះ ៦៣% មក តឹម value of flats went down by 63 percent to
                                                  USD20.7 m.
២០,៧       នដុ      រ។
                                                        In August, the Phnom Penh consumer price index
េនែខសី           សនទស ន៍ៃថទំនិញេ ប បស់េនទី កងភមេពញ ( គប់មុខ
                                                ំ       (all items) rose by 6.4 percent year on year. The
ទំនិញ) េកន ៦,៤% េធ បនឹងមួយឆមុន។ ៃថ
                              នំ            រ និងេភសជជៈ prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages went
មនមនជតិ       េកន ៧,៦% ៃថ ន ក់េន និងទឹកេភង េកន ៤,០%
                                                        up by 7.6 percent, housing and utilities by 4.0
    ិ                                     
                                                        percent and household furnishings and operations
េហយៃថដំេណករ និងសមរៈបំពក់កុ ងផទះ េកន ២,១%។ េនែខតុ
                   ភ      ន                           by 2.1 percent. In October the price of diesel fuel
មស៊ូត ធក់ៃថ ២,៦% េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តឹម ៤៨៤៦,៨េរ ល/លី ត dropped 2.6 percent from the previous month, to
  ៉
េហយ េ បង ំ ង ធក់ៃថ ២,៤% មក តឹម ៥១៩៧,១េរ ល/លី ត។
                                                        KHR4846.8/litre and of gasoline by 2.4 percent to
                                                        KHR5197.1/litre.
េនែខតុ         អ     បូរ បក់េរ លេនទីផ រ ធក់ៃថ ០,៥% ទល់នឹង
                                                   In October market exchange rate of the riel
 បក់ដុ     រ េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម ៤១០១,៨េរ ល/ដុ
                              ឹ                         រ ។ េនែខ
                                                   depreciated against the dollar by 0.5 percent from
ដែដល បក់េរ ល េឡងៃថ ០,២% ទល់នឹង បក់បតៃថ និង េឡងៃថ a month earlier, to KHR4101.8 per dollar. In the
                                                   same period, the riel appreciated against the Thai
០,១% ទល់នឹង បក់ដុងេវ ត ម។
                                                   baht by 0.2 percent and by 0.1 percent against the
                                                   Vietnamese dong.
េនែខសី         ករនំចូលសមរៈសំ ណង់ ធក់ចុះ ១,៧% េធ បនងែខមុន
                        ភ                         ឹ
មក តម ៣,៨
    ឹ               នដុ   រ េហយករនំចូលែដកែថប ធក់ចុះ ៥២%
                                                                   In August, imports of construction equipment
មក តម ៣,៤           នដុ   រ។ ករនំចូលសុ ី មងត៍ េកន ១,៥% ដល់
                                          ៉ ់                       decreased by 1.7 percent from the preceding
    ឹ                                           
                                                                    month to USD3.8 m and of steel by 52 percent to
៤,៨      នដុ     រ េហយករនំចូលេ បងមស៊ូត ធក់ចុះ ៩,៧% មក តម
                                 ៉                    ឹ            USD3.4 m. Imports of cement increased by 1.5
៣៨,៩      នដុ       រ នងករនំចូលមស៊ូតេខ ធក់ចុះ ២៧% មក តឹម
                       ិ        ៉     ម                             percent to USD4.8 m. Imports of diesel oil
៥,៩      នដុ     រ។ ករនំចូលេ បង        ំង េកន ៦,៨% ដល់ ២៥,៤   ន    dropped by 9.7 percent to USD38.9 m and of fuel
                                                                    oil by 27 percent to USD5.9 m. Imports of
ដុ     រ។ េនែខដែដល ករនំេចញសំ េល កបំពក់ ( គប់ បេភទ) ធក់              gasoline went up by 6.8 percent to USD25.4 m. In
ចុះ ១៥% មក តម ៣៧២,១
            ឹ                    នដុ     រ េហយករនំេចញែសបកេជង
                                                                   the same month, exports of clothing (all kinds)
ធក់ចុះ ២២% មក តម ២៣,២              នដុ     រ នងករនំេចញផលិតផល        decreased by 15 percent to USD372.1 m, of shoes
               ឹ                              ិ
                                                                    by 22 percent to USD23.2 m and of other textile
     យនភ័ណេផ ងៗ ធក់ចុះ ១០% មក តម ៥,១
                               ឹ                 នដុ   រ។           products by 10 percent to USD5.1 m.

េនែខឧសភ            បក់ចំណលចរនសរុបរបស់រ
                         ូ                     ភបល ធក់ចុះ ២០%
                                                ិ
                                          In May total government current revenue dropped
មក តម
    ឹ      ៤៧៤,៥ពន់                    ឹ  by 20 percent from a month earlier to KHR474.5
                             នេរ លេធ បនងមួយែខមុន។        ពនធនចូល
                                                             ំ
                                          bn. Import and export taxes increased by 11
នងនំេចញ េកនេឡង ១១% ដល់ ៩៣,៦ពន់ នេរ ល េហយ
 ិ                                    
                                          percent to KHR93.6 bn and non-tax revenues by
 បក់ចំណលមនែមនពនធ េកន ៣៤% ដល់ ៧៨ពន់ នេរ ល។ 34 percent to KHR78 bn. Revenues from domestic
       ូ ិ         




                                                                    Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 2
Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011
 បក់ចំណលពនធកុ ង សក ធក់ចុះ ៣៣% មក តម ៣០៣ពន់
       ូ      ន                   ឹ                                              ន   taxes decreased by 33 percent to KHR303 bn. In
                                                                                     the same month, total current expenditure went up
េរ ល។ េនែខដែដល ចំ                      យចរនសរុប េកនេឡង ៤,៨% ដល់
                                                                                     by 4.8 percent to KHR353.2 bn, of which
៣៥៣,២ពន់               នេរ ល េហយចំ
                                                  យជឧបតថមភធន នងជំនួយខង
                                                               ិ                     expenditure on subsidies and social assistance
សងគមកិចច េកន ៥៦% ដល់ ១២១,៧ពន់
                                                            នេរ ល។ ចំ      យេល     increased by 56 percent to KHR121.7 bn. Wages
                                                                                     expenditure dropped by 9.2 percent to KHR145 bn
េប វត រ ៍ ធក់ចុះ ៩,២% មក តឹម ១៤៥ពន់                          នេរ ល េហយចំ        យ
                                                                                     and other services by 13 percent to KHR86.4 bn.
េលេស កមមេផ ងៗ ធក់ចុះ ១៣% មក តម ៨៦,៤ពន់
                              ឹ                                         នេរ ល។
                                                                                     In August in Thailand prices of rice decreased by
េនែខសី       េន បេទសៃថ អងករធក់ៃថ ១២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម
                                                      ឹ                              12 percent compared to the previous month to
៥៨២,៨ដុ          រ/េ     ន េកស៊ូ ធក់ៃថ ១,៣% មក តម ៤២៤៤,៧
                                                ឹ                                    USD582.8/tonne, of rubber by 1.3 percent to
                                                                                     USD4244.7/tonne and of maize and maize
ដុ   រ/េ   ន េហយ េពតនិងផលិតផលេធពីេពត ធក់ៃថ ២,៤%
                                                                                    products by 2.4 percent to USD439.3/tonne. In the
មក តម ៤៣៩,៣ដុ
    ឹ                      រ/េ    ន។ េនែខដែដល េន បេទសេវ ត                        ម   same period in Vietnam, prices of rice increased
អងករ េឡងៃថ ៤,០% ដល់ ៥១៧ដុ                      រ/េ    ន និង គប់        យចនទី េឡង   by 4.0 percent to USD517/tonne and of cashew
                                                                                     nuts by 2.3 percent to USD9095/tonne, while
ៃថ ២,៣% ដល់ ៩០៩៥ដុ                     រ/េ     ន សបេពលែដលេកស៊ូ ធក់ៃថ
                                                                                     rubber dropped by 0.1 percent to USD4247/tonne.
០,១% មក តម ៤២៤៧ដុ
         ឹ                         រ/េ       ន។
                                                                                     In August, Thai exports of rice dropped by 8.2
េនែខសី           ករនំេចញអងករេនៃថ ធក់ចុះ ៨,២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន                            percent from the preceding month to USD590.3 m.
មក តម       ៥៩០,៣          នដុ     រ។         ករនំេចញេកស៊ូធមមជតិ            នងជ័រ    Exports of natural rubber and similar natural gums
    ឹ                                                                        ិ
                                                                                     went up by 5.4 percent to USD1128.4 m (74
ធមមជតិ េកន ៥,៤% ដល់ ១១២៨,៤                            នដុ     រ (៧៤% េធ បនឹង        percent year on year) and maize and maize
មួយឆមុន) នង ករនំេចញេពត និងផលិតផលេធពីេពត េកន ១៧%
    នំ    ិ                                                                          products by 17 percent to USD12.3 m (68 percent
ដល់ ១២,៣           នដុ     រ (៦៨% េធ បនឹងមួយឆមន)។ កនុងែខេនះែដរ
                                             នំ ុ                                    year on year). In the same period, Vietnam’s
                                                                                     exports of rice increased 22 percent from the
េនេវ ត       ម ករនំេចញអងករ េកនេឡង ២២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន ដល់
                                                                                    previous month to USD395 m, of rubber by 1.2
៣៩៥        នដុ         រ ករនំេចញេកស៊ូ េកន ១,២% ដល់ ៣៤៤
                                                                                ន   percent to USD344 m and of cashew nuts by 13
ដុ   រ នងករនំេចញ គប់                   យចនទី េកន ១៣% ដល់ ១៩១                    ន   percent to USD191 m.
        ិ
ដុ   រ។                                                                              In September, US exports increased by 2.0 percent
                                                                                     from the preceding month to USD129.3 bn and
េនែខកញ ករនំេចញរបស់សហរដ
      ញ                                            េមរក េកន ២,០% េធ បនឹង
                                                      ិ                              Japan’s by 13 percent to USD77.6 bn. Exports of
ែខមុន ដល់១២៩,៣ពន់                នដុ         រ េហយករនំេចញរបស់ជប៉ុន េកន
                                                                                    the euro zone dropped by 5.2 percent to USD212.3
                                                                                     bn. In August Malaysian exports went down 0.7
១៣% ដល់ ៧៧,៦ពន់                  នដុ         រ។ ករនំេចញរបស់តំបន់អឺរូ ៉ ធក់ចុះ
                                                                                     percent to USD19.6 bn and imports 4.1 percent to
៥,២% មក តម ២១២,៣ពន់
         ឹ                                   នដុ      រ។ េនែខសី          ករនំេចញ     USD16 bn.
របស់មេឡសុ ី ធក់ចុះ ០,៧% មក តម ១៩,៦ពន់
     ៉                      ឹ                                      នដុ     រ េហយ
                                                      In August, inflation in the US was 3.8 percent and
ករនំចូល ធក់ចុះ ៤,១% មក តម ១៦ពន់
                        ឹ                                    នដុ   រ។
                                                      0.2 percent in Japan. Inflation in the euro zone
                                                      remained unchanged. In the same period, inflation
េនែខសី    អតិផរ     េនសហរដ េមរក មន ៣,៨% និង េនជប៉ុន
                                  ិ                   in China was 6.2 percent and 5.7 percent in Hong
០,២% ឯេនតំបន់អឺរូ ៉ េនេថរ។ កនុងែខេនះែដរ អតិផរ េន បេទស Kong, a 2.2 percentage point decrease compared to
ចន គឺ ៦,២% េហយេនហុងកុង ៥,៧% ឬ ធក់ចុះ ២,២ឯក ភគរយ a month earlier. Inflation in South Korea was 5.3
 ិ
                                                      percent.
េធ បនឹងែខមុន។ អតិផរ              េនកូេរខងតបូង មនក មត ៥,៣%។
                                       ៉           ិ
                                                                                     In October, the prices of soybeans (US No. 1)
េនែខតុ       សែណកេស ង (US No. 1) ធក់ៃថ ៨,៤% មក តម
                                                ឹ                                    dropped by 8.4 percent compared to the previous
៤៦៧,៤ដុ          រ/េ     ន េពត (US No.2) ធក់ៃថ ១០% មក តម
                                                       ឹ                             month, to USD467.4/tonne, of maize (US No. 2)
២៧៤,៨ដុ          រ/េ     ន និងេកស៊ូ (SMR 5) ធក់ៃថ ៩,២% មក តម
                                                                                     by 10 percent to USD274.8/tonne and of rubber
                                                           ឹ
                                                                                     (SMR 5) by 9.2 percent to USD4149.2/tonne. In
៤១៤៩,២ដុ           រ/េ    ន។ េនែខដែដល េ បងេឆ (OPEC spot)                             the same month, the price of crude oil (OPEC
ធក់ៃថ ០,៧% មក តម ១០៩,៧ដុ
               ឹ                                      រ/ធុង េហយេ បង
                                                                          ំង (US    spot)    decreased     by     0.7   percent     to
Gulf Coast) ធក់ៃថ ០,៧% មក តឹម ០,៧១ដុ                                    រ/លី ត នង
                                                                                     USD109.7/barrel, of gasoline (US Gulf Coast) by
                                                                                ិ
                                                                                     0.7 percent to USD0.71/litre and of diesel (low
េ បងមស៊ូត (low sulphur No. 2) ធក់ៃថ ៣,៤% មក តឹម ០,៧៥
     ៉                                                                               sulphur No. 2) by 3.4 percent to USD0.75/litre.
ដុ   រ/លី ត។




                                                                                     Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 3
Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011
                                                                                      សកម្ម                      ពេសដ្ឋកចសំ
                                                                                                                        ិ ្ច                                            ន់ៗ និង ៃថ្លទនិញេ
                                                                                                                                                                                     ំ                                                                       កម្ពុ
                                     Main Economic Activities and Consumer Prices in Cambodia
                 Fixed Asset Investment Approvals by CDC                                                                                                                                                                          Foreign Visitor Arrivals
                                 Agriculture                                                                                                                                                                                      July 2010-September 2011
                              2008 Q3–2011 Q2                                                                                                                                                              600
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Other
                        300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Business
                                                                                                                                                                                                           500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Holiday
                        250

                                                                                                                                                                                                           400




                                                                                                                                                                            000 persons
                        200
         USD m




                                                                                                                                                                                                           300
                        150                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                12                   3
                                                                                                                                                                                                           200                                       10                                                                                                                                      13
                        100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10
                                                                                                                     41.4                                                                                  100                                                                                                                                                                       194
                        50                                                                                                                                                                                                                        153
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        236
                                                                           0.0                                                                    4.1 0.0
                            0                                                                                                                                                                                   0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Nov 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       May 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jul 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sep 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sep 11
                                         08Q3

                                                  08Q4

                                                                   09Q1

                                                                               09Q2

                                                                                      09Q3

                                                                                                 09Q4

                                                                                                          10Q1

                                                                                                                     10Q2

                                                                                                                                 10Q3

                                                                                                                                        10Q4

                                                                                                                                                     11Q1

                                                                                                                                                              11Q2
Including expansion projects.
Source: Council for the Development of Cambodia                                                                                                                            Source: Ministry of Tourism
     Phnom Penh: Value of Construction Approvals                                                                                                                                                                             CPI: Consumer Price Index
               June 2010–August 2011                                                                                                                                                                                           June 2010–August 2011
                  140                                                                                                                                                                           175
                                                                                           Other
                                                                                                                                                            15.5
                                                                                           Flats
                  120                                                                                                                                                                           160
                                                                                           Villas & houses

                  100                                                                                                                                                                           145
                                                                                                                                                            20.7

                  80
 USD m




                                                                                                                                                                                                130


                  60
                                                                                                                                                                                                115

                  40                                                                                                                                        80.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                100
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jun 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sep 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Feb 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mar 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    May 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jun 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jul 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Aug 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Nov 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Dec 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jul 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Aug 11
                  20


                   0
                            Jun 10



                                                Aug 10



                                                                      Oct 10



                                                                                       Dec 10



                                                                                                        Feb 11




                                                                                                                                         Jun 11



                                                                                                                                                             Aug 11
                                                                                                                        Apr 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                All items                                                                                                   Food & non-alcoholic beverages

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Clothing and footwear                                                                                       Housing and utilities

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Household furnishings and operations


Source: Municipality of Phnom Penh                                                                                                                                         Source: CDRI
                  Phnom Penh: Gasoline & Diesel Prices                                                                                                                                         Interest Rates on 12-Month Bank Loans (%)
                          August 2010–October 2011                                                                                                                                                         May 2010–July 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                      25
                                                                                                                                                              5197




                   6000


                   5000                                                                                                                                                                               20
                                                                                                                                                                             Percentage Per Annum
                                                                                                                                                             4847




                   4000
                                                                                                                                                                                                      15
 Riels/ℓ




                   3000
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10

                   2000

                                                                                                                                                                                                       5
                   1000                                           Diesel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Riel loan rate
                                                                  Gasoline
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Dollar loan rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                       0
                        0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                May 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Sep 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Nov 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mar 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  May 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul 11
                                                         Oct 10


                                                                           Dec 10


                                                                                            Feb 11


                                                                                                            Apr 11


                                                                                                                            Jun 11




                                                                                                                                                               Oct 11
                                     Aug 10




                                                                                                                                            Aug 11




Source: CDRI                                                                                                                                                               Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC




                                                                                                                                                                            Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 4
Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011
                                                                                           ន                  ពអ្រ                         ប្តូរ្រ                   ក់ និង ជំនួយអភិវឌ្ឍន៍ពីេ្រ                                                                  ្របេទស
                                                      Exchange Rates and External Development Assistance
                                         Riels per US Dollar                                                                                                                                                                              Riels per THB & VND
                                      August 2010–October 2011                                                                                                                                                                           August 2010–October 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     142                                                                                                                                 26
                4300




                                               4202
                4250                                                                                                                                                                                                 138                                                                                                                                 25




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                132.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     132.5
                4200                                                                                                                                                                                                 134                                                                                                                                 24




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   KHR per VDN100
                                                                                                                                                                                       4102
                4150




                                                                                                                                                                                                KHR per Baht
                                               4185




                                                                                                                                                                           4083
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     130                                                                                                                                 23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Thai baht (left)
                4100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Vietnamese dong (right)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     126                                                                                                                                 22

                4050




                                                                                                                                                                                       4085
                                                                                                                                                                            4077
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     122                                                                                                                                 21
                4000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    19.7

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               19.6
                                                                      Market rate
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     118                                                                                                                                 20
                3950                                                  Official rate

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     114                                                                                                                                 19
                3900




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Oct 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Dec 10


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Feb 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Oct 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Aug 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Apr 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jun 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Aug 11
                            Aug 10


                                                Oct 10


                                                                      Dec 10


                                                                                                 Feb 11


                                                                                                                       Apr 11


                                                                                                                                           Jun 11


                                                                                                                                                                  Aug 11


                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct 11
Source: National Bank of Cambodia                                                                                                                                                              Source: National Bank of Cambodia

                                               Monetary Survey (%)                                                                                                                                                                                Domestic Credit (%)
                                               May 2010–July 2011                                                                                                                                                                                 May 2010–July 2011
     100                                                                                                                                                                                                   140

       80                                                                                                                                                                                                  120

                                                                                                                                                                                                           100
       60
                                                                                                                                                                                                               80
       40
                                                                                                                                                                                                               60
       20
                                                                                                                                                                                                               40

            0                                                                                                                                                                                                  20

      -20                                                                                                                                                                                                       0

                                                                                                                                                                                                               -20
      -40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       May 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sep 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Nov 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mar 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             May 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jan 11
                   May 10




                                                                                        Nov 10



                                                                                                              Jan 11




                                                                                                                                                         May 11
                                      Jul 10



                                                             Sep 10




                                                                                                                                  Mar 11




                                                                                                                                                                                  Jul 11




                                                                        Annualised growth rate (M2)                                                                                                                                                    Annualised change in domestic credit
                                                                        Annualised growth rate (M1)                                                                                                                                                    Annualised change in private sector credit
                                                                        Growth over the previous 12 months (M2)                                                                                                                                        Previous 12 months' growth in domestic credit



Source: National Bank of Cambodia                                                                                                                                                              Source: National Bank of Cambodia
                                                Monetary Operations                                                                                                                             External Development Assistance Disbursement
                                                May 2010–July 2011                                                                                                                                     Top Five Development Assistance
                   23000                                                                                                                                                                                         2005–2009
                   20000                                                                                                                                                                                             180
                   17000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     150
                   14000

                   11000                                                                                                                                                                                             120
                                                                                                                                                                                                KHR bn
   KHR bn




                       8000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      90
                       5000
                       2000                                                                                                                                                                                           60
                    -1000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      30
                    -4000

                    -7000                                                                                                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2005



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2006



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2007



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2008



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2009




                  -10000
                                     May 10




                                                                                                     Nov 10



                                                                                                                         Jan 11




                                                                                                                                                              May 11
                                                         Jul 10



                                                                               Sep 10




                                                                                                                                           Mar 11




                                                                                                                                                                                   Jul 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Transportation                                                    Health
                                          Liquidity                                              Net Foreign Assets                                 Private Sector Credit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Governance & Administration                                       Education
                                          Government Deposits                                    Other                                                                                                                          Agriculture


Source: National Bank of Cambodia                                                                                                                                                              Source: Cambodia Aid Effectiveness Report 2009, CDC




                                                                                                                                                                                                Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 5
Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011
                                                                     ណិជកម្មេ្រ
                                                                        ្ជ                    ្របេទស និង                               រអនុវត្តថវិ                                   តិ
                                            External Trade and National Budget Operations
                          Cambodian Total Imports                                                                                                            Cambodian Total Exports
                            June 2010–August 2011                                                                                                             June 2010–August 2011
          25                                                                                                                             500

                                                                     Steel                                                                                    Other textile products
                                                                                                                                         450
                                                                                                                                                              Shoes                                                                                   5.1
                                                                     Cement
          20                                                                                                                             400                  Clothing (all kinds)
                                                                     Construction equipment                                                                                                                                                                    23.2
                                                                                                                                         350

          15                                                                                                                             300
                                                                                                               3.39
 USD m




                                                                                                                              USD m
                                                                                                                                         250

          10                                                                                                                             200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      372.1
                                                                                                                                         150
                                                                                                               4.84
           5                                                                                                                             100

                                                                                                                                          50
                                                                                                                3.83
           0                                                                                                                                  0
                Jun 10



                            Aug 10



                                            Oct 10



                                                          Dec 10



                                                                       Feb 11



                                                                                  Apr 11



                                                                                             Jun 11



                                                                                                               Aug 11




                                                                                                                                                    Jun 10



                                                                                                                                                                 Aug 10



                                                                                                                                                                            Oct 10



                                                                                                                                                                                          Dec 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                     Feb 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jun 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aug 11
Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC                                                                                Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC
                               Imports: Energy                                                                                                             Current Budget Operations
                            June 2010–August 2011                                                                                                           March 2010–May 2011
          60                                                                                                                            400
                                     Gasoline (E.A)
                                                                                                                                        350
                                     Diesel (D.O)
          50                         Fuel oil (FO)                                                                                      300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    254.7
                                                                                                                                        250
          40
                                                                                                                            KHR bn
 USD m




                                                                                                                                        200

          30                                                                                                                            150                                                                                                                    121.3

                                                                                                                                        100
          20
                                                                                                                                         50
                                                                                                                                                                4.9
                                                                                                                                          0
          10
                                                                                                                                         -50

           0                                                                                                                            -100
                                             Oct 10



                                                           Dec 10



                                                                        Feb 11
                Jun 10



                             Aug 10




                                                                                   Apr 11



                                                                                               Jun 11



                                                                                                                 Aug 11




                                                                                                                                                  Mar 10



                                                                                                                                                                May 10



                                                                                                                                                                            Jul 10



                                                                                                                                                                                            Sep 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                        Nov 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               May 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan 11


Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC                                                                                Source: MEF Bulletin
                           Current Budget Revenue                                                                                                     Current Budget Expenditure
                            March 2010–May 2011                                                                                                         March 2010–May 2011
          800                                                                                                                           700
                                         Non-tax                                                                                                                  Other services
                                         Import and Export taxes
          700                                                                                                                                                     Subsidies and social assistance
                                                                                                                                        600
                                         Domestic taxes
                                                                                                          58                                                      Wages
          600
                                                                                                                                        500

          500                 79                                                                                   78
                                                                                                         84                             400
 KHR bn




                                                                                                                              KHR bn




          400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    86

                                                                                                                                        300
                             80                                                                                     94
          300
                                                                                                         450
                                                                                                                                        200                                                                                                                      122
          200
                            307
                                                                                                                 303                    100
          100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                145

           0                                                                                                                              0
                                                                                                                                                                            Jul 10
                                                                                                                                                                May 10




                                                                                                                                                                                            Sep 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                         Nov 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                May 11
                                                                                                                                                  Mar 10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mar 11
                 Mar 10



                             May 10



                                             Jul 10



                                                            Sep 10



                                                                         Nov 10



                                                                                    Jan 11



                                                                                                Mar 11



                                                                                                                  May 11




Source: MEF Bulletin                                                                                                       Source: MEF Bulletin




                                                                                                                            Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 6
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights
ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights

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ISSN 1810-6358 Cambodia Economic Flash Report Highlights

  • 1. ISSN 1810-6358 វិទ នបណ្ណុះប ល និង ្រ វ្រ វេដើម្បីអភិវឌ្ឍន៍កម្ពុ CDRI—Cambodia’s leading independent development policy research institute រ យ រណ៍ថ្មីៗស្តីពីេសដ្ឋកិច្ចកម្ពុ Flash Report on the Cambodian Economy វចឆក ២០១១ ¼ ិ ិ November 2011 រតន វឌ ន ័ ¼ Roth Vathana អ៊ន វមល ¼ Ourn Vimoil ួ ិ បកែ បេ យ៖ យូ សិទីរទធ និង េខង េសង ធ ិ ភនេពញ កមពុជ ំ Phnom Penh, Cambodia TO SUBSCRIBE, PLEASE CONTACT: Office address: #56, Street 315, Tuol Kork, Phnom Penh, Cambodia; postal address: CDRI, PO Box 622 Phnom Penh, Cambodia; tel: (855-23) 881-384/881-701/881-916/883-603 ; fax: (855-23) 880-734 ; email: pubs@cdri.org.kh; website: http://www.cdri.org.kh
  • 2. Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011 របក្រ យ ងសំ ន់ៗ Highlights របយករណេនះ ៍ បក យពីសូចនករេសដកិចសំខន់ៗរបស់កមពុជ ច This report highlights a number of economic indicators of Cambodia and its partners. It នងប ិ បេទសៃដគូពណជជកមម ិ េ យេធករេ ប បេធ បតួេលខ compares recent figures with those of earlier កនុងែខថមីៗេនះ ជមួយនងែខមុនៗ។ ឹ periods. េន តមសទី២ ឆ២០១១ កម បក អភវឌ ន៍កមពុជ មនមនអនុមត ី នំ ឹ ិ ិ ័ In the second quarter of 2011, there were no new fixed asset investments in agriculture approved by វនិេយគគិតជ ទពយសកមមជប់ ិ ប់ថីម កនុងវស័យកសិកមមេទ។ េនែខ ិ the Council for the Development of Cambodia. In កញ ចំនួនេភញ វេទសចរបរេទសសរុបមកដល់កមពុជ ធក់ចុះ ១៦% ញ September, total foreign arrivals to Cambodia េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម ២០៩.៨០៤នក់។ េភញ វេទសចរមកស មក ឹ dropped by 16 percent from a month earlier, to 209,804. Visitors for holidays decreased by 18 លំ ែហ ធក់ចុះ ១៨% មក តឹម ១៩៤.៤៨៥នក់ នង េភញ វមក ិ percent to 194,485 and other arrivals by 5.8 កនុងបំណងេផ ងៗេទ ត ធក់ចុះ ៥.៨% មក តម ឹ ២៦១៨នក់។ percent to 2618. Business arrivals went up by 8.8 ំ េភញ វមកេធជនួញ េកន ៨.៨% ដល់ ១២.៧០១នក់។  percent to 12,701. េនែខសី តៃមអនុមតិគេ មង In August the value of villa and house construction ងសង់ភូមិ គះ និងផទះ េនទី កង ឹ approvals in Phnom Penh rose by 627 percent ភនេពញ េកន ៦២៧% េធ បនឹងែខមុន ដល់ ៨០,៨ នដុ រ េហយ compared to the preceding month, to USD80.8 m, ំ តៃមអនុមតិគេ មង ងសង់េផ ងៗេទ ត េកន ២៤% ដល់ ១៥,៥ and “other” rose by 24 percent to USD15.5 m. The នដុ រ។ តៃមអនុមតិគេ មងផទះែលង ធក់ចុះ ៦៣% មក តឹម value of flats went down by 63 percent to USD20.7 m. ២០,៧ នដុ រ។ In August, the Phnom Penh consumer price index េនែខសី សនទស ន៍ៃថទំនិញេ ប បស់េនទី កងភមេពញ ( គប់មុខ ំ (all items) rose by 6.4 percent year on year. The ទំនិញ) េកន ៦,៤% េធ បនឹងមួយឆមុន។ ៃថ នំ រ និងេភសជជៈ prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages went មនមនជតិ េកន ៧,៦% ៃថ ន ក់េន និងទឹកេភង េកន ៤,០% up by 7.6 percent, housing and utilities by 4.0 ិ  percent and household furnishings and operations េហយៃថដំេណករ និងសមរៈបំពក់កុ ងផទះ េកន ២,១%។ េនែខតុ   ភ ន by 2.1 percent. In October the price of diesel fuel មស៊ូត ធក់ៃថ ២,៦% េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តឹម ៤៨៤៦,៨េរ ល/លី ត dropped 2.6 percent from the previous month, to ៉ េហយ េ បង ំ ង ធក់ៃថ ២,៤% មក តឹម ៥១៩៧,១េរ ល/លី ត។ KHR4846.8/litre and of gasoline by 2.4 percent to KHR5197.1/litre. េនែខតុ អ បូរ បក់េរ លេនទីផ រ ធក់ៃថ ០,៥% ទល់នឹង In October market exchange rate of the riel បក់ដុ រ េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម ៤១០១,៨េរ ល/ដុ ឹ រ ។ េនែខ depreciated against the dollar by 0.5 percent from ដែដល បក់េរ ល េឡងៃថ ០,២% ទល់នឹង បក់បតៃថ និង េឡងៃថ a month earlier, to KHR4101.8 per dollar. In the same period, the riel appreciated against the Thai ០,១% ទល់នឹង បក់ដុងេវ ត ម។ baht by 0.2 percent and by 0.1 percent against the Vietnamese dong. េនែខសី ករនំចូលសមរៈសំ ណង់ ធក់ចុះ ១,៧% េធ បនងែខមុន ភ ឹ មក តម ៣,៨ ឹ នដុ រ េហយករនំចូលែដកែថប ធក់ចុះ ៥២%  In August, imports of construction equipment មក តម ៣,៤ នដុ រ។ ករនំចូលសុ ី មងត៍ េកន ១,៥% ដល់ ៉ ់ decreased by 1.7 percent from the preceding ឹ  month to USD3.8 m and of steel by 52 percent to ៤,៨ នដុ រ េហយករនំចូលេ បងមស៊ូត ធក់ចុះ ៩,៧% មក តម  ៉ ឹ USD3.4 m. Imports of cement increased by 1.5 ៣៨,៩ នដុ រ នងករនំចូលមស៊ូតេខ ធក់ចុះ ២៧% មក តឹម ិ ៉ ម percent to USD4.8 m. Imports of diesel oil ៥,៩ នដុ រ។ ករនំចូលេ បង ំង េកន ៦,៨% ដល់ ២៥,៤ ន dropped by 9.7 percent to USD38.9 m and of fuel oil by 27 percent to USD5.9 m. Imports of ដុ រ។ េនែខដែដល ករនំេចញសំ េល កបំពក់ ( គប់ បេភទ) ធក់ gasoline went up by 6.8 percent to USD25.4 m. In ចុះ ១៥% មក តម ៣៧២,១ ឹ នដុ រ េហយករនំេចញែសបកេជង  the same month, exports of clothing (all kinds) ធក់ចុះ ២២% មក តម ២៣,២ នដុ រ នងករនំេចញផលិតផល decreased by 15 percent to USD372.1 m, of shoes ឹ ិ by 22 percent to USD23.2 m and of other textile យនភ័ណេផ ងៗ ធក់ចុះ ១០% មក តម ៥,១ ឹ នដុ រ។ products by 10 percent to USD5.1 m. េនែខឧសភ បក់ចំណលចរនសរុបរបស់រ ូ ភបល ធក់ចុះ ២០% ិ In May total government current revenue dropped មក តម ឹ ៤៧៤,៥ពន់ ឹ by 20 percent from a month earlier to KHR474.5 នេរ លេធ បនងមួយែខមុន។ ពនធនចូល ំ bn. Import and export taxes increased by 11 នងនំេចញ េកនេឡង ១១% ដល់ ៩៣,៦ពន់ នេរ ល េហយ ិ    percent to KHR93.6 bn and non-tax revenues by បក់ចំណលមនែមនពនធ េកន ៣៤% ដល់ ៧៨ពន់ នេរ ល។ 34 percent to KHR78 bn. Revenues from domestic ូ ិ  Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 2
  • 3. Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011 បក់ចំណលពនធកុ ង សក ធក់ចុះ ៣៣% មក តម ៣០៣ពន់ ូ ន ឹ ន taxes decreased by 33 percent to KHR303 bn. In the same month, total current expenditure went up េរ ល។ េនែខដែដល ចំ យចរនសរុប េកនេឡង ៤,៨% ដល់ by 4.8 percent to KHR353.2 bn, of which ៣៥៣,២ពន់ នេរ ល េហយចំ  យជឧបតថមភធន នងជំនួយខង ិ expenditure on subsidies and social assistance សងគមកិចច េកន ៥៦% ដល់ ១២១,៧ពន់  នេរ ល។ ចំ យេល increased by 56 percent to KHR121.7 bn. Wages expenditure dropped by 9.2 percent to KHR145 bn េប វត រ ៍ ធក់ចុះ ៩,២% មក តឹម ១៤៥ពន់ នេរ ល េហយចំ យ and other services by 13 percent to KHR86.4 bn. េលេស កមមេផ ងៗ ធក់ចុះ ១៣% មក តម ៨៦,៤ពន់ ឹ នេរ ល។ In August in Thailand prices of rice decreased by េនែខសី េន បេទសៃថ អងករធក់ៃថ ១២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន មក តម ឹ 12 percent compared to the previous month to ៥៨២,៨ដុ រ/េ ន េកស៊ូ ធក់ៃថ ១,៣% មក តម ៤២៤៤,៧ ឹ USD582.8/tonne, of rubber by 1.3 percent to USD4244.7/tonne and of maize and maize ដុ រ/េ ន េហយ េពតនិងផលិតផលេធពីេពត ធក់ៃថ ២,៤%  products by 2.4 percent to USD439.3/tonne. In the មក តម ៤៣៩,៣ដុ ឹ រ/េ ន។ េនែខដែដល េន បេទសេវ ត ម same period in Vietnam, prices of rice increased អងករ េឡងៃថ ៤,០% ដល់ ៥១៧ដុ រ/េ ន និង គប់ យចនទី េឡង by 4.0 percent to USD517/tonne and of cashew nuts by 2.3 percent to USD9095/tonne, while ៃថ ២,៣% ដល់ ៩០៩៥ដុ រ/េ ន សបេពលែដលេកស៊ូ ធក់ៃថ rubber dropped by 0.1 percent to USD4247/tonne. ០,១% មក តម ៤២៤៧ដុ ឹ រ/េ ន។ In August, Thai exports of rice dropped by 8.2 េនែខសី ករនំេចញអងករេនៃថ ធក់ចុះ ៨,២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន percent from the preceding month to USD590.3 m. មក តម ៥៩០,៣ នដុ រ។ ករនំេចញេកស៊ូធមមជតិ នងជ័រ Exports of natural rubber and similar natural gums ឹ ិ went up by 5.4 percent to USD1128.4 m (74 ធមមជតិ េកន ៥,៤% ដល់ ១១២៨,៤ នដុ រ (៧៤% េធ បនឹង percent year on year) and maize and maize មួយឆមុន) នង ករនំេចញេពត និងផលិតផលេធពីេពត េកន ១៧% នំ ិ products by 17 percent to USD12.3 m (68 percent ដល់ ១២,៣ នដុ រ (៦៨% េធ បនឹងមួយឆមន)។ កនុងែខេនះែដរ នំ ុ year on year). In the same period, Vietnam’s exports of rice increased 22 percent from the េនេវ ត ម ករនំេចញអងករ េកនេឡង ២២% េធ បនឹងែខមុន ដល់  previous month to USD395 m, of rubber by 1.2 ៣៩៥ នដុ រ ករនំេចញេកស៊ូ េកន ១,២% ដល់ ៣៤៤  ន percent to USD344 m and of cashew nuts by 13 ដុ រ នងករនំេចញ គប់ យចនទី េកន ១៣% ដល់ ១៩១ ន percent to USD191 m. ិ ដុ រ។ In September, US exports increased by 2.0 percent from the preceding month to USD129.3 bn and េនែខកញ ករនំេចញរបស់សហរដ ញ េមរក េកន ២,០% េធ បនឹង ិ Japan’s by 13 percent to USD77.6 bn. Exports of ែខមុន ដល់១២៩,៣ពន់ នដុ រ េហយករនំេចញរបស់ជប៉ុន េកន  the euro zone dropped by 5.2 percent to USD212.3 bn. In August Malaysian exports went down 0.7 ១៣% ដល់ ៧៧,៦ពន់ នដុ រ។ ករនំេចញរបស់តំបន់អឺរូ ៉ ធក់ចុះ percent to USD19.6 bn and imports 4.1 percent to ៥,២% មក តម ២១២,៣ពន់ ឹ នដុ រ។ េនែខសី ករនំេចញ USD16 bn. របស់មេឡសុ ី ធក់ចុះ ០,៧% មក តម ១៩,៦ពន់ ៉ ឹ នដុ រ េហយ In August, inflation in the US was 3.8 percent and ករនំចូល ធក់ចុះ ៤,១% មក តម ១៦ពន់ ឹ នដុ រ។ 0.2 percent in Japan. Inflation in the euro zone remained unchanged. In the same period, inflation េនែខសី អតិផរ េនសហរដ េមរក មន ៣,៨% និង េនជប៉ុន ិ in China was 6.2 percent and 5.7 percent in Hong ០,២% ឯេនតំបន់អឺរូ ៉ េនេថរ។ កនុងែខេនះែដរ អតិផរ េន បេទស Kong, a 2.2 percentage point decrease compared to ចន គឺ ៦,២% េហយេនហុងកុង ៥,៧% ឬ ធក់ចុះ ២,២ឯក ភគរយ a month earlier. Inflation in South Korea was 5.3 ិ percent. េធ បនឹងែខមុន។ អតិផរ េនកូេរខងតបូង មនក មត ៥,៣%។ ៉ ិ In October, the prices of soybeans (US No. 1) េនែខតុ សែណកេស ង (US No. 1) ធក់ៃថ ៨,៤% មក តម ឹ dropped by 8.4 percent compared to the previous ៤៦៧,៤ដុ រ/េ ន េពត (US No.2) ធក់ៃថ ១០% មក តម ឹ month, to USD467.4/tonne, of maize (US No. 2) ២៧៤,៨ដុ រ/េ ន និងេកស៊ូ (SMR 5) ធក់ៃថ ៩,២% មក តម by 10 percent to USD274.8/tonne and of rubber ឹ (SMR 5) by 9.2 percent to USD4149.2/tonne. In ៤១៤៩,២ដុ រ/េ ន។ េនែខដែដល េ បងេឆ (OPEC spot) the same month, the price of crude oil (OPEC ធក់ៃថ ០,៧% មក តម ១០៩,៧ដុ ឹ រ/ធុង េហយេ បង  ំង (US spot) decreased by 0.7 percent to Gulf Coast) ធក់ៃថ ០,៧% មក តឹម ០,៧១ដុ រ/លី ត នង USD109.7/barrel, of gasoline (US Gulf Coast) by ិ 0.7 percent to USD0.71/litre and of diesel (low េ បងមស៊ូត (low sulphur No. 2) ធក់ៃថ ៣,៤% មក តឹម ០,៧៥ ៉ sulphur No. 2) by 3.4 percent to USD0.75/litre. ដុ រ/លី ត។ Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 3
  • 4. Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011 សកម្ម ពេសដ្ឋកចសំ ិ ្ច ន់ៗ និង ៃថ្លទនិញេ ំ កម្ពុ Main Economic Activities and Consumer Prices in Cambodia Fixed Asset Investment Approvals by CDC Foreign Visitor Arrivals Agriculture July 2010-September 2011 2008 Q3–2011 Q2 600 Other 300 Business 500 Holiday 250 400 000 persons 200 USD m 300 150 3 12 3 200 10 13 100 10 41.4 100 194 50 153 236 0.0 4.1 0.0 0 0 Mar 11 Nov 10 Jan 11 May 11 Jul 10 Jul 11 Sep 10 Sep 11 08Q3 08Q4 09Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 Including expansion projects. Source: Council for the Development of Cambodia Source: Ministry of Tourism Phnom Penh: Value of Construction Approvals CPI: Consumer Price Index June 2010–August 2011 June 2010–August 2011 140 175 Other 15.5 Flats 120 160 Villas & houses 100 145 20.7 80 USD m 130 60 115 40 80.8 100 Jun 10 Sep 10 Oct 10 Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11 Jul 10 Aug 10 Nov 10 Dec 10 Jul 11 Aug 11 20 0 Jun 10 Aug 10 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Apr 11 All items Food & non-alcoholic beverages Clothing and footwear Housing and utilities Household furnishings and operations Source: Municipality of Phnom Penh Source: CDRI Phnom Penh: Gasoline & Diesel Prices Interest Rates on 12-Month Bank Loans (%) August 2010–October 2011 May 2010–July 2011 25 5197 6000 5000 20 Percentage Per Annum 4847 4000 15 Riels/ℓ 3000 10 2000 5 1000 Diesel Riel loan rate Gasoline Dollar loan rate 0 0 Jan 11 May 10 Jul 10 Sep 10 Nov 10 Mar 11 May 11 Jul 11 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Apr 11 Jun 11 Oct 11 Aug 10 Aug 11 Source: CDRI Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 4
  • 5. Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011 ន ពអ្រ ប្តូរ្រ ក់ និង ជំនួយអភិវឌ្ឍន៍ពីេ្រ ្របេទស Exchange Rates and External Development Assistance Riels per US Dollar Riels per THB & VND August 2010–October 2011 August 2010–October 2011 142 26 4300 4202 4250 138 25 132.3 132.5 4200 134 24 KHR per VDN100 4102 4150 KHR per Baht 4185 4083 130 23 Thai baht (left) 4100 Vietnamese dong (right) 126 22 4050 4085 4077 122 21 4000 19.7 19.6 Market rate 118 20 3950 Official rate 114 19 3900 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Oct 11 Aug 10 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Aug 10 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Oct 11 Source: National Bank of Cambodia Source: National Bank of Cambodia Monetary Survey (%) Domestic Credit (%) May 2010–July 2011 May 2010–July 2011 100 140 80 120 100 60 80 40 60 20 40 0 20 -20 0 -20 -40 May 10 Jul 10 Sep 10 Nov 10 Mar 11 May 11 Jul 11 Jan 11 May 10 Nov 10 Jan 11 May 11 Jul 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Jul 11 Annualised growth rate (M2) Annualised change in domestic credit Annualised growth rate (M1) Annualised change in private sector credit Growth over the previous 12 months (M2) Previous 12 months' growth in domestic credit Source: National Bank of Cambodia Source: National Bank of Cambodia Monetary Operations External Development Assistance Disbursement May 2010–July 2011 Top Five Development Assistance 23000 2005–2009 20000 180 17000 150 14000 11000 120 KHR bn KHR bn 8000 90 5000 2000 60 -1000 30 -4000 -7000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -10000 May 10 Nov 10 Jan 11 May 11 Jul 10 Sep 10 Mar 11 Jul 11 Transportation Health Liquidity Net Foreign Assets Private Sector Credit Governance & Administration Education Government Deposits Other Agriculture Source: National Bank of Cambodia Source: Cambodia Aid Effectiveness Report 2009, CDC Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 5
  • 6. Cambodia Economic Flash Report –November 2011 ណិជកម្មេ្រ ្ជ ្របេទស និង រអនុវត្តថវិ តិ External Trade and National Budget Operations Cambodian Total Imports Cambodian Total Exports June 2010–August 2011 June 2010–August 2011 25 500 Steel Other textile products 450 Shoes 5.1 Cement 20 400 Clothing (all kinds) Construction equipment 23.2 350 15 300 3.39 USD m USD m 250 10 200 372.1 150 4.84 5 100 50 3.83 0 0 Jun 10 Aug 10 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Jun 10 Aug 10 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC Imports: Energy Current Budget Operations June 2010–August 2011 March 2010–May 2011 60 400 Gasoline (E.A) 350 Diesel (D.O) 50 Fuel oil (FO) 300 254.7 250 40 KHR bn USD m 200 30 150 121.3 100 20 50 4.9 0 10 -50 0 -100 Oct 10 Dec 10 Feb 11 Jun 10 Aug 10 Apr 11 Jun 11 Aug 11 Mar 10 May 10 Jul 10 Sep 10 Nov 10 Mar 11 May 11 Jan 11 Source: Economic & Monetary Statistics, NBC Source: MEF Bulletin Current Budget Revenue Current Budget Expenditure March 2010–May 2011 March 2010–May 2011 800 700 Non-tax Other services Import and Export taxes 700 Subsidies and social assistance 600 Domestic taxes 58 Wages 600 500 500 79 78 84 400 KHR bn KHR bn 400 86 300 80 94 300 450 200 122 200 307 303 100 100 145 0 0 Jul 10 May 10 Sep 10 Nov 10 May 11 Mar 10 Jan 11 Mar 11 Mar 10 May 10 Jul 10 Sep 10 Nov 10 Jan 11 Mar 11 May 11 Source: MEF Bulletin Source: MEF Bulletin Cambodia Development Resource Institute – Page 6