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Research & Development Unit March 2011
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Back to Contents  Corporate Earnings Review 2010    Withholding Tax Rates     PAYE Tax Table     Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks  Corporate Earnings Review 2010  Corporate Earnings Review 2010    Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks  Corporate Earnings Review 2010    Withholding Tax Rates   Branch Openings  Branch Openings  Corporate Earnings Review 2010 Financial Sector News > >
Back to Contents Corporate Earnings Review 2010 – TKS Securities Ltd Research & Development Unit Analysing financials of 221 companies out of the total 247 listed on the Colombo bourse, TKS Securities pointed out that corporate earnings have reported a combined windfall profit of Rs. 123 bn, an exponential 140% increase over 2009.  Of the Rs. 123 bn profit, Rs. 40 bn or 32% had come in the quarter ended 31 December 2010. It reflects a hefty 83% increase in comparison to the corresponding quarter of 2009.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Banking, Finance and Insurance Corporate Earnings Sectoral Snapshot (Rs mn) Sector 2010 2009 Change % Bank, Finance & Insurance 33,125.04 17,726.82 87% Diversified Holdings 21,760.38 12,904.66 69% Beverage, Food & Tobacco 15,389.75 11,347.77 36% Telecommunication 8,990.44 (11,423.22) 179% Manufacturing 8,138.18 8,475.06 -4% Investment trusts 4,781.91 2,369.96 102% Plantations 4,689.98 453.31 935% Hotels & Travels 4,327.08 880.21 392% Trading 3,547.25 1,358.34 161% Motors 3,403.50 (33.95) 10,126% Oil Palm 3,121.51 2,963.02 5% Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 2,750.01 1447.25 90% Power & Energy 2,604.48 (1,858.44) 240% Healthcare 2,460.20 739.21 233% Construction & Engineering 2,169.46 2,140.40 1% Land & Property 1,194.77 928.14 29% Store & Supplies 696.70 244.49 185% Services 417.57 164.19 154% IT 140.62 70.50 99% Footwear & Textiles (642.42) 473.71 -236% Total 123,066.40 51,371.43 140% Total (Excluding Dialog Axiata)* 118,018.96 63,579.65 86% * Dialog recorded a loss of Rs. 12,208 mn  in 2009
Back to Contents PAYE Tax Table  -  2011/2012 PAYE tax applicable with effect from April 1, 2011 for making monthly income tax deductions from the remuneration of employees is given below: Source: Department of Inland Revenue  Research & Development Unit Monthly Remuneration (M.R.) Tax (Rs.) Monthly Remuneration not exceeding  Rs. 50,000/- Nil Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 50,000 but not exceeding Rs. 91,667 4% of M.R. less Rs. 2,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 91,667 but not exceeding Rs. 133,333 8% of M.R. less Rs. 5,667 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 133,333 but not exceeding Rs. 175,000 12% of M.R. less Rs. 11,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 175,000 but not exceeding Rs. 216,667 16% of M.R. less Rs. 18,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 216,667 but not exceeding Rs. 300,000 20% of M.R. less Rs. 26,667 Monthly Remuneration exceeding  Rs. 300,000 24% of M.R. less Rs. 38,667
Back to Contents Withholding Tax Rates w.e.f. April 1, 2011 Source: ICBS Department, Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC Research & Development Unit Assessable Income Withholding Tax Rate I.  For Individual and Joint Accounts (Persons) Below Rs. 500,000 0% Between Rs.500,000 to Rs.1,500,000                2.5% Above Rs.1,500,000 or for those who do not submit declarations               8.0% II.  For Charitable Institutions Below Rs. 500,000 0% Above Rs. 500,000 or for those who do not submit declarations 8% III.  Proprietorships, partnerships, clubs & societies etc. 8% IV.  Limited Liability Companies (No Change) 10%
Back to Contents Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks Source: Financial System Stability Review 2010 - Central Bank of Sri Lanka Research & Development Unit   2007 2008 2009 Sept. 2010 Gross NPL (Net of Interest in Suspense) Ratio  5.0 6.0 9.9 6.3 Net NPL Ratio 1.5 2.1 3.7 2.8 Sector-wise NPL to Total Sector Loans          Agriculture & Fishing  6.3 6.7 3.7 3.4 Manufacturing  8.5 8.3 11.2 10.8 Tourism  4.2 3.3 4.9 7.3 Transport  6.6 7.1 6.3 5.4 Construction  3.8 6.8 10.3 8.6 Traders  8.1 10.2 10.9 9.2 New Economy  1.1 2.4 3.9 4.2 Financial and Business Services  2.3 2.3 4.7 3.4 Infrastructure  0.2 4.1 7.3 5.7 Other Services  3.3 2.0 6.2 5.9 Other Customer  3.5 3.5 5.9 3.9 Return on Equity (ROE) – After Tax 15.0 14.8 11.0 21.3 Return on Assets (ROA)– Before Tax 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.7 Interest Margin  4.5 4.7 4.8 4.7
Back to Contents Branch Openings Research & Development Unit Weliveriya 19 th  MiniCom Centre Peliyagoda  Customer Service Point Velanai  Branch Vavunia Extension Office 193 194 195 196
Back to Contents Sri Lanka Economy Grows 8% in 2010  Tourist Arrivals up by 15% in February, 2011 External Sector Performance - January 2011 Inflation - March 2011 Forbes: World's Billionaires 2011 Fortune: World's Most Admired Companies 2011 Effects of the Japanese Disaster  Analysis & Forecast Effects of the Japanese Disaster  Tourist Arrivals up by 15% in February, 2011 Analysis & Forecast  HSBC Bullish on Lanka than Rating Firms Economy & Business News > >
Back to Contents Sri Lanka Economy Grows 8% in 2010  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents IMF Releases USD 218.3 Mn under the SBA Facility Research & Development Unit Received on Tranche USD Mn July, 2009 1 st 322.0 Nov, 2009 2 nd 329.0 June, 2010 3 rd  &  4 th 407.8 Sep, 2010 5 th 212.5 Feb, 2011 6 th   216.6 April, 2011 7 th   218.3 Total funds received up to now  1,706.2 Funds to be to be received  893.2 Full Amount of the IMF SBA  2,599.4
Back to Contents Private Sector Credit Growth % (y-o-y) Year-on-year growth in credit to the private sector increased to  28.1 %  in  January 2011 , having turned positive in March 2010. Private sector credit from commercial banks has increased by around Rs.300 bn in 2010.  Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents Tourist Arrivals up by 15% in February, 2011 Sri Lanka's tourist arrivals rose 14.8 % to 65,797 in February, 2011 from a year earlier. The cumulative tourist arrivals for Jan-Feb 2011 recorded 140,000 which reflects a growth of 29% over the corresponding period in 2010. The February arrivals were lower than the January peak of 74,197 as the Western European winter season drew to a close. In 2010 tourist arrivals rose 46 % to 654,476 from a low base in 2009 . ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents External Sector Performance - January 2011 Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka ,[object Object],[object Object],Accordingly, the trade deficit in January 2011 narrowed by 10.2 %, year-on-year, to USD 688 mn. Earnings from exports in January 2011 increased by 72.4 % year-on-year, to USD 813 mn led by significant increases in exports of textile and garments and rubber products.  Expenditure on imports increased by 21.3 % to USD1,501 mn in January 2011, mainly due to increases in imports of motor vehicles, electrical equipment and transport equipment.  Research & Development Unit Category   January  2010 US$ mn January  2011 US$ mn Change January (%) Exports 471.7 813.4 72.4 Agricultural  142.5 183.7 28.9 of which, tea 90.9 116.6 28.3 Industrial 319.9 615.8 92.5 of which, textiles and garments 173.7 385.4 121.9 Mineral 9.3 13.9 49.8 Imports  1,237.7 1,501.1 21.3 Consumer Goods 233.5 316.7 35.6 of which, food and drink 160.8 182.0 13.2 of which, other consumer goods 72.7 134.7 85.3 Intermediate Goods 701.8 812.0 15.7 of which, petroleum 407.1 364.9 -10.4 of which, textile and clothing 121.5 188.5 55.2 Investment Goods 219.0 365.7 67.0 of which, machinery and equipment 83.7 146.8 75.5 of which, transport equipment 52.8 104.1 97.3 of which, building material 60.7 78.3 29.0 Balance of Trade -765.9 -687.6 -10.2 Workers’ Remittances 313.1 377.0 20.1
Back to Contents Inflation - March 2011 Meanwhile, Core inflation on the year-on-year basis increased to 3.6 % from 2.9 % in February 2011 while the annual average rate continued to decrease to 5.3% in March from 5.5%in the previous month.  The rate of inflation as measured by the CCPI on a Year on Year basis increased to 8.6 % in March 2011 from 7.8 % recorded in February 2011. the highest contribution to the overall increase of around 80 % came from food commodities which increase by 7 % in March 2011.  Inflation on an annual average basis recorded a slight increase to 6.2% in March 2011 from 6.1% in the previous month. Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents World's Most Admired Companies 2011 World's Billionaires 2011   Research & Development Unit Rank  Name  Net Worth  (USD Bn)  Source  Age  Citizenship  2011 2010 2011 2010 1 1 Carlos Slim Helu & family 74.0 53.5  Telecom  71 Mexico 2 2 Bill Gates 56.0 53.0  Microsoft  55 United States  3 3 Warren Buffett 50.0 47.0  Berkshire Hathaway  80 United States  4 7 Bernard Arnault 41.0 27.5 LVMH 62 France 5 6 Larry Ellison 39.5 28.0 Oracle 66 United States  6 5 Lakshmi Mittal 31.1 28.7 Steel  60 India 7 9 Amancio Ortega 31.0 25.0 Zara 74 Spain 8 8 Eike Batista 30.0 27.0 Mining, oil  53 Brazil 9 4 Mukesh Ambani 27.0 29.0 Petrochemicals, oil & gas  53 India  10 12 Christy Walton & family 26.5 22.5 Wal-Mart 56 United States
Back to Contents World's Most Admired Companies 2011 Research & Development Unit Top 50 Rank Name Industry/Category Industry Rank Industry Top 03 1 Apple  Computers 1 2 - Hewlett-Packard  3 - EMC 2 Google  Internet Services and Retailing  1 2 - Amazon.com  3 - Netflix  3 Berkshire Hathaway  Insurance, Property and Casualty 1 2 - Zurich Financial Services 3 - Travelers Cos.  4 Southwest Airlines  Airlines 3 1 - Delta Air Lines  2 - Singapore Airlines  5 Procter & Gamble  Soaps and Cosmetics 1 2 - L'Oréal  3 - Reckitt Benckiser Group 6 Coca-Cola  Beverages 1 2 - Anheuser-Busch InBev 3 - Diageo  7 Amazon.com  Internet Services and Retailing  2 1 - Google  3 - Netflix  8 FedEx  Delivery 2 1 - UPS  3 - Deutsche Post (DHL)  9 Microsoft  Computer Software 3 1 - Adobe Systems  2 - Oracle  10 McDonald's Food Services 1 2 - Yum Brands  3 - Starbucks
Effects of the Japanese Disaster  Back to Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cont.. Research & Development Unit
Effects of the Japanese Disaster (cont…)  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Which economies are most exposed to a slowdown in Japan?  Brunei's exports to the country account for over 28% of its GDP. But like those of Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, Brunei's exports comprise oil and natural gas, which will eventually benefit from the damage to Japan's nuclear industry. Malaysia's timber exports may also enjoy a boost from reconstruction. More exposed are Singapore and Thailand. In addition to their sizeable exports to Japan, they rely on imports of its components for the smooth running of their manufacturing industries Source: The Economist Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents HSBC Bullish on Lanka than Rating Firms HSBC has upgraded its own rating on Sri Lanka’s 2011 sovereign credit from B+ positive to BB-/Stable, which is above those given by major rating agencies. HSBC has backed its upgrade over Sri Lanka’s improving external profile.  It also noted that structural reforms by Sri Lanka should sustain faster economic growth.  HSBC Global Research - Asia’s Bond Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Analysis& Forecast Cont.. Research & Development Unit
Back to Contents HSBC Bullish on Lanka than Rating Firms HSBC Global Research - Asia’s Bond Markets Analysis& Forecast ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Research & Development Unit
*Discounts are not applicable for purchase of gift vouchers.  During the campaign,  every 10 days a lucky couple shall win a free trip to Malaysia for 4 days & 3 nights(free trip includes fully paid air travel & accommodation, Bed &Breakfast)
The views expressed in Economic Capsule are not necessarily those of the Management of Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC  The information contained in this presentation has been drawn from sources that we believe to be reliable. However, while we have taken reasonable care to maintain accuracy/completeness of the information, it should be noted that  Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC and/or its employees should not be held responsible, for providing the information or for losses or damages, financial or otherwise, suffered in consequence of using such information for whatever purpose. Fortune Favours the Bold (English translation of a Latin Proverb)

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Economic Capsule for March 2011

  • 1. Research & Development Unit March 2011
  • 2.
  • 3. Back to Contents  Corporate Earnings Review 2010  Withholding Tax Rates  PAYE Tax Table  Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks  Corporate Earnings Review 2010  Corporate Earnings Review 2010  Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks  Corporate Earnings Review 2010  Withholding Tax Rates  Branch Openings  Branch Openings  Corporate Earnings Review 2010 Financial Sector News > >
  • 4.
  • 5. Back to Contents PAYE Tax Table - 2011/2012 PAYE tax applicable with effect from April 1, 2011 for making monthly income tax deductions from the remuneration of employees is given below: Source: Department of Inland Revenue Research & Development Unit Monthly Remuneration (M.R.) Tax (Rs.) Monthly Remuneration not exceeding Rs. 50,000/- Nil Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 50,000 but not exceeding Rs. 91,667 4% of M.R. less Rs. 2,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 91,667 but not exceeding Rs. 133,333 8% of M.R. less Rs. 5,667 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 133,333 but not exceeding Rs. 175,000 12% of M.R. less Rs. 11,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 175,000 but not exceeding Rs. 216,667 16% of M.R. less Rs. 18,000 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 216,667 but not exceeding Rs. 300,000 20% of M.R. less Rs. 26,667 Monthly Remuneration exceeding Rs. 300,000 24% of M.R. less Rs. 38,667
  • 6. Back to Contents Withholding Tax Rates w.e.f. April 1, 2011 Source: ICBS Department, Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC Research & Development Unit Assessable Income Withholding Tax Rate I. For Individual and Joint Accounts (Persons) Below Rs. 500,000 0% Between Rs.500,000 to Rs.1,500,000               2.5% Above Rs.1,500,000 or for those who do not submit declarations              8.0% II. For Charitable Institutions Below Rs. 500,000 0% Above Rs. 500,000 or for those who do not submit declarations 8% III. Proprietorships, partnerships, clubs & societies etc. 8% IV. Limited Liability Companies (No Change) 10%
  • 7. Back to Contents Financial Soundness Indicators – Licensed Commercial Banks Source: Financial System Stability Review 2010 - Central Bank of Sri Lanka Research & Development Unit   2007 2008 2009 Sept. 2010 Gross NPL (Net of Interest in Suspense) Ratio 5.0 6.0 9.9 6.3 Net NPL Ratio 1.5 2.1 3.7 2.8 Sector-wise NPL to Total Sector Loans         Agriculture & Fishing 6.3 6.7 3.7 3.4 Manufacturing 8.5 8.3 11.2 10.8 Tourism 4.2 3.3 4.9 7.3 Transport 6.6 7.1 6.3 5.4 Construction 3.8 6.8 10.3 8.6 Traders 8.1 10.2 10.9 9.2 New Economy 1.1 2.4 3.9 4.2 Financial and Business Services 2.3 2.3 4.7 3.4 Infrastructure 0.2 4.1 7.3 5.7 Other Services 3.3 2.0 6.2 5.9 Other Customer 3.5 3.5 5.9 3.9 Return on Equity (ROE) – After Tax 15.0 14.8 11.0 21.3 Return on Assets (ROA)– Before Tax 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.7 Interest Margin 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.7
  • 8. Back to Contents Branch Openings Research & Development Unit Weliveriya 19 th MiniCom Centre Peliyagoda Customer Service Point Velanai Branch Vavunia Extension Office 193 194 195 196
  • 9. Back to Contents Sri Lanka Economy Grows 8% in 2010 Tourist Arrivals up by 15% in February, 2011 External Sector Performance - January 2011 Inflation - March 2011 Forbes: World's Billionaires 2011 Fortune: World's Most Admired Companies 2011 Effects of the Japanese Disaster Analysis & Forecast Effects of the Japanese Disaster Tourist Arrivals up by 15% in February, 2011 Analysis & Forecast HSBC Bullish on Lanka than Rating Firms Economy & Business News > >
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  • 11. Back to Contents IMF Releases USD 218.3 Mn under the SBA Facility Research & Development Unit Received on Tranche USD Mn July, 2009 1 st 322.0 Nov, 2009 2 nd 329.0 June, 2010 3 rd & 4 th 407.8 Sep, 2010 5 th 212.5 Feb, 2011 6 th 216.6 April, 2011 7 th 218.3 Total funds received up to now 1,706.2 Funds to be to be received 893.2 Full Amount of the IMF SBA 2,599.4
  • 12. Back to Contents Private Sector Credit Growth % (y-o-y) Year-on-year growth in credit to the private sector increased to 28.1 % in January 2011 , having turned positive in March 2010. Private sector credit from commercial banks has increased by around Rs.300 bn in 2010. Research & Development Unit
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  • 15. Back to Contents Inflation - March 2011 Meanwhile, Core inflation on the year-on-year basis increased to 3.6 % from 2.9 % in February 2011 while the annual average rate continued to decrease to 5.3% in March from 5.5%in the previous month. The rate of inflation as measured by the CCPI on a Year on Year basis increased to 8.6 % in March 2011 from 7.8 % recorded in February 2011. the highest contribution to the overall increase of around 80 % came from food commodities which increase by 7 % in March 2011. Inflation on an annual average basis recorded a slight increase to 6.2% in March 2011 from 6.1% in the previous month. Research & Development Unit
  • 16. Back to Contents World's Most Admired Companies 2011 World's Billionaires 2011   Research & Development Unit Rank Name Net Worth (USD Bn) Source Age Citizenship 2011 2010 2011 2010 1 1 Carlos Slim Helu & family 74.0 53.5 Telecom 71 Mexico 2 2 Bill Gates 56.0 53.0 Microsoft 55 United States 3 3 Warren Buffett 50.0 47.0 Berkshire Hathaway 80 United States 4 7 Bernard Arnault 41.0 27.5 LVMH 62 France 5 6 Larry Ellison 39.5 28.0 Oracle 66 United States 6 5 Lakshmi Mittal 31.1 28.7 Steel 60 India 7 9 Amancio Ortega 31.0 25.0 Zara 74 Spain 8 8 Eike Batista 30.0 27.0 Mining, oil 53 Brazil 9 4 Mukesh Ambani 27.0 29.0 Petrochemicals, oil & gas 53 India 10 12 Christy Walton & family 26.5 22.5 Wal-Mart 56 United States
  • 17. Back to Contents World's Most Admired Companies 2011 Research & Development Unit Top 50 Rank Name Industry/Category Industry Rank Industry Top 03 1 Apple Computers 1 2 - Hewlett-Packard 3 - EMC 2 Google Internet Services and Retailing 1 2 - Amazon.com 3 - Netflix 3 Berkshire Hathaway Insurance, Property and Casualty 1 2 - Zurich Financial Services 3 - Travelers Cos. 4 Southwest Airlines Airlines 3 1 - Delta Air Lines 2 - Singapore Airlines 5 Procter & Gamble Soaps and Cosmetics 1 2 - L'Oréal 3 - Reckitt Benckiser Group 6 Coca-Cola Beverages 1 2 - Anheuser-Busch InBev 3 - Diageo 7 Amazon.com Internet Services and Retailing 2 1 - Google 3 - Netflix 8 FedEx Delivery 2 1 - UPS 3 - Deutsche Post (DHL) 9 Microsoft Computer Software 3 1 - Adobe Systems 2 - Oracle 10 McDonald's Food Services 1 2 - Yum Brands 3 - Starbucks
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  • 22. *Discounts are not applicable for purchase of gift vouchers. During the campaign, every 10 days a lucky couple shall win a free trip to Malaysia for 4 days & 3 nights(free trip includes fully paid air travel & accommodation, Bed &Breakfast)
  • 23. The views expressed in Economic Capsule are not necessarily those of the Management of Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC The information contained in this presentation has been drawn from sources that we believe to be reliable. However, while we have taken reasonable care to maintain accuracy/completeness of the information, it should be noted that Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC and/or its employees should not be held responsible, for providing the information or for losses or damages, financial or otherwise, suffered in consequence of using such information for whatever purpose. Fortune Favours the Bold (English translation of a Latin Proverb)