Investigating The Relationship Between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and House...IJSB
Abstract
This study examines the matter of trends (level and slope), cycle and irregular components in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Household Consumption Expenditure (HCE) of two SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) countries: Nepal and Pakistan. SAARC countries produce GDP (PPP) US$ 9.9 trillion and GDP (Nominal) US$ 2.9 trillion and constitute 9.12% of global economy as of 2015. The mentioned two countries from this region are selected due to their importance in the SAARC region and their challenges during last few decades i.e. Political crisis and natural disasters. In this study the multivariate unobserved components model is used to decompose the GDP and HCE and examine the relationships between these two variables of Nepal and Pakistan. The time period of this study is 1970-2014 and Kushnirs statistical data is employed. The maximum likelihood smoother is employed in the trend plus stochastic cycle methodology of Koopman et al. (2009) to estimate the model. It is found here that there have no deficiencies in the diagnostics of normality, auxiliary, prediction, and forecast. And residual diagnostics also present that it is nicely fitted with this model. Empirical results clearly show that there have strong correlations between the GDP and HCE in irregular components in both the countries of Nepal and Pakistan. Finally, in both slope and cycle, the correlations between GDP and HCE of Nepal and Pakistan are found perfectly positive in the short and long run.
Download original form http://ijsab.com/wpcontent/uploads/2017/02/101.pdf
The Analyzes Of Scalogram, Performance-Importance And Hierarchy Process For G...inventionjournals
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Humanities and Social Science. IJHSSI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Humanities and Social Science, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
Investigating The Relationship Between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and House...IJSB
Abstract
This study examines the matter of trends (level and slope), cycle and irregular components in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Household Consumption Expenditure (HCE) of two SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) countries: Nepal and Pakistan. SAARC countries produce GDP (PPP) US$ 9.9 trillion and GDP (Nominal) US$ 2.9 trillion and constitute 9.12% of global economy as of 2015. The mentioned two countries from this region are selected due to their importance in the SAARC region and their challenges during last few decades i.e. Political crisis and natural disasters. In this study the multivariate unobserved components model is used to decompose the GDP and HCE and examine the relationships between these two variables of Nepal and Pakistan. The time period of this study is 1970-2014 and Kushnirs statistical data is employed. The maximum likelihood smoother is employed in the trend plus stochastic cycle methodology of Koopman et al. (2009) to estimate the model. It is found here that there have no deficiencies in the diagnostics of normality, auxiliary, prediction, and forecast. And residual diagnostics also present that it is nicely fitted with this model. Empirical results clearly show that there have strong correlations between the GDP and HCE in irregular components in both the countries of Nepal and Pakistan. Finally, in both slope and cycle, the correlations between GDP and HCE of Nepal and Pakistan are found perfectly positive in the short and long run.
Download original form http://ijsab.com/wpcontent/uploads/2017/02/101.pdf
The Analyzes Of Scalogram, Performance-Importance And Hierarchy Process For G...inventionjournals
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Humanities and Social Science. IJHSSI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Humanities and Social Science, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
The year 2010 saw major economies registering modest growth and India on a balanced growth path. India story gained primacy at the beginning of 2010, with the changing market scenarios across the world.
The outlook is more or less stable across sectors over the
months. The optimism of early 2010 was further
strengthened due to a positive economic outlook, but the
recent political developments marked with scandals have
made an impact on the overall business confidence, albeit
marginal. Employment generation has remained stable and
upbeat in most of the sectors. However, continuous
inflation, price of raw materials and intermediate industrial
products, scams involving ministers and so on have created
some caution in the minds of entrepreneurs. The
movement of skilled workforce within the sector continued
during the 4th Quarter of 2010. The change in
employment across sectors is given in the table below.
The employment scenario during any specific time period
needs to be viewed from the perspective of various
activities and at several fronts, for a considerable period.
This section has presented the estimated employment
numbers with expectations for different sectors of the
Indian economy. It also lists some of the issues that might
have an impact on the employment scenario, either directly
or indirectly. This will help correlate between the trends
observed regarding employment and economic as well as
political fundamentals.
The BFSI sector is expected to add 116,240
jobs in 2011.
The stable and positive sentiment at the economic front continues
to help the BFSI sector to grow further during the 4th Quarter of
2010. Responses from the BFSI companies indicate that almost
similar condition will prevail during the first two quarters of 2011
as well as for the entire year. The sector is cautiously optimistic
about growth of employment numbers.
The raise of Repo and Reverse Repo rates by RBI on 25th January
2011 has caused an increase of Repo rate by 175 basis points and
Reverse Repo rate by 225 basis points, since March 2010. CRR has
increased by 100 basis points during the same time.
Inflation has remained a cause for concern over the past months
and is expected to continue for a few more months to come.
However, the response to structural causes of inflation needs to be
through reallocation of resources across sectors. Short term
measures like interest rate hikes, though manage to contain
inflation to a moderate level are not strong enough to sustain
growth. .
The recent RBI report on the Micro Finance sector has
recommended several checks to resolve the issues and improve
transparency. However, observations have also been made
regarding the “Recovery Culture” in the financial sector and its
adverse effects on the customers. This is an important observation
made by RBI, in view of the recent measures taken by the Andhra
Pradesh Government to regulate the recovery of loans from the
small borrowers by the MFIs. However, the drive towards financial
inclusion will certainly play a positive role in employment
generation in this sector.
Bank credit to commercial sector is increasing steadily, which is
one of the major driving forces for the banking sector in the
country.
Insurance sector, both life and general, has witnessed a positive
sentiment in the 4th Quarter as compared to the previous ones
and is expected to do better in coming months.
The Education, Training and Consulting sector
is expected to add 107,500 jobs in 2011.
Education sector continued to contribute significantly to the
employment base of the country during the last Quarter of 2010.
The sector is expected to grow at similar rate during the first
couple of Quarters of 2011. However, the expectation regarding
growth for the entire calendar year of 2011 is slightly lower
compared to the first two Quarters of the year.
The regulatory ambiguity still remains the biggest impediment that
holds back the sector’s transformation into one of country’s
largest industry
The TeamLease Employment Outlook Report: July-September 2011valuvox
The quarterly TeamLease Employment Outlook Report provides human resource policy and decision makers a forward looking tool that tracks hiring sentiments in the market. The report carries an insight into what businesses of various sizes – across the country and across industry sectors – have on their talent acquisition anvil for the immediate next three months. The Employment Outlook Survey is carried out, and the analysis done, in the preceding quarter.
Employment continued to edge up in June (+80,000), and the
unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics reported today. Professional and business services added jobs,
and employment in other major industries changed little over the month.
A Review of the Uttarakhand’s Industrial Policies and Their PerformanceYogeshIJTSRD
In todays world, a nations economic development cannot be addressed without acknowledging industrialization. Industrial development is mostly based on the industrial profile of the particular states countries. This study reviews Uttarakhands industrial policies and their performance toward the growth of industrial units and generating new employment opportunities. The data sources of the study are published reports of Uttarakhands government departments and other secondary sources. Uttarakhand launched many industrial policies and set up SIIDCUL to develop industries SIIDCUL developed industrial infrastructure and attracted investors. The result shows that the industrial policies of Uttarakhand are favourable for the state in terms of attracting investors, generating employment opportunities, and pushing the state to an industrial hub. Industrial policies gave many tax concessions to investors and also made a single window clearance facility for investors. These industrial policies also have the intention of reviving the states sick units. The impact of these industrial policies is the contribution of the secondary sector increase in the gross state domestic product, and this sector also generated new employment opportunities in the industrial sector. Rajinder Singh | Prof. B. K. Agrawal "A Review of the Uttarakhand’s Industrial Policies and Their Performance" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-5 , August 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd45077.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/humanities-and-the-arts/economics/45077/a-review-of-the-uttarakhand’s-industrial-policies-and-their-performance/rajinder-singh
A Dissertation Report On "Study Of Net Interest Margin {NIM} Of Selected INDIAN Public & Private Sector Banks"
Has Undertaken 10 Years Financial Data Of Selected Banks i.e. 2008-2017 for the Study.
The Effect of Organizational Culture on Organizational Performance: Mediating...theijes
The purpose of this study was to determine and analysis the effect of Organizational Cultural on Organizational Performance mediating by Knowledge Management and Strategic Planning. Samples were taken used purposive sampling taking officials of each Head of Department, and Echelon III and IV in Local Revenue Offices Kendari were 42 respondents. Method of data analysis in this study used Partial Least Square (PLS). The results of this study showed that f Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Organizational Performance. Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Knowledge management. Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Strategic planning. Knowledge management has role mediating effect of organizational culture on organizational performance. Strategic planning has role mediating effect of organizational culture on organizational performance. Strategic planning has role mediating effect of knowledge management on organizational performance
UNVEILING FACTORS IN NON-PERFORMING LOANS: EXPLORING THE RURAL ECONOMIC FINAN...indexPub
The Rural Economic Financing Scheme (SPED) programme, initiated by the Ministry of Rural and Regional Development (KKDW), aims to enhance rural areas' development, and uplift the socio-economic status of rural communities. Despite being implemented for two decades since 2001, no comprehensive studies have examined the impact of SPED on entrepreneurs, particularly regarding the implications of financing on their businesses.
ANALYTICALAPPROCH ON ANNUAL SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL DATA OF NCT OF DELHI DURING ...Sarvesh Kumar
In this paper we give the idea for operations of Annual survey of Industrial data for Delhi, NCR for the year 2008-09 to 2011-12 with complete
analysis. The Implementation of Industrial Statistical concept like Process Control, Six Sigma, estimation and forecasting, elasticity, correlation
and regression analysis and other quantitative quality programs, courses and general statistical methods is the big challenges for industry sector
with usual utilization. The new initiative of this work is to analysis the relationship between correlation coefficient and elasticity of major industrial
characteristics with estimation the trend and forecasted for future. The considered major characteristics are input capacity and output of industry
along with net income and total cost. Emphasis has been given on utilization of industrial statistics concept for industry so that optimum
production occurred with best utilization of raw material in limited cost. This paper also established the statistical relationships of interactions in
the labour market between employers and the intervention in these relations by governments/government agencies or others.
The year 2010 saw major economies registering modest growth and India on a balanced growth path. India story gained primacy at the beginning of 2010, with the changing market scenarios across the world.
The outlook is more or less stable across sectors over the
months. The optimism of early 2010 was further
strengthened due to a positive economic outlook, but the
recent political developments marked with scandals have
made an impact on the overall business confidence, albeit
marginal. Employment generation has remained stable and
upbeat in most of the sectors. However, continuous
inflation, price of raw materials and intermediate industrial
products, scams involving ministers and so on have created
some caution in the minds of entrepreneurs. The
movement of skilled workforce within the sector continued
during the 4th Quarter of 2010. The change in
employment across sectors is given in the table below.
The employment scenario during any specific time period
needs to be viewed from the perspective of various
activities and at several fronts, for a considerable period.
This section has presented the estimated employment
numbers with expectations for different sectors of the
Indian economy. It also lists some of the issues that might
have an impact on the employment scenario, either directly
or indirectly. This will help correlate between the trends
observed regarding employment and economic as well as
political fundamentals.
The BFSI sector is expected to add 116,240
jobs in 2011.
The stable and positive sentiment at the economic front continues
to help the BFSI sector to grow further during the 4th Quarter of
2010. Responses from the BFSI companies indicate that almost
similar condition will prevail during the first two quarters of 2011
as well as for the entire year. The sector is cautiously optimistic
about growth of employment numbers.
The raise of Repo and Reverse Repo rates by RBI on 25th January
2011 has caused an increase of Repo rate by 175 basis points and
Reverse Repo rate by 225 basis points, since March 2010. CRR has
increased by 100 basis points during the same time.
Inflation has remained a cause for concern over the past months
and is expected to continue for a few more months to come.
However, the response to structural causes of inflation needs to be
through reallocation of resources across sectors. Short term
measures like interest rate hikes, though manage to contain
inflation to a moderate level are not strong enough to sustain
growth. .
The recent RBI report on the Micro Finance sector has
recommended several checks to resolve the issues and improve
transparency. However, observations have also been made
regarding the “Recovery Culture” in the financial sector and its
adverse effects on the customers. This is an important observation
made by RBI, in view of the recent measures taken by the Andhra
Pradesh Government to regulate the recovery of loans from the
small borrowers by the MFIs. However, the drive towards financial
inclusion will certainly play a positive role in employment
generation in this sector.
Bank credit to commercial sector is increasing steadily, which is
one of the major driving forces for the banking sector in the
country.
Insurance sector, both life and general, has witnessed a positive
sentiment in the 4th Quarter as compared to the previous ones
and is expected to do better in coming months.
The Education, Training and Consulting sector
is expected to add 107,500 jobs in 2011.
Education sector continued to contribute significantly to the
employment base of the country during the last Quarter of 2010.
The sector is expected to grow at similar rate during the first
couple of Quarters of 2011. However, the expectation regarding
growth for the entire calendar year of 2011 is slightly lower
compared to the first two Quarters of the year.
The regulatory ambiguity still remains the biggest impediment that
holds back the sector’s transformation into one of country’s
largest industry
The TeamLease Employment Outlook Report: July-September 2011valuvox
The quarterly TeamLease Employment Outlook Report provides human resource policy and decision makers a forward looking tool that tracks hiring sentiments in the market. The report carries an insight into what businesses of various sizes – across the country and across industry sectors – have on their talent acquisition anvil for the immediate next three months. The Employment Outlook Survey is carried out, and the analysis done, in the preceding quarter.
Employment continued to edge up in June (+80,000), and the
unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics reported today. Professional and business services added jobs,
and employment in other major industries changed little over the month.
A Review of the Uttarakhand’s Industrial Policies and Their PerformanceYogeshIJTSRD
In todays world, a nations economic development cannot be addressed without acknowledging industrialization. Industrial development is mostly based on the industrial profile of the particular states countries. This study reviews Uttarakhands industrial policies and their performance toward the growth of industrial units and generating new employment opportunities. The data sources of the study are published reports of Uttarakhands government departments and other secondary sources. Uttarakhand launched many industrial policies and set up SIIDCUL to develop industries SIIDCUL developed industrial infrastructure and attracted investors. The result shows that the industrial policies of Uttarakhand are favourable for the state in terms of attracting investors, generating employment opportunities, and pushing the state to an industrial hub. Industrial policies gave many tax concessions to investors and also made a single window clearance facility for investors. These industrial policies also have the intention of reviving the states sick units. The impact of these industrial policies is the contribution of the secondary sector increase in the gross state domestic product, and this sector also generated new employment opportunities in the industrial sector. Rajinder Singh | Prof. B. K. Agrawal "A Review of the Uttarakhand’s Industrial Policies and Their Performance" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-5 , August 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd45077.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/humanities-and-the-arts/economics/45077/a-review-of-the-uttarakhand’s-industrial-policies-and-their-performance/rajinder-singh
A Dissertation Report On "Study Of Net Interest Margin {NIM} Of Selected INDIAN Public & Private Sector Banks"
Has Undertaken 10 Years Financial Data Of Selected Banks i.e. 2008-2017 for the Study.
The Effect of Organizational Culture on Organizational Performance: Mediating...theijes
The purpose of this study was to determine and analysis the effect of Organizational Cultural on Organizational Performance mediating by Knowledge Management and Strategic Planning. Samples were taken used purposive sampling taking officials of each Head of Department, and Echelon III and IV in Local Revenue Offices Kendari were 42 respondents. Method of data analysis in this study used Partial Least Square (PLS). The results of this study showed that f Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Organizational Performance. Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Knowledge management. Organizational Cultural has positive and significant effect on Strategic planning. Knowledge management has role mediating effect of organizational culture on organizational performance. Strategic planning has role mediating effect of organizational culture on organizational performance. Strategic planning has role mediating effect of knowledge management on organizational performance
UNVEILING FACTORS IN NON-PERFORMING LOANS: EXPLORING THE RURAL ECONOMIC FINAN...indexPub
The Rural Economic Financing Scheme (SPED) programme, initiated by the Ministry of Rural and Regional Development (KKDW), aims to enhance rural areas' development, and uplift the socio-economic status of rural communities. Despite being implemented for two decades since 2001, no comprehensive studies have examined the impact of SPED on entrepreneurs, particularly regarding the implications of financing on their businesses.
ANALYTICALAPPROCH ON ANNUAL SURVEY OF INDUSTRIAL DATA OF NCT OF DELHI DURING ...Sarvesh Kumar
In this paper we give the idea for operations of Annual survey of Industrial data for Delhi, NCR for the year 2008-09 to 2011-12 with complete
analysis. The Implementation of Industrial Statistical concept like Process Control, Six Sigma, estimation and forecasting, elasticity, correlation
and regression analysis and other quantitative quality programs, courses and general statistical methods is the big challenges for industry sector
with usual utilization. The new initiative of this work is to analysis the relationship between correlation coefficient and elasticity of major industrial
characteristics with estimation the trend and forecasted for future. The considered major characteristics are input capacity and output of industry
along with net income and total cost. Emphasis has been given on utilization of industrial statistics concept for industry so that optimum
production occurred with best utilization of raw material in limited cost. This paper also established the statistical relationships of interactions in
the labour market between employers and the intervention in these relations by governments/government agencies or others.
GAMIFICATION AND RESOURCE POOLING FOR IMPROVING OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY AND EF...IAEME Publication
The authors of this article attempted combining the two methodologies of
gamification and resource pooling with a view to derive the maximum productivity from
the organization drawing certain significant commonalities. Another biggest motive
behind the authors for combining these two techniques is the fact that eCommerce is a
business vertical or a market place where people from all walks of life participate in
online purchases.
overviews on the concept of statistical system, its definition, components, role and future developments, migrating from classical design to a modern one, integrated, and efficient, and highly responsive to new demands.
Accounting Information and Decision Making in the Banking Sector Bank of Agri...ijtsrd
The main aim of this study is to examine accounting information and decision making in the Banking Sector in Nigeria, using Bank of Agriculture in Yenagoa, Bayelsa state as a case study. Data were collected through primary and secondary sources. Survey data were obtained from respondents using questionnaire. The collected and validated questionnaires were analyzed using frequency tables and percentage. While the hypotheses were tested using chi square statistical tool. The result of the findings reveals that Bank of Agriculture relies on accounting information as a tool for decision making, Accounting information is effective in decision making. The findings also revealed that accounting information have contributed to the profitability of the organization, the quality of accounting information was a key factor in decision making. In regard to the findings, the study recommends that banks should continue to improve the quality of their accounting information and the use of it in decision making. Specifically, bank of Agriculture should ensure that their accounting information is accurate and complete, and that they have robust systems in place to verify and validate the information. In addition, they should train their staff to properly interpret and use accounting information. Dokubo Otonbarapagaha Ebifamini "Accounting Information and Decision Making in the Banking Sector (Bank of Agriculture)" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-7 | Issue-6 , December 2023, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd61300.pdf Paper Url: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/61300/accounting-information-and-decision-making-in-the-banking-sector-bank-of-agriculture/dokubo-otonbarapagaha-ebifamini
Accounting Information and Decision Making in the Banking Sector Bank of Agri...
Final_project_report_67_Sri
1. Project Report
On
Poolability Analysis of NSS 67th
Round
Central and Delhi State Sample
For
Unincorporated Non-Agricultural
Enterprises
(Excluding Construction)
Sponsored by
Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation(MOSPI)
Under the Scheme for
Internship of post-graduate/research student
during 2015-16
Made By:
Srimoyee Bose
M.Sc. Statistics
2. PAGE 2
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Every project big or small is successful largely dueto theeffort of a number of
brilliant people who havealways given their valuableadviceor lent a helping hand.
I sincerely appreciatethe inspiration; support and guidanceof all those peoplewho
havebeen instrumental in making this project a success.
I, SrimoyeeBose,thestudent of RamjasCollege (UniversityOf Delhi), am extremely
gratefulto DirectorateofEconomics &Statistics for theconfidencebestowed in me
and entrusting my project entitled “OperationalandFinancial Characteristics of
UnincorporatedNon-AgriculturalEnterprises(ExcludingConstruction) in Delhi”
withspecial reference to MinistryofStatistics and Programme Implementation
(MOSPI).
At this juncture I feel deeply honoured in expressing my sincere thanks to Mr. C.K.
Duttafor making theresources availableat right time and providing valuable
insights leading to the successful completion of my project.
I express my gratitudeto Department of Statistics for arranging thesummer
training in goodschedule. I alsoextend my gratitudeto Mr. PraveenSrivastava and
Mr. Hemant, who assisted mein compiling theproject.
3. PAGE 3
I would alsoliketothank Mr. PraveenChaurasiafor his critical adviceand guidance
without which this project would not havebeen possible.
Any omission in this brief acknowledgement does not mean lack of gratitude.
CONTENTS
Ch.No TOPIC Page No.
01.
Introduction & Background
a. OrganizationalStructure
b. Scheduleof Surveys
c. Background of DES
d. States participation in NSS
e. Need for Pooling
d. States participation in NSS
e. about NSS 67th
Round
f. Need for Pooling
g. Errors in Survey :
Sampling & Non-sampling errors
5-10
02.
Overview of 67th
round
a. Sampling Design & Estimation Procedure
b. Concepts & Definitions
c. Classificationof Enterprises (NIC-2008)
11 - 14
03. Methodology & Analysis
1. Methodology
2. Pooling of data
3. Non- Parametric Tests
a. MultinomialTests
b. Wald-Wolfowitz Runs Test
15-34
4. PAGE 4
c. Poolability Test Result
2. Methods of Pooling
a. InverseVariance
b. Weighted Average
c. Poolability Analysis
3. Relative StandardError
4. Divergence
04. Conclusion & Suggestions 35 – 39
OBJECTIVE
The main objective of our project is the
Poolability Analysis of NSS 67th
Round,
Sch.2.34 data of Unincorporated Non-
Agricultural Enterprises (Excluding
Construction)
Delhi,
for State and Central sample.
5. PAGE 5
INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
The National Sample Survey (NSS) was set up in 1950 under Indian
Statistical Institute (ISI), to bridge large gaps in statistical data
needed for planning, policy formulation and computation of national
income aggregates, especially in respect of the unorganized and
household sector of the economy. The NSS was re-organized into
National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) in 1972 under the Ministry of
Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI).
Organizational structure:
The NSSO is headed by the DG & CEO
NSSO has 4 Divisions
Survey Design & Research Division (SDRD)
Located at Kolkata
Field Operations Division (FOD)
Headquarter located at New Delhi & Faridabad
Six Zonal offices located at Bangalore, Kolkata, Guwahati,
Jaipur, Lucknow and Nagpur,
49 field offices at Regional level and 118 field offices at sub-
regional level spread over India
Data Processing Division (DPD)
Headquarter is located at Kolkata
8 Data processing centres located at Kolkata, Nagpur, Delhi,
Giridih, Ahmedabad and Bangalore
Coordination & Publication Division (CPD)
Headquarter located at New Delhi
6. PAGE 6
Schedule of Surveys:
Ten Year Cycle
Consumer Expenditure and Employment &
Unemployment – Twice
Social Consumption (health, education etc.) - Twice
Un-organised Manufacturing - Twice
Un-organised services – Twice
Land & Livestock holdings - Once
Open Round – Once
(Special surveys are also undertaken)
Annual Consumer Expenditure and Employment &
Unemployment Surveys (thin sample)
NSSO has been conducting nationwide multi-subject, integrated,
large-scale sample surveys in the form of successive rounds covering
various aspects of social, economic, demographic, industrial and
agricultural statistics. These surveys are undertaken striking a balance
between the urgent and contemporary need for reliable statistical data
on different topics and the constraints of limited resources, both
physical and financial.
Certain topics like labour force, household consumer expenditure,
social consumption, housing condition of people, and unorganized
non-agricultural enterprise surveys, household land and live stock
holding and debt and investment are repeated at decadal intervals.
The remaining years are for open rounds in which subjects of
current/special interest are undertaken on the demand of other
Central Ministries, and national and international organizations, etc.
NSSO has become synonymous with reliable estimates on various
aspects of economic and social life in India based on large scale sample
surveys.
Background about Directorate of Economics &
Statistics, Delhi
Directorate of Economics & Statistics is nodal department of National
Capital Territory of Delhi for collection, compilation, analysis and
presentation of statistical data and information. The Directorate of
Economics & Statistics also works as the Office of Chief Registrar
7. PAGE 7
Births & Deaths. Director is the Chief Registrar, Births & Deaths for
NCT of Delhi.
States participation in NSS:
The States started participating in the programme of collecting socio-
economic data on the same subjects from the 8th round (July 1954-
June1955) of NSS using the same concepts, definitions and procedures
and by adopting the same sample design based on independently
drawn sample as that ofNSSO.
These two field operations are generally referred as central and State
samples of the National Sample Survey.
Sample sizes of central and state samples are equal for most of the
States/UTs (equal matching sample). But there are some states where
the number of samples surveyed by state statistical agencies is double
that of the size of central samples
One of the objectives of states participation in the NSS programme is
to provide a mechanism by which sample size will be increased and
the pooling of the two sets of data would enable better estimates at
lower sub state level, particularly at district level. At the State level,
this will result in increased precision of the estimates and at
disaggregated level, estimates will be more stable. But the major
benefit will be derived in the case of estimates are generated at sub-
state level like NSS regions/districts.
Need for Pooling
It has been observed for quite some time that the results and reports
presented by Government about various parameters (e.g. employment
rate ,GDP etc) of our country is far away from actual situation which is
mainly due to mainly sampling and non-sampling errors.
In order to get precision in the estimated values, one needs to get as
much data as possible. This can be done with the help of pooling.
Pooling helps us increasing the sample by combining the central data
and state data. It is a new technique which aims at providing reliable
results for our parameters.
The harmonization of data processing process is one of the key
essences for pooling the different sets of data. The state sample data
8. PAGE 8
should be processed using the same set of validation rules as in the
case of central sample data. Accordingly, it is essential that the State
sample data is processed, ensuring the use of same data entry layout as
in the case of Central sample. If the States are evolving their own data
layout, as per their convenience, then the state data should be put in
the layout, harmonized of that with the Central data for using the
same software developed for central samples.
ABOUT NSS 67th
ROUND:
During 67th
round (1st
July 2010 to 30th
June 20ll),NSSO carried out an
all-India enterprise survey on unincorporated non-agricultural
enterprises in manufacturing, trade and other service sector excluding
construction and electricity, gas and water supply. The main aim was
to get estimates of various economic and operational characteristics of
these concerned enterprises at National as well as State level.
The survey was designed to estimate value of key characteristics per
enterprise like average no. of workers, fixed assets, outstanding loans,
total receipts, total operating expenses and gross value added
separately for ‘Own Account Enterprises (OAEs)’ and ‘Establishments’.
Information on various operational characteristics like ownership,
nature of operation, location, status of registration etc., were also
collected to have an insight into economic scenario of the
unincorporated non-agricultural enterprises in the country. These
economic and operational indicators are required for planning, policy
and decision making at various levels, both within the government
and outside.
Following parameters has been considered for Poolability testing
and analysis of NSS 67th
Round, Sch.2.34 data ofUnincorporated
Non-Agricultural Enterprises (Excluding Construction) in Delhi.
TYPE OF ENTERPRISE
9. PAGE 9
TYPE OF WORKER
BROAD ACTIVITY TYPE
GROSS VALUE ADDED (GVA)
GROSS VALUE ADDED PER ENTERPRISE
The eligibility criterion for an enterprise to be covered in survey is at-
least 30 days of operation (15 for seasonal enterprises and self-help
groups) in the reference year.
SAMPLING & NON-SAMPLING ERRORS
The errors involvedin the collection, processing and analysis of a data
may be broadly classified under the following two heads:
Sampling errors
Non sampling errors
Sampling Errors
Sampling error arises in a data collection process as a result of taking a
sample from a population rather than using the whole population
primarily due to:
Improper selection of sample in a survey
Wrong usage of sub population in selection of sample
Non – Sampling Errors
Non-sampling error arises in a data collection process as a result of
factors other than taking a sample. The errors exist both in sample
surveys and censuses. These errors have the potential to cause bias in
polls, surveys or samples. They may primarily arise due to:
Coverage or frame error: If units are not represented in the
frame but should have been part of the same, it results in zero
probability of selection for those units omitted from the frame.
10. PAGE 10
On the other hand if some units are duplicated, it results in
over-coverage with such units having larger probabilities of
selection.
Response errors: Response errors result when data is
incorrectly requested, provided, received or recorded. These
errors may occur because of inefficiencies with the
questionnaire, the interviewer, the respondent or the survey
process.
1. Poor questionnaire design - It is essential that sample
survey or census questions are worded carefully in order to
avoid introducing bias. If questions are misleading or
confusing, then the responses may end up being distorted.
2. Interview bias- An interviewer can influence how a
respondent answers the survey questions. This may occur
when the interviewer is too friendly or prompts the
respondent.
3. Respondent errors - Respondents can also provide incorrect
answers. Faulty recollections, tendencies to exaggerate, and
inclinationsto give 'socially desirable'answersare few reasons
why a respondent may give an incorrect answer.
Non-response errors- Non-response errors are the result of
not having obtained sufficient answers to survey questions.
There are two types of non-response errors complete and
partial.
Processing errors - Processing errors are those which
sometimes emerge during the preparation of the final data files.
Estimation errors - If an inappropriate estimation method is
used, then bias can still be introduced, regardless of how
11. PAGE 11
errorless the survey had been before the estimation process.
Analysis errors - Analysis errors are those that occur when
using the wrong analytical tools or when the preliminary results
are provided instead of the final ones. Errors that occur during
the publication of data results are also considered analysis
errors.
12. PAGE 12
OVERVIEW OF 67TH ROUND
Sampling Design And EstimationProcedure:
The field work of 67th
round was carried out during 1st
July
2010 to 30th
June 2011. The entire survey period was divided
into four sub-rounds of three-month duration each and
equal number of sample villagesand blocks were
allocatedto each sub-round.
During this round the followingtwo schedule of enquiry were
canvassed:
a. Schedule 0.0 : list of households and non-agricultural
enterprises
b. Schedule 2.34 : unincorporatednon-agricultural
enterprises( excluding construction)
However we are concerned with Schedule 2.34
A total of 424 FSUs (16 villagesand 408 urban blocks) were
allotted for Delhi as state sample. All the 424FSUs were
surveyed for canvassingSchedule 2.34.
A stratified multi-stage design was adopted for the 67th
round.
The first stage units (FSU) are the census villages in the
rural sector and Urban Frame Survey (UFS) blocks in the
urban sector. The ultimate stage units (USU) are
enterprises in both the sectors. In case of large FSUs, one
intermediate stage of sampling is the selection of three
hamlet-groups (hgs)/ sub-blocks (sbs) from each large rural/
urban FSU.
Two basic strata were formed at the state/UT level, viz.,
rural stratum and urban stratum.
13. PAGE 13
For rural sector, if ‘r’ was the sample size allocatedfor a rural
stratum, the number of sub-strata formed was ‘r/4’ and from
each sub-stratum, sample villages were selected with
Probability Proportional to Size With Replacement
(PPSWR), size being the population of the villages as per
Census 2001.
For urban sector, if ‘u’ was the sample size for an urban
stratum, the number of sub-strata formed was ‘u/4’ and from
each sub-stratum, FSUs were selected by Simple Random
Sampling without Replacement (SRSWOR). Enterprises
listed in the selected FSU/sub-FSU were stratified into19
second stage strata (SSS), from which sample households
were selected by SRSWOR.
A sample of 16000 FSUs for central sample and 18248
FSUs for state sample have been allocated at all-India level.
Concepts And Definitions:
1. ENTERPRISE:
An enterprise is an undertaking which is engaged in the
production and/or distribution of some goods and/or
services meant mainly for the purpose of sale, whether
fully or partly. An enterprise may be owned and operated
by a single household or by several households jointly, or
by an institutional body.
2. MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISE:
A manufacturing enterprise is a unit engaged in the
physical or chemical transformation of materials,
substances or components into new products. The units
primarily engaged in maintenance and repair of industrial,
commercial and similar machinery and equipment can also
be included in manufacturing enterprise. The production
14. PAGE 14
of goods for the sole purpose of domestic consumption was
not considered as manufacturing
3. TRADING ENTERPRISE:
A trading enterprise is an undertaking engaged in trade.
Trade is defined to be an act of purchase of goods and their
disposal by way of sale without any intermediate physical
transformation of goods.
4. SERVICING ENTERPRISE:
A servicing enterprise is engaged in activities carried out
for the benefit of a consuming unit and typically consists of
changes in the condition of consuming units realized by
the activities of servicing unit at the demand of the
consuming unit. It is possible for a unit to produce a
service for its own consumption provided by the type of
activity is such that it could have been carried out by
another unit.
5. OWN ACCOUNT ENTERPRISE (OAE):
An enterprise which is run without any hired worker
employed on a fairly basis is termed as an own account
enterprise.
6. ESTABLISHMENT:
An enterprise which is employing at least one hired
worker on a fairly basis is termed as establishment. Paid or
unpaid apprentices, paid household member/
servant/residentworker in an enterprise are considered as
hired worker.
7. WORKER:
A worker is defined as all persons working within the
premises of the enterprises who are in the payroll of the
enterprise as also the working owners and unpaid family
workers. Salespersons appointed by an enterprise for
selling its services and apprentices, paid or unpaid were
also treated as workers.
15. PAGE 15
8. REFERENCE PERIOD:
Last 30 days preceding the date of survey or last month has
been used as the reference period to collect most of the
data.
Classification Of Enterprise (NIC2008)
a. MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISE :
All the activities covered in divisions 10 to 33 of NIC-
2008 are considered as manufacturing for the purpose
of the survey. In addition to this NIC-2008 division
01632 is covered in the present survey.
b. TRADING ENTERPRISE :
All the activities covered in divisions 45 to 47 of NIC-
2008 are considered as trade for the purpose of the
survey.
c. SERVICING ENTERPRISE :
All the activitiescovered in divisions 50 to 96 of NIC-
2008 are considered as manufacturing for the
purpose of the survey. In addition to this, NIC-2008
divisions 37 to 39, 643, 649, 661 to 663, 771 to 773, 941,
949 are considered as servicing enterprises and
covered in the present survey.
NIC-2008 divisions 36, 491, 49212, 49213, 493, 51, 641, 642, 6611, 774,
942, 9491 (organisationsonly), 9492 are outside the coverage of the
survey.
16. PAGE 16
METHODOLOGY
SPSS and Microsoft Excel have been used to test and pool the data and
the following methodology is has been used:
1. TESTING:Complete analysis and poolability testing is based on
non-parametric tests mainly Chi-Square Goodness of fit Test to
test if the data of both the centre and the state follows the same
distribution or not, and hence they are actually poolable or not.
2. POOLED ESTIMATES: Estimates were calculated using ‘Inverse
Variance Method’ and ‘Weighted Average Method’.
3. RSE:In this report we will also calculate the SE and RSE for
checking the percentage of errors and its deviation from central
point. After getting the value of RSE for Urban and rural sectors
of state and central level data we need to pool that RSE to check
the percentage of error which is likely to occur at the time of
pooling.
4. The parameters which passed the tests were pooled and the
results have beenpublished henceforth.
17. PAGE 17
POOLING OF DATA
Condition:
The harmonization of data processing process is one of the key
essences for pooling the different sets of data. The state sample
data should be processed using the same set of validation rules as
in the case of central sample data.
Need for testing:
Though the central sample and state sample are drawn
independently following identical sampling design with same
concepts, definitions and instructions to collect the state sample
data but due to lack of adequate training of field and processing
staff of State/UTs, the data files in some cases are not properly
validated. There is also expected agency bias in the two sets of
data generated by different agencies. As such they cannot be
merged for generating pooled estimate. Therefore one needs to
test that the samples are coming from identical distribution
function. Since the parametric distribution of the sample mean is
unknown one may adopt non-parametric tests such as Wald-
Wolfowitz Runs test, Multinomial Distribution test to test
that the samples are coming from identical distribution function.
Methodologyof pooling:
Two alternate methods are used in pooling the central and state
sample data.
o Weighting by Matching ratio: Building aggregate
estimate of pooled sample in proportion matching ratio m:
n of central and state sample aggregate estimate where m
and n are the allotted sample for central and state sample
separately for rural and urban sector. It leads to building
ratio estimate of pooled sample as ratio of aggregate
estimates.
o Weighting by Inverse of Variance: Ratio estimates are
built by weighting the ratio estimate of central and state
sample in proportion to inverse of variance of ratio of the
central and state sample.
18. PAGE 18
NON-PARAMETRIC TESTS:
Multinomial Distribution Test (χ2
test for goodness of fit)
For discrete data such as status of activity, educational level and
categorical variable such as land possessed etc, standard tests of
equality of sample proportions of two sets of data based on
multinomial distributions, relevant chi-square tests may be used
after grouping the attributes/categorical variables in to a suitable
number of classes so that each class contains adequate number of
sample observations. Construct 2 X k contingency table for k classes
at the domain where two sets of data are to be pooled as below and
use chi-square test if State sample and Central sample have identical
distribution.
Sample-type
No of sample observation
Total
Class-1 Class-2 ... Class-k-1 Class-k
State Sample N11 N12 ... N1k-1 N1k N1.
Central Sample N21 N22 ... N2k-1 N2k N2.
Total N.1 N.2 ... N.k-1 N.k N..
H0: Two samples come from populations having same
distributions.
H1: Two samples come from populations having different
distributions.
Test – Statistic:
19. PAGE 19
where,
= Pearson'scumulative test statistic, which asymptotically
approaches a distribution.
= Observed Frequency = Nij
= Total number of observations
= Expected (theoretical) frequency
= (Ni. * N.j)/N..where i= 1 to 2, j= 1 to k.
Degrees of Freedom = (2-1)*(k-1) where k = no of columns
Fisher Yates table gives the tabulated value of chi square at (2-
1)*(k-1)d.f. at 5% level of significance.
Decision Rule: If 𝜒2
≥ Tabulated value then Reject H0
NOTE: If k = 2, then the contingency table becomes of order 2x2
Sample-type
No of sample
observation
Total
Class-1 Class-2
State Sample N11 N12 N1.
Central Sample N21 N22 N2.
Total N.1 N.2 N..
𝜒2
=
𝑁..(𝑁11 ∗ 𝑁22 – 𝑁12 ∗ 𝑁21 )2
(𝑁1. ∗ 𝑁.1 ∗ 𝑁2. ∗ 𝑁.2)
Degrees of Freedom = (2-1)*(2-1) = 1
Fisher Yates table gives the tabulated value of chi square at 1 d.f. at
5% level of significance.
Decision Rule: If 𝜒2
≥ Tabulated value then Reject H0
20. PAGE 20
Wald-Wolfowitz run test
The run test is used to examine whether two random samples come
from populations having same distribution. This test can detect
differences in averages or spread or any other important aspect
between the two populations. This test is efficient when each
sample size is moderately large (greater than or equal to 10).
H0: Two samples come from populations having same
distributions.
H1: Two samples come from populations having different
distributions.
Test Statistic:Let‘r’ denote the number of runs. To obtain r list the
n1+n2observationsfrom two samples in order of magnitude. Denote
observations from one sample by x’s and other by y’s. Count the
number of runs.
Critical Value:Difference in location results in few runs and
difference in spread also results in few numbers of runs.
Consequently the critical region for this test is always one-sided.
The critical value to decide whether or not the number of runs, are
few, is obtained from the table. The table gives critical value rc for
n1 (size of sample 1) and n2 (size of sample 2) at 5% level of
significance.
Decision Rule:If r ≤ rc Reject H0
Large Sample Sizes: For sample sizes larger than 20 critical
value rc is given as :
𝑟𝑐 = µ − 1.96𝜎
whereµ = 1 +
2𝑛1 𝑛2
𝑛1+ 𝑛2
& 𝜎 = √
2𝑛1 𝑛2( 2𝑛1 𝑛2−𝑛1−𝑛2)
(𝑛1+ 𝑛2)2(𝑛1+ 𝑛2−1)
21. PAGE 21
ANAYLSIS OF POOLABILITY TEST
The Parametric and Non-Parametric test is applied for Poolability
Testing and analysis of NSS 67th
Round data as per nature of
parameters.
Non-Parametric test having capacity to analysis two types of data i.e.
Continuous and Discrete with the help of Chi-square test and Run
test.
Run test is applied for those parameters that are continuous in
nature; however Chi-square test is applied for discrete nature of
parameters.
The Parameters like Type ofenterprise, Type ofworker, Broadactivity
type is testedby Chi-square test due to discrete nature however Run
test is applied on Gross value added (GVA) andGross value added
(GVA) per enterprisedue to Continuous nature.
The chi square Goodness of fit test at 1% and 5% level of significance
has been applied for rural and urban areas of Delhi for poolability test
of parameters like Type of Enterprises, Type of Workers and Broad
Activities.
Null hypothesis has been accepted at 1% level of significance for the
parameters like Type of Enterprises and Broad Activities. However,
the null hypothesis is rejected for Type of Enterprises at 5% level of
significance for rural sectorindicating that non-sampling errors are in
large magnitude.
The null hypothesis has been rejected at both 1% and 5% level of
significance in both rural and urban sectors.
Wald-Wolfowitz run test has been applied for rural and urban areas
of Delhi for poolability test of Gross Value Added of all enterprises at
1% and 5% level of significance.
The null hypothesis has been accepted at 1% and 5% level of
significance for both sectors i.e. rural and urban.
22. PAGE 22
METHODS OF POOLING
We first divide the central samples and state samples into two
independent sub-sample namely A & B to use the following
methods.
Inverse Variance :
The estimates for state andcentral can be computed respectively
as:
𝑡 𝑠 =
𝑡 𝑠1
+ 𝑡 𝑠2
2
& 𝑡 𝑐 =
𝑡 𝑐1
+ 𝑡 𝑐2
2
where,
𝑡 𝑠1
& 𝑡 𝑠2
are resp aggregates of sub samples A and B of state
sample
𝑡 𝑐1& 𝑡 𝑐2 are resp aggregates of sub samples A and B of central
sample
Pooled estimate leading to optimum combination of these two
estimates is given byweighing with inverse of the variance of the
estimate. Thus the pooled estimate is given by:
𝑇𝑝 =
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐) 𝑡 𝑠 + 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑠) 𝑡 𝑐
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐)+ 𝑉(𝑡 𝑠 )
&𝑉(𝑇𝑝) =
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐) 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑠)
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐)+ 𝑉(𝑡 𝑠 )
In general 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐) and 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑠) are unknown and can be estimated as
𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑠) =
(𝑡 𝑠1
−𝑡 𝑠2
)2
4
&𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑐 ) =
(𝑡 𝑐1
−𝑡 𝑐2
)2
4
Thus pooled estimate and estimated of pooled variance is given
by
𝑡 𝑝 =
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑐) 𝑡 𝑠 + 𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑠) 𝑡 𝑐
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑐)+ 𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑠 )
&𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑝) =
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑐) 𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑠)
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑐)+ 𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑠 )
By virtue of weighing the two estimates at the domain level at
which twoestimates are pooled, the pooled estimate will always
lie between the central and statesample estimates.
23. PAGE 23
WeightedAverage :
When the State’s participation is of unequal matching of central
samples, theweighted average of two estimates with weights
being matching ratio of central and statesample may be a better
way of combining the estimates considering central and
statesamples as independent samples.
Let matching ratio of state and central sample be m : n.
Based on this, the respective estimates for state and central can
be computed as:
𝑡 𝑠 =
𝑡 𝑠1
+ 𝑡 𝑠2
2
& 𝑡 𝑐 =
𝑡 𝑐1
+ 𝑡 𝑐2
2
where,
𝑡 𝑠1
& 𝑡 𝑠2
are resp aggregates of sub samples A and B of state
sample
𝑡 𝑐1
& 𝑡 𝑐2
are resp aggregates of sub samples A and B of central
sample
Pooled estimate of these two estimates is given by weighingwith
matching participation ratem:n. Thus the pooled estimate is
given by:
𝑡 𝑝 =
𝑚𝑡 𝑠 + 𝑛𝑡 𝑐
𝑚+𝑛
& 𝑉(𝑇𝑝) =
𝑚2
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑠) + 𝑛2
𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐)
(𝑚+𝑛)2
In general 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑐) and 𝑉( 𝑡 𝑠) are unknown and can be estimated as
𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑠) =
(𝑡 𝑠1
−𝑡 𝑠2
)2
4
&𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑐 ) =
(𝑡 𝑐1
−𝑡 𝑐2
)2
4
Thus pooled estimate and estimated of pooled variance is given
by
𝑉ˆ(𝑡 𝑝) =
𝑛2
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑐) + 𝑚2
𝑉ˆ( 𝑡 𝑠)
(𝑚 + 𝑛)2
The pooled estimate will always lie between the estimates based
on central and state sampleseparately.
24. PAGE 24
POOLABILITY ANALYSIS
Type of Enterprises:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD
The pooled number of Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises
of State & Centre was estimated to be 1153521. Out of them 27626
(2.27%) were in rural areas and 1128503(97.83%) were in urban areas of
Delhi.
Out of the total enterprises 651390 (56.46%) were Own–Account
Enterprises and 502326 (43.54%) were Establishments.
Estimates of Rural + Urban obtained, are closer to those obtained
under State as compared to Centre
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD
The pooled number of Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises
of State & Centre was estimated to be 1139089. Out of them 26178
(2.30%) were in rural areas and 1112911(97.7%) were in urban areas of
Delhi.
Out of the total enterprises 635572 (55.8%) were Own–Account
Enterprises and 503517 (44.2%) were Establishments.
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD vs. WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD
For Type of Enterprises, we observe that the inverse variance method
has lesser variation than weighted average method, hence making it
the better method.
25. PAGE 25
Broad Activity Type:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD
The pooled numbers of broad activities of Unincorporated Non-
Agricultural Enterprises of State & Centre are estimated to be
1140863. Out of them 26028 were in rural areas and 1117152 were in
urban areas of Delhi.
Out of total Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises, Trade
accounted for 41.22%, the share of Other Services was 37.58% and
Manufacturing constituted 21.20%.
Estimates of Rural + Urban obtained, are closer to those obtained
under State as compared to Centre
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD
The pooled numbers of broad activities of Unincorporated Non-
Agricultural Enterprises of State & Centre are estimated to be
1120809. Out of them 26195 were in rural areas and 1094614 were in
urban areas of Delhi.
Out of the total enterprises 635572 (55.8%) were Own–Account
Enterprises and 503517 (44.2%) were Establishments.
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD vs. WEIGHTED AVERAGE
METHOD
For Broad Activity Type we observe that the inverse variance method
has lesser variation than weighted average method, hence making it a
better method.
26. PAGE 26
Gross Value Added:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) for pooled number of
enterprises lies between State & Centre was calculated to be
Rs.37510418687.
Out of total Gross Value Added, rural sector accounted for 1.38%, and
the share of urban sector was 98.62%
Estimates of Rural + Urban obtained, are closer to those obtained under
State as compared to Centre
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) for pooled number of
enterprises lies between State & Centre was calculated to be
Rs.34295707983.
Out of total Gross Value Added, rural sector accounted for 2.28%, and
the share of urban sector was 97.72%
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD vs. WEIGHTED AVERAGE
METHOD
For, Gross Value Added, we observe that the inverse variance method
has lesser variation than weighted average method, hence making it a
better method.
27. PAGE 27
RELATIVE STANDARD ERROR (RSE)
Gauzing the size of entire population and deriving results out of it, in
any essence is an arduous and cumbersome task. Probability theory
and statistics being that branch of science which deals with the same,
uses the concepts of surveys, sample and standard error. Statisticians
use standard errorsto construct confidence intervalsfrom their
surveyed data. Confidence intervalsare important for determiningthe
validity of empirical tests and research.
Standard error is however not to be confused with standard deviation,
latter referringto variability in the given sample and former showing
the variability of the sampling distribution itself.
Estimates for any parameter are formulated on the basis of a sample
collected from a population, rather than the population itself. The
error induced due to non-inclusion of the entire population refersto
standard error. The standard error is an absolute measure between the
sample survey and the total population. It affects the accuracy of the
estimates.
The Relative Standard Error (RSE) is the standard error expressed as a
fraction of the estimate and is usually displayed as a percentage.
Estimates with a RSE of 25% or greater are subject to high
sampling error and should be used with utmost caution.
The relative standard error shows if the standard error is large relative
to the results. Thus, large relative standard errorssuggest the results
are not significant and further investigation is mandatory.
28. PAGE 28
The reliability of estimates can also be assessed in terms of a
confidence interval. Confidence intervals represent the range in
which the population value is likely to lie. They are constructed
using the estimate of the population value and its associated standard
error.
For example, there is approximately a 95% chance (i.e. 19 chances in
20) that the population value lies within two standard errors of the
estimates, so the 95% confidence interval is equal to the estimate plus
or minus two standard errors.
Formula:
𝑆. 𝐸(𝑥)
𝑥
∗ 100
WhereS.E = standard error of the estimate of a concernedparameter
x = the value of the estimator of a concerned parameter
Decision Criteria:
The general rule to tolerate error:
Estimate havingRSE less than or equal to 5% is firmly considered
as an excellentestimate.
Estimate havingRSE between 5% and 10% is considered as a
good estimate.
Estimate havingRSE between 10% and 15% is considered as an
average estimate.
Estimate havingRSE beyond 15% strongly indicates that estimate
needs to be further investigated.
29. PAGE 29
ANALYSIS OF RELATIVE STANDARD
ERROR (RSE)
Type of Enterprise:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD (I.V.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE for OAE and total is well within
range of 6%. For Establishment, RSE is acceptable at margin of
10%.
In case of Urban Sector, all the RSEs are well within acceptable
range.
In case of Rural+ Urban, all RSEs are within 4%.
The estimates of RSE are closer to that of State.
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD (W.A.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE for Establishment and total are
within the range of 15 %. For OAE, RSE is beyond 16% and
requires further examination.
In case of Urban Sector, the sample for Establishment is average,
but all other RSEs are good within 10%.
In case of Rural+ Urban, the sample for Establishmentis average,
but all other RSEs are good within 10%.
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD VS. WEIGHTED AVERAGE
METHOD:
The RSEs for inverse variance method in all the cases are quite less
than those for weighted average method. This implies high variation
in the weightedaverage method, making the inverse variance method
better. The estimate of RSE obtained through I.V. is closer to that
obtained through W.A.
30. PAGE 30
Broad Activity:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD (I.V.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE for Trading and Other Services
are acceptable, lying within range of 15%. For Manufacturing,
RSE is excellent well within the margin of 5%.
In case of Urban Sector, all the RSEs are well within excellent
range.
In case of Rural+ Urban, all RSEs are well within 5%.
The estimates of RSE are closer to that of State.
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD (W.A.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE for Manufacturing and Trading
are acceptable, lying within range of 15%. For Other Services,
RSE is beyond 24% and requires further examination.
In case of Urban Sector, the sample for Trading and Other
Services is average, where as that of Manufacturing is excellent,
lying well within 5%.
In case of Rural+ Urban, the sample for Trading and Other
Services is average, where as that of Manufacturing, lies well
within 5%.
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD VS. WEIGHTED AVERAGE
METHOD:
The RSEs for inverse variance method in all the cases are quite less
than those for weighted average method. This implies high variation
in the weightedaverage method, making the inverse variance method
better. The difference between the estimates of RSE obtained through
I.V and W.A is lesser in Manufacturing as compared to that of Trading
& Other Services.
31. PAGE 31
Gross Value Added:
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD (I.V.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE is beyond 16% indicating the
need for further examination.
In case of Urban and Rural+ Urban sector, RSEs are good being
close to 6%.
The estimates of RSE are closer to that of State.
WEIGHTED AVERAGE METHOD (W.A.):
In case of Rural Sector, the RSE is beyond 16% indicating the
need for further examination.
In case of Urban and Rural+ Urban sector, RSEs are average,
lying within 15%.
INVERSE VARIANCE METHOD VS. WEIGHTED AVERAGE
METHOD:
The RSEs for inverse variance method in all the cases are quite less
than those for weighted average method. This implies high variation
in the weightedaverage method, making the inverse variance method
better. The estimate of RSE obtained through I.V. is closer to that of
State.
32. PAGE 32
DIVERGENCE (d)
For substantial gain in reliability of the pooled estimate, the quality of
data collected by the two agencies must be of the same order
considering the non-samplingerrors. The estimates generatedfrom
central and state samples as such are not directly comparable for
some States even at the state level. Estimates show wide divergence –
raising doubts about the unknown magnitude of non-sampling error
as well as its agency bias. In such cases pooling may not result in
better estimate as the estimates are not poolable.
The situations that may arise for the estimates (aggregates) of a
parameter (θ), say t1 and t2 with relative standard errors r1 and r2,
respectively obtained from the central sample and state sample data
are illustrated below.
1. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2| ≈ 0 (i.e., small) and r1 and r2
are within the acceptable margins (r0).
2. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2|≈ 0 and r1>>r0& r2>> r0
3. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2|≈ 0 and r1<= r0 but r2>> r0
4. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2 |>> 0 and r1 ≤ r0& r2 ≤ r0
5. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2 |>> 0 and r1>> r0& r2>> r0
6. The divergence, d= |t1 - t2|>> 0 and r1>> r0& r2< r0
33. PAGE 33
In the case of situations 1 to 3 above, one may argue that the
estimates are acceptable in thesense that they are close to each other
and the pooling of the two estimates t1 and t2 willimprove the
reliability. Pooling of both the estimates, even though lie on the same
side ofthe true value, may result in a small loss of information in
respect of error, i.e., its closenessto its true value, but may result in
significant gain in the precision.
In the case of situations 4 to 6, one may need to look into the
estimates carefully in respectof its closeness to the true value of the
parameter either through external evidence orthrough prior
knowledge regarding the trend of the estimates. It may happen that
oneestimate is very close to the true value and the other is totally away
from it. In that case,although the pooled estimate may have a smaller
RSE but it may not describe the truesituation if the two estimates lie
on the same side of true value as compared to the estimatewhich is
closer to the true value. The examination of the RSEs of the estimates
is asecondary issue to such situations.
34. PAGE 34
OBSERVATIONS REGARDING
DIVERGENCE
Checking the divergence of two sets of data is the alternative
approach to check the non-sampling errors involvedin unit level
data.
As per normality concept of Statistics, a certain percentage of the
State and Centre estimates has been taken as the deciding
criteria for the aforementionedparameters.
Estimates which are acceptable indicate that they are close to
each other and the pooling of the estimates of State & Centre will
improve the reliability of the data.
The wide divergencesbetween these two sets of estimates
i.e.Central and State indicate that pooling will not be advisable
because it raises doubts about the unknown magnitude of non-
sampling error as well as its agency bias. Generally in such cases
pooling may not result in better estimate as the estimates are not
poolable.
Estimates which need further investigation indicate that one may
need to look into the estimates carefully in respect to its
closeness to the true value of the parameter either through
external evidence or through prior knowledge regardingthe
trend of the estimates.
35. PAGE 35
Under the parameter
1. Type of Enterprises:
Estimates of urban enterprises are acceptable.
Estimates of rural enterprisesneed further investigation.
2. Broad Activities:
Estimates of both urban and rural enterprises under Manufacturing
need further examination.
Estimates of rural enterprises need further investigation under
Trading where as that of urban enterprisesare acceptable
Estimates of rural enterprises are acceptable under Other Services
where as that of urban enterprisesneed further investigation.
3. Gross Value Added:
Estimates of both urban and rural enterprises need further
examination.
36. PAGE 36
CONCLUSION
Sampling
District wise unit level data is unavailable for the state
Delhi. Hence it is very difficult to apply the poolability test
for better analysis. Therefore poolability testing & analysis
has been done on the basis of sector wise (Urban and Rural)
unit level data.
Testing
It is known that whenever a parametric test is applied, it is
always more powerful than non parametric tests. But
parametric tests need to satisfy some assumptions before
the tests can actually be used. None of the concerned
assumptions were satisfied for the given 67th
Round data,
which indicates high chances of sampling & non sampling
errors.
37. PAGE 37
For 67th
Round, Multinomial Test has been applied for
parameters like Type of Enterprises, Broad Activities etc.
Wald Wolfowitz Runs Test was applied for Gross Value
Added.
Multinomial test was rejected for the parameter Type of
Worker indicating that the data cannot be pooled and error
is suspected in the data.
If a test gets accepted at 5% then it will be also accepted at
1%. But if a test gets rejected at 1% then it will be rejected at
5% also
Pooling
All the pooled estimates derived through method of
Inverse Variance were better than that obtained through
Weighted Average. The Relative Standard Error in every
parameter are lesser in case of former, thus justifying the
above conclusion.
For all the parameters , we observe that the inverse
variance method has lesser variation than weighted average
method, hence making it the better method
38. PAGE 38
UNINCORPORATED NON-AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES IN DELHI
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Following are the main highlights of the poolability analysis of NSS
67th round data (July 2010 – June 2011) through method of Inverse
Variance.
The pooled number of Unincorporated Non-Agricultural
Enterprises of State & Centre was estimated to be 1153521. Out of
them 27626 (2.27%) were in rural areas and 1128503(97.83%) were
in urban areas of Delhi.
Out of the total enterprises 651390 (56.46%) were Own–Account
Enterprises and 502326 (43.54%) were Establishments.
Out of total Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises, Trade
accounted for 41.22%, the share of Other Services was 37.58% and
Manufacturing constituted 21.20%.
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) for pooled number
of enterprises between State & Centre was calculated to be
Rs.37510418687..
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) per Unincorporated
Non-Agricultural Enterprises was estimated at Rs 32518.
39. PAGE 39
UNINCORPORATED NON-AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES IN DELHI
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Following are the main highlights of the poolability analysis of NSS
67th round data (July 2010 – June 2011) through method of Weighted
Average.
The pooled number of Unincorporated Non-Agricultural
Enterprises of State & Centre was estimated to be 1139089. Out of
them 26178 (2.30%) were in rural areas and 1112911(97.7%) were in
urban areas of Delhi.
Out of the total enterprises 635572 (55.8%) were Own–Account
Enterprises and 503517 (44.2%) were Establishments.
Out of total Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises, Trade
accounted for 43.62%, the share of Other Services was 36.58% and
Manufacturing constituted 19.80%.
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) for pooled number
of enterprises between State & Centre was calculated to be
Rs.34295707983.
Gross Value Added (as per Product Approach) per Unincorporated
Non-Agricultural Enterprises was estimated at Rs 30108.
40. PAGE 40
SUGGESTIONS
I. Accurate results concerning aforementioned parameters can be
obtained if data is collected district – wise.
II. We need to keep in mind the objective of the survey precisely
while preparing a questionnaire. Highly technical and
complicated questions must be avoided as they lead to partial or
non-response from respondents.
III. It is necessary to validate and remove non-sampling errors
during survey by the surveyor in NSS round. Non- sampling
errors leads to increase in Type-1 and Type-2 errors. Former
causes incorrect rejection of some parameters which should
actually be accepted whereas the latter leads to incorrect
acceptance of some parameters which should actually be
rejected. Both these errors result in misleading conclusions
about the sample.
IV. Updated maps of the locality need to be used and provided to
the surveyor as well, so that relevant data is collected with
correct demographics and in well in time.
41. PAGE 41
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Report of NSS on Operational and Financial Characteristics of
Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Enterprises (Excluding
Construction) in Delhi 2010-11, Directorate of Economics and
Statistics, Delhi.
Training Manual on Data Processing NSS 67th
Round, NSSO,
MOSPI.
Note on Sample Design and Estimation Procedure NSS 67th
Round (July 2010 – June 2011), MOSPI, NSSO.
Report of the Committee on Pooling of Central and State Sample
Data of NSS, NSC, Government of India, November 2011.
www.google.com
www.wikipedia.org