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Team B1
Jeremy Blanchard ā€¢ Molly Brown ā€¢ Paul Kim ā€¢ Pingnan Li ā€¢ William Peterman ā€¢ Ioli Stathi-Dedaki
Introduction               Alberto-Culver                   Industry            SWOT                       Recommendations


                                Body Wash Category
ļƒ˜Growing Steadily
ļƒ˜Replacing Deodorant Bar Soaps
                                                       Body Wash Category
                  350

                  300

                  250
        Million




                  200
                                                                                                                  Sales Units
                  150
                                                                                                                  Sales Dollars
                  100

                  50

                    0
                        52 Weeks Ending   52 Weeks Ending   52 Weeks Ending   52 Weeks Ending   52 Weeks Ending
                            06/19/04          06/18/05          06/17/06          06/16/07          06/14/08
Introduction                 Alberto-Culver           Industry      SWOT           Recommendations



                        Current Body Wash Market
        ļƒ˜Lucrative: $400M
        ļƒ˜Highly Fragmented: 475 Products with Sales
                   45
                         9.9%
        Millions




                   40

                   35
                                     7.7%
                   30
                                                  6.24%       6.22%     5.9%      5.8%    5.4%
                   25
Sales




                   20
                                                                                                   3.9%
                   15

                   10

                    5

                    0
                        DOVE        DIAL        OLD SPICE     SUAVE     OLAY   SOFTSOAP    AXE     ST. IVES
Introduction              Alberto-Culver          Industry   SWOT   Recommendations



                                       Market Growth
            ļƒ˜Fast Growing
            ļƒ˜St. Ives: Stagnant Sales
                       45
            Millions




                       40


                       35

                                                                                     AXE
                       30
                                                                                     DIAL
                                                                                     DOVE
                       25
Sales ($)




                                                                                     OLAY
                       20                                                            OLD SPICE
                                                                                     SOFTSOAP
                       15
                                                                                     ST. IVES
                                                                                     SUAVE
                       10


                        5


                        0
                            2005              2006              2007   P2008
Introduction     Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT    Recommendations



                      Recommendations
                     Identity Development Program


       Phase 1                     Phase 2          Advertising

               Reduce                                  Magazine
                                     New Bottle
                SKUs                                     Ads


               Reduce
                                    Fresh Linen       Promotions
                Price
Introduction    Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT    Recommendations



               Alberto-Culver Overview

         Strategy                 ā€¢ Target the Ethnic Market



        Structure                 ā€¢ Focus on Core CPG Business



               Style              ā€¢ President Carol Bernick
Introduction   Alberto-Culver        Industry   SWOT          Recommendations


Creating Demand Beyond Utilitarian Need for Cleanliness

                           St. Ives




                        Hand & Body
    Facial                                       Body Wash
                           Lotion




    Fragrant & Silky      Healthy/Revitalized    Firmer & Younger   Healing & Natural
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations



                       Porterā€™s 5 Forces
Introduction    Alberto-Culver    Industry               SWOT                       Recommendations

                           Consumer Trends
                                              What Kind of Soap Do You Buy?
                                     50%
                                     45%
                                     40%
                                     35%
                                     30%
                                                                                                                    White
                                     25%
                                     20%                                                                            Black
                                     15%
                                                                                                                    Hispanic
                                     10%
                                      5%
  African-Americans:                  0%
                                           Least Expensive    All Natural       Eco-friendly   Extra Moisturizers
deal target demographic
       for St. Ives                                                      2008


               What Brand of Soap Do You Buy?
  50%
  45%
  40%
  35%
                                                              White
  30%
                                                              Black
  25%
                                                              Asian
  20%
                                                              Hispanic
  15%
  10%
   5%
   0%
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations



                      Competitive Field
                         Strong Brand Images
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry      SWOT             Recommendations



                     Marketing Strategies
                    AXE
                                            SUAVE
          ā€œAny excuse to get dirtyā€
                       ā€œSuave knows mommy needs to play princess tooā€
College Age Men
                      Middle Aged Mothers
Baby Boomer Echoes
                      Price conscious Generation X Mothers


                                                             DOVE Pro-Age
                                                 ā€œDove believes in pro-age, not anti-ageā€
                                              Aging Female Baby-Boomer population
Introduction    Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT           Recommendations


       What Does St. Ives Represent?
                                 Who is the
                                   St. Ives
                                 consumer?




               How does St.
                                                   What is its
                Ives create
                                                    brand
               value for its
                                                   message?
                consumer?
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry    SWOT     Recommendations




          Strengths                              Weaknesses
oAlberto-Culverā€™s                          oDeclining market share
financial stability                        oConcentrated
oGrowing industry                          customer base



      Opportunities                Threats
oRestructuring initiatives oEconomic recession
oDemographic trends        oIntense competition
Introduction      Alberto-Culver       Industry     SWOT             Recommendations

                                     Brand Identity
                   Brand Awareness
100%
90%
80%
                                                                         Conversion Ratio
70%
60%                                                      100%
50%
                                                         90%
40%
                                                         80%
30%
                                                         70%
20%
                                                         60%
10%
 0%                                                      50%
            Dove        Suave      St. Ives              40%
                                                         30%
                    Brand Trials                         20%
                                                         10%
100%
                                                          0%
90%
                                                                  Dove          Suave         St. Ives
80%
70%
60%

                                              Increase Trials to Improve Conversion Ratio
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
 0%
            Dove        Suave      St. Ives
Introduction     Alberto-Culver       Industry     SWOT            Recommendations

                                    Brand Identity
         Most Frequently Purchased
45%
40%
35%
                                                                        Retention Ratio
30%
                                                        55%
25%
                                                        50%
20%
                                                        45%
15%
                                                        40%
10%
                                                        35%
5%
                                                        30%
0%
                                                        25%
           Dove       Suave       St. Ives
                                                        20%
                                                        15%
                   Brand Trials                         10%
100%                                                    5%
 90%                                                    0%
 80%                                                             Dove         Suave         St. Ives
 70%
 60%
                                               St. Ives is Unable to
 50%

                                                        Recruit Loyal Consumers
 40%
 30%
 20%
 10%
  0%
            Dove       Suave      St. Ives
Introduction      Alberto-Culver        Industry        SWOT              Recommendations
                                   Soy Milk
                                                  Swiss
                                   & Lotus
                                                 Vanilla
                                   Blossom
                 Cucumber                                  Fresh
                                                           H2O

                                                                   Cool
   Energizing                                                      Blue
     Citrus

                           Reduce SKUs
                              Focus Brand Image                                 Oatmeal &
Whipped Silk
                                                                                Shea Butter



               Mineral
                                                                           Collagen
               Therapy
                                                                            Elastin
                               Apricot
                                                     Vitamin E
                              Exfoliating
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations


                        Seasonal Scents
Introduction    Alberto-Culver    Industry   SWOT           Recommendations


                           Seasonal Scents

                                                Refreshing Qualities

                                                Providing Relief for:
                                                ļƒ¼Body
                                                ļƒ¼Soul
                                                ļƒ¼Spirit

                                                Stimulating Effects
        Associated with:
        ļƒ¼Home
        ļƒ¼Food
        ļƒ¼Security
        ļƒ¼Warmth
        ļƒ¼Softness
        ļƒ¼Purity

        Evokes A Sense of Well-being
Introduction         Alberto-Culver    Industry      SWOT         Recommendations



                   Pricing Revision Strategy

    St. Ivesā€™ Current Pricing Strategy
               6



               5



               4
     Price $




               3



               2



               1



               0
                   Olay         Dove       St Ives     Suave   Softsoap     Dial
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations



                Market Opportunities
ļƒ˜Recessions Encourage Consumer Frugality
ļƒ˜Consumers Enjoy Trying Different Brands
               How Often Do You Buy This Brand?
 25%
 20%
 15%
                                                       Most Often
 10%                                                   2nd Most Often
                                                       Sometimes
   5%
   0%


                                2007
Introduction          Alberto-Culver         Industry      SWOT      Recommendations



                        Optimal Pricing Position
         St. Ives Optimal Price is $2.99
        600,000                                                             Correlation = -0.924



        540,000



        480,000
Units




        420,000



        360,000



        300,000



        240,000
                  2.4     2.6            2.8          3.0       3.2   3.4             3.6
                                                     Price
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations



                        Price Reduction
ļƒ˜Communication
      ā€“ 10% off regular price
ļƒ˜Impact
      ā€“ Increase Retail Sales
        by $2M (14.3%)
Introduction          Alberto-Culver     Industry       SWOT         Recommendations



                           Sensitivity Analysis
ļƒ˜Close Competitors Reaction to Price Change
                                        Correlation Matrix
                                Suave        St. Ives        Dove    Dial
               Suave             1.00
               St. Ives         0.316         1.00
               Dove            -0.298        -0.117          1.00
               Dial             0.212         0.027          0.295   1.00

ļƒ˜NPV of Price Reduction $2.30M
Introduction    Alberto-Culver      Industry   SWOT             Recommendations



                        Scent Preferences
               Spring             Summer               Fall              Winter
               Citrus              Citrus             Vanilla            Vanilla
1st
                52%                 64%                37%                46%
               Floral              Fruity             Almond             Almond
2nd
                40%                 47%                 35%                27%
           Fresh Linen           Fresh Linen     Fresh Linen          Fresh Linen
3rd
              39%                   41%             29%                  27%

Fresh Linen is a Year Round Favorite
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT       Recommendations




                                                  25%     Increase
                                 Current Bottle is Bland and Uninspired

                                                  in Excitement
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations


                    Current Positioning




New Bottle Design Equals Differentiation
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations

                                MRI Score for Magazines: 141




MRI Score for Television: 85
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations

Sunday Presence
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry      SWOT       Recommendations



       Corporate Social Responsibility


                                           Clear Mission & Values

                          Restructure

                                                     Education
      Cultural Crisis

                                              Children       Women
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry      SWOT       Recommendations


        Corporate Social Responsibility
                                            Donate 10% of the Regular Price


Seasonal SKUs
ļƒ˜Swiss Vanilla
ļƒ˜Energizing Citrus


ļƒ˜Sticker on the Package
ļƒ˜Shelf Talkers
Introduction         Alberto-Culver             Industry       SWOT             Recommendations

               Projected Financial Results: Beta & WACC
                                                 Correlation Matrix
                                                             Alberto-Culver               S&P 500
    Alberto-Culver                                                     1.000
    S&P 500                                                            0.312                1.000
                                                 Summary Statistics
                                                             Alberto-Culver               S&P 500
    Count                                                             24.000               24.000
    Mean                                                               0.004                -0.018
    Median                                                             0.013                -0.009
    Standard deviation                                                 0.057                0.050
               0 .0 5 7 ļ‚“ 0 .3 1 2
      ļ¢ļ€½                             ļ€½ 0 .3 5
                       0 .5

       rE ļ€½ r f ļ€« ļ¢ * risk ļ€­ premium ļ€½ 3.16% ļ€« 0.35 ļ‚“ 5.7% ļ€½ 5.17%

                   E                 D                     2.29 billion
    rw acc ļ€½              rE ļ€«            rD ļ‚»                                 ļ‚“ 5.17% ļ€½ 5.17%
                Eļ€«D              Eļ€«D               867, 000 ļ€« 2.29 billion
Introduction         Alberto-Culver                 Industry        SWOT                    Recommendations

                                 NPV of Pricing Strategy
      Assumption for Alberto-Culver                                Perpetuity growth rate      3.6%

      Tax rate                             32.96%                  SGA/Sales                   40.91%

      r-wacc                               5.17%                   changes in NWC/Sales        0.83%

      Gross margin                         52.46%                  Beta                        0.35
      Depreciation/Sales                   1.73%                                               % margin
      changes in NWC/Sales                 0.83%                   retailer                    27%

      Capital Exp/Sales                    4.33%                   wholesaler                  15%


      All Numbers in Millions of Dollars      2009         2010           2011         2012               2013
      Increased Sales Due to Pricing
                                              $2.15        $2.3           $2.48        $2.66              $2.85
      Adjustment
      Less Retail Margins                     $1.57        $1.68          $1.81        $1.94              $2.08
      Less Distributor Margins                $1.33        $1.43          $1.54        $1.65              $1.77
      Less Cost of Goods Sold                 $0.69        $0.74          $0.80        $0.86              $0.92

      Less Taxes                              $0.47        $0.50          $0.54        $0.58              $0.62

      NPV                                     $0.44        $0.45          $0.46        $0.47              $0.48

      Total NPV                               $2.30
Introduction                Alberto-Culver               Industry           SWOT             Recommendations

                                             NPV of Fresh Linen
Incremental Earnings                      Beginning of
                            Year 2009                    2010       2011       2012   2013         2014     perpetuity
Forecast ($millions)                      2010
                            Growth rate                  8.1%       7.1%       7.0%   7.0%         7.5%     3.6%

Sales (millions)                                         2.34       2.51       2.68   2.87         3.09     203.78

Cost of sold good

Gross profit (millions)                                  1.23       1.32       1.41   1.51         1.62 1   106.91

SG&A                                                     1.17       1.19       1.21   1.23         1.26     83.37

Depreciation                                             0.04       0.04       0.05   0.05         0.05     3.52

EBIT                                                     0.02       0.09       0.16   0.23         0.30     20.01

Income tax rate             32.96%

Unlevered net income                                     0.01       0.06       0.10   0.15         0.20     13.41

Plus depreciation                                        0.04       0.04       0.05   0.05         0.05     3.52
Less capital expenditures                                0.10       0.11       0.12   0.12         0.13     8.83

Less changes in NWC                                      0.02       0.02       0.02   0.02         0.03     1.68

                                                         -0.07      -0.03      0.01   0.05         0.10     6.43
FCF

R-wacc                      5.17%

NPV ($millions)             4.05          4.26
Introduction         Alberto-Culver                Industry               SWOT              Recommendations

          NPV of Fresh Linen ā€“ Sensitivity Analysis
      Parameter                        Initial assumption        Worst case               Best case

      Units sold (millions)            1.26                      1.1                      1.39

      MSRP Price($/unit)               2.99                      2.63                     3.19

      Wholesale price ($/unit)         1.86                      1.63                     1.98

      SGA/Sales(1st year)              50%                       60%                      40.91%

      Parameter                        Initial ($millions)       Worst case ($millions)   Best case ($millions)

      Units sold                       4.05                      3.4                      4.62
      MSRP Price                       4.05                      3.44                     4.26
      SGA/Sales                        4.05                      3.7                      4.36


                      Units sold (millions/year)
                                                               1.1 1.26    1.39


                      SGA&/Sales(%)

                                                               60% 50% 41%

                      MSRP Price ($/unit)
                                                              1.63 1.86 1.98


                              1.0           2.0         3.0         4.0           5.0

                                                   NPV ($million)
Introduction                           Alberto-Culver         Industry             SWOT                          Recommendations

                           NPV of Fresh Linen ā€“ Scenario Analysis
       Strategy                            MSRP                Wholesaler Price            Expected Units Sold           NPV
                                           ($/unit)            ($/unit)                    (millions)                    ($ millions)
       Current strategy                    2.99                1.86                        1.26                          4.05
       Price reduction                     2.69                1.67                        1.34                          3.86
       Price reduction                     2.79                1.73                        1.33                          3.99
       Price reduction                     2.89                1.79                        1.31                          4.06
       Price increase                      3.09                1.92                        1.19                          3.96

       Price increase                      3.19                1.92                        1.11                          3.78

       Price increase                      3.29                2.04                        1.02                          3.58


                                                                                                  Correlation = -0.605
                           5.0

                           4.0
         NPV($ millions)




                           3.0

                           2.0

                           1.0

                           0.0
                                 2.6                    2.8                  3.0                          3.2                           3.4

                                                                      MSRP Price($/unit)
Introduction                      Alberto-Culver        Industry      SWOT     Recommendations


                                                   NPV of Projects
                              7
                                                                               6.35
                              6

                              5
           NPV ($ Millions)




                                                                   4.05
                              4

                              3
                                            2.3
                              2

                              1

                              0
                                     Pricing Revision          Fresh Linen   Total NPV
Introduction   Alberto-Culver   Industry   SWOT   Recommendations




                      ā€¢ Reduce SKU
       Phase 1
                      ā€¢ Reduce Price


                      ā€¢ New Bottle
       Phase 2
                      ā€¢ Fresh Linen


                ā€¢ Magazine Ads
    Advertising
                ā€¢ Promotions
ā€¢   ā€œSoap, Bath and Shower Products ā€“ US ā€“ October 2008ā€ Mintel Oxygen. 2008. Mintel Group. October 2008
    <http://academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/subject/view=reports_category&levels=9065/cat_items/cat=2
    5&type=RCItem&mode=future&list=cat_items/display/id=296669>.
ā€¢   ā€œSoap, Bath and Shower Products ā€“ US ā€“ August 2007ā€ Mintel Oxygen. 2007. Mintel Group. August 2008
    <http://academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/subject/view=reports_category&levels=9065/cat_items/cat=2
    5&type=RCItem&list=cat_items/display/id=226616
ā€¢   AC Nielsen
ā€¢   Braverman, L. (2008). Standard & Poorā€™s Industry Surveys (Household Nondurables). New York: McGraw-Hill
ā€¢   Datamonitor (2007). Industry Profile (Bath & Shower Products in the United States). Reference code: 0072-0012
ā€¢   http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9504E5DF123AF931A15754C0A9679C8B63&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=all
ā€¢   http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/04_44/b3906117.htm
ā€¢   Marketerā€™s Guide to Media 2007. Nielsen Business Media. New York, NY
ā€¢   Berk, Jonathan and DeMarzo, Peter. Corporate Finance. Boston: Pearson Education Inc. 2007, 391
ā€¢   http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?a=&b=&c=&d=11&e=11&f=2008&g=d&s=ACV
ā€¢   Alberto-Culver Annual Report 2007
ā€¢   MRI Mediamark Reporter, Mediamark Research Inc. (mriplus.com).
ā€¢   TNS Media Intelligence 2007 ā€“ Ad $ Summary. Magazine Publishers of America. New York, NY
ā€¢   http://www.sirc.org/publik/smell_vanilla.html
ā€¢   http://www.vanilla.com/html/leg-calmdown.html
ā€¢   http://www.content4reprint.com/beauty/citrus-oil-for-electrically-tuned-skin-cleansing.htm
ā€¢   http://www.alberto.com/company/overview.aspx
ā€¢   Alberto Culver Annual Report 2007
ā€¢   Bernick, Carol. Marino, Jim. Memo to The Alberto-Culver Consumer Products Team. 10 January 2006.
    <http://www.secinfo.com/d14D5a.v5ct.htm>.
ā€¢   Qualtrics Survey
ā€¢   Datamonitor (2008). Company Profile. New Alberto-Culver Company. June 19, 2008.
    http://web.ebscohost.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/bsi/pdf?vid=5&hid=15&sid=2da62ad7-82ba-49e0-8a81-f016e50a7cbd%40SRCSM2
ā€¢   http://www.etsy.com/view_listing.php?ref=sr_gallery_15&listing_id=13023089
ā€¢   1. Aaker, Jennifer L. ā€œDimensions of Brand Personality.ā€ Journal of Marketing Research, Vol. 34, No.3 (August 1997), pp.347-357.
ā€¢   Media Release. The Swiss Cross: a purchasing motive. McCann Erikson, University of St.Gallen. 18 June 2008.
    <http://www.unisg.ch/hsgweb.nsf/df76d44a9ef44c6cc12568e400393eb2/668b6bb00866f671c125746b00478f25/$FILE/media%20rele
    ase%20Swissness%20Worldwide,%2018.06.2008.pdf>.

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St Ive\'s Body Wash

  • 1. Team B1 Jeremy Blanchard ā€¢ Molly Brown ā€¢ Paul Kim ā€¢ Pingnan Li ā€¢ William Peterman ā€¢ Ioli Stathi-Dedaki
  • 2. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Body Wash Category ļƒ˜Growing Steadily ļƒ˜Replacing Deodorant Bar Soaps Body Wash Category 350 300 250 Million 200 Sales Units 150 Sales Dollars 100 50 0 52 Weeks Ending 52 Weeks Ending 52 Weeks Ending 52 Weeks Ending 52 Weeks Ending 06/19/04 06/18/05 06/17/06 06/16/07 06/14/08
  • 3. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Current Body Wash Market ļƒ˜Lucrative: $400M ļƒ˜Highly Fragmented: 475 Products with Sales 45 9.9% Millions 40 35 7.7% 30 6.24% 6.22% 5.9% 5.8% 5.4% 25 Sales 20 3.9% 15 10 5 0 DOVE DIAL OLD SPICE SUAVE OLAY SOFTSOAP AXE ST. IVES
  • 4. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Market Growth ļƒ˜Fast Growing ļƒ˜St. Ives: Stagnant Sales 45 Millions 40 35 AXE 30 DIAL DOVE 25 Sales ($) OLAY 20 OLD SPICE SOFTSOAP 15 ST. IVES SUAVE 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 P2008
  • 5. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Recommendations Identity Development Program Phase 1 Phase 2 Advertising Reduce Magazine New Bottle SKUs Ads Reduce Fresh Linen Promotions Price
  • 6. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Alberto-Culver Overview Strategy ā€¢ Target the Ethnic Market Structure ā€¢ Focus on Core CPG Business Style ā€¢ President Carol Bernick
  • 7. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Creating Demand Beyond Utilitarian Need for Cleanliness St. Ives Hand & Body Facial Body Wash Lotion Fragrant & Silky Healthy/Revitalized Firmer & Younger Healing & Natural
  • 8. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Porterā€™s 5 Forces
  • 9. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Consumer Trends What Kind of Soap Do You Buy? 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% White 25% 20% Black 15% Hispanic 10% 5% African-Americans: 0% Least Expensive All Natural Eco-friendly Extra Moisturizers deal target demographic for St. Ives 2008 What Brand of Soap Do You Buy? 50% 45% 40% 35% White 30% Black 25% Asian 20% Hispanic 15% 10% 5% 0%
  • 10. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Competitive Field Strong Brand Images
  • 11. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Marketing Strategies AXE SUAVE ā€œAny excuse to get dirtyā€ ā€œSuave knows mommy needs to play princess tooā€ College Age Men Middle Aged Mothers Baby Boomer Echoes Price conscious Generation X Mothers DOVE Pro-Age ā€œDove believes in pro-age, not anti-ageā€ Aging Female Baby-Boomer population
  • 12. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations What Does St. Ives Represent? Who is the St. Ives consumer? How does St. What is its Ives create brand value for its message? consumer?
  • 13. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Strengths Weaknesses oAlberto-Culverā€™s oDeclining market share financial stability oConcentrated oGrowing industry customer base Opportunities Threats oRestructuring initiatives oEconomic recession oDemographic trends oIntense competition
  • 14. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Brand Identity Brand Awareness 100% 90% 80% Conversion Ratio 70% 60% 100% 50% 90% 40% 80% 30% 70% 20% 60% 10% 0% 50% Dove Suave St. Ives 40% 30% Brand Trials 20% 10% 100% 0% 90% Dove Suave St. Ives 80% 70% 60% Increase Trials to Improve Conversion Ratio 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Dove Suave St. Ives
  • 15. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Brand Identity Most Frequently Purchased 45% 40% 35% Retention Ratio 30% 55% 25% 50% 20% 45% 15% 40% 10% 35% 5% 30% 0% 25% Dove Suave St. Ives 20% 15% Brand Trials 10% 100% 5% 90% 0% 80% Dove Suave St. Ives 70% 60% St. Ives is Unable to 50% Recruit Loyal Consumers 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Dove Suave St. Ives
  • 16. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Soy Milk Swiss & Lotus Vanilla Blossom Cucumber Fresh H2O Cool Energizing Blue Citrus Reduce SKUs Focus Brand Image Oatmeal & Whipped Silk Shea Butter Mineral Collagen Therapy Elastin Apricot Vitamin E Exfoliating
  • 17. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Seasonal Scents
  • 18. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Seasonal Scents Refreshing Qualities Providing Relief for: ļƒ¼Body ļƒ¼Soul ļƒ¼Spirit Stimulating Effects Associated with: ļƒ¼Home ļƒ¼Food ļƒ¼Security ļƒ¼Warmth ļƒ¼Softness ļƒ¼Purity Evokes A Sense of Well-being
  • 19. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Pricing Revision Strategy St. Ivesā€™ Current Pricing Strategy 6 5 4 Price $ 3 2 1 0 Olay Dove St Ives Suave Softsoap Dial
  • 20. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Market Opportunities ļƒ˜Recessions Encourage Consumer Frugality ļƒ˜Consumers Enjoy Trying Different Brands How Often Do You Buy This Brand? 25% 20% 15% Most Often 10% 2nd Most Often Sometimes 5% 0% 2007
  • 21. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Optimal Pricing Position St. Ives Optimal Price is $2.99 600,000 Correlation = -0.924 540,000 480,000 Units 420,000 360,000 300,000 240,000 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 Price
  • 22. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Price Reduction ļƒ˜Communication ā€“ 10% off regular price ļƒ˜Impact ā€“ Increase Retail Sales by $2M (14.3%)
  • 23. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Sensitivity Analysis ļƒ˜Close Competitors Reaction to Price Change Correlation Matrix Suave St. Ives Dove Dial Suave 1.00 St. Ives 0.316 1.00 Dove -0.298 -0.117 1.00 Dial 0.212 0.027 0.295 1.00 ļƒ˜NPV of Price Reduction $2.30M
  • 24. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Scent Preferences Spring Summer Fall Winter Citrus Citrus Vanilla Vanilla 1st 52% 64% 37% 46% Floral Fruity Almond Almond 2nd 40% 47% 35% 27% Fresh Linen Fresh Linen Fresh Linen Fresh Linen 3rd 39% 41% 29% 27% Fresh Linen is a Year Round Favorite
  • 25. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations 25% Increase Current Bottle is Bland and Uninspired in Excitement
  • 26. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Current Positioning New Bottle Design Equals Differentiation
  • 27. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations MRI Score for Magazines: 141 MRI Score for Television: 85
  • 28. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations
  • 29. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Sunday Presence
  • 30. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Corporate Social Responsibility Clear Mission & Values Restructure Education Cultural Crisis Children Women
  • 31. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Corporate Social Responsibility Donate 10% of the Regular Price Seasonal SKUs ļƒ˜Swiss Vanilla ļƒ˜Energizing Citrus ļƒ˜Sticker on the Package ļƒ˜Shelf Talkers
  • 32. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations Projected Financial Results: Beta & WACC Correlation Matrix Alberto-Culver S&P 500 Alberto-Culver 1.000 S&P 500 0.312 1.000 Summary Statistics Alberto-Culver S&P 500 Count 24.000 24.000 Mean 0.004 -0.018 Median 0.013 -0.009 Standard deviation 0.057 0.050 0 .0 5 7 ļ‚“ 0 .3 1 2 ļ¢ļ€½ ļ€½ 0 .3 5 0 .5 rE ļ€½ r f ļ€« ļ¢ * risk ļ€­ premium ļ€½ 3.16% ļ€« 0.35 ļ‚“ 5.7% ļ€½ 5.17% E D 2.29 billion rw acc ļ€½ rE ļ€« rD ļ‚» ļ‚“ 5.17% ļ€½ 5.17% Eļ€«D Eļ€«D 867, 000 ļ€« 2.29 billion
  • 33. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations NPV of Pricing Strategy Assumption for Alberto-Culver Perpetuity growth rate 3.6% Tax rate 32.96% SGA/Sales 40.91% r-wacc 5.17% changes in NWC/Sales 0.83% Gross margin 52.46% Beta 0.35 Depreciation/Sales 1.73% % margin changes in NWC/Sales 0.83% retailer 27% Capital Exp/Sales 4.33% wholesaler 15% All Numbers in Millions of Dollars 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Increased Sales Due to Pricing $2.15 $2.3 $2.48 $2.66 $2.85 Adjustment Less Retail Margins $1.57 $1.68 $1.81 $1.94 $2.08 Less Distributor Margins $1.33 $1.43 $1.54 $1.65 $1.77 Less Cost of Goods Sold $0.69 $0.74 $0.80 $0.86 $0.92 Less Taxes $0.47 $0.50 $0.54 $0.58 $0.62 NPV $0.44 $0.45 $0.46 $0.47 $0.48 Total NPV $2.30
  • 34. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations NPV of Fresh Linen Incremental Earnings Beginning of Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 perpetuity Forecast ($millions) 2010 Growth rate 8.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 3.6% Sales (millions) 2.34 2.51 2.68 2.87 3.09 203.78 Cost of sold good Gross profit (millions) 1.23 1.32 1.41 1.51 1.62 1 106.91 SG&A 1.17 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.26 83.37 Depreciation 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 3.52 EBIT 0.02 0.09 0.16 0.23 0.30 20.01 Income tax rate 32.96% Unlevered net income 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.15 0.20 13.41 Plus depreciation 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 3.52 Less capital expenditures 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 8.83 Less changes in NWC 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 1.68 -0.07 -0.03 0.01 0.05 0.10 6.43 FCF R-wacc 5.17% NPV ($millions) 4.05 4.26
  • 35. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations NPV of Fresh Linen ā€“ Sensitivity Analysis Parameter Initial assumption Worst case Best case Units sold (millions) 1.26 1.1 1.39 MSRP Price($/unit) 2.99 2.63 3.19 Wholesale price ($/unit) 1.86 1.63 1.98 SGA/Sales(1st year) 50% 60% 40.91% Parameter Initial ($millions) Worst case ($millions) Best case ($millions) Units sold 4.05 3.4 4.62 MSRP Price 4.05 3.44 4.26 SGA/Sales 4.05 3.7 4.36 Units sold (millions/year) 1.1 1.26 1.39 SGA&/Sales(%) 60% 50% 41% MSRP Price ($/unit) 1.63 1.86 1.98 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 NPV ($million)
  • 36. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations NPV of Fresh Linen ā€“ Scenario Analysis Strategy MSRP Wholesaler Price Expected Units Sold NPV ($/unit) ($/unit) (millions) ($ millions) Current strategy 2.99 1.86 1.26 4.05 Price reduction 2.69 1.67 1.34 3.86 Price reduction 2.79 1.73 1.33 3.99 Price reduction 2.89 1.79 1.31 4.06 Price increase 3.09 1.92 1.19 3.96 Price increase 3.19 1.92 1.11 3.78 Price increase 3.29 2.04 1.02 3.58 Correlation = -0.605 5.0 4.0 NPV($ millions) 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 MSRP Price($/unit)
  • 37. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations NPV of Projects 7 6.35 6 5 NPV ($ Millions) 4.05 4 3 2.3 2 1 0 Pricing Revision Fresh Linen Total NPV
  • 38. Introduction Alberto-Culver Industry SWOT Recommendations ā€¢ Reduce SKU Phase 1 ā€¢ Reduce Price ā€¢ New Bottle Phase 2 ā€¢ Fresh Linen ā€¢ Magazine Ads Advertising ā€¢ Promotions
  • 39.
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