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November 2019
FFT Roadshow: agenda
• Education assessment data update
• 2019 KS4 data: national and regional trends
• FFT Aspire and Ofsted update (including IDSR
and inspection outcomes)
• Activity: exploring school and national 2019 data
• Curriculum: evaluating and benchmarking
your KS4 curriculum
• National trends in curriculum entry patterns
• Relative difficulty of KS4 subjects
• Activity: FFT’s new curriculum report for schools
FFT Roadshow: agenda
• Analysing your pupils’ attendance
• FFT’s analysis of national trends in pupil attendance
• Activity: FFT’s new attendance report for schools
• Data literacy: how is data used in schools
today?
• Launch of FFT’s new report exploring how schools make
effective use of data
• Explore some of the key issues for those leading on
assessment data in secondary schools
Education assessment
data update
Accountability:
CVA and EBacc
Wolf qualifications and
first entry
End of NC levels
New national curriculum
2010 2014
2016
2017
2019
Attainment and Progress 8
New KS2 tests: scaled scores
Start of new 9-1
GCSE rollout
9-1 GCSEs fully rolled
out in all subjects
First Year 11 cohort with
KS2 scaled scores
2020
Ten year journey: assessment and accountability changes
National performance: headline attainment
First
entry
English
change
% Grade 4+ En/Ma
% Grade 5+ En/Ma
New GCSEs
Ofqual has done a good job
maintaining comparable
outcomes with the new GCSEs
Source: DFE SFR, state-
funded schools
School variation: 2018 vs 2019 (% Grade 4+ En/Ma)
Whilst national performance is flat,
there is considerable variation in
attainment for some schools,
particularly for threshold indicators
514 schools with
10%+ increase
374 schools with
10%+ decrease
Source: DFE compare
school performance,
state-funded schools
English Baccalaureate: attainment
% pupil entered for EBacc
% achieving Ebacc (Grade 4+)
DFE target: 75% students to
be studying Ebacc by 2022
Source: DFE SFR ,
state-funded schools
Attainment 8: no change over three years
Attainment 8 (overall
score) has been static
over three years
Consistent ½
grade gap
between boys
and girls
Source: DFE SFR ,
state-funded schools
Where are the biggest progress gaps?
Boys are ½ grade below girls (overall) and
¾ grade below in English and Open slots
FSM6 gap is 1/2 grade in
all areas
FFT
Aspire
ERS
3/4
grade
3/4
grade1/2
grade
1/2
grade
Disadvantaged pupils (FSM6) Gender
DFE: Compare School Performance
Summary performance
indicators weighted more
towards attainment and
threshold measures
'Good’ Ofsted rating Average Progress 8
Attainment?
Bar charts provide no
interpretation for parents
Schools: 2019 Progress 8 and Attainment 8
from DFE Compare School Performance
449 schools (15%)
Well above average
1141 schools (38%)
Average
596 schools (20%)
Below average
509 schools (17%)
Above average
363 schools (12%)
Well below average
What about the 2,300 good and outstanding
secondary schools?
431 schools
Well above average
923 schools
Average
353 schools
Below average
482 schools
Above average
120 schools
Well below average
Schools in DFE Progress 8 bands by region
Schools in
DFE
Progress 8
bands by LA
Regional performance: attainment / progress 8
50.2
48.3 47.9
46.9 46.6 45.7 45.5 45.4 45.2 44.6
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
Outer London Inner London South East East of England South West East Midlands West Midlands North West Yorks & Hum North East
Attainment 8 Score
+0.24
+0.18
0
-0.01 -0.02
-0.06 -0.06 -0.06
-0.18
-0.25-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
Outer London Inner London East of
England
South East Yorks & Hum East Midlands West Midlands South West North West North East
Progress 8 Score
How do schools perform
in your region?
How do schools perform by
Ofsted rating?
Inspection outcomes and 2019 school performance
Outstanding
Good
Requires
improvement
Inadequate
Outstanding Good
School variation: Ofsted outcomes and 2019 performance
School variation: Ofsted outcomes & 2019 performance
Requires
improvement
Inadequate
Activity
Exploring school and
national 2019 KS4 results
Secondary IDSR 2019
Ofsted IDSR changes in 2019: fewer charts
New IDSR is a smaller, slimmed-down report
• Data removed (for all subjects):
• Progress 8 & its components – groups &
scatterplots
• Science, Humanities, Languages – Value Added
• Ebacc entry and attainment
• Ebacc 3 year entry trend
• Pupil groups: prior attainment / disadvantaged
Avoids duplication of other
published data
Reduces scope for inspectors to
focus too much on national
datasets and draw different
conclusions
Many charts replaced by ‘areas of interest’
• Subjects
• P8 & A8
• Pupil movement
• Absence
• Exclusions
• Destinations
• Pupil groups
Sentences generated dynamically and master list at available: bit.ly/2i7P3zy
IDSR: school context
2018
2019
New data in IDSR
IDSR: destinations information
IDSR: year group context
IDSR: Progress Trend Charts
IDSR: Attainment Trend Charts
Use of progress and attainment data by Ofsted
IDSR and FFT Aspire to evaluate performance
School leaders and subjects leaders can use Aspire
alongside Ofsted IDSR for a robust evaluation and
analysis of impact and pupil outcomes
Understand strengths and areas for improvement for
the school and each area of the curriculum
ü Aspire uses same national datasets
as IDSR and ASP
ü In Aspire you get the numbers,
significance, trends, percentile ranks,
scatterplots & pupil-level data!
ü Subject value-added progress:
essential for the evaluation and
analysis of subject and curriculum
outcomes
ü Analysis of performance by pupil
groups (one year and three year)
ü A full dashboard for each subject:
attainment, progress, pupil groups,
scatterplots and pupil data
FFT Aspire: update on new
developments in 2019
KS4 Early Results Service
• 1,800 schools participated in 2019 providing pupil
data by end of August and receiving a report in early
September
• Report analysing school performance, FFT national
average and progress 8
• FFT attainment 8 estimates (for progress 8) matched
closely to DFE’s final estimates
• FFT’s Early Results Service will run again in 2020:
early GCSE results in August and DFE file in
September
FFT Aspire: 2019 data release schedule
Data release Data received from DFE Data published in FFT Aspire
2019 census: Spring and
Autumn
July 2019 Mid-October
2019 KS2 results Mid-September
End September: primary schools
Mid-October: Year 7 estimates and
Student Explorer
2019 KS4 results Expected: early November Mid-November
2019 KS5 results End October End November
KS5: full analysis of A-level results
üAttainment
üValue-added pupil progress
üPupil groups
üSubject value-added for each A-
level subject
üScatterplots and pupil data
ü1 year and 3 year analysis (useful
for small subjects and sixth forms)
KS5: Overview and summary
KS5: attainment and progress
Choose any two indicators:
KS5: pupil groups and subject value-added
KS5: scatterplot and pupil data
School
MIS
FFT Aspire data
connector partners
Over 1,600 secondary schools
(60%) now are setup with
Aspire Data Exchange
Data exchange is part of FFT Aspire – no additional cost
Easy setup: link on Aspire homepage to get started
Using FFT Aspire Data Exchange in school:
ü No more spreadsheets to import pupils!
ü Press a button to sync your MIS pupil data with Aspire
ü Current pupils: available in target setting and student explorer
ü Managing your data for GDPR: you are in control of how your
MIS is connected to external systems (full audit trail)
ü Import staff details to setup Aspire users
Major new developments in 2020 using data exchange:
ü Import your teaching groups and classes
ü Sync your school attendance data to get a monthly
attendance report in FFT Aspire
ü New FFT Aspire Pupil Tracking tool for secondary schools
(primary already release)
Multi-user setup: creating account for your teachers
Craig Smith
Claire Jones
George Alexander
cjones@fft.org.uk
galexander@fft.org.uk
Import users from your school MIS
Select role and Aspire permissions
Claire Jones
George Alexander
cjones@fft.org.uk
galexander@fft.org.uk
Claire Jones
George Alexander
cjones@fft.org.uk
galexander@fft.org.uk
Finishing user setup: create users
Claire Jones
George Alexander
cjones@fft.org.uk
galexander@fft.org.uk
Confirm user setup and create users
New users will receive an email from
FFT Aspire with link to register
You will need to provide the new users
with their access code to login to
Aspire for first time and complete
account registration
With the latest 2019 data about to be released., it is a good time to make sure
that you have users setup and able to make the best use of Aspire in your school:
• Senior leaders
• Subject leaders and year leaders
• Teachers
New reports analysing
historical and current
attendance for all pupils
Attendance
tracking
Pupils, subjects,
teachers and
teaching groups all
link through from
MIS to Aspire
Current MIS
pupil data
Schools submit DFE
KS4 data file to FFT
in September and
reports available mid-
Oct
Full ‘early 2020
KS4 data’
Track progress of your
pupils using current
assessment data (tests
and teacher assessment)
Pupil tracking:
monitor progress
2020 roadmap:
secondary schools
Pupil tracking: monitor progress
Full ‘early 2020 KS4 data’
Current MIS pupil data
Attendance tracking

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FFT Secondary Roadshow 2019: Education Assessment Update

  • 2. FFT Roadshow: agenda • Education assessment data update • 2019 KS4 data: national and regional trends • FFT Aspire and Ofsted update (including IDSR and inspection outcomes) • Activity: exploring school and national 2019 data • Curriculum: evaluating and benchmarking your KS4 curriculum • National trends in curriculum entry patterns • Relative difficulty of KS4 subjects • Activity: FFT’s new curriculum report for schools
  • 3. FFT Roadshow: agenda • Analysing your pupils’ attendance • FFT’s analysis of national trends in pupil attendance • Activity: FFT’s new attendance report for schools • Data literacy: how is data used in schools today? • Launch of FFT’s new report exploring how schools make effective use of data • Explore some of the key issues for those leading on assessment data in secondary schools
  • 5. Accountability: CVA and EBacc Wolf qualifications and first entry End of NC levels New national curriculum 2010 2014 2016 2017 2019 Attainment and Progress 8 New KS2 tests: scaled scores Start of new 9-1 GCSE rollout 9-1 GCSEs fully rolled out in all subjects First Year 11 cohort with KS2 scaled scores 2020 Ten year journey: assessment and accountability changes
  • 6. National performance: headline attainment First entry English change % Grade 4+ En/Ma % Grade 5+ En/Ma New GCSEs Ofqual has done a good job maintaining comparable outcomes with the new GCSEs Source: DFE SFR, state- funded schools
  • 7. School variation: 2018 vs 2019 (% Grade 4+ En/Ma) Whilst national performance is flat, there is considerable variation in attainment for some schools, particularly for threshold indicators 514 schools with 10%+ increase 374 schools with 10%+ decrease Source: DFE compare school performance, state-funded schools
  • 8. English Baccalaureate: attainment % pupil entered for EBacc % achieving Ebacc (Grade 4+) DFE target: 75% students to be studying Ebacc by 2022 Source: DFE SFR , state-funded schools
  • 9. Attainment 8: no change over three years Attainment 8 (overall score) has been static over three years Consistent ½ grade gap between boys and girls Source: DFE SFR , state-funded schools
  • 10. Where are the biggest progress gaps? Boys are ½ grade below girls (overall) and ¾ grade below in English and Open slots FSM6 gap is 1/2 grade in all areas FFT Aspire ERS 3/4 grade 3/4 grade1/2 grade 1/2 grade Disadvantaged pupils (FSM6) Gender
  • 11. DFE: Compare School Performance Summary performance indicators weighted more towards attainment and threshold measures 'Good’ Ofsted rating Average Progress 8 Attainment? Bar charts provide no interpretation for parents
  • 12. Schools: 2019 Progress 8 and Attainment 8 from DFE Compare School Performance 449 schools (15%) Well above average 1141 schools (38%) Average 596 schools (20%) Below average 509 schools (17%) Above average 363 schools (12%) Well below average
  • 13. What about the 2,300 good and outstanding secondary schools? 431 schools Well above average 923 schools Average 353 schools Below average 482 schools Above average 120 schools Well below average
  • 14. Schools in DFE Progress 8 bands by region
  • 16. Regional performance: attainment / progress 8 50.2 48.3 47.9 46.9 46.6 45.7 45.5 45.4 45.2 44.6 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 Outer London Inner London South East East of England South West East Midlands West Midlands North West Yorks & Hum North East Attainment 8 Score +0.24 +0.18 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.18 -0.25-0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 Outer London Inner London East of England South East Yorks & Hum East Midlands West Midlands South West North West North East Progress 8 Score
  • 17. How do schools perform in your region?
  • 18. How do schools perform by Ofsted rating?
  • 19. Inspection outcomes and 2019 school performance Outstanding Good Requires improvement Inadequate
  • 20. Outstanding Good School variation: Ofsted outcomes and 2019 performance
  • 21. School variation: Ofsted outcomes & 2019 performance Requires improvement Inadequate
  • 24. Ofsted IDSR changes in 2019: fewer charts New IDSR is a smaller, slimmed-down report • Data removed (for all subjects): • Progress 8 & its components – groups & scatterplots • Science, Humanities, Languages – Value Added • Ebacc entry and attainment • Ebacc 3 year entry trend • Pupil groups: prior attainment / disadvantaged Avoids duplication of other published data Reduces scope for inspectors to focus too much on national datasets and draw different conclusions
  • 25. Many charts replaced by ‘areas of interest’ • Subjects • P8 & A8 • Pupil movement • Absence • Exclusions • Destinations • Pupil groups Sentences generated dynamically and master list at available: bit.ly/2i7P3zy
  • 27. New data in IDSR
  • 29. IDSR: year group context
  • 32. Use of progress and attainment data by Ofsted
  • 33. IDSR and FFT Aspire to evaluate performance School leaders and subjects leaders can use Aspire alongside Ofsted IDSR for a robust evaluation and analysis of impact and pupil outcomes Understand strengths and areas for improvement for the school and each area of the curriculum ü Aspire uses same national datasets as IDSR and ASP ü In Aspire you get the numbers, significance, trends, percentile ranks, scatterplots & pupil-level data! ü Subject value-added progress: essential for the evaluation and analysis of subject and curriculum outcomes ü Analysis of performance by pupil groups (one year and three year) ü A full dashboard for each subject: attainment, progress, pupil groups, scatterplots and pupil data
  • 34. FFT Aspire: update on new developments in 2019
  • 35. KS4 Early Results Service • 1,800 schools participated in 2019 providing pupil data by end of August and receiving a report in early September • Report analysing school performance, FFT national average and progress 8 • FFT attainment 8 estimates (for progress 8) matched closely to DFE’s final estimates • FFT’s Early Results Service will run again in 2020: early GCSE results in August and DFE file in September
  • 36. FFT Aspire: 2019 data release schedule Data release Data received from DFE Data published in FFT Aspire 2019 census: Spring and Autumn July 2019 Mid-October 2019 KS2 results Mid-September End September: primary schools Mid-October: Year 7 estimates and Student Explorer 2019 KS4 results Expected: early November Mid-November 2019 KS5 results End October End November
  • 37. KS5: full analysis of A-level results üAttainment üValue-added pupil progress üPupil groups üSubject value-added for each A- level subject üScatterplots and pupil data ü1 year and 3 year analysis (useful for small subjects and sixth forms)
  • 38. KS5: Overview and summary
  • 39. KS5: attainment and progress Choose any two indicators:
  • 40. KS5: pupil groups and subject value-added
  • 41. KS5: scatterplot and pupil data
  • 42. School MIS FFT Aspire data connector partners Over 1,600 secondary schools (60%) now are setup with Aspire Data Exchange
  • 43. Data exchange is part of FFT Aspire – no additional cost Easy setup: link on Aspire homepage to get started Using FFT Aspire Data Exchange in school: ü No more spreadsheets to import pupils! ü Press a button to sync your MIS pupil data with Aspire ü Current pupils: available in target setting and student explorer ü Managing your data for GDPR: you are in control of how your MIS is connected to external systems (full audit trail) ü Import staff details to setup Aspire users Major new developments in 2020 using data exchange: ü Import your teaching groups and classes ü Sync your school attendance data to get a monthly attendance report in FFT Aspire ü New FFT Aspire Pupil Tracking tool for secondary schools (primary already release)
  • 44. Multi-user setup: creating account for your teachers
  • 45. Craig Smith Claire Jones George Alexander cjones@fft.org.uk galexander@fft.org.uk Import users from your school MIS
  • 46. Select role and Aspire permissions Claire Jones George Alexander cjones@fft.org.uk galexander@fft.org.uk Claire Jones George Alexander cjones@fft.org.uk galexander@fft.org.uk
  • 47. Finishing user setup: create users Claire Jones George Alexander cjones@fft.org.uk galexander@fft.org.uk Confirm user setup and create users New users will receive an email from FFT Aspire with link to register You will need to provide the new users with their access code to login to Aspire for first time and complete account registration With the latest 2019 data about to be released., it is a good time to make sure that you have users setup and able to make the best use of Aspire in your school: • Senior leaders • Subject leaders and year leaders • Teachers
  • 48. New reports analysing historical and current attendance for all pupils Attendance tracking Pupils, subjects, teachers and teaching groups all link through from MIS to Aspire Current MIS pupil data Schools submit DFE KS4 data file to FFT in September and reports available mid- Oct Full ‘early 2020 KS4 data’ Track progress of your pupils using current assessment data (tests and teacher assessment) Pupil tracking: monitor progress 2020 roadmap: secondary schools Pupil tracking: monitor progress Full ‘early 2020 KS4 data’ Current MIS pupil data Attendance tracking