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IT AIN’T WHAT YOU DON’T
KNOW THAT GETS YOU
INTO TROUBLE. IT’S WHAT
YOU KNOW FOR SURE
THAT JUST AIN’T SO.

- MARK TWAIN


Feeling any pressure?
Does this hurt?
   College costs are
    rising 6 – 8% annually
   Retirement costs are
    rising (healthcare,
    LTC)
   Inflation
   Taxes
   Technological change
   Planned
    obsolescence
The Crux of the Issue

   In a world of limited
    $$$, we have to
    allocate wisely … in
    a word – tradeoffs
What are the Tradeoffs?


   Maximum
    Retirement Income
    for me
What are the Tradeoffs?


   College funding for
    my kids




Both are a requirement – NON-NEGOTIABLE!
Retirement Income Strategy Musts:

                 Maximize income from all available
 Objectives
                  assets
                 Maximize flexibility to respond to
                  changing external factors – taxes,
                  inflation, market volatility, health
                  changes
                 Maintain control and minimize
                  wealth erosion
Education Strategy Musts:

                 #1 – have your child attend school
 Objectives
                 Minimize limitations surrounding
                  certain “single-use” financial
                  products
                 Maximize flexibility to fund
                  education using most efficient and
                  effective way possible
                 Maintain control, liquidity, and
                  minimize wealth erosion
Some Standard Methods – a Taxonomy

Other People’s Money    My Money

   Scholarships           529 plan
   Grants                 Fund from cash flow
   Gifts from family      Coverdell savings
   Working child          Mutual funds
   Equity loans
   Student loan in
    child’s name only
Standard Answers May Fall Short

529 Plan: Advantages           529 Plan: Disadvantages
                            Market risk
   Tax-deferred
                            Lack of liquidity
    accumulation
                            Penalty for non-qualified
   Tax-free withdrawals     withdrawals

      Question: If you get  Appears on FAFSA form
    Ability to change
                           what you want,
      why should you be penalized?
    beneficiary             Not self-completing in the
                             event of disability
   Some state income tax   Not self-completing in the
    benefits in certain      event of premature death
    states, but not TX      Government-imposed limits
                             on total account
   Opportunity for growth   contributions/balances
What is the True Cost of College?
 4,000,000


 3,500,000
                                                                   Over 30% of
 3,000,000
                                                                   total comes in
                                                                   last 5 years!
 2,500,000


 2,000,000


 1,500,000


 1,000,000


  500,000


        -
             1   2   3   4   5    6   7   8   9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25


                                 Compound Growth Curve of $550,000 @ 8%
So do you want more income in retirement
OR to fund your kids’ college?


Retirement
Income
Maximum

                             Minimum
                                College
             The Trade Off      Expense
So do you want more income in retirement
OR to fund your kids’ college?


                                College
                                Expense
                             Maximum

Minimum
Retirement
Income       The Trade Off
Wouldn’t This Be Better?


Retirement
Income       Maximum       College
                           Expense




         No Trade Off!
Positioning for Maximum Retirement
Income and College Cost Recovery



   How do we get
    there?
Positioning – Use a Macro Model …

   Organized
   Coordinated
   Balanced
   Integrated
   Resilient
   Efficient
   Verifiable
   Flexible
… together with Strategies

   Velocity of Money
   Taming a Bear
    Market
   Spend-downs
   OPM
   Withdrawal
    Protocols
Implementing the Model

   Understand your
    “Wealth Timeline”
   Must “Begin with
    End in Mind”
   Failure cannot be
    an Option
Your Wealth Timeline: 3 Phases

   Accumulation
   Distribution
   Preservation
Accumulation: Common Problems


   “Silo” investing
   Chasing Rate of Return
                              Yup, I’ve got college
     Growth   Mentality      all wrapped up here
   Disregard for:             and over yonder’s
                                  my retirement
     Hidden  risks
     Taxation

     “Drafts” in the model
Lines of Defense: Build a Moat
   Protect Your Castle Against:
     Market   Volatility
     Inflation

     Taxes

     Longevity

     Lawsuit

     Health Events

     Premature Death
Distribution Phase: Safe Rate?
   Want Maximum but …
       … most academic
        research indicates the
        “safe” withdrawal rate to
        be between 4 and 4.5%
        because you cannot run
        out
   … and you also need:
     Flexibility to adapt
     Multiple sources of
      income
Preservation: Exit Plan
   Your wealth will go
    somewhere
       Government (IRS)
       Corporations –
        healthcare or financial
       Other wealthy people –
        think fire sale
       Charity
       Family
   Will it go where you
    want, in the amount
    you want, when you
    want?
What is the True Cost of College?

                                                     It’s the income from the
4,000,000


3,500,000                                            future value of the asset
                                                     PLUS the value of the
3,000,000
                                                     asset passed along
2,500,000
                                                     to your children

2,000,000


1,500,000


1,000,000


 500,000


       -
            1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25


                                Compound Growth Curve of $550,000 @ 8%
The Bottom Line …
   If, through planning,
    positioning, and
    strategies, you are
    able to replace the
    income you otherwise
    would have lost, AND
    pass it on, haven’t you
    recovered the cost of
    college?
Case Study: Dr. Smith
   Dr. and Mrs. Smith, ages 45 and 44
   Two children, ages 8 and 10
   Annual household income of $275,000
   Want children to attend Rice University,
    projected total cost of $550,000 (currently
    $48,500/year for Fall 2011)
   Currently saving $25,000/yr into 529’s that
    have $70,000 assumed to earn 8% yearly
   Projected retirement assets of $2,200,000
Case Study: Current plan results

Education Plan Results                        Retirement Plan Results
   If all assumptions hold (contributions,      With $2,200,000 of retirement
    inflation, return, etc.), sufficient          assets that must last for their
    assets are set aside for the two              combined life expectancy, results
    children’s education                          in projected annual retirement
   Total payments to Rice approximately          income of $95,000 plus social
    $550,000                                      security (pre-tax)
   Projected “True Cost” of almost              Lost income opportunity would
    $900,000 at retirement age, and               represent an increase in annual
    about $3,000,000 at life expectancy
                                                  realized income of 42%
   This equates to about $40,000 of
    annual retirement income for 20+             Children and/or grandchildren do
    years                                         NOT receive the $3,000,000 at
   Also assumes no scholarships,                 joint life expectancy
    grants, etc. which result in no non-
    qualified 529 withdrawals
Case Study: Alternative plan results

Education Plan Results                    Retirement Plan Results
   If all assumptions hold                With $2,000,000 of retirement
    (contributions, inflation,               assets PLUS paid-up asset
    return, etc.), sufficient assets         insurance, projected annual
    are set aside for theEntire Plan Protected Against: income of $125,000
                            two              retirement
                                             plus social security
    children’s education       - Premature Death
                                           College cost recapture via
   Total payments to Rice - Disability additional $30,000 of annual
    approximately $550,000 Lawsuit
                               -             income in retirement,
                              -             representing an increase in
    Financial aid opportunitiesMarket Fluctuation
    maximized                                annual realized income of 31%
                                           Children and/or grandchildren
   Any scholarships, grants, etc.           receive $1,000,000+ at joint life
    would not result in taxes and            expectancy
    penalties attributed to non-
                                           Multiple sources of income
    qualified 529 withdrawals
                                              available in retirement
Todd M. Harris
Email: tharris@houcap.com
Phone: 713-429-4810
10375 Richmond Ave., Suite 260
Houston, TX 77042

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Feeling Any Pressure No Music

  • 1. IT AIN’T WHAT YOU DON’T KNOW THAT GETS YOU INTO TROUBLE. IT’S WHAT YOU KNOW FOR SURE THAT JUST AIN’T SO. - MARK TWAIN Feeling any pressure?
  • 2. Does this hurt?  College costs are rising 6 – 8% annually  Retirement costs are rising (healthcare, LTC)  Inflation  Taxes  Technological change  Planned obsolescence
  • 3. The Crux of the Issue  In a world of limited $$$, we have to allocate wisely … in a word – tradeoffs
  • 4. What are the Tradeoffs?  Maximum Retirement Income for me
  • 5. What are the Tradeoffs?  College funding for my kids Both are a requirement – NON-NEGOTIABLE!
  • 6. Retirement Income Strategy Musts:  Maximize income from all available Objectives assets  Maximize flexibility to respond to changing external factors – taxes, inflation, market volatility, health changes  Maintain control and minimize wealth erosion
  • 7. Education Strategy Musts:  #1 – have your child attend school Objectives  Minimize limitations surrounding certain “single-use” financial products  Maximize flexibility to fund education using most efficient and effective way possible  Maintain control, liquidity, and minimize wealth erosion
  • 8. Some Standard Methods – a Taxonomy Other People’s Money My Money  Scholarships  529 plan  Grants  Fund from cash flow  Gifts from family  Coverdell savings  Working child  Mutual funds  Equity loans  Student loan in child’s name only
  • 9. Standard Answers May Fall Short 529 Plan: Advantages 529 Plan: Disadvantages  Market risk  Tax-deferred  Lack of liquidity accumulation  Penalty for non-qualified  Tax-free withdrawals withdrawals  Question: If you get  Appears on FAFSA form Ability to change what you want, why should you be penalized? beneficiary  Not self-completing in the event of disability  Some state income tax  Not self-completing in the benefits in certain event of premature death states, but not TX  Government-imposed limits on total account  Opportunity for growth contributions/balances
  • 10. What is the True Cost of College? 4,000,000 3,500,000 Over 30% of 3,000,000 total comes in last 5 years! 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Compound Growth Curve of $550,000 @ 8%
  • 11. So do you want more income in retirement OR to fund your kids’ college? Retirement Income Maximum Minimum College The Trade Off Expense
  • 12. So do you want more income in retirement OR to fund your kids’ college? College Expense Maximum Minimum Retirement Income The Trade Off
  • 13. Wouldn’t This Be Better? Retirement Income Maximum College Expense No Trade Off!
  • 14. Positioning for Maximum Retirement Income and College Cost Recovery  How do we get there?
  • 15. Positioning – Use a Macro Model …  Organized  Coordinated  Balanced  Integrated  Resilient  Efficient  Verifiable  Flexible
  • 16. … together with Strategies  Velocity of Money  Taming a Bear Market  Spend-downs  OPM  Withdrawal Protocols
  • 17. Implementing the Model  Understand your “Wealth Timeline”  Must “Begin with End in Mind”  Failure cannot be an Option
  • 18. Your Wealth Timeline: 3 Phases  Accumulation  Distribution  Preservation
  • 19. Accumulation: Common Problems  “Silo” investing  Chasing Rate of Return Yup, I’ve got college  Growth Mentality all wrapped up here  Disregard for: and over yonder’s my retirement  Hidden risks  Taxation  “Drafts” in the model
  • 20. Lines of Defense: Build a Moat  Protect Your Castle Against:  Market Volatility  Inflation  Taxes  Longevity  Lawsuit  Health Events  Premature Death
  • 21. Distribution Phase: Safe Rate?  Want Maximum but …  … most academic research indicates the “safe” withdrawal rate to be between 4 and 4.5% because you cannot run out  … and you also need:  Flexibility to adapt  Multiple sources of income
  • 22. Preservation: Exit Plan  Your wealth will go somewhere  Government (IRS)  Corporations – healthcare or financial  Other wealthy people – think fire sale  Charity  Family  Will it go where you want, in the amount you want, when you want?
  • 23. What is the True Cost of College? It’s the income from the 4,000,000 3,500,000 future value of the asset PLUS the value of the 3,000,000 asset passed along 2,500,000 to your children 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Compound Growth Curve of $550,000 @ 8%
  • 24. The Bottom Line …  If, through planning, positioning, and strategies, you are able to replace the income you otherwise would have lost, AND pass it on, haven’t you recovered the cost of college?
  • 25. Case Study: Dr. Smith  Dr. and Mrs. Smith, ages 45 and 44  Two children, ages 8 and 10  Annual household income of $275,000  Want children to attend Rice University, projected total cost of $550,000 (currently $48,500/year for Fall 2011)  Currently saving $25,000/yr into 529’s that have $70,000 assumed to earn 8% yearly  Projected retirement assets of $2,200,000
  • 26. Case Study: Current plan results Education Plan Results Retirement Plan Results  If all assumptions hold (contributions,  With $2,200,000 of retirement inflation, return, etc.), sufficient assets that must last for their assets are set aside for the two combined life expectancy, results children’s education in projected annual retirement  Total payments to Rice approximately income of $95,000 plus social $550,000 security (pre-tax)  Projected “True Cost” of almost  Lost income opportunity would $900,000 at retirement age, and represent an increase in annual about $3,000,000 at life expectancy realized income of 42%  This equates to about $40,000 of annual retirement income for 20+  Children and/or grandchildren do years NOT receive the $3,000,000 at  Also assumes no scholarships, joint life expectancy grants, etc. which result in no non- qualified 529 withdrawals
  • 27. Case Study: Alternative plan results Education Plan Results Retirement Plan Results  If all assumptions hold  With $2,000,000 of retirement (contributions, inflation, assets PLUS paid-up asset return, etc.), sufficient assets insurance, projected annual are set aside for theEntire Plan Protected Against: income of $125,000 two retirement plus social security children’s education - Premature Death  College cost recapture via  Total payments to Rice - Disability additional $30,000 of annual approximately $550,000 Lawsuit - income in retirement,  - representing an increase in Financial aid opportunitiesMarket Fluctuation maximized annual realized income of 31%  Children and/or grandchildren  Any scholarships, grants, etc. receive $1,000,000+ at joint life would not result in taxes and expectancy penalties attributed to non-  Multiple sources of income qualified 529 withdrawals available in retirement
  • 28. Todd M. Harris Email: tharris@houcap.com Phone: 713-429-4810 10375 Richmond Ave., Suite 260 Houston, TX 77042