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The
Pre-Listing
Package
that seals the deal
before you get there
The 2 Major Mistakes
1. Bragging about
Themselves
2. Bragging about
Their Company
2014 will be the year that real estate
marketing shifts to effectively and
consistently answering the one question
every real estate pro gets asked:

How’s the market?
Nobu Hata
NAR’s Director of Digital Engagement
KCM Divided into
Three Sections
ta·per
ˈtāpər/
Verb – to diminish
or reduce
This decision from the Fed is a trigger
to get out there and look for a home
while rates are low, as the Fed is still
giving buyers the opportunity to
borrow money at a discount.

Michael Deery
President, Citywide Financial Corp
2013 - 2014
30 Year Fixed
Mortgage Rates

Federal Reserve 1/2014
Mortgage Rate
Projections
Analyst

Projected Rate
1Q 2015

Fannie Mae

5.1%
5.4%
5.3%
5.1%

National Assoc of Realtors
Freddie Mac
Mortgage Bankers Assoc
There is competitive advantage in
knowledge, but very few decision
makers know how to harness it…
You have to be strategic about
it.

Martin Ihrig
Professor of Management,
The Wharton School of Business
Date

Average Interest
Price
Rate

P&I

December
2012

$230,600

3.35%

$1,016.29

December
2013

$246,800

4.46%

$1,244.64

Difference in Monthly Payment

$228.35

Monthly

Annually

Over 30 Years

$228.35

$2,740.20

$82,206
Date

Average Interest
Price
Rate

P&I

January
2014

$246,800

4.31%

$1,222.79

January
2015

$256,672

5.3%

$1,425.31

Difference in Monthly Payment

$202.52

Monthly

Annually

Over 30 Years

$202.52

$2,430.24

$72,907.20
Year-over-Year Inventory Levels
10%
5%

5%
1.8%

Aug Sept
-6.2% 1.8%

Oct
0.9%

1.6%

0.9%

0%
-5%

-5%

-7.6%

-6.2%

-10%
-14%

-15%

-13%

-16.8%
-20.8%

-20%
-24%

-25%

Jan
Feb March April May June
% -24% -20.8% -16.8% -14% -13% -7.6%

July
-5%

Nov
5.0%

Dec
1.6%
NAR 12/2013
% Reduction in Serious Delinquencies
from peak to now

NAR 12/2013
Months Inventory of Homes for Sale

5-6 Months =
Normal Market Inventory

NAR 1/2014
2013 Available Inventory
in millions

2.24
2.15

1.90

2.15

2.16

Apr

May

Jun

1.93

1.77

Jan

Feb

Mar

Jul
Move-Up
SELLER
We are anticipating a meaningful
increase in the supply of homes for
sale. The survey evidence suggests
that rising prices are motivating
more owners to list their homes.

Paul Diggle
Capital Economics
69

%

Consumer Views on
Housing & Economy

have a positive outlook
on housing this year

Lending Tree Survey 2014

63

%

have a positive outlook
on the economy this year

%

71

said they are considering
selling their home in 2014
FOR
SALE

71%

All Sellers

Percentage of Homeowners
Considering Selling in 2014
by age group

78%

Sellers Ages 30-39

90%

Sellers Under 30
Lending Tree Survey 2014
10000

8000

Average Annual Number
of Recent Housing
Occupants by Age

2010-2020

s
0
,
1
n
i

6000

4000

2000

0

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65-74

75-84

AGE
Joint Center for Housing Studies, Harvard University
Homeownership Percentage Rate
40.5%

for 25-29 year olds
by average year
they turned 25

38.8%

34.3%
2000

2005

2010
John Burns Real Estate Consulting 1/2014
Gen Y'ers were Y-bother?
But they will start forming
families and become

Ynot’ers.
Alex Villacorta
VP of research Clear Capital
Existing Home Sales

NAR 1/2014
Pending Home Sales

100 = Historically Healthy Level

NAR 1/2014
Year-over-Year Change in Prices

S&P Case Shiller 1/2014
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
January 2000 – January 2014

MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

S&P Case Shiller 1/2014
Months Inventory of Homes for Sale

5-6 Months = Normal Market Inventory

NAR 1/2014
Percentage of Distressed Property Sales
35%
35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

14%
10%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

NAR 1/2014
10-10-20
SO

LD
Frivolous content will
sink in 2014 as the
“
gems of true insight
continue to rise.

Marc Davison
1000Watt Consulting
BRANDING

STOP
with the

Cherry Pie
Recipes
Denise Madan
RE/MAX Advance Realty
South Miami, FL
786.344.8004
Denise@DeniseMadan.com
www.MakeMiamiHome.com
Resources
Slide

Slide Title

5

Michael Deery Quote

6

2013 – 2014 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates

Link

http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?ro

http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
http://fanniemae.com/resources/file/research/emma/pdf/Housing_Forecast_011314.pdf

http://www.freddiemac.com/finance/docs/Jan_2014_public_outlook.pdf
http://www.mortgagebankers.org/files/Bulletin/InternalResource/86783_.pdf
http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2013/embargoes/phs-12-30-illtratatb/forecast-1

7

Mortgage Rate Projections

8

Martin Ihrig Quote

9,10

Difference in Monthly Payment

11

Year-Over-Year Inventory Levels

12

% Reduction in Serious Delinquencies

13

Months Inventory of Homes for Sale

http://www.realtor.org

14

2013 Available Inventory

http://www.realtor.org/topics/existing-home-sales/data

22

Move-Up Seller

http://info.trulia.com/2014-housing-predictions

http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?ro

http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2014/embargoes/ehs-01-23-glltlotp/ehs-12-201
http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives.html
http://www.realtor.org

http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/2014/01/16/depleting-shadow-inventory/#more-1461
Resources
Slide

Slide Title

Link

16

Paul Diggle Quote

17,18

Consumer Views on Housing Economy,
Percentage of Homeowners Considering Selling
in 2014

https://www.lendingtree.com/blog/lendingtree-survey-71-percent-of-homeownersconsidering-sale-in-2014/

20

Average Annual Number of Recent Housing
Occupants by Age

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-IyujYrP4Yv4/UuqZBchdsyI/AAAAAAAABA8/Yts60TGoik/s1600/013014_masnick_figure3.png

21

Homeownership Percentage Rate

http://www.realestateconsulting.com/blog/chris-porter/subprime-generation

22

Alex Villacorta Quote

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/28687-turning-20-somethings-into-home-buyers

24, 25

Existing Home Sales, Pending Home Sales

www.realtor.org

26

Year-Over-Year Change in Prices

http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller

27

Return on Investment

http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller
http://money.msn.com

28

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller

19

Months Inventory of Homes for Sale,
Percentage of Distressed Property Sales

www.realtor.org

34

Marc Davison Quote

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/26818-move-up-buying-activity-rises-with-homeequity-gains

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/01/28/a-look-at-case-shiller-by-metro-area-28/?source=P
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The Pre-Listing Package that seals the deal before you get there

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. The Pre-Listing Package that seals the deal before you get there
  • 6. The 2 Major Mistakes 1. Bragging about Themselves 2. Bragging about Their Company
  • 7. 2014 will be the year that real estate marketing shifts to effectively and consistently answering the one question every real estate pro gets asked: How’s the market? Nobu Hata NAR’s Director of Digital Engagement
  • 8.
  • 10.
  • 11. ta·per ˈtāpər/ Verb – to diminish or reduce
  • 12. This decision from the Fed is a trigger to get out there and look for a home while rates are low, as the Fed is still giving buyers the opportunity to borrow money at a discount. Michael Deery President, Citywide Financial Corp
  • 13. 2013 - 2014 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Federal Reserve 1/2014
  • 14. Mortgage Rate Projections Analyst Projected Rate 1Q 2015 Fannie Mae 5.1% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% National Assoc of Realtors Freddie Mac Mortgage Bankers Assoc
  • 15. There is competitive advantage in knowledge, but very few decision makers know how to harness it… You have to be strategic about it. Martin Ihrig Professor of Management, The Wharton School of Business
  • 17. Date Average Interest Price Rate P&I January 2014 $246,800 4.31% $1,222.79 January 2015 $256,672 5.3% $1,425.31 Difference in Monthly Payment $202.52 Monthly Annually Over 30 Years $202.52 $2,430.24 $72,907.20
  • 18. Year-over-Year Inventory Levels 10% 5% 5% 1.8% Aug Sept -6.2% 1.8% Oct 0.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0% -5% -5% -7.6% -6.2% -10% -14% -15% -13% -16.8% -20.8% -20% -24% -25% Jan Feb March April May June % -24% -20.8% -16.8% -14% -13% -7.6% July -5% Nov 5.0% Dec 1.6% NAR 12/2013
  • 19. % Reduction in Serious Delinquencies from peak to now NAR 12/2013
  • 20. Months Inventory of Homes for Sale 5-6 Months = Normal Market Inventory NAR 1/2014
  • 21. 2013 Available Inventory in millions 2.24 2.15 1.90 2.15 2.16 Apr May Jun 1.93 1.77 Jan Feb Mar Jul
  • 23. We are anticipating a meaningful increase in the supply of homes for sale. The survey evidence suggests that rising prices are motivating more owners to list their homes. Paul Diggle Capital Economics
  • 24. 69 % Consumer Views on Housing & Economy have a positive outlook on housing this year Lending Tree Survey 2014 63 % have a positive outlook on the economy this year % 71 said they are considering selling their home in 2014
  • 25. FOR SALE 71% All Sellers Percentage of Homeowners Considering Selling in 2014 by age group 78% Sellers Ages 30-39 90% Sellers Under 30 Lending Tree Survey 2014
  • 26.
  • 27. 10000 8000 Average Annual Number of Recent Housing Occupants by Age 2010-2020 s 0 , 1 n i 6000 4000 2000 0 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 AGE Joint Center for Housing Studies, Harvard University
  • 28. Homeownership Percentage Rate 40.5% for 25-29 year olds by average year they turned 25 38.8% 34.3% 2000 2005 2010 John Burns Real Estate Consulting 1/2014
  • 29. Gen Y'ers were Y-bother? But they will start forming families and become Ynot’ers. Alex Villacorta VP of research Clear Capital
  • 30.
  • 32. Pending Home Sales 100 = Historically Healthy Level NAR 1/2014
  • 33. Year-over-Year Change in Prices S&P Case Shiller 1/2014
  • 34. RETURN ON INVESTMENT January 2000 – January 2014 MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
  • 35. S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices S&P Case Shiller 1/2014
  • 36. Months Inventory of Homes for Sale 5-6 Months = Normal Market Inventory NAR 1/2014
  • 37. Percentage of Distressed Property Sales 35% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 14% 10% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec NAR 1/2014
  • 38.
  • 40. SO LD
  • 41. Frivolous content will sink in 2014 as the “ gems of true insight continue to rise. Marc Davison 1000Watt Consulting
  • 43. Denise Madan RE/MAX Advance Realty South Miami, FL 786.344.8004 Denise@DeniseMadan.com www.MakeMiamiHome.com
  • 44. Resources Slide Slide Title 5 Michael Deery Quote 6 2013 – 2014 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Link http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?ro http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms http://fanniemae.com/resources/file/research/emma/pdf/Housing_Forecast_011314.pdf http://www.freddiemac.com/finance/docs/Jan_2014_public_outlook.pdf http://www.mortgagebankers.org/files/Bulletin/InternalResource/86783_.pdf http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2013/embargoes/phs-12-30-illtratatb/forecast-1 7 Mortgage Rate Projections 8 Martin Ihrig Quote 9,10 Difference in Monthly Payment 11 Year-Over-Year Inventory Levels 12 % Reduction in Serious Delinquencies 13 Months Inventory of Homes for Sale http://www.realtor.org 14 2013 Available Inventory http://www.realtor.org/topics/existing-home-sales/data 22 Move-Up Seller http://info.trulia.com/2014-housing-predictions http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?ro http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2014/embargoes/ehs-01-23-glltlotp/ehs-12-201 http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives.html http://www.realtor.org http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/2014/01/16/depleting-shadow-inventory/#more-1461
  • 45. Resources Slide Slide Title Link 16 Paul Diggle Quote 17,18 Consumer Views on Housing Economy, Percentage of Homeowners Considering Selling in 2014 https://www.lendingtree.com/blog/lendingtree-survey-71-percent-of-homeownersconsidering-sale-in-2014/ 20 Average Annual Number of Recent Housing Occupants by Age http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-IyujYrP4Yv4/UuqZBchdsyI/AAAAAAAABA8/Yts60TGoik/s1600/013014_masnick_figure3.png 21 Homeownership Percentage Rate http://www.realestateconsulting.com/blog/chris-porter/subprime-generation 22 Alex Villacorta Quote http://www.housingwire.com/articles/28687-turning-20-somethings-into-home-buyers 24, 25 Existing Home Sales, Pending Home Sales www.realtor.org 26 Year-Over-Year Change in Prices http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller 27 Return on Investment http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller http://money.msn.com 28 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller 19 Months Inventory of Homes for Sale, Percentage of Distressed Property Sales www.realtor.org 34 Marc Davison Quote http://www.housingwire.com/articles/26818-move-up-buying-activity-rises-with-homeequity-gains http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/01/28/a-look-at-case-shiller-by-metro-area-28/?source=P

Editor's Notes

  1. http://www.housingwire.com/articles/26818-move-up-buying-activity-rises-with-home-equity-gains
  2. http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?roie=1215&slx=wwork
  3. http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
  4. http://fanniemae.com/resources/file/research/emma/pdf/Housing_Forecast_011314.pdf http://www.freddiemac.com/finance/docs/Jan_2014_public_outlook.pdf http://www.mortgagebankers.org/files/Bulletin/InternalResource/86783_.pdf http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2013/embargoes/phs-12-30-illtratatb/forecast-1-2014-us-economic-outlook-12-30-2013.pdf
  5. http://execed-news.wharton.upenn.edu/wharton-at-work/1401/top-trends-for-2014-1401.cfm?roie=1215&slx=wwork
  6. http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2014/embargoes/ehs-01-23-glltlotp/ehs-12-2013-overview-2014-01-23.pdf http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives.html
  7. http://www.realtor.org/sites/default/files/reports/2014/embargoes/ehs-01-23-glltlotp/ehs-12-2013-overview-2014-01-23.pdf http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives.html
  8. www.realtor.org
  9. http://economistsoutlook.blogs.realtor.org/2014/01/16/depleting-shadow-inventory/#more-14615
  10. http://www.realtor.org/
  11. http://www.realtor.org/topics/existing-home-sales/data
  12. http://info.trulia.com/2014-housing-predictions
  13. http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/01/28/a-look-at-case-shiller-by-metro-area-28/?source=Patrick.net&mod=WSJ_hpp_sections_realestate
  14. https://www.lendingtree.com/blog/lendingtree-survey-71-percent-of-homeowners-considering-sale-in-2014/
  15. https://www.lendingtree.com/blog/lendingtree-survey-71-percent-of-homeowners-considering-sale-in-2014/
  16. http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-IyujYrP4Yv4/UuqZBchdsyI/AAAAAAAABA8/Yts60TGoi-k/s1600/013014_masnick_figure3.png
  17. http://www.realestateconsulting.com/blog/chris-porter/subprime-generation
  18. http://www.housingwire.com/articles/28687-turning-20-somethings-into-home-buyers
  19. www.realtor.org
  20. http://www.realtor.org/
  21. http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller
  22. http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller http://money.msn.com/
  23. http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller
  24. http://www.realtor.org/
  25. http://www.realtor.org/
  26. http://www.housingwire.com/articles/26818-move-up-buying-activity-rises-with-home-equity-gains