SlideShare a Scribd company logo
U.S. Retail Photo Output 2010-2015
Situation Analysis
• Conventional print volume (film + digital) and category revenue
  continues to fall and that fall has accelerated in 2011.
• Walmart Stores, which enjoyed share dominance for numerous
  years, has slipped from the top position, with promotional drug
  chains Walgreens and CVS gaining share.
• Personalized printed output continues to be the on-demand print
  category growth engine for retailers and photo merchandise
  delivered to store or home continue to show substantial growth
  potential.
• Kiosk prints as a % of total prints will grow as retailers increasingly
  turn to lower-cost, lower-touch print solutions even as consumers
  opt for instant gratification.




                                                                               2
                   Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
              Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010       PAGE 2
Situation Analysis - 2
•   Seasonal demand spikes are a significant and increasing challenge for retailers as
    demand shifts from everyday conventional print demand to personalized
    products, with primary demand concentrated from mid-November through late-
    December.
•   With an increasing number of retailers (especially regional chains) abandoning or
    likely to abandon in-store printing services the smaller pie of revenue will be
    shared by a few committed retailers (esp. CVS and Walgreens).
•   There are significant barriers to growth of photo output revenue for retailers.
    These include: a) alternative output options such as strong B2C online photo
    retailers such as Shutterfly, Snapfish, Kodak Gallery, Picaboo, MyPublisher, Blurb,
    and even Apple, b) significant purchase friction at different points of contact such
    as poor architecture of online and kiosk create and order experiences, c) rapidly
    changing consumer imaging behavior…especially the adoption of Facebook as
    the primary photo sharing choice and the adoption of mobile devices as primary
    image capture devices for many households (can an will be an advantage if
    addressed successfully).


                                                                                          3
                         Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
                    Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010            PAGE 3
What’s Dragging Revenue Down?
    Consumer Adaptation                              Institutional Failure
                                            •   DSC’s that provide complexities and no connected
•From Selective Printing to “no                 solutions.
printing”                                   •   Unnecessarily “bloated” image file size.
                                            •
•From Email & Photo Sites to Social             Retailer retreat (capital, labor, space, advertising)
                                            •   No vendor partners driving awareness and demand for
Media (esp. Facebook , Flickr, Picasa           the category
Web Albums, Smugmug, etc.)                  •   Far too many unnecessary friction points for consumers
                                                to navigate from capture to retail output services.
•From DSC to Cameraphones,                  •   Far too little effort to develop and deliver suites of
Smartphones and Tablets.                        meaningful new output products.
•From Still Images to Short-Form Video




                                                                                                    4
                     Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
                Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010                          PAGE 4
Total On-Site Photo Print Output
                                  2010-2015
                                         ($B)
The growth of         $6.00
personalized
printed output is     $5.00
not yet on a trend    $4.00
to compensate fully
for the loss of       $3.00
conventional print    $2.00
consumption but it
will drive overall    $1.00
category growth       $0.00
revenue beginning               2010     2011      2012    2013     2014    2015
in 2013.
                            Conventional Print $     Personalized Print $   Total $



                                                                                      5
                     Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
                Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010            PAGE 5
Retail Digital Print Unit Projections
                                   (B 4x6 eq. units)

•Demand for                     20.00
Conventional prints has
                                15.00
and will continue to fall
off steeply.                    10.00
•Demand for
                                 5.00
personalized printed
output has and will              0.00
continue to grow as                      2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
awareness, access, and                   Conventional Film & Digital Prints
new products continue                    Personalized Prints
to accelerate.                           Total Prints




                                                                                 6
                         Retail Photo Output – 2010-2015
                    Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010   PAGE 6
Self-Service Prints vs. Minilab Prints
                   (Conventional 4x6 Equiv. Prints - B)
                                                           •There are forces at work that
16.00
                                                           advance the need for minilab
14.00                                                      printing (especially web-2-store
12.00                                                      printing, and demand for new
10.00                                                      personalized products).
                                                           •There are, simultaneously, forces
 8.00                                                      at work that limit the investment
 6.00                                                      interest in minilabs (especially
 4.00                                                      labor costs, operational
                                                           complexities, and declining
 2.00
                                                           revenues).
 0.00                                                      •Other trigger events which could
        2010    2011     2012    2013      2014   2015     radically alter share of prints
                                                           would include demnd for printed
               Kiosk (Self-Serve) Prints                   output from mobile devices and
               "Minilab" (supported) prints                Social Networks such as Facebook
                                                           and Google+.



                                                                                        7
                      Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
                 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010             PAGE 7
Seasonality of Print Revenue
                        2014
                                      •Current personalized printed
                                      products are dominated by products
                                      with demand primarily from mid-
                                      November through late-December.
                                      •As the share of output from
                                      personalized printed output grows
                                      this trend threatens to shift even
                                      more volume to a narrow holiday
                                      window.
                                      •The popularity of photo
                                      merchandise, which is currently
                                      dominated by holiday gift giving
                                      increases the challenges of
                                      equipping and staffing this changing
                                      category.


                                                                      8
        Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
   Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010         PAGE 8
Personalized Photo Prints
     Share of Revenue - 2010




                                                              9
      Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010   PAGE 9
•Threats                                     •Opportunities

•Accelerated non-printing behavior by            •Facebook members are now 1-Click away
                Threats & Opportunities
consumers (e.g. Facebook, Twitter sharing as
beginning and end of most post-capture
                                                 from quality retail printing

activity).
•Accelerated category retreat by major           •Rapid development and effective
retailers (reduced capital investment, reduced   merchandising of streams of critical new
labor commitment, reduction of footprint or      personalized printed output (especially
relocation to service clusters, reduced          products with year-round appeal).
promotion and advertising)
•Widespread adoption of camera phones as         •Content becomes a powerful economic
primary household capture device (devices        engine and drives demand for boundless new
and apps on smartphones provide the ease         personalized output opportunities at retail.
and immediacy consumers want….plus the
best camera is the one you have with you!)
•Failure to develop and effectively              •Major retailers in combination with industry
merchandize and promote critical year-round      partners aggressively pursue and support
high-volume personalized printed products.       awareness campaigns.
                                                 •Output from mobile devices

                                                 •New generations of capture devices that are
                                                 always connected to easy retail product
                                                 solutions.
                                                                                              10
                       Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
                  Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010                   PAGE 10
Engines of Growth
 Meeting consumers where they love to be with simple,
meaningful, affordable solutions (e.g. easy print from Facebook ,
Google+, Mobile Devices and pick-up at retail)
 Personalized Event Celebration Products or Bundles
 Home Décor
 Commercial Image-Rich Printed Output
 Retail Products with Output Components
 Licensed Content for Consumer and Commercial Output
 Focus on a select number of new high-demand products with
year-long demand




                                                                         11
                  Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014
             Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010   PAGE 11
Thank You

FRANK BAILLARGEON


            Retail Photo Output Projections Update     12
                                                     PAGE 12

More Related Content

Similar to F22 U S Retail Output Review 12.11

Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
auexpo Conference
 
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
Vanguard Visions
 
New digital divide polachek london
New digital divide polachek londonNew digital divide polachek london
New digital divide polachek london
Local Social Summit
 
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
Danny Moloney (DBA IP), (PhD IP)
 
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industryFin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
Michael Fauscette
 
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
VDC Research Group
 
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
Digital Enterprise Program
 
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de GooijerMobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
MobileConventionAmsterdam
 
Solutions mobiles portails
Solutions mobiles portailsSolutions mobiles portails
Solutions mobiles portails
dteboul
 
Bb big picture White
Bb big picture WhiteBb big picture White
Bb big picture White
Jordan Handler
 
Bb big picture White
Bb big picture WhiteBb big picture White
Bb big picture White
Jordan Handler
 
CRM Acceleration - SME case study
CRM Acceleration - SME case studyCRM Acceleration - SME case study
CRM Acceleration - SME case study
mobinat
 
Ppt nickler 2013
Ppt nickler 2013Ppt nickler 2013
Ppt nickler 2013
Sean Sherwood
 
TKclass: News business models
TKclass: News business modelsTKclass: News business models
TKclass: News business models
Steve Outing | MediaDisruptus
 
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
affilinet
 
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Paul Brown
 
Bb big picture
Bb big pictureBb big picture
Bb big picture
Jordan Handler
 
IBM Mobile Strategy
IBM Mobile StrategyIBM Mobile Strategy
IBM Mobile Strategy
IBM WebSphereIndia
 
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing ConferenceWharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
Aericon
 
Investor Presentation
Investor PresentationInvestor Presentation
Investor Presentation
monotypeimg
 

Similar to F22 U S Retail Output Review 12.11 (20)

Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
 
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
Is your business NBN ready? – Developing a Digital Business Strategy: VELG Na...
 
New digital divide polachek london
New digital divide polachek londonNew digital divide polachek london
New digital divide polachek london
 
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
'The State of the GlobalPrintMediaChannel' - Dr. Joe Webb
 
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industryFin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
Fin Crisis & the impact on the software industry
 
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
Driving Enterprise Mobility Solutions Demand: Understanding End User Requirem...
 
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
Getting your business ready for the National Broadband Network (NBN )
 
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de GooijerMobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
Mobile Convention Amsterdam - LostBoys -Michiel de Gooijer
 
Solutions mobiles portails
Solutions mobiles portailsSolutions mobiles portails
Solutions mobiles portails
 
Bb big picture White
Bb big picture WhiteBb big picture White
Bb big picture White
 
Bb big picture White
Bb big picture WhiteBb big picture White
Bb big picture White
 
CRM Acceleration - SME case study
CRM Acceleration - SME case studyCRM Acceleration - SME case study
CRM Acceleration - SME case study
 
Ppt nickler 2013
Ppt nickler 2013Ppt nickler 2013
Ppt nickler 2013
 
TKclass: News business models
TKclass: News business modelsTKclass: News business models
TKclass: News business models
 
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
 
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
Striking Gold! How Mobile Marketing Pioneers are Winning the Hearts & Minds o...
 
Bb big picture
Bb big pictureBb big picture
Bb big picture
 
IBM Mobile Strategy
IBM Mobile StrategyIBM Mobile Strategy
IBM Mobile Strategy
 
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing ConferenceWharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
Wharton Undergraduate Marketing Conference
 
Investor Presentation
Investor PresentationInvestor Presentation
Investor Presentation
 

F22 U S Retail Output Review 12.11

  • 1. U.S. Retail Photo Output 2010-2015
  • 2. Situation Analysis • Conventional print volume (film + digital) and category revenue continues to fall and that fall has accelerated in 2011. • Walmart Stores, which enjoyed share dominance for numerous years, has slipped from the top position, with promotional drug chains Walgreens and CVS gaining share. • Personalized printed output continues to be the on-demand print category growth engine for retailers and photo merchandise delivered to store or home continue to show substantial growth potential. • Kiosk prints as a % of total prints will grow as retailers increasingly turn to lower-cost, lower-touch print solutions even as consumers opt for instant gratification. 2 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 2
  • 3. Situation Analysis - 2 • Seasonal demand spikes are a significant and increasing challenge for retailers as demand shifts from everyday conventional print demand to personalized products, with primary demand concentrated from mid-November through late- December. • With an increasing number of retailers (especially regional chains) abandoning or likely to abandon in-store printing services the smaller pie of revenue will be shared by a few committed retailers (esp. CVS and Walgreens). • There are significant barriers to growth of photo output revenue for retailers. These include: a) alternative output options such as strong B2C online photo retailers such as Shutterfly, Snapfish, Kodak Gallery, Picaboo, MyPublisher, Blurb, and even Apple, b) significant purchase friction at different points of contact such as poor architecture of online and kiosk create and order experiences, c) rapidly changing consumer imaging behavior…especially the adoption of Facebook as the primary photo sharing choice and the adoption of mobile devices as primary image capture devices for many households (can an will be an advantage if addressed successfully). 3 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 3
  • 4. What’s Dragging Revenue Down? Consumer Adaptation Institutional Failure • DSC’s that provide complexities and no connected •From Selective Printing to “no solutions. printing” • Unnecessarily “bloated” image file size. • •From Email & Photo Sites to Social Retailer retreat (capital, labor, space, advertising) • No vendor partners driving awareness and demand for Media (esp. Facebook , Flickr, Picasa the category Web Albums, Smugmug, etc.) • Far too many unnecessary friction points for consumers to navigate from capture to retail output services. •From DSC to Cameraphones, • Far too little effort to develop and deliver suites of Smartphones and Tablets. meaningful new output products. •From Still Images to Short-Form Video 4 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 4
  • 5. Total On-Site Photo Print Output 2010-2015 ($B) The growth of $6.00 personalized printed output is $5.00 not yet on a trend $4.00 to compensate fully for the loss of $3.00 conventional print $2.00 consumption but it will drive overall $1.00 category growth $0.00 revenue beginning 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 in 2013. Conventional Print $ Personalized Print $ Total $ 5 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 5
  • 6. Retail Digital Print Unit Projections (B 4x6 eq. units) •Demand for 20.00 Conventional prints has 15.00 and will continue to fall off steeply. 10.00 •Demand for 5.00 personalized printed output has and will 0.00 continue to grow as 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 awareness, access, and Conventional Film & Digital Prints new products continue Personalized Prints to accelerate. Total Prints 6 Retail Photo Output – 2010-2015 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 6
  • 7. Self-Service Prints vs. Minilab Prints (Conventional 4x6 Equiv. Prints - B) •There are forces at work that 16.00 advance the need for minilab 14.00 printing (especially web-2-store 12.00 printing, and demand for new 10.00 personalized products). •There are, simultaneously, forces 8.00 at work that limit the investment 6.00 interest in minilabs (especially 4.00 labor costs, operational complexities, and declining 2.00 revenues). 0.00 •Other trigger events which could 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 radically alter share of prints would include demnd for printed Kiosk (Self-Serve) Prints output from mobile devices and "Minilab" (supported) prints Social Networks such as Facebook and Google+. 7 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 7
  • 8. Seasonality of Print Revenue 2014 •Current personalized printed products are dominated by products with demand primarily from mid- November through late-December. •As the share of output from personalized printed output grows this trend threatens to shift even more volume to a narrow holiday window. •The popularity of photo merchandise, which is currently dominated by holiday gift giving increases the challenges of equipping and staffing this changing category. 8 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 8
  • 9. Personalized Photo Prints Share of Revenue - 2010 9 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 9
  • 10. •Threats •Opportunities •Accelerated non-printing behavior by •Facebook members are now 1-Click away Threats & Opportunities consumers (e.g. Facebook, Twitter sharing as beginning and end of most post-capture from quality retail printing activity). •Accelerated category retreat by major •Rapid development and effective retailers (reduced capital investment, reduced merchandising of streams of critical new labor commitment, reduction of footprint or personalized printed output (especially relocation to service clusters, reduced products with year-round appeal). promotion and advertising) •Widespread adoption of camera phones as •Content becomes a powerful economic primary household capture device (devices engine and drives demand for boundless new and apps on smartphones provide the ease personalized output opportunities at retail. and immediacy consumers want….plus the best camera is the one you have with you!) •Failure to develop and effectively •Major retailers in combination with industry merchandize and promote critical year-round partners aggressively pursue and support high-volume personalized printed products. awareness campaigns. •Output from mobile devices •New generations of capture devices that are always connected to easy retail product solutions. 10 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 10
  • 11. Engines of Growth Meeting consumers where they love to be with simple, meaningful, affordable solutions (e.g. easy print from Facebook , Google+, Mobile Devices and pick-up at retail) Personalized Event Celebration Products or Bundles Home Décor Commercial Image-Rich Printed Output Retail Products with Output Components Licensed Content for Consumer and Commercial Output Focus on a select number of new high-demand products with year-long demand 11 Retail Photo Output – 2009-2014 Confidential Property of [F/22] Consulting, Inc. - 2010 PAGE 11
  • 12. Thank You FRANK BAILLARGEON Retail Photo Output Projections Update 12 PAGE 12