Numbers announced by European leaders concerning the private sector participation to the rescue do not add up: the total losses would amount to EUR55 bn, far from the EUR100 bn trumpeted.
The EUR 100 billion banks will need to write down on their Greek sovereign debt can be matched via profits, dividends and bonus cuts for many banks in order to abide by Basle III capital ratio rules. A handful of banks will need to go to governments for capital.
This does not however look at the quality of private asset or any default from another peripheral European country.
Dogma continues to govern the eurozone instead of sound governance and pragmatism. The EUR 85 billion rescue package extended to Ireland the rescue package is not a game changer since it does not improve competitiveness and does not reduce the debt overload, to the contrary: liquidity support does not work out insolvency.
The EUR 100 billion banks will need to write down on their Greek sovereign debt can be matched via profits, dividends and bonus cuts for many banks in order to abide by Basle III capital ratio rules. A handful of banks will need to go to governments for capital.
This does not however look at the quality of private asset or any default from another peripheral European country.
Dogma continues to govern the eurozone instead of sound governance and pragmatism. The EUR 85 billion rescue package extended to Ireland the rescue package is not a game changer since it does not improve competitiveness and does not reduce the debt overload, to the contrary: liquidity support does not work out insolvency.
Presentation of a talk given at University of Luxembourg.
The Cyprus crisis is one of the most complex in the Eurozone, although in absolute terms the problem is insignificant. Inflows of foreign deposits in excess of 700% the island’s GDP allowed a «perfect crisis» to form and contagion from Greece destroyed overnight 23.6% of the GDP. Rescue efforts were (mis)guided by a confluence of European and local politics, conflicting analyses of the problems, and forbearance from the supervisors. Bank depositors were bailed-in, making international headlines. We will argue that the bail-in is a viable solution to banking crises but with potential significant adverse effects.
http://wwwen.uni.lu/universite/actualites/evenements/grande_conference_how_to_sink_an_island_mixing_politics_and_economics_in_the_cyprus_crisis
Presentation by Dr. Xavier Sala-i-Martin, Professor of Economics, Columbia University (USA) at the Bank of Latvia conference "Economic Adjustment under Sovereign Debt Crisis: Can Experience of the Baltics Be Applied to Others?"
Riga, November 2, 2012.
Greece's race to default and european banks' recapitalizationMarkets Beyond
Greece will default by end of October and the ECB will dramatically expand its balance sheet to provide liquidity to banks and buy Spanish and Italian sovereign debt in the secondary market to maintain financing costs at acceptable levels.
What is needed to cleap up the eurozone house - clean-up the banks and restru...Markets Beyond
European banks have been very good at lobbying to make sure European countries are baling out Greece and others, whilst our analysis shows that they could sustain a PIGS default.
Presentation of a talk given at University of Luxembourg.
The Cyprus crisis is one of the most complex in the Eurozone, although in absolute terms the problem is insignificant. Inflows of foreign deposits in excess of 700% the island’s GDP allowed a «perfect crisis» to form and contagion from Greece destroyed overnight 23.6% of the GDP. Rescue efforts were (mis)guided by a confluence of European and local politics, conflicting analyses of the problems, and forbearance from the supervisors. Bank depositors were bailed-in, making international headlines. We will argue that the bail-in is a viable solution to banking crises but with potential significant adverse effects.
http://wwwen.uni.lu/universite/actualites/evenements/grande_conference_how_to_sink_an_island_mixing_politics_and_economics_in_the_cyprus_crisis
Presentation by Dr. Xavier Sala-i-Martin, Professor of Economics, Columbia University (USA) at the Bank of Latvia conference "Economic Adjustment under Sovereign Debt Crisis: Can Experience of the Baltics Be Applied to Others?"
Riga, November 2, 2012.
Greece's race to default and european banks' recapitalizationMarkets Beyond
Greece will default by end of October and the ECB will dramatically expand its balance sheet to provide liquidity to banks and buy Spanish and Italian sovereign debt in the secondary market to maintain financing costs at acceptable levels.
What is needed to cleap up the eurozone house - clean-up the banks and restru...Markets Beyond
European banks have been very good at lobbying to make sure European countries are baling out Greece and others, whilst our analysis shows that they could sustain a PIGS default.
Since the publication in July of stress test for banks in Europe, everything went quiet on the PIGS debt crisis with no much news during the summer. Things however are boiling again and Greek will come back to the forefront of medias sooner rather than later.
The European Council summit brought a "surprisng" conclusion with the agreement on mutualizing EZ banks' rescue; however the roots of the EZ problems are not addressed: economic and competitiveness imbalances.
Whilst successfully passing the stress tests en July, The National Bank of Greece EUR 2.8 billion capital raising announcement this week confirms the lack of credibility of the tests.
Greek officials together with IMF and EU ones are touring Europe investors to convince them to buy Greek long dated bonds: I remain unconvinced about the chance of success due to a continued depressed economic environment and the time frame required to modernize the Greek economy that goes well beyond the 3 years rescue plan.
Greece eurozone and the euro the body is getting really rottenMarkets Beyond
Greece debt trap is inextricable: there is no way out of a default/restructing - debt "reprofiling" is just a joke since it would require 21% compound annual growth for 10 years to go back to 60% debt/GDP ratio.
Greece's crisis deepens as fast as its debt. 2011 budget execution is terrible with tax receipts well below plans, and there is no way Greece will get out the crisis without defaulting on its debt obligations one way or an other (the latest idea is to call it "reprofiling"!) .
Ireland, PIGS and the eurozone here we areMarkets Beyond
After Greece, Ireland; this now going beyond the means of Europe if Spain and Portugal need to be bailed out. Loans extended to these countries do not solve the root of the problems and the sooner organized negotiations are triggered with creditors rescheduled sovereign debt an,d take an haircut, the better: there is not other way out.
Cyprus bail in revisited - consequences for small economiesMarkets Beyond
Cyprus bail-in is spilling over and the 100% of added burden is falling on the country, with 70% of its gold reserves at risk and EUR 5.8 billion withheld from banks depositis.
Small economies with a large financial sector are increasingly bullied by larger countries which are quick to find scapegoats
The bundesbank repatriates its gold reservesMarkets Beyond
Is the Bundesbank feeling unease with 2/3 of its gold reserves held abroad? This repratriation is a telling story about Germany's confidence in France and the FED.
Current account surplus is a key determinant to bonds market turnaround ita...Markets Beyond
Current accounts are key in determining when an over-indebted country will see it financial situation turning around allowing it to go back to the bond markets under "normal conditions". On this criteria, the discrepancy between Italy and France is startling and not justified by fundamentals: France will be punished by bonds market if nos dramatic action is impletmented by the French Government.
Eurozone falling chickens choice internal or external devaluationMarkets Beyond
The political and economic backround in Europe is awful and no good choice is left to solve the huge imbalances between countries: external or internal devalutation.
Whatever the route followed it will translate into a fall in standard of living of Europeans. The path followed by European politicians for the past 4 years has led to a dead end and they will soon have to decide which of two tough routes to follow..
French presidential elections showed a strong following for anti-eurozone candidates, and even stronger for anti-austerity only EU/ECB policy.
This will have consequences for th futre of the euro in a context where the Europe is heading back in recession and Spain is in deep trouble. France is also facing very strong social and economic challenges ahead.
The economic situation in Europe worsens: France's performance is catastrophic and Greece's whist improvin,g remains in negative territory. Europe has not addressed the roots of its failure and will continue to be under market's pressure.
The Greek 2011 budget failed miserably despite austerity measure; the eurozone continues stubbornly to plug an unpluggable hole since the roots of the problem are not adressed. The worst is to come...
The magnificent 7 and equity markets review 11Markets Beyond
2011 was a bumby year for financial markets and 2012 will be no less hectic. However the US economic picture is improving and as written in early 2011 no double dip to be expected but for FED policy folly.
Global imbalances remain, but the eurozone is where lies the deepest problems which have not been properly addressed.
Remain invested in high yielding equities / net cash companies with a strong franchise and look at strong brands in fast growing economies; stay clear from the bond market and financials.
Who should be single A rated france or italyMarkets Beyond
Italy have been for months under pressure from markets and France relatively unscattered even if froa few weeks its spreads have increased; according to numerous economic indicators France should hardly be better rated than Italy and does not deserve a AAA rating.
After being saved in October 2008, Dexia is finally doomed and will end-up split: it is the French part which is the dead body with it huge exposure to local authorities.
Its demise will not however induce a spillover on other bnaks: their own exposure to toxic asset will do the job for the one which cannot recapitalize.
This week EU and IMF are discussing with Greece to assess whether budget deficit reduction and structural reforms to be implemented are sufficient to release EUR 8 billion of aid in October in order to avoid a default.
This article reviews numerous dysfunctions in Greece.
The eurozone is increasingly becoming a one for each and none for all zone which is understandable from the point of view of virtous Europe. Finland is firing the first shot with a private bi-lateral agreement with Greece to guarantee its share in the Greek bailout n°2. The meeting between Sarkozy and Merkel was a farce aimed at their own internal political corners and the banking sector is getting really shattered today.
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...beulahfernandes8
Role in Financial System
NBFCs are critical in bridging the financial inclusion gap.
They provide specialized financial services that cater to segments often neglected by traditional banks.
Economic Impact
NBFCs contribute significantly to India's GDP.
They support sectors like micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), housing finance, and personal loans.
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...beulahfernandes8
The financial landscape in India has witnessed a significant development with the recent collaboration between Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank.
The launch of the co-branded credit card, the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card, marks a major milestone for both entities.
This strategic move aims to redefine and elevate the banking experience for customers.
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
1. http://marketsandbeyond.blogspot.com/
http://www.pcgwm.com/
European rescue package: truth and fallacy
07 November 2011
It occurred to me that the EUR100 bn private sector participation to the latest Greek
rescue might no be as large as trumpeted by European leaders on 26th October.
The statement:
“…we invite Greece, private investors and all parties concerned to develop a voluntary
bond exchange with a nominal discount of 50% on notional Greek debt held by private
investors.”
The facts:
1. Greek’s sovereign debt holders split:
• Commercial banks: EUR81 bn
• ECB: EUR45 bn
• EU/IMF: EUR65 bn
• Others (SWFs, asset managers, central banks, public sector funds): EUR159 bn
2. As per EBA data published in July stress test, Greek banks shared 59% of the total held
by commercial banks, i.e. EUR48 bn. The reduction in Greek debt will be at least partly
compensated by a bank recapitalization (I estimate it at around EUR30 bn – same as the
EBA): the net effect on the Geek sovereign debt reduction is therefore rather minimal at
approximately EUR18 bn (assuming that Greece and not the EFSF recapitalizes).
3. According to a research published by Barclay’s Bank in July, EUR11.3 bn are held by EZ
Insurance companies: 50% is EUR5.7 bn
4. Non-Greek European banks will take a EUR16.5 bn loss.
5. Remains private assets managers and smaller holders of Greek bonds which I believe
are not significant: say EUR 30bn to be generous or a EUR15 bn loss.
The total losses realized by the private sector would therefore amount to EUR55 bn, far
from the EUR100 bn trumpeted.
1
2. http://marketsandbeyond.blogspot.com/
http://www.pcgwm.com/
Conclusion
If non-Greek European private sector banks would write-down +/- EUR16.5 bn, one may
wonder why the EBA requires them to raise EUR76 bn whilst they are profitable enough
(but for a few exceptions) to absorb losses on Greece and reach the 9.5% Basle III capital
requirements.
Because, there is more to come; then EUR106 bn will not be enough; watch non-
performing private sector loans in Greece and elsewhere as well as Italy, France, Portugal,
Belgium, etc. sovereign debt… Italy’s interest rates on its debt are close to unsustainable at
6.6% and France together with Belgium are rapidly going the same way: any 1% increase
translates into +/- EUR19 bn additional interest payment in a full year for Italy and EUR17
bn for France.
The EUR1 tr EFSF will not be enough, nor the EUR200 bn recapitalization recommended
by the IMF: the only remaining solution would be for the ECB to monetize sovereign debt
for BIGSPIF. Germany has already started to eat its hat; when enough will be enough for
Germans?…
BIGSPIF: Belgium, Ireland, Greece, Spain, Portugal, Italy, France.
Source:
European Banking Authority: The EBA details the EU measures to restore confidence in
the banking sector
http://www.eba.europa.eu/News--Communications/Year/2011/The-EBA-details-the-EU-
measures-to-restore-confide.aspx
The Institute of International Finance: Press Statement on Euro Area Stablization
Measures
http://www.iif.com/
European Commission: Euro Summit Statement
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/uedocs/cms_data/docs/pressdata/en/ec/125644.pdf
2