This report provides an equity valuation of eBay Inc. for potential investors. It includes an analysis of the global e-commerce industry and eBay's performance. The report values eBay under bull, base, and bear case scenarios using discounted cash flow valuation, comparable analysis, and sum-of-the-parts valuation. The analyst discloses having previously sold items on eBay and provides a 12-month target price and recommendation.
Everything you need to know about the valuation reportResurgent India
A business valuation report is an attempt to thoroughly document and analyze the value of a company or a group of assets by considering all relevant market, industrial, and economic aspects.
Monetary worth calculation is one of the major strategy for business growth. Business valuation is used to determine the economic worth of a business. The aim behind this presentation is to let readers know about different things in which business valuation can be utilized and the various types of business valuation methods.
http://www.authorstream.com/Presentation/transitionequity-3785202-widely-adopted-methods-business-valuation/
Three major business valuation methods that A Business Valuator will use to tabulate a fair price for your business are market value, asset-based and ROI-based business valuation methods. They all have the same objective of determining the current values of your company.
Everything you need to know about the valuation reportResurgent India
A business valuation report is an attempt to thoroughly document and analyze the value of a company or a group of assets by considering all relevant market, industrial, and economic aspects.
Monetary worth calculation is one of the major strategy for business growth. Business valuation is used to determine the economic worth of a business. The aim behind this presentation is to let readers know about different things in which business valuation can be utilized and the various types of business valuation methods.
http://www.authorstream.com/Presentation/transitionequity-3785202-widely-adopted-methods-business-valuation/
Three major business valuation methods that A Business Valuator will use to tabulate a fair price for your business are market value, asset-based and ROI-based business valuation methods. They all have the same objective of determining the current values of your company.
Presentation given by Jim Turner, CPA and President of Turner Business Appraisers for as part of South Piedmont Community College's Small Business Center Continuing Education Workshops. This presentation was given on valuing a small business.
Analyze how capital structure decision making practices impact financial mana...Rohit1235
FOR MORE CLASSES VISIT
www.tutorialoutlet.com
Mergent Online (Note: This resource is also available through the Strayer Learning Resource Cen
Seeking Alpha (Note: Also available through the Android or iTunes App store.)
Morningstar (Note: You can create a no-cost Basic Access account.)
Research Hub, located in the left menu of your course in Blackboard.
Ratio Analysis is a part of Financial Statement Analysis that is used to obtain a quick indication of a firm's financial performance in several key areas.
Liquidity ratios
Activity ratios
Solvency ratios
Profitability ratios
Company Valuation PowerPoint Presentation Slides SlideTeam
Get ready-made Company Valuation PowerPoint Presentation Slides to analyse all the profit and net value your business has made. Conduct a thorough evaluation of a company’s management, capital structure, future earning prospects, and more with the help of professionally designed company valuation PPT presentation templates. Determine the current worth of a business and assess all aspects of a business. This deck comprises of several company valuation PowerPoint templates like valuation methodology, valuation steps, company valuation methodologies, determining free cash flow, valuation results, business due-diligence process, strategic due-diligence methodology, and more. Incorporate business valuation PowerPoint slideshow to estimate the selling price of the business. Use business valuation methods PowerPoint techniques for valuing a business asset such as cost approach, cost to build, replacement cost, market approach, discounted cash flow, forecast future cash flow, etc. Grab access to the company valuation complete PowerPoint deck for a business analysis. Employ a few jocular expressions with our Company Valuation Powerpoint Presentation Slides. It helps insert a bit of humor.
There are specific steps to take when preparing a supportable business valuation.
If you need a business valuation and want to make sure that the valuation expert covers all of the bases, you should look at our slides to understand the basics of the valuation process.
Mercer Capital's Tennessee Family Law | Q2 2019 | Valuation & Forensic Insigh...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital is the largest valuation and financial advisory firm in Tennessee with offices in Nashville and Memphis. Complex financial issues are a critical part of many of your client engagements. The focus of this newsletter is to provide useful content about these financial issues from the perspective of financial experts. We seek to help you assist your clients in financial and accounting matters.
FOR MORE CLASSES VISIT
www.acc573nerd.com
1. To calculate a company's average tax rate an analyst would
2. The accumulated benefit obligation measures
3. The major difference between accounting for pensions and the accounting for other postretirement benefits is that firms
4. Which of the following is not part of the balance sheet approach when computing income tax expense?
Introduction to Business Valuation, Fair Market Value, reasons and elements of business valuation, methodologies of business valuation, case study on net asset value.
This is a sample valuation of Apollo Tyres Pvt Ltd conducted by Precisial Global Business Services OPC Pvt Ltd. Figures and assumptions have been extrapolated from available public information. The sample report should not be used for any investment related purpose. For details, pls contact us on the address mentioned in the document
Presentation given by Jim Turner, CPA and President of Turner Business Appraisers for as part of South Piedmont Community College's Small Business Center Continuing Education Workshops. This presentation was given on valuing a small business.
Analyze how capital structure decision making practices impact financial mana...Rohit1235
FOR MORE CLASSES VISIT
www.tutorialoutlet.com
Mergent Online (Note: This resource is also available through the Strayer Learning Resource Cen
Seeking Alpha (Note: Also available through the Android or iTunes App store.)
Morningstar (Note: You can create a no-cost Basic Access account.)
Research Hub, located in the left menu of your course in Blackboard.
Ratio Analysis is a part of Financial Statement Analysis that is used to obtain a quick indication of a firm's financial performance in several key areas.
Liquidity ratios
Activity ratios
Solvency ratios
Profitability ratios
Company Valuation PowerPoint Presentation Slides SlideTeam
Get ready-made Company Valuation PowerPoint Presentation Slides to analyse all the profit and net value your business has made. Conduct a thorough evaluation of a company’s management, capital structure, future earning prospects, and more with the help of professionally designed company valuation PPT presentation templates. Determine the current worth of a business and assess all aspects of a business. This deck comprises of several company valuation PowerPoint templates like valuation methodology, valuation steps, company valuation methodologies, determining free cash flow, valuation results, business due-diligence process, strategic due-diligence methodology, and more. Incorporate business valuation PowerPoint slideshow to estimate the selling price of the business. Use business valuation methods PowerPoint techniques for valuing a business asset such as cost approach, cost to build, replacement cost, market approach, discounted cash flow, forecast future cash flow, etc. Grab access to the company valuation complete PowerPoint deck for a business analysis. Employ a few jocular expressions with our Company Valuation Powerpoint Presentation Slides. It helps insert a bit of humor.
There are specific steps to take when preparing a supportable business valuation.
If you need a business valuation and want to make sure that the valuation expert covers all of the bases, you should look at our slides to understand the basics of the valuation process.
Mercer Capital's Tennessee Family Law | Q2 2019 | Valuation & Forensic Insigh...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital is the largest valuation and financial advisory firm in Tennessee with offices in Nashville and Memphis. Complex financial issues are a critical part of many of your client engagements. The focus of this newsletter is to provide useful content about these financial issues from the perspective of financial experts. We seek to help you assist your clients in financial and accounting matters.
FOR MORE CLASSES VISIT
www.acc573nerd.com
1. To calculate a company's average tax rate an analyst would
2. The accumulated benefit obligation measures
3. The major difference between accounting for pensions and the accounting for other postretirement benefits is that firms
4. Which of the following is not part of the balance sheet approach when computing income tax expense?
Introduction to Business Valuation, Fair Market Value, reasons and elements of business valuation, methodologies of business valuation, case study on net asset value.
This is a sample valuation of Apollo Tyres Pvt Ltd conducted by Precisial Global Business Services OPC Pvt Ltd. Figures and assumptions have been extrapolated from available public information. The sample report should not be used for any investment related purpose. For details, pls contact us on the address mentioned in the document
Duff & Phelps, the premier global valuation and corporate finance advisor, today announced findings from its 2016 report on celebrity brand values in India. The report, Embracing the Change: A Concise Report on India’s Most Valuable Celebrity Brands, is the second edition of Duff & Phelps’ study.
“This year’s report recognizes the rise of women celebrity endorsers to the top of the brand value rankings” said Varun Gupta, Managing Director and Japan and Southeast Asia Leader. “In our 2014 celebrity brand valuation report we forecasted a change towards female celebrity endorsers becoming A-listers. That change has definitely been realized over the last two years.”
The report highlights evolving trends in celebrity endorsements, including increased usage of co-ownership models whereby celebrities hold an ownership stake in the brands they endorse, an increase in the use of celebrity endorsements in the e-commerce space and an increase in celebrities leveraging their brands through extensions into both related and unrelated product endorsements.
NEED OF BRAND VALUATION: A brand can be valued anytime and for many reasons, that includes- Brand strategy, Financial Reporting, Mergers and acquisitions, value reporting, licensing, legal transaction, accounting, strategic planning, management information, taxation planning and compliance, liquidation.
In this presentation, we will understand the concept of brand and its valuation, in details, like, the various attributes of a brand, its benefits, its values and culture. We will also discuss about the various methods of brand valuation.
To know more about Welingkar School’s Distance Learning Program and courses offered, visit:
http://www.welingkaronline.org/distance-learning/online-mba.html
The Institute of Chartered Accountants in Australia has release its latest leadership paper, Broad Based Business Reporting. The requirements for BBBR by business have intensified in line with the demand for greater
accountability and insight into sustainability performance from the Government and the public in general. This paper provides a pro-forma of key performance indicator reporting as well as a starting point for discussion on possible KPIs for certain industries.
http://www.charteredaccountants.com.au
1. 1 | P a g e
Equity Valuation Report
eBay Inc.
by Carlos Pang
CID 00892608
carlos.pang@outlook.com
+44 7707 666060
2. 2 | P a g e
Client Specification
This report is written for potential investors who have exposure, or are seeking to gain an
exposure to the e-commerce industry, especially in eBay Inc.
This report intends to provide in depth analysis in the global e-commerce industry and in
eBay Inc. to assists in making investments decisions.
The ultimate goal of this report is to provide an unbiased rating of the stock in the form of a
BUY/HOLD/SELL recommendation, as well as a 12 months target price of which we think is
fair.
The report is structured in four main parts:
Market Overview – analysing the retail sector and e-commerce subsector.
Company Analysis – providing a description of the company’s structure and analysing
its historical performance.
Strategy Analysis – providing SWOT analysis and analysing its future strategies that drives
future performance.
Valuation – computing our 12 months fair price for eBay Inc.’s equity share under bull,
base and bear case scenarios under various valuation methods.
Discolusre and disclaimer:
This report should be viewed as an opinion only.
The analyst who created this report was a business seller on eBay.co.uk under the account:
carlos_pang
3. 3 | P a g e
Table of Contents
Executive Summary..................................................................................................................................6
Market Overview – Retail and E-commerce Industry.................................................................................7
Economic Outlook ............................................................................................................................................7
Top 250 Global Retailers / Top 50 E-commerce Retailers Analysis..................................................................8
By Geographic Region ..................................................................................................................................................8
By Primary Product Sector ...........................................................................................................................................9
Company Analysis – eBay Inc..................................................................................................................10
Company Description .................................................................................................................................... 10
M&A Activities............................................................................................................................................... 10
Historical Performance.................................................................................................................................. 11
Strategy Analysis....................................................................................................................................12
SWOT Analysis............................................................................................................................................... 12
Recent Innovations Overview........................................................................................................................ 12
BRIC Expansion Opportunity ......................................................................................................................... 13
Valuation...............................................................................................................................................16
Key Operational Assumptions ....................................................................................................................... 16
Working Capital Analysis ............................................................................................................................... 17
Consolidated Operational Model – Base Case .............................................................................................. 18
Method 1 – Discounted Cash Flow Valuation ............................................................................................... 19
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Calculation...........................................................................................................19
Base Case ...................................................................................................................................................................20
Bear Case....................................................................................................................................................................21
Bull Case.....................................................................................................................................................................22
Method 2 – Comparable Analysis.................................................................................................................. 23
Historical Trading Multiples .......................................................................................................................................23
Comparable Analysis..................................................................................................................................................23
Method 3 – Sum of the Part (SOTP) Analysis ................................................................................................ 24
Historical EV/Revenue multiple by Sector .................................................................................................................24
SOTP...........................................................................................................................................................................24
Valuation Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 25
References.............................................................................................................................................26
Appendix...............................................................................................................................................27
4. 4 | P a g e
Table of Tables
Table 1 – Operational Assumptions – Base Case ...................................................................................... 16
Table 2 – Operational Assumptions – Bear Case ....................................................................................... 16
Table 3 – Operational Assumptions – Bull Case......................................................................................... 17
Table 4 – Net Working Capital Analysis .................................................................................................... 17
Table 5 – Operational Model – Base Case................................................................................................. 18
Table 6 – WACC...................................................................................................................................... 19
Table 7 – DCF Projection – Base Case....................................................................................................... 20
Table 8 – DCF Share Price Calculation – Base Case .................................................................................... 20
Table 9 – DCF Sensitivity Analysis – Base Case .......................................................................................... 20
Table 10 – DCF Projection – Bear Case .................................................................................................... 21
Table 11 – DCF Share Price Calculation – Bear Case .................................................................................. 21
Table 12 – DCF Sensitivity Analysis – Bear Case ........................................................................................ 21
Table 13 – DCF Projection – Bull Case ...................................................................................................... 22
Table 14 – DCF Share Price Calculation – Bull Case ................................................................................... 22
Table 15 – DCF Sensitivity Analysis – Bull Case ......................................................................................... 22
Table 16 – Historical Trading Multiples .................................................................................................... 23
Table 17 – Comp Valuation – Base Case .................................................................................................. 23
Table 18 – Comp Valuation – Bear Case ................................................................................................... 23
Table 19 – Comp Valuation – Bull Case .................................................................................................... 23
Table 20 – Historical Trading Multiple by Sector ....................................................................................... 24
Table 21 – SOTP Valuation – Base Case .................................................................................................... 24
Table 22 – SOTP Valuation – Bear Case .................................................................................................... 24
Table 23 – SOTP Valuation – Bull Case ..................................................................................................... 24
Table 24 – Summary – Share Price........................................................................................................... 25
Table 25 – Summary – Enterprise Value ................................................................................................... 25
Table 26 – Operational Model – Bear Case............................................................................................... 27
Table 27 – Operational Model – Bull Case ............................................................................................... 28
Table 28 – Income Statment.................................................................................................................... 29
Table 29 – Balance Sheet ........................................................................................................................ 30
Table 30 – Cash Flow Statement.............................................................................................................. 30
5. 5 | P a g e
Table of Figures
Figure 1 – US Retail Sales .......................................................................................................................... 7
Figure 2 – US Retail Sales Growth .............................................................................................................. 7
Figure 3 – US E-commerce Sales Migration ................................................................................................ 7
Figure 4 – Share of Total Sales among the Top 250 by Geography................................................................ 8
Figure 5 – Top 250 Sales Growth by Geography.......................................................................................... 8
Figure 6 – Top 50 E-commerce Penetration and Growth by Geography........................................................ 8
Figure 7 – Share of Total Sales among the Top 250 by Sector....................................................................... 9
Figure 8 – Top 250 Sales Growth by Sector................................................................................................. 9
Figure 9 – Top 50 E-commerce Penetration and Growth by Sector............................................................... 9
Figure 10 – eBay Revenue by Sector ........................................................................................................ 10
Figure 11 – eBay Revenue by Region........................................................................................................ 10
Figure 12 – eBay Revenue Evolution by Sector.......................................................................................... 11
Figure 13 – eBay Revenue Growth by Sector ............................................................................................ 11
Figure 14 – eBay EBITDA Margin Evolution by Sector ................................................................................ 11
Figure 15 – eBay Total Users ................................................................................................................... 11
Figure 16 – eBay Total Users Growth ....................................................................................................... 11
Figure 17 – BRIC Expansion ..................................................................................................................... 13
Figure 18 – Cash Evolution ...................................................................................................................... 13
Figure 19 – eBay Russia........................................................................................................................... 14
Figure 20 – eBay Now ............................................................................................................................. 15
Figure 21 – Russia e-commerce forecast .................................................................................................. 14
Figure 22 – Brazil e-commerce forecast.................................................................................................... 14
Figure 23 – India e-commerce forecast .................................................................................................... 15
Figure 24 – China e-commerce forecast ................................................................................................... 15
Figure 25 – Target Share Price Football Field ............................................................................................ 25
Figure 26 – Target Enterprise Value Football Field .................................................................................... 25
6. 6 | P a g e
Executive Summary
Today’s Date 24/07/2014
Ticker EBAY US
12 Months Rating BUY
12 Months Target Price 64.0
Share Price as of Today 52.7
Stock Price Evolution
Trading Data and Key Metrics
52 Week Range 48.06-59.70
Shares Outstanding 1295m
Market Cap 68.2bn
P/E 24.9x
EPS 2.21
Financial Highlights
$m FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Revenue 11652 14072 16047
% growth 27.3% 20.8% 14.0%
EBITDA 3313 4088 4771
% sales 28.4% 29.1% 29.7%
EBIT 2373 2888 3371
% sales 20.4% 20.5% 21.0%
Net Income 3229 2609 2856
EPS 2.50 2.02 2.21
Target Price Recommendation
We recommend a 12 months target price of
$64.0 with an upside of $79.3 and downside
of $49.0 based on our bull and bear case
scenarios.
This price is a weighted average of our target
prices obtained by discounted cash flow
analysis with perpetuity method ($78.9),
discounted cash flow analysis with exit
multiple method ($99.3), comparable analysis
($52.0) and sum of the part analysis ($50.8).
Outperforming e-commerce market
The internet and mobile revolution is driving
the e-commerce market. In 2012, US retail
sales grew at 5% while US e-commerce sales
grew at 15%. E-commerce growth is
catalysed by the development in online
payment system, targeted advertising as well
as cheaper and quicker delivery.
Upside from Marketplaces innovations
Recent innovations such as eBay Now (1 hour
delivery system), PhiSix Fashion Lab (virtually
try on clothing before purchase) and Global
Shipping Programme (discount international
shipping through economies of scale), are
motivating medium to long term growth.
International market opportunities
Expansion especially in the BRIC region is a
key growth driver for eBay, as BRIC offers
faster growth and less e-commerce
penetrated market. The world’s top 50 online
retailer’s ecommerce sales grew at a
staggering 35% in the Asia Pacific region in
2012.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Jul/11 Jul/12 Jul/13 Jul/14 Jul/15
7. 7 | P a g e
Market Overview – Retail and E-commerce Industry
Economic Outlook
2013 was a difficult year for the global retail industry. Europe entered recession which lasted until the
first quarter of 2013; there were fear that the Eurozone would fail; China’s growth slowed
considerably. Although the US market showed signs of modest recovery and emerging market
growth remained reasonably strong, the overall economic environment was weak. Despite the
difficult economy, US total retail sales and US total e-commerce sales grew by 5% and 15%
respectively in 2012.
Source: www.census.gov Source: www.census.gov
Going forward, we expect to see a continued migration of retail sales from traditional channel to
online channel, driven by mobile computing devices, cheaper and more efficient shipping
programs, and faster delivery times. We expect to see a 14.4% 2013-2023 CAGR e-commerce sales.
3,999 3,946
3,630
3,841
4,133
4,344
136 141 145
169
198
227
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 1 - US Retail Sales ($Billion)
Total Sales E-commerce Sales
3%
-1%
-8%
6% 8%
5%
20%
4% 3%
17% 17%
15%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 2 - US Retail Sales Growth
Total Sales Growth
E-commerce Sales Growth
3.4% 3.6%
4.0%
4.4%
4.8%
5.2%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 3 - US E-commerce Sales
Migration
E-commerce Sales / Total Sales
8. 8 | P a g e
Market Overview – Retail and E-commerce Industry
Top 250 Global Retailers / Top 50 E-commerce Retailers Analysis
We have analysed the top 250 global retailers and top 50 global e-commerce retailers by
sales. We have analysed the growth rates and profitability by geographic regions as well as
by primary product sectors. To assess fundamental demand, the analysis excludes
facilitators like Ebay, Alibaba and Tmall. It also excludes 9 other companies including apple
whose unusually high profit distorts the results.
By Geographic Region
North America
North America makes up the largest share of
sales from the top 250 retailers with 45.2%. US
sales growth cooled from 6.3% to 4.3% in 2012.
28 of the largest 50 e-commerce retailers are
from the US. We see an above average e-
commerce penetration (12%) and a below
average e-commerce sales growth (19%).
Latin America
Latin American retailers have the highest sales
CAGR of 14.7%. Strong growth is also
accompanied by industry leading profitability
with 4.9% net profit margin.
Europe
European retailers are dragged by the
Eurozone credit crisis, resulting in slow growth
(4.5% 2012 sales growth) and high
unemployment. Despite 17 of the largest 50 e-
commerce retailers are from Europe, only 5%
of total sales are e-commerce sales.
Asia Pacific
Eurozone crisis considerably reduced Europe’s
demand of Chinese import, hurting Chinese
sales growth (4.9% 2012 sales growth). Large
and rapidly growing e-commerce companies
are driving market leading e-commerce
growth (35%)
Africa / Middle East
Similar to Latin America, Africa / Middle East
experienced strong growth 17% CAGR with
above average profitability 4.4$ net profit
margin.
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Most of Africa / Middle East do not have online operation
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Africa/Mi
ddle East,
1.1%
Asia
Pacific,
15.1%
Europe,
37.1%Latin
America,
1.6%
North
America,
45.2%
Figure 4 - Share of Total Sales among
the Top 250
17.0%
4.9% 4.5%
14.8%
4.2%
13.5%
4.9% 4.5%
14.7%
4.8%
Figure 5 - Top 250 Sales Growth
2007-2012 Sales CAGR 2012 Sales Growth
6% 5% 8%
12%
35%
25%
20% 19%
Asia Pacific Europe Latin
America
North
America
Figure 6 - Top 50 E-commerce
Penetration and Growth
E-commerse Sales / Total Sales
2012 E-commerce Sales Growth
9. 9 | P a g e
Market Overview – Retail and E-commerce Industry
Top 250 Global Retailers / Top 50 E-commerce Retailers Analysis
By Primary Product Sector
Fashion Goods
Fashion Goods is the most profitable sector in
2012 as well as historically, with a 7.4% net
profit margin. It is considerably smaller than
the other product sectors except diversified
goods. E-commerce penetration is below
average (7%) possibly because customers are
reluctant to buy clothes which they haven’t
tried on. But technological advances and
cheaper return postages are mitigating this
problem, driving its e-commerce growth
(24%).
Fast-moving Consumer Goods
FMCG is the largest product sector. It enjoyed
the strongest CAGR and 2012 growth (both
5.3%). This is not surprising given demands for
food and other packaged goods are less
sensitive to the recession. Since foods are
limited by expiry dates, food retailers are less
likely to sell online, resulting in a low e-
commerce penetration (2%). However, we
see the highest e-commerce sales growth in
this sector.
Hardlines & Leisure Goods
Excluding Apple whose large profit skewed
the data, consumer electronics and
entertainment media retailers within this sector
faces a challenging operating environment,
half of which operated at a loss in 2012.
Despite this, the sector saw a 4.5% growth in
2012 and a market leading e-commerce
penetration.
Diversified Goods
This comprises of companies who did not have
a majority of sales for the three above sectors.
It is the worst performing sector in terms of
growth with CAGR of 2.3% and 2012 growth of
2.6%.
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Source: Deloitte – Global Powers of Retailing 2014
Fashion
Goods,
8.8%
Fast-
moving
Consume
r Goods,
68.3%
Hardlines
& Leisure
Goods,
14.9%
Diversified
, 8.0%
Figure 7 - Share of Total Sales
amoung the Top 250
3.3%
5.3%
3.9%
2.3%
5.1% 5.3%
4.5%
2.6%
Fashion
Goods
Fast-moving
Consumer
Goods
Hardlines &
Leisure
Goods
Diversified
Figure 8 - Top 250 Sales Growth
2007-2012 Sales CAGR 2012 Sales Growth
7%
2%
15% 14%
24% 26% 24% 22%
Fashion
Goods
Fast-moving
Consumer
Goods
Hardlines &
Leisure
Goods
Diversified
Figure 9 - Top 50 E-commerce
Penetration and Growth
E-commerse Sales / Total Sales
2012 E-commerce Sales Growth
10. 10 | P a g e
Company Analysis – eBay Inc.
Company Description
eBay is a global commerce and payments platform. It connects buyers and sellers of all size
as well as offer payment solutions. eBay operates through three reportable segments:
Marketplaces, Payments and Enterprise.
Marketplaces
It includes eBay’s core global e-commerce
platform, ebay.com, and other localized sites
such as eBay.de and eBay.co.uk and other
products specific sites such as stubhub.com
(for event tickets).
Payments
It include eBay’s core payment brand PayPal,
which facilitates quick and secure worldwide
payments through a broad range of mobile
devices. It also includes a credit business, Bill
Me Later which allows consumers to use credit
payments for their purchases.
Enterprise
eBay acquired GSI commerce in 2011, which
creates and maintain online stores for large,
nationally recognized retailers. It also provides
marketing, customer care, technology
integration solutions. GSI was renamed
Enterprise in 2013
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
M&A Activities
Recent M&A Strategy
Fredrik Ahlberg, head of expansion at eBay explains that eBay’s M&A strategy addresses four key
areas: mobile, local, social and digital. He says that development in mobile devices are shaping
demand for retailers; more people than ever are using the internet to find items that are close to
them locally; development in social media are revolutionising the marketing business; technology is
having a big impact on payment solutions.
Notable Acquisitions
2014 Enable Customer to virtually try on clothes online before purchasing
2013 Offer one day delivery by connecting retailer with local courier
2013 Helps online business to process credit card payments
2011 Provide localised information to facilitate advertisement
Source: Own Construction
Marketpl
aces
52%
Payments
41%
Enterprise
7%
Figure 10 - Revenue By Sector
U.S
48%
Internatio
nal
52%
Figure 11 - Revenue By Region
11. 11 | P a g e
Company Analysis – eBay Inc.
Historical Performance
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
We saw a declining sales growth for eBay
for the past 3 years. However the sales
growth of 21% and 14% in year 2012 and
2013 were both higher than its US industry
average growth of 14% and 13%, but
were lower than global industry average
growth of 22% and 18%.
Growth was mainly driven by its PayPal
business, which was actively expanding
its offline business into restaurants and gas
stations.
We also saw an increasing EBITDA Margin
for the past 3 years from 28% to 30%
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
Source: Statista 2014
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
Source: Statista 2014
We saw a healthy growth for eBay’s client base, especially for Market Place buyers whose
growth accelerated to 30% in 2013.
9156
11652
14072
16047
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2010 2011 2012 2013
Figure 12 - Revenue Growth By Sector
($M)
Marketplaces Payments Enterprise
16%
11% 12%
28%
26%
19%27%
21%
14%
2011A 2012A 2013A
Figure 13 - Revenue Growth By Sector
Marketplaces Payments Total
95 100 108
140
94 106 123
143
2010 2011 2012 2013
Figure 15 - Total Users (M)
eBay Total Active Buyers
PayPal Total Active Accounts
37% 36% 37% 38%
20% 20%
22% 23%
31% 28% 29% 30%
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A
Figure 14 - EBITDA Margin By Sector
Marketplaces Payments Total
6% 8%
30%
13%
15% 16%
2011 2012 2013
Figure 16 - Total Users Growth
eBay Buyers Growth
PayPal Accounts Growth
12. 12 | P a g e
Strategy Analysis
SWOT Analysis
Strength Weakness
Market leader with a Strong Brand – world’s
largest internet marketplace
Attractive Business Model – does not
compete with merchants as they do not sell
products under their own name (unlike
Amazon)
High level of innovation in market places –
including eBay Now, Global Shipping
Program, The Plaza and the acquisition of
PhiSix
Declining overall fee – driven by
competitive pressures may weaken margins
in Marketplaces, sacrificing profitability in
the short term but may bring growth into the
long term
Low margins in PayPal – driven by expansion
activities, sacrificing profitability in the short
term but may bring growth into the long
term
Opportunity Threat
BRIC expansion opportunity – increasing
exposure to high growth, less penetrated e-
commerce market
Mobile expansion – taking advantage of
the growing number of mobile shoppers
Possible slowdown of PayPal growth –
caused by a slowdown in US e-commerce
industry growth
Competition in Marketplaces from Aboard –
such as Alibaba, TaoBao, Tencent
Recent Innovations Overview
eBay Now – 1 hour delivery
Launched in 2012 in US, eBay Now allow consumer to browse, purchase and receive goods from
local merchants within 1 hour. The 2012 acquisition of Shutl is expected to enable expansion to 25 US
market as well as London by the end of 2014, enabling eBay to access ~50% of US GDP. The service
cost only $5 per delivery. It provides a way to compete with Amazon’s delivery by drones.
The Plaza – eBay online storefront
It is expected to rollout in 2014. It creates an online shopping mall for larger brands. It allows them to
design their own storefront and distance themselves from the used/second handed goods concept
that the eBay brand may bring while still benefit from the strong eBay site traffic.
Global Shipping Program
US sellers can now ship to over 40 countries worldwide by sending their parcels to the international
shipping centre in Kentucky. eBay utilises the economies of scale and reduces the cost of handling
customs, duties, taxes etc.
PhiSix
The 2014 acquisition is developing a virtual dressing room technology that allows consumers to
virtually try on clothes by sending their measurements online. This will help alleviate traditional
concerns about whether clothes purchased online will fit.
13. 13 | P a g e
Strategy Analysis
BRIC Expansion Opportunity
Figure 17
Source: eBay company report
In 2012, approximately 6 million Marketplaces active users located in BRIC. eBay stated a
goal of increasing this number by 6.5 folds. We believe eBay is able to achieve this by
making significant investment and utilising their large cash balance which stood at
approximately 9 billion by the end of 2014.
Source: eBay Annual Report 2014
6622 5929
9408 9025
2010 2011 2012 2013
Figure 18 - Cash ($M)
Cash & Equivalents
14. 14 | P a g e
Strategy Analysis
BRIC Expansion Opportunity
Figure 19
Source: eBay company report
Russia
eBay’s operation in Russia mostly comprise of
importing goods from other region. In
September 2013, eBay added Russia to its
Global Shipping Programme, allowing US
sellers to sell to Russia.
According to UBS, eBay is currently the top
international player in Russia already, further,
Russian active users roughly doubled during
2013 to achieve more than 1 million active
users.
The Russian e-commerce market grew by 23%
in 2013. Statista forecasts a CAGR of 14% from
2012-2016.
Brazil
eBay’s Brazilian Marketplaces business is still in
its early development stage. On the other
hand, the PayPal business has been operating
in Brazil since 2012.
eBay acquired 20% stakes in Mercadolibre
which is the dominant e-commerce
marketplace in Brazil.
The Brazilian e-commerce market grew by 16%
in 2013. Statista forecast a CAGR of 13% from
2012-2016.
Source: Statista 2014
Source: Statista 2014
18
21
23 2521%
19%
11%
7%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 21 - Russia e-commerce
Forecast ($Bn)
eCommerce Sales
eCommerce Sales Growth
18
21 23 25
16%
20%
8% 7%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 22 - Brazil e-commerce Sales
($Bn)
E-commerce Sales
E-commerce Sales Growth
15. 15 | P a g e
Strategy Analysis
BRIC Expansion Opportunity
Figure 20
Source: eBay website
India
eBay recently offered a 9-hour delivery service
in Mumbai. In addition, eBay’s innovation
PowerShip program provides Indian sellers with
packing materials, doorstep pick up of
packages, discount delivery etc by partnering
with shipping companies such as Fed-Ex.
The Indian e-commerce market grew by 35%
in 2013. Statista forecast a CAGR of 27% from
2012-2016.
China
eBay has large competitors in China including
Taobao and TMall, which forced eBay to exit
China market a few years after it entered in
2003.
eBay re-entered by focusing on the export
market, offering Chinese seller to sell aboard.
On the importing side, it partnered with
Xiu.com to focus on the fashion sector.
The Chinese e-commerce market grew by
65% in 2013. Statista forecast a CAGR of 41%
from 2012-2016.
Source: Statista 2014
Source: Statista 2014
16
21
26
31
35%
27%
24% 22%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 23 - India e-commerce Sales
($Bn)
E-commerce Sales
E-commerce Sales Growth
182
275
359
44065%
51%
31%
23%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 24 - China e-commerce Sales
($Bn)
E-commerce Sales
E-commerce Sales Growth
16. 16 | P a g e
Valuation
Key Operational Assumptions
Base Case
We expect strong revenue growths driven by expansion opportunity in BRIC market, the
continuing mobile revolution, and the continuing migration from retail to online sales.
We forecast modest margin improvements due to the continued investment in new innovations
and international markets, as well as higher growth in the low margin PayPal Business.
Bear Case
Bear Case reflects the possible negative impact to revenue growth due to tough competition in
the Marketplaces business and a slowdown in user growth in PayPal and Marketplaces, as well
as a generally weaker global retail market due to macro uncertainties.
Table 1 - Operational Assumptions - Base Case
2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
Revenue Growth
Marketplaces 9.7% 11.2% 10.0% 9.0% 8.5% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Payments 19.0% 23.9% 24.0% 25.0% 22.0% 19.0% 15.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Enterprise 9.0% 12.5% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%
SG&A 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
EBITDA Margin
Marketplaces 38.7% 39.7% 40.0% 40.5% 40.3% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Payments 22.5% 22.7% 23.0% 23.0% 23.5% 24.0% 24.0% 24.0% 24.0% 24.0%
Enterprise 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Deperation and Amortization
Marketplaces 11.7% 11.7% 13.0% 13.0% 12.0% 12.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
Payments 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Enterprise 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Income taxes 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1%
CapEx 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Table 2 - Operational Assumptions - Bear Case
2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
Revenue Growth
Marketplaces 5.8% 6.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
Payments 11.4% 14.3% 14.4% 15.0% 13.2% 11.4% 9.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%
Enterprise 5.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.2% 6.0% 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2%
SG&A 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0%
EBITDA Margin
Marketplaces 34.8% 35.7% 36.0% 36.5% 36.3% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0% 36.0%
Payments 20.3% 20.4% 20.7% 20.7% 21.2% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6%
Enterprise 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5%
Deperation and Amortization
Marketplaces 12.2% 12.3% 13.7% 13.7% 12.6% 12.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6%
Payments 7.3% 8.4% 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
Enterprise 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
Income taxes 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2% 23.2%
CapEx 5.4% 6.0% 5.4% 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2%
17. 17 | P a g e
Valuation
Bull Case
Bull Case reflects the possible up side impact of eBay innovations (eBay Now, Global Shipping
Program, The Plaza, acquisition of PhiSix) on sales growth especially in the medium and long
term.
It also assumes continued strong user growth at Marketplaces and Payments as well as
continued strong e-commerce penetrations.
Working Capital Analysis
Source: Bloomberg, eBay Annual Report, own construction
Days receivable and payable forecasts are based on the average of past 3 years.
Table 3 - Operational Assumptions - Bull Case
2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
Revenue Growth
Marketplaces 12.6% 14.6% 13.0% 11.7% 11.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Payments 24.7% 31.1% 31.2% 32.5% 28.6% 24.7% 19.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
Enterprise 11.7% 16.3% 18.2% 15.6% 13.0% 10.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1%
SG&A 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0% 39.0%
EBITDA Margin
Marketplaces 40.6% 41.7% 42.0% 42.5% 42.3% 42.0% 42.0% 42.0% 42.0% 42.0%
Payments 23.6% 23.8% 24.2% 24.2% 24.7% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2% 25.2%
Enterprise 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9%
Deperation and Amortization
Marketplaces 11.1% 11.1% 12.4% 12.4% 11.4% 11.4% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5%
Payments 6.6% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%
Enterprise 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Income taxes 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0% 19.0%
CapEx 10.8% 12.0% 10.8% 9.6% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
Table 4 - Net Working Capital Analysis
2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E
Short term investments 3600.5 4388.6 5349.3 6551.8 7913.6 9323.0 10730.6 11932.2 13274.7 14775.2
Days 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7 69.7
Accounts & notes receivables 2052.0 2501.2 3048.7 3734.1 4510.2 5313.5 6115.7 6800.5 7565.6 8420.8
Days 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7 39.7
Other current assets 12521.6 15262.5 18603.6 22785.5 27521.6 32423.1 37318.2 41497.1 46165.9 51384.3
Days 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3 242.3
Total currrent assets 18174.1 22152.3 27001.6 33071.4 39945.4 47059.6 54164.5 60229.7 67006.3 74580.3
Accounts payable 405.8 491.6 604.4 749.8 914.7 1087.2 1263.6 1411.4 1577.2 1763.0
Days 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1 26.1
Short-term borrowings 491.4 599.0 730.2 894.3 1080.2 1272.5 1464.7 1628.7 1811.9 2016.7
Days 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5
Other short term liabilities 12564.6 15314.9 18667.5 22863.8 27616.2 32534.5 37446.5 41639.7 46324.6 51560.9
Days 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2 243.2
Total current liabilities 13461.9 16405.6 20002.0 24507.8 29611.0 34894.2 40174.7 44679.7 49713.7 55340.7
Net Working Capital 4712.3 5746.7 6999.6 8563.5 10334.4 12165.4 13989.8 15550.0 17292.6 19239.7
Change in Net Working Capital (1437.7) 1034.5 1252.9 1563.9 1770.9 1831.0 1824.4 1560.2 1742.6 1947.1
19. 19 | P a g e
Valuation
Method 1 – Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Weighted Average Cost of Capital Calculation
CAPM is used to compute the weighted
average cost of capital for eBay.
Cost of debt is calculated from eBay annual
report.
Risk free rate is the US 10 years Government
Bond yield.
Market risk premium is calculated from S&P
500 10 years annual return less the risk free
rate.
Tax Rate is taken from the eBay annual report
As a result, we obtained a 8.6% WACC.
Our forecasted Unlevered Free Cash Flows are discounted at this WACC in the calculations
that follow in the next three pages.
The sum of the discounted free cash flows is added to the terminal value to obtain the present
value of the enterprise value. From which, we can deduce the equity value and therefore
targeted share price.
We calculated terminal value by two methods, the perpetuity method and the exit multiple
method.
Using the perpetuity method, we get target prices of $100, $79, $60 for bull, base and bear
case scenarios.
Using the exit multiple method, we get target prices of $137, $99 and $66 for bull, base and
bear case scenarios.
Table 6 - WACC
Capital Structure
Debt 4123
Equity 13033
Debt/V 24.0%
Equity/V 76.0%
Cost of Debt
Cost of Debt 5.2%
Tax Rate 35.0%
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.4%
Cost of Equity
Risk-free Rate 2.5%
Market Risk Premium 7.3%
Levered Beta 1.060
Cost of Equity (CAPM) 10.3%
WACC 8.6%
23. 23 | P a g e
Valuation
Method 2 – Comparable Analysis
Historical Trading Multiples
Comparable Analysis
Base Case
Bear Case
Bull Case
We have used 3 trading
multiples: EV/Revenue,
EV/EBITDA and EV/EBIT to
compute eBay enterprise
value.
Due to the lack of close
comparable companies, the
pricing multiples are
calculated from historical
values of eBay itself instead of
other comparable companies.
Pricing multiples are selected
using 30% mean and 70%
median of past trading
multiples to dampen extreme
points.
Pricing multiples for bear and
bull cases are decreased and
increased by 10% respectively.
From each pricing multiples
and 2014 forecasted revenue,
we have computed the
implied enterprise values.
Enterprise value obtained from
Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA are
assigned weighting of 16.7%,
16.7% and 33.7% respectively.
As a result, we get a target
price of 62.0, 52.0 and 40.5 for
bull, base and bear case
respectively.
Table 16 - Valuation multiples
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A Mean Median 2014E
EV/Revenue 3.4x 3.0x 4.3x 4.1x 3.7x 3.8x 3.8x
EV/EBIT 15.3x 14.9x 21.1x 19.6x 17.7x 17.5x 17.6x
EV/EBITDA 11.2x 10.7x 14.9x 13.9x 12.7x 12.5x 12.6x
Table 17 - Base Case From Revenue From EBIT From EBITDA
2014E Revenue 2014E EBIT 2014E EBITDA
18209.9 3726.5 5371.9
EV/Revenue EV/EBIT EV/EBITDA
3.8x 17.6x 12.6x
Implied EV 68603.4 65443.3 67510.0
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 53.0 50.5 52.1
Weighting 16.7% 16.7% 66.7%
Weighted EV
Weighted Share Price 52.0
67347.8
Table 18 - Bear Case From Revenue From EBIT From EBITDA
2014E Revenue 2014E EBIT 2014E EBITDA
17344.8 2968.2 4618.4
EV/Revenue EV/EBIT EV/EBITDA
3.4x 15.8x 11.3x
Implied EV 58809.5 46913.9 52236.2
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 45.4 36.2 40.3
Weighting 16.7% 16.7% 66.7%
Weighted EV
Weighted Share Price 40.5
52444.7
Table 19 - Bull Case From Revenue From EBIT From EBITDA
2014E Revenue 2014E EBIT 2014E EBITDA
18858.8 4214.0 5829.8
EV/Revenue EV/EBIT EV/EBITDA
4.1x 19.3x 13.8x
Implied EV 78152.7 81406.3 80590.8
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 60.3 62.9 62.2
Weighting 16.7% 16.7% 66.7%
Weighted EV
Weighted Share Price 62.0
80320.4
24. 24 | P a g e
Valuation
Method 3 – Sum of the Part (SOTP) Analysis
Historical EV/Revenue multiple by Sector
SOTP
Base Case
Bear Case
Bull Case
We have used EV/Revenue
multiples for each sector to
conduct the Sum of the Part
analysis.
Pricing multiples are selected using
30% mean and 70% median of past
trading multiples to dampen
extreme points.
EV/Revenues for bear and bull
cases are decreased and
increased by 10% respectively.
We calculated the implied
enterprise value for each sector for
each case by multiplying our
forecasted 2014 revenues with our
forecasted EV/Revenue multiples.
Then we summed the enterprise
values for each sector to get the
implied firm enterprise values for
each case.
As a result, we get target prices of
57.8, 50.8 and 43.7 for our bull,
base and bear case scenario.
Table 20 - Historical Trading Multiples by Sector
EV/Revenue 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013A Mean Median 2014E
Marketplaces 4.2x 3.8x 5.5x 5.3x 4.7x 4.8x 4.7x
Payments 2.2x 2.1x 3.4x 3.2x 2.7x 2.7x 2.7x
Enterprise - 1.3x 1.6x 1.1x 1.4x 1.3x 1.3x
Table 21 - Base Case
Marketplaces Payments Enterprise
2014E Revenue 9087.5 7887.3 1212.1
EV/Revenue 4.7x 2.7x 1.3x
Implied EV 43064.5 21138.8 1634.6
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 33.3 16.3 1.3
Total EV
Total Share Price 50.8
65837.8
Table 22 - Bear Case
Marketplaces Payments Enterprise
2014E Revenue 8766.1 7383.6 1172.0
EV/Revenue 4.3x 2.4x 1.2x
Implied EV 37387.2 17809.8 1422.5
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 28.9 13.8 1.1
Total EV
Total Share Price 43.7
56619.6
Table 23 - Bull Case
Marketplaces Payments Enterprise
2014E Revenue 9328.6 8265.1 1242.1
EV/Revenue 5.2x 2.9x 1.5x
Implied EV 48627.5 24366.4 1842.6
Shares Outstanding 1295.0 1295.0 1295.0
Implied Share Price 37.6 18.8 1.4
Total EV
Total Share Price 57.8
74836.5
25. 25 | P a g e
Valuation
Valuation Summary
The target prices for each method
and each case are summarised
here.
Each method is assigned a weight to
arrive at the final target price for
eBay.
The weighted bull case target price
is the upper bound of the final target
price.
The weighted bear case target price
is the lower bound.
We arrive at our final target price of
$64.0 with an upside of $79.3 and
downside of $49.0.
Table 24 - Share Price Summary
Method Bull Case Base Case Bear Case Weight
DCF - Perpetuity 99.7 78.9 59.9 16.7%
DCF - Exit Multiple 136.6 99.3 65.9 16.7%
Comparables 62.0 52.0 40.5 33.3%
SOTP 57.8 50.8 43.7 33.3%
Share Price 79.3 64.0 49.0
Table 25 - Enterprise Value Summary
Method Bull Case Base Case Bear Case Weight
DCF - Perpetuity 126035 98712 73797 16.7%
DCF - Exit Multiple 174491 125536 81580 16.7%
Comparables 80320 67348 52445 33.3%
SOTP 74837 65838 56620 33.3%
Share Price 101807 81770 62251
99.7
136.6
62.0
57.8
59.9
65.9
40.5
43.7
0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0
DCF - Perpetuity
DCF - Exit Multiple
Comparables
SOTP
Figure 25 - Implied Share Price Football
Field
126035
174491
80320
74837
73797
81580
52445
56620
0 50000 100000 150000 200000
DCF - Perpetuity
DCF - Exit Multiple
Comparables
SOTP
Figure 26 - Implied Enterprise Value
Football Field
26. 26 | P a g e
References
Equity Research Reports
Sheridan, Chiodo, Patel, UBS [2014] Countering eBay Fears Part 2: Marketplaces
Sena, McDade, McNellis, Evercore [2014] Solid Result From Payments Business
Schachter, White, Merrick, Macquarie [2014] eBay 1Q’14: An Uneasy Feeling
Landell-Mills, Indigo [2014] Overview of Q1 2014 - Strong execution & mobile focus
Luria, Wedbush [2014] eBay A Peak into the Shopping Cart; Maintain OUTPERFORM
Other publications
Marketline [2014] eBay, Inc. – Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments
Canadean [2014] eBay Inc. – Company Profile, SWOT & Financial Report
Wright Investors’ Service [2014] Service Research Report: eBay Incorporated
Deloitte [2014] Global Powers of Retailing – retailing beyond
Deloitte [2014] The Omnichannal Opportunity – unlocking the power of the connected customers
PWC [2012] Introducing the PwC Global Consumer Index (GCI)
KPMG [2013] 2013 Retail Industry Outlook Survey
Databases
Bloomberg Terminal
Thomson One – thomsonone.com
Google Finance – www.google.com/finance
Yahoo Finance – www.finance.yahoo.com
Reuters – www.reuters.com
Statista – www.statista.com
US Census – www.census.gov