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CUSTOMER FORUM

PROPOSED NEW ELECTRICITY TARIFFS FOR
            JULY 2011
       Chief Engineer: Metering, Vending and Tariffs
                     Stephen Delport


                   4 MARCH 2011
IMPORTANT NOTES ON THIS PRESENTATION

• The format of the tariffs was very recently
  changed, following ongoing discussions with
  the National Energy Regulator of South Africa
• The set of tariffs under discussion here has
  not yet been considered by Council
• It is also not “given” that NERSA will approve
  the current format
IMPORTANT NOTE




• Council must still consider this draft of tariffs…
THE FORMAT OF THIS PRESENTATION

• The presentation is built around graphical
  information, providing a technical picture
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
BACKGROUND
METER READING PATH - FULL
BRIEF INDICATION ON REVENUE SEGMENT –
                  PREPAYMENT
• The 3RD biggest segment of customer, at 180 000 customers, 7% of income
• The segment is under control, but much work is taking place to improve:
   • Third party vending has been strengthened.
       • Point of sale, cellular technology, internet vending, etc
   • Tampering rate is managed
   • Penalty rate applied and often paid by customer
   • Tembisa and IMS doing well, although the system is getting old
   • Protective structure volumes have grown and indicate need for closer
      management – measures are being put in place
   • Exciting new technologies to consider
REVENUE SEGMENT – PREPAYMENT EAST
2007-2008-2009-2010 MEGAFLEX: PURCHASES OF ELECTRICITY kWh COSTS
R 300 000 000               R0-00: PEAK vs STANDARD vs OFF-PEAK and kVA

                                                                                                        R0-00 Peak kWh

R 250 000 000
                                                                                                        R0-00 Stnd kWh

                                                                                                        R0-00 Off-Peak kWh
R 200 000 000
                                                                                                        R0-00 kVA


R 150 000 000                                                                                           2 per. Mov. Avg. (R0-
                                                                                                        00 Peak kWh)
                                                                                                        2 per. Mov. Avg. (R0-
                                                                                                        00 kVA)
R 100 000 000



 R 50 000 000



          R-
                J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J
City of Ekurhuleni Percentage Increase in R/kVA and c/kWh:
60%            Purchases of Electricity : Jan 2007 till Jan 2011
                                                             % Increase kVA
50%
                                                             % Increase kWh

40%


30%


20%


10%


 0%


-10%


-20%


-30%
Percentage Increases in c/kWh only: July 2006 to Jan 2011
    50.0%




    40.0%

•
    30.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            % Increase kWh
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            % Eff Increase
    20.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2 per. Mov. Avg. (% Increase kWh)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2 per. Mov. Avg. (% Eff Increase)

    10.0%




     0.0%
                      Oct/05
                               Jan/06




                                                          Oct/06
                                                                   Jan/07




                                                                                              Oct/07
                                                                                                       Jan/08




                                                                                                                                  Oct/08
                                                                                                                                           Jan/09




                                                                                                                                                                      Oct/09
                                                                                                                                                                               Jan/10




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Oct/10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan/11
                                        Apr/06




                                                                            Apr/07




                                                                                                                Apr/08




                                                                                                                                                    Apr/09




                                                                                                                                                                                        Apr/10
             Jul/05




                                                 Jul/06




                                                                                     Jul/07




                                                                                                                         Jul/08




                                                                                                                                                             Jul/09




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul/10
    -10.0%
Energy Demand Reduction of 12% by 2015 for SA: via
         energy efficiency improvements
11 500 000 000
                 Total kWh Purchased
11 000 000 000



10 500 000 000


                                                                                                                 Series1
10 000 000 000                                                                                                   Moving Ave



 9 500 000 000



 9 000 000 000
                 Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec   Jan - Dec
                   2003        2004        2005        2006        2007        2008        2009        2010
Tariff D                    Base line Tariff           2011/12 2011/12 2011/12                2011/12
                                                       Increase > 11kV >230/400 V & < = 11kV 230/400 V direct from sub
                            Tariff D-"0%" 2010/11        21.30%      0%                   8%                       10%
PEAK c/kWh                                176.700         214.34 214.34                231.48                    235.77
STANDARD c/kWh                              62.00          75.21   75.21                81.22                     82.73
OFF-PEAK c/kWh                              37.40          45.37   45.37                49.00                     49.90

PEAK c/kWh                                     65.70      79.69   79.69                 86.07                     87.66
STANDARD c/kWh                                 43.10      52.28   52.28                 56.46                     57.51
OFF-PEAK c/kWh                                 34.00      41.24   41.24                 44.54                     45.37

Jun & Jul & Aug NMD R/kVA                  R 29.00        35.18   35.18                 37.99                     38.69
Sep-May NMD R/kVA                          R 29.00        35.18   35.18                 37.99                     38.69
NAC R/kVA                                  R 17.40        21.10   21.10                 22.79                     23.21
1000 kVA: Electricity Tariffs: 2011-12: c/kWh v/s Load Factor
        R 4.00
                                                                                        EMM 2011/12 TAR C
        R 3.50
                                                                                        EMM 2011/12 TOU TAR E
                                                                                        <1MVA
                                                                                        TOU > 1MVA TAR D 2011-12
        R 3.00



        R 2.50
c/kWh




        R 2.00



        R 1.50



        R 1.00



        R 0.50



          R-




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                100.…
                 5.0%

                        10.0%

                                15.0%

                                        20.0%

                                                25.0%

                                                        30.0%

                                                                35.0%

                                                                        40.0%

                                                                                45.0%

                                                                                        50.0%

                                                                                                52.0%

                                                                                                        55.0%

                                                                                                                58.0%

                                                                                                                        60.0%

                                                                                                                                62.0%

                                                                                                                                        65.0%

                                                                                                                                                68.0%

                                                                                                                                                        70.0%

                                                                                                                                                                72.0%

                                                                                                                                                                        75.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                78.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                        80.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                85.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                        90.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                95.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        98.0%
100 kVA: Electricity Tariffs: 2011-12: c/kWh v/s Load Factor
        R 4.50
                                                                                          EMM 2011/12 TAR C
        R 4.00
                                                                                          EMM 2011/12 TOU TAR E
                                                                                          <1MVA
        R 3.50                                                                            ESKOM NEW 2011-12

        R 3.00


        R 2.50
c/kWh




        R 2.00


        R 1.50


        R 1.00


        R 0.50


          R-




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                100.…
                 5.0%
                        10.0%
                                15.0%
                                        20.0%
                                                25.0%
                                                        30.0%
                                                                35.0%
                                                                        40.0%
                                                                                45.0%
                                                                                        50.0%
                                                                                                52.0%
                                                                                                        55.0%
                                                                                                                58.0%
                                                                                                                        60.0%
                                                                                                                                62.0%
                                                                                                                                        65.0%
                                                                                                                                                68.0%
                                                                                                                                                        70.0%
                                                                                                                                                                72.0%
                                                                                                                                                                        75.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                78.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                        80.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                85.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        90.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                95.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        98.0%
IMPORTANT NOTE




• Demand no longer measured in off-peak. NAC…
Tar B Business: Account impact: 3-ph versus 1-ph and various
                                        Load Factors
R 30 000




R 25 000



                                                                               Series1
R 20 000
                                                                               Series2
                                                                               Series3
                                                                               Series4
R 15 000
                                                                               Series5
                                                                               L.F. 30% 40A up to 150 A 1-ph
                                                                               L.F 20% 40A up to 150A 3-ph
R 10 000
                                                                               L.F. 30% 40A up to 150A 1-ph
                                                                               L.F. 40% 40A up to 150A 3-ph

 R 5 000




     R0
           40     50   60   70   80   90   100   110   120   130   140   150
IMPORTANT NOTE




• On Tariff B, the capacity should not be
  overstated…
ESKOM PURCHASES: DEMAND COMPONENT

• Transmission NC + NAC + NMD
  =(3.51+7.04+13.35)*1.2671

• R30.284 (2011/12 Eskom R/kVA/month) X
  103.92 kVA

• =R 3,147.17 (Eskom R/kVA/month)
Tar B Busines versus Tar B Res c/kWh at various L.F.
R 1.10




R 1.05




R 1.00



                                                                                                                     Tar B Res
R 0.95
                                                                                                                     Tar B Bus
                                                                                                                     40 Amp Bus

R 0.90




R 0.85




R 0.80
         0.1   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.3   30%   0.4   0.4   0.5   0.5   0.6   0.6   0.7   0.7   0.8   0.8   0.9   0.9
TARIFF A vs TARIFF B : 2011/2012
R 3 000.00




R 2 500.00




R 2 000.00


             690
R 1 500.00




R 1 000.00



                                         New IBT A
 R 500.00




   R 0.00


                   Number of kWh units
(Un)sustainable Increases:-


            2010/11    I ncrease   Year 1   Year 2   Year 3   Year 4   Year 5   Year 6   Year 7   Year 8
Sales           1.55   X 1.2         1.86     2.23     2.68     3.21     3.86     4.63     5.55     6.66
Purchases       1.00   X 1.2671      1.27     1.61     2.03     2.58     3.27     4.14     5.24     6.64

                1.55   Ratio         1.47     1.39     1.32     1.25     1.18     1.12     1.06     1.00
I Thank You

Any Questions?

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Energy sd -4 march 2011

  • 1. CUSTOMER FORUM PROPOSED NEW ELECTRICITY TARIFFS FOR JULY 2011 Chief Engineer: Metering, Vending and Tariffs Stephen Delport 4 MARCH 2011
  • 2. IMPORTANT NOTES ON THIS PRESENTATION • The format of the tariffs was very recently changed, following ongoing discussions with the National Energy Regulator of South Africa • The set of tariffs under discussion here has not yet been considered by Council • It is also not “given” that NERSA will approve the current format
  • 3. IMPORTANT NOTE • Council must still consider this draft of tariffs…
  • 4. THE FORMAT OF THIS PRESENTATION • The presentation is built around graphical information, providing a technical picture
  • 9. BRIEF INDICATION ON REVENUE SEGMENT – PREPAYMENT • The 3RD biggest segment of customer, at 180 000 customers, 7% of income • The segment is under control, but much work is taking place to improve: • Third party vending has been strengthened. • Point of sale, cellular technology, internet vending, etc • Tampering rate is managed • Penalty rate applied and often paid by customer • Tembisa and IMS doing well, although the system is getting old • Protective structure volumes have grown and indicate need for closer management – measures are being put in place • Exciting new technologies to consider
  • 10. REVENUE SEGMENT – PREPAYMENT EAST
  • 11. 2007-2008-2009-2010 MEGAFLEX: PURCHASES OF ELECTRICITY kWh COSTS R 300 000 000 R0-00: PEAK vs STANDARD vs OFF-PEAK and kVA R0-00 Peak kWh R 250 000 000 R0-00 Stnd kWh R0-00 Off-Peak kWh R 200 000 000 R0-00 kVA R 150 000 000 2 per. Mov. Avg. (R0- 00 Peak kWh) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (R0- 00 kVA) R 100 000 000 R 50 000 000 R- J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J FMAM J J A S O N D J
  • 12. City of Ekurhuleni Percentage Increase in R/kVA and c/kWh: 60% Purchases of Electricity : Jan 2007 till Jan 2011 % Increase kVA 50% % Increase kWh 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30%
  • 13. Percentage Increases in c/kWh only: July 2006 to Jan 2011 50.0% 40.0% • 30.0% % Increase kWh % Eff Increase 20.0% 2 per. Mov. Avg. (% Increase kWh) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (% Eff Increase) 10.0% 0.0% Oct/05 Jan/06 Oct/06 Jan/07 Oct/07 Jan/08 Oct/08 Jan/09 Oct/09 Jan/10 Oct/10 Jan/11 Apr/06 Apr/07 Apr/08 Apr/09 Apr/10 Jul/05 Jul/06 Jul/07 Jul/08 Jul/09 Jul/10 -10.0%
  • 14. Energy Demand Reduction of 12% by 2015 for SA: via energy efficiency improvements
  • 15. 11 500 000 000 Total kWh Purchased 11 000 000 000 10 500 000 000 Series1 10 000 000 000 Moving Ave 9 500 000 000 9 000 000 000 Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec Jan - Dec 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 16. Tariff D Base line Tariff 2011/12 2011/12 2011/12 2011/12 Increase > 11kV >230/400 V & < = 11kV 230/400 V direct from sub Tariff D-"0%" 2010/11 21.30% 0% 8% 10% PEAK c/kWh 176.700 214.34 214.34 231.48 235.77 STANDARD c/kWh 62.00 75.21 75.21 81.22 82.73 OFF-PEAK c/kWh 37.40 45.37 45.37 49.00 49.90 PEAK c/kWh 65.70 79.69 79.69 86.07 87.66 STANDARD c/kWh 43.10 52.28 52.28 56.46 57.51 OFF-PEAK c/kWh 34.00 41.24 41.24 44.54 45.37 Jun & Jul & Aug NMD R/kVA R 29.00 35.18 35.18 37.99 38.69 Sep-May NMD R/kVA R 29.00 35.18 35.18 37.99 38.69 NAC R/kVA R 17.40 21.10 21.10 22.79 23.21
  • 17. 1000 kVA: Electricity Tariffs: 2011-12: c/kWh v/s Load Factor R 4.00 EMM 2011/12 TAR C R 3.50 EMM 2011/12 TOU TAR E <1MVA TOU > 1MVA TAR D 2011-12 R 3.00 R 2.50 c/kWh R 2.00 R 1.50 R 1.00 R 0.50 R- 100.… 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 52.0% 55.0% 58.0% 60.0% 62.0% 65.0% 68.0% 70.0% 72.0% 75.0% 78.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 98.0%
  • 18. 100 kVA: Electricity Tariffs: 2011-12: c/kWh v/s Load Factor R 4.50 EMM 2011/12 TAR C R 4.00 EMM 2011/12 TOU TAR E <1MVA R 3.50 ESKOM NEW 2011-12 R 3.00 R 2.50 c/kWh R 2.00 R 1.50 R 1.00 R 0.50 R- 100.… 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 52.0% 55.0% 58.0% 60.0% 62.0% 65.0% 68.0% 70.0% 72.0% 75.0% 78.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% 98.0%
  • 19. IMPORTANT NOTE • Demand no longer measured in off-peak. NAC…
  • 20. Tar B Business: Account impact: 3-ph versus 1-ph and various Load Factors R 30 000 R 25 000 Series1 R 20 000 Series2 Series3 Series4 R 15 000 Series5 L.F. 30% 40A up to 150 A 1-ph L.F 20% 40A up to 150A 3-ph R 10 000 L.F. 30% 40A up to 150A 1-ph L.F. 40% 40A up to 150A 3-ph R 5 000 R0 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
  • 21. IMPORTANT NOTE • On Tariff B, the capacity should not be overstated…
  • 22.
  • 23. ESKOM PURCHASES: DEMAND COMPONENT • Transmission NC + NAC + NMD =(3.51+7.04+13.35)*1.2671 • R30.284 (2011/12 Eskom R/kVA/month) X 103.92 kVA • =R 3,147.17 (Eskom R/kVA/month)
  • 24. Tar B Busines versus Tar B Res c/kWh at various L.F. R 1.10 R 1.05 R 1.00 Tar B Res R 0.95 Tar B Bus 40 Amp Bus R 0.90 R 0.85 R 0.80 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 30% 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
  • 25. TARIFF A vs TARIFF B : 2011/2012 R 3 000.00 R 2 500.00 R 2 000.00 690 R 1 500.00 R 1 000.00 New IBT A R 500.00 R 0.00 Number of kWh units
  • 26. (Un)sustainable Increases:- 2010/11 I ncrease Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Sales 1.55 X 1.2 1.86 2.23 2.68 3.21 3.86 4.63 5.55 6.66 Purchases 1.00 X 1.2671 1.27 1.61 2.03 2.58 3.27 4.14 5.24 6.64 1.55 Ratio 1.47 1.39 1.32 1.25 1.18 1.12 1.06 1.00
  • 27. I Thank You Any Questions?