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Policy Brief
Emerging economies and export
promotion mechanisms: a study case of
Brazil's and China's operations in Angola
June, 2012
Research Group of Development, Trade, Finance and Investiment
BRICS Policy Center / Centro de Estudos e Pesquisa BRICS
Policy Brief
Emerging economies and export
promotion mechanisms: a study case of
Brazil's and China's operations in Angola
June, 2012
Research Group of Development, Trade, Finance and Investiment
BRICS Policy Center / Centro de Estudos e Pesquisa BRICS
BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF
Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola
1	
  
	
  
Lucy Corkin, Manuela Trindade Viana and
Leane C. Naidin
Emerging economies and export promotion
mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s
operations in Angola
1. Abstract
	
  
In the light of the increasing
flows of South-South trade, this paper
sheds light to some of the mechanisms
fostered by Brazil and China, emerging
countries which are directly involved in
increasing the volume and diversity of
trade with African countries. This paper
compares the operations of China Exim
Bank and Brazil´s Export Financing
Program (PROEX, in Portuguese) in
Angola. It also examines the
implications of these credit lines vis-à-
vis trade and financial international
rules. Finally, with a view to
understanding Brazil’s and China´s
approaches to economic relations with
Angola, this paper points to some
areas of actual or potential competition
and cooperation involving Brazil and
China.
2. Introduction
The rise of emerging powers,
notably the BRICS (Brazil, Russia,
India, China, and South Africa)
countries has led to a corresponding
swell in South-South trade, particularly
as concerns Africa. However, the
growing significance of Africa in terms
of trade flows has recurrently obscured
the tools aimed at accelerating and
deepening these flows. This paper
sheds light to some of these
mechanisms fostered by two emerging
countries – Brazil and China – directly
involved and interested in expanding
the volume and increasing the diversity
of trade with African countries.
Of particular interest here are
the export credit agencies (ECA), which
seek to stimulate exports by providing
national companies with certain
incentives, often in the form of interest-
subsidized loans, in order to “level the
playing field” between competition with
other countries´ products in domestic or
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third-party markets. Especially as
regards economies perceived as “high-
risk” – such as those of some African
countries –, mechanisms such as
Export-Import (Exim) Banks and
national financing institutions play a key
role in ensuring adequate credit flow to
the export sector. Whereas ECA were
initially a mechanism used by
developed countries to finance market
entry into developing countries, the rise
of emerging powers such as Brazil and
China have seen these institutions
being used increasingly to facilitate
trade with developed countries as well
as South-South commerce into
potentially lucrative markets, although
keeping their “high-risk” character. In
this regard, Africa´s significant
population, estimated to be close to 1
billion and growing middle class have
made the continent a key target for
export promotion and new market
capture (Freemantle, 2011; de Onis,
2000).
Both China and Brazil have
extensive export promotion
mechanisms, albeit in different orders
of magnitude, in order to support their
emerging “national champions” of
industry. As a case in point, Angola has
been a recipient of considerable
volumes of credit lines from both
countries in question (see Figure 1).
Figure 1: Cumulative state credit
pledged to Angola (2012)
Creditor
Country
Loan Value
(US$ millions)
China 14,400
Brazil 5,000
Germany 2,200
Portugal 1,900
Canada 1,16
Spain 600
South Africa 255
US 120
UK 70
India 50
Source: US State Department -
http://www.state.gov/e/eeb/ifd/2008/100819.htm.
China and Brazil rank as first
and second respectively in terms of
credit lines extended to the Angolan
government. Furthermore, the African
country is the largest recipient of credit
lines in the continent from both China
and Brazil (Cabral, 2011; Corkin,
2011). Being China´s largest African
trading partner and Brazil´s largest
African recipient of foreign direct
investment (CAITEC, 2010; World
Bank, 2011:82), Angola is thus of
significant relevance for both countries´
approach to economic relations with
Africa and merits examination as a
case study.
From a broader perspective, the
increasing use of credit lines has
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variously come under attack from
several quarters, as well as been
emulated by other countries seeking to
compete with the influence of these
emerging powers.
In the light of the context
outlined above, this article has two
goals. Firstly, it seeks to compare the
operations of China Exim Bank and
Brazil´s Export Financing Program
(PROEX, in Portuguese) in Angola with
a view to understanding these
countries´ approaches to economic
relations with this African country. It
also examines the implications of these
credit lines vis-à-vis trade and financial
international rules. Finally, with a view
to understanding Brazil’s and China´s
approaches to economic relations with
Angola, this paper points to some
areas of actual or potential competition
and cooperation involving Brazil and
China.
3. China “going global”: the role of
China Exim Bank
Beijing´s relations with Luanda
remained fairly subdued until the end of
Angola’s civil war in 2002 provided an
opportunity for closer interaction
between China and Angola.
Significantly, in 2004, during the state
visit of Vice Premier Zeng Peiyan to
Angola, it was announced that China
Exim Bank would lend US$ 2 billion to
the Angolan government to finance the
country’s reconstruction efforts. Credit
lines from China Exim Bank have since
been extended to US$ 10.5 billion.
China Exim Bank remains the most
prominent Chinese financial institution
in Angola, although other Chinese
banks have also shown interest in such
mechanisms (Corkin, 2011).
Angola is currently China’s
largest African trading partner, primarily
due to its importance as a supplier of
petroleum to the Asian country.
Bilateral trade amounts to some US$
25 billion, thus accounting for one
quarter of China´s total trade with
Africa (CAITEC, 2010). According to
the Angolan Ministry of Petroleum’s
(2010:29) latest available statistics,
39% of Angola’s crude exports went to
China in 2009, accounting for 15.7% of
China’s total oil imports (EIA, 2010).
This renders Angola a certain strategic
significance for China.
Angola is reportedly the fifth
largest African market for Chinese
exports (CAITEC, 2010: 10), but these
are dwarfed by Chinese imports of
crude oil (see Figure 2), resulting in
China running a large trade deficit with
Angola. The Chinese Embassy has
made it a priority to increase Chinese
exports to Angola in order to balance
trade figures (Exame Angola, 2010). As
a result, the procurement policies
linked to China Exim Bank’s loans take
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on a very strategic purpose in that they
are a concrete measure by which the
Chinese government can attempt to
reduce the trade deficit with Angola by
encouraging Chinese exports to
Angola.
Figure 2: China-Angola bilateral trade (2000-2010), US$ millions
Source: UN Comtrade.
China Exim Bank was
established in 1994 in anticipation of
China´s accession to the WTO, in 2001,
and has become instrumental in the
Asian country´s “going global” policies.
It is the sole agency for the provision of
Chinese government bilateral
concessional loans. The Chinese
Ministry of Finance is the lone
shareholder of the China Exim Bank (Li
and Zeng, 2007:144), but reports
directly to the State Council (Suzuki,
2008:20).
Chinese government
concessional loans are a relatively new
mechanism, piloted under former
Premier Li Peng in the early 1990’si
.
China Exim Bank began disbursing
concessional loans in April 1995ii
and
the bank´s profile has grown steadily in
view of its importance in fostering
China´s export-led growth and “going
global” policies. It is currently one of the
largest institutions of its kind in the
world (Moss & Rose, 2006). The China
Exim Bank conceptualizes these so-
called Chinese government
concessional loans as “the medium and
long-term, low interest rate credit
extended by China Exim Bank under
the designation of the Chinese
Government with the nature of official
assistance”iii
.
According to World Bank
estimates, by 2006 China Exim had
disbursed over US$ 12.5 billion for
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large-scale infrastructural projects in
Sub-Saharan Africa alone, although
China Exim Bank’s official reported
figures were much less (Bossard,
2007:2). More than 80% of these loans
were, according to Broadman
(2007:275) to resource-rich African
countries, such as Angola, Nigeria,
Zimbabwe and Sudan. Furthermore,
China Exim Bank reportedly accounted
for 92% of Chinese finance
commitments for infrastructure in Africa
between 2001 and 2007 (Foster et al,
2008:40).
Data in this regard is not
consistent, even between Chinese
sources. According to the Chinese
State Council Information Office (2011),
as of the end of 2009, only US$ 11.3
billion in concessional loans were
disbursed globally. Confusingly
however, according to China Exim Bank
vice president Zhu Xinqiang, as of
2010, the Bank had provided
approximately US$ 23 billion since its
inception in loans to African countries
aloneiv
. What is clear, however, is that
Chinese (state-owned) policy banks –
and China Exim Bank in particular – are
increasingly active globally (see Figure
3).
Figure 3: China Exim Bank Lending (1996 – 2009) US$ millions
Source (input data): Brautigam (2009:317)
In January 2011, Financial
Times reported that according to their
research, between 2009 and 2010
China Exim Bank and China
Development Bank (one of China´s
largest state-owned banks) had
collectively lent more than the World
Bank and the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) combined in the same
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period: US$ 110 billion versus US$
100.3 billion (Dyer et al, 2011).
According to the Chinese Exim
Bank, the concessional loan is designed
to “fund manufacturing projects,
infrastructure construction projects and
social welfare projects in the borrowing
country, which can generate promising
economic returns or good social
benefits” and “finance the procurement
of Chinese mechanical, electronic
products, complete sets of equipment,
technology and service and other goods
by the borrowing country”v
. In other
words, loans present a component that
resembles the activities of a
development bank and/or a component
that is properly directed to foment trade
in goods and services in general.
China Exim Bank concessional
loans must be greater than US$ 3
millionvi
, but loans in excess of US$ 50
million must be approved by the State
Council (Freeman, 2008:8). The loan
must be collateralised by a guaranteed
revenue source, in the case of Angola,
crude oil – as we have seen, an
essential item imported by China.
According to the China Exim
Bank’s concessional loan requirements,
Chinese contractors must be awarded
the infrastructure contract financed by
the loan. Furthermore, in principle no
less than 50% of the contract’s
procurement in terms of equipment,
materials, technology or services must
come from Chinavii
. In the case of
Angola, it was negotiated that up to
30% of the contracts could be sub-
contracted to Angolan firms, where
possible (Corkin, 2011).
Thus, at the same time the loans
aim at stimulating Angola’s imports, the
conditions under which these loans are
made also contribute to the
enlargement of Chinese goods and
services markets. While China Exim
Bank may engage in “development
financing”, its engagement with
infrastructure projects in developing
countries is principally to create a
conduit through which these countries
can buy the products and services of
Chinese companies – which
encourages the further
internationalisation of the latter. It is
noteworthy that this characteristic is no
different from any other Export-Import
bank in the world, except perhaps for
the size and volume of the projects the
Chinese institution is engaged in
globally.
The mechanism whereby the
contracted construction companies are
paid directly by China Exim Bank
ensures that this institution has full
control of project repayments, in an
attempt to mitigate the perceived risk of
the loan money entering the Angolan
financial systemviii
. As a result, the risk
for Chinese construction companies of
undertaking project in Angola is
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substantially reduced. These
companies dislike bidding for projects
financed solely by African governments
as often there are payment issues
(Chen et al, 2008:7). Thus, due to high
risk aversion, without the institutional
and financing stability provided by
China Exim Bank, there might have
been resistance on the part of large
Chinese companies to enter such
marketsix
.
4. Brazil’s Export Credit Facilities:
PROEX and BNDES
	
  
Brazil was one of the first states
to officially recognize the government
of newly independent Angola in 1975.
Such proactive diplomacy stood
Brasilia in good stead, and relations
with Luanda, both political and
commercial, have been extremely
positive since. With the election of Luis
Inácio Lula da Silva to the Presidency
in 2002/3, Brazil´s policy towards
Africa, particularly its lusophone states,
received new impetus.
Lula made state visits to Angola
in November 2003 and in October
2007, accompanied by Brazilian
businessmen. Credit lines from Brazil´s
state-owned National Bank of
Economic and Social Development
(BNDES, in Portuguese) at US$ 200
million in 2003 subsequently leapt to
US$ 1.75 billion. In June 2010, Angolan
President José Eduardo dos Santos
made a rare state visit to Brazil, and
returned with a strategic partnership
agreement, as well as an additional
US$ 1 billion in credit lines (Kiala and
Ngwenya, 2011:8). As of November
2011, Brazil has a credit line of over
US$ 5 billion, according to the Brazilian
Minister of Development, Industry and
Foreign Trade (MDIC, in Portuguese)
(Angolahub, 2011). This total includes
a US$ 2 billion credit line officially
ratified in April 2012, to be extended by
BNDES to fund Brazilian exports of
goods and services. As in the Chinese
case, the loan is also collateralized by
oil. The Angolan government has
pledged to provide 20,000 barrels of oil
per day to guarantee the loan.
In 2008, Angola was Brazil´s
second largest African trading partner,
comprising 16% of Brazil´s total trade
with Africa, after Nigeria (32%) (Tralac,
2009). Bilateral trade volumes between
Brazil and Angola dropped significantly
following the global economic crisis of
2008-2009 and have yet to recover
(see Figure 4); after reaching a peak of
US$ 4.2 billion in 2008, bilateral trade
volumes fell to a mere US$ 1.5 billion in
2011.
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Figure 4: Brazil-Angola bilateral trade (2000 – 2011), US$ millions
Source: UN Comtrade
Brazil retains a trade surplus
with Angola, boosted largely by its
export promotion activities.
Furthermore, according to Angolan
Ambassador to Brazil Nelson Cosme,
Brazilian investment in Angola totaled
US$ 1.4 billion in 2011 (Macauhub,
2012).
Brazil´s PROEX is a set of
measures instigated since 1991 to
assist Brazilian companies involved in
export activities. PROEX undertakes
export financing, interest rates
equalizationx
and “PROEX Pré-
Embarque”, which provides financing
for resources required for goods and
services destined for exportxi
. PROEX
export financing facilitates buyers´
credit to foreign public entities and it is
under this program that the majority of
credit lines to the Angolan government
is given. The state-owned Banco do
Brasil acts as the financial intermediary
for the program which uses resources
from Brazil´s national treasury to
underwrite the financing. For exports to
developing countries, PROEX can
provide concessional credits up to a
ceiling of 25% of the total
disbursement. However, the Centro de
Estudos de Integração e
Desenvolvimento (CINDES) has
calculated that the level of
concessionality, based on the terms of
PROEX loans provided by the Ministry
of Industry, is actually 35%xii
.
Under normal circumstances,
PROEX financing is primarily directed
towards small and medium enterprises,
as only Brazilian companies with a
gross annual revenue of up to US$ 30
million are permitted to use PROEXxiii
.
However, under bilateral government
agreements – of which the credit line to
Angola is one –, large Brazilian
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companies may also access this
financingxiv
.
PROEX has been active in
Angola for more than a decade. In
2001, according to an official memo
from the Brazilian MDIC, Angola was
the only country outside South America
to which PROEX financed exports, and
accounted for 78.1% of the Program’s
disbursements. Angolan government
debt to PROEX at the time stood at
US$ 1.041 billion, with US$ 42 million
for additional projects in the pipeline
(MDIC, 2002). Angola has continued to
be an important destination for
PROEX-supported exports: half of
PROEX disbursements in 2008 were
directed to financing Brazilian exports
to Angola (Nunes, 2009). Furthermore,
from 2007 to 2009, Angola received
32% of PROEX disbursements (Galetti,
2010).
Brazil´s state-owned BNDES
also provides export incentives for
companies larger than those normally
catered for by PROEX. Under the
BNDES “Programa Integração com a
África”xv
, developed specifically to
promote Brazil´s economic relations
with African countries, one of 20
mandates was to increase Brazilian
exports to Angola – BNDES´ largest
African recipient – via support of the
African country´s national
reconstruction program. Disbursement
goals of US$ 290 million and US$ 527
million were set for 2008 and 2010
respectively. By November 2009,
disbursements had reached US$ 649
million under this program (PDP, 2010).
In addition, under BNDES´ Exim-
Automático Program, whereby the loan
is operated through a network of banks
accredited by BNDES, as of 2011,
Angola has been extended BNDES
credit lines of US$ 3.2 billion, of which
US$ 1.7 billion has already been
disbursed (Cabral, 2011:25).
5. Expansion of ECAs, despite
criticism
	
  
The expanded boundaries of
both Brazilian and Chinese ECAs’
operations have raised questions as
regards the accordance of these
activities with international financial
rules.
Brazil’s and China’s ECAs have
been more strongly criticized by the
World Bank and the IMF, particularly as
regards the nature of the bank´s
financing. The World Bank, for
example, has argued that given the
China Exim Bank requirement for a
guaranteed revenue stream, the loan
should be commercial, and not require
a sovereign guarantee.
Both the World Bank and IMF
intervened directly a proposed US$ 9
billion resources-for-infrastructure deal
by a consortium of Chinese companies
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led by China Exim Bank in the
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)
in September 2007xvi
. As preferred
creditors of DRC, the IMF and the
World Bank have managed to reduce
the size of the loan and remove the
sovereign guarantee requirement
(Reuters, 2009).
China Exim Bank´s ambiguous
role means that it treads a fine line
between structuring more
commercially-oriented deals and
retaining the privileges contingent on
remaining a politically-focussed policy
bank that extends soft loans. Whereas
as WTO requirements stipulate that
China Exim Bank´s operations must be
financially viable in the long run and
charge market-related interest rates,
the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs
(and the World Bank) claim that rates
should be more concessional if China
Exim bank is to participate in the
disbursement of Chinese foreign aid
programmes to developing countriesxvii
.
Despite criticisms, Brazil’s and
China’s ECAs have not only continued
but expanded. This scenario can also
raise questions regarding an actual or
potential competition for markets in
Angola between Brazilian and Chinese
companies. However, the different
profile of the economic presence of
both countries in Angola makes it
challenging to develop such an
analysis with the data here gathered.
Undoubtedly, China Exim
Bank’s financing has facilitated
Chinese construction companies’ entry
into Angola, given the level of tied
procurementxviii
. However, despite the
large volumes of loan financing via
China Exim Bank, and the resulting
volume of contracts obtained by
Chinese contractors in Angola,
reported Chinese FDI to this African
country (i.e. those volumes external to
the credit line) is remarkably low (see
Figure 5).
Figure 5: Chinese FDI to Angola (2003-2008), US$ millions
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Source: 2010 [2010b Chinese Ministry of Commerce Statistical Bulletin
on Chinese Outward Investment 2009]
This tends to suggest that
Chinese companies are as yet unwilling
to venture into the Angolan market of
their own accord outside of the Chinese
credit line. Indeed, Chinese state
companies, due to more bureaucratic
management, are in fact more risk
averse than private companies and will
only move into overseas markets once
the state has given them incentives to
do so (Zhou, 2010).
Generally large state-owned
enterprises (SOEs) hold an oligarchic
position in the domestic Chinese
economy. Consequently, cut throat
domestic competition – one of the
principal reasons that private Chinese
companies move overseas (Gu,
2009:572) – does not apply to them. It
was only after the introduction of the
China Exim Bank credit facility that
Chinese SOEs began entering the
Angolan market. This mechanism is
deemed to mitigate the risk of an
unknown market as the bidding occurs
in China.
China Exim Bank can also
arrange for export credit and other
financing required by the Chinese
SOEs at preferential rates. Most
importantly, the Chinese companies
are paid directly by China Exim Bank
rather than the Angolan government.
Although this did not solve payment
problems completely in the case of
Angola, it still dramatically reduces the
risk of non-payment.
If one contrasts this with the fact
that according to the Chinese Ministry
of Commerce (2010a), accumulated
contracts signed by Chinese
companies in Angola as of 2010
totalled more than US$ 22 billion, it
seems that China Exim Bank´s credit
line has contributed to offset the trade
deficit that China has accumulated
through its trade with Angola (see
Figure 2).
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The Brazilian picture is
somewhat different. While Brazil´s
trade with Angola (see figure 3) does
not rank Angola as one of Brazil´s
primary African trading partners,
Angola does rank as Brazil´s foremost
African destination for FDI (see Figure
6).
Figure 6: Brazilian FDI to Angola (2001 – 2009), US$ millions
Source: World Bank (2011) ´Bridging the Atlantic: Brazil and Sub-Saharan Africa – partnering
for South-South Growth´. December: pp. 82.
The significant increase in
investment from 2007, after a lull
between 2002 and 2006 is very
conceivably due to renewed credit lines
from BNDES and PROEX to Angola. In
contrast to the activities of Chinese
companies, these credit lines appear to
have stimulated investment from
Brazilian companies, rather than a
merely increase in contract-based
exports.
Momentum has continued under
Dilma Rousseff´s administration since
2010. Rousseff made a state visit to
Angola in October 2011. At a
conference on Brazil and Africa
relations sponsored by BNDES in May
2012, Brazil's largest investment bank
Banco BTG Pactual announced a $1
billion Africa investment fund from
which Angola (AFP, 2012) – currently
the largest recipient of Brazilian FDI –
will doubtless benefit.
This brief analysis illustrates the
differing results in Angola of Brazil and
China´s ECA programs. Despite such
contrasting profiles, the fact remains
that Chinese and Brazilian construction
companies are competing more closely
for market share in Angola and beyond.
Publicly, this has been denied by
diplomatic representation from both
countries, and the official view being
that Angola, and any other African
market for that matter, is big enough for
both players and more besidesxix
.
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In order to further investigate
possible tensions involving these
emerging countries, one would have to
begin by examining the privileged
sectors in the concession of loans.
However, China Exim Bank´s is
notorious for its lack of transparency
about its lending policies, with its
annual reports citing nothing more than
aggregate credit disbursements (Huo
and Yang, 2011:409). Similarly,
consolidated quantitative date for
Brazil´s export promotion strategies are
not publicly available (Cabral, 2011:24).
Meanwhile, the hypothesis remains
strong, as the emphasis on
infrastructure projects is likely to frame
the competition among goods and
services directly related to the
construction sector.
6. Final remarks
China and Brazil have both
employed ECAs as instruments to
increase their economic interaction with
Angola, as this form of economic
engagement mitigates the perceived
risk inherent in such operations.
While both China Exim Bank
and BNDES/PROEX credit lines have
been employed to create market space
for goods and services of their
respective countries, the results have
not been the same. China Exim Bank´s
credit lines, while having a moderate
effect on the increase of Angola´s
Chinese imports, have not encouraged
further Chinese FDI, as Chinese
companies are not willing to operate
outside of the relative safety of the
state-back credit line. Brazilian
companies, on the other hand, have
increased their investment significantly
since 2007.
Although this may be attributed
to several factors, Brazil´s increased
diplomacy towards Africa and the
implementation of export promotion
strategies in countries such as Angola
can only have facilitated this
phenomenon. Brazil´s cultural affinity
with Angola is also likely to have eased
Brazilian investors´ comfort in Angola´s
market environment.
Despite the contrasting profiles
of ECAs forwarded by Brazil and
China, it is likely that the infrastructure
prominence in the activities financed by
these mechanisms leads to an
increasing competition among
construction companies for market
share in Angola and beyond.
The increasing role of India
Exim Bank in Angola deserves further
attention. Although still a modest player
in Angola, until June 2009, India Exim
Bank had lent US$ 50 million to the
acquisition of construction equipments
(see Annex 1).
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Similarly, South African-based
Development bank of Southern Africa
(DBSA) also signed a US$ 200 million
with Angola´s Banco de Investimentos
Africanos (BAI) in December 2010
(Time LIVE, 2010). Given South African
historical economic relevance in sub-
Saharan Africa, it seems plausible to
argue that the increasing presence of
Brazil and China in Angola may have
contributed – or even determined,
considering the massive resources
involved in Brazilian and Chinese
ECAs’ operations – to the displacement
of South African companies and banks
that were previously influent in Angola
(which is here suggested as an issue
for further research).
Although India’s and South
Africa’s interests were not subjected to
detailed analysis in this Policy Brief, the
hypothesis outlined above points to an
overlapping scenario involving
emerging countries’ various financial
and trade activities in Africa. As each
BRICS country individually places more
emphasis on its international relations
with Africa, national priorities may
create areas of tension within the
BRICS grouping as a whole.
References
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Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
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17	
  
	
  
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Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola
18	
  
	
  
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BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF
Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola
19	
  
	
  
Annex 1
	
  
Annex 1: The terms of Angola´s loans and credit lines (June 2009)
DATE LENDER VALUE PURPOSE TERMS AND CONDITIONS
Interest Rate
Commission
s and Fees
Guarantee
Nov
2003
Deutsche
Bank - Spain
US$ 500
million
Public
investment
projects
Libor+ 1~5%
1% (flat)
arrangement
fee
1% (flat)
management
fee
Angolan
Finance
Ministry
Mar
2004
China Exim
Bank
US$ 2 billion
(1
st
tranche)
Public
investment
projects
3-month Libor
+1.5%
0.3%
management
fee
0.3%
commitment
fee
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
Aug
2004
India Exim
Bank
US$ 40
million
5 contracts
for the supply
of equipment
for
Moçamedes
Railway
1.75%
Angolan
Ministry of
Finance
Nov
2004
Portugal
Cosec
EUR 300
million
Public
investment
projects
Euribor+
0.4~0.6%
0.1%
management
fee
Angolan
Ministry of
Finance
2005
China
International
Fund
US$ 9.8
billion
Projects
managed by
government
3-month Libor
+1.5%
0.3%
management
fee
0.3%
commitment
fee
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
Mar
2005
Santander
Bank - Spain
EUR 100
million
Public
investment
projects
6-month Libor
+1~1.5%
0.5% (flat)
management
fee
0.25% (flat)
commitment
fee
Variable
insurance fee
Angolan
Finance
Ministry
Sept
2005
Fortis Bank -
Spain
EUR 250
million
Public
investment
projects
6-month Libor
+0.75~1%
2% (flat)
management
fee
0.5% (flat)
commitment
fee
Variable
insurance fee
Angolan
Ministry of
Finance
Dec
2005
Korea Exim
Bank
US$ 31.4
million
Rehabilitation
of cotton
project in
Sumbe
0.6%
0.1% (above
each
disbursement
)
management
fee
Angolan
Ministry of
Finance
2006 Proex
US$ 580
million
Public
investment
projects
Libor
0.5 % (flat)
management
fee
0.5% (flat)
arrangement
fee
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
2006
Brazilian
Development
Bank
US$ 750
million
Public
investment
projects
Libor +1%
1% (flat)
management
fee
0.5% (flat)
arrangement
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF
Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola
20	
  
	
  
fee
Jul
2006
India Exim
Bank
US$ 10
million
Acquisition
contract of
599 tractors
6-month Libor
+2.5%
0.5% (per
year)
management
commission
0.5% (flat)
arrangement
commission
Ministry of
Finance
Jul
2007
China Exim
Bank
US$ 500
million
(supplement
to 1
st
tranche)
Public
investment
projects
3-month Libor
+1.5%
0.3%
management
fee
1%
arrangement
fee (N/A)
0.3%
commitment
fee
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
Sep
2007
China Exim
Bank
US$ 2 billion
(2
nd
tranche)
Public
investment
projects
3-month Libor
+1.5%
0.3%
management
fee
1%
arrangement
fee (N/A)
0.3%
commitment
fee
Contract of
Petroleum
Supply
Apr
2008
Deutsche
Bank - Spain
US$ 225
million
Public
investment
projects
Libor+ 1~5%
1% (flat)
arrangement
fee
1% (flat)
management
fee
Angolan
Finance
Ministry
Source: Economic Research Department, Japanese Embassy in Angola; Croese (2011:28)
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
i
Interview, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
Beijing, 29 October 2009.
ii
National Development and Reform
Commission website:
http://203.207.194.3:82/gate/big5/wzs.ndrc.gov.
cn/gwdk/wgzfdkgbbxml/zdyh/t20081028_24310
5.htm [accessed 23 February 2010]
iiiiii
China Exim Bank website:
http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/businessarticle/a
ctivities/loan/200905/9398_1.html [accessed 29
September 2010]
iv
See :
http://www.focac.org/eng/zxxx/t770971.htm [21
April 2011]
v
China Exim bank Website:
http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/businessarticle/a
ctivities/loan/200905/9398_1.html [accessed 28
September 2010]
vi
China Exim Bank website, refer to:
http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/business/govern
ment.jsp [accessed 7 September 2007]
vii
China Exim Bank website, refer to:
http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/business/govern
ment.jsp [accessed 7 September 2007]
viii
This is particularly relevant in the context of
Angola, as following the economic crisis of
2008-2009, the government experienced severe
cash flow problems due to the dramatic drop in
the oil price. Construction companies were not
paid for months for projects already completed,
with severe implications.
ix
Interview, Beijing, 16 October 2009
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
x
The ´equalization´ comprises the difference
between the charges agreed to by the borrower
and the cost of raising funds. They are limited to
maximum reference rates as set the Brazilian
Central Bank Banco Central do Brasil. Interest
equalization, funded by a combination of
government bonds, treasury resources and
commercial banks´ financing, ranges from a 1%
support for credits up to 6 months to as much as
2.5% differential for periods of 9 years.
xi
For a more complete explanation of PROEX
activities, see
http://www.fazenda.gov.br/sain/temas_internaci
onais/proex.asp [14 May 2012]
xii
Conveniently, this is the minimum level of
concessionality permitted by the OECD
arrangement, discussed below (OECD,2008).
xiii
See
http://www.fazenda.gov.br/sain/temas_internaci
onais/proex.asp [14 May 2012]
xiv
See ´Revisão da Resolução CAMEX nº 33,
(16 December 2002).
xv
This programme forms part of the Política de
Desenvolvimento Produtívo (PDP), launched in
2008 and tasked with national economic
expansion in spite of the global financial crisis
(World Bank,2011:79).
xvi
The deal is widely believed to have been
modelled on the co-operation agreement signed
with Angola. The IMF eventually succeeded in
persuading China Exim Bank to retract its
requirement of a sovereign guarantee, but the
deal was reduced to US$ 6 billion for
rehabilitating the mining industry and the plans
BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF
Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms:
a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola
21	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
for US$ 3 billion in ‘social infrastructure projects’
were scrapped.
xvii
Interview, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
Beijing, 29 October 2009
xviii
Interview, marketing manager, Chinese
private construction firm, Luanda, 2 August
2010.
xix
Interviews, Luanda, 30 April 2010, 10 May
2010.

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Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms_a case study of China and Brazil's operations in Angola

  • 1. Policy Brief Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil's and China's operations in Angola June, 2012 Research Group of Development, Trade, Finance and Investiment BRICS Policy Center / Centro de Estudos e Pesquisa BRICS
  • 2. Policy Brief Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil's and China's operations in Angola June, 2012 Research Group of Development, Trade, Finance and Investiment BRICS Policy Center / Centro de Estudos e Pesquisa BRICS
  • 3. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 1     Lucy Corkin, Manuela Trindade Viana and Leane C. Naidin Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 1. Abstract   In the light of the increasing flows of South-South trade, this paper sheds light to some of the mechanisms fostered by Brazil and China, emerging countries which are directly involved in increasing the volume and diversity of trade with African countries. This paper compares the operations of China Exim Bank and Brazil´s Export Financing Program (PROEX, in Portuguese) in Angola. It also examines the implications of these credit lines vis-à- vis trade and financial international rules. Finally, with a view to understanding Brazil’s and China´s approaches to economic relations with Angola, this paper points to some areas of actual or potential competition and cooperation involving Brazil and China. 2. Introduction The rise of emerging powers, notably the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries has led to a corresponding swell in South-South trade, particularly as concerns Africa. However, the growing significance of Africa in terms of trade flows has recurrently obscured the tools aimed at accelerating and deepening these flows. This paper sheds light to some of these mechanisms fostered by two emerging countries – Brazil and China – directly involved and interested in expanding the volume and increasing the diversity of trade with African countries. Of particular interest here are the export credit agencies (ECA), which seek to stimulate exports by providing national companies with certain incentives, often in the form of interest- subsidized loans, in order to “level the playing field” between competition with other countries´ products in domestic or
  • 4. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 2     third-party markets. Especially as regards economies perceived as “high- risk” – such as those of some African countries –, mechanisms such as Export-Import (Exim) Banks and national financing institutions play a key role in ensuring adequate credit flow to the export sector. Whereas ECA were initially a mechanism used by developed countries to finance market entry into developing countries, the rise of emerging powers such as Brazil and China have seen these institutions being used increasingly to facilitate trade with developed countries as well as South-South commerce into potentially lucrative markets, although keeping their “high-risk” character. In this regard, Africa´s significant population, estimated to be close to 1 billion and growing middle class have made the continent a key target for export promotion and new market capture (Freemantle, 2011; de Onis, 2000). Both China and Brazil have extensive export promotion mechanisms, albeit in different orders of magnitude, in order to support their emerging “national champions” of industry. As a case in point, Angola has been a recipient of considerable volumes of credit lines from both countries in question (see Figure 1). Figure 1: Cumulative state credit pledged to Angola (2012) Creditor Country Loan Value (US$ millions) China 14,400 Brazil 5,000 Germany 2,200 Portugal 1,900 Canada 1,16 Spain 600 South Africa 255 US 120 UK 70 India 50 Source: US State Department - http://www.state.gov/e/eeb/ifd/2008/100819.htm. China and Brazil rank as first and second respectively in terms of credit lines extended to the Angolan government. Furthermore, the African country is the largest recipient of credit lines in the continent from both China and Brazil (Cabral, 2011; Corkin, 2011). Being China´s largest African trading partner and Brazil´s largest African recipient of foreign direct investment (CAITEC, 2010; World Bank, 2011:82), Angola is thus of significant relevance for both countries´ approach to economic relations with Africa and merits examination as a case study. From a broader perspective, the increasing use of credit lines has
  • 5. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 3     variously come under attack from several quarters, as well as been emulated by other countries seeking to compete with the influence of these emerging powers. In the light of the context outlined above, this article has two goals. Firstly, it seeks to compare the operations of China Exim Bank and Brazil´s Export Financing Program (PROEX, in Portuguese) in Angola with a view to understanding these countries´ approaches to economic relations with this African country. It also examines the implications of these credit lines vis-à-vis trade and financial international rules. Finally, with a view to understanding Brazil’s and China´s approaches to economic relations with Angola, this paper points to some areas of actual or potential competition and cooperation involving Brazil and China. 3. China “going global”: the role of China Exim Bank Beijing´s relations with Luanda remained fairly subdued until the end of Angola’s civil war in 2002 provided an opportunity for closer interaction between China and Angola. Significantly, in 2004, during the state visit of Vice Premier Zeng Peiyan to Angola, it was announced that China Exim Bank would lend US$ 2 billion to the Angolan government to finance the country’s reconstruction efforts. Credit lines from China Exim Bank have since been extended to US$ 10.5 billion. China Exim Bank remains the most prominent Chinese financial institution in Angola, although other Chinese banks have also shown interest in such mechanisms (Corkin, 2011). Angola is currently China’s largest African trading partner, primarily due to its importance as a supplier of petroleum to the Asian country. Bilateral trade amounts to some US$ 25 billion, thus accounting for one quarter of China´s total trade with Africa (CAITEC, 2010). According to the Angolan Ministry of Petroleum’s (2010:29) latest available statistics, 39% of Angola’s crude exports went to China in 2009, accounting for 15.7% of China’s total oil imports (EIA, 2010). This renders Angola a certain strategic significance for China. Angola is reportedly the fifth largest African market for Chinese exports (CAITEC, 2010: 10), but these are dwarfed by Chinese imports of crude oil (see Figure 2), resulting in China running a large trade deficit with Angola. The Chinese Embassy has made it a priority to increase Chinese exports to Angola in order to balance trade figures (Exame Angola, 2010). As a result, the procurement policies linked to China Exim Bank’s loans take
  • 6. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 4     on a very strategic purpose in that they are a concrete measure by which the Chinese government can attempt to reduce the trade deficit with Angola by encouraging Chinese exports to Angola. Figure 2: China-Angola bilateral trade (2000-2010), US$ millions Source: UN Comtrade. China Exim Bank was established in 1994 in anticipation of China´s accession to the WTO, in 2001, and has become instrumental in the Asian country´s “going global” policies. It is the sole agency for the provision of Chinese government bilateral concessional loans. The Chinese Ministry of Finance is the lone shareholder of the China Exim Bank (Li and Zeng, 2007:144), but reports directly to the State Council (Suzuki, 2008:20). Chinese government concessional loans are a relatively new mechanism, piloted under former Premier Li Peng in the early 1990’si . China Exim Bank began disbursing concessional loans in April 1995ii and the bank´s profile has grown steadily in view of its importance in fostering China´s export-led growth and “going global” policies. It is currently one of the largest institutions of its kind in the world (Moss & Rose, 2006). The China Exim Bank conceptualizes these so- called Chinese government concessional loans as “the medium and long-term, low interest rate credit extended by China Exim Bank under the designation of the Chinese Government with the nature of official assistance”iii . According to World Bank estimates, by 2006 China Exim had disbursed over US$ 12.5 billion for
  • 7. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 5     large-scale infrastructural projects in Sub-Saharan Africa alone, although China Exim Bank’s official reported figures were much less (Bossard, 2007:2). More than 80% of these loans were, according to Broadman (2007:275) to resource-rich African countries, such as Angola, Nigeria, Zimbabwe and Sudan. Furthermore, China Exim Bank reportedly accounted for 92% of Chinese finance commitments for infrastructure in Africa between 2001 and 2007 (Foster et al, 2008:40). Data in this regard is not consistent, even between Chinese sources. According to the Chinese State Council Information Office (2011), as of the end of 2009, only US$ 11.3 billion in concessional loans were disbursed globally. Confusingly however, according to China Exim Bank vice president Zhu Xinqiang, as of 2010, the Bank had provided approximately US$ 23 billion since its inception in loans to African countries aloneiv . What is clear, however, is that Chinese (state-owned) policy banks – and China Exim Bank in particular – are increasingly active globally (see Figure 3). Figure 3: China Exim Bank Lending (1996 – 2009) US$ millions Source (input data): Brautigam (2009:317) In January 2011, Financial Times reported that according to their research, between 2009 and 2010 China Exim Bank and China Development Bank (one of China´s largest state-owned banks) had collectively lent more than the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) combined in the same
  • 8. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 6     period: US$ 110 billion versus US$ 100.3 billion (Dyer et al, 2011). According to the Chinese Exim Bank, the concessional loan is designed to “fund manufacturing projects, infrastructure construction projects and social welfare projects in the borrowing country, which can generate promising economic returns or good social benefits” and “finance the procurement of Chinese mechanical, electronic products, complete sets of equipment, technology and service and other goods by the borrowing country”v . In other words, loans present a component that resembles the activities of a development bank and/or a component that is properly directed to foment trade in goods and services in general. China Exim Bank concessional loans must be greater than US$ 3 millionvi , but loans in excess of US$ 50 million must be approved by the State Council (Freeman, 2008:8). The loan must be collateralised by a guaranteed revenue source, in the case of Angola, crude oil – as we have seen, an essential item imported by China. According to the China Exim Bank’s concessional loan requirements, Chinese contractors must be awarded the infrastructure contract financed by the loan. Furthermore, in principle no less than 50% of the contract’s procurement in terms of equipment, materials, technology or services must come from Chinavii . In the case of Angola, it was negotiated that up to 30% of the contracts could be sub- contracted to Angolan firms, where possible (Corkin, 2011). Thus, at the same time the loans aim at stimulating Angola’s imports, the conditions under which these loans are made also contribute to the enlargement of Chinese goods and services markets. While China Exim Bank may engage in “development financing”, its engagement with infrastructure projects in developing countries is principally to create a conduit through which these countries can buy the products and services of Chinese companies – which encourages the further internationalisation of the latter. It is noteworthy that this characteristic is no different from any other Export-Import bank in the world, except perhaps for the size and volume of the projects the Chinese institution is engaged in globally. The mechanism whereby the contracted construction companies are paid directly by China Exim Bank ensures that this institution has full control of project repayments, in an attempt to mitigate the perceived risk of the loan money entering the Angolan financial systemviii . As a result, the risk for Chinese construction companies of undertaking project in Angola is
  • 9. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 7     substantially reduced. These companies dislike bidding for projects financed solely by African governments as often there are payment issues (Chen et al, 2008:7). Thus, due to high risk aversion, without the institutional and financing stability provided by China Exim Bank, there might have been resistance on the part of large Chinese companies to enter such marketsix . 4. Brazil’s Export Credit Facilities: PROEX and BNDES   Brazil was one of the first states to officially recognize the government of newly independent Angola in 1975. Such proactive diplomacy stood Brasilia in good stead, and relations with Luanda, both political and commercial, have been extremely positive since. With the election of Luis Inácio Lula da Silva to the Presidency in 2002/3, Brazil´s policy towards Africa, particularly its lusophone states, received new impetus. Lula made state visits to Angola in November 2003 and in October 2007, accompanied by Brazilian businessmen. Credit lines from Brazil´s state-owned National Bank of Economic and Social Development (BNDES, in Portuguese) at US$ 200 million in 2003 subsequently leapt to US$ 1.75 billion. In June 2010, Angolan President José Eduardo dos Santos made a rare state visit to Brazil, and returned with a strategic partnership agreement, as well as an additional US$ 1 billion in credit lines (Kiala and Ngwenya, 2011:8). As of November 2011, Brazil has a credit line of over US$ 5 billion, according to the Brazilian Minister of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade (MDIC, in Portuguese) (Angolahub, 2011). This total includes a US$ 2 billion credit line officially ratified in April 2012, to be extended by BNDES to fund Brazilian exports of goods and services. As in the Chinese case, the loan is also collateralized by oil. The Angolan government has pledged to provide 20,000 barrels of oil per day to guarantee the loan. In 2008, Angola was Brazil´s second largest African trading partner, comprising 16% of Brazil´s total trade with Africa, after Nigeria (32%) (Tralac, 2009). Bilateral trade volumes between Brazil and Angola dropped significantly following the global economic crisis of 2008-2009 and have yet to recover (see Figure 4); after reaching a peak of US$ 4.2 billion in 2008, bilateral trade volumes fell to a mere US$ 1.5 billion in 2011.
  • 10. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 8     Figure 4: Brazil-Angola bilateral trade (2000 – 2011), US$ millions Source: UN Comtrade Brazil retains a trade surplus with Angola, boosted largely by its export promotion activities. Furthermore, according to Angolan Ambassador to Brazil Nelson Cosme, Brazilian investment in Angola totaled US$ 1.4 billion in 2011 (Macauhub, 2012). Brazil´s PROEX is a set of measures instigated since 1991 to assist Brazilian companies involved in export activities. PROEX undertakes export financing, interest rates equalizationx and “PROEX Pré- Embarque”, which provides financing for resources required for goods and services destined for exportxi . PROEX export financing facilitates buyers´ credit to foreign public entities and it is under this program that the majority of credit lines to the Angolan government is given. The state-owned Banco do Brasil acts as the financial intermediary for the program which uses resources from Brazil´s national treasury to underwrite the financing. For exports to developing countries, PROEX can provide concessional credits up to a ceiling of 25% of the total disbursement. However, the Centro de Estudos de Integração e Desenvolvimento (CINDES) has calculated that the level of concessionality, based on the terms of PROEX loans provided by the Ministry of Industry, is actually 35%xii . Under normal circumstances, PROEX financing is primarily directed towards small and medium enterprises, as only Brazilian companies with a gross annual revenue of up to US$ 30 million are permitted to use PROEXxiii . However, under bilateral government agreements – of which the credit line to Angola is one –, large Brazilian
  • 11. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 9     companies may also access this financingxiv . PROEX has been active in Angola for more than a decade. In 2001, according to an official memo from the Brazilian MDIC, Angola was the only country outside South America to which PROEX financed exports, and accounted for 78.1% of the Program’s disbursements. Angolan government debt to PROEX at the time stood at US$ 1.041 billion, with US$ 42 million for additional projects in the pipeline (MDIC, 2002). Angola has continued to be an important destination for PROEX-supported exports: half of PROEX disbursements in 2008 were directed to financing Brazilian exports to Angola (Nunes, 2009). Furthermore, from 2007 to 2009, Angola received 32% of PROEX disbursements (Galetti, 2010). Brazil´s state-owned BNDES also provides export incentives for companies larger than those normally catered for by PROEX. Under the BNDES “Programa Integração com a África”xv , developed specifically to promote Brazil´s economic relations with African countries, one of 20 mandates was to increase Brazilian exports to Angola – BNDES´ largest African recipient – via support of the African country´s national reconstruction program. Disbursement goals of US$ 290 million and US$ 527 million were set for 2008 and 2010 respectively. By November 2009, disbursements had reached US$ 649 million under this program (PDP, 2010). In addition, under BNDES´ Exim- Automático Program, whereby the loan is operated through a network of banks accredited by BNDES, as of 2011, Angola has been extended BNDES credit lines of US$ 3.2 billion, of which US$ 1.7 billion has already been disbursed (Cabral, 2011:25). 5. Expansion of ECAs, despite criticism   The expanded boundaries of both Brazilian and Chinese ECAs’ operations have raised questions as regards the accordance of these activities with international financial rules. Brazil’s and China’s ECAs have been more strongly criticized by the World Bank and the IMF, particularly as regards the nature of the bank´s financing. The World Bank, for example, has argued that given the China Exim Bank requirement for a guaranteed revenue stream, the loan should be commercial, and not require a sovereign guarantee. Both the World Bank and IMF intervened directly a proposed US$ 9 billion resources-for-infrastructure deal by a consortium of Chinese companies
  • 12. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 10     led by China Exim Bank in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in September 2007xvi . As preferred creditors of DRC, the IMF and the World Bank have managed to reduce the size of the loan and remove the sovereign guarantee requirement (Reuters, 2009). China Exim Bank´s ambiguous role means that it treads a fine line between structuring more commercially-oriented deals and retaining the privileges contingent on remaining a politically-focussed policy bank that extends soft loans. Whereas as WTO requirements stipulate that China Exim Bank´s operations must be financially viable in the long run and charge market-related interest rates, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs (and the World Bank) claim that rates should be more concessional if China Exim bank is to participate in the disbursement of Chinese foreign aid programmes to developing countriesxvii . Despite criticisms, Brazil’s and China’s ECAs have not only continued but expanded. This scenario can also raise questions regarding an actual or potential competition for markets in Angola between Brazilian and Chinese companies. However, the different profile of the economic presence of both countries in Angola makes it challenging to develop such an analysis with the data here gathered. Undoubtedly, China Exim Bank’s financing has facilitated Chinese construction companies’ entry into Angola, given the level of tied procurementxviii . However, despite the large volumes of loan financing via China Exim Bank, and the resulting volume of contracts obtained by Chinese contractors in Angola, reported Chinese FDI to this African country (i.e. those volumes external to the credit line) is remarkably low (see Figure 5). Figure 5: Chinese FDI to Angola (2003-2008), US$ millions
  • 13. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 11     Source: 2010 [2010b Chinese Ministry of Commerce Statistical Bulletin on Chinese Outward Investment 2009] This tends to suggest that Chinese companies are as yet unwilling to venture into the Angolan market of their own accord outside of the Chinese credit line. Indeed, Chinese state companies, due to more bureaucratic management, are in fact more risk averse than private companies and will only move into overseas markets once the state has given them incentives to do so (Zhou, 2010). Generally large state-owned enterprises (SOEs) hold an oligarchic position in the domestic Chinese economy. Consequently, cut throat domestic competition – one of the principal reasons that private Chinese companies move overseas (Gu, 2009:572) – does not apply to them. It was only after the introduction of the China Exim Bank credit facility that Chinese SOEs began entering the Angolan market. This mechanism is deemed to mitigate the risk of an unknown market as the bidding occurs in China. China Exim Bank can also arrange for export credit and other financing required by the Chinese SOEs at preferential rates. Most importantly, the Chinese companies are paid directly by China Exim Bank rather than the Angolan government. Although this did not solve payment problems completely in the case of Angola, it still dramatically reduces the risk of non-payment. If one contrasts this with the fact that according to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce (2010a), accumulated contracts signed by Chinese companies in Angola as of 2010 totalled more than US$ 22 billion, it seems that China Exim Bank´s credit line has contributed to offset the trade deficit that China has accumulated through its trade with Angola (see Figure 2).
  • 14. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 13     The Brazilian picture is somewhat different. While Brazil´s trade with Angola (see figure 3) does not rank Angola as one of Brazil´s primary African trading partners, Angola does rank as Brazil´s foremost African destination for FDI (see Figure 6). Figure 6: Brazilian FDI to Angola (2001 – 2009), US$ millions Source: World Bank (2011) ´Bridging the Atlantic: Brazil and Sub-Saharan Africa – partnering for South-South Growth´. December: pp. 82. The significant increase in investment from 2007, after a lull between 2002 and 2006 is very conceivably due to renewed credit lines from BNDES and PROEX to Angola. In contrast to the activities of Chinese companies, these credit lines appear to have stimulated investment from Brazilian companies, rather than a merely increase in contract-based exports. Momentum has continued under Dilma Rousseff´s administration since 2010. Rousseff made a state visit to Angola in October 2011. At a conference on Brazil and Africa relations sponsored by BNDES in May 2012, Brazil's largest investment bank Banco BTG Pactual announced a $1 billion Africa investment fund from which Angola (AFP, 2012) – currently the largest recipient of Brazilian FDI – will doubtless benefit. This brief analysis illustrates the differing results in Angola of Brazil and China´s ECA programs. Despite such contrasting profiles, the fact remains that Chinese and Brazilian construction companies are competing more closely for market share in Angola and beyond. Publicly, this has been denied by diplomatic representation from both countries, and the official view being that Angola, and any other African market for that matter, is big enough for both players and more besidesxix .
  • 15. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 14     In order to further investigate possible tensions involving these emerging countries, one would have to begin by examining the privileged sectors in the concession of loans. However, China Exim Bank´s is notorious for its lack of transparency about its lending policies, with its annual reports citing nothing more than aggregate credit disbursements (Huo and Yang, 2011:409). Similarly, consolidated quantitative date for Brazil´s export promotion strategies are not publicly available (Cabral, 2011:24). Meanwhile, the hypothesis remains strong, as the emphasis on infrastructure projects is likely to frame the competition among goods and services directly related to the construction sector. 6. Final remarks China and Brazil have both employed ECAs as instruments to increase their economic interaction with Angola, as this form of economic engagement mitigates the perceived risk inherent in such operations. While both China Exim Bank and BNDES/PROEX credit lines have been employed to create market space for goods and services of their respective countries, the results have not been the same. China Exim Bank´s credit lines, while having a moderate effect on the increase of Angola´s Chinese imports, have not encouraged further Chinese FDI, as Chinese companies are not willing to operate outside of the relative safety of the state-back credit line. Brazilian companies, on the other hand, have increased their investment significantly since 2007. Although this may be attributed to several factors, Brazil´s increased diplomacy towards Africa and the implementation of export promotion strategies in countries such as Angola can only have facilitated this phenomenon. Brazil´s cultural affinity with Angola is also likely to have eased Brazilian investors´ comfort in Angola´s market environment. Despite the contrasting profiles of ECAs forwarded by Brazil and China, it is likely that the infrastructure prominence in the activities financed by these mechanisms leads to an increasing competition among construction companies for market share in Angola and beyond. The increasing role of India Exim Bank in Angola deserves further attention. Although still a modest player in Angola, until June 2009, India Exim Bank had lent US$ 50 million to the acquisition of construction equipments (see Annex 1).
  • 16. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 15     Similarly, South African-based Development bank of Southern Africa (DBSA) also signed a US$ 200 million with Angola´s Banco de Investimentos Africanos (BAI) in December 2010 (Time LIVE, 2010). Given South African historical economic relevance in sub- Saharan Africa, it seems plausible to argue that the increasing presence of Brazil and China in Angola may have contributed – or even determined, considering the massive resources involved in Brazilian and Chinese ECAs’ operations – to the displacement of South African companies and banks that were previously influent in Angola (which is here suggested as an issue for further research). Although India’s and South Africa’s interests were not subjected to detailed analysis in this Policy Brief, the hypothesis outlined above points to an overlapping scenario involving emerging countries’ various financial and trade activities in Africa. As each BRICS country individually places more emphasis on its international relations with Africa, national priorities may create areas of tension within the BRICS grouping as a whole. References AFP (2009) ‘Ecuador will not forget Chinas’ “mistreatment”: president’, 20 March: http://www.france24.com/en/20100320- ecuador-will-not-forget-chinas- mistreatment-president# [14 June 2011] AFP (2012) ´Brazil pledges investment fund for Africa´, 4 May: http://www.france24.com/en/20120504- brazil-pledges-investment-fund-africa [15 May 2012] Alves, Ana Cristina (2010) ‘The Oil factor in Sino-Angolan relations at the start of the 21st century’, South African Institute for International Affairs, Occasional Paper No. 55, February Angolahub (2011) ´ Brazil has credit line for Angola calculated at over US$5 billion´, 23 November: http://www.consuladogeral- angola.hk/index.php?option=com_cont ent&view=article&id=143%3Abrasil- tem-uma-linha-de-credito-para-angola- avaliada-em-mais-de-5-mil-milhoes-de- dolares&catid=35%3Anews&Itemid=69 &lang=en [14 may 2012] Angolan Ministry of Petroleum (2010). ‘Relatório De Actividades Do Sector Petrolífero, Referente Ao Ano De 2009’, July: http://www.minpet.gov.ao/Publicacoes D.aspx?Codigo=610 [18 April 2010] Angop (2011c) ‘Angola, China bound by Usd 9.0 billion accords’, 9 December: http://www.portalangop.co.ao/motix/en_ us/noticias/economia/2011/11/49/Angol a-China-bound-Usd-billion- accords,0c85d43d-7ee5-4af6-9f61- 1835c373f5ca.html [9 December 2011] Bossard, Peter (2007) “China’s role in Financing African Infrastructure” International Rivers Network, Berkeley, May. Brautigam, Deborah (2009) The Dragon’s Gift: The Real Story of China in Africa. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • 17. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 16     Brautigam, Deborah (2010) ‘China, Africa and the International Aid Architecture’ African Development Bank Group Working Paper, No. 107, April. Broadman, Harry et al (2007) Africa’s Silk Road: China and India’s New economic frontier Washington: World Bank Publishing. Cabral, Lídia (2011) ´Cooperação Brasil-África para o desenvolvimento: Caracterização, tendências e desafios´, Centro de Estudos de Integração e Desenvolvimento (CINDES), CINDES texto No. 26, December: pp. 1-39. Chen, C., P. Chiu, R. Orr and A. Goldstein, ‘An Emerging Force and an Emerging Market: Chinese Construction Firms in Africa’, unpublished paper, 2008. Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Co-operation (CAITEC) (2010) China-Africa Trade and Economic Relationship Annual Report 2010, Beijing: 1-23. Chinese Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) (2010a) . [Overseas Investment Co-operation Country Guide: Angola], March: http://fec.mofcom.gov.cn/gbzn/upload/a ngela.pdf [18 April 2011] Chinese Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) (2010b) ‘2009 ’ [Statistical Bulletin of Chinese Outward FDI flows (2009)]’: http://hzs.mofcom.gov.cn/accessory/20 1009/1284339524515.pdf [17 February 2011] Chinese State Council Information Office (2011) ‘White Paper on Chinese Foreign Aid’, April 2011: http://www.scio.gov.cn/zxbd/wz/201104 /t896900.htm [21 April 2011] Corkin, Lucy (2011) ‘Uneasy Allies: China’s evolving relations with Angola’ Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 29(2):169-180. De Onis, Juan (2000) ´Brazil´s New Capitalism´, Foreign Affairs, May- June, 79(3): 107-119. Dubosse, Nancy (2010) ‘Chinese development assistance to Africa: aid, trade and debt’ in Chinese and African Perspectives on China in Africa, Axel Harneit-Sievers, Stephen Marks and Sanusha Naidu (eds). Oxford: Pambazuka Press. Dyer, Geoff, et al (2011) ‘China’s lending hits new heights’ Financial Times, 17 January: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/488c60f4- 2281-11e0-b6a2- 00144feab49a.html#axzz1Bf16F7Ku [21 January 2011] Embraer (2001) ´ Proex reconfirmed to be in full conformity with WTO rules´[Press release] , 23 August: http://www.embraer.com/en- US/ImprensaEventos/Press- releases/noticias/Pages/ORGAO-DE- SOLUCAO-DE-CONTROVERSIA-DA- OMC-RECONFIRMA-LEGALIDADE- DE-PROEX.aspx [14 May 2001] Exame Angola (2010a) ‘Angola deve importar mais produtos chineses’ 7 April: http://www.exameangola.com/pt/?id=18 47&det=11384&ss=China [30 September 2010] Executive Research Associates (ERA) (2009) ‘China in Africa: A Strategic Overview’, report prepared for the Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organisation (IDE-JETRO), October: http://www.ide.go.jp/English/Data/Africa _file/Manualreport/cia.html [23 March 2011]
  • 18. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 17     Foster, Vivien, et al (2008) Building Bridges: China’s Growing Role as an Infrastructure financier in Sub-Saharan Africa, Washington: World Bank. Freemantle, Simon (2011) ´The Five Trends Powering Africa´s Enduring Allure: Demographics´ Standard Bank, Africa Macro: Insight and Strategy, 12 September: 1-16. Galetti, Jefferson Ricardo (2010) ´As Políticas Públicas de Financiamento à Exportação no Brasil (BNDES Exim e PROEX): Características e Efeitos sobre as Exportções das Empresas Industriais Brasileiras´. Masters Thesis: Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Instituto Económico. Gu, Jing (2009) ‘China’s private enterprises in Africa and the implications for African development’ European Journal of Development Research, 21(4), 570-587. Freeman, Duncan (2008) ‘China’s outward investments: Challenges and opportunities for the EU’ BICCS Policy Paper, Brussels: 1-13. Huo Weidong & Yang Biqin (2011) ´ Frequent Countervailing Investigations: What Does China Do Wrong?´,M&D Forum, pp. 406 – 410. Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry (2002) ´Medium-term Export Strategy (2002 – 2007)´, in Economic Developments in India, Raj Kapila & Uma Kapila (eds) vol. 50. Delhi: The Academic Foundation, pp. 217 – 272. International Trade Centre (ITC)(2009) ´Export Promotion and the WTO: A Brief Guide´. Geneva: The International Trade Centre, pp. 1-50. Kiala, Carine & Nomfundo Ngwenya (2011) ´Angola´s Strategic Co- operation with the BRIC countries´, South African Institute for International Affairs, Occasional Paper 85, May: 1- 24. Li, Liming and Zeng Renxiong (2007) [China’s Financial Transformation] Shanghai: Shanghai People’s Press. Macauhub (2012) ´ Angola negotiates new credit line with Brazil´ 10 April: http://www.macauhub.com.mo/en/2012 /04/10/angola-negotiates-new-credit- line-with-brazil/ [ 10 April 2012] Ministério do Desenvolvimento, Indústria e Comércio Exterior (MDIC) (2002) ´Relatório do PROEX 2001´, Ofício n. 006, 19 February 2002. Moravcsik, Andrew (1989) ´Disciplining Trade Finance: the OECD Export Credit Arrangement´, International Organization, Winter, 43(1): 173-205. Moss, Todd & Sara Rose (2006) “China Exim Bank and Africa: New Lending, New Challenges” Centre for Global Development, Washington, November. Nunes, Manuel (2009) ´ Trocas comerciais entre Angola e Brasil atingem USD 4 biliões´ O Pais, 10 April: http://www.opais.net/pt/opais/?det=280 9 [14 May 2012] Orellana, Marcos (2003) ´Export Credit Agencies and the World Trade Organisation´ Centre for International Environmental Law, Issue Brief, November: pp. 1-11. Organisation for Economic Co- operation and Development (OECD) (2008) ´The exports Credit Arrangement, 1978 – 2008´: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/17/24/405948 72.pdf [17 May 2012] Política de Desenvolvimento Produtívo (PDP). 2010. “Programa Integração com a África: Relatório de Acompanhamento de Execução da
  • 19. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 18     Agenda de Ação.” www.pdp.gov.br/Relatorios%20de%20 Programas/Africa1_com.pdf. [16 May 2012] Pinto de Andrade, Vicente, ‘A China e a assistência ao desenvolvimento de Angola’ (unpublished paper), Universidade Católica de Angola, 2007. Reuters (2007a) ‘Ghana to supply China cocoa under dam funding deal’ 3 September: http://africa.reuters.com/wire/news/usn L03746732.html [5 September 2007] Reuters (2009) ‘Mining guarantees withdrawn from China's DRC investment deal under IMF pressure’ 19 August: http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/vie w/mineweb/en/page72068?oid=87733 &sn=Detail [10 November 2009] Suzuki, Eisuke (2008) ‘Bi-lateral Policy Orientation in the Multilateral Development Policy: A Challenge for the China Exim Bank and its Accountability’ New Financiers and the Environment: Ten Perspectives on How Financial Institutions can Protect the Environment, Berkeley: International Rivers, May, pp. 20-22. Taylor, Ian (2006) China and Africa: Engagement and Compromise, London: Routledge. Times LIVE (2010) ´ Angola SA's 10th largest source of imports´, 16 December: http://www.timeslive.co.za/local/article8 18703.ece/Angola-SAs-10th-largest- source-of-imports [30 May 2012] Trade Law Centre for Southern Africa (TRALAC) (2010) ´The African Trading Relationship with Brazil´, Trade Brief, June: www.tralac.org [14 May 2012]. World Bank (2011) ´Bridging the Atlantic: Brazil and Sub-Saharan Africa – partnering for South-South Growth´. December: 1-146. World Trade Organization (WTO) (2001) ´Dispute Settlement DS46: Brazil — Export Financing Programme for Aircraft´, 23 August: http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dis pu_e/cases_e/ds46_e.htm [10 May 2012] Zhou, N., 2010. ‘Government Corporation and Globalisation: Evidence from China’, presented at the 4th China Goes Global Conference Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA, 6-8 October.
  • 20. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 19     Annex 1   Annex 1: The terms of Angola´s loans and credit lines (June 2009) DATE LENDER VALUE PURPOSE TERMS AND CONDITIONS Interest Rate Commission s and Fees Guarantee Nov 2003 Deutsche Bank - Spain US$ 500 million Public investment projects Libor+ 1~5% 1% (flat) arrangement fee 1% (flat) management fee Angolan Finance Ministry Mar 2004 China Exim Bank US$ 2 billion (1 st tranche) Public investment projects 3-month Libor +1.5% 0.3% management fee 0.3% commitment fee Contract of Petroleum Supply Aug 2004 India Exim Bank US$ 40 million 5 contracts for the supply of equipment for Moçamedes Railway 1.75% Angolan Ministry of Finance Nov 2004 Portugal Cosec EUR 300 million Public investment projects Euribor+ 0.4~0.6% 0.1% management fee Angolan Ministry of Finance 2005 China International Fund US$ 9.8 billion Projects managed by government 3-month Libor +1.5% 0.3% management fee 0.3% commitment fee Contract of Petroleum Supply Mar 2005 Santander Bank - Spain EUR 100 million Public investment projects 6-month Libor +1~1.5% 0.5% (flat) management fee 0.25% (flat) commitment fee Variable insurance fee Angolan Finance Ministry Sept 2005 Fortis Bank - Spain EUR 250 million Public investment projects 6-month Libor +0.75~1% 2% (flat) management fee 0.5% (flat) commitment fee Variable insurance fee Angolan Ministry of Finance Dec 2005 Korea Exim Bank US$ 31.4 million Rehabilitation of cotton project in Sumbe 0.6% 0.1% (above each disbursement ) management fee Angolan Ministry of Finance 2006 Proex US$ 580 million Public investment projects Libor 0.5 % (flat) management fee 0.5% (flat) arrangement fee Contract of Petroleum Supply 2006 Brazilian Development Bank US$ 750 million Public investment projects Libor +1% 1% (flat) management fee 0.5% (flat) arrangement Contract of Petroleum Supply
  • 21. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 20     fee Jul 2006 India Exim Bank US$ 10 million Acquisition contract of 599 tractors 6-month Libor +2.5% 0.5% (per year) management commission 0.5% (flat) arrangement commission Ministry of Finance Jul 2007 China Exim Bank US$ 500 million (supplement to 1 st tranche) Public investment projects 3-month Libor +1.5% 0.3% management fee 1% arrangement fee (N/A) 0.3% commitment fee Contract of Petroleum Supply Sep 2007 China Exim Bank US$ 2 billion (2 nd tranche) Public investment projects 3-month Libor +1.5% 0.3% management fee 1% arrangement fee (N/A) 0.3% commitment fee Contract of Petroleum Supply Apr 2008 Deutsche Bank - Spain US$ 225 million Public investment projects Libor+ 1~5% 1% (flat) arrangement fee 1% (flat) management fee Angolan Finance Ministry Source: Economic Research Department, Japanese Embassy in Angola; Croese (2011:28)                                                                                                                 i Interview, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Beijing, 29 October 2009. ii National Development and Reform Commission website: http://203.207.194.3:82/gate/big5/wzs.ndrc.gov. cn/gwdk/wgzfdkgbbxml/zdyh/t20081028_24310 5.htm [accessed 23 February 2010] iiiiii China Exim Bank website: http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/businessarticle/a ctivities/loan/200905/9398_1.html [accessed 29 September 2010] iv See : http://www.focac.org/eng/zxxx/t770971.htm [21 April 2011] v China Exim bank Website: http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/businessarticle/a ctivities/loan/200905/9398_1.html [accessed 28 September 2010] vi China Exim Bank website, refer to: http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/business/govern ment.jsp [accessed 7 September 2007] vii China Exim Bank website, refer to: http://english.eximbank.gov.cn/business/govern ment.jsp [accessed 7 September 2007] viii This is particularly relevant in the context of Angola, as following the economic crisis of 2008-2009, the government experienced severe cash flow problems due to the dramatic drop in the oil price. Construction companies were not paid for months for projects already completed, with severe implications. ix Interview, Beijing, 16 October 2009                                                                                                                                                       x The ´equalization´ comprises the difference between the charges agreed to by the borrower and the cost of raising funds. They are limited to maximum reference rates as set the Brazilian Central Bank Banco Central do Brasil. Interest equalization, funded by a combination of government bonds, treasury resources and commercial banks´ financing, ranges from a 1% support for credits up to 6 months to as much as 2.5% differential for periods of 9 years. xi For a more complete explanation of PROEX activities, see http://www.fazenda.gov.br/sain/temas_internaci onais/proex.asp [14 May 2012] xii Conveniently, this is the minimum level of concessionality permitted by the OECD arrangement, discussed below (OECD,2008). xiii See http://www.fazenda.gov.br/sain/temas_internaci onais/proex.asp [14 May 2012] xiv See ´Revisão da Resolução CAMEX nº 33, (16 December 2002). xv This programme forms part of the Política de Desenvolvimento Produtívo (PDP), launched in 2008 and tasked with national economic expansion in spite of the global financial crisis (World Bank,2011:79). xvi The deal is widely believed to have been modelled on the co-operation agreement signed with Angola. The IMF eventually succeeded in persuading China Exim Bank to retract its requirement of a sovereign guarantee, but the deal was reduced to US$ 6 billion for rehabilitating the mining industry and the plans
  • 22. BRICS POLICY CENTER – POLICY BRIEF Emerging economies and export promotion mechanisms: a study case of Brazil’s and China’s operations in Angola 21                                                                                                                                                           for US$ 3 billion in ‘social infrastructure projects’ were scrapped. xvii Interview, Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Beijing, 29 October 2009 xviii Interview, marketing manager, Chinese private construction firm, Luanda, 2 August 2010. xix Interviews, Luanda, 30 April 2010, 10 May 2010.