Voter sentiment in Ontario by ridings. Only those ridings where we saw a good sample size have been included.

1. INSIGHTS ON THE VOICE OF THE VOTER IN ONTARIO
(JUNE 4TH 2018)

2. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in 1st week
of June 2018
Ajax—Pickering
● Schedule 14 of the
budget
● ‘Back room deals’
allegedly done by
Kathleen Wynne
● Need to protect
Casino Ajax to keep
jobs and taxes
● Help to remove
algae at the
waterfront
● Need to protect
headwaters of
Caruthers Creek
● Discussion around
the transit policy.
Some questions on
whether budgets
are enough for
implementation of
the transit policy
● Undecided voters.
Supporters of NDP
and Liberals haven’t
met their candidates
● Debate evenly
balanced across NDP,
PC Party and Liberals
● Sentiment turning
towards NDP.
● Criticism around “un-
costed platform”
● Negative feedback on
“beer for a buck” and
its likely extension to
cannabis.
● Some favors for
reduced gas pricing.
Aurora
− PC Party being
perceived as “Right-
leaning”
− Some negative buzz
− Leaning towards NDP.
− Negative perceptions
around PC Party
continues.

3. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of May 2018
Issues in the 1st
week of June 2018
Barrie
− Discussions around
nominations – buzz about
process issues around the
11 candidates
− Integrity Commissions’
report on Patrick Brown –
buzz for and against the
findings.
− DFO funding for Autism,
− Raising ODSP, streamlining
passport Funding
− Kathleen Wynne’s ad and
response (mostly negative)
− Carbon Tax – buzz in
support of removing the
same
− Dan Janssen’s comments
on Doug Ford (“Change for
the worse”)
− Illegal immigrants
− Positive buzz around the
proposed concrete
barriers along Highway
401
− Demand for all day GO
for Barrie
− Need for more trains
between Barrie and
Toronto to rid people
of congestion on 400
− Positive response for
getting rid of rent
control
− Need to hasten
Booming Barrie service
− Dissent on the departure of
Patrick Brown. Air time
around Patrick Brown is
leading to issues.
− Perception of the PC Party
being for the rich and the
millionaires
− “Buck a beer” promise being
seen as frivolous and a
distraction from real issues
− Perception about PC Party
leadership being sexist or
racist in general (“Rightist”
perception)
− Support for low gas prices,
better transit
− Perceptions around the
deficits the Liberals are
running
− Perceptions that the socialist
agenda might take a back
seat
− Buzz around Ford’s promise
related to the destruction of
Ontario Greenbelt which
allows oil pipeline from
Barrie to Oshawa
− Intense fight.
Negative buzz for
the PC Party.
− “Buck a beer” vs.
high rents an issue
− Negative buzz
related to Patrick
Brown continues.

4. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week
of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Bay of
Quinte
− Perceptions that PC Party
leadership will lead to a lack
of focus on climate change
− Balanced buzz for and against
− Leaning towards NDP
− Negative buzz around
PC Party’s Doug Ford.
Beaches –
East York
− Leaning towards NDP.
Perceived as only one
to stop Doug Ford.
Brampton
North
− Support for NDP
− Scandal against
nominee leading to
negative buzz against
the PC Party
Brampton
Centre
− Positive buzz around
Harjit Jaswal’s
nomination win
− Leaning towards PC
Party
Brampton
—East
− Buzz around Doug
Ford’s campaign
supporting Simmer
Sandhu
− Some negative buzz around
the PC Party candidates
history with the CRA
− Unhappiness around the
candidate
− Intense battle, but
leaning towards NDP
Brampton-
South
− − Positive buzz around the PC
Party candidate Prabmeet
Singh Sarkaria
− Leaning towards PC
Party
Brant
− Discussion around
the proposed
reforms in
education –
scrapping of
“discovery math”..
− Some negative buzz around
Doug Ford
dodging questions from
journalists
− Buzz against PC Party
− Some negative buzz
around PC Party’s
interaction with
journalists. Some
damage continues.

5. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Bruce—
Grey—
Owen
Sound
− Hydro One’s high charges
− Carbon tax
− Kathleen Wynne’s
“smearing video” as an
ad – “The Real Doug
Ford” – some negative
buzz in there.
− NDP’s dental care plan –
support for that
− Perception around “Zero
income tax” will leave
lowest paid workers
worse off
− Appreciation for how
Doug Ford has dealt with
the “mess” around
nominations, increased
membership
− Buzz around the proposed
Transit plan
− Economic viability of delivering
on subway promise.
− Citizens want Doug Ford to
clean up the mess of Kathleen
Wynne (healthcare, Hydro
salaries)
− Voices on lack of concern for
climate change
− Negative buzz around
truncated scrum Q&A session
by Doug Ford
− Negative buzz around
permanent closure of a public
library “in the name of
efficiency”
− Support from Hydro Employees
− Sex education – buzz in support
and opposition to the fact that
this would be diluted. Mostly a
positive buzz.
− Negative perception about the
PC Party tolerating racism
− Accountability for Regional
Autism service
− Negative buzz
overall
− Concerns about lack
of a vision for
healthcare
− Positive buzz for the
NDP
− Some negative buzz
around the “beer
availability” promise
- seems to be
perceived as
frivolous
− Leaning towards NDP.
− Negative buzz for
Doug Ford around
various things,
including the law suit
by Renate Ford, Rob
Ford’s widow

6. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Burlington
− Concerns about
high Hydro bills
− Negative buzz around Two-
Tier Health Care discussion
by Dr. Merrilee Fullerton
− Positive buzz for the
PC Party
− NDP perceived as
“communist”
− Evenly balanced
between PC Party &
NDP
Cambridge
− Demand for a Cambridge GO
Train
− Issue around unfair practices
by the Toyota dealership
− Positive buzz around Liberals’
move to give the autoplant
$200 million to make them
stay in the riding.
− Buzz against NDP
− Perception that their
programs will cost the
tax payers dear
− Buzz of unions
supporting NDP
− Leaning towards NDP
− Positives emerging for
NDP party. Contest
balancing out
between PC Party and
NDP
Carleton—
Mississippi
Mills
− Negative perception about
PC Party’s healthcare policies
− Negative buzz around Dr.
Merrilee Fullerton
− Positive buzz around
educational reforms w.r.t.
Carleton University.
− Perception that Liberals are
making students communist!
− Negative perceptions
around PC Party
candidates denial of
climate change.
− Negative perception
around NDP’s plan to
move the money for
upgrading Highway
417 and investing in
bike lanes
− NDP – PC Party seems
to be an even contest
− NDP emerging as the
winner here
− Negative buzz around
PC Party’s candidate.
− Buzz against non-
conservatives running
as PC Party candidates

7. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Chatham-
Kent—Essex
− Positive buzz around the
proposed concrete
barriers along Highway
401
− NDP Party catching up in
terms of positive buzz and
campaign momentum
− Leaning towards NDP
Don Valley
West
− Leaning towards PC
Party
Dufferin—
Caledon
− Demand for
interventions related to
the GTA West Corridor
− Positive buzz in support to
promised reforms in sex-
education
− Positive buzz around
accountability
− Advantage PC Party
− Negative comments
around PC Party
emerging. Contest
balancing out.
Durham
− Support to fight Carbon
tax
− Buzz around the
proposed commission of
enquiry into Government
spending
− Protest against
appointment of Tory
candidates
− Negative perception
around PC Party’s
healthcare plan
− Sex education
changes – buzz for
and against
− Buzz against the NDP
around the likely closure
of the nuclear plan leading
to job cuts. Corresponding
positive buzz for PC Party’s
stand of savings jobs.
− Negative buzz for PC Party
for being a white
supremacist
− Leaning towards NDP
− Negative buzz around
PC Party emerging.
Contest balancing out
but advantage PC Party.
− Negative buzz continues
Etobicoke
North
− Negative buzz around
alleged racist remarks by
Liberal MPP candidate
Shafiq Qaadri (“there are
just too many white
people in the Ontario
Government”)
− Tight race between NDP
and PC Party
− Buzz around people asking
for the PC Party’s platform
for the election in the
riding
− Perception that PC Party is
the party for the rich
− Perception that Doug Ford
losing his own riding of
Etobicoke North to NDP
− Leaning towards NDP
− Negative buzz around
the PC Party

8. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Glengarry—
Prescott—
Russell
− Perception that Doug
Ford’s administration
would cut healthcare
budgets if voted to
power
− Issues around Doug
Ford’s supporter’s
narrative which paints
the North York tragedy
as immigration led
− Rent control – people
want a tab on ‘out of
control’ rents
− Negative perception
around Horwath’s
campaign solely
focussed on women,
disregarding men
− Doug Ford using paid
actors as supporters
− Negative
perceptions around
healthcare
− Negative perception
around attitude
towards minorities
(ex. Muslims)
− Perception that voting for
NDP would make the debt
situation worse
− Negative buzz around
Ford’s riding “A beer, for
a vote”
− Positive buzz around the
carbon tax - PC Party to
axe the carbon tax and
save people’s money
− Perceptions around “No
Tax”
− Buzz around the non-
existence of Green Party
in the ongoing debate for
leadership after 7th June
− Leaning towards PC
Party
− Positive buzz around PC
Party and negative
against the financially
irresponsible Liberals
Guelph
− Negative buzz around
the nomination
process
− Issue of injured
workers – low
priority for all.
− Hydro payouts
− Buzz around Doug Ford’s
platform not being costed
out.
− Leaning towards NDP
Haldimand—
Norfolk
− Buzz around Toby’s
candidature (positive)
− Healthcare budget cut
worries
− Doug Ford should
explain what is
budget cuts are –
the detail
− Perception around PC
Party not being good for
healthcare.
− Perception that
healthcare might be
privatized
− Leaning towards NDP

9. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Haliburton—
Kawartha
Lakes—
Brock
− Questions around
corporate tax rate
cuts (given it is
already the lowest
amongst other
provinces)
− Debate whether the
proposed tax reforms
are good for
minimum wage
earners
− Positive buzz around
reforms from Uni of
Waterloo, Laurier Univ
− No bus service for
heart and cancer
patients to
Peterborough
− Negative buzz around PC
Party is emerging - “beer
cartel”, lack of clarity on
economic policy etc.
− Buzz around carbon tax
scheme. Perception
acround “Is it a money grab
from the polluters or an
actual fund that helps the
environment”
− Concern over security of
jobs under NDP
government
− Negative buzz on Liberal
party. Wynne is responsible
for Ontario’s huge deficits,
failing economy and a
crumbling healthcare
system
− Leaning towards NDP
Kenora—
Rainy River
− Negative buzz around
Doug Ford’s inability to
answer a question
around how bill
becomes a law
− Negative buzz around
a video showing Doug
Ford bribing voters in
the past
− Negative buzz around
alleged “paid actors”
in Doug Ford’s
campaign
− Negative buzz continues
– around perceived
inability to run as a
premier
− Buzz around the deficits
where experts such as
Don Drummond says PC
Party’s startegy would
lead to higher deficits
compared to the Liberal
party.
− Leaning towards NDP
− Buzz about lack of clear
platform
− Negative perception
about healthcare cuts

10. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Kitchener—
Waterloo
− Issue around high
security costs for
Kathleen Wynne’s
rally at the University
of Waterloo
− Positive buzz
around free speech
and accountability
in education (Univ
of Waterloo)
− Negative buzz around
the negative impact
on education funding
if PC Party comes into
power
− Support for cut in
gasoline prices
− Leaning towards NDP
Lanark—
Frontenac—
Lennox and
Addington
− Dial back of
burdensome police-
oversight rules
− Concerns on climate
change
− Negative buzz
around Doug Ford’s
inability to answer
a question around
how bill becomes a
law
− Negative buzz continues
around Doug Ford
− Leaning towards NDP
London West
− Nomination process
related buzz –
painted as
undemocratic
Nomination issue
continues – buzz against
Andrew Lawton.
Considered to be racist
and homophobic
− Perception of PC Party
being “far-right-
learning”
− Leaning towards NDP

11. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Milton
− Negative buzz around
the nomination process
− Buzz supporting the
Milton GO Line.
− Concerns that the
401 expansion
plans are too slow.
Currently rush hour
only
− Positive buzz
around the
proposed changes
to the GTA Transit
− Negative
perception that the
PCParty does not
care much about
health
− Massive parking
problems in Milton
− Positive buzz around
accountability
− Negative buzz around
perception about
being “Anti-gay”
− Even battle between
PC Party, Liberals and
NDP
Mississauga -
Centre
− Opposition claims of
PC Party being racist
and homophobic
− Nomination issues
− Buzz continues
around the
overturning of
Tanya Granic Allen,
both positive and
negative (mostly
negative).
− Positive buzz
emerging around
Doug Ford’s campaign
− Leaning towards PC
Party
Mississauga -
Lakeshore
− Buzz around Rudy
Cuzzetto’s
nomination
− Leaning towards PC
Party

12. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Nepean—
Carleton
− Elimination of tax for
minimum wage
workers
− Buzz against
Liberal’s attempt to
pit communities
against each other.
− Leaning towards NDP
but a tough fight with
PC Party
Newmarket—
Aurora
− Positive buzz around
Christine Elliott
− Buzz around issues
related to
Immigration &
refugees because of
the incident involving
Alek Minassian
− Good positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
rally
− − Leaning towards PC
Party
Niagara Falls
− Resentment around
postponement of
Doug Ford’s rally.
Some support for the
same as well.
− Positive buzz ins
support of the
proposed transit
between Toronto
and Niagara Falls
− NDP is garnering a
positive buzz.
− More positive buzz for
PC Party vs. negative
− Leaning towards PC
Party
Northumberlan
d—Quinte
West
− Hydro borrowing
scheme and how
that would increase
bills to skyrocket
− − Leaning towards PC
Party

13. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd week of
May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Oakville
− Buzz around
cancellation of the
gas plant
− Positive buzz for
PCs for
accountability
− High positive buzz for
the PC Party.
Negative buzz for
Kathleen Wynne
− − Leaning towards PC
Party
Oshawa
− Discussions around
the Schedule 14 of
the budget
− GOTrain
− Buzz for Chapman
• Negative buzz for Doug
Ford
− Buzz around destruction of
Greenbelt allowing oil
pipeline
− Negative buzz around lack of
healthcare vision of Liberals
− Leaning towards
NDP
Ottawa - Center
− Support for the PC
Party
Ottawa West—
Nepean
− Positive reception to
the pitch of
accountability in
education
− Negative buzz around NDPs
plan to invest in bike lanes (at
the cost of highway 417).
− Perceptions of NDP being
equivalent to communists
− Need for a “fully costed”
budget from PC Party
− Negative buzz around NDP:
“finding ways of detaching
income security from paid
employment”
− Support for NDP at
the cost of PC Party
Ottawa South
− Leaning towards
NDP
Oxford
− Buzz against
abolishing
supervised
injection sites
− Positive buzz around NDP
candidate
− Leaning towards
NDP

14. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Parry Sound—
Muskoka
− Lot of negative buzz
around Doug Ford – his
past, corporate tax rate
cut issue, perception
around budget cuts for
healthcare, education
etc.
− Negative buzz
around Doug Ford
related to his
response to the
question on law
making, appointing
Andrew Lawton,
issues from his past.
− “A beer for a buck”,
negative slogan around
the riding.
− Polarized voters –
strongly for and against
− Leaning against PC
Party
− Negative buzz for Doug
Ford.
Pickering—
Scarborough
East
− Residents are
concerned about the
continued operation of
the nuclear power
station
− Positive buzz around
the PC Party
campaign
− Job loss worry
dominates the buzz.
Positive in support of PC
Party
− Negative buzz around
the viability of the plant
given its outlived its life
− Leaning towards PC
Party
− Some support for NDP,
but largely a riding for
the PC Party
Renfrew—
Nipissing—
Pembroke
− Negative buzz around
Hydro One and its
executives
− Buzz around Mike
Harris Jr. nomination
− Very positive buzz
around this riding –
around the rally by
Doug Ford
− Negative buzz around
Brad Clarks’ official
expenses (on fashion,
dinners)
− Negative buzz around
NDP Party’s debate
performance
− Negative perceptions
around NDP being soft
on illegal immigrants
− Positive buzz in support
of PC Party
− Doug Ford seen as
someone who’d bring
tax cuts and
straightforwardness
Richmond Hill
− Discussion on
Immigration and
refugee policy
- − Leaning towards the PC
Party
St. Catharines
− Debate around Safe
injection vs. drug
rehab.
− Leaning towards PC
Party

15. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Sault Ste.
Marie
− Buzz around Doug
Ford’s rally and its
subsequent
cancellation
− Leaning towards PC
Party
− Steel plant workers
support the party
Stormont –
Dundas –
South
Glengarry
− Learning towards the
PC Party
− Intense, polarized
debate but more
support for PC Party
vs. NDP
Sudbury
− High gas prices
− Patients being
treated in Hallways’ –
financial indiscipline
by Kathleen Wynne
as the reason
− Positive buzz
around getting rid
of rent control
− Positive buzz
around
accountability
− Very positive buzz
around Sudbury
− − Leaning towards the
PC Party
Thornhill
− Positive buzz
around building the
Yonge Subway
extension
− Negative perception
around being “racist”
− Leaning towards NDP
− Negative buzz around
PC Party
Timmins—
James Bay
− Positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
campaign
− Perception that
Northern Ontario
regions are being
ignored in the
campaign
− Some negative buzz
emerging. “Buck for a
beer” not leading to
positive perceptions
− Leaning towards PC
Party

16. Riding Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of April 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 3rd
week of May 2018
Issues/buzz in the 1st
week of June 2018
Toronto Centre
− Negative buzz
around “hired
actors” to pose as
supporters of
Meredith
Cartwright
− − Leaning towards NDP
Waterloo
− Leaning towards NDP
− Negative buzz for PC
Party because of lack
of the detailed
platform, Renate Ford
lawsuit,
Wellington
− − − Negative perception
around being “racist”
− Support for Mike
Schreiner
− Leaning towards NDP
Whitby—
Oshawa
− Schedule 14 of the
budget
− Demand for a
Subway GOTrain
− Buzz for Bob
Chapman
− Negative buzz for
Doug Ford -
− Balanced buzz –
positive and negative
− Support emerging for
PC Party vs. earlier
− Intense fight for the
top spot between
NDP and PC Party
− Increasingly leaning
towards NDP
Willowdale
− Ontario Hydro One’s
executive pays
− Positive buzz
around Doug Ford’s
campaign
− Negative buzz on NDP
who would raise taxes
and put thousands out
of work
− Leaning towards PC
Party
− Good support for Stan
Cho