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Success Factors & Success Predictors


                  Ed Roberts, MIT-Sloan
                  John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center
                  Geoffrey Moore, Silicon Valley




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
“you could forecast anything but the future”

                                                                  Neils Bohr




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
Success Factors in
                        High-Technology Start-Ups

                       conclusions based on 25 years of research
                             carried out on 769 companies
                              by Prof. Edward B. Roberts
         Chairman, MIT Management of Technology and Innovation Group
                        MIT Sloan School of Management
                      Founder, MIT Enterprise Forum Inc.
                                        All data from E.B. Roberts
                     Entrepreneurs in High-Technology: Lessons from MIT and Beyond
                               (New York: Oxford University Press, 1991)




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
SUCCESS OF TECHNOLOGY-BASED FIRMS
                            (5-7 years post-founding)

                                    As measured by                  Entrepreneurs’
                                 growth & profitability             self-assessments
                                          (%)                              (%)
       High Performers                        15

          Succeeding                          15

       Merely Surviving                       54

            Failures                          16

IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
SUCCESS OF TECHNOLOGY-BASED FIRMS
                            (5-7 years post-founding)

                                    As measured by                  Entrepreneurs’
                                 growth & profitability             self-assessments
                                          (%)                              (%)
       High Performers                        15
                                                                             85
          Succeeding                          15

       Merely Surviving                       54
                                                                             15
            Failures                          16

IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED


                  •     Founders’ Characteristics

                  •     Start-up Characteristics

                  •     Later Strategic Evolution




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                             Founders’ Characteristics
    •     Outperformed colleagues, problem solving projects
    •     Less than Ph.D. education, usually
    •     Made, not born
    •     High N-Ach; optimally with moderate N-Pow
    •     Supervisory experience

                                  Multiple co-founders
                          especially including sales/marketing

                            Build complimentary teams
               Quality of people / management determines success
                                                   John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center


IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                               Start-up Characteristics

   •     High degree of advanced technology transfer
   •     Product orientation
   •     Marketing (i.e. customer first) orientation & practices
   •     Focused growth strategy




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                       Start-up Characteristics (cont.)
                       John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center


       •      Quality Investors (open doors, deep pockets, hands on)
       •      Move Quickly to the Market (Fast or Dead)
       •      Attack the Fiercest Market Early
       •      Strong IP




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                        Start-up Characteristics (cont.)
                        John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center

        LOCATION OF COMPANY (Regional Advantages - Michael Porter)

   •     Near Fiercest Competitor and/or Most Demanding Customer
   •     Clusters of Complementary Companies Provide Advantage:
           – Dutch Flowers
           – Route 128/Silicon Valley
           – Japanese Consumer Electronics
           – Singapore Hard Disk Drives



IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                            Later Strategic Evolution

       •     Strategic product/business focus
       •     Strengthen market orientation
       •     Overcome new problems
               o Measuring change in Market Applications
               o Current “New Problems”
               o “Founder’s Diseases”




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

               Measuring Change in Market Applications

            DIMENSION                                MEASURE


            For what purpose?                        Product Functionality


            To whom?                                 End User Customer Group


            What selling methods?                    Distribution Channels


IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
Crossing the Chasm (Geoffrey A. Moore)
                    "still the bible for entrepreneurial marketing"

                                             Visionaries
                                              (Innovators and Early Adopters)
                                                   – Technology buyer
                                                   – Looking for paradigm shift
                                                   – Willing to live with bugs

              Early majority
   –          Productivity improvement
   –          Business buyer
   –          Looking for similar references
   –          Company name, Product support base

IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED
                    Current “New Problems” Facing
                Successful and Growing High-Tech Firms

        • Shorter product life cycle
        • Increased competition
        • Difficulty in maintaining state of the art technology in all
          areas of business
        • Decreased product differentiation
        • Shift to non-engineering customer base
        • Problems in maintaining a growth atmosphere in the company
        • Periodically, problems in securing growth capital


IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED

                        A Key Problem for Founder-CEOs:
                        Avoid Fatal “Founder’s Diseases”

                                 “Founder’s Diseases”
                                     affect 2/3 founder / CEOs

•        Replacement is almost always by a more marketing-oriented
         person, usually brought in from the outside

•        “Survivor CEOs” are either not successes or are the
         1/3 “super-successes” who are unexplainable by our studies



IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
WHAT MAKES FIRMS SUCCEED

                           Losing my Virginity
                                  Richard Branson

         “There are no strategies or techniques that assure the success of a business.
          There are a number of operational practices that, if you follow, there is a
certain level of confidence that the business will keep going; however you cannot reach a
clear formula for business success and then bottle it like a perfume. It doesn't work that
way. In order to succeed, you have to be there, feel the vibes and react accordingly.
          And if you have a good team and more than a little bit of luck, you may
succeed. But in no way can this be taken for granted just by trying to reproduce someone
else’s success.”




IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY

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Ed Roberts Success Factors

  • 1. Success Factors & Success Predictors Ed Roberts, MIT-Sloan John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center Geoffrey Moore, Silicon Valley IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 2. “you could forecast anything but the future” Neils Bohr IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 3. Success Factors in High-Technology Start-Ups conclusions based on 25 years of research carried out on 769 companies by Prof. Edward B. Roberts Chairman, MIT Management of Technology and Innovation Group MIT Sloan School of Management Founder, MIT Enterprise Forum Inc. All data from E.B. Roberts Entrepreneurs in High-Technology: Lessons from MIT and Beyond (New York: Oxford University Press, 1991) IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 4. SUCCESS OF TECHNOLOGY-BASED FIRMS (5-7 years post-founding) As measured by Entrepreneurs’ growth & profitability self-assessments (%) (%) High Performers 15 Succeeding 15 Merely Surviving 54 Failures 16 IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 5. SUCCESS OF TECHNOLOGY-BASED FIRMS (5-7 years post-founding) As measured by Entrepreneurs’ growth & profitability self-assessments (%) (%) High Performers 15 85 Succeeding 15 Merely Surviving 54 15 Failures 16 IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 6. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED • Founders’ Characteristics • Start-up Characteristics • Later Strategic Evolution IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 7. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Founders’ Characteristics • Outperformed colleagues, problem solving projects • Less than Ph.D. education, usually • Made, not born • High N-Ach; optimally with moderate N-Pow • Supervisory experience Multiple co-founders especially including sales/marketing Build complimentary teams Quality of people / management determines success John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 8. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Start-up Characteristics • High degree of advanced technology transfer • Product orientation • Marketing (i.e. customer first) orientation & practices • Focused growth strategy IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 9. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Start-up Characteristics (cont.) John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center • Quality Investors (open doors, deep pockets, hands on) • Move Quickly to the Market (Fast or Dead) • Attack the Fiercest Market Early • Strong IP IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 10. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Start-up Characteristics (cont.) John T. Preston, MIT Entrepreneurship Center LOCATION OF COMPANY (Regional Advantages - Michael Porter) • Near Fiercest Competitor and/or Most Demanding Customer • Clusters of Complementary Companies Provide Advantage: – Dutch Flowers – Route 128/Silicon Valley – Japanese Consumer Electronics – Singapore Hard Disk Drives IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 11. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Later Strategic Evolution • Strategic product/business focus • Strengthen market orientation • Overcome new problems o Measuring change in Market Applications o Current “New Problems” o “Founder’s Diseases” IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 12. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Measuring Change in Market Applications DIMENSION MEASURE For what purpose? Product Functionality To whom? End User Customer Group What selling methods? Distribution Channels IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 13. Crossing the Chasm (Geoffrey A. Moore) "still the bible for entrepreneurial marketing" Visionaries (Innovators and Early Adopters) – Technology buyer – Looking for paradigm shift – Willing to live with bugs Early majority – Productivity improvement – Business buyer – Looking for similar references – Company name, Product support base IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 14. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED Current “New Problems” Facing Successful and Growing High-Tech Firms • Shorter product life cycle • Increased competition • Difficulty in maintaining state of the art technology in all areas of business • Decreased product differentiation • Shift to non-engineering customer base • Problems in maintaining a growth atmosphere in the company • Periodically, problems in securing growth capital IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 15. WHAT MAKES HIGH-TECH FIRMS SUCCEED A Key Problem for Founder-CEOs: Avoid Fatal “Founder’s Diseases” “Founder’s Diseases” affect 2/3 founder / CEOs • Replacement is almost always by a more marketing-oriented person, usually brought in from the outside • “Survivor CEOs” are either not successes or are the 1/3 “super-successes” who are unexplainable by our studies IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY
  • 16. WHAT MAKES FIRMS SUCCEED Losing my Virginity Richard Branson “There are no strategies or techniques that assure the success of a business. There are a number of operational practices that, if you follow, there is a certain level of confidence that the business will keep going; however you cannot reach a clear formula for business success and then bottle it like a perfume. It doesn't work that way. In order to succeed, you have to be there, feel the vibes and react accordingly. And if you have a good team and more than a little bit of luck, you may succeed. But in no way can this be taken for granted just by trying to reproduce someone else’s success.” IN COOPERATION WITH THE LEON RECANATI GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, TEL AVIV UNIVERSITY