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JUNE 2015
ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX
Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com
Jerry.Latter@ipsos.com
020 7347 3000
2
Issues Facing Britain: June
Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
45%
40%
26%
18%
16%
16%
13%
13%
11%
10%
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Unemployment
Education/Schools
Poverty/Inequality
EU/Europe
Housing
Pensions/Benefits
Low pay/Fair wages
+5
-4
-1
-10
-5
-1
+4
-3
0
-1
%
Change since May:
-1
Position
Top mentions %
+1
-1
+1
-1
+4
-2
3
Issues Facing Britain: June
Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
45%
40%
26%
18%
16%
16%
13%
13%
11%
10%
26%
12%
13%
5%
2%
6%
6%
4%
3%
2%
Immigration/immigrants
NHS
Economy
Unemployment
Education/Schools
Poverty/Inequality
EU/Europe
Housing
Pensions/benefits
Low pay/fair wages
Top mentions %
MOST/OTHER
IMPORTANT ISSUES
MOST IMPORTANT
ISSUE
4
Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
NHS UNEMPLOYMENT
CRIME/LAW &
ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION
5
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Economy / Economic situation
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Global Recession
and Russian
Financial crisis
Highest score since 1992;
Most important issue for
the first time
Sub-prime mortgage
crisis in the US
End of
recession
announced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
Lowest score
since March 2008
(26%)
Northern Rock
nationalised
6
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Immigration / Immigrants*
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
* Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU
Countries (Poland, etc.)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
Border controls relaxed for
Romanians and Bulgarians
Highest score since March
2008 (45%)
7
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Unemployment falls below 1
million for first time in 25 years
Minimum wage
introduced
Unemployment in
Britain rises to 5.5%
Lowest ever score
(5%)
Youth unemployment
reaches 1 million
Lowest score
since December
2008 (18%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
8
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
May day riots Riots in
England
9/11
Lowest score
since Oct 92 (9%)
9
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Report says waiting lists have
doubled under Labour
Lowest score since
December 1985 (12%)
Highest score since April 2006
(47%)
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
10
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Education / Schools
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Introduction of means-tested tuition
fees. Education most important issue.
First City Academies
introduced
Lowest score since
Dec 1985 (9%)
Labour’s second term - pledge to
improve failing secondary schools
Education and Inspections Act
limits the power of LAs to open
new schools
April 2011 – Pupil Premium
introduced
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
11
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
9/11
London
Bombs
Invasion of Iraq –
protests across Europe
Failed terror
attacks in London
and Glasgow
UK withdraws
from Iraq
War in
Kosovo
Parliamentary vote
against action in Syria
NATO bombing in
Libyan Civil War
Rise of
ISIS
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
12
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Poverty/inequality
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Sept 1999:
Alastair Darling – “one child in
three” living in poverty
July 2014:
highest score
recorded (18%)
January 2005:
Make Poverty History campaign
launched on New Year’s Day
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
13
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Inflation/Prices
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Inflation rate hits 16 year
peak
Inflation rises
to 3.4%
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
14
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Housing
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
A8 Countries
join the EU
House prices
rising at fastest
rate in 10 years
Highest score since
July 2007 (16%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
15
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pensions/Social Security/Benefits
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Lords vote to increase
compensation for those whose
company pension schemes
have collapsed
Blair and Harriet Harman propose
‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-
off from state benefits
Gordon Brown unveils
pension credits
Pensions commission report –
“more than 12 million working
people are not saving enough for
their retirement”
Lowest ever
score (3%)
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
16
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Pollution / Environment
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
5
10
15
20
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Wettest Autumn since
records began –
widespread flooding
across the UK
EC proposes carbon emission
cuts of 20% by 2020
Flooding in
England
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
17
Cameron becomes PM
Issues Facing Britain:
Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
0
10
20
30
40
May
1997
May
1998
May
1999
May
2000
May
2001
May
2002
May
2003
May
2004
May
2005
May
2006
May
2007
May
2008
May
2009
May
2010
May
2011
May
2012
May
2013
May
2014
May
2015
Treaty of Accession: 10 new
EU Member States
France and Holland reject
ratification of EU constitution
Lowest score
recorded (1%)
UKIP come first in Euro
elections
Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
EU Referendum bill:
Highest score since June
2005 (13%)
18
Concern about the EU differs substantially by
demographic group
Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Europe/EU
Ipsos MORI Issues Index
3%
18-24
7%
25-34
8%
35-44
14%
45-54
20%
55-64
20%
65+
Concern about the EU by age:
13%
17%
11%
11%
Concern by
region:
13%
17%
9%
21%
10%
21%
14%
8% 7%
Overall Male Female CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE
Social GradeGender Party support
Concern about the EU by key demographic groups:
19
Age and social grade – different priorities
What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
EU/immigration/NHS/economy
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
24%
47%
43%
51%
48%
56%
9%
2%
14%
8%
26%
12%
24%
19%
34%
27% 28%
23%
33%
30%
48%
40%
43%
41%
ABC1 18-34 C2DE 18-34 ABC1 35-54 C2DE 35-54 ABC1 55+ C2DE 55+
IMMIGRATION EUROPE/EU ECONOMY NHS
Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015

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Economist/Ipsos MORI Issues Index: June 2015

  • 1. JUNE 2015 ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Jerry.Latter@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  • 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain: June Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 45% 40% 26% 18% 16% 16% 13% 13% 11% 10% Immigration/immigrants NHS Economy Unemployment Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality EU/Europe Housing Pensions/Benefits Low pay/Fair wages +5 -4 -1 -10 -5 -1 +4 -3 0 -1 % Change since May: -1 Position Top mentions % +1 -1 +1 -1 +4 -2
  • 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain: June Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 45% 40% 26% 18% 16% 16% 13% 13% 11% 10% 26% 12% 13% 5% 2% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% Immigration/immigrants NHS Economy Unemployment Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality EU/Europe Housing Pensions/benefits Low pay/fair wages Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
  • 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION
  • 5. 5 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Global Recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US End of recession announced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Lowest score since March 2008 (26%) Northern Rock nationalised
  • 6. 6 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants* Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home * Up until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest score since March 2008 (45%)
  • 7. 7 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since December 2008 (18%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • 8. 8 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May day riots Riots in England 9/11 Lowest score since Oct 92 (9%)
  • 9. 9 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since April 2006 (47%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 10. 10 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most important issue. First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools Education and Inspections Act limits the power of LAs to open new schools April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 11. 11 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 9/11 London Bombs Invasion of Iraq – protests across Europe Failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libyan Civil War Rise of ISIS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 12. 12 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty July 2014: highest score recorded (18%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 13. 13 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 14. 14 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 A8 Countries join the EU House prices rising at fastest rate in 10 years Highest score since July 2007 (16%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 15. 15 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Lords vote to increase compensation for those whose company pension schemes have collapsed Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well- off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 16. 16 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding across the UK EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Flooding in England Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  • 17. 17 Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 Treaty of Accession: 10 new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) UKIP come first in Euro elections Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home EU Referendum bill: Highest score since June 2005 (13%)
  • 18. 18 Concern about the EU differs substantially by demographic group Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Europe/EU Ipsos MORI Issues Index 3% 18-24 7% 25-34 8% 35-44 14% 45-54 20% 55-64 20% 65+ Concern about the EU by age: 13% 17% 11% 11% Concern by region: 13% 17% 9% 21% 10% 21% 14% 8% 7% Overall Male Female CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support Concern about the EU by key demographic groups:
  • 19. 19 Age and social grade – different priorities What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/immigration/NHS/economy Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 24% 47% 43% 51% 48% 56% 9% 2% 14% 8% 26% 12% 24% 19% 34% 27% 28% 23% 33% 30% 48% 40% 43% 41% ABC1 18-34 C2DE 18-34 ABC1 35-54 C2DE 35-54 ABC1 55+ C2DE 55+ IMMIGRATION EUROPE/EU ECONOMY NHS Base: 963 British adults 18+, 5th – 15th June 2015