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Where we are now and how we get to where we want to be?
Ethan Mansfield
SW Idaho Regional Economist
Idaho Department of Labor
Economic Development in
Kuna
Outline
• What Does Kuna’s Economy Look like now?
• What is it projected to look like in the future?
• What are the Economic Development policy changes going forward
that might affect the county’s position in the future?
Source: EMSI
9.9
3.1
9.7
3.7
10
5.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Unemployment Rates
Ada County, Idaho and United States
2007-2015
Ada Idaho US
Jobs and Wages
• Population = 17,226
• Idaho = 1,654,930
• Total Jobs = 3,181
• Idaho = 765,509
• Average Wage per Job = $37,216
• Idaho = $36,745
• 2010-2016 Job Growth = 136
• Idaho = 88,648
• 2010-2016 Percent Job Growth = 4%
• Idaho = 13%
Description
2016
Jobs
2010 -
2016
Change
2010 - 2016
% Change
Current Wages,
Salaries, & Proprietor
Earnings
Nat'l
Growth
Effect
Ind. Mix
Effect
Competitive
Effect
2016
Location
Quotient
Government (incl. Public Education) 953 59 7% $45,089 87 (98) 69 1.95
Construction 368 107 41% $36,896 25 10 72 2.14
Accommodation and Food Services 352 85 32% $15,104 26 24 35 1.30
Retail Trade 266 43 19% $31,280 22 (2) 22 0.80
Health Care and Social Assistance 221 27 14% $34,651 19 11 (2) 0.55
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation
Services
220 (205) (48%) $37,498 41 43 (289) 1.10
Crop and Animal Production 160 (25) (14%) $32,045 18 (11) (33) 4.15
Manufacturing 124 15 14% $44,988 11 (3) 7 0.49
Transportation and Warehousing 122 7 6% $43,942 11 8 (12) 1.15
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
108 12 13% $48,540 9 7 (5) 0.53
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
91 11 14% $24,521 8 (7) 9 0.60
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 51 (13) (20%) $18,440 6 3 (23) 0.95
Finance and Insurance 41 4 11% $64,328 4 (2) 2 0.33
Private Educational Services 34 8 31% $28,419 3 0 5 0.43
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 32 4 14% $41,646 3 (1) 2 0.62
Wholesale Trade 23 0 0% $80,585 2 (0) (2) 0.19
Utilities 12 (1) (8%) $83,043 1 (1) (2) 1.02
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
0 0 0% $0 0 0 0 0.00
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
<10 Insf. Data Insf. Data Insf. Data 0 (0) 0 0.06
Information <10 Insf. Data Insf. Data Insf. Data 0 (0) 1 0.07
13.1
10.7
5.6
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Kuna city, Idaho
Ada County, Idaho
Idaho
Percent Population Change
2010-2015
7.9
11.5
13.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho
Percent over 65 years old
2014
$1,224
$1,358
$1,212
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho
Median Monthly Costs
Housing Units with a Mortgage
2014
$1,016
$844
$738
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho
Median Monthly Rent
2014
NAICS Description
2015 - 2025
Change
2015 - 2025 %
Change
72 Accommodation and Food Services 88 28%
90 Government (incl. Public Education) 65 7%
23 Construction 62 18%
44 Retail Trade 49 19%
31 Manufacturing 28 24%
62 Health Care and Social Assistance 27 12%
54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 20 19%
81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 12 14%
61 Educational Services 4 11%
52 Finance and Insurance 3 8%
22 Utilities 2 18%
53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2 7%
48 Transportation and Warehousing 1 1%
55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 0 0%
42 Wholesale Trade (6) (26%)
71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (12) (17%)
11 Crop and Animal Production (29) (18%)
56
Administrative and Support and Waste Management
and Remediation Services
(48) (24%)
21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Insf. Data Insf. Data
51 Information Insf. Data Insf. Data
Total 267 9%
What Factors Contribute to Unequal
Economic Development across Space?
• Natural Amenities
• Cultural Amenities
• Human Capital (Workforce)
• Infrastructure
• Jobs follow people vs. people follow jobs?
• More support for jobs follow people in rural areas
• Tax Policy?
How Can we Help?
• Attract and Retain Talented Workers (or any workers)
• Choose Idaho campaign
• Local Policy that encourages workers to stay and attracts new ones (i.e. what
does your target audience want in a community?)
• Create Talent Pipelines within the community
• Amenities Matter to Migration
• What does a new generation look for?
• Infrastructure is important
• Physical Infrastructure
• Roads, Railways, Air Service
• Virtual Infrastructure
• Broadband
Thank You!
• Ethan Mansfield
• ethan.mansfield@labor.Idaho.gov
• Sources: Economic Modeling Specialists International; US Census
Bureau, County Quickfacts; Idaho Department of Labor, Population
Projections.

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Economic Development in Kuna, Idaho

  • 1. Where we are now and how we get to where we want to be? Ethan Mansfield SW Idaho Regional Economist Idaho Department of Labor Economic Development in Kuna
  • 2. Outline • What Does Kuna’s Economy Look like now? • What is it projected to look like in the future? • What are the Economic Development policy changes going forward that might affect the county’s position in the future?
  • 3. Source: EMSI 9.9 3.1 9.7 3.7 10 5.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Unemployment Rates Ada County, Idaho and United States 2007-2015 Ada Idaho US
  • 4. Jobs and Wages • Population = 17,226 • Idaho = 1,654,930 • Total Jobs = 3,181 • Idaho = 765,509 • Average Wage per Job = $37,216 • Idaho = $36,745 • 2010-2016 Job Growth = 136 • Idaho = 88,648 • 2010-2016 Percent Job Growth = 4% • Idaho = 13%
  • 5.
  • 6. Description 2016 Jobs 2010 - 2016 Change 2010 - 2016 % Change Current Wages, Salaries, & Proprietor Earnings Nat'l Growth Effect Ind. Mix Effect Competitive Effect 2016 Location Quotient Government (incl. Public Education) 953 59 7% $45,089 87 (98) 69 1.95 Construction 368 107 41% $36,896 25 10 72 2.14 Accommodation and Food Services 352 85 32% $15,104 26 24 35 1.30 Retail Trade 266 43 19% $31,280 22 (2) 22 0.80 Health Care and Social Assistance 221 27 14% $34,651 19 11 (2) 0.55 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 220 (205) (48%) $37,498 41 43 (289) 1.10 Crop and Animal Production 160 (25) (14%) $32,045 18 (11) (33) 4.15 Manufacturing 124 15 14% $44,988 11 (3) 7 0.49 Transportation and Warehousing 122 7 6% $43,942 11 8 (12) 1.15 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 108 12 13% $48,540 9 7 (5) 0.53 Other Services (except Public Administration) 91 11 14% $24,521 8 (7) 9 0.60 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 51 (13) (20%) $18,440 6 3 (23) 0.95 Finance and Insurance 41 4 11% $64,328 4 (2) 2 0.33 Private Educational Services 34 8 31% $28,419 3 0 5 0.43 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 32 4 14% $41,646 3 (1) 2 0.62 Wholesale Trade 23 0 0% $80,585 2 (0) (2) 0.19 Utilities 12 (1) (8%) $83,043 1 (1) (2) 1.02 Management of Companies and Enterprises 0 0 0% $0 0 0 0 0.00 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction <10 Insf. Data Insf. Data Insf. Data 0 (0) 0 0.06 Information <10 Insf. Data Insf. Data Insf. Data 0 (0) 1 0.07
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. 13.1 10.7 5.6 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho Percent Population Change 2010-2015
  • 10. 7.9 11.5 13.4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho Percent over 65 years old 2014
  • 11. $1,224 $1,358 $1,212 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 $1,300 $1,400 $1,500 Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho Median Monthly Costs Housing Units with a Mortgage 2014
  • 12. $1,016 $844 $738 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 Kuna city, Idaho Ada County, Idaho Idaho Median Monthly Rent 2014
  • 13. NAICS Description 2015 - 2025 Change 2015 - 2025 % Change 72 Accommodation and Food Services 88 28% 90 Government (incl. Public Education) 65 7% 23 Construction 62 18% 44 Retail Trade 49 19% 31 Manufacturing 28 24% 62 Health Care and Social Assistance 27 12% 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 20 19% 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) 12 14% 61 Educational Services 4 11% 52 Finance and Insurance 3 8% 22 Utilities 2 18% 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2 7% 48 Transportation and Warehousing 1 1% 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 0 0% 42 Wholesale Trade (6) (26%) 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (12) (17%) 11 Crop and Animal Production (29) (18%) 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services (48) (24%) 21 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Insf. Data Insf. Data 51 Information Insf. Data Insf. Data Total 267 9%
  • 14. What Factors Contribute to Unequal Economic Development across Space? • Natural Amenities • Cultural Amenities • Human Capital (Workforce) • Infrastructure • Jobs follow people vs. people follow jobs? • More support for jobs follow people in rural areas • Tax Policy?
  • 15. How Can we Help? • Attract and Retain Talented Workers (or any workers) • Choose Idaho campaign • Local Policy that encourages workers to stay and attracts new ones (i.e. what does your target audience want in a community?) • Create Talent Pipelines within the community • Amenities Matter to Migration • What does a new generation look for? • Infrastructure is important • Physical Infrastructure • Roads, Railways, Air Service • Virtual Infrastructure • Broadband
  • 16. Thank You! • Ethan Mansfield • ethan.mansfield@labor.Idaho.gov • Sources: Economic Modeling Specialists International; US Census Bureau, County Quickfacts; Idaho Department of Labor, Population Projections.