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INNOVAATILISED LAHENDUSED ENERGEETIKAS:  MAASOOJUSENERGIA
Economic Aspects of Geothermal District Heating and Power Generation German Experience Transferable? Dr. Thomas Reif, Sonntag & Partner
The topics: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Deep geothermal potential and its use in Germany a) Hydrothermal sources in Germany source:  Bayerischer Geothermieatlas North German Basin Molasse Basin Upper Rhine
b)  Geological situation in the Bavarian Molasse Basin fresh-water Molasse upper sea Molasse  lower sea Molasse Eocene shalkstone malm dogger crystal source:  Bernried Erdwärme AG marine transgression disturbance zones    North Geothermal gradient: ca. 3°C per 100 m TVD Hot water aquifer with good flow rates! South  
c)  Major district heating and electricity generation projects district heating projects electricity projects - Straubing - Erding - Riem - Pullach - Simbach/ Braunau - Unterschleisheim - Aschheim/Feldkichen/ Kirchheim - Unterföhring Neustadt-Glewe Waren / Müritz Neubrandenburg Prenzlau Offenbach a.d. Queich Speyer Unterhaching Landau Dürrnhaar Kirchstockach Mauerstetten Sauerlach Bad Urach Insheim Soultz-sous-Forêts Landau
d)  Geothermal project-features source : GeotIS, Geothermische Vereinigung
e)  Low enthalpy - but huge contribution to energy supply source : KESS GbmH 6.200 geothermal load increased  geothermal load 10.700 temperature: 84°C flow rate:  55 kg/s Example 1 district heating: annual   load duration curve  10.000 inhabitants
source : KESS GmbH temperature: 84°C flow rate:  55 kg/s 6.200 geothermal load 13.000 increased  geothermal load Example 2 district heating: annual   load duration curve  30.000 inhabitants
2.  Business environment for heat and electricity generation geothermal  electricity generation geothermal  district heating feed-in tarif based on the  Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)‏ Fixed price per MWh - subsidized by all power customers Geothermal energy supplies base-load! market heat-price „ marketable“ price competitive to traditional  energies oil, gas, biomass etc. (Almost)  no subsidies!
revenues from the German feed-in tarif (EEG)‏ excluding VAT ,[object Object]
3.   Economic analysis electricity generation a) Project features
b)  Investment overview   SUM    ca. 2,5 Mio.€ / 1.000 m MD (wells >4.000 m TVD and 8 1/2 “ diameter at total depth  including typical “troubles” / contingencies)‏
c)  Electricity generation costs   End of depreciation of wells and plant ,[object Object],[object Object],3 years construction period (2009 - 2011)‏
d)  Project profitability break-even-point „ market price break“ after the end of feed-in-tarif-period ,[object Object],[object Object]
e)  Profitability and geology - geology is crucial to secure by discovery insurance 7% increase in temperature   >30% increase in profitability    and vice versa
f)  Profitability and investment  (flow rate 120 l/s)‏ 10 % increase in investment   ca. 10 % loss of profitability    and vice versa
4.  Economic analysis heat generation a) Project features  (e.g.: town with ca. 30.000 inhabitants)
b)  Investment   overview   Distribution system is by far dominating
c)  Project profitability Usually 5 - 15 years to break-even, if a distribution network has to be built up Losses accrued
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
d)  Heat production costs Decrease in cost of heat / MWh because of increase in connected customers  (= economies of scale and scope)‏ Increase in cost of heat / MWh, primarily because of increase in cost of material (biomass, electricity, oil)‏
e)  Energy prices vs. geothermal heat prices price basis: 1998 Based on a typical escalation clause for the geothermal district heating energy rate (e.g. 10% oil, 20% electricity, 30% biomass, 30% invest, 10% wages)‏
5.  Project design - project optimization (CHP)‏
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],6.  „Parameters“ for Estonian project examples   very simplified assumptions!
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
7.  „Simulation“ of an EGS electricity project in Estonia a) Project features
b)  Investment overview SUM EGS / HDR / HFR    ca. 2,5 Mio.€ / 1.000 m MD (wells >5.000 m TVD and 6 1/8 “ diameter at total depth  including contingencies)‏
c)  Electricity generation costs 3 years construction period (2009 - 2011)‏ End of depreciation of wells and plant
Sensitivity of electricity cost to changes in parameters ,[object Object],Average price during project period
d)  Summary geothermal power generation in Estonia ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
8. „ Simulation“ of a district heating project in Estonia a) Project features  (with ca. 30.000 inhabitants)
b)  Investment overview
c)  Energy concept (Estonian town with 30.000 inhabitants)‏ source : KESS GmbH temperature: 105°C flow rate:  50 kg/s 10.050 geothermal load 17.300 Increased geothermal load
d)  Heat production costs Usual increase in cost of heat / MWh, because of increase in cost of material (biomass, electricity, oil)‏ Decrease in cost of heat / MWh because of lower cost of network construction than in Germany and significant economies of scale concerning capital costs of  the wells.
e)  Summary geothermal district heating in Estonia ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
9.  Summary “ Affordable” differences in exploration costs at least for heating purposes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
10. Geothermal systems a) Open / closed systems geothermal heat collector - closed distribution network - use: heating and cooling of small  building    geothermal probe - closed U-tube in  wells to 150 m depth - use: heating and cooling of buildings deep geothermal probe - closed double  tube in wells of  2.000 to 3.000  meter depth - use: heating for industry, large building, network closed systems: shallow geothermal energy also: deep geothermal probe (> 400m)‏ source:  fesa e.V. Freiburg
Hot-Dry-Rock - system of heat exchange - use: heat and electricity production - for industry, large building, distribution network hydrothermal geothermal energy - well in deep thermal water areas - use: heat and electricity production - for industry, large building, distribution network ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],source:  fesa e.V. Freiburg
b) Hydrothermal geothermal energy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],source:  Bernried Erdwärme AG
c) Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) / Hot-Dry-Rock (HDR)  / Hot Fractured Rock (HFR)‏ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],source : Geothermal Explorers Ltd
d) electricity generation source:  Bernried Erdwärme AG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
11. About us a) S&P geothermal-team Dr. Thomas Reif Dipl.-Volkswirt, Rechtsanwalt, Fachanwalt für Steuerrecht Birgit Maneth Rechtsanwältin, LL.M., Fachanwältin für gewerblichen Rechtsschutz Dr. Martina Vollmar Rechtsanwältin, Fachanwältin für Steuerrecht, Steuerberaterin Karin Gohm Rechtsanwaltsfachangestellte Gerd Wolter, C.P.A. Dipl.-Kaufmann, Steuerberater, Wirtschaftsprüfer  Irene Lang Dipl.- Betriebswirtin Ramona Trommer Dipl.-Kauffrau,  Wiss. Assistentin Gerd Wolter, C.P.A. Harald Asum Dipl.-Betriebswirt
b) Some reference projects - www.geothermiekompetenz.de ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dr. rer. pol. Thomas Reif Dipl.-Volksw., Rechtsanwalt, Fachanwalt für Steuerrecht www.geothermiekompetenz.de Sonntag & Partner Wirtschaftsprüfer Steuerberater Rechtsanwälte  Schertlinstraße 23 · 86159 Augsburg Telefon 0821/57058-0 · Telefax 0821/57058-153 Elektrastraße 6 · 81925 München Telefon 089/2554434-0 · Telefax 089/2554434-9 www.sonntag-partner.de
INNOVAATILISED LAHENDUSED ENERGEETIKAS:  MAASOOJUSENERGIA

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Economic Aspects of Geothermal District. Heating and Power Generation. German Experience Transferable? by Dr. Thomas Reif

  • 2. Economic Aspects of Geothermal District Heating and Power Generation German Experience Transferable? Dr. Thomas Reif, Sonntag & Partner
  • 3.
  • 4. 1. Deep geothermal potential and its use in Germany a) Hydrothermal sources in Germany source: Bayerischer Geothermieatlas North German Basin Molasse Basin Upper Rhine
  • 5. b) Geological situation in the Bavarian Molasse Basin fresh-water Molasse upper sea Molasse lower sea Molasse Eocene shalkstone malm dogger crystal source: Bernried Erdwärme AG marine transgression disturbance zones  North Geothermal gradient: ca. 3°C per 100 m TVD Hot water aquifer with good flow rates! South 
  • 6. c) Major district heating and electricity generation projects district heating projects electricity projects - Straubing - Erding - Riem - Pullach - Simbach/ Braunau - Unterschleisheim - Aschheim/Feldkichen/ Kirchheim - Unterföhring Neustadt-Glewe Waren / Müritz Neubrandenburg Prenzlau Offenbach a.d. Queich Speyer Unterhaching Landau Dürrnhaar Kirchstockach Mauerstetten Sauerlach Bad Urach Insheim Soultz-sous-Forêts Landau
  • 7. d) Geothermal project-features source : GeotIS, Geothermische Vereinigung
  • 8. e) Low enthalpy - but huge contribution to energy supply source : KESS GbmH 6.200 geothermal load increased geothermal load 10.700 temperature: 84°C flow rate: 55 kg/s Example 1 district heating: annual load duration curve 10.000 inhabitants
  • 9. source : KESS GmbH temperature: 84°C flow rate: 55 kg/s 6.200 geothermal load 13.000 increased geothermal load Example 2 district heating: annual load duration curve 30.000 inhabitants
  • 10. 2. Business environment for heat and electricity generation geothermal electricity generation geothermal district heating feed-in tarif based on the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)‏ Fixed price per MWh - subsidized by all power customers Geothermal energy supplies base-load! market heat-price „ marketable“ price competitive to traditional energies oil, gas, biomass etc. (Almost) no subsidies!
  • 11.
  • 12. 3. Economic analysis electricity generation a) Project features
  • 13. b) Investment overview SUM  ca. 2,5 Mio.€ / 1.000 m MD (wells >4.000 m TVD and 8 1/2 “ diameter at total depth including typical “troubles” / contingencies)‏
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. e) Profitability and geology - geology is crucial to secure by discovery insurance 7% increase in temperature  >30% increase in profitability  and vice versa
  • 17. f) Profitability and investment (flow rate 120 l/s)‏ 10 % increase in investment  ca. 10 % loss of profitability  and vice versa
  • 18. 4. Economic analysis heat generation a) Project features (e.g.: town with ca. 30.000 inhabitants)
  • 19. b) Investment overview Distribution system is by far dominating
  • 20. c) Project profitability Usually 5 - 15 years to break-even, if a distribution network has to be built up Losses accrued
  • 21.
  • 22. d) Heat production costs Decrease in cost of heat / MWh because of increase in connected customers (= economies of scale and scope)‏ Increase in cost of heat / MWh, primarily because of increase in cost of material (biomass, electricity, oil)‏
  • 23. e) Energy prices vs. geothermal heat prices price basis: 1998 Based on a typical escalation clause for the geothermal district heating energy rate (e.g. 10% oil, 20% electricity, 30% biomass, 30% invest, 10% wages)‏
  • 24. 5. Project design - project optimization (CHP)‏
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. 7. „Simulation“ of an EGS electricity project in Estonia a) Project features
  • 30. b) Investment overview SUM EGS / HDR / HFR  ca. 2,5 Mio.€ / 1.000 m MD (wells >5.000 m TVD and 6 1/8 “ diameter at total depth including contingencies)‏
  • 31. c) Electricity generation costs 3 years construction period (2009 - 2011)‏ End of depreciation of wells and plant
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. 8. „ Simulation“ of a district heating project in Estonia a) Project features (with ca. 30.000 inhabitants)
  • 35. b) Investment overview
  • 36. c) Energy concept (Estonian town with 30.000 inhabitants)‏ source : KESS GmbH temperature: 105°C flow rate: 50 kg/s 10.050 geothermal load 17.300 Increased geothermal load
  • 37. d) Heat production costs Usual increase in cost of heat / MWh, because of increase in cost of material (biomass, electricity, oil)‏ Decrease in cost of heat / MWh because of lower cost of network construction than in Germany and significant economies of scale concerning capital costs of the wells.
  • 38.
  • 39. 9. Summary “ Affordable” differences in exploration costs at least for heating purposes
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. 10. Geothermal systems a) Open / closed systems geothermal heat collector - closed distribution network - use: heating and cooling of small building   geothermal probe - closed U-tube in wells to 150 m depth - use: heating and cooling of buildings deep geothermal probe - closed double tube in wells of 2.000 to 3.000 meter depth - use: heating for industry, large building, network closed systems: shallow geothermal energy also: deep geothermal probe (> 400m)‏ source: fesa e.V. Freiburg
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. 11. About us a) S&P geothermal-team Dr. Thomas Reif Dipl.-Volkswirt, Rechtsanwalt, Fachanwalt für Steuerrecht Birgit Maneth Rechtsanwältin, LL.M., Fachanwältin für gewerblichen Rechtsschutz Dr. Martina Vollmar Rechtsanwältin, Fachanwältin für Steuerrecht, Steuerberaterin Karin Gohm Rechtsanwaltsfachangestellte Gerd Wolter, C.P.A. Dipl.-Kaufmann, Steuerberater, Wirtschaftsprüfer Irene Lang Dipl.- Betriebswirtin Ramona Trommer Dipl.-Kauffrau, Wiss. Assistentin Gerd Wolter, C.P.A. Harald Asum Dipl.-Betriebswirt
  • 48.
  • 49. Dr. rer. pol. Thomas Reif Dipl.-Volksw., Rechtsanwalt, Fachanwalt für Steuerrecht www.geothermiekompetenz.de Sonntag & Partner Wirtschaftsprüfer Steuerberater Rechtsanwälte Schertlinstraße 23 · 86159 Augsburg Telefon 0821/57058-0 · Telefax 0821/57058-153 Elektrastraße 6 · 81925 München Telefon 089/2554434-0 · Telefax 089/2554434-9 www.sonntag-partner.de