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Copyright © 2002 by Sage Publications, Inc.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or
utilized in any form
or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including
photocopying, recording, or
by any information storage and retrieval system, without
permission in writing from
the publisher.
For information:
Sage Publications, Inc.
2455 Teller Road
Thousand Oaks, California 91320
E-mail: [email protected]
Sage Publications Ltd.
6 Bonhill Street
London EC2A 4PU
United Kingdom
Sage Publications India Pvt. Ltd.
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Greater Kailash I
New Delhi 110 048 India
Printed in the United States of America
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Drozdenko, Ronald G.
Optimal database maketing: strategy, development, and data
mining/
by Ronald G. Drozdenko and Perry D. Drake.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-7619-2357-8
1. Database marketing. 2. Electronic commerce.
I. Drake, Perry D. II. Title.
HF5415.126 .D76 2002
658.8’4-dc20 2001005596
This book is printed on acid-free paper.
02 03 04 05 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Acquisitions Editor: Marquita Flemming
Editorial Assistant: MaryAnn Vail
Production Editor: Claudia A. Hoffman
Indexer: Molly Hall
Cover Designer: Michelle Lee
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page vi
Contents
Preface xv
Supplemental Material xvii
Acknowledgments xix
Foreword xxi
1. Introduction to Database Marketing Concepts 1
What Is a Marketing Database? 3
Trends Leading to the Use of Databases in Marketing 4
Market Segmentation 5
Emphasis on Service and CRM 6
Changes in Media 7
Changes in Distribution Structure and Power 8
Lifestyle and Demographic Trends 9
Accountability for Marketing Actions 10
Integration of Business Functions 11
Technological Advances 11
More Informed Customers 12
Database Marketing Versus Aggregate Marketing 13
Advantages of Database Marketing 15
Disadvantages of Database Marketing 16
Cost Issues 16
Global Markets 17
Competition From Traditional Retailer 17
Negative Perceptions 18
Framework for This Book 18
Chapter Summary 19
Review Questions 19
2. Stategic Database Development in the Marketing
Planning Process 21
Computerized Databases 23
Customer Databases Versus Other Marketing Databases 24
The Need for Strategic Planning 25
Developing a Systematic Plan for Using Marketing
Databases 26
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The Marketing Planning Process and Database
Implementation 27
Situational Analysis 28
Establishing Marketing Objectives 29
Strategy Development 30
Strategy Development, Targeting, and Product
Positioning 32
Marketing Programs 33
Distribution 34
Promotion 34
Price 35
Product 35
Monitor and Control 36
Databases and the Planning Process 36
Chapter Summary 37
Review Questions 38
3. Defining Customer Data Requirements 39
Data Needs Determination 40
Fulfillment, Marketing, and Prospecting Databases 41
Data Residing on the Marketing Database 41
Internal or House Data 41
Fulfillment Data 43
Marketing Data 43
Customer Contact Data 44
External or Enhancement Data 45
Compiled List Data 45
Census Data 47
Modeled Data 49
Lists Versus Data 49
Applying and Using Enhancement Data 51
Chapter Summary 53
Review Questions 53
4. Database Maintenance and Coding 55
Standard Database Maintenance Routines 56
Deduping the Customer File 57
Householding the Customer File 58
Purging Old Customer Records 59
Changing Contact Information 59
Standardizing Addresses 61
Removing Names From Databases at Consumer Request 61
Identifying Customers With Match Coding 62
Merge/Purge Processing 64
Coding Source and Promotional Offers 65
Salting Files and Decoy Records 66
Identifying Credit Risks and Frauds 67
Field Updating Rules 67
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Reporting Summary/Aggregate-Level Information 68
Database Storage and Security 70
Database Maintenance Schedules 72
Some Technical Aspects of Database Maintenance 73
Chapter Summary 73
Review Questions 73
5. Basic Database Technology, Organizational
Considerations, and Database Planning 75
Computer Hardware and Software 77
Database Hardware 78
Midrange Computers 79
PCs 79
Hardware Decision Factors 80
Database Software 80
Database System Organization 83
Structured Databases 83
Relational Databases 85
Comparison of Structured and Relational Databases 85
Structured Query Language (SQL) and Data Analysis 85
Organizational Considerations in Technical Database Design 86
Outsourcing: The Process to Select a Database Provider 88
Phases of Database Development 91
Comments on Technological Development of the
Database 92
Chapter Summary 93
Review Questions 93
6. The Analysis Sample 95
How We Sample 96
Representative Samples 96
Random Samples 97
Sample Usage 97
Creation of the Analysis Sample 98
Methods of Saving Point-in-Time Sample Data 100
Analysis and Validation Samples 101
Application of Analysis Findings 101
Chapter Summary 101
Review Questions 102
7. Analyzing and Manipulating Customer Data 103
Getting to Know Your Data 104
The Analysis 105
Univariate Tabulations 106
Cross-Tabulations 111
Logic Counter Variables 113
Ratio Variables 116
Longitudinal Variables 117
Time Alignment of Key Events 119
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Reducing the Amount of Customer Data to
a Manageable Set via Correlation Analysis 120
Statistical Background—Correlation Analysis 123
Chapter Summary 127
Review Questions 128
Notes 128
8. Segmenting the Customer Database 129
Defining Your Segmentation Objective 130
Segmentation Schemes 134
Segmentation for Promotional Product Offerings 134
Corporate-Level Segmentation 134
Product Line-Specific Segmentation 135
Segmentation for Life-Stage Marketing and Research 136
Segmentation Techniques 138
Univariate and Cross-Tabulation Analysis 138
Formal RFM Analysis 145
CHAID Analysis 148
Factor and Cluster Analysis 153
Factor Analysis 153
Cluster Analysis 158
Issues to Consider Regarding Segmentation
Implementation 163
Promotional Intensity 163
Too Many Products 164
Cannibalism 164
Overgeneralization 165
Ethical and Public Policy Issues 165
Chapter Summary 166
Review Questions 166
Note 167
9. An Introduction to Simple Linear Regression Modeling 169
The Simple Linear Regression Model 170
The Coefficient of Determination 174
Statistical Background—Simple Linear Regression Analysis 176
Chapter Summary 179
Review Questions 179
10. Multiple Regression Modeling 181
Defining Your Marketing Objective 182
Preparing the Data to Build the Multiple
Regression Model 184
The Multiple Regression Model 187
Model Interpretation 187
Assumptions of the Model 192
Multicollinearity 192
Other Properties 193
A Note on Modeling Binary Response Data 193
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Regression Diagnostics 194
Examining the Model for Indications of
Multicollinearity 195
Examining the Model for Variable Significance 197
Multiple “Logistic” Regression Models 199
Sample Composition 200
Outside List Modeling Options 201
Response Models 202
Clone or Best Customer Models 202
Stepwise Regression Models 205
Neural Networks 206
Data Mining, Tools, and Software 207
Ensuring That Your Model Holds Up in Rollout 213
Chapter Summary 215
Review Questions 215
Notes 216
11. Gains Charts and Expected Profit Calculations 217
The Response Gains Chart 218
Options When Lacking Validation Samples 223
Historical Gains Falloff Chart 223
Bootstrapping 225
Expected Profit Calculations 226
Reconciling Gains 231
Chapter Summary 233
Review Questions 233
12. Strategic Reporting and Analysis 235
Key Active Customer Counts 236
List Vitality Customer Statistics 238
Key List Segment Counts and Statistics 238
Calculating LTV 239
LTV Methodologies 240
LTV Profiles 241
Actual and Aggregate LTV Calculations 243
Calculating the Discount Rate and NPV 244
Sample Types Used in LTV Calculations 247
Forecasting LTV 248
Impact Studies 248
Monitoring Promotional Intensity 249
Chapter Summary 250
Review Questions 250
13. Assessing Marketing Test Results 251
Confidence Interval Calculations 252
Confidence Interval Estimation for a Sample Mean 253
Confidence Interval Estimation for a Sample Proportion 256
Confidence Interval Estimation for the Difference
Between Two Sample Means 258
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Confidence Interval Estimation for the Difference
Between Two Sample Proportions 260
Setting the Confidence Level 263
Single Sample Measures 264
Difference Between Two Sample Measures 264
Making a Business Decision Based on the
Confidence Interval 266
Single Sample Measures 266
Difference Between Two Sample Measures 267
Hypothesis Tests for Significance 268
Establishing the Hypothesis 269
Setting the Error Rate of the Hypothesis Test 269
Establishing the Direction of the Hypothesis Test 270
Hypothesis Test for the Difference Between
Two SampleMeans 270
Hypothesis Test for the Difference Between
Two Sample Proportions 275
Setting the Confidence Level of
Hypothesis Tests for Significance 279
Making a Business Decision Based on
Hypothesis Tests for Significance 279
P Value of the Hypothesis Test for Significance 279
Conducting Hypothesis Tests for Significance
Using Confidence Intervals 280
Gross Versus Net 281
Multiple Comparisons 281
Calculating Breakeven 282
Response Rate Required to Break Even 283
Increase in Response Rate Required to Break Even 283
Facts Regarding Confidence Intervals and
Hypothesis Test Results 284
Marketing Test Analysis Software 285
Chapter Summary 285
Review Questions 286
14. Planning and Designing Marketing Tests 287
Marketing Test Design Considerations 288
Rule 1: For Mailers, Include the Control Package
in the Test Plan 288
Rule 2: Reverse Test Package Changes 288
Rule 3: Test One Change at a Time 289
Rule 4: Test for Only Meaningful
Package Element Interactions 290
Rule 5: Define the Universe for Testing Carefully 291
Outside List Test Design Considerations 292
Sample Size Considerations 294
Sample Size Determination for a Sample Mean 295
Sample Size Determination for a Sample Proportion 298
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xii
Sample Size Determination for the
Difference Between Two Sample Proportions 301
Marketing Test Planning Software 304
Alternative Testing Approaches for
Small Direct Marketers 304
Chapter Summary 308
Review Questions 308
15. Marketing Databases and the Internet 309
Database Integration 310
Growth in Internet Commerce 312
The Internet Versus Other Database Marketing Media 314
Limitations of Internet Marketing 317
Personalization: The Great Promise of the Internet 319
E-Mail Marketing 321
E-Mail Applications 321
E-Mail Formats 322
Chapter Summary 324
Review Questions 325
16. Analyzing and Targeting Online Customers 327
Data Collected via the Internet 327
Registration Data 328
Behavior Data 330
Source Data 332
Understanding Internet Users and Online Buyers 332
Web Site Reporting 334
Driving Customers to Your Web Site 337
Targeting Online Customers 341
Conducting Marketing Tests in the
E-Commerce World 345
Banner Ads 345
E-Mail 347
Chapter Summary 348
Review Questions 348
17. Issues in the Marketing Environment and
Future Trends in Marketing Databases 349
The Global Business Environment 351
Social Concerns and Ethics in Database Marketing 357
Industry Organizations 360
Evolution and Trends in Database Marketing 362
Consumer Databases and the Internet 362
B-to-B Databases 364
Not-for-Profit Databases 364
Retailer Databases 365
Service Organization Databases 365
Chapter Summary 366
Review Questions 366
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Glossary 369
Additional Readings in Database and Direct Marketing 381
References 383
Name Index 387
Subject Index 389
About the Authors 397
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Preface ___________________________________________
xv
Contemporary direct marketing and e-commerce companies
cannot existin today’s competitive environment without the use
of marketing
databases. Databases allow marketers to reach customers and
cultivate
relationships more effectively and efficiently. Although
databases provide
a means to establish and enhance relationships, they can also be
used
incorrectly, inefficiently, and unethically. Our goal in this book
is to provide
the reader with a complete and solid understanding of how to
properly
establish and use databases to help organizations maximize their
relation-
ships with customers. In fact, we have not found any other book
on the
market today that contains the level of detail regarding database
marketing
applications that this one has.
We have been involved in the direct marketing industry and
academia for
many years. Ron Drozdenko teaches Strategic Marketing
Databases and
Interactive Marketing Management and has been a consultant to
many firms
over the course of his career. He is currently the Chair of the
Marketing
Department at Western Connecticut State University. Perry
Drake is an inde-
pendent database marketing consultant and adjunct faculty
member of New
York University, where he teaches Statistics for Direct
Marketers, Database
Modeling, and Advanced Database Modeling in the Direct
Marketing
Master’s Degree program.
In teaching such topics to students, we both have found little
material to
draw upon. As such, we were required to create our own content
from our
industry experience, help from peers, and published case
studies. Several
excellent books have been written on the topic of direct
marketing.
However, many of those books delve only into areas such as
copywriting
and media selection and place less emphasis on database
marketing appli-
cations from a marketer’s perspective. Our intent with this book
is to focus
on the marketing database and take readers systematically
through the
process of database strategy, development, and anal ysis.
We originally met each other in the summer of 1997 when we
were
approached by the Direct Marketing Educational Foundation
(DMEF) to
develop a database marketing course. The database course is
one of a series
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xv
of undergraduate courses in direct marketing the DMEF
developed in col-
laboration with the Marketing Department of the Ancell School
of Business
at Western Connecticut State University. (You can contact the
DMEF to
obtain more information about these courses.)
Our target audience for this book is both students and
practitioners:
upper-level undergraduates, graduate students in an MBA
program, and
entry- and middle-level direct marketers. In addition, database
analysts and
statisticians fairly new to the field of direct marketing will find
the book
useful. It will provide a complete overview of the analytical
applications in
the field of direct marketing. Direct marketing executives will
also find the
strategic elements of the book helpful for business planning.
xvi OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xvi
xvii
Supplemental Material
Academic adopters of this book have access to the following
supportmaterial from the authors:
♦ A comprehensive collection of PowerPoint slides for each
chapter
♦ Sample exercises and solutions for each chapter
♦ Sample syllabi and course organization
♦ Sample exams and quizzes
♦ Sample marketing databases for case study work given in
various
formats (delimited text files, SAS, Excel, SPSS, etc.).
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xvii
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xviii
xix
Acknowledgments
Anumber of people contributed directly or indirectly to the
developmentof this book. Because the book evolved from an
outline developed by
an advisory board established by the DMEF, the members of the
board
deserve acknowledgment. In particular, Richard Montesi and
Laurie Spar
were instrumental in establishing the board and organizing the
meetings.
David Henneberry and Dante Cirilli worked with us to establish
the origi-
nal outline that served as the basis for the database marketing
course and
eventually this book. The extensive backgrounds of Dave and
Dan in the
direct marketing industry ensure that the book’s foundation is
solid.
We also wish to acknowledge the indirect contributions of a
number of
small and large professional associations in the direct marketing
community
that allowed us to examine database marketing in application. In
particular,
The Reader’s Digest Association and Grolier Direct Marketing
influenced
our perspectives on database marketing.
One of our primary reasons for writing this book is to provide
market-
ing students with a good foundation in database strategy,
development, and
analysis. Therefore, the feedback we obtained from our students
at the
Ancell School of Business at Western Connecticut State
University and New
York University was especially valuable in translating course
materials into
a coherent book. Students also read drafts of sections of the
book and
offered several cogent suggestions. In particular, Perry gives
special thanks
to some of his past students at NYU—Joe Bello, Janelle
Bowleg, Eric
Chism, Dean Krispin, Steve LaScala, and Bob Wiener—for their
tremen-
dous efforts in ensuring that the book content was complete,
consistent,
and understandable.
Industry reviewers of chapters of this book deserve our
gratitude. In
particular, Perry personally thanks, first and foremost, Pierre
Passavant,
the previous director of the NYU Direct Marketing Master’s
Degree pro-
gram, for his support and the many opportunities he provided.
Secondly, we
thank Gary Coles for his significant review of Chapter 10, Rich
Lawsky
for his significant review of Chapter 4, and Elizabeth
Colquhoun for her
review of all the chapters for clarity. In addition, we thank
Craig Ceire,
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xix
Mary-Elizabeth Eddlestone, Mary Halloran, Patrick Hanrahan,
Jim Tucker,
Henry Weinberger, and Pat Zamora for their individual
contributions deal-
ing with specific topics. We are also indebted to the following
reviewers of
the completed manuscript. Their comments and suggestions
have helped
improve the final version of the book.
Naomi Bernstein
Dante Cirilli
C. Samuel Craig
David Heneberry
Richard Hochhauser
Patrick E. Kenny
Brian Kurtz
Peter C. Mueller
Pierre Passavant
Kari Regan
Mary Lou Roberts
Thanks to the team at Sage Publications, including Marquita
Flemming,
MaryAnn Vail, and our copy editor, Barbara Coster, for their
support and
guidance.
Last, but certainly not least, our appreciation goes to our
families. In
addition to lending moral support, some family members
provided direct
contributions to the development of the book. Rita Drozdenko,
Ron’s wife,
read several chapters and provided feedback from the
perspective of a
novice to the field. Rhonda Knehans Drake, Perry’s wife and an
accom-
plished database marketing consultant, made a significant
contribution to
the book. Rhonda wrote Chapter 16, “Analyzing and Targeting
Online
Customers,” and also provided professional critiques of other
chapters.
Tarry Drake-Schaffner, Perry’s sister, an avid book reader and
bookstore
owner, spent a tremendous amount of time editing and rewriting
all the
technically oriented chapters. Words cannot express the thanks
that Perry
has for her invaluable input in ensuring that complex topics
could be under-
stood by a beginner. As a novice to the field herself, this was
not an easy
task for Tarry, especially given the tight deadlines. Thank you,
Tarry, for
your tremendous efforts.
—Ronald G. Drozdenko
—Perry D. Drake
xx OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xx
xxi
Foreword
With about 70 years of management and teaching experience
betweenus, we know a superior training/reference book when we
read it. This
is a great one. We aren’t surprised, because we both confer with
the authors
about the database issues of our own seminars, classes, and
clients.
If you have a database, chances are you have database questions
and
issues: How good are the data? How complete? Are you
capturing the right
data? Are you using the data to the maximum advantage? Will
investments
in new system enhancements pay out? What steps must be
followed when
considering to outsource your database? What issues must be
considered
when examining data mining tools? How do you learn sound
database
management practices? How do you teach them? How do you
provide intel-
ligent leadership to database management departments that
report to you?
The answers require a thoughtful examination of what is
needed, how to
capture it, at what cost—and some knowledge of statistics that
most of us
don’t have. You won’t find a better resource than this book. It
covers all
aspects of database marketing, including database design,
maintenance,
data usage, test design, and data analysis. In all these areas, the
focus is on
how to best utilize the database to optimize marketing efforts.
Important
current issues such as e-commerce, ethics, privacy, and
globalization are
also covered.
Coauthor Ronald G. Drozdenko, Ph.D., Professor and Chair of
the
Marketing Department at the Ancell School of Business,
Western
Connecticut State University, teaches Strategic Marketing
Databases and
Interactive/Direct Marketing Management. He was a member of
the advis-
ory board established by the Direct Marketing Educational
Foundation to
develop a model curriculum for direct/interactive marketing.
This model
program is currently being offered at the Ancell School. In his
role as fac-
ulty adviser for student interns, Ron uses company feedback to
enrich the
program with continuing real-life applications. Ron has also
accumulated
more than 20 years of applied marketing experience. Both his
academic
and applied marketing backgrounds are reflected in the
approach taken in
this book.
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xxi
Coauthor Perry D. Drake is currently a database marketing
consultant
and faculty member in the Master’s of Science in Direct
Marketing program
at New York University. Prior to this, Perry had spent over 10
years in vari-
ous database marketing roles at The Reader’s Digest
Association, most
recently as the director of a special division within the
Marketing Services
group. During Perry’s first year at NYU, word got around that
he had a
remarkable ability to make topics such as statistics and database
modeling
and regression understandable and interesting. In recognition of
his abil-
ities, he won the first Outstanding Master’s Faculty Award.
Perry’s excep-
tional teaching skills are very evident in the chapters of this
book.
The book that Ron and Perry have written tracks a character,
Keri Lee,
as she resolves data and database issues at every step in her
advancement
through the ranks, first in a technology agency servicing clients
and later as
a senior manager in a large publishing company. Her reasoning
and her
solutions to data problems of increasing complexity demonstrate
the
methodology of database management in all its statistics-driven
splendor.
Go as deeply as you need for your purpose. The practical
wisdom and con-
crete examples make it an ideal resource for business managers,
instructors,
trainers, and students.
If you are a business manager, this book will help you oversee
the vari-
ous specialists you must work with to implement a database
marketing
strategy. If you are an instructor, trainer, or student, it will give
you a clear
picture of what actually happens in the real world of business
and specific
techniques used by business professionals. Keep the book at
hand to resolve
your next database dilemma.
—David Heneberry
Director, Direct Marketing Certificate Programs,
Ancell School of Business, Western Connecticut State
University
—Pierre Passavant
Professor of Direct Marketing, Mercy College, Westchester,
New York
xxii OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING
Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xxii
Introduction to Database
Marketing Concepts
1
1
It’s 7:15 p.m., Keri Lee, a 29-year-old account executive for a
technology
company, stops at a supermarket in Southbury, Connecticut, on
her way
home from work. After picking up Diet Pepsi, a few tomatoes,
lettuce, and
a package of Swiss cheese, she goes to the express checkout
line. Keri hands
her store card to the clerk, who scans it prior to processing her
order. Using
the store card allows her to get a discount on the cheese. With
her sales
receipt, she also gets a $0.40 coupon for Ritz Crackers. The bill
came to
$6.20. Keri paid with her VISA card.
Keri picks up her mail before going into the house. There are
catalogs from
Bloomingdales, L. L. Bean, Macy’s, and Pottery Barn. She puts
the Pottery
Barn catalog to the side. Her sister’s birthday is in two weeks
and the items
in the catalog are consistent with her sister’s decorating style.
In addition to the electric and VISA bills, she has a letter from
the
Volkswagen dealership thanking her for her recent purchase and
a letter
from the American Red Cross. Remembering that the Red Cross
recently
helped her friend who was caught in a flood, she makes a
contribution by
checking a box and entering her VISA number.
Keri also got the new issues of Smart Business, Business Week,
and Self
magazines. An ad in Business Week about a technology
conference attracts
her attention, and she fills out an attached response card
requesting more
information.
After dinner, she receives a phone call from an insurance
company. At first,
she is irritated by the call. She then remembers that her car
insurance rates
increased substantially since she leased her new Volkswagen
and asks the
person on the phone for a quote. Later that evening, she goes on
the Internet
to look for other insurance companies and requests three more
quotes online.
Drozdenko01 2/26/02 6:03 PM Page 1
2 OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING
Browsing the Web, she remembers that she has almost finished
the book
she has been reading and goes to Amazon.com. The Amazon
page provides
her with suggestions based on her previous purchase, A Certain
Justice, by
P. D. James. A new mystery by Elizabeth George is on the
suggestion list.
It can be shipped within 24 hours. Keri places the book into the
Shopping
Cart and uses 1-Click to check out.
Before leaving the Amazon site, she clicks on the Music tab and
searches for
Sarah McLachlan. She heard a new single by McLachlan on the
radio and
was curious about the other songs on the CD. Keri listens to
five cuts from
McLachlan’s new CD but decides not to order yet.
At 10:00 p.m., she scans through the channels on TV and pauses
at QVC
when a bracelet grabs her attention. Calling QVC, she gives her
account
number that she used 2 months ago when she purchased a color
printer. In
less than 1 minute, the bracelet is ordered and she returns to
scanning the
channels.
Keri’s daily routine is similar to the routines of millions of
other peoplein the United States and other countries. These
transactions provide us
with the goods and services that are a part of our lives. In the
scenario
above, databases underlie all the transactions that Keri made.
They underlie
the purchases in the grocery store, catalogs, TV shopping,
Internet, tele-
marketing, and the charitable contributions. Databases are a
collection of
information related to a particular subject or purpose that are
usually
maintained on a computer for easy search, retrieval, and
analysis. Although
databases are not new, they are becoming an essential element
of marketing.
Organizations in consumer products, business-to-business (b-to-
b), char-
ities, health care, politics, media, investments, government,
insurance, and
so on are finding marketing databases essential to their survival
and
success. In addition, because technology has become more
accessible, small
businesses are finding the use of databases a cost-effective way
to stay in
touch with their customers.
Several changes in the business, social, and technological
environments
have led to the widespread use of databases in marketing.
However, the
one underlying reason for the adoption of databases is that they
allow
marketers to use information about individual customers to
reach those
customers and cultivate relationships more effectively and
efficiently.
Databases provide a means to establish and enhance
relationships,
but they can also be used incorrectly, inefficiently, and
unethically. Organ-
izations can use databases to help customers make shopping
easier and
make better purchase decisions, or they can use databases to
intrude into
people’s lives. Good marketers know that maintaining customer
satisfac-
tion is the key to long-term success, and using a database to
flood people
Drozdenko01 2/26/02 6:03 PM Page 2
with unwanted promotional materials is not only wasteful but is
unlikely
to build productive long-term relationships with customers. One
of the
goals of this book is to look beyond the temptation of the quick
sale and
consider the long-term impact of database marketing techniques
on the
organization, customers, prospective customers, and society in
general.
This first chapter introduces marketing database concepts. We
begin by
defining marketing databases and examining the environmental
trends
that help to explain why the use of marketing databases is
growing so
rapidly. Because one of the principal uses of marketing
databases is in
direct/interactive marketing, we examine this type of marketing,
compare
it to marketing through conventional retail channels, and briefly
explore
its advantages and disadvantages. We conclude the chapter by
providing
a framework for the concepts and techniques covered in this
book.
Introduction to Concepts 3
___________________________ What Is a Marketing
Database?
A marketing database is a file containing information about
individual
customers or potential customers that is relevant to the
marketing process.
This file can be simple or sophisticated. For centuries,
businesspeople
recorded customer information on slips of paper or in
notebooks. …

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Drozdenko fm 22602 602 pm page v copyright © 2002

  • 1. Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page v Copyright © 2002 by Sage Publications, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. For information: Sage Publications, Inc. 2455 Teller Road Thousand Oaks, California 91320 E-mail: [email protected] Sage Publications Ltd. 6 Bonhill Street London EC2A 4PU United Kingdom Sage Publications India Pvt. Ltd. M-32 Market Greater Kailash I New Delhi 110 048 India Printed in the United States of America
  • 2. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Drozdenko, Ronald G. Optimal database maketing: strategy, development, and data mining/ by Ronald G. Drozdenko and Perry D. Drake. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-7619-2357-8 1. Database marketing. 2. Electronic commerce. I. Drake, Perry D. II. Title. HF5415.126 .D76 2002 658.8’4-dc20 2001005596 This book is printed on acid-free paper. 02 03 04 05 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Acquisitions Editor: Marquita Flemming Editorial Assistant: MaryAnn Vail Production Editor: Claudia A. Hoffman Indexer: Molly Hall Cover Designer: Michelle Lee Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page vi Contents Preface xv Supplemental Material xvii Acknowledgments xix Foreword xxi
  • 3. 1. Introduction to Database Marketing Concepts 1 What Is a Marketing Database? 3 Trends Leading to the Use of Databases in Marketing 4 Market Segmentation 5 Emphasis on Service and CRM 6 Changes in Media 7 Changes in Distribution Structure and Power 8 Lifestyle and Demographic Trends 9 Accountability for Marketing Actions 10 Integration of Business Functions 11 Technological Advances 11 More Informed Customers 12 Database Marketing Versus Aggregate Marketing 13 Advantages of Database Marketing 15 Disadvantages of Database Marketing 16 Cost Issues 16 Global Markets 17 Competition From Traditional Retailer 17 Negative Perceptions 18 Framework for This Book 18 Chapter Summary 19 Review Questions 19 2. Stategic Database Development in the Marketing Planning Process 21 Computerized Databases 23 Customer Databases Versus Other Marketing Databases 24 The Need for Strategic Planning 25 Developing a Systematic Plan for Using Marketing Databases 26
  • 4. Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page vii The Marketing Planning Process and Database Implementation 27 Situational Analysis 28 Establishing Marketing Objectives 29 Strategy Development 30 Strategy Development, Targeting, and Product Positioning 32 Marketing Programs 33 Distribution 34 Promotion 34 Price 35 Product 35 Monitor and Control 36 Databases and the Planning Process 36 Chapter Summary 37 Review Questions 38 3. Defining Customer Data Requirements 39 Data Needs Determination 40 Fulfillment, Marketing, and Prospecting Databases 41 Data Residing on the Marketing Database 41 Internal or House Data 41 Fulfillment Data 43 Marketing Data 43 Customer Contact Data 44 External or Enhancement Data 45
  • 5. Compiled List Data 45 Census Data 47 Modeled Data 49 Lists Versus Data 49 Applying and Using Enhancement Data 51 Chapter Summary 53 Review Questions 53 4. Database Maintenance and Coding 55 Standard Database Maintenance Routines 56 Deduping the Customer File 57 Householding the Customer File 58 Purging Old Customer Records 59 Changing Contact Information 59 Standardizing Addresses 61 Removing Names From Databases at Consumer Request 61 Identifying Customers With Match Coding 62 Merge/Purge Processing 64 Coding Source and Promotional Offers 65 Salting Files and Decoy Records 66 Identifying Credit Risks and Frauds 67 Field Updating Rules 67 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page viii Reporting Summary/Aggregate-Level Information 68 Database Storage and Security 70 Database Maintenance Schedules 72 Some Technical Aspects of Database Maintenance 73 Chapter Summary 73 Review Questions 73
  • 6. 5. Basic Database Technology, Organizational Considerations, and Database Planning 75 Computer Hardware and Software 77 Database Hardware 78 Midrange Computers 79 PCs 79 Hardware Decision Factors 80 Database Software 80 Database System Organization 83 Structured Databases 83 Relational Databases 85 Comparison of Structured and Relational Databases 85 Structured Query Language (SQL) and Data Analysis 85 Organizational Considerations in Technical Database Design 86 Outsourcing: The Process to Select a Database Provider 88 Phases of Database Development 91 Comments on Technological Development of the Database 92 Chapter Summary 93 Review Questions 93 6. The Analysis Sample 95 How We Sample 96 Representative Samples 96 Random Samples 97 Sample Usage 97 Creation of the Analysis Sample 98 Methods of Saving Point-in-Time Sample Data 100
  • 7. Analysis and Validation Samples 101 Application of Analysis Findings 101 Chapter Summary 101 Review Questions 102 7. Analyzing and Manipulating Customer Data 103 Getting to Know Your Data 104 The Analysis 105 Univariate Tabulations 106 Cross-Tabulations 111 Logic Counter Variables 113 Ratio Variables 116 Longitudinal Variables 117 Time Alignment of Key Events 119 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page ix Reducing the Amount of Customer Data to a Manageable Set via Correlation Analysis 120 Statistical Background—Correlation Analysis 123 Chapter Summary 127 Review Questions 128 Notes 128 8. Segmenting the Customer Database 129 Defining Your Segmentation Objective 130 Segmentation Schemes 134 Segmentation for Promotional Product Offerings 134 Corporate-Level Segmentation 134 Product Line-Specific Segmentation 135
  • 8. Segmentation for Life-Stage Marketing and Research 136 Segmentation Techniques 138 Univariate and Cross-Tabulation Analysis 138 Formal RFM Analysis 145 CHAID Analysis 148 Factor and Cluster Analysis 153 Factor Analysis 153 Cluster Analysis 158 Issues to Consider Regarding Segmentation Implementation 163 Promotional Intensity 163 Too Many Products 164 Cannibalism 164 Overgeneralization 165 Ethical and Public Policy Issues 165 Chapter Summary 166 Review Questions 166 Note 167 9. An Introduction to Simple Linear Regression Modeling 169 The Simple Linear Regression Model 170 The Coefficient of Determination 174 Statistical Background—Simple Linear Regression Analysis 176 Chapter Summary 179 Review Questions 179 10. Multiple Regression Modeling 181 Defining Your Marketing Objective 182 Preparing the Data to Build the Multiple
  • 9. Regression Model 184 The Multiple Regression Model 187 Model Interpretation 187 Assumptions of the Model 192 Multicollinearity 192 Other Properties 193 A Note on Modeling Binary Response Data 193 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page x Regression Diagnostics 194 Examining the Model for Indications of Multicollinearity 195 Examining the Model for Variable Significance 197 Multiple “Logistic” Regression Models 199 Sample Composition 200 Outside List Modeling Options 201 Response Models 202 Clone or Best Customer Models 202 Stepwise Regression Models 205 Neural Networks 206 Data Mining, Tools, and Software 207 Ensuring That Your Model Holds Up in Rollout 213 Chapter Summary 215 Review Questions 215 Notes 216 11. Gains Charts and Expected Profit Calculations 217
  • 10. The Response Gains Chart 218 Options When Lacking Validation Samples 223 Historical Gains Falloff Chart 223 Bootstrapping 225 Expected Profit Calculations 226 Reconciling Gains 231 Chapter Summary 233 Review Questions 233 12. Strategic Reporting and Analysis 235 Key Active Customer Counts 236 List Vitality Customer Statistics 238 Key List Segment Counts and Statistics 238 Calculating LTV 239 LTV Methodologies 240 LTV Profiles 241 Actual and Aggregate LTV Calculations 243 Calculating the Discount Rate and NPV 244 Sample Types Used in LTV Calculations 247 Forecasting LTV 248 Impact Studies 248 Monitoring Promotional Intensity 249 Chapter Summary 250 Review Questions 250 13. Assessing Marketing Test Results 251 Confidence Interval Calculations 252 Confidence Interval Estimation for a Sample Mean 253 Confidence Interval Estimation for a Sample Proportion 256 Confidence Interval Estimation for the Difference
  • 11. Between Two Sample Means 258 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xi Confidence Interval Estimation for the Difference Between Two Sample Proportions 260 Setting the Confidence Level 263 Single Sample Measures 264 Difference Between Two Sample Measures 264 Making a Business Decision Based on the Confidence Interval 266 Single Sample Measures 266 Difference Between Two Sample Measures 267 Hypothesis Tests for Significance 268 Establishing the Hypothesis 269 Setting the Error Rate of the Hypothesis Test 269 Establishing the Direction of the Hypothesis Test 270 Hypothesis Test for the Difference Between Two SampleMeans 270 Hypothesis Test for the Difference Between Two Sample Proportions 275 Setting the Confidence Level of Hypothesis Tests for Significance 279 Making a Business Decision Based on Hypothesis Tests for Significance 279 P Value of the Hypothesis Test for Significance 279
  • 12. Conducting Hypothesis Tests for Significance Using Confidence Intervals 280 Gross Versus Net 281 Multiple Comparisons 281 Calculating Breakeven 282 Response Rate Required to Break Even 283 Increase in Response Rate Required to Break Even 283 Facts Regarding Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Test Results 284 Marketing Test Analysis Software 285 Chapter Summary 285 Review Questions 286 14. Planning and Designing Marketing Tests 287 Marketing Test Design Considerations 288 Rule 1: For Mailers, Include the Control Package in the Test Plan 288 Rule 2: Reverse Test Package Changes 288 Rule 3: Test One Change at a Time 289 Rule 4: Test for Only Meaningful Package Element Interactions 290 Rule 5: Define the Universe for Testing Carefully 291 Outside List Test Design Considerations 292 Sample Size Considerations 294 Sample Size Determination for a Sample Mean 295 Sample Size Determination for a Sample Proportion 298 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xii
  • 13. Sample Size Determination for the Difference Between Two Sample Proportions 301 Marketing Test Planning Software 304 Alternative Testing Approaches for Small Direct Marketers 304 Chapter Summary 308 Review Questions 308 15. Marketing Databases and the Internet 309 Database Integration 310 Growth in Internet Commerce 312 The Internet Versus Other Database Marketing Media 314 Limitations of Internet Marketing 317 Personalization: The Great Promise of the Internet 319 E-Mail Marketing 321 E-Mail Applications 321 E-Mail Formats 322 Chapter Summary 324 Review Questions 325 16. Analyzing and Targeting Online Customers 327 Data Collected via the Internet 327 Registration Data 328 Behavior Data 330 Source Data 332 Understanding Internet Users and Online Buyers 332 Web Site Reporting 334
  • 14. Driving Customers to Your Web Site 337 Targeting Online Customers 341 Conducting Marketing Tests in the E-Commerce World 345 Banner Ads 345 E-Mail 347 Chapter Summary 348 Review Questions 348 17. Issues in the Marketing Environment and Future Trends in Marketing Databases 349 The Global Business Environment 351 Social Concerns and Ethics in Database Marketing 357 Industry Organizations 360 Evolution and Trends in Database Marketing 362 Consumer Databases and the Internet 362 B-to-B Databases 364 Not-for-Profit Databases 364 Retailer Databases 365 Service Organization Databases 365 Chapter Summary 366 Review Questions 366 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xiii Glossary 369 Additional Readings in Database and Direct Marketing 381 References 383
  • 15. Name Index 387 Subject Index 389 About the Authors 397 Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xiv Preface ___________________________________________ xv Contemporary direct marketing and e-commerce companies cannot existin today’s competitive environment without the use of marketing databases. Databases allow marketers to reach customers and cultivate relationships more effectively and efficiently. Although databases provide a means to establish and enhance relationships, they can also be used incorrectly, inefficiently, and unethically. Our goal in this book is to provide the reader with a complete and solid understanding of how to properly establish and use databases to help organizations maximize their relation- ships with customers. In fact, we have not found any other book on the market today that contains the level of detail regarding database marketing applications that this one has. We have been involved in the direct marketing industry and academia for many years. Ron Drozdenko teaches Strategic Marketing
  • 16. Databases and Interactive Marketing Management and has been a consultant to many firms over the course of his career. He is currently the Chair of the Marketing Department at Western Connecticut State University. Perry Drake is an inde- pendent database marketing consultant and adjunct faculty member of New York University, where he teaches Statistics for Direct Marketers, Database Modeling, and Advanced Database Modeling in the Direct Marketing Master’s Degree program. In teaching such topics to students, we both have found little material to draw upon. As such, we were required to create our own content from our industry experience, help from peers, and published case studies. Several excellent books have been written on the topic of direct marketing. However, many of those books delve only into areas such as copywriting and media selection and place less emphasis on database marketing appli- cations from a marketer’s perspective. Our intent with this book is to focus on the marketing database and take readers systematically through the process of database strategy, development, and anal ysis. We originally met each other in the summer of 1997 when we were approached by the Direct Marketing Educational Foundation
  • 17. (DMEF) to develop a database marketing course. The database course is one of a series Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xv of undergraduate courses in direct marketing the DMEF developed in col- laboration with the Marketing Department of the Ancell School of Business at Western Connecticut State University. (You can contact the DMEF to obtain more information about these courses.) Our target audience for this book is both students and practitioners: upper-level undergraduates, graduate students in an MBA program, and entry- and middle-level direct marketers. In addition, database analysts and statisticians fairly new to the field of direct marketing will find the book useful. It will provide a complete overview of the analytical applications in the field of direct marketing. Direct marketing executives will also find the strategic elements of the book helpful for business planning. xvi OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xvi
  • 18. xvii Supplemental Material Academic adopters of this book have access to the following supportmaterial from the authors: ♦ A comprehensive collection of PowerPoint slides for each chapter ♦ Sample exercises and solutions for each chapter ♦ Sample syllabi and course organization ♦ Sample exams and quizzes ♦ Sample marketing databases for case study work given in various formats (delimited text files, SAS, Excel, SPSS, etc.). Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xvii Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xviii xix Acknowledgments Anumber of people contributed directly or indirectly to the developmentof this book. Because the book evolved from an outline developed by an advisory board established by the DMEF, the members of the board deserve acknowledgment. In particular, Richard Montesi and Laurie Spar were instrumental in establishing the board and organizing the
  • 19. meetings. David Henneberry and Dante Cirilli worked with us to establish the origi- nal outline that served as the basis for the database marketing course and eventually this book. The extensive backgrounds of Dave and Dan in the direct marketing industry ensure that the book’s foundation is solid. We also wish to acknowledge the indirect contributions of a number of small and large professional associations in the direct marketing community that allowed us to examine database marketing in application. In particular, The Reader’s Digest Association and Grolier Direct Marketing influenced our perspectives on database marketing. One of our primary reasons for writing this book is to provide market- ing students with a good foundation in database strategy, development, and analysis. Therefore, the feedback we obtained from our students at the Ancell School of Business at Western Connecticut State University and New York University was especially valuable in translating course materials into a coherent book. Students also read drafts of sections of the book and offered several cogent suggestions. In particular, Perry gives special thanks to some of his past students at NYU—Joe Bello, Janelle Bowleg, Eric
  • 20. Chism, Dean Krispin, Steve LaScala, and Bob Wiener—for their tremen- dous efforts in ensuring that the book content was complete, consistent, and understandable. Industry reviewers of chapters of this book deserve our gratitude. In particular, Perry personally thanks, first and foremost, Pierre Passavant, the previous director of the NYU Direct Marketing Master’s Degree pro- gram, for his support and the many opportunities he provided. Secondly, we thank Gary Coles for his significant review of Chapter 10, Rich Lawsky for his significant review of Chapter 4, and Elizabeth Colquhoun for her review of all the chapters for clarity. In addition, we thank Craig Ceire, Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xix Mary-Elizabeth Eddlestone, Mary Halloran, Patrick Hanrahan, Jim Tucker, Henry Weinberger, and Pat Zamora for their individual contributions deal- ing with specific topics. We are also indebted to the following reviewers of the completed manuscript. Their comments and suggestions have helped improve the final version of the book. Naomi Bernstein
  • 21. Dante Cirilli C. Samuel Craig David Heneberry Richard Hochhauser Patrick E. Kenny Brian Kurtz Peter C. Mueller Pierre Passavant Kari Regan Mary Lou Roberts Thanks to the team at Sage Publications, including Marquita Flemming, MaryAnn Vail, and our copy editor, Barbara Coster, for their support and guidance. Last, but certainly not least, our appreciation goes to our families. In addition to lending moral support, some family members provided direct contributions to the development of the book. Rita Drozdenko, Ron’s wife, read several chapters and provided feedback from the perspective of a novice to the field. Rhonda Knehans Drake, Perry’s wife and an
  • 22. accom- plished database marketing consultant, made a significant contribution to the book. Rhonda wrote Chapter 16, “Analyzing and Targeting Online Customers,” and also provided professional critiques of other chapters. Tarry Drake-Schaffner, Perry’s sister, an avid book reader and bookstore owner, spent a tremendous amount of time editing and rewriting all the technically oriented chapters. Words cannot express the thanks that Perry has for her invaluable input in ensuring that complex topics could be under- stood by a beginner. As a novice to the field herself, this was not an easy task for Tarry, especially given the tight deadlines. Thank you, Tarry, for your tremendous efforts. —Ronald G. Drozdenko —Perry D. Drake xx OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xx xxi Foreword With about 70 years of management and teaching experience betweenus, we know a superior training/reference book when we
  • 23. read it. This is a great one. We aren’t surprised, because we both confer with the authors about the database issues of our own seminars, classes, and clients. If you have a database, chances are you have database questions and issues: How good are the data? How complete? Are you capturing the right data? Are you using the data to the maximum advantage? Will investments in new system enhancements pay out? What steps must be followed when considering to outsource your database? What issues must be considered when examining data mining tools? How do you learn sound database management practices? How do you teach them? How do you provide intel- ligent leadership to database management departments that report to you? The answers require a thoughtful examination of what is needed, how to capture it, at what cost—and some knowledge of statistics that most of us don’t have. You won’t find a better resource than this book. It covers all aspects of database marketing, including database design, maintenance, data usage, test design, and data analysis. In all these areas, the focus is on how to best utilize the database to optimize marketing efforts. Important current issues such as e-commerce, ethics, privacy, and
  • 24. globalization are also covered. Coauthor Ronald G. Drozdenko, Ph.D., Professor and Chair of the Marketing Department at the Ancell School of Business, Western Connecticut State University, teaches Strategic Marketing Databases and Interactive/Direct Marketing Management. He was a member of the advis- ory board established by the Direct Marketing Educational Foundation to develop a model curriculum for direct/interactive marketing. This model program is currently being offered at the Ancell School. In his role as fac- ulty adviser for student interns, Ron uses company feedback to enrich the program with continuing real-life applications. Ron has also accumulated more than 20 years of applied marketing experience. Both his academic and applied marketing backgrounds are reflected in the approach taken in this book. Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xxi Coauthor Perry D. Drake is currently a database marketing consultant and faculty member in the Master’s of Science in Direct Marketing program at New York University. Prior to this, Perry had spent over 10
  • 25. years in vari- ous database marketing roles at The Reader’s Digest Association, most recently as the director of a special division within the Marketing Services group. During Perry’s first year at NYU, word got around that he had a remarkable ability to make topics such as statistics and database modeling and regression understandable and interesting. In recognition of his abil- ities, he won the first Outstanding Master’s Faculty Award. Perry’s excep- tional teaching skills are very evident in the chapters of this book. The book that Ron and Perry have written tracks a character, Keri Lee, as she resolves data and database issues at every step in her advancement through the ranks, first in a technology agency servicing clients and later as a senior manager in a large publishing company. Her reasoning and her solutions to data problems of increasing complexity demonstrate the methodology of database management in all its statistics-driven splendor. Go as deeply as you need for your purpose. The practical wisdom and con- crete examples make it an ideal resource for business managers, instructors, trainers, and students. If you are a business manager, this book will help you oversee the vari-
  • 26. ous specialists you must work with to implement a database marketing strategy. If you are an instructor, trainer, or student, it will give you a clear picture of what actually happens in the real world of business and specific techniques used by business professionals. Keep the book at hand to resolve your next database dilemma. —David Heneberry Director, Direct Marketing Certificate Programs, Ancell School of Business, Western Connecticut State University —Pierre Passavant Professor of Direct Marketing, Mercy College, Westchester, New York xxii OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING Drozdenko-FM 2/26/02 6:02 PM Page xxii Introduction to Database Marketing Concepts 1 1 It’s 7:15 p.m., Keri Lee, a 29-year-old account executive for a technology company, stops at a supermarket in Southbury, Connecticut, on her way
  • 27. home from work. After picking up Diet Pepsi, a few tomatoes, lettuce, and a package of Swiss cheese, she goes to the express checkout line. Keri hands her store card to the clerk, who scans it prior to processing her order. Using the store card allows her to get a discount on the cheese. With her sales receipt, she also gets a $0.40 coupon for Ritz Crackers. The bill came to $6.20. Keri paid with her VISA card. Keri picks up her mail before going into the house. There are catalogs from Bloomingdales, L. L. Bean, Macy’s, and Pottery Barn. She puts the Pottery Barn catalog to the side. Her sister’s birthday is in two weeks and the items in the catalog are consistent with her sister’s decorating style. In addition to the electric and VISA bills, she has a letter from the Volkswagen dealership thanking her for her recent purchase and a letter from the American Red Cross. Remembering that the Red Cross recently helped her friend who was caught in a flood, she makes a contribution by checking a box and entering her VISA number. Keri also got the new issues of Smart Business, Business Week, and Self magazines. An ad in Business Week about a technology conference attracts her attention, and she fills out an attached response card requesting more
  • 28. information. After dinner, she receives a phone call from an insurance company. At first, she is irritated by the call. She then remembers that her car insurance rates increased substantially since she leased her new Volkswagen and asks the person on the phone for a quote. Later that evening, she goes on the Internet to look for other insurance companies and requests three more quotes online. Drozdenko01 2/26/02 6:03 PM Page 1 2 OPTIMAL DATABASE MARKETING Browsing the Web, she remembers that she has almost finished the book she has been reading and goes to Amazon.com. The Amazon page provides her with suggestions based on her previous purchase, A Certain Justice, by P. D. James. A new mystery by Elizabeth George is on the suggestion list. It can be shipped within 24 hours. Keri places the book into the Shopping Cart and uses 1-Click to check out. Before leaving the Amazon site, she clicks on the Music tab and searches for Sarah McLachlan. She heard a new single by McLachlan on the radio and was curious about the other songs on the CD. Keri listens to
  • 29. five cuts from McLachlan’s new CD but decides not to order yet. At 10:00 p.m., she scans through the channels on TV and pauses at QVC when a bracelet grabs her attention. Calling QVC, she gives her account number that she used 2 months ago when she purchased a color printer. In less than 1 minute, the bracelet is ordered and she returns to scanning the channels. Keri’s daily routine is similar to the routines of millions of other peoplein the United States and other countries. These transactions provide us with the goods and services that are a part of our lives. In the scenario above, databases underlie all the transactions that Keri made. They underlie the purchases in the grocery store, catalogs, TV shopping, Internet, tele- marketing, and the charitable contributions. Databases are a collection of information related to a particular subject or purpose that are usually maintained on a computer for easy search, retrieval, and analysis. Although databases are not new, they are becoming an essential element of marketing. Organizations in consumer products, business-to-business (b-to- b), char- ities, health care, politics, media, investments, government, insurance, and so on are finding marketing databases essential to their survival and
  • 30. success. In addition, because technology has become more accessible, small businesses are finding the use of databases a cost-effective way to stay in touch with their customers. Several changes in the business, social, and technological environments have led to the widespread use of databases in marketing. However, the one underlying reason for the adoption of databases is that they allow marketers to use information about individual customers to reach those customers and cultivate relationships more effectively and efficiently. Databases provide a means to establish and enhance relationships, but they can also be used incorrectly, inefficiently, and unethically. Organ- izations can use databases to help customers make shopping easier and make better purchase decisions, or they can use databases to intrude into people’s lives. Good marketers know that maintaining customer satisfac- tion is the key to long-term success, and using a database to flood people Drozdenko01 2/26/02 6:03 PM Page 2 with unwanted promotional materials is not only wasteful but is unlikely
  • 31. to build productive long-term relationships with customers. One of the goals of this book is to look beyond the temptation of the quick sale and consider the long-term impact of database marketing techniques on the organization, customers, prospective customers, and society in general. This first chapter introduces marketing database concepts. We begin by defining marketing databases and examining the environmental trends that help to explain why the use of marketing databases is growing so rapidly. Because one of the principal uses of marketing databases is in direct/interactive marketing, we examine this type of marketing, compare it to marketing through conventional retail channels, and briefly explore its advantages and disadvantages. We conclude the chapter by providing a framework for the concepts and techniques covered in this book. Introduction to Concepts 3 ___________________________ What Is a Marketing Database? A marketing database is a file containing information about individual customers or potential customers that is relevant to the marketing process. This file can be simple or sophisticated. For centuries,
  • 32. businesspeople recorded customer information on slips of paper or in notebooks. …