Digital Change in Publishing:Lessons Learned in the USMike ShatzkinTo the IfBookThen ConferenceMilan, Italy4 February 2011
A brief history of ebooks in the USWhy America was first: 300 million people, one language, one set of commercial lawsIt started complicated in the early 1990s: Voyager Expanded Book and CD-RomsSimple straight text in late 90s: Rocket Book, Softbook, then PDAs (Palm and MS) plus PDFs on PCsSony Reader introduced in 2005Into 2007, Palm “dominates” device reading in a miniscule market2
But with the arrival of Kindle, everything changedKindle introduced November 2007: almost instant successWhy? Title selection; direct downloads; good reading experience; Amazon audienceAnd pricingBut that caused problems for publishers3
Why publishers wanted to restrain Amazon’s growth in 2009Two segments of growth: online print sales and device-read ebook salesAmazon market share north of 70%, perhaps 80% on bothProven willingness to twist arms for marginOnline sales hegemony probably unassailableKindle alone was locking up heavy readersAmazon’s very aggressive pricing was scary4
Agency was their answer; and maybe it workedKey to agency: price set by publisher, not retailerFive of six top US publishers do it; so most top titles are price-controlledAmazon device ebook share drops 30-40%Other factors: Nook, iPad, Google5
Experience with ebooks so far:some lessons learnedPrice matters a lot, but high priced branded books can sell (even at $20!)Early device adopters tend to be heavy readers (practical and financial reasons)Effective interoperability was important, but provided within “closed” systemsEbook sales, at least at first, are frontlist-drivenImpact on brick-and-mortar: significant6
And now America exports an ebook infrastructureThree big companies might dominate the global ebook market, all American: Amazon, Apple, GoogleWild cards (at the moment): Kobo, SonyAnd longer shots: Copia, Blio, consumer electronics players and mobile phone playersAnd a US player which should go global: B&N7
These players come with capabilities and audiencesAll sourcing titles in all languagesAll have multi-device platformsEach has, or is developing, a separate content-focused app market; separate opportunities, separate platform challenges (Apple, Android in flavors, and Kindle – so far)Many have ambitions to control some content exclusively8
How can local ebook resellers compete?Carry titles in all languagesDeliver multi-device functionalityKeep up with features (lending, notes, dictionaries)Deliver impeccable customer serviceProvide local propositions for libraries and institutionsDeliver local in-store support and promotion (the B&N example)9
And retailers need to play to native strengthsWork with local authors, IP owners, and brands to capture and provide unique contentMaximize knowledge of local content silos, pricing practices, and rightsMarket to your own language-based customers globally!10
What publishers should be thinking aboutDon’t waste resources defending print; you can’tRethink your capabilities to gain advantage in digital: products and marketingDon’t be fooled by a currently trivial ebook market, pricing protection, or VAT issues: US tells you change comes faster than you thinkBe conscious of verticals; think about audiences you serve, not just IP you own“Start with XML”: workflows must deliver print andepub11
We’re all global publishers nowKnow Amazon, Apple, and Google like an AmericanRethink exploiting your own IP: should you do an English edition? Or a dual-language ebook?Rethink rights acquisition; should you acquire by territory instead of by language?Recognize English-language books as a competitor at home; use price, release dates as weapons when you canAccept this reality: bookstores will decline12

Digital Change in Publishing: a lesson learned in the US

  • 1.
    Digital Change inPublishing:Lessons Learned in the USMike ShatzkinTo the IfBookThen ConferenceMilan, Italy4 February 2011
  • 2.
    A brief historyof ebooks in the USWhy America was first: 300 million people, one language, one set of commercial lawsIt started complicated in the early 1990s: Voyager Expanded Book and CD-RomsSimple straight text in late 90s: Rocket Book, Softbook, then PDAs (Palm and MS) plus PDFs on PCsSony Reader introduced in 2005Into 2007, Palm “dominates” device reading in a miniscule market2
  • 3.
    But with thearrival of Kindle, everything changedKindle introduced November 2007: almost instant successWhy? Title selection; direct downloads; good reading experience; Amazon audienceAnd pricingBut that caused problems for publishers3
  • 4.
    Why publishers wantedto restrain Amazon’s growth in 2009Two segments of growth: online print sales and device-read ebook salesAmazon market share north of 70%, perhaps 80% on bothProven willingness to twist arms for marginOnline sales hegemony probably unassailableKindle alone was locking up heavy readersAmazon’s very aggressive pricing was scary4
  • 5.
    Agency was theiranswer; and maybe it workedKey to agency: price set by publisher, not retailerFive of six top US publishers do it; so most top titles are price-controlledAmazon device ebook share drops 30-40%Other factors: Nook, iPad, Google5
  • 6.
    Experience with ebooksso far:some lessons learnedPrice matters a lot, but high priced branded books can sell (even at $20!)Early device adopters tend to be heavy readers (practical and financial reasons)Effective interoperability was important, but provided within “closed” systemsEbook sales, at least at first, are frontlist-drivenImpact on brick-and-mortar: significant6
  • 7.
    And now Americaexports an ebook infrastructureThree big companies might dominate the global ebook market, all American: Amazon, Apple, GoogleWild cards (at the moment): Kobo, SonyAnd longer shots: Copia, Blio, consumer electronics players and mobile phone playersAnd a US player which should go global: B&N7
  • 8.
    These players comewith capabilities and audiencesAll sourcing titles in all languagesAll have multi-device platformsEach has, or is developing, a separate content-focused app market; separate opportunities, separate platform challenges (Apple, Android in flavors, and Kindle – so far)Many have ambitions to control some content exclusively8
  • 9.
    How can localebook resellers compete?Carry titles in all languagesDeliver multi-device functionalityKeep up with features (lending, notes, dictionaries)Deliver impeccable customer serviceProvide local propositions for libraries and institutionsDeliver local in-store support and promotion (the B&N example)9
  • 10.
    And retailers needto play to native strengthsWork with local authors, IP owners, and brands to capture and provide unique contentMaximize knowledge of local content silos, pricing practices, and rightsMarket to your own language-based customers globally!10
  • 11.
    What publishers shouldbe thinking aboutDon’t waste resources defending print; you can’tRethink your capabilities to gain advantage in digital: products and marketingDon’t be fooled by a currently trivial ebook market, pricing protection, or VAT issues: US tells you change comes faster than you thinkBe conscious of verticals; think about audiences you serve, not just IP you own“Start with XML”: workflows must deliver print andepub11
  • 12.
    We’re all globalpublishers nowKnow Amazon, Apple, and Google like an AmericanRethink exploiting your own IP: should you do an English edition? Or a dual-language ebook?Rethink rights acquisition; should you acquire by territory instead of by language?Recognize English-language books as a competitor at home; use price, release dates as weapons when you canAccept this reality: bookstores will decline12