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ESF Conference 23 June 2010
                        Daniel Tarschys


                 The future of the ESF

1. For all the talk about a crisis of the European social model, it is
   quite obvious that the Member States share a lasting commitment
   to ambitious policy goals in the social sphere. Accents differ a bit
   between different forms of redistribution, social insurance and
   service provision (with varying shares assigned to public funding,
   employment-linked schemes, corporate social responsibility,
   outsourcing, voluntary programmes, and families) but the
   essential features are very much the same. Whether we call it “the
   Rhineland model”, “l’état-providence”, “der Sozialstaat”, “the
   welfare society” or “the social market economy”, Europeans are
   basically agreed on the need for social protection, extensive
   social services and an active labour market policy.

2. But which of these tasks should be handled by the European
   Union? In its conclusions on the 2020 Agenda, the March 2010
   European Council spoke of “a mix of national and EU level
   action”. Now as far as social policy funding is concerned, we all
   know what this mix looks like: for every € included in the EU
   budget, there are 20 or 40 or even 100 € in national, regional and
   local budgets. Social policy in the broad sense of the term is by
   and large a responsibility of the Member States and sub-
   national levels of government.

3. Compared to the extensive social commitments of the Member
   States, EU action in this field is marginal and will remain
   marginal. We may distinguish different contributions of the
   ESF - process effects, role effects, volume effects - but let us
   never forget that these effects are small compared to the
   national efforts, in fact very small at least in the net
   contributor countries.

                                                                      1
4. For this reason, interventions will have to be exceptionally well
   targeted. Given the scarce resources in the European budget, we
   must concentrate our efforts on highly strategic activities, with a
   leverage not provided by the Member States on their own. The
   main question about the future of the ESF is not whether its
   interventions have been effective (many have) or whether the
   success stories are impressive (many are), but in which fields
   and types of intervention there is genuine and exceptional
   European added value in the years to come.

5. The answer cannot be “everywhere”. Just invoking the 2020 grand
   objectives does not make sense, because these goals are too broad
   and sweeping. If an Occam’s razor is needed to make sharp
   decisions, the 2020 priorities are simply too blunt. Smart growth,
   sustainable growth, inclusive growth - fine, such rallying
   cries may be good for marketing and legitimacy but they do
   not provide much guidance. The do not help us identify the
   areas where EU contributions are particularly efficient and
   effective.

6. Another non-starter is pretending that the goals of “social Europe”
   are invented at common European gatherings and then translated
   into national action. This perspective of the policy process is often
   found in documents released by the EU institutions, but it has few
   supporters elsewhere. The welfare state has deep if slightly
   divergent roots in each and every one of our countries.
   Reducing the many agents and agencies involved in its
   realisation to mere implementers of European decisions is a
   harmful centrifugal illusion.

7. In this context, a particular word of warning is due against the
   concept of “delivery”. This term signals a crude and distorted
   conception of who-achieves-what and what-achieves-what in
   public policy interventions. Some texts seem to convey the image
   of a fleet of delivery vans dispatched from Brussels to the
   European periphery, with their load of social cohesion. A
   question often asked is, “how should the ESF be delivered”?

                                                                         2
First of all, deliver us from this misleading word which
  conceals the essentially supplementary and supportive nature
  of the ESF.

8. Speaking of support, there is every reason to recognise the wide-
   spread popularity of cohesion policy. This is confirmed by the
   Euro-barometer and several other studies. The various structural
   funds have strong constituencies among beneficiaries,
   implementers, politicians and a wide community of service
   providers.

9. But about the lasting impact of the programmes we know far less.
   When funding streams from different sources are fused it is
   notoriously difficult to isolate the specific contributions of each
   and every one of them. This is one reason why the efficiency of
   the various structural interventions is so difficult to assess,
   despite the fortunes sunk into evaluation ex-ante, ex-post,
   mid-term and now even continuously. Even the meta-
   evaluation reports make clear how little we know about wider
   and longer-term impacts.

10.     Exaggerations abound, however. Sometimes we are told that
  the Structural Funds “mobilise” so-and-so much capital from
  national and sub-national governments and from business. In good
  cases this may be perfectly true, but many such reports should be
  digested with a grain of salt. The lower-level response to higher-
  level money takes many forms, ranging from commendable
  institutional and policy innovations and to less commendable
  exercises in creative accounting.

11.     As a strong supporter of the European project, I would
  gladly see a doubling or a trebling of the EU budget. But we also
  need some order in the division of public funding between
  different levels, and I see little point in using precious European
  money on things that are essentially national or local in character.
  We have so many important collective needs in Europe that
  we must be utterly careful with the few billions that we


                                                                     3
manage to wrest from the Member States to our common
  budget.

12.      What, then, is the role of the Union in the development of
  this “social Europe” which, even if it is increasingly infused by
  common principles, can only remain a nationally-based
  undertaking? It is by no means insignificant. Let me sketch out
  five points.

              (i) To borrow a term from medical ethics, primum est
              non nocere. First of all, make no harm. There is a
              strong need to avoid messing up many already well-
              functioning and carefully devised national systems for
              social protection, social services, labour market
              support, etc. Even where the national systems are not
              so well-functioning and not so carefully devised and
              valuable impetus for change may come from the
              European level, the burden of adjustment should
              largely fall on national political processes.

              (ii) For this reason, the regulatory powers of the
              Union must be used with caution and restraint, and
              social aspects should always be given due weight in
              the application of common market rules. We have a lot
              of principles and practicalities that must be upheld and
              enforced at the European level, so this balancing act is
              by no means easy, but many complex issues of social
              policy and labour relations require a special
              Fingerspitzgefühl when dealt with by the institutions
              of the Union, not least the European Court of Justice.

              (iii) When it comes to the budgetary side, we should
              give strong priority to the truly collective needs.
              Many interventions are of course mixed, producing on
              the one hand private and individual benefits and
              contributing on the other to common endeavours,
              including those covered by the Lisbon and Europe
              2020 objectives. But the greater the purely private

                                                                       4
gain, the less reason is there normally for public
funding. There are many exceptions to this rule in the
social sphere, but the degree of collective benefits
should be an important criterion in project selection.

(iv) Another important criterion should be that of
sustainability and long-term effects. Investment-
type spending should as far as possible trumph out
consumption-type spending. Now that distinction is
not so easy to make: current spending on health and
education may contain significant investment
components while some capital spending for ill-
conceived projects may be a short-sighted waste of
money - all our countries have some experience in
“political investments”. But we should at least aim for
considerable long-term effects. To give but one
example: if we want a robust and sustainable welfare
state, investing in better fiscal systems and insurance
mechanisms may be far more effective than short-term
redistributive measures.

Unfortunately, such structural ambitions are often
absent from the interventions of the structural funds. A
particular cause for suspicion is the frequent reporting
of “jobs created” and “jobs maintained”. Measuring
results in this undefined currency says nothing about
long-term impact.

(v) Finally, there is a strong need to refine, develop
and specify the criterion of European added value.
All too often this formula is used as an all-purpose
mantra, serving to justify almost any type of spending.
But if it is to serve as sharp instrument to identify the
most meritorious policies and policy instruments, high
thresholds must be established for admission to this
particular category of expenditures. The best qualified
programmes and projects will normally be those where
economic externalities reduce the propensity of

                                                         5
Member States to take action on their own and where
                there is substantial contribution to the sense of
                European community.

 13.     Many worthy projects compete for EU funding. Established
   EU objectives laid down in solemn documents are often advanced
   to support such pleas, but the multiplicity and wide coverage of
   these objectives renders this advocacy unhelpful and
   unconvincing. Among the goals there is a need to make clear
   distinction between various types, as for instance:

   • Historical goals which already have been attained, such as the
     promotion of the internal market, the promotion of the monetary
     union and the promotion of various stages of the enlargement.

   • Utopian goals which are noble but unlikely ever to be attained.

   • Grand goals which do not seem to exclude any type of action
     (smart growth, sustainable growth, inclusive growth).

While the structural funds have already done their job as far as
the historical goals are concerned, the utopian and grand goals
may still serve some very good purposes. They provide legitimacy
and a general sense of direction, but apart from that they give
little guidance and help when it comes to setting priorities and
making tough choices. For this we need sharper tools.

 14.     In seeking to define the future tasks of the ESF, the
   challenge is not simply to identify policies that contribute to the
   2020 objectives. We must, more specifically, look for
   programmes and interventions that do so in an exceptional way
   through very significant elements and dimensions of (i) public
   goods, (ii) long-term effects, (iii) trans-frontier interaction and (iv)
   symbolic or emblematic substance. Only in such areas is there a
   sufficient measure of European added value to justify
   inclusion in the programmes of the next Financial Perspective.



                                                                         6
15.     So, in conclusion: passing the 2020 test is not enough.
  We must look for elements in the ESF agenda that pass that
  test with fanfares and flying colours.




                                                                  7

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Daniel Tarschys - Presentation

  • 1. ESF Conference 23 June 2010 Daniel Tarschys The future of the ESF 1. For all the talk about a crisis of the European social model, it is quite obvious that the Member States share a lasting commitment to ambitious policy goals in the social sphere. Accents differ a bit between different forms of redistribution, social insurance and service provision (with varying shares assigned to public funding, employment-linked schemes, corporate social responsibility, outsourcing, voluntary programmes, and families) but the essential features are very much the same. Whether we call it “the Rhineland model”, “l’état-providence”, “der Sozialstaat”, “the welfare society” or “the social market economy”, Europeans are basically agreed on the need for social protection, extensive social services and an active labour market policy. 2. But which of these tasks should be handled by the European Union? In its conclusions on the 2020 Agenda, the March 2010 European Council spoke of “a mix of national and EU level action”. Now as far as social policy funding is concerned, we all know what this mix looks like: for every € included in the EU budget, there are 20 or 40 or even 100 € in national, regional and local budgets. Social policy in the broad sense of the term is by and large a responsibility of the Member States and sub- national levels of government. 3. Compared to the extensive social commitments of the Member States, EU action in this field is marginal and will remain marginal. We may distinguish different contributions of the ESF - process effects, role effects, volume effects - but let us never forget that these effects are small compared to the national efforts, in fact very small at least in the net contributor countries. 1
  • 2. 4. For this reason, interventions will have to be exceptionally well targeted. Given the scarce resources in the European budget, we must concentrate our efforts on highly strategic activities, with a leverage not provided by the Member States on their own. The main question about the future of the ESF is not whether its interventions have been effective (many have) or whether the success stories are impressive (many are), but in which fields and types of intervention there is genuine and exceptional European added value in the years to come. 5. The answer cannot be “everywhere”. Just invoking the 2020 grand objectives does not make sense, because these goals are too broad and sweeping. If an Occam’s razor is needed to make sharp decisions, the 2020 priorities are simply too blunt. Smart growth, sustainable growth, inclusive growth - fine, such rallying cries may be good for marketing and legitimacy but they do not provide much guidance. The do not help us identify the areas where EU contributions are particularly efficient and effective. 6. Another non-starter is pretending that the goals of “social Europe” are invented at common European gatherings and then translated into national action. This perspective of the policy process is often found in documents released by the EU institutions, but it has few supporters elsewhere. The welfare state has deep if slightly divergent roots in each and every one of our countries. Reducing the many agents and agencies involved in its realisation to mere implementers of European decisions is a harmful centrifugal illusion. 7. In this context, a particular word of warning is due against the concept of “delivery”. This term signals a crude and distorted conception of who-achieves-what and what-achieves-what in public policy interventions. Some texts seem to convey the image of a fleet of delivery vans dispatched from Brussels to the European periphery, with their load of social cohesion. A question often asked is, “how should the ESF be delivered”? 2
  • 3. First of all, deliver us from this misleading word which conceals the essentially supplementary and supportive nature of the ESF. 8. Speaking of support, there is every reason to recognise the wide- spread popularity of cohesion policy. This is confirmed by the Euro-barometer and several other studies. The various structural funds have strong constituencies among beneficiaries, implementers, politicians and a wide community of service providers. 9. But about the lasting impact of the programmes we know far less. When funding streams from different sources are fused it is notoriously difficult to isolate the specific contributions of each and every one of them. This is one reason why the efficiency of the various structural interventions is so difficult to assess, despite the fortunes sunk into evaluation ex-ante, ex-post, mid-term and now even continuously. Even the meta- evaluation reports make clear how little we know about wider and longer-term impacts. 10. Exaggerations abound, however. Sometimes we are told that the Structural Funds “mobilise” so-and-so much capital from national and sub-national governments and from business. In good cases this may be perfectly true, but many such reports should be digested with a grain of salt. The lower-level response to higher- level money takes many forms, ranging from commendable institutional and policy innovations and to less commendable exercises in creative accounting. 11. As a strong supporter of the European project, I would gladly see a doubling or a trebling of the EU budget. But we also need some order in the division of public funding between different levels, and I see little point in using precious European money on things that are essentially national or local in character. We have so many important collective needs in Europe that we must be utterly careful with the few billions that we 3
  • 4. manage to wrest from the Member States to our common budget. 12. What, then, is the role of the Union in the development of this “social Europe” which, even if it is increasingly infused by common principles, can only remain a nationally-based undertaking? It is by no means insignificant. Let me sketch out five points. (i) To borrow a term from medical ethics, primum est non nocere. First of all, make no harm. There is a strong need to avoid messing up many already well- functioning and carefully devised national systems for social protection, social services, labour market support, etc. Even where the national systems are not so well-functioning and not so carefully devised and valuable impetus for change may come from the European level, the burden of adjustment should largely fall on national political processes. (ii) For this reason, the regulatory powers of the Union must be used with caution and restraint, and social aspects should always be given due weight in the application of common market rules. We have a lot of principles and practicalities that must be upheld and enforced at the European level, so this balancing act is by no means easy, but many complex issues of social policy and labour relations require a special Fingerspitzgefühl when dealt with by the institutions of the Union, not least the European Court of Justice. (iii) When it comes to the budgetary side, we should give strong priority to the truly collective needs. Many interventions are of course mixed, producing on the one hand private and individual benefits and contributing on the other to common endeavours, including those covered by the Lisbon and Europe 2020 objectives. But the greater the purely private 4
  • 5. gain, the less reason is there normally for public funding. There are many exceptions to this rule in the social sphere, but the degree of collective benefits should be an important criterion in project selection. (iv) Another important criterion should be that of sustainability and long-term effects. Investment- type spending should as far as possible trumph out consumption-type spending. Now that distinction is not so easy to make: current spending on health and education may contain significant investment components while some capital spending for ill- conceived projects may be a short-sighted waste of money - all our countries have some experience in “political investments”. But we should at least aim for considerable long-term effects. To give but one example: if we want a robust and sustainable welfare state, investing in better fiscal systems and insurance mechanisms may be far more effective than short-term redistributive measures. Unfortunately, such structural ambitions are often absent from the interventions of the structural funds. A particular cause for suspicion is the frequent reporting of “jobs created” and “jobs maintained”. Measuring results in this undefined currency says nothing about long-term impact. (v) Finally, there is a strong need to refine, develop and specify the criterion of European added value. All too often this formula is used as an all-purpose mantra, serving to justify almost any type of spending. But if it is to serve as sharp instrument to identify the most meritorious policies and policy instruments, high thresholds must be established for admission to this particular category of expenditures. The best qualified programmes and projects will normally be those where economic externalities reduce the propensity of 5
  • 6. Member States to take action on their own and where there is substantial contribution to the sense of European community. 13. Many worthy projects compete for EU funding. Established EU objectives laid down in solemn documents are often advanced to support such pleas, but the multiplicity and wide coverage of these objectives renders this advocacy unhelpful and unconvincing. Among the goals there is a need to make clear distinction between various types, as for instance: • Historical goals which already have been attained, such as the promotion of the internal market, the promotion of the monetary union and the promotion of various stages of the enlargement. • Utopian goals which are noble but unlikely ever to be attained. • Grand goals which do not seem to exclude any type of action (smart growth, sustainable growth, inclusive growth). While the structural funds have already done their job as far as the historical goals are concerned, the utopian and grand goals may still serve some very good purposes. They provide legitimacy and a general sense of direction, but apart from that they give little guidance and help when it comes to setting priorities and making tough choices. For this we need sharper tools. 14. In seeking to define the future tasks of the ESF, the challenge is not simply to identify policies that contribute to the 2020 objectives. We must, more specifically, look for programmes and interventions that do so in an exceptional way through very significant elements and dimensions of (i) public goods, (ii) long-term effects, (iii) trans-frontier interaction and (iv) symbolic or emblematic substance. Only in such areas is there a sufficient measure of European added value to justify inclusion in the programmes of the next Financial Perspective. 6
  • 7. 15. So, in conclusion: passing the 2020 test is not enough. We must look for elements in the ESF agenda that pass that test with fanfares and flying colours. 7