1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT
20TH FEBRUARY 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
2. HEADLINES
Yen Rises On Government
Comments About BoJ
Policy And Forex
Euro May Fall As German
ZEW Disappoints, Yen
Gains On BOJ
TRADING TIPS Forex: G20 Gives Tacit
Approval For USD/JPY Rise
SELL EURUSD BELOW But Will It Climb?
1.3329 tgs
1.3309/1.3289 sl 1.3360 Euro Rises Temporarily on
Improved German Investor
Confidence
SELL USDJPY BELOW
93.36 tgt 93.22/93.08 German expectations for economic
SL 93.56 growth is at a near 3-year high in
February according to the ZEW survey,
showing positive sentiments for the third
straight month. The ZEW survey was for
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE economic sentiment was reported at
1.5504 tgt 48.2, better than the expected 35.0
survey result, and up from 31.5 in
1.5524/1.5544 SL January. However, the ZEW survey for
1.5484 the current situation declined to 5.2,
worse than the expected 9.0 and lower
than last month’s 7.1 survey result.
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8. Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
Sun NZD Performance
Feb 17
21:30 Low 52.6 51.5
Services Index (JAN)
Mon CNY Actual FDI (YoY)
Medium -4.2% -4.5%
Feb 18 (JAN)
GBP Rightmove House
00:01 Medium 1.1% 2.4%
Prices (YoY) (FEB)
GBP Rightmove House
00:01 Low 2.8% 0.2%
Prices (MoM) (FEB)
AUD New Motor
00:30 Vehicle Sales (YoY) Low 10.8% 17.9%
(JAN)
AUD New Motor
00:30 Vehicle Sales (MoM) Low -2.4% 2.2%
(JAN)
JPY Machine Tool
06:00 Medium -26.4% -26.1%
Orders (YoY) (JAN F)
EUR Bank of Spain
09:00 Publishes Bad Loans Medium 10.44% 11.38%
Data (Dec)
EUR Euro-Zone
09:00 Current Account s.a. Low 13.9B 15.9B
(euros) (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone
09:00 Current Account n.s.a. Low 27.0B 20.8B
(euros) (DEC)
EUR EU President Van
Rompuy Speaks to
13:00 High
Parliament on
Proposed Budget
EUR ECB's Draghi
14:30 Speaks at EU High
Parliament
JPY BOJ Minutes for
23:50 High
Meeting on Jan. 21-22
AUD RBA Policy
Tue
Feb 19
00:30 Meeting - February High
Minutes
JPY Leading Index
05:00 Medium 93.4
(DEC F)
JPY Coincident Index
05:00 Low 92.7
(DEC F)
JPY Tokyo Department
05:30 Store Sales (YoY) Low -1.1%
(JAN)
JPY Nationwide
05:30 Department Store Low -1.3%
Sales (YoY) (JAN)
EUR EU 25 New Car
07:00 Low -16.3%
Registrations (JAN)
EUR German ZEW
10:00 Survey (Economic High 35 31.5
Sentiment) (FEB)
EUR German ZEW
10:00 Survey (Current Medium 9 7.1
Situation) (FEB)
9. EUR Euro-Zone ZEW
10:00 Survey (Economic Medium 31.2
Sentiment) (FEB)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Construction Output Low -4.7%
w.d.a. (YoY) (DEC)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Construction Output Low -0.4%
s.a. (MoM) (DEC)
CAD Wholesale Sales
13:30 Low -0.4% 0.7%
(MoM) (DEC)
CAD International
Securities Transactions
13:30 Low 6.75B 5.62B
(Canadian dollar)
(DEC)
USD NAHB Housing
15:00 Low 48 47
Market Index (FEB)
NZD Producer Prices-
21:45 Low -0.9%
Outputs (QoQ) (4Q)
NZD Producer Prices-
21:45 Low -1.0%
Inputs (QoQ) (4Q)
AUD Conference Board
23:00 Medium -0.2%
Leading Index (DEC)
AUD Westpac Leading
23:30 Low 0.6%
Index (MoM) (DEC)
JPY Merchandise
23:50 Trade Balance Total Medium -¥1384.0B -¥641.5B
(Yen) (JAN)
JPY Merchandise
23:50 Trade Imports (YoY) Low 2.1 1.9
(JAN)
JPY Merchandise
23:50 Trade Exports (YoY) Low 5.6 -5.8
(JAN)
JPY Adjusted
23:50 Merchandise Trade Low -¥586.7B -¥800.7B
Balance (Yen) (JAN)
Wed USD Mortgage
Low 7.4%
Feb 20 Delinquencies (4Q)
USD MBA Mortgage
Low 4.1%
Foreclosures (4Q)
AUD Wage Cost Index
00:30 Low 0.8% 0.7%
(QoQ) (4Q)
AUD Wage Cost Index
00:30 Low 3.4% 3.7%
(YoY) (4Q)
JPY Bank Of Japan
Board Member
01:30 Low
Morimoto Speaks in
Kochi
JPY All Industry Activity
04:30 Medium 1.6% -0.3%
Index (MoM) (DEC)
EUR German
07:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.7% 1.7%
(YoY) (JAN F)
10. EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
07:00 High 1.9% 1.9%
EU Harmonised (YoY)
(JAN F)
EUR German Producer
07:00 Medium 1.2% 1.5%
Prices (YoY) (JAN)
EUR German
07:00 Consumer Price Index Medium -0.5% -0.5%
(MoM) (JAN F)
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
07:00 Medium -0.7% -0.7%
EU Harmonised (MoM)
(JAN F)
JPY Convenience
07:00 Store Sales (YoY) Low -2.0%
(JAN)
EUR German Producer
07:00 Low 0.3% -0.3%
Prices (MoM) (JAN)
GBP Jobless Claims
09:30 High -5.5K -12.1K
Change (JAN)
GBP Bank of England
Releases Monetary
09:30 High
Policy Committee
Minutes
GBP ILO
09:30 Unemployment Rate Medium 7.7% 7.7%
(3M) (DEC)
GBP Employment
09:30 Medium 117K 90K
Change (3M/3M) (DEC)
GBP Claimant Count
09:30 Medium 4.8% 4.8%
Rate (JAN)
GBP Average Weekly
09:30 Earnings (3M/YoY) Medium 1.4% 1.5%
(DEC)
GBP Weekly Earnings
09:30 exBonus (3M/YoY) Low 1.3% 1.4%
(DEC)
CHF ZEW Survey
10:00 Medium -6.9
(Expectations) (FEB)
USD MBA Mortgage
12:00 Low -6.4%
Applications (FEB 15)
USD Producer Price
13:30 Medium 1.5% 1.3%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
USD Producer Price
13:30 Medium 0.4% -0.3%
Index (MoM) (JAN)
USD Producer Price
13:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 1.7% 2.0%
Energy (YoY) (JAN)
USD Housing Starts
13:30 Medium -3.6% 12.1%
(MoM) (JAN)
USD Producer Price
13:30 Index Ex Food & Low 0.2% 0.1%
Energy (MoM) (JAN)
USD Housing Starts
13:30 Low 920K 954K
(JAN)
11. USD Building Permits
13:30 Low 1.2% 1.0%
(MoM) (JAN)
USD Building Permits
13:30 Low 920K 909K
(JAN)
CAD Teranet/National
14:00 Low 153.45
Bank HP Index (JAN)
CAD Teranet/National
14:00 Low 3.1%
Bank HPI (YoY) (JAN)
CAD Teranet/National
14:00 Low -0.2% -0.4%
Bank HPI (MoM) (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
15:00 Consumer Confidence Medium -23.2 -23.9
(FEB A)
USD Fed Releases
19:00 Minutes from Jan 29-30 High
FOMC Meeting
NZD ANZ NZ Job Ads
21:00 Low 0.4%
(MoM) (JAN)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low -¥228.6B
(FEB 15)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low -¥645.0B
(FEB 15)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥212.9B
(FEB 15)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low -¥261.6B
(FEB 15)
AUD RBA Foreign
Thu Exchange Transaction
Feb 21
00:30 Low 752M
(Australian dollar)
(JAN)
CNY MNI February
01:35 Flash Business Low
Sentiment Indicator
CNY Conference Board
02:00 China January Leading Low
Economic Index
JPY Supermarket
05:00 Low -1.5%
Sales (YoY) (JAN)
CHF Trade Balance
07:00 Medium 1.70B 1.00B
(Swiss franc) (JAN)
CHF Imports (MoM)
07:00 Low 5.5%
(JAN)
CHF Exports (MoM)
07:00 Low 0.3% -1.5%
(JAN)
EUR French
08:00 Purchasing Manager Low 44.4 43.6
Index Services (FEB P)
EUR French
Purchasing Manager
08:00 Low 43.8 42.9
Index Manufacturing
(FEB P)
12. CHF Real Estate Index
08:00 Low 413.1
Family Homes (4Q)
CHF Money Supply M3
08:00 Low 9.8%
(YoY) (JAN)
EUR German
08:30 Purchasing Manager Medium 55.5 55.7
Index Services (FEB A)
EUR German
Purchasing Manager
08:30 Medium 50.5 49.8
Index Manufacturing
(FEB A)
EUR Euro-Zone
09:00 Purchasing Manager Medium 49 48.6
Index Services (FEB A)
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
09:00 Medium 48.5 47.9
Index Manufacturing
(FEB A)
EUR Euro-Zone
Purchasing Manager
09:00 Medium 49 48.6
Index Composite (FEB
A)
GBP Public Sector Net
09:30 Borrowing (Pounds) Medium -9.5B 13.2B
(JAN)
GBP Public Finances
09:30 (PSNCR) (Pounds) Medium -35.0B 1.3B
(JAN)
GBP PSNB ex
09:30 Medium -8.7B 15.4B
Interventions (JAN)
GBP CBI Trends
11:00 Low 15 21
Selling Prices (FEB)
GBP CBI Trends Total
11:00 Low -15 -20
Orders (FEB)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 High 1.6% 1.7%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 Index Ex Food & High 1.8% 1.9%
Energy (YoY) (JAN)
USD Initial Jobless
13:30 Medium 355K 341K
Claims (FEB 16)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 Medium 0.1% 0.0%
Index (MoM) (JAN)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 0.2% 0.1%
Energy (MoM) (JAN)
USD Continuing Claims
13:30 Low 3150K 3114K
(FEB 9)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 Low 230.304 229.601
Index n.s.a. (JAN)
USD Consumer Price
13:30 Index Core Index s.a. Low 231.938 231.475
(JAN)
USD Markit US PMI
13:58 Medium 55.5
Preliminary (FEB)
13. USD Philadelphia Fed.
15:00 Medium 1 -5.8
(FEB)
USD Leading Indicators
15:00 Medium 0.2% 0.5%
(JAN)
USD Existing Home
15:00 Medium -0.8% -1.0%
Sales (MoM) (JAN)
USD Existing Home
15:00 Low 4.90M 4.94M
Sales (JAN)
USD API Monthly
15:00 Low
Statistical Report
USD EIA Natural Gas
15:30 Storage Change (FEB Low -157
15)
USD DOE U.S.
16:00 Distillate Inventory Low -3677K
(FEB 15)
USD DOE U.S. Crude
16:00 Oil Inventories (FEB Low 560K
15)
USD DOE Cushing OK
16:00 Crude Inventory (FEB Low -1118K
15)
USD DOE U.S.
16:00 Gasoline Inventories Low -803K
(FEB 15)
USD Fed's Bullard
Speaks About
17:30 Low
Monetary Policy in New
York
USD Fed's Williams
18:00 Speaks on Monetary Low
Policy in New York
Fri CNY China January
Feb 22
01:30 Medium
Property Prices
NZD Credit Card
02:00 Spending s.a. (MoM) Medium 1.0%
(JAN)
NZD Credit Card
02:00 Medium 4.6%
Spending (YoY) (JAN)
USD Fed's Fisher
02:15 Speaks on Economy in Low
Dallas ()
EUR German Gross
07:00 Domestic Product High 0.4% 0.4%
w.d.a. (YoY) (4Q F)
EUR German Gross
07:00 Domestic Product s.a. High -0.6% -0.6%
(QoQ) (4Q F)
EUR German Gross
07:00 Domestic Product High 0.1% 0.1%
n.s.a. (YoY) (4Q F)
EUR German Private
07:00 Low 0.1% 0.3%
Consumption (4Q)
EUR German Imports
07:00 Low -1.0% 1.0%
(4Q)
14. EUR German
07:00 Government Spending Low 0.2% 0.4%
(4Q)
EUR German Exports
07:00 Low -2.0% 1.4%
(4Q)
EUR German Domestic
07:00 Low -0.1% 0.0%
Demand (4Q)
EUR German
07:00 Construction Low -0.8% 1.5%
Investment (4Q)
EUR German Capital
07:00 Low -1.3% 0.2%
Investment (4Q)
EUR German IFO -
09:00 Current Assessment Medium 108.5 108
(FEB)
EUR German IFO -
09:00 Business Climate Medium 104.9 104.2
(FEB)
EUR German IFO -
09:00 Medium 101.4 100.5
Expectations (FEB)
EUR EU Issues Winter
10:00 Economic Forecasts in Medium
Brussels
CAD Consumer Price
13:30 High 0.7% 0.8%
Index (YoY) (JAN)
CAD Bank Canada
13:30 Consumer Price Index High 1.1% 1.1%
Core (YoY) (JAN)
CAD Retail Sales
13:30 Medium -0.4% 0.2%
(MoM) (DEC)
CAD Consumer Price
13:30 Medium 0.2% -0.6%
Index (MoM) (JAN)
CAD Bank Canada
13:30 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.2% -0.6%
Core (MoM) (JAN)
CAD Retail Sales Less
13:30 Low 0.1% -0.3%
Autos (MoM) (DEC)
CAD Core CPI s.a.
13:30 Low 0.1%
(MoM) (JAN)
CAD Consumer Price
13:30 Low -0.1%
Index s.a. (MoM) (JAN)
CAD Consumer Price
13:30 Low 121.2
Index (JAN)
USD Fed's Powell,
15:15 Rosengren Speak in Low
New York
USD Fed's Tarullo
23:30 Speaks on Regulation Low
in New York
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