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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT OCTOBER 15 2021
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15 October 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen depreciates extremely against U.S. dollar and hits lowest level since Nov 2018, Asian stock markets in green, gold stabilizes below $1,800
mark
Key Headlines:
• New Zealand Business Manufacturing Index stands at 51.4 vs 40.1 previous release.
• The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed
following strong results, while data on the labor market and infla on soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates – Reuters.
• Republican Senator Tom Co on is holding up a vote to confirm Alan Estevez as the U.S. Commerce Department's undersecretary for industry and security un l
he gets answers to difficult ques ons about technology exports to China – Reuters.
• Canada has told the Biden administra on it might limit U.S. companies' ability to win Canadian procurement contracts if Washington brings in tougher "Buy
American" rules, the Canadian finance minister said on Thursday – Reuters.
• White House press secretary Jen Psaki said on Thursday that U.S. President Joe Biden has yet to make a final decision on who to nominate to lead the Food
and Drug administra on – Reuters.
• The U.S. government has donated 3.6 million doses of the Pfizer Inc/BioNTech SE , COVID-19 vaccine to Nigeria – Reuters.
• President Joe Biden told visi ng Kenyan President Uhuru Kenya a on Thursday that the United States will make a one- me dona on of more than 17 million
doses of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine to the African Union, the White House said – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Italy Trade Balance, previous 8.76B, expected 9.23B.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro Trade Balance, Previous 13.4B, expected 14.1B.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Retail Sales, previous 0.7, expected -0.2.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core Retail Sales, previous 1.8, expected 0.5.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index, previous 34.3, expected 24.9.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Prelim UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 72.8, expected 73.5.
Economic Events Ahead:
• Tenta ve – FOMC member Williams speaks.
• All Day – IMF Mee ngs.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.05% to 94.00 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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OCTOBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7426
R2 S2
0.7450
R3 S3
0.7476
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7518
Buy Above 0.7430
0.7462
0.7387
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7375
0.7341
0.7405
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie recovers sharply from previous losses and jumps back above $0.7400 mark. It
made intraday high at $0.7424 and low at $0.7405 mark.Aday and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests
up trend for the time being.Asustained close above $0.7426 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7376 will check further supports.
0.7390
0.7376
0.7337
0.7310
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1638
R2 S2
1.1672
R3 S3
1.1705
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1738
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro starts a new day on a positive note ahead of Trade Balance results and trading
around $1.1600 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.1609 and low at $1.1588. Today triple
EMA on a day chart is down and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A consistent close
above $1.1621 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below
$1.1588 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1588
1.1570
1.1532
1.1502
Buy Above 1.1624
1.1654
1.1598
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1585
1.1562
1.1612
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3690
R2 S2
1.3715
R3 S3
1.3740
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3768
Buy Above 1.3690
1.3722
1.3665
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3662
1.3628
1.3697
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally higher on Friday and trading around key resistance at
$1.3690 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3688 and low at $1.3667 mark. A day chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1.3690 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3662 will
check further supports.
USD
1.3662
1.3637
1.3610
1.3580
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2390
R2 S2
1.2426
R3 S3
1.2450
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2488
Buy Above 1.2390
1.2422
1.2355
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2350
1.2316
1.2378
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar appreciates sharply on Friday and slips back below 1.2400 mark.
The pair made intraday high at 1.2381 and low at 1.2355 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2390 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2350 on H1 chart will check key
supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2350
1.2321
1.2300
1.2278
OCTOBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
114.06
R2 S2
114.26
R3 S3
114.58
R4
Commentary
S4
114.96
Buy Above 114.05
114.35
113.70
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 113.53
113.16
113.88
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen weakens drastically against U.S. dollar and touches 113.94 mark. It is
the lowest level since Nov 2018. The pair made intraday high at 113.94 and low at 113.62 mark. The
triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close
above 114.06 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 113.54
on H1 chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
113.54
113.21
112.80
112.38
OCTOBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1804
R2 S2
1809
R3 S3
1815
R4
Commentary
S4
1821
Buy Above 1801
1808
1794
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1791
1785
1798
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold strengthened sharply in previous session and touched $1,800 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $1,796 and low at $1,793 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart with triple
EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,800 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,788 will check further supports. Later today
U.S. retail sales and UoM Consumer Sentiment data will give further directions to the parity.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1781
1776
1770
1764
OCTOBER,
2021
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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