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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 28 2021

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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 28 2021

DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 28 2021

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+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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28 April, 2021
Daily Analysis Report
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Aussie remains vola le as CPI data misses expecta ons; Markets eye U.S. FOMC Interest Rate Decision; most Asian stock markets in green; gold hovers
around $1,770 mark
Key Headlines:
• Australia CPI q/q stands at 0.6 pct vs 0.9 pct previous release (expected 0.9).
• Australia Trimmed Mean CPI stands at 0.3 pct vs 0.4 pct previous release.
• Australia goods trade balance stands at 8.50B vs 7.54B previous release.
• U.K. BRC Shop Price Index stands at -1.3 pct vs -2.4 pct previous release.
• Japan Retail Sales stands at 5.2 pct vs -1.5 pct previous release.
• U.S. API weekly crude oil stock stands at 4.319M vs 0.436M previous release.
• South Korea consumer confidence stands at 102.2 vs 100.5 previous release.
• Economic growth in developing Asia is set to rebound to 7.3% this year - Asian Development Bank (ADB).
• India’s GDP is expected to expand 7.0% in FY2022 – ADB.
• Withdrawal of central bank credit and QE measures pose the most serious risk for Australian credit markets over the next 12 months - Fitch Ra ngs survey.
• Bank of Canada made no interest rate changes and it is con nuing to pull back its quan ta ve easing weekly bond purchase program to $3 billion from a
minimum of $4 billion.
• BOC’s annual 2021 infla on outlook was revised up to 2.3%, followed by 1.9% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023.
• BoC's Gov Macklem - The BOC sees the infla on rise as temporary.
• BoC's Gov Macklem - Despite the latest covid surge, we see remarkable economic resilience.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada Retail Sales, previous -1.1, expected 4.0.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada Core Retail Sales, previous -1.2, expected 3.4.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Goods Trade Balance, previous -86.7, expected -88.2.
• (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.S. Interest Rate Decision, previous 0.25, expected 0.25.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks.
• (1830 GMT/0000 IST) U.S. FOMC Press Conference.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.09% to 90.99 points.
AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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APRIL,
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7772
R2 S2
0.7815
R3 S3
0.7838
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7867
Buy Above 0.7776
0.7815
0.7740
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7725
0.7701
0.7770
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie depreciates noticeably on Wednesday as CPI data misses expectations.
The pair made intraday high at $0.7771 and low at $0.7725 mark. A day chart confirms up trend
while H1 chart confirms bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7772 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7700 will check further
supports.
0.7718
0.7702
0.7677
0.7640
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2090
R2 S2
1.2115
R3 S3
1.2152
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2170
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro trades marginally lower on Wednesday and remains well supported around
$1.2080 mark. Later today ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak at 1400 GMT, likely to
bring market volatility in Euro parity. Today pair made intraday high at $1.2093 and low at
$1.2075. Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart confirm bullish trend for the time being. A
consistent close above $1.2090 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained
close below $1.2048 on H1 will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.2062
1.2048
1.2001
1.1976
Buy Above 1.2095
1.2122
1.2070
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2055
1.2015
1.2090
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3925
R2 S2
1.3945
R3 S3
1.3969
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3992
Buy Above 1.3925
1.3945
1.3885
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3855
1.3820
1.3905
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally lower on Wednesday and stabilizes below $1.3900
mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.3910 and low at $1.3874 mark. Today a day confirms
bullish trend for the time being while H1 chart confirms short trend for the time being. A sustained
close above $1.3915 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3840
will check further key supports.
USD
1.3858
1.3822
1.3787
1.3764
GBP/
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2
021
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2418
R2 S2
1.2450
R3 S3
1.2472
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2490
Buy Above 1.2420
1.2450
1.2389
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2380
1.2347
1.2415
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar trades marginally lower and jumps back above 1.2400 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at 1.2418 and low at 1.2394 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with
Triple EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2418 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2391 on H1 chart will check
key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2391
1.2365
1.2347
1.2330
APRIL,
2
021

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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 28 2021

  • 1. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X 28 April, 2021 Daily Analysis Report
  • 2. +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com Asian Bulle n: Aussie remains vola le as CPI data misses expecta ons; Markets eye U.S. FOMC Interest Rate Decision; most Asian stock markets in green; gold hovers around $1,770 mark Key Headlines: • Australia CPI q/q stands at 0.6 pct vs 0.9 pct previous release (expected 0.9). • Australia Trimmed Mean CPI stands at 0.3 pct vs 0.4 pct previous release. • Australia goods trade balance stands at 8.50B vs 7.54B previous release. • U.K. BRC Shop Price Index stands at -1.3 pct vs -2.4 pct previous release. • Japan Retail Sales stands at 5.2 pct vs -1.5 pct previous release. • U.S. API weekly crude oil stock stands at 4.319M vs 0.436M previous release. • South Korea consumer confidence stands at 102.2 vs 100.5 previous release. • Economic growth in developing Asia is set to rebound to 7.3% this year - Asian Development Bank (ADB). • India’s GDP is expected to expand 7.0% in FY2022 – ADB. • Withdrawal of central bank credit and QE measures pose the most serious risk for Australian credit markets over the next 12 months - Fitch Ra ngs survey. • Bank of Canada made no interest rate changes and it is con nuing to pull back its quan ta ve easing weekly bond purchase program to $3 billion from a minimum of $4 billion. • BOC’s annual 2021 infla on outlook was revised up to 2.3%, followed by 1.9% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023. • BoC's Gov Macklem - The BOC sees the infla on rise as temporary. • BoC's Gov Macklem - Despite the latest covid surge, we see remarkable economic resilience. Economic Data Ahead: • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada Retail Sales, previous -1.1, expected 4.0. • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) Canada Core Retail Sales, previous -1.2, expected 3.4. • (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Goods Trade Balance, previous -86.7, expected -88.2. • (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.S. Interest Rate Decision, previous 0.25, expected 0.25. Economic Events Ahead: • (1400 GMT/1930 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks. • (1830 GMT/0000 IST) U.S. FOMC Press Conference. Major FX Pair Trend: USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.09% to 90.99 points.
  • 3. AUD / USD BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X APRIL, 2 021 Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 0.7772 R2 S2 0.7815 R3 S3 0.7838 R4 Commentary S4 0.7867 Buy Above 0.7776 0.7815 0.7740 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 0.7725 0.7701 0.7770 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 AUD/USD: The Aussie depreciates noticeably on Wednesday as CPI data misses expectations. The pair made intraday high at $0.7771 and low at $0.7725 mark. A day chart confirms up trend while H1 chart confirms bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7772 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7700 will check further supports. 0.7718 0.7702 0.7677 0.7640
  • 4. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2090 R2 S2 1.2115 R3 S3 1.2152 R4 Commentary S4 1.2170 +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 EUR/USD: The euro trades marginally lower on Wednesday and remains well supported around $1.2080 mark. Later today ECB President Lagarde is scheduled to speak at 1400 GMT, likely to bring market volatility in Euro parity. Today pair made intraday high at $1.2093 and low at $1.2075. Today triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart confirm bullish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.2090 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.2048 on H1 will check further supports. EUR / USD 1.2062 1.2048 1.2001 1.1976 Buy Above 1.2095 1.2122 1.2070 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.2055 1.2015 1.2090 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 APRIL, 2 021
  • 5. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary H 1 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.3925 R2 S2 1.3945 R3 S3 1.3969 R4 Commentary S4 1.3992 Buy Above 1.3925 1.3945 1.3885 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.3855 1.3820 1.3905 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 GBP/USD: The sterling trades marginally lower on Wednesday and stabilizes below $1.3900 mark. The pair made intraday high at $1.3910 and low at $1.3874 mark. Today a day confirms bullish trend for the time being while H1 chart confirms short trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3915 requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3840 will check further key supports. USD 1.3858 1.3822 1.3787 1.3764 GBP/ Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 APRIL, 2 021
  • 6. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1.2418 R2 S2 1.2450 R3 S3 1.2472 R4 Commentary S4 1.2490 Buy Above 1.2420 1.2450 1.2389 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1.2380 1.2347 1.2415 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar trades marginally lower and jumps back above 1.2400 mark. Today pair made intraday high at 1.2418 and low at 1.2394 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with Triple EMA confirm bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2418 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2391 on H1 chart will check key supports too. USD /CAD 1.2391 1.2365 1.2347 1.2330 APRIL, 2 021
  • 7. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Up Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 109.11 R2 S2 109.40 R3 S3 109.71 R4 Commentary S4 109.96 Buy Above 109.10 109.37 108.60 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 108.50 108.22 108.90 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 USD/JPY: The Japanese yen weakens noticeable against U.S. dollar after BOJ’s Monetary Policy Meet released yesterday. The pair made intraday high at 108.94 and low at 108.62 mark. The triple EMA on a day as well as H1 chart is bullish for the time being. A sustained close above 109.11 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 108.57 on H1 will check key supports. USD /JPY 108.57 108.22 107.87 107.51 APRIL, 2 021
  • 8. BUY SELL R E P O R T F R O M : T P G LO B A L F X Technical Summary Trends Down Trend Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA H 1 RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50 FIBO Levels PIVOT R1 S1 1784 R2 S2 1787 R3 S3 1792 R4 Commentary S4 1797 Buy Above 1778 1785 1769 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea Sell Below 1764 1758 1772 – Take Profit – Stop Loss Trade Idea +1 7754 366 970 analysis@tpglobalfx.com - Time Frame: H1 XAU/USD (GOLD): The judgment day is finally comes. The key event for the day will be FOMC Interest Rate Decision. The gold trades slightly lower on Wednesday and hovers around $1,770 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,777 and low $1,766 mark. A day chart and H1 Chart with Triple EMA is showing bearish movement in short run. A sustained close above $1,784 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,768 will check further supports. XAU [GOLD] USD / 1768 1762 1754 1748 APRIL, 2 021
  • 9. Thank you! Info@tpglobalfx.com www.tpglobalfx.com R E P O R T F R O M : T P G L O B A L F X /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx /tpglobalfx that even knowledgeable and well-experienced investors can experience large potential losses as a result of trading in Forex and CFDs. Consequently, investors should be fully aware of all the risks involved when trading Forex and CFDs and accept all the negative consequences associated with such trading. Please always remember that trading in Forex and CFDs might not be suitable for all investors. It is desirable investors who would consider trading, to do so only with money that they can afford to lose. You are also recommended to seek independent financial advice if necessary. The content on this website does not constitute financial or investment advice. Any information herein is of a general nature and does not take into consideration your personal circumstances, investment experience or current financial situation. Apple, the Apple logo, iPod, iPad, iPod touch, and iTunes are trademarks of Apple Inc, registered in the US and other countries. IPhone is a trademark of Apple Inc. App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. This site is run and operated by – TP Global Services Limited registered by FSA, St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Number 25274 BC 2019 TP Global Services Limited does not offer its services to residents of certain jurisdictions such as USA, and British Columbia. Disclamer: Forex and Contracts for Difference (CFDs) are leveraged products. Trading in these products is highly speculative and involves substantial risk. Please note