A deep depression in the west central bay of Bengal is expected to intensify into a cyclonic storm, projected to hit south of Gopalpur on October 11. Heavy rainfall and strong wind speeds up to 100 km/h are anticipated in several Odisha districts, with potential heavy impacts from Wednesday to Saturday. The system's development is supported by atmospheric conditions, although its cloud organization is currently less intense than previous cyclones.

1. Cyclonic Storm Likely To Hit
Gopalpur On Thursday

2. Bhubaneswar, Oct. 9: The deep depression formed over
the west central Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify into
a cyclonic storm and cross the Odisha coast south of
Gopalpur in the morning of October 11, the Centre for
Climate and Environment (CEC) of the SOA (Deemed to
be University) said on Tuesday.

3. Most of the models were supporting the likelihood of
the deep depression, located 560 km south-east of
Gopalpur, intensifying into a cyclonic storm by Tuesday
night, Dr. Sarat Chandra Sahu, Director of CEC, said.

4. It was likely to initially move in a north--
northwest wordly direction towards the
Odisha coast and then move in a northeasterly
direction along the coast towards West
Bengal after entering mainland, he said.

5. Under its influence, extremely heavy rainfall is likely in
one or two locations in the districts of Ganjam,
Gajapati, Jagatsinghpur, Puri, Balasore and Mayurbhanj.
But heavy to very heavy rainfall could be experienced
in the districts of Rayagada, Kandhamal, Nayagarh,
Khurda, Kendrapara, Bhadrak, Jajpur, Cuttack and
Keonjhar districts between Wednesday and Saturday.

6. The wind speed may increase up to 80 to 100
km per hour at the time of the cyclone
crossing the coast in Ganjam and Puri
districts but models indicate weakening of the
system causing the wind speed to hover
between 45 to 55 km per hour.

7. The probability of the deep depression
intensifying into a cyclonic storm was high
due to upper air trough over north India while
the deep depression over the Bay of Bengal
provided cold air in higher altitude causing
pressure to fall rapidly.

8. However, the cloud mass was not properly
organized as in case of earlier cyclones and
the convection area was spreading in a large
area in the Bay of Bengal, Dr. Sahu said.

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