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ATLAS OUTLOOK
2016
A Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Research Publication
In strategy terms, focusing on cities
rather than countries or sectors is
beneficial, but, above all, the mantra will
be ‘change not growth’ as investors
seek out security and performance.
Both stem from the value the property
not only creates but also sustains for its
occupier.
David Hutchings, EMEA Investment Strategy
Cushman & Wakefield
A TRANSFORMING INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE
WHICH REGIONS ARE SET TO SEE THE STRONG CAPITAL IN 2016?
North America
US$540 bn
3.8% growth
Asia Pacific
US$448 bn
1.5% growth
EMEA
US$347 bn
1.5% growth
Latin America
US$4.5 bn
18.6% growth
INVESTMENT VOLUMES (INCLUDING LAND AND MULTIFAMILY, ASSETS
OVER US$5 MN). SOURCE: CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD, RCA
A TRANSFORMING INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE
THE KEY TRENDS SHAPING REGIONAL INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE
Stabilising growth in
China, higher supply
levels and robust
occupational demand
against strong regional
investor interest.
Asia Pacific
Reformed economies to
outperform as investors
wait for signs that the
commodity and real estate
markets have hit bottom.
Latin America
In the US, globally
leading economic
growth and dollar
strength are overlain
with tightening policy
and November’s
election.
North America
Further QE, low cost of
capital and uncertainties
in the EU stretching from
the UK’s referendum to
mass migration.
EMEA
Increased profit taking will bring more stock to market
LOOKING AHEAD
WHAT’S DRIVING THE 4.2% RISE IN TRADING VOLUMES FOR 2016
New sources of capital are still emerging
Unsatisfied demand among existing players in all
segments
A strong supply of debt
THE KEY
STRATEGIES
FOR THE
YEAR AHEAD
FOCUS ON THE OCCUPIER,
NOT THE BANKER
“BUILD TO CORE”
IN GATEWAY MARKETS
INVEST IN LOCAL
PLATFORMS,
DIRECTLY, IN JVS
AND VIA M&A
ACTIVITY
CITIES, NOT
COUNTRIES,
WILL BE KEY
FOCUS ON FLEXIBLE,
CORE PROPERTY,
WITH SUPER-PRIME IN
DEMAND
LOOKING AHEAD
THE REGIONAL MARKET FUNDAMENTALS FOR 2016
VALUE CHANGES IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
Source: Cushman & Wakefield, RCA
Note: Middle East rental growth and yields for offices only. Other regions are all-sector excluding multifamily. Rental levels referred
to are face rents.
RCA data relates to all deals over US$5 mn, as of Feb 2016. Constant exchange rate assumed in 2016 forecast.
Geopolitical issues, the length of the
recovery cycle, volatility and increased
uncertainty are leading to differing views
with respect to asset allocation and how
best to invest. This is benefiting real
estate as allocations to the sector
increase, boosting demand for assets.
Carlo Barel di Sant’Albano
CEO, Global Capital Markets, Cushman & Wakefield
CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD LLP
43/45 Portman Square
London, W1A 3BG
Tel.+44 20 7935 5000
Cushman & Wakefield Copyright 2016. NO WARRANTY OR REPRESENTATION, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, IS MADE TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE INFORMATION
CONTAINED HEREIN, AND SAME IS SUBMITTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS,
CHANGE OF PRICE, RENTAL OR OTHER CONDITIONS, WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE,
AND TO ANY SPECIAL LISTING CONDITIONS IMPOSED BY THE PROPERTY OWNER(S). AS
APPLICABLE, WE MAKE NO REPRESENTATION AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY
(OR PROPERTIES) IN QUESTION.
DAVID HUTCHINGS
Head of EMEA Investment Strategy
+44 (0) 20 7152 5029
+44 (0) 7793 808029
david.hutchings@cushwake.com

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Cushman & Wakefield's Atlas Outlook 2016

  • 1. ATLAS OUTLOOK 2016 A Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Research Publication
  • 2. In strategy terms, focusing on cities rather than countries or sectors is beneficial, but, above all, the mantra will be ‘change not growth’ as investors seek out security and performance. Both stem from the value the property not only creates but also sustains for its occupier. David Hutchings, EMEA Investment Strategy Cushman & Wakefield
  • 3. A TRANSFORMING INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE WHICH REGIONS ARE SET TO SEE THE STRONG CAPITAL IN 2016? North America US$540 bn 3.8% growth Asia Pacific US$448 bn 1.5% growth EMEA US$347 bn 1.5% growth Latin America US$4.5 bn 18.6% growth INVESTMENT VOLUMES (INCLUDING LAND AND MULTIFAMILY, ASSETS OVER US$5 MN). SOURCE: CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD, RCA
  • 4. A TRANSFORMING INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE THE KEY TRENDS SHAPING REGIONAL INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE Stabilising growth in China, higher supply levels and robust occupational demand against strong regional investor interest. Asia Pacific Reformed economies to outperform as investors wait for signs that the commodity and real estate markets have hit bottom. Latin America In the US, globally leading economic growth and dollar strength are overlain with tightening policy and November’s election. North America Further QE, low cost of capital and uncertainties in the EU stretching from the UK’s referendum to mass migration. EMEA
  • 5. Increased profit taking will bring more stock to market LOOKING AHEAD WHAT’S DRIVING THE 4.2% RISE IN TRADING VOLUMES FOR 2016 New sources of capital are still emerging Unsatisfied demand among existing players in all segments A strong supply of debt
  • 6. THE KEY STRATEGIES FOR THE YEAR AHEAD FOCUS ON THE OCCUPIER, NOT THE BANKER “BUILD TO CORE” IN GATEWAY MARKETS INVEST IN LOCAL PLATFORMS, DIRECTLY, IN JVS AND VIA M&A ACTIVITY CITIES, NOT COUNTRIES, WILL BE KEY FOCUS ON FLEXIBLE, CORE PROPERTY, WITH SUPER-PRIME IN DEMAND
  • 7. LOOKING AHEAD THE REGIONAL MARKET FUNDAMENTALS FOR 2016 VALUE CHANGES IN THE GLOBAL MARKET Source: Cushman & Wakefield, RCA Note: Middle East rental growth and yields for offices only. Other regions are all-sector excluding multifamily. Rental levels referred to are face rents. RCA data relates to all deals over US$5 mn, as of Feb 2016. Constant exchange rate assumed in 2016 forecast.
  • 8. Geopolitical issues, the length of the recovery cycle, volatility and increased uncertainty are leading to differing views with respect to asset allocation and how best to invest. This is benefiting real estate as allocations to the sector increase, boosting demand for assets. Carlo Barel di Sant’Albano CEO, Global Capital Markets, Cushman & Wakefield
  • 9. CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD LLP 43/45 Portman Square London, W1A 3BG Tel.+44 20 7935 5000 Cushman & Wakefield Copyright 2016. NO WARRANTY OR REPRESENTATION, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, IS MADE TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN, AND SAME IS SUBMITTED SUBJECT TO ERRORS, OMISSIONS, CHANGE OF PRICE, RENTAL OR OTHER CONDITIONS, WITHDRAWAL WITHOUT NOTICE, AND TO ANY SPECIAL LISTING CONDITIONS IMPOSED BY THE PROPERTY OWNER(S). AS APPLICABLE, WE MAKE NO REPRESENTATION AS TO THE CONDITION OF THE PROPERTY (OR PROPERTIES) IN QUESTION. DAVID HUTCHINGS Head of EMEA Investment Strategy +44 (0) 20 7152 5029 +44 (0) 7793 808029 david.hutchings@cushwake.com