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CSL MARKET
REVIEW
Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily
insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets
November 09, 2015
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
1
Retail Views
NSE…
On the backdrop of falling money market rates, the equity market
received some boost today as the volume and value rose significantly.
The rise in market activity, however, did not lead to positive return in
the All Share Index as the benchmark index, closed a marginal 0.03%
lower. Sub-sectors showed mixed performance as NSEOILG and
NSEINS closed positive on the back of Oando (+10.10%), NEM(+4.55%)
and Lawunion (+3.85%) while NSEBNK, NSECNSM and NSEIND closed
in negative territory on the backdrop of Guaranty(-0.34%), 7UP(-3.15%)
and heavyweight Dangcem (-0.61%).
The All-Share-Index has lost 15.84% year-to-date. Among the broad
indices, 1.125billion units valued at N14.623bn represents an increase by
13% and 139% in volume and value traded relative to previous figures.
At the close of today’s session, 25 stocks advanced relative to 15
decliners while 46 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers’ chart are
OANDO (N8.50), CCNN (N8.73) and FIDSON (N3.09) while CAVERTON
(N2.63), WEMABANK (N0.95) and EVANSMED (N0.52) led the
decliners.
See below for recent company financial results.
In the trader’s opinion, investors are advised to take up buying positions
in value stocks for possible long term returns.
28,000.00
29,000.00
30,000.00
31,000.00
0.300
5.300
10.300
3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value
Traded
Series2 Series1
Market Wrap
ASI -0.03% 29,168.04
Index Yr-to-date -15.84%
Market Cap. N10.026Tn
Traded value N1,125Bn
Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg.
Oando 8.50 10.10
Ccnn 8.73 10.09
Diamondbnk 2.87 9.54
Maybaker 1.26 5.00
Unilever 33.00 5.00
Key Losers Close (N) %Chg.
Caverton 2.63 -4.71
Wemabank 0.95 -4.04
Evansmed 0.52 -3.70
7up 185.06 -3.12
Skyebank 1.90 -2.06
Global Markets Close %Chg.
FTSE 100 6,318.99 -0.55
The DOW 17,756.04 -0.86
S & P 500 2,080.13 -0.91
Nikkei 225 19,642.74 1.96
Kenya NSE 147.58 0.76
Source : Bloomberg
Fixed Income & Commodities
NITTY
3-Month 3.1850
6-Month 5.9396
9-Month 7.6396
12-Month 7.7176
Crude Oil Spot Price
Brent Crude Us$47.78
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
2
NASD OTC Market.....
NASD Market News…
The market opened this week to show a positive rally, as it left the indices churning out increases in all its indices. The Unlisted
Securities Index and Market Capitalization appreciated +5.23% equally (36.98basis points and N21.93bn) to record 743.84basis
points and N441.02bn in that arrangement.
Value and volume of shares traded also appreciated +164.55% and +54.27% to close N4.69m and 40,881units from previous
figures; altogether, trades were executed in 7 deals. Further activity levels recorded 5(five) securities trading out of the 23
securities admitted to trade, with NDEP Plc recording the largest volume of stocks traded in 32,100units.
The day’sprice chart recorded 2 (two) gainsand1(one) losswith 20 securities remainedunchanged. FrieslandCampina Wamco
Plc +15.00% (N197.80), NDEP Plc +0.63% ( N160.00) and CSCS Plc -11.50% (N5.31)
Tactical positioning investors are advised take up a medium to long term investment approach in these equities.
Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date
Payment
date Name Period Turnover (N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg
TOTAL NIG PLC INTERIM 2.00 KOBO Nil 04-Dec-15 14-Dec-15 SKYE SHELTHER FUND 9M 2015 170 21% 138 138 31%
NESTLE NIG PLC INTERIM 1000 KOBO Nil 30-Oct-15 07-Dec-15 RAK UNITY PETROLEUM H1 2015 2,320 -35% 55 38 -4%
SEPLAT PET. DEV. CO INTERIM 30 KOBO Nil 23-Nov-15 17-Nov-15 CONOIL PLC 9M 2015 60,156 -42% 1,760 1,196 -16%
NIGERIA BREWERIES INTERIM 120 KOBO Nil 18-Nov-15 19-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC 9M 2015 7,900 -5% 613 513 41%
RAK UNITY PETROLEUM FY 2015 30 KOBO Nil 27-Oct-15 02-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q2 2015 6,167 10% 568 518 127%
CONOIL FY 2014 100 Kobo Nil 28-Sep-15 02-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q1 2015 3,048 -1% 377 342 47%
GUINNESS FY 2014 320 Kobo Nil 12-Oct-15 27-Nov-15 ELLAH LAKES PLC FY 2015 72 -23% 34- 34- -162%
ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A NEWGOLD ISSUER H1 2015 5,203.00$ -61% 4,938.00$ 3,560.00$ -59%
Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A EQUITY ASSURANCE 9M 2015 2,106 -26% 647- 664- -98%
Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil NASCON ALLIED INDUSTRIES 9M 2015 10,192 25% 2,380 1,618 3%
Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil CHARMS PLC 9M 2015 855 -56% 564- 564- -756%
Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15 CONTINENTAL REINSURANCE 9M 2015 15,109 26% 2,072 1,537 13%
Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5 kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15 UAC OF NIGERIA PLC 9M 2015 54,602 -10% 1,431 1,897- -176%
UNITY BANK 9M 2015 49,200 2% 10,347 9,313 -16%
FLOURMILLS OF NIG. Q2 2015 117,583 -29% 24,109 24,109 452%
UNIVERSITY PRESS Q2 2015 1,140 -14% 273 191 -14%
RT BRISCOE 9M 2015 9,740 -34% 1,477- 1,477- -392%
PORTLAND PAINTS & PRODUCT 9M 2015 1,664 -31% 78- 115- -181%
SEVEN UP BOTTLING CO. PLC 9M 2015 39,569 4% 2,371 1,820 -27%
Corporate Action (October 2015) Company Result (October 2015)
600.00
700.00
800.00
03-
Nov
05-
Nov
07-
Nov
09-
Nov
Index
Period
USI
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
3
News Highlight –Treasury Single Account
CBN fines Skye Bank for non-compliance with TSA directive
Over the weekend, Thisday newspaper reported that the CBN has fined Skye Bank (Hold, target price
N2.7/s, current price N2.0/s) N4bn (US$20m) for its failure to remit N40.1bn of Federal Government
Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) funds to the Treasury Single Account (TSA).
The sanction on Skye bank comes barely two weeks after FBN Holdings (Buy, target price N10.3/s, current
price N5.1/s) and UBA (Buy, target price N7.2/s, current price N3.5/s) were fined N1.9bn and N2.9bn
respectively for failure to fully comply with the Federal Government’s directive on TSA. The fines charged on
FBN Holdings and UBA represented 5% of the funds they failed to remit.
According to the newspaper, Skye Bank’s N4bn fine is equivalent to 10% of the funds it failed to remit. The
paper stated that the CBN meted out a harsher sanction on Skye Bank because the funds were discovered
only after CBN examiners visited the Bank almost a month after the deadline.
We believe this fine will have a significant impact on Skye Bank’s FY 2015e earnings. Using 9M 2015 run-rate,
Skye Banks fine of N4bn is 25% of its annualised PBT of N16.0bn.
Following the announcement of fines levied on FBNH and UBA, their respective share prices declined 12.3%
and 12.1% that week. As such, we believe Skye Bank’s share price may also react negatively to this news.
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
4
Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital-
market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp.
RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF
LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing
this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing
advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections
afforded to its clients.
If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to
any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any
FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If
you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the
document immediately to CSLS.
This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored
investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The
appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares
referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors.
CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital
Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares
mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and
for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to
CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the
context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request.
This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS
nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and
neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in
thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent
judgment.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full
amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes
in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no
recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the
risk to which it is exposed.
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be
reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
© CSLS 2013. All rights reserved
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED
Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange
First City Plaza, 44 Marina,
PO Box 9117,
Lagos State, NIGERIA

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Csl daily market update 09112015

  • 1. CSL MARKET REVIEW Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets November 09, 2015
  • 2. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 1 Retail Views NSE… On the backdrop of falling money market rates, the equity market received some boost today as the volume and value rose significantly. The rise in market activity, however, did not lead to positive return in the All Share Index as the benchmark index, closed a marginal 0.03% lower. Sub-sectors showed mixed performance as NSEOILG and NSEINS closed positive on the back of Oando (+10.10%), NEM(+4.55%) and Lawunion (+3.85%) while NSEBNK, NSECNSM and NSEIND closed in negative territory on the backdrop of Guaranty(-0.34%), 7UP(-3.15%) and heavyweight Dangcem (-0.61%). The All-Share-Index has lost 15.84% year-to-date. Among the broad indices, 1.125billion units valued at N14.623bn represents an increase by 13% and 139% in volume and value traded relative to previous figures. At the close of today’s session, 25 stocks advanced relative to 15 decliners while 46 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers’ chart are OANDO (N8.50), CCNN (N8.73) and FIDSON (N3.09) while CAVERTON (N2.63), WEMABANK (N0.95) and EVANSMED (N0.52) led the decliners. See below for recent company financial results. In the trader’s opinion, investors are advised to take up buying positions in value stocks for possible long term returns. 28,000.00 29,000.00 30,000.00 31,000.00 0.300 5.300 10.300 3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value Traded Series2 Series1 Market Wrap ASI -0.03% 29,168.04 Index Yr-to-date -15.84% Market Cap. N10.026Tn Traded value N1,125Bn Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg. Oando 8.50 10.10 Ccnn 8.73 10.09 Diamondbnk 2.87 9.54 Maybaker 1.26 5.00 Unilever 33.00 5.00 Key Losers Close (N) %Chg. Caverton 2.63 -4.71 Wemabank 0.95 -4.04 Evansmed 0.52 -3.70 7up 185.06 -3.12 Skyebank 1.90 -2.06 Global Markets Close %Chg. FTSE 100 6,318.99 -0.55 The DOW 17,756.04 -0.86 S & P 500 2,080.13 -0.91 Nikkei 225 19,642.74 1.96 Kenya NSE 147.58 0.76 Source : Bloomberg Fixed Income & Commodities NITTY 3-Month 3.1850 6-Month 5.9396 9-Month 7.6396 12-Month 7.7176 Crude Oil Spot Price Brent Crude Us$47.78
  • 3. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 2 NASD OTC Market..... NASD Market News… The market opened this week to show a positive rally, as it left the indices churning out increases in all its indices. The Unlisted Securities Index and Market Capitalization appreciated +5.23% equally (36.98basis points and N21.93bn) to record 743.84basis points and N441.02bn in that arrangement. Value and volume of shares traded also appreciated +164.55% and +54.27% to close N4.69m and 40,881units from previous figures; altogether, trades were executed in 7 deals. Further activity levels recorded 5(five) securities trading out of the 23 securities admitted to trade, with NDEP Plc recording the largest volume of stocks traded in 32,100units. The day’sprice chart recorded 2 (two) gainsand1(one) losswith 20 securities remainedunchanged. FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc +15.00% (N197.80), NDEP Plc +0.63% ( N160.00) and CSCS Plc -11.50% (N5.31) Tactical positioning investors are advised take up a medium to long term investment approach in these equities. Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date Payment date Name Period Turnover (N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg TOTAL NIG PLC INTERIM 2.00 KOBO Nil 04-Dec-15 14-Dec-15 SKYE SHELTHER FUND 9M 2015 170 21% 138 138 31% NESTLE NIG PLC INTERIM 1000 KOBO Nil 30-Oct-15 07-Dec-15 RAK UNITY PETROLEUM H1 2015 2,320 -35% 55 38 -4% SEPLAT PET. DEV. CO INTERIM 30 KOBO Nil 23-Nov-15 17-Nov-15 CONOIL PLC 9M 2015 60,156 -42% 1,760 1,196 -16% NIGERIA BREWERIES INTERIM 120 KOBO Nil 18-Nov-15 19-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC 9M 2015 7,900 -5% 613 513 41% RAK UNITY PETROLEUM FY 2015 30 KOBO Nil 27-Oct-15 02-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q2 2015 6,167 10% 568 518 127% CONOIL FY 2014 100 Kobo Nil 28-Sep-15 02-Nov-15 NIGER INSURANCE PLC Q1 2015 3,048 -1% 377 342 47% GUINNESS FY 2014 320 Kobo Nil 12-Oct-15 27-Nov-15 ELLAH LAKES PLC FY 2015 72 -23% 34- 34- -162% ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A NEWGOLD ISSUER H1 2015 5,203.00$ -61% 4,938.00$ 3,560.00$ -59% Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A EQUITY ASSURANCE 9M 2015 2,106 -26% 647- 664- -98% Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil NASCON ALLIED INDUSTRIES 9M 2015 10,192 25% 2,380 1,618 3% Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil CHARMS PLC 9M 2015 855 -56% 564- 564- -756% Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15 CONTINENTAL REINSURANCE 9M 2015 15,109 26% 2,072 1,537 13% Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5 kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15 UAC OF NIGERIA PLC 9M 2015 54,602 -10% 1,431 1,897- -176% UNITY BANK 9M 2015 49,200 2% 10,347 9,313 -16% FLOURMILLS OF NIG. Q2 2015 117,583 -29% 24,109 24,109 452% UNIVERSITY PRESS Q2 2015 1,140 -14% 273 191 -14% RT BRISCOE 9M 2015 9,740 -34% 1,477- 1,477- -392% PORTLAND PAINTS & PRODUCT 9M 2015 1,664 -31% 78- 115- -181% SEVEN UP BOTTLING CO. PLC 9M 2015 39,569 4% 2,371 1,820 -27% Corporate Action (October 2015) Company Result (October 2015) 600.00 700.00 800.00 03- Nov 05- Nov 07- Nov 09- Nov Index Period USI
  • 4. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 3 News Highlight –Treasury Single Account CBN fines Skye Bank for non-compliance with TSA directive Over the weekend, Thisday newspaper reported that the CBN has fined Skye Bank (Hold, target price N2.7/s, current price N2.0/s) N4bn (US$20m) for its failure to remit N40.1bn of Federal Government Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) funds to the Treasury Single Account (TSA). The sanction on Skye bank comes barely two weeks after FBN Holdings (Buy, target price N10.3/s, current price N5.1/s) and UBA (Buy, target price N7.2/s, current price N3.5/s) were fined N1.9bn and N2.9bn respectively for failure to fully comply with the Federal Government’s directive on TSA. The fines charged on FBN Holdings and UBA represented 5% of the funds they failed to remit. According to the newspaper, Skye Bank’s N4bn fine is equivalent to 10% of the funds it failed to remit. The paper stated that the CBN meted out a harsher sanction on Skye Bank because the funds were discovered only after CBN examiners visited the Bank almost a month after the deadline. We believe this fine will have a significant impact on Skye Bank’s FY 2015e earnings. Using 9M 2015 run-rate, Skye Banks fine of N4bn is 25% of its annualised PBT of N16.0bn. Following the announcement of fines levied on FBNH and UBA, their respective share prices declined 12.3% and 12.1% that week. As such, we believe Skye Bank’s share price may also react negatively to this news.
  • 5. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 4 Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital- market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp. RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections afforded to its clients. If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the document immediately to CSLS. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request. This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent judgment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the risk to which it is exposed. The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. © CSLS 2013. All rights reserved CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange First City Plaza, 44 Marina, PO Box 9117, Lagos State, NIGERIA