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The Long Emergencyby James Howard Kunstler, originally published.docxoreo10
The Long Emergency
by James Howard Kunstler, originally published by Rolling Stone Magazine | Mar 24, 2005
A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section. Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth.
Carl Jung, one of the fathers of psychology, famously remarked that "people cannot stand too much reality." What you're about to read may challenge your assumptions about the kind of world we live in, and especially the kind of world into which events are propelling us. We are in for a rough ride through uncharted territory.
It has been very hard for Americans -- lost in dark raptures of nonstop infotainment, recreational shopping and compulsive motoring -- to make sense of the gathering forces that will fundamentally alter the terms of everyday life in our technological society. Even after the terrorist attacks of 9/11, America is still sleepwalking into the future. I call this coming time the Long Emergency.
Most immediately we face the end of the cheap-fossil-fuel era. It is no exaggeration to state that reliable supplies of cheap oil and natural gas underlie everything we identify as the necessities of modern life -- not to mention all of its comforts and luxuries: central heating, air conditioning, cars, airplanes, electric lights, inexpensive clothing, recorded music, movies, hip-replacement surgery, national defense -- you name it.
The few Americans who are even aware that there is a gathering global-energy predicament usually misunderstand the core of the argument. That argument states that we don't have to run out of oil to start having severe problems with industrial civilization and its dependent systems. We only have to slip over the all-time production peak and begin a slide down the arc of steady depletion.
The term "global oil-production peak" means that a turning point will come when the world produces the most oil it will ever produce in a given year and, after that, yearly production will inexorably decline. It is usually represented graphically in a bell curve. The peak is the top of the curve, the halfway point of the world's all-time total endowment, meaning half the world's oil will be left. That seems like a lot of oil, and it is, but there's a big catch: It's the half that is much more difficult to extract, far more costly to get, of much poorer quality and located mostly in places where the people hate us. A substantial amount of it will never be extracted.
The United States passed its own oil peak -- about 11 million barrels a day -- in 1970, and since then production has dropped st ...
62707 1041 AMEnergyBulletin.net The Long EmergencyPa.docxevonnehoggarth79783
6/27/07 10:41 AMEnergyBulletin.net :: The Long Emergency
Page 1 of 5http://www.energybulletin.net/print.php?id=4856
Published on Thursday, March 24, 2005 by Rolling Stone Magazine
The Long Emergency
By James Howard Kunstler
A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more
than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section.
Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of
ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data
showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth.
Carl Jung, one of the fathers of psychology, famously remarked that "people cannot stand too much reality." What
you're about to read may challenge your assumptions about the kind of world we live in, and especially the kind of
world into which events are propelling us. We are in for a rough ride through uncharted territory.
It has been very hard for Americans -- lost in dark raptures of nonstop infotainment, recreational shopping and
compulsive motoring -- to make sense of the gathering forces that will fundamentally alter the terms of everyday life in
our technological society. Even after the terrorist attacks of 9/11, America is still sleepwalking into the future. I call this
coming time the Long Emergency.
Most immediately we face the end of the cheap-fossil-fuel era. It is no exaggeration to state that reliable supplies of
cheap oil and natural gas underlie everything we identify as the necessities of modern life -- not to mention all of its
comforts and luxuries: central heating, air conditioning, cars, airplanes, electric lights, inexpensive clothing, recorded
music, movies, hip-replacement surgery, national defense -- you name it.
The few Americans who are even aware that there is a gathering global-energy predicament usually misunderstand the
core of the argument. That argument states that we don't have to run out of oil to start having severe problems with
industrial civilization and its dependent systems. We only have to slip over the all-time production peak and begin a
slide down the arc of steady depletion.
The term "global oil-production peak" means that a turning point will come when the world produces the most oil it will
ever produce in a given year and, after that, yearly production will inexorably decline. It is usually represented
graphically in a bell curve. The peak is the top of the curve, the halfway point of the world's all-time total endowment,
meaning half the world's oil will be left. That seems like a lot of oil, and it is, but there's a big catch: It's the half that is
much more difficult to extract, far more costly to get, of much poorer quality and located mostly in places where the
people hate us. A substantial amount of it will never be extracted.
Th.
When Technology Fails: Self-Reliance and Coping with the Long Emergency, pres...Tahoe Silicon Mountain
Tahoe Silicon Mountain, a network of technology professionals who live and work in the Tahoe-Truckee area, is pleased to welcome Matthew Stein to present: “When Technology Fails: Self-Reliance and Coping with the Long Emergency.”
Have you ever thought about what would happen if society faced long-term failures of the electrical grid and other central services? Right now, there is a storm brewing on the horizon with six long-term global trends converging on collapse. Stein will discuss why he thinks our society is vulnerable and what we can collectively and individually do to be more self-reliant, sustainable, and better prepared to cope with this approaching storm.
Matthew Stein, local bestselling author, MIT-trained engineer and green builder, will discuss the scientific reasons that make this scenario not only possible, but highly likely, and what we can do about it on a personal, community, and global level.
You can learn more about Stein here: http://whentechfails.com and http://stein-design.com.
The meeting will be on Monday, February 9th, 6-8 pm at Pizza on the Hill, in Tahoe Donner at 11509 Northwoods Blvd., Truckee. A $5 fee includes pizza and salad. Before and after the presentation, there will be time for networking with other technology professionals who live and work in the Tahoe-Truckee region.
This month’s event is sponsored by New Leaders Accela.
You can find us on LinkedIn and Facebook and at TahoeSiliconMountain.com or sign up for email meeting announcements here: http://bit.ly/14XGofL.
“Rebooting after the economic crash: IT, ET and America 3.0.”
Professor Jonathan Taplin , USC Annenberg School and ARNIC
The financial crisis will leave the next president with the task of rebuilding a shattered American economy. Professor Taplin will describe the potential roles of information technology and energy technology in America 3.0.
Presentation for lecture at Georgetown's Center for Security Studies analyzing the long range geopolitical, economic and business impacts resulting from climate change.
The Long Emergencyby James Howard Kunstler, originally published.docxoreo10
The Long Emergency
by James Howard Kunstler, originally published by Rolling Stone Magazine | Mar 24, 2005
A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section. Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth.
Carl Jung, one of the fathers of psychology, famously remarked that "people cannot stand too much reality." What you're about to read may challenge your assumptions about the kind of world we live in, and especially the kind of world into which events are propelling us. We are in for a rough ride through uncharted territory.
It has been very hard for Americans -- lost in dark raptures of nonstop infotainment, recreational shopping and compulsive motoring -- to make sense of the gathering forces that will fundamentally alter the terms of everyday life in our technological society. Even after the terrorist attacks of 9/11, America is still sleepwalking into the future. I call this coming time the Long Emergency.
Most immediately we face the end of the cheap-fossil-fuel era. It is no exaggeration to state that reliable supplies of cheap oil and natural gas underlie everything we identify as the necessities of modern life -- not to mention all of its comforts and luxuries: central heating, air conditioning, cars, airplanes, electric lights, inexpensive clothing, recorded music, movies, hip-replacement surgery, national defense -- you name it.
The few Americans who are even aware that there is a gathering global-energy predicament usually misunderstand the core of the argument. That argument states that we don't have to run out of oil to start having severe problems with industrial civilization and its dependent systems. We only have to slip over the all-time production peak and begin a slide down the arc of steady depletion.
The term "global oil-production peak" means that a turning point will come when the world produces the most oil it will ever produce in a given year and, after that, yearly production will inexorably decline. It is usually represented graphically in a bell curve. The peak is the top of the curve, the halfway point of the world's all-time total endowment, meaning half the world's oil will be left. That seems like a lot of oil, and it is, but there's a big catch: It's the half that is much more difficult to extract, far more costly to get, of much poorer quality and located mostly in places where the people hate us. A substantial amount of it will never be extracted.
The United States passed its own oil peak -- about 11 million barrels a day -- in 1970, and since then production has dropped st ...
62707 1041 AMEnergyBulletin.net The Long EmergencyPa.docxevonnehoggarth79783
6/27/07 10:41 AMEnergyBulletin.net :: The Long Emergency
Page 1 of 5http://www.energybulletin.net/print.php?id=4856
Published on Thursday, March 24, 2005 by Rolling Stone Magazine
The Long Emergency
By James Howard Kunstler
A few weeks ago, the price of oil ratcheted above fifty-five dollars a barrel, which is about twenty dollars a barrel more
than a year ago. The next day, the oil story was buried on page six of the New York Times business section.
Apparently, the price of oil is not considered significant news, even when it goes up five bucks a barrel in the span of
ten days. That same day, the stock market shot up more than a hundred points because, CNN said, government data
showed no signs of inflation. Note to clueless nation: Call planet Earth.
Carl Jung, one of the fathers of psychology, famously remarked that "people cannot stand too much reality." What
you're about to read may challenge your assumptions about the kind of world we live in, and especially the kind of
world into which events are propelling us. We are in for a rough ride through uncharted territory.
It has been very hard for Americans -- lost in dark raptures of nonstop infotainment, recreational shopping and
compulsive motoring -- to make sense of the gathering forces that will fundamentally alter the terms of everyday life in
our technological society. Even after the terrorist attacks of 9/11, America is still sleepwalking into the future. I call this
coming time the Long Emergency.
Most immediately we face the end of the cheap-fossil-fuel era. It is no exaggeration to state that reliable supplies of
cheap oil and natural gas underlie everything we identify as the necessities of modern life -- not to mention all of its
comforts and luxuries: central heating, air conditioning, cars, airplanes, electric lights, inexpensive clothing, recorded
music, movies, hip-replacement surgery, national defense -- you name it.
The few Americans who are even aware that there is a gathering global-energy predicament usually misunderstand the
core of the argument. That argument states that we don't have to run out of oil to start having severe problems with
industrial civilization and its dependent systems. We only have to slip over the all-time production peak and begin a
slide down the arc of steady depletion.
The term "global oil-production peak" means that a turning point will come when the world produces the most oil it will
ever produce in a given year and, after that, yearly production will inexorably decline. It is usually represented
graphically in a bell curve. The peak is the top of the curve, the halfway point of the world's all-time total endowment,
meaning half the world's oil will be left. That seems like a lot of oil, and it is, but there's a big catch: It's the half that is
much more difficult to extract, far more costly to get, of much poorer quality and located mostly in places where the
people hate us. A substantial amount of it will never be extracted.
Th.
When Technology Fails: Self-Reliance and Coping with the Long Emergency, pres...Tahoe Silicon Mountain
Tahoe Silicon Mountain, a network of technology professionals who live and work in the Tahoe-Truckee area, is pleased to welcome Matthew Stein to present: “When Technology Fails: Self-Reliance and Coping with the Long Emergency.”
Have you ever thought about what would happen if society faced long-term failures of the electrical grid and other central services? Right now, there is a storm brewing on the horizon with six long-term global trends converging on collapse. Stein will discuss why he thinks our society is vulnerable and what we can collectively and individually do to be more self-reliant, sustainable, and better prepared to cope with this approaching storm.
Matthew Stein, local bestselling author, MIT-trained engineer and green builder, will discuss the scientific reasons that make this scenario not only possible, but highly likely, and what we can do about it on a personal, community, and global level.
You can learn more about Stein here: http://whentechfails.com and http://stein-design.com.
The meeting will be on Monday, February 9th, 6-8 pm at Pizza on the Hill, in Tahoe Donner at 11509 Northwoods Blvd., Truckee. A $5 fee includes pizza and salad. Before and after the presentation, there will be time for networking with other technology professionals who live and work in the Tahoe-Truckee region.
This month’s event is sponsored by New Leaders Accela.
You can find us on LinkedIn and Facebook and at TahoeSiliconMountain.com or sign up for email meeting announcements here: http://bit.ly/14XGofL.
“Rebooting after the economic crash: IT, ET and America 3.0.”
Professor Jonathan Taplin , USC Annenberg School and ARNIC
The financial crisis will leave the next president with the task of rebuilding a shattered American economy. Professor Taplin will describe the potential roles of information technology and energy technology in America 3.0.
Presentation for lecture at Georgetown's Center for Security Studies analyzing the long range geopolitical, economic and business impacts resulting from climate change.
RMD24 | Retail media: hoe zet je dit in als je geen AH of Unilever bent? Heid...BBPMedia1
Grote partijen zijn al een tijdje onderweg met retail media. Ondertussen worden in dit domein ook de kansen zichtbaar voor andere spelers in de markt. Maar met die kansen ontstaan ook vragen: Zelf retail media worden of erop adverteren? In welke fase van de funnel past het en hoe integreer je het in een mediaplan? Wat is nu precies het verschil met marketplaces en Programmatic ads? In dit half uur beslechten we de dilemma's en krijg je antwoorden op wanneer het voor jou tijd is om de volgende stap te zetten.
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesAurelien Domont, MBA
This Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit was created by ex-McKinsey, Deloitte and BCG Management Consultants, after more than 5,000 hours of work. It is considered the world's best & most comprehensive Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit. It includes all the Frameworks, Best Practices & Templates required to successfully undertake the Digital Transformation of your organization and define a robust IT Strategy.
Editable Toolkit to help you reuse our content: 700 Powerpoint slides | 35 Excel sheets | 84 minutes of Video training
This PowerPoint presentation is only a small preview of our Toolkits. For more details, visit www.domontconsulting.com
Implicitly or explicitly all competing businesses employ a strategy to select a mix
of marketing resources. Formulating such competitive strategies fundamentally
involves recognizing relationships between elements of the marketing mix (e.g.,
price and product quality), as well as assessing competitive and market conditions
(i.e., industry structure in the language of economics).
Enterprise Excellence is Inclusive Excellence.pdfKaiNexus
Enterprise excellence and inclusive excellence are closely linked, and real-world challenges have shown that both are essential to the success of any organization. To achieve enterprise excellence, organizations must focus on improving their operations and processes while creating an inclusive environment that engages everyone. In this interactive session, the facilitator will highlight commonly established business practices and how they limit our ability to engage everyone every day. More importantly, though, participants will likely gain increased awareness of what we can do differently to maximize enterprise excellence through deliberate inclusion.
What is Enterprise Excellence?
Enterprise Excellence is a holistic approach that's aimed at achieving world-class performance across all aspects of the organization.
What might I learn?
A way to engage all in creating Inclusive Excellence. Lessons from the US military and their parallels to the story of Harry Potter. How belt systems and CI teams can destroy inclusive practices. How leadership language invites people to the party. There are three things leaders can do to engage everyone every day: maximizing psychological safety to create environments where folks learn, contribute, and challenge the status quo.
Who might benefit? Anyone and everyone leading folks from the shop floor to top floor.
Dr. William Harvey is a seasoned Operations Leader with extensive experience in chemical processing, manufacturing, and operations management. At Michelman, he currently oversees multiple sites, leading teams in strategic planning and coaching/practicing continuous improvement. William is set to start his eighth year of teaching at the University of Cincinnati where he teaches marketing, finance, and management. William holds various certifications in change management, quality, leadership, operational excellence, team building, and DiSC, among others.
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024Lital Barkan
Have you ever heard that user-generated content or video testimonials can take your brand to the next level? We will explore how you can effectively use video testimonials to leverage and boost your sales, content strategy, and increase your CRM data.🤯
We will dig deeper into:
1. How to capture video testimonials that convert from your audience 🎥
2. How to leverage your testimonials to boost your sales 💲
3. How you can capture more CRM data to understand your audience better through video testimonials. 📊
Kseniya Leshchenko: Shared development support service model as the way to ma...Lviv Startup Club
Kseniya Leshchenko: Shared development support service model as the way to make small projects with small budgets profitable for the company (UA)
Kyiv PMDay 2024 Summer
Website – www.pmday.org
Youtube – https://www.youtube.com/startuplviv
FB – https://www.facebook.com/pmdayconference
RMD24 | Debunking the non-endemic revenue myth Marvin Vacquier Droop | First ...BBPMedia1
Marvin neemt je in deze presentatie mee in de voordelen van non-endemic advertising op retail media netwerken. Hij brengt ook de uitdagingen in beeld die de markt op dit moment heeft op het gebied van retail media voor niet-leveranciers.
Retail media wordt gezien als het nieuwe advertising-medium en ook mediabureaus richten massaal retail media-afdelingen op. Merken die niet in de betreffende winkel liggen staan ook nog niet in de rij om op de retail media netwerken te adverteren. Marvin belicht de uitdagingen die er zijn om echt aansluiting te vinden op die markt van non-endemic advertising.
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...dylandmeas
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey through Full Sail University. Below, you’ll find a collection of my work showcasing my skills and expertise in digital marketing, event planning, and media production.
Business Valuation Principles for EntrepreneursBen Wann
This insightful presentation is designed to equip entrepreneurs with the essential knowledge and tools needed to accurately value their businesses. Understanding business valuation is crucial for making informed decisions, whether you're seeking investment, planning to sell, or simply want to gauge your company's worth.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Memorandum Of Association Constitution of Company.pptseri bangash
www.seribangash.com
A Memorandum of Association (MOA) is a legal document that outlines the fundamental principles and objectives upon which a company operates. It serves as the company's charter or constitution and defines the scope of its activities. Here's a detailed note on the MOA:
Contents of Memorandum of Association:
Name Clause: This clause states the name of the company, which should end with words like "Limited" or "Ltd." for a public limited company and "Private Limited" or "Pvt. Ltd." for a private limited company.
https://seribangash.com/article-of-association-is-legal-doc-of-company/
Registered Office Clause: It specifies the location where the company's registered office is situated. This office is where all official communications and notices are sent.
Objective Clause: This clause delineates the main objectives for which the company is formed. It's important to define these objectives clearly, as the company cannot undertake activities beyond those mentioned in this clause.
www.seribangash.com
Liability Clause: It outlines the extent of liability of the company's members. In the case of companies limited by shares, the liability of members is limited to the amount unpaid on their shares. For companies limited by guarantee, members' liability is limited to the amount they undertake to contribute if the company is wound up.
https://seribangash.com/promotors-is-person-conceived-formation-company/
Capital Clause: This clause specifies the authorized capital of the company, i.e., the maximum amount of share capital the company is authorized to issue. It also mentions the division of this capital into shares and their respective nominal value.
Association Clause: It simply states that the subscribers wish to form a company and agree to become members of it, in accordance with the terms of the MOA.
Importance of Memorandum of Association:
Legal Requirement: The MOA is a legal requirement for the formation of a company. It must be filed with the Registrar of Companies during the incorporation process.
Constitutional Document: It serves as the company's constitutional document, defining its scope, powers, and limitations.
Protection of Members: It protects the interests of the company's members by clearly defining the objectives and limiting their liability.
External Communication: It provides clarity to external parties, such as investors, creditors, and regulatory authorities, regarding the company's objectives and powers.
https://seribangash.com/difference-public-and-private-company-law/
Binding Authority: The company and its members are bound by the provisions of the MOA. Any action taken beyond its scope may be considered ultra vires (beyond the powers) of the company and therefore void.
Amendment of MOA:
While the MOA lays down the company's fundamental principles, it is not entirely immutable. It can be amended, but only under specific circumstances and in compliance with legal procedures. Amendments typically require shareholder
What is the TDS Return Filing Due Date for FY 2024-25.pdfseoforlegalpillers
It is crucial for the taxpayers to understand about the TDS Return Filing Due Date, so that they can fulfill your TDS obligations efficiently. Taxpayers can avoid penalties by sticking to the deadlines and by accurate filing of TDS. Timely filing of TDS will make sure about the availability of tax credits. You can also seek the professional guidance of experts like Legal Pillers for timely filing of the TDS Return.
2. ‘ Most people thought it would come but no man prepar’d for it; no man consider’d that it would come like a thief in the night.’ Political satirist Jonathon Swift (1667 – 1745), on the South Sea Bubble financial collapse of 1720
3. ‘ Oil production is in decline in 33 of the 48 largest oil producing countries.’ Chevron
4. ‘ There isn’t a company quoted on the stock exchange that doesn’t tacitly assume a business as usual supply of cheap oil. When that isn’t there any more that means that virtually every company is over-valued on the stock exchange and as the financial community recognises this, well, that might trigger some kind of over-reaction and stock market collapse. I think it’s very likely. I wouldn’t be surprised personally if it triggers another great depression comparable to the one of the 1930s, if not worse, because this one is imposed by nature rather than being a speculative bubble.’ Dr Colin Campbell, retired petroleum geologist and consultant to Exxon, Fina, Mobil, Shell, Total and others. Dr Campbell is the world’s leading exponent of the Peak Oil theory
7. ‘ At any given moment, there is a sort of all-pervading orthodoxy, a general tacit agreement not to discuss large and uncomfortable facts.’ George Orwell
8. ‘ The oil crisis is very, very near. World War III has started. It has already affected every single citizen of the Middle East. Soon, it will spill over to affect every citizen of the world.’ Ali Samsam Bakhtiari (1946-2007), senior expert in the Corporate Planning Directorate of the National Iranian Oil Company
9.
10. ‘ The doubling of oil prices from 2003-2005 is not an anomaly, but a picture of the future. Oil production is approaching its peak; low growth in availability can be expected in the next five to ten years. As worldwide petroleum production peaks, geopolitics and market economics will cause even more significant price increases and security risks. One can only speculate at the outcome from this scenario as world petroleum production declines.’ Energy Trends and Their Implications for US Army Installations , US Army Corps of Engineers September 2005
11.
12. ‘ It took us 125 years to use the first trillion barrels of oil. We’ll use the next trillion in 30.’ Chevron advertisement
13.
14. In 1956, Professor Marion King Hubbert, a Shell geologist, developed what became known as the ‘Hubbert peak theory’. With it, he worked out when America’s oil production would reach its maximum – its peak – and afterwards go into terminal decline. His maths proved chillingly correct. And so by extension there will be a time when global oil production will peak and then drop away to nothing. Forever. That time is the subject of argument, but ever-growing demand does nothing to allay oil industry fears - until the 2008 recession, China’s economy has been growing at 9.9% a year since 1978. Indian consumers are also demanding their share of the Western dream, and everyone, everywhere will demand more oil
15. All other fossil fuels will have their own production peaks, so there’ll eventually be no coal or gas. Before that, ecological stresses will be heightened as we switch back to coal. Uranium will run out, or be left unmined; the gain not worth the effort to find. But before all that, there’s the oil wars. Barack Obama’s choice of National Security Advisor, retired US Marine Corps General James Jones, was elected to the board of directors of the Chevron Corporation on May 28, 2008. The official line for these close links with the oil industry is that people holding top government posts should have some business experience at senior level
16.
17. ‘ The whole flimsy financial edifice has now crashed, and some of the sillier governments are now pumping yet more fictional money into the system to encourage new consumption. Such policies may briefly succeed, but will only make the subsequent crash worse. We enter a new world, as the principal energy that drove the anomalous past two centuries heads into decline from natural depletion.’ Dr Colin Campbell, interview with myself on February 8, 2009
18. ‘ It’s just a handful of people that run everything and that’s provable… I have this feeling that whoever’s elected president, like Clinton was, no matter what promises you make on the campaign trail - blah, blah, blah - when you win, you go into this smoky room with the twelve industrialist scum***ks that got you in there, and this little screen comes down… and it’s a shot of the Kennedy assassination from an angle you’ve never seen before, which looks suspiciously off the grassy knoll… And then the screen comes up, the light comes on, and they say to the new president, ‘Any questions?’ ‘ Just what my agenda is.’ ‘ First we bomb Baghdad.’ ‘ You got it.’’ Comedian Bill Hicks (1961 – 1994)
19. An obedient British government wagged its tail as the neo-cons scrabbled to secure the world’s remaining fuel. Thirteen bases are now established in nine Central Asian countries, allowing over 60,000 troops to guard pipeline routes. Camp Bastion, the British base near Route One through Helmand (bordering the Pakistani border and a perfect pipeline route, is the largest and most expensive overseas base the British have ever built at a cost of over £1billion. The pay-off? Who knows beyond Bill’s smoke-filled office? Scraps from the table when the fuel becomes scarce? Or is it just temporary election-winning political support from a media magnate consolidating his monopoly?
20. Meanwhile, Britain’s North Sea oil peaked in 1999, at over 2.5 million barrels per day, as opposed to the 2007 figure of less than 1.5 million per day. The largest decrease of any oil exporting nation in the world, leading Britain to become a net importer of crude for the first time in decades. Oil exporting. As in – we sold it abroad, instead of saving it for the coming generations. Leaving them… what? Something like this?
21.
22.
23. ‘ I don't think new technologies will have any impact on the date of peak, which I estimate to have been passed in 2008.’ Dr Colin Campbell, interview with myself on February 8, 2009
24. ‘ 2009 will be the most difficult for the Russian and world economies. I cannot remember a worse year since the end of the Second World War. This will be the worst year for the economy in modern times.’ Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, December 27, 2008
25. With oil, we have found a way to artificially – and temporarily – extend the world’s carrying capacity. Extended transport systems, refrigeration and global trade all depend on oil This frame: cooling towers at a disused power station
26.
27. As, of course, does industrialised agriculture. Nature abhors a vacuum. When there’s a sudden availability of resources, there’s a subsequent explosion in population. Common sense tells us that, once the bonanza has gone, this population will drop back to a normal, sustainable level. In 1806, when the internal combustion engine was invented, the world’s population stood at around one billion. Today there’s over six times that number. All consuming, all demanding more. Farmers use fantastic amounts of fossil fuel to keep the food flowing. They’ve also become de-skilled in relation to the older methods of farming, methods that were perfected over millennia
28. Is it possible, without oil, that our farmers could grow as much food as was grown a century ago, the peak, as it were, of pre-engine production? Enough to sustain that one billion? What’s left of the old infrastructure are museum curiosities. Our self-reliant forebears were feeding a billion people using honed skills and techniques – Shire Horses, intricate mechanical devices to dig and seed and reap, craft skills, life methods in harmony with the environment such as preserving what food was available and setting their waking and sleeping to the rising and waning of the sun
29.
30. And it took half of them, working long, back-breaking hours, to feed that billion. Today, even the bees are critically threatened, such is the state of the environment. But despite bread and rice doubling in price, we all keep turning away, secure in some seeming knowledge that growth will go on forever. That, after all, is the plan. It’s why we vote for them; They and their four-year shelf life promise on-going prosperity. Why would we vote otherwise? Why would they promise otherwise? To my mind, a well-feathered nest – and personal power - is about the extent of any politician’s plan. The promise of perpetual growth is the biggest lie of all. It’s the docility drug that stuns all those on the treadmill into silence
31. ‘ We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the New World Order.’ David Rockefeller, speaking at the UN, September 23, 1994
32. ‘ Let us never tolerate outrageous conspiracy theories.’ President George W Bush ‘ Now we can see a new world coming into view. A world in which there is the very real prospect of a new world order.’ President George Bush Senior
33. ‘ Thanks to words, we have been able to rise above the brutes; and thanks to words, we have often sunk to the level of the demons.’ Aldous Huxley, Adonis and the Alphabet
34. ‘ Two riders were approaching, the wind began to howl.’ All Along the Watchtower , Bob Dylan ‘ Break On Through (to the other side)’ 1967 song title, The Doors ‘ If the doors of perception were cleansed, everything would appear to man as it is, infinite.’ William Blake (1757 - 1827) The Marriage of Heaven and Hell
35. Perhaps we can for once learn from our political masters by looking at the response they gave the last time we faced such a deadly threat. When Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain said ‘I believe it is Peace for our time’ on his return from Munich in 1938, he finished off with the following words to the cheering crowd gathered in Downing Street…
38. Trained from infancy to respect and obey authority, conditioned to expect ruthless big business and grubby politicians to solve our every need, we make our way in a mad world. Evil flourishes around us as we nightly sit and stare at the electronic box in the corner of the room. A vacuous media ensures we are lulled with frivolity just as honest reporting is needed most - as the resource wars spread and a permanent recession begins. For those who can think outside the mass indoctrination, Ralph Glasser’s ‘ stage sets of make-believe’, it is time to prepare for a new way of life as we make our way down the slopes… ++of Hubbert’s Peak++
39. ++ ends++ This work is the copyright of Neil Jackson. Reproduction is permitted as long as the original meaning remains unaffected. Feel free to copy, use and send. In fact: please do.
40. Comments, questions and suggestions welcome. Email: [email_address] . Please note: Conflict is a constantly evolving polemic, and so - unless I am silenced – there will be fresher versions as time progresses. This is the November 2009 version. Currently working on a blog Thanks. Neil Jackson Acknowledgments: John Pilger, Barbara Gluck, Professor Brendan Simms, Norman Baker MP, Colonel Bob Stewart, Dr Colin Campbell and Mikael Höök, ASPO Scotty for the idea, Sheffield Sue for the tech support, Iain Dale for the Rohini Simbodyal deception, all those who’ve encouraged me to keep going This has been an extract from Conflict . Click here to visit Conflict