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However, there are enough differences between states that combining unadjusted data could result in biased estimates. In particular, differential sampling rates across states yield high design effects when state data files are combined. This paper assesses the design effects and the level of bias in BRFSS estimates when combining unadjusted state-level data. It also introduces several new national-level weights with the objective of reducing bias and/or variability in estimates. Each new weight recalibrates the existing design weight to various combinations of national population totals. Estimates produced using the unadjusted weights as well as each newly developed weight are compared to national benchmarks from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS).
Preliminary results suggest that bias for six major health indicators is low when using unadjusted weights, and some reductions in weight variability can be achieved by recalibrating design weights. Additional efforts to reduce variability, such as weight trimming and subsampling states with high sampling rates, will be considered as well.
To learn more, visit: www.icfi.com/SurveyResearch
Results from the NE IA BRFSS survey (Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. BRFSS is a point in time household telephone survey.
Iowa began annual surveys in 1988. The survey is designed to collect information on the health conditions, health risk behaviors, attitudes, and awareness of residents age 18 and over. The indicators measured are major contributors to illness, disability and premature death.
Results from the NE IA BRFSS survey (Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. BRFSS is a point in time household telephone survey.
Iowa began annual surveys in 1988. The survey is designed to collect information on the health conditions, health risk behaviors, attitudes, and awareness of residents age 18 and over. The indicators measured are major contributors to illness, disability and premature death.
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Combining State Data from Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Surveys
1. Combining state data from the
Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance
System (BRFSS) surveys
Ronaldo Iachan, ICF International
Kristie Healey, ICF International
2. Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
The Center for Disease Control (CDC) coordinates state
surveillance of behavioral risk factors through the Behavioral
Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
The BRFSS surveys collect uniform state-specific data on
preventive health practices and risk behaviors
Target population: adults aged 18+ years living in households
with phones
Each state independently collects BRFSS data using a
standardized instrument
3. Combining state BRFSS data
There is a natural demand for combining state level estimates
into national estimates
The aggregation requires the development of national weights
as well as a methodology for computing the associated variance
estimates
Combining the state level survey data into a national data set is
feasible for the following reasons:
– The surveys use a same sampling methodology across states
– The surveys produce state-level weights with a same basic
methodology
– The surveys use the same core questionnaire across states
4. National Weights
The increased uniformity of methods makes the aggregation
more efficient than in previous investigations starting with
Iachan et al. (1998). At that time, there was substantially more
variation in the sampling and weighting methodologies used by
different states
This paper examines alternative approaches for generating
national weights starting with the state-level weights now
computed in the BRFSS system
6. State Weighting Process
Design weights
–Initial weights reflecting differential selection probabilities
Dual-use correction
–Accounts for the overlap in the landline and cell phone
frames
Post-Stratification
–Calibrate the weights to known population totals for key
demographics.
7. Raking
The BRFSS weighting includes a raking process
Raking is an iterative form of post-stratification
Post-stratification and raking methods ensure that weights sum
to known population totals for key demographics in each state
Raking allows additional post-stratification dimensions and
cross-classifications of variables
7
8. Raking Categories
All states use eight raking margins:
– Sex by age
– Race/Ethnicity
– Education
– Marital Status
– Home Ownership
– Sex by Race/Ethnicity
– Age by Race/Ethnicity
– Telephone Source
9. Raking to Eight Margins
9
Sex by Age
Race/Ethnicity
Education
Marital Status
Home
Ownership
Sex by
Race/Ethnicity
Age by
Race/Ethnicity
Telephone
Source
10. Additional Raking Margins
States which include regions in the weighting use an additional
four margins:
– Region (Margin 9)
– Region by age (Margin 10)
– Region by sex (Margin 11)
– Region by race/ethnicity (Margin 12)
11. Comparisons of weighting methods
The baseline method for comparisons is a simple method that
concatenates the data with the current state-level weights
The variations involve raking at the national level
– Ensure the national distribution is met
Raking may include an additional layer for the states as a margin
– Ensure state-level distribution is preserved
12. Assessment of weighting methods
Our assessment of the weights looks at estimated bias and
variances for key health risk indicators
Variances: Weight variability and variances of key survey
estimates
Bias: We compare the national weighted estimates with other
benchmarks including data from the National Health Interview
Survey (NHIS) for comparable health indicators
13. Comparing national raking methods
Original BRFSS weights (concatenated)
Reweight 1: National raking with 8 margins
Reweight 2: National raking with 9 margins
Reweight 3: National raking with 12 margins
Reweight 4: National raking with 8 collapsed margins
Reweight 5: National raking with 9 collapsed margins
Reweight 6: National raking with 12 collapsed margins
14. National Raking Margins 1-8 (Similar to states)
Margin Categories
1: Sex by Age Male and Female by Age categories: 18-24; 25-34; 35-44;
45-54; 55-64; 65-74; 75+
2: Race/Ethnicity Non-Hispanic White; Non-Hispanic Black; Hispanic;
Other
3: Education Less than HS; HS Grad; Some College; College Grad
4: Marital Status Married; Never married/member of unmarried couple;
Divorced/widowed/separated.
5: Home Ownership Own; Rent/Other
6: Sex by Race/Ethnicity Male; Female by Non-Hispanic White; Non-Hispanic
Black; Hispanic; Other
7: Race/Ethnicity by Age Non-Hispanic White; Non-Hispanic Black; Hispanic;
Other by 18-24; 25-34; 35-44; 45-54; 55-64; 65-74; 75+
8: Phone Usage Cell Only; Landline Only; Dual Usage
15. National Raking Margins 9-12 (new for national)
Margin Categories
9: State State FIPS code
10: Age by State 18-24; 25-34; 35-44; 45-54; 55-64; 65-74; 75+ by State
FIPS Code
11: Sex by State Male; Female by State FIPS Code
12: Race/Ethnicity by State Non-Hispanic White; Other by State FIPS Code
16. Additional reweights
National Reweight#1:
8 Margins
National Reweight#4:
8 Margins, Collapsed Categories
National Reweight#2:
9 Margins
National Reweight#5:
9 Margins, Collapsed Categories
National Reweight#3:
12 Margins
National Reweight#6:
12 Margins, Collapsed Categories
17. Collapsing Margins 6 and 7
Collapsed Margin 7 (Race/Ethnicity by Age) to three age categories (18-34, 35-
54, 55+) by four race/ethnicity categories
Further collapsed Margins 6 (Sex by Race/Ethnicity) and 7 (Race/Ethnicity by
Age) to achieve minimum sample size of 300 or minimum sample percentage
of 5.0%
18. Collapsed Margins 6 and 7
Margin Categories
6: Sex by Race/Ethnicity Male non-Hispanic White; Male Other; Female non-
Hispanic White; Female non-Hispanic Black; Female
Other
7: Race/Ethnicity by Age Non-Hispanic White 18-34; Non-Hispanic White 35-54;
Non-Hispanic White 55+; Other 18-34; Other 35-54;
Other 55+
19. Collapsing Margins 10-12: National Raking by States
Collapsed within region to achieve minimum sample size of 250 or minimum
percentage of 5.0%
Margin 10 (Age by State) collapsed 18-24 with 25-34 for 25 states
Margin 11 (Sex by State) did not require any collapsing
Margin 12 (Race/Ethnicity by State) collapsed all race categories for Maine,
New Hampshire, and Vermont
20. Weight variability
Weight CV DEFF
Expected
Margin
of Error
Original BRFSS Weight 187.313 4.50862 0.30%
National 8 Margins 166.082 3.75832 0.28%
National 9 Margins 178.950 4.20230 0.29%
National 12 Margins 177.140 4.13784 0.29%
National 8 Collapsed Margins 165.590 3.74200 0.28%
National 9 Collapsed Margins 178.380 4.18192 0.29%
National 12 Collapsed Margins 176.533 4.11637 0.29%
24. Conclusions
Methods are nearly equivalent in terms of estimated bias
Methods with 8 margins have better variance (lower variability
in weights)
Potential gains in bias reduction from deeper raking—involved in
reweighting methods #2, #3, #5, #6—do not materialize, do not
justify (or outweigh) added variance
All methods seem effective for national BRFSS weights
24
25. Next steps
Investigate ways to estimate the variance of national weighted
estimates
Investigate influence of specific states
Investigate weight trimming to limit overall variances of
weighted national estimates
Compare state-level estimates to published CDC estimates
– Estimates at the Census region level compared similarly to NHIS.
26. References
Iachan R, Schulman J, Powell-Griner E, Nelson DE, Mariolis P, Stanwyck C.
(2001) Pooling state telephone survey health data for national estimates: The
CDC Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 1995. In: Cynamon ML, Kulka
RA, eds. Seventh Conference on Health Survey Research Methods. Hyattsville,
MD: US Department of Health and Human Services; 2001. DHHS publication
no. (PHS) 01-1013.
Li C, Balluz L, Ford ES, et al. A comparison of prevalence estimates for selected
health indicators and chronic diseases or conditions from the Behavioral Risk
Factor Surveillance System, the National Health Interview Survey, and the
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2007-2008. Prev Med
2012; Jun;54(6):381-7.
26
“Same sampling methodology” = All states conduct dual frame LL/Cell (cell only or dual with 90% or more calls via cell). Landline selected from 1+ blocks, with listed records oversampled at 1.5:1 relative to unlisted records. States determine LL/Cell allocation (CDC recommends 25% cell). States also have the option to stratify their samples geographically—most states choose to stratify. CDC began supporting stratification of cell sample in 2013.
Nearly all states add regional strata. Only DC, ND, OR, WV, and WY do not stratify by regions.
Ratio-adjust to each dimension (margin) individually.
When all 8 are done, check: are all categories within .025%?
If yes, stop.
If no, repeat cycle.
States are eligible to weight by region if they have distinct regions (strata or combinations of strata) with at least 500 completed interviews. Although most states stratify geographically, fewer (29) qualify for weighted regions.
For these states, add margins to “circle” in slide 11.
“8 margins”=8 margins listed in slide 10/11.
“9 margins”=The 8 margins listed in slide 10/11 plus state.
“12 margins”=The 8 margins listed in slide 10/11 plus state, state by age, state by sex, state by race/ethnicity.
Treats the national file as if it’s one large state with regional weights. The entire nation is the “state” and individual states are regions. This drops any regional weighting within states.
The methods with 8 marginals exhibit lower variability
Differences in (estimated) bias are small
The problem with the 8-margin methods is that they don’t include state as a margin. Thus it doesn’t allow for analysis by state. It’s a small problem however, since the original weights can be used for state estimates.