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Measuring Climate




                           Pat Guinan
                  Extension/State Climatologist
                Commercial Agriculture Program


Livestock and Climate Workshop
Univ. of Missouri, 146 ASRC
April 14, 2012
Famous Early Weather Observers
            “All Science Begins with Observation”
            John
            Holm                                    George
                                                    Washington
Recorded the first                                     George took regular
known weather                                          observations; the last
observations in the                                    weather entry in his
American Colonies 365                                  diary was made the
years ago, 1644-1645                                   day before he died.


           Thomas                                      Benjamin
           Jefferson                                   Franklin
In 1797, Jefferson                                   As Postmaster General in
outlined a plan for                                  1743, Franklin was able to
providing weather                                    get weather reports from
instruments to                                       postmasters along the
someone in every                                     coast and track a
county in Virginia.                                  hurricane along the
On July 4, 1776, the high temp in Philly was 76°F    Atlantic Coast
U.S. National Weather Service
    Cooperative Weather Station Network
“The Backbone of the Nation’s Climate Records”
NWS Cooperative Network in Missouri
  28 Pioneer Stations (still active)
NWS Cooperative Weather Station Site
MMTS




Stevenson Screen or Cotton
      Region Shelter
8-inch diameter gauge




                        Recording Rain Gauge
Climate Data Application…
         Annual Normal Temperature (1981-2010)
Climate Data Application…
Climate Data Application…


  Hottest Temperature
   Ever Recorded in
       Missouri

   July 14, 1954
       118°F
      Union
         &
      Warsaw
Climate Data Application…



  Coldest Temperature
    Ever Recorded in
        Missouri

  February 13, 1905


       -40°F
      Warsaw
Climate Data Application…
          Annual Normal Precipitation (1981-2010)
Average Weekly Summer Rainfall for Past 30 Years
                                              in Central Missouri
                                                                         Period of Record: 1981-2010
Average Weekly Rainfall (in.)




                                    Silking date: 7/4
                                                                                     Silking date: 7/27




                                                        Weekly Periods
Number of Daily Rainfall Events ≥ 3 inches in Missouri
                    1895-2010
                                              10 yr. running mean
                     1895-1952: 922 events
                     1953-2010: 1005 events                   2008
                     Average: 17 events
                                                      1993


                                  1961         1982           2009




                Data Source: Midwestern Regional Climate Center
Climate Data Application…

   Rainfall frequency analyses are used in design specifications and
     regulations established for construction of drainage ditches,
      culverts, pipes, dams, ponds, lagoons, buildings, roads etc.



                          100 year, 24-hour
                             rain event
                                                   NOAA Atlas 14
                                                Precipitation frequency estimates
Climate Data Application…

                            Wind Rose




                      Columbia, MO, South Farm
                            (2000-2010)
Climate Data Application…




    Soil temperature, not air temperature, controls germination of seeds. Soil
     temperature needs to be above 50°F for corn to germinate and 60°F for
   soybeans to germinate. Optimum temperatures for germination are higher.
Climate Data Application…
                 Hail
      HOMEOWNER’S AND
       CROP INSURANCE
Missouri’s most expensive hail storm in state
history: April 10, 2001, Nearly $2 billion of
property damage due to a hail storm, particularly
in the north St. Louis area.




      Meadville, MO on May 24, 2004                 2-3 days
Missouri Annual Average Temperature
                     (1895-2011)
       5 yr. running mean                   Long-term average: 54.6°F


             1921 1931 1938          1954
                              1946




  1904
                  1924        Warm Period
           1917                                        1979
1895                          Cool Period
Missouri Annual Average Precipitation
                    (1895-2011)

Long-term average: 41.18”                        5 yr. running mean
                                          1973         1993           2008
1898             1927




                                   1963    19761980
 1901          Wet Period   1953
               Dry Period
Missouri Average Winter Temperature
           (Dec-Jan-Feb, 1895-2012*)
     5 yr. running mean              Long-term average: 32.4°F

                  1931-32                                            2011-12
                                                           ’91-92 ’99-00
                                                                     ’01-02




1904-05 1917-18      1935-36                1977-78 1978-79
                           Warm Period
                           Cool Period



                   *The winter of 2012 is defined as Dec 2011 and Jan, Feb 2012
Missouri Average Spring Temperature
             (Mar-Apr-May, 1895-2011)
                                            5 yr. running mean
Long-term average: 54.2°F
                                           1977
                                                  1991
                     1938 1946                            2007




                            1947           1983
             1924                              1984
                                    1960

                      Warm Period
                      Cool Period
Median Date of Last Spring Frost (≤ 32 F)
4/19                 4/21
                              4/20
                                      Long term (1895-2010)
4/16                 4/18
                              4/17
                                                 vs.
                                     Past 30 years (1981-2010)
              4/12
                       4/12                          Locations
              4/13                             Conception 3 days earlier
                       4/09                    Kirksville    3 days earlier
                                               Steffenville 3 days earlier
          4/14                                 Lexington     1 day later
                                               Columbia      3 days earlier
          4/10                                 Appleton City 4 days earlier
                     4/18
       4/12                                    Lamar          4 days earlier
                     4/11               4/19   Lebanon        7 days earlier
       4/08                                    Marble Hill   2 days earlier
                                        4/17
Missouri Average Summer Temperature
             (Jun-Jul-Aug, 1895-2011)
                                                    5 yr. running mean
                  1934 1936

1901                           1954
                                              1980




                1927          1950                     1992     2004
         1915                         Warm Period
                                      Cool Period
Columbia, Missouri
No. of Days When the Temperature Was ≥ 100 F
                (1890-2011)
                 1936          More triple-digit heat in
                               1936 than in the past 23
              1934             years in Columbia!!
    1901
                                    1980
                        1901
Columbia, MO Average Summer Dew Point Temperature (°F)
               (Jun-Jul-Aug, 1948-2011)
  Long-term average: 64.3°F
                                         19931995                  2010

  1949                                                                  2011




    1953                 1972             1992
                    1967
                          1975
                              1976



                              Year   Data Source: Missouri Climate Center/NOAA
Missouri Average Autumn Temperature
             (Sep-Oct-Nov, 1895-2011)
                                Long-term average: 56.5°F
              1931
                                         5 yr. running mean

                                  1963
                  1938                                    1998
                                      1971




                         1951
1896                                                      1996
                                                      1993
           Warm Period                   1976
           Cool Period
Columbia, MO March Daily Max/Min Temperature (°F)
                Normal vs. 2012




                 Date
Missouri Average March Temperature (°F)   (1895-
                      2012)




                     Year
Extension Commercial Agriculture
Automated Weather Station Network

                        Real-time
                       (Updates every 5 minutes)



                              One new station added
                              in 2010 for a total of 30
                              in the network.




     agebb.missouri.edu/weather/stations/index.htm
http://agebb.missouri.edu/weather/stations/
Weather Resources on the Internet
agebb.missouri.edu/weather/wealinks.htm




River Information Resources for Missouri
  agebb.missouri.edu/weather/river.htm

  guinanp@missouri.edu

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Climate of missouri

  • 1. Measuring Climate Pat Guinan Extension/State Climatologist Commercial Agriculture Program Livestock and Climate Workshop Univ. of Missouri, 146 ASRC April 14, 2012
  • 2. Famous Early Weather Observers “All Science Begins with Observation” John Holm George Washington Recorded the first George took regular known weather observations; the last observations in the weather entry in his American Colonies 365 diary was made the years ago, 1644-1645 day before he died. Thomas Benjamin Jefferson Franklin In 1797, Jefferson As Postmaster General in outlined a plan for 1743, Franklin was able to providing weather get weather reports from instruments to postmasters along the someone in every coast and track a county in Virginia. hurricane along the On July 4, 1776, the high temp in Philly was 76°F Atlantic Coast
  • 3. U.S. National Weather Service Cooperative Weather Station Network “The Backbone of the Nation’s Climate Records”
  • 4. NWS Cooperative Network in Missouri 28 Pioneer Stations (still active)
  • 5. NWS Cooperative Weather Station Site
  • 6. MMTS Stevenson Screen or Cotton Region Shelter
  • 7. 8-inch diameter gauge Recording Rain Gauge
  • 8. Climate Data Application… Annual Normal Temperature (1981-2010)
  • 10. Climate Data Application… Hottest Temperature Ever Recorded in Missouri July 14, 1954 118°F Union & Warsaw
  • 11. Climate Data Application… Coldest Temperature Ever Recorded in Missouri February 13, 1905 -40°F Warsaw
  • 12. Climate Data Application… Annual Normal Precipitation (1981-2010)
  • 13. Average Weekly Summer Rainfall for Past 30 Years in Central Missouri Period of Record: 1981-2010 Average Weekly Rainfall (in.) Silking date: 7/4 Silking date: 7/27 Weekly Periods
  • 14. Number of Daily Rainfall Events ≥ 3 inches in Missouri 1895-2010 10 yr. running mean 1895-1952: 922 events 1953-2010: 1005 events 2008 Average: 17 events 1993 1961 1982 2009 Data Source: Midwestern Regional Climate Center
  • 15. Climate Data Application… Rainfall frequency analyses are used in design specifications and regulations established for construction of drainage ditches, culverts, pipes, dams, ponds, lagoons, buildings, roads etc. 100 year, 24-hour rain event NOAA Atlas 14 Precipitation frequency estimates
  • 16. Climate Data Application… Wind Rose Columbia, MO, South Farm (2000-2010)
  • 17. Climate Data Application… Soil temperature, not air temperature, controls germination of seeds. Soil temperature needs to be above 50°F for corn to germinate and 60°F for soybeans to germinate. Optimum temperatures for germination are higher.
  • 18. Climate Data Application… Hail HOMEOWNER’S AND CROP INSURANCE Missouri’s most expensive hail storm in state history: April 10, 2001, Nearly $2 billion of property damage due to a hail storm, particularly in the north St. Louis area. Meadville, MO on May 24, 2004 2-3 days
  • 19. Missouri Annual Average Temperature (1895-2011) 5 yr. running mean Long-term average: 54.6°F 1921 1931 1938 1954 1946 1904 1924 Warm Period 1917 1979 1895 Cool Period
  • 20. Missouri Annual Average Precipitation (1895-2011) Long-term average: 41.18” 5 yr. running mean 1973 1993 2008 1898 1927 1963 19761980 1901 Wet Period 1953 Dry Period
  • 21. Missouri Average Winter Temperature (Dec-Jan-Feb, 1895-2012*) 5 yr. running mean Long-term average: 32.4°F 1931-32 2011-12 ’91-92 ’99-00 ’01-02 1904-05 1917-18 1935-36 1977-78 1978-79 Warm Period Cool Period *The winter of 2012 is defined as Dec 2011 and Jan, Feb 2012
  • 22. Missouri Average Spring Temperature (Mar-Apr-May, 1895-2011) 5 yr. running mean Long-term average: 54.2°F 1977 1991 1938 1946 2007 1947 1983 1924 1984 1960 Warm Period Cool Period
  • 23. Median Date of Last Spring Frost (≤ 32 F) 4/19 4/21 4/20 Long term (1895-2010) 4/16 4/18 4/17 vs. Past 30 years (1981-2010) 4/12 4/12 Locations 4/13 Conception 3 days earlier 4/09 Kirksville 3 days earlier Steffenville 3 days earlier 4/14 Lexington 1 day later Columbia 3 days earlier 4/10 Appleton City 4 days earlier 4/18 4/12 Lamar 4 days earlier 4/11 4/19 Lebanon 7 days earlier 4/08 Marble Hill 2 days earlier 4/17
  • 24. Missouri Average Summer Temperature (Jun-Jul-Aug, 1895-2011) 5 yr. running mean 1934 1936 1901 1954 1980 1927 1950 1992 2004 1915 Warm Period Cool Period
  • 25. Columbia, Missouri No. of Days When the Temperature Was ≥ 100 F (1890-2011) 1936 More triple-digit heat in 1936 than in the past 23 1934 years in Columbia!! 1901 1980 1901
  • 26. Columbia, MO Average Summer Dew Point Temperature (°F) (Jun-Jul-Aug, 1948-2011) Long-term average: 64.3°F 19931995 2010 1949 2011 1953 1972 1992 1967 1975 1976 Year Data Source: Missouri Climate Center/NOAA
  • 27. Missouri Average Autumn Temperature (Sep-Oct-Nov, 1895-2011) Long-term average: 56.5°F 1931 5 yr. running mean 1963 1938 1998 1971 1951 1896 1996 1993 Warm Period 1976 Cool Period
  • 28. Columbia, MO March Daily Max/Min Temperature (°F) Normal vs. 2012 Date
  • 29. Missouri Average March Temperature (°F) (1895- 2012) Year
  • 30. Extension Commercial Agriculture Automated Weather Station Network Real-time (Updates every 5 minutes) One new station added in 2010 for a total of 30 in the network. agebb.missouri.edu/weather/stations/index.htm
  • 32. Weather Resources on the Internet agebb.missouri.edu/weather/wealinks.htm River Information Resources for Missouri agebb.missouri.edu/weather/river.htm guinanp@missouri.edu