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NEAR – TERM CLIMATE PROTECTION AND
           CLEAN AIR FOR
 LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN

         -Transport Sector-




               Sergio Sanchez
               Bogota, Colombia
        October 31st – November 2nd 2012
Contents
• Latin American Context
• Policies and instruments
  – Brazil
  – Colombia
  – Chile
  – Mexico
• Conclusions
• Recommendations
Greening Global Transport

• Greening transport systems requires to affect both activity and emission
  factors:




• It should be based on an Integrated Avoid-Shift-Improved Approach



          • Prevent or
                                         Shift          • Deploy clean and
            eliminate                                     efficient
            unnecessary trips                             technologies and
                                • Change to clean         fuels
                                  and efficient modes
                                  of transport

                  Avoid                                      Improve
Enabling regional sustainable transport
              and air quality interventions
                             Methodologies,
                              and tools for
                             policy & project
                               assessment




                           Fuels &        Public
                        technologies    Transport


  Project
 Monitoring                                     Land use &   Knowledge
                  Freight
                 Transport
                                                 transport   plataforms
and Evaluation                                   planning



                         Travel           Non-
                        demand          motorized
                       management       transport




                             Mainstreaming
                                activities
Latin American Context
• 582 million inhabitants in 2011 – 677 million in 2050
• GDP per capita (PPP): 10,271 USD
• Most urbanized region of developing world
    – urban population: around 70% (2010), 90% (2030)
• Expected GDP growth: 3% (through 2030)
• More than 100 million inhabitants exposed to air pollution levels exceeding
  WHO standards
• Air pollution related health effects cost around 2% of GDP annually
• Transport sector is the major source of urban air pollution
• It is also one of the largest and fastest growing sources of GHG emissions
Motorization trends




             Source: BBVA (2010)
Source: BBVA (2010)
An Overwhelming Increase in the Number of
       Motorcycles in Latin America




                        Source: Montezuma (2011)
Sulfur Content in Vehicle Fuels
                                   Diesel and Gasoline sulfur content standards
                  Country               Diesel                      Gasoline

                 Argentina       Gas Oil G3 (10ppm) is           50ppm in cities
                                       available

                  Bolivia                                            50ppm

                   Brazil     50ppm for public transport

                   Chile      50ppm nationwide / 15ppm         30ppm / 15ppm in
                                 in metropolitan areas         metropolitan areas

                 Colombia      50ppm in Bogota and for
                              public transport nationwide

                 Costa Rica             50ppm

                  Mexico      15ppm available in Mexico       30ppm available in
                                  City, Guadalajara,        Mexico City, Guadalajara
                              Monterrey and US border           and Monterrey

                   Peru        50ppm in Lima and Callao

                  Puerto                15ppm                        15ppm
                   Rico

                   Virgin               15ppm                        15ppm
                  Islands
Fuel Subsidies in the Americas
Used LDVs Flows Around the World




Massive entrance of in-use
vehicles at the Chilean-
Bolivian border (Source:
Lacy 2011)
                                  Source: OECD 2009
Brazil - Highlights
• National 2009 legislation – 36% reduction of GHG
  in 2020 based on 2005
• State of Sao Paulo 2009 legislation – 20%
  reduction of GHG in 2020 based on 2005
• State of Sao Paulo is discussing a sustainable
  transport plan.
• City of Sao Paulo 2009 legislation – requirement
  for urban buses: gradual substitution of entire
  bus fleet for vehicles fueled with renewable non-
  fossil fuels until 2018 – 10% each year
Colombia - Highlights
• Middle class growth
• Increased income
• Reduction of retail car prices as a result of growing
  competition
• Growing automobile imports (60% of total sales in 2009)
• Duty tax exemption policy favoring SUV’s
• New transport systems (e.g. SITP)
IES Approach in Bogota
           Scope definition and team buiding



                  Baseline and emission scenarios



                     Air Quality Modeling



                      Health effects assessment



                     Economic valuation


                  Measures prioritization and results
                  sharing


           Formulación de recomendaciones para
           implementar medidas




                                                    Apoyo a la
Desarrollo de            Fortalecimiento
                                                  construcción de
pericia técnica          de capacidades
                                                    consensos
Chile - Highlights
• Broad diversity of emissions and vehicle
  standards
• Lower requirements to larger vehicles
  including a discount incentive on VAT taxes
  when bought through companies
• 244% increase on SUV and light duty sales
  during the last six years reaching beyond 30%
  of total country sales.
Mexico - Highlights
• On June 6th 2012, Mexico adopted a General
  Law of Climate Change.
  – Implements treaties and protocols signed by
    Mexico and harmonize Mexican regulations with
    international negotiations and agreements.
  – The country commits to reduce GHG emissions
    nationwide (compared to base year 2000):
     • 30 per cent by 2020; and
     • 50 percent by 2050,
Portal of Emissions
and Fuel Efficiency Indicators
Conclusions
• More stringent emission standards have resulted in cleaner fleets in
  countries/cities where they are applied
• Further vehicle emission reductions require:
   – Speed up phase-in of ultra low sulfur automobile fuels and alternatives.
   – Effective I&M programs
   – Scrapping schemes
• Standards, taxes, labeling and other instruments to improve fuel efficiency,
  and reduce GHG and short life climate pollutants, are needed to ensure a
  climate friendly fleet.
• Measures to deal with negative impacts of high motorization and VKT
  growth rates are essential for avoiding offset benefits of greener fleets.
• Transboundary flow of used cars is a substantial carbon leak issue that
  demands both national international life cycle approach.
Recommendations
• Foster a policy dialogue among decision makers and
  technical leaders to share knowledge on:
   –   Emission and fuel efficiency standards
   –   Economic instruments (taxes, feebates, rebates, etc.)
   –   Develop guidelines to implement labeling system
   –   Technology options
   –   Policy assessment
   –   Other
• Implement a consumer oriented online database with LAC
  region-wide information on:
   – automobile technologies,
   – emissions and fuel efficiency of brands/models
   – Environmental, social and economic benefits of greener fleets.
Contact Information

               Sergio Sanchez
                Executive Director
              The Clean Air Institute

   1100 H Street NW, Suite 800 Washington DC, 20005
Ph. No. +1 (202) 785 4222 ext. 13 Fax +1 (202) 785 4313
             http://www.cleanairinstitute.org
             http://www.cleanairnet.org/lac

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Clean air institute (ccac november 2012)

  • 1. NEAR – TERM CLIMATE PROTECTION AND CLEAN AIR FOR LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN -Transport Sector- Sergio Sanchez Bogota, Colombia October 31st – November 2nd 2012
  • 2. Contents • Latin American Context • Policies and instruments – Brazil – Colombia – Chile – Mexico • Conclusions • Recommendations
  • 3. Greening Global Transport • Greening transport systems requires to affect both activity and emission factors: • It should be based on an Integrated Avoid-Shift-Improved Approach • Prevent or Shift • Deploy clean and eliminate efficient unnecessary trips technologies and • Change to clean fuels and efficient modes of transport Avoid Improve
  • 4. Enabling regional sustainable transport and air quality interventions Methodologies, and tools for policy & project assessment Fuels & Public technologies Transport Project Monitoring Land use & Knowledge Freight Transport transport plataforms and Evaluation planning Travel Non- demand motorized management transport Mainstreaming activities
  • 5. Latin American Context • 582 million inhabitants in 2011 – 677 million in 2050 • GDP per capita (PPP): 10,271 USD • Most urbanized region of developing world – urban population: around 70% (2010), 90% (2030) • Expected GDP growth: 3% (through 2030) • More than 100 million inhabitants exposed to air pollution levels exceeding WHO standards • Air pollution related health effects cost around 2% of GDP annually • Transport sector is the major source of urban air pollution • It is also one of the largest and fastest growing sources of GHG emissions
  • 6. Motorization trends Source: BBVA (2010)
  • 8. An Overwhelming Increase in the Number of Motorcycles in Latin America Source: Montezuma (2011)
  • 9. Sulfur Content in Vehicle Fuels Diesel and Gasoline sulfur content standards Country Diesel Gasoline Argentina Gas Oil G3 (10ppm) is 50ppm in cities available Bolivia 50ppm Brazil 50ppm for public transport Chile 50ppm nationwide / 15ppm 30ppm / 15ppm in in metropolitan areas metropolitan areas Colombia 50ppm in Bogota and for public transport nationwide Costa Rica 50ppm Mexico 15ppm available in Mexico 30ppm available in City, Guadalajara, Mexico City, Guadalajara Monterrey and US border and Monterrey Peru 50ppm in Lima and Callao Puerto 15ppm 15ppm Rico Virgin 15ppm 15ppm Islands
  • 10. Fuel Subsidies in the Americas
  • 11. Used LDVs Flows Around the World Massive entrance of in-use vehicles at the Chilean- Bolivian border (Source: Lacy 2011) Source: OECD 2009
  • 12. Brazil - Highlights • National 2009 legislation – 36% reduction of GHG in 2020 based on 2005 • State of Sao Paulo 2009 legislation – 20% reduction of GHG in 2020 based on 2005 • State of Sao Paulo is discussing a sustainable transport plan. • City of Sao Paulo 2009 legislation – requirement for urban buses: gradual substitution of entire bus fleet for vehicles fueled with renewable non- fossil fuels until 2018 – 10% each year
  • 13. Colombia - Highlights • Middle class growth • Increased income • Reduction of retail car prices as a result of growing competition • Growing automobile imports (60% of total sales in 2009) • Duty tax exemption policy favoring SUV’s • New transport systems (e.g. SITP)
  • 14. IES Approach in Bogota Scope definition and team buiding Baseline and emission scenarios Air Quality Modeling Health effects assessment Economic valuation Measures prioritization and results sharing Formulación de recomendaciones para implementar medidas Apoyo a la Desarrollo de Fortalecimiento construcción de pericia técnica de capacidades consensos
  • 15. Chile - Highlights • Broad diversity of emissions and vehicle standards • Lower requirements to larger vehicles including a discount incentive on VAT taxes when bought through companies • 244% increase on SUV and light duty sales during the last six years reaching beyond 30% of total country sales.
  • 16. Mexico - Highlights • On June 6th 2012, Mexico adopted a General Law of Climate Change. – Implements treaties and protocols signed by Mexico and harmonize Mexican regulations with international negotiations and agreements. – The country commits to reduce GHG emissions nationwide (compared to base year 2000): • 30 per cent by 2020; and • 50 percent by 2050,
  • 17. Portal of Emissions and Fuel Efficiency Indicators
  • 18. Conclusions • More stringent emission standards have resulted in cleaner fleets in countries/cities where they are applied • Further vehicle emission reductions require: – Speed up phase-in of ultra low sulfur automobile fuels and alternatives. – Effective I&M programs – Scrapping schemes • Standards, taxes, labeling and other instruments to improve fuel efficiency, and reduce GHG and short life climate pollutants, are needed to ensure a climate friendly fleet. • Measures to deal with negative impacts of high motorization and VKT growth rates are essential for avoiding offset benefits of greener fleets. • Transboundary flow of used cars is a substantial carbon leak issue that demands both national international life cycle approach.
  • 19. Recommendations • Foster a policy dialogue among decision makers and technical leaders to share knowledge on: – Emission and fuel efficiency standards – Economic instruments (taxes, feebates, rebates, etc.) – Develop guidelines to implement labeling system – Technology options – Policy assessment – Other • Implement a consumer oriented online database with LAC region-wide information on: – automobile technologies, – emissions and fuel efficiency of brands/models – Environmental, social and economic benefits of greener fleets.
  • 20. Contact Information Sergio Sanchez Executive Director The Clean Air Institute 1100 H Street NW, Suite 800 Washington DC, 20005 Ph. No. +1 (202) 785 4222 ext. 13 Fax +1 (202) 785 4313 http://www.cleanairinstitute.org http://www.cleanairnet.org/lac