The document discusses a class exercise involving a quiz with connection questions. It provides 6 questions and asks participants to identify a theme that connects the answers. It then discusses challenges of financial regulation and the global financial crisis. Key points include: regulatory failures allowed the housing bubble and risky financial products; the crisis had widespread impacts and parallels the Great Depression; and India was protected due to strong banking regulation by Dr. Y.V. Reddy.
Eliminating the zero lower bound involves distinguishing between paper currency and electronic money (which in the 1930's, Robert Eisler called “bank money”)
Falling into the trap of unmanageable debt is a very common
situation nowadays. It is a proven fact that more than 40% of US
people spends more than what they earn and very obviously most of
them experience the difficulty of paying debt at the right time. Get all
the info you need here
Meltdown presentation atca full master Mike HaywardEd Dodds
Mike Hayward: With the help of DK, I have redrafted my Meltdown presentation to be suitable for an International Audience and it is attached below. I have already given this talk at several UK universities with more to come. It is designed multidisciplinary audiences so it is not too technical and is richly illustrated. Please feel free to use and adapt the presentation to suit your own needs and viewpoint. My name is not mentioned in the presentation. The subject is too important to claim authorship or credit.
Summary...... The global debt mountain, peak oil, population growth, resource depletion, population growth, the pension time bomb and climate change are all interconnected.
Meltdown did not occur in October 2008, but we were within 4 hours of it happening. It has only been deferred. Remember, only 3 dozen economists correctly predicted the 2008 global financial crisis, out of a profession of 20,000 members. Not one of the World politicians and Central Bankers saw the crisis coming, but all of them claim to know the remedy. The reasons for the 2008 crash have not gone away. The US housing market is still in freefall and US and European Banks are becoming increasingly insolvent, although they won't admit it. Economic growth will be stifled by rising oil prices. The bailouts are not working. World Politicians, Bankers and Economists are trying to maintain the status quo but they are losing control. Fundamentally, the real systemic causes of the crisis are rarely discussed with transparency and have not been addressed. Fractional Reserve Banking and universal public ignorance of banking practices are the cause of all the our global problems.
The collapse will happen within the next couple of years. The Eurozone or USA will most probably be the epicentre. The interconnectivity of the financial system means we will all be affected. What happens next after the collapse is impossible to predict. History is replete with examples but not on a Global scale. Massive political unrest will prevail. There will be a rise in popularity of extreme left and right political parties.
The Benefits of a Public Bank for New York State; the Derivatives explosion (nominal value of $1.2 quadrillion); The joint FDIC-Bank of England Proposal to forcibly swap deposits (incl. state deposits) for equity in a failing bank; The Public Banking model based on the Bank of North Dakota; The specific state bill for New York state; What the Fed can and can't (or won't) do to save municipalities
Eliminating the zero lower bound involves distinguishing between paper currency and electronic money (which in the 1930's, Robert Eisler called “bank money”)
Falling into the trap of unmanageable debt is a very common
situation nowadays. It is a proven fact that more than 40% of US
people spends more than what they earn and very obviously most of
them experience the difficulty of paying debt at the right time. Get all
the info you need here
Meltdown presentation atca full master Mike HaywardEd Dodds
Mike Hayward: With the help of DK, I have redrafted my Meltdown presentation to be suitable for an International Audience and it is attached below. I have already given this talk at several UK universities with more to come. It is designed multidisciplinary audiences so it is not too technical and is richly illustrated. Please feel free to use and adapt the presentation to suit your own needs and viewpoint. My name is not mentioned in the presentation. The subject is too important to claim authorship or credit.
Summary...... The global debt mountain, peak oil, population growth, resource depletion, population growth, the pension time bomb and climate change are all interconnected.
Meltdown did not occur in October 2008, but we were within 4 hours of it happening. It has only been deferred. Remember, only 3 dozen economists correctly predicted the 2008 global financial crisis, out of a profession of 20,000 members. Not one of the World politicians and Central Bankers saw the crisis coming, but all of them claim to know the remedy. The reasons for the 2008 crash have not gone away. The US housing market is still in freefall and US and European Banks are becoming increasingly insolvent, although they won't admit it. Economic growth will be stifled by rising oil prices. The bailouts are not working. World Politicians, Bankers and Economists are trying to maintain the status quo but they are losing control. Fundamentally, the real systemic causes of the crisis are rarely discussed with transparency and have not been addressed. Fractional Reserve Banking and universal public ignorance of banking practices are the cause of all the our global problems.
The collapse will happen within the next couple of years. The Eurozone or USA will most probably be the epicentre. The interconnectivity of the financial system means we will all be affected. What happens next after the collapse is impossible to predict. History is replete with examples but not on a Global scale. Massive political unrest will prevail. There will be a rise in popularity of extreme left and right political parties.
The Benefits of a Public Bank for New York State; the Derivatives explosion (nominal value of $1.2 quadrillion); The joint FDIC-Bank of England Proposal to forcibly swap deposits (incl. state deposits) for equity in a failing bank; The Public Banking model based on the Bank of North Dakota; The specific state bill for New York state; What the Fed can and can't (or won't) do to save municipalities
I. Introduction
II. Causes of the current financial crisis
III. A timeline of the most important events
IV. Fannie and Freddie
V. The current financial crisis’ nature
VI. The great depression & lessons from the past
VII. The Impact on Emerging Countries.
VIII. How to solve this problem
IX. Executive Summary
X. Sources
I made this paper for my English course. It\'s a nice paper if you\'re interested in the crisis. You don\'t need to be an economist to understand what I\'m writing about, it\'s written in clear,understandable English!
This version still contains some errors...(it\'s not the final version)
A lecture delivered in 2010/11. Why the economy will collapse is a warning to all investors who speculate on stocks and shares, and other forms of speculation. It is far better to invest directly into CASH & PROFITS.
This paper is a summary of press clippings gleaned from Internet during the period April to July 2008. This exercise was performed to provide a quick summary of the US credit crisis at that particular point in time / 2nd quarter 2008. The paper was presented to a non native English speaking European audience consisting primarily of insolvency judges July 3rd 2008 in Paris.
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Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...beulahfernandes8
Role in Financial System
NBFCs are critical in bridging the financial inclusion gap.
They provide specialized financial services that cater to segments often neglected by traditional banks.
Economic Impact
NBFCs contribute significantly to India's GDP.
They support sectors like micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), housing finance, and personal loans.
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Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
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US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
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Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
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how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
Challenges of regulation_2009
1. Class Exercise: Quiz Time!
Quizzes of the Karnataka Quiz Association (of
which I was founder secretary in 1983!),
there‘s a concept called a Theme or Connection
You get bonus points if you can connect the
answers to a bunch of questions by a theme
that holds them together
Let‘s try one such Theme/Connection round
Put down your answers and raise your hands
when you think you have the Theme
You‘ll have to justify why you think your
answers to individual questions connect with
the theme
Don‘t announce your answers aloud … PLEASE!
10. We actually got something right!
When the worldwide bull run/bubble was
going on, ―We kept wondering if they had
figured out something that we were too
dense to figure out. It looked like they were
smart and we were stupid.‖ Luis Miranda,
ILFS Infrastructure
Instead, India was the smart one, and we
were the stupid ones –Joe Nocera, NY Times.
11. An American Journalist Talks to
Indians
How could we have brought so much trouble
on ourselves, and the rest of the world, by
acting in such an obviously foolhardy
manner? Didn‘t we understand that you can‘t
lend money to people who lack the means to
pay it back? The questions were asked with a
sense of bewilderment — and an occasional
hint of scorn. Like most Americans, I didn‘t
have any good answers. It was a bubble, I
would respond with a sheepish shrug, as if
that were an adequate explanation. It isn‘t,
of course.
Joe Nocera, New York Times
12. How India Was Saved
―In India, we never had anything close to the subprime
loan,‖—Chanda Kochhar, ICICI ―All lending to
individuals is based on their income.‖
―Indian banks are not levered like American banks.
Capital ratios are 12 and 13 percent, instead of 7 or 8
percent. All those exotic structures like C.D.O. and
securitizations are a very tiny part of our banking
system. So a lot of the temptations didn‘t exist.‖ –
Chanda Kocchar, ICICI
―When the bubble was going on, we did not change any
of our policies. We did not change any of our systems.
We did not change our thought process. We never gave
more money to a borrower because the value of the
house had gone up. –Deepak Parekh, HDFC
13. Reasons for India‘s Escape-1
Part of the reason is cultural. Indians
are simply not as comfortable with
credit as Americans. ―A lot of Indians,
when you push them, will say that if
you spend more than you earn you
will get in trouble,‖ an Indian
consultant told me. ―Americans spent
more than they earned.‖
14. Reasons for India‘s Escape-2
But there was another factor, perhaps the most important
of all. India had a bank regulator who was the anti-
Greenspan. His name was Dr. Y. V. Reddy, Governor of
the Reserve Bank of India.
70% of the Indian banking system nationalized, so a
strong regulator is critical, since any banking scandal
amounts to a national political scandal as well.
Reddy was the right man in the right job at the right time.
―He basically believed that if bankers were given the
opportunity to sin, they would sin,‖ said one banker
For all the bankers‘ talk about their higher lending
standards, the truth is that Mr. Reddy made them even
more stringent during the bubble.
15. Bankers Lavishing Praise
The underlying risks of having ―a majority
of loans not owned by the people who
originated them‖ was not apparent during
the bubble. Now that those risks have been
made painfully clear, every banker in India
realizes that Mr. Reddy did the right thing
by limiting securitizations. –Chanda
Kochhar, ICICI
―At times like this, you tend to appreciate
what he did more than we did at the time,‖
–Rana Kapoor, Yes Bank.
―He saved us,‖ –Deepak Parekh, HDFC.
16. Let‘s Hear Yaga Venugopal Reddy
'India has been largely protected because of the
decisions we took,' –YV Reddy
'This was because of the regulatory framework
that restricted exposure of our banks and
financial institutions to risky financial products,
specifically, complex derivatives.
'What is happening across the globe is due to
regulatory failure. Firstly, some parties such as
hedge funds and rating agencies were regulated
very, very lightly. Then there was a failure to
understand derivative products,' –Y V Reddy.
17. Regulatory Failure Worldwide
How did it happen?
What are the consequences?
The case of the Global Financial Crisis
18. A Crisis that puts us on the Verge
of Another Great Depression
Paul Krugman, Nobel Laureate 2008
―this crisis bears some resemblance to
the Great Depression‖
Well, the current mess in the Global
market is THE WORST since the great
depression on 1929.
The US bore the brunt of the Great
Depression; this time the effects are
spread across the globe
19.
20. The Key Differences
Unlike during the Great Depression, when
governments acted too little or too late, this time
around governments around the world are
rallying to rescue the financial system
In the Great Depression there was no work and
there was widespread poverty. People struggled
through the winter with no heating and no food.
Then, a quarter of all Americans were without
jobs. Today, unemployment in the US is at 6.1%
… bad but not disastrous
And the US of today is still an inventive,
resourceful, resilient nation
21. How Did This All Happen?
Root Causes of the Crisis
Mortgage Backed Securities
Innovative Financial Instruments
Derivatives
Credit Default Insurance
Insufficient Regulation
Globalization of Finance
22. Root Cause: Faulty Assumption
& the Housing Bubble
Created by the assumption that housing
prices will continue to go up without end
Mortgage brokers get paid for sourcing
new mortgages—incentive is to sell more
Thus sold mortgages to people who did
not have ability to pay: SUBPRIME loans
Logic: since house prices will go up, even
if a loan defaults, you still make a profit
23. Risk Spreading and Derivatives
Markets, Globalized
The last few decades have seen risk being
extracted, packaged, and sold globally through
innovative financial instruments like Collateralized
Debt Obligations—CDOs
(It‘s when these became illiquid and homeowners
started to default on the underlying securities that the
market collapse started)
And the ―quants‖ at investment banks have created
all sorts of new derivatives
These help to manage risks & create new markets
but are not fully understood by regulators or firms
In particular, Credit Default Swaps, were not
regulated carefully
24. Rating Agencies‘ Failure
Moody‘s, Standard & Poors, and other rating
agencies were supposed to evaluate these
mortgages and CDOs and rate their risk levels
Instead, they gave bogus high ratings to
trillions in dubious mortgage-related
investments and CDOs
―The story of the credit rating agencies is a
story of colossal failure,‖ Rep. Henry Waxman,
D-Calif., chair of the House Oversight and
Government Reform Committee
25. Other Systemic Factors
Financial Times:
The deep squeeze on household and
corporate incomes from the commodity
boom of the first half of 2008, which almost
no one predicted, weakened the non-
financial sector before banks had any
chance to repair the damage from the
subprime crisis and was a crucial element
of the disaster that unfurled this autumn"
26. Swaminathan S Anklesaria
Aiyar‘s List of Culprits
Alan Greenspan & Federal Reserve
Presided over bubbles in housing, credit, and
stock markets
US Politicians
Wanting to provide a home for every American,
they pushed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to
underwrite 80% of US mortgages, without
sufficient regulation
Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac
Bought toxic debt wanting short term profit
27. …
Financial Innovators
Derivatives provided cheap, easy credit,
leading to global boom of last 5 years
But complex instruments hid risks
Credit Default Swaps insured bonds against
default. But grew to $60 trillion. When
markets fell and defaults widened, those
holding CDSs faced disaster
Regulators
Everywhere did not intervene carefully
28. …
Banks and Mortgage Lenders
As they were packaging and selling loan
portfolios, they did not check the
creditworthiness of borrowers
Investment Banks
Borrowed heavily to play the market
Rating Agencies
Allowed BBB mortgages to be seen as AAA
Basel Rule for Banks
Relaxed rules; Iceland banks had 10 x GDP
29. …
US Consumers
Spend far more than they earn, leading
to zero or negative savings
Asian and OPEC Countries
Undervalue currency to stimulate exports
and generate trade surpluses with US
Buying US securities lowered interest
rates thereby leading to more borrowing
Everybody
Nobody wanted to be the party pooper
30. Warnings Were Ignored
Northern Rock Bank collapse in UK
Bear Stearns bailout in US
Warnings by ―Dr. Doom:‖ Nouriel Roubini of New York
University
Hedge funds short selling was curbed
This could have sent correct signals
But there is concern about speculative and market
manipulating short selling
Overall, it seems governments have little institutional
memory: remember Long Term Capital Management,
the Savings and Loan Crisis, etc.
And real-estated induced crises in Japan, Sweden, etc
32. Impacts
Collapse of US Investment Banks
Liquidity and Solvency Crunch
Collapse of Economies: Iceland
Potential Worldwide Depression
33. Liquidity Crisis Impacts in US
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac placed into
conservatorship, i.e., nationalized
Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy after
failing to find a buyer
Bank of America agreed to purchase Merrill
Lynch
AIG got an $85 billion rescue package;
Federal Reserve would receive an 80% public
stake in the firm.
The biggest bank failure in history occurred
when JP Morgan Chase agreed to purchase
the banking assets of Washington Mutual
34. Further Damage Possibilities
Job Losses
Leading to Credit Card Debt Default
And the Big 3 Automakers Now Want
Help!
Chrysler is being sold to FIAT
And the US government is buying up a
large share of the iconic General Motors
35. US Government Actions
Initial estimates $700 billion to $1 trillion
As of mid-November, it was estimated that the new
loans, purchases, and liabilities of the Federal Reserve,
the US Treasury, and FDIC, brought on by the financial
crisis, totalled over $5 trillion:
$1 trillion in loans by the Fed to broker-dealers through
the emergency discount window
$1.8 trillion in loans by the Fed through the Term
Auction Facility
$700 billion to be raised by the Treasury for the
Troubled Assets Relief Program
$200 billion insurance for the GSEs by the Treasury, a
$1.5 trillion insurance for unsecured bank debt by FDIC
36. So What Are We Witnessing?
A transition from a capitalist economy to a
socialist regime?
No, the financial sector has always been
regulated intensively
Now the difference is that we are trying to
ensure that the failures in the financial
sector and its regulation do not cripple the
functioning of the larger economy
And so we are rethinking the role of
government, in line with the ideas of John
Maynard Keynes
37. A New Keynesianism
Keynes: To combat depression,
governments should jump start
growth through aggressive
public spending
Public spending has a multiplier
effect but will also increase fiscal
deficits (print notes!)
But this is OK as long as
economies recover and grow
Along with cash, we need to
maintain Confidence
Hence the bailout of large
financial institutions
39. Class Exercise:
Identify this Innovative Company
It began as an energy producer in 1985 following the
merger of Internorth & Houston Natural Gas.
It was the first to realise energy and water could be
bought, sold, and hedged just like shares and bonds. …
It became a huge "market-maker" in the US, acting as the
main broker in energy products, also taking financial
gambles far bigger than its actual core business.
As a result, in just 15 years it grew from nowhere to
become America's seventh largest company, employing
21,000 staff in more than 40 countries.
Fortune magazine named it "America's Most Innovative
Company" for six consecutive years from 1996 to 2001.
40. And then things began to unravel
Its trading operations relied heavily on
complicated transactions, many relating to deals
many years in the future.
Many of these gambles on future energy prices
were losing money, and to disguise this a network
of dubious "partnerships" were created - devices
for keeping debts off the balance sheet (& in
offshore settings) & thus keeping profits high and
shareholders happy.
It is alleged that these partnerships bought losing
businesses from the company to boost its balance
sheet.
41. Until the sh*t hit the fan
Many executives allegedly made massive profits
by selling shares before the company's problems
went public and its stock price collapsed.
It achieved infamy at the end of 2001, when it
was revealed that its reported financial condition
was sustained mostly by institutionalized,
systematic, & creatively planned accounting fraud.
As it collapsed, it left behind $31.8bn of debts, its
shares became worthless, and 21,000 workers
around the world lost their jobs.
42. If you haven‘t figured it out by now …
Who is this?
She spearheaded
this company‘s
entry into India?
And built this.
45. George Will
Conservative Commentator …
The problems revealed by Enron‘s collapse are ―rooted in
recent changes in US legal, financial and accounting
professions,‖ [and] an ―epidemic of aggressiveness in the
1980s, when all three professions began to think of
themselves as ‗can do‘ people—‗problem solvers‘ who ‗think
outside the box.‘‖
The result of this mentality and the increasing use of stock
options, was a ―hyper-aggressive management cadre
continually trying to impress analysts with ambitious targets
for growth in stock values. When the targets were met, the
analysts raised the bar, and sometimes the ever-higher
expectations could not be met without financial and accounting
practices that were the equivalent of steroids.‖
The primary cause of Enron‘s ―risky behaviour‖ was the
―growing arrogance of executives who became confident that
no-one was looking over their shoulders, watching—and
understanding—what they were doing.‖
46. Paul Krugman
Economics Guru …
―Crony Capitalism: American Style‖
―The Enron debacle is not just the story of a
company that failed; it is the story of a system
that failed. And the system didn‘t fail through
carelessness or laziness; it was corrupted.‖
―The Enron affair has revealed that the
institutions governing the capitalist economy,
including modern accounting rules, independent
auditors, securities and financial market
regulation, and the prohibitions against insider
trading have been corrupted.‖
47. Impacts of the Enron Collapse
In 2002, the Enron scandal caused the
dissolution of Arthur Andersen, which at the
time was one of the world's top five accounting
firms.
Arthur Andersen was convicted of obstruction of
justice because key partners shredded
documents related to its audit of Enron
Since the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission does not allow convicted felons to
audit public companies, the firm agreed to
surrender its licenses.
In 2005, the Supreme Court overruled the
conviction on technical grounds
48. Enron was hardly the only company
rigging the system
Many other companies took advantage of regulatory
gaps such as insufficient enforcement of disclosure
requirements, excessive reliance on peer review for
auditors, and inability to keep brokerage and
investment banking activities separate.
Brokerage firms took fees for offering a preferred list
of firms. For example, Morgan Stanley had failed to
inform investors of the compensation it received for
selling certain funds.
Under diffuse shareholding and independent
managers, as prevail in the US, the information
asymmetries between the principals and their agents
become acute and require active regulatory
intervention.
49. Regulatory Reactions to Enron
(and Other Corporate Scandals)
As a direct result of Enron and other scandals, the US
Congress passed a tough new law, called Sarbanes-
Oxley, which imposes stricter rules on auditors &
makes corporate directors criminally liable for lying
about their accounts.
The Act establishes a new quasi-public agency, the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, to
oversee, regulate, inspect, & discipline accounting
firms in their roles as auditors of public companies.
The Act also covers issues such as auditor
independence, corporate governance, internal control
assessment, and enhanced financial disclosure.
Considered among the most significant changes to US
securities laws since the New Deal in the 1930s.
50. How Did Enron Get Away With
All This?
The Political Economy of
Lobbying
51. Enron‘s Lobbying Prowess
—All Perfectly Legal
Enron had the loyalty of Texas until it collapsed
Houston's "kingmaker" Kenneth Lay, CEO of Enron,
secured that loyalty through a potent combination of
money, lobbying and a ―revolving door‖ through which
employees went in and out of government
Enron spent $10.2m influencing Washington
politicians. During 1997-2000, it gave $1m to Texas
political action committees and state candidates, and
spent $4.8m on 89 Texas lobby contracts
Justices of the Texas Supreme Court (who are elected)
received $134,058 from Enron since 1983.
In 1996, a conflict arose when the justices reversed a
lower court decision to cut $15m off inventory taxes Enron
owed a school district.
52. The Political & Economic Payoffs
Ken Lay‘s friend, Gov. George W. Bush's "gifts" to Enron:
Deregulated the state electricity market
Went easy on corporate air polluters
Supported laws protecting business from lawsuits.
Enron was able to convince people it was the future:
"The message Ken Lay peddled is, 'We are going to be the
most important company in the world. We are going to
change every market'." It was a message the Texas
government was eager to hear and promote for the
betterment of the state.
Enron paid Wendy Gramm, wife of Texas senator Phil Gramm,
$50,000 a year to be on its board. Enron hired her in 1993,
within weeks of her leaving the top job at the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission, where she started the
deregulation of energy futures markets.
54. What is Regulation?
‗A government imposed limitation on the
behavior of individuals or organizations.‘
Regulation can be defined as government
intervention in markets to influence
those decisions of private agents that
would otherwise not fully consider public
interest.
55. Justifications for Government
Intervention and Regulation
Correction of Market Failures
Correcting Externalities like Environmental Pollution
Regulating Actions of Natural Monopolies
Utility Pricing
Merit Goods and Setting Standards
Health care related areas, public morals
Redistribution and Equity
Minimum wage or rent controls
56. Techniques of Regulation
Control of price
– Aimed at preventing predatory pricing and over
charging.
Control of quantity
– Universal service obligation, maximum production
limits.
Control of entry
– e.g. in long distance telecoms and NYC taxicabs
Control of quality
– e.g. of emissions, customer service levels, safety etc.
57. Instruments of Regulation:
Environmental Policy Case
Command and Control
Bans
Standards
Technology Choices
Economic Incentives
Taxes (Fees)
Subsidies
Liability
Tradeable Permits
Information Provision
Check www.scorecard.org
59. Public Interest Theory of Regulation:
Pigou
Regulation needed to correct for market failures,
including lack of competition (monopoly)
Assumptions:
Government are benign and capable of
taking care of these market failures
effectively
This justification for Regulation is seen as
promoting growth of government.
Counterarguments:
Private players will behave well—Reputations matter
Cartels usually collapse
Markets subject to potential entry by competitors
61. Stigler‘s Economics of Regulation
Regulation is actively sought by the regulated party
Rational political class provides it
Concentrated interests provide votes and resources to
political sector to attain goals
Preferred over direct transfer of resources to industry as
subsidies encourage new entrants
Diffuse nature of loss ensures no significant opposition
Methods: tariffs, quotas, occupational licensing
Capture: information for regulator comes from regulated
Justifications: public interest [oil security (Oil Import Quota),
helping airlines grow (Air Mail Subsidy), quality health care
(American Medical Association)]
62. Example: The Oil Import Quota
Public Interest Justification:
In the interest of national security, it is important
for the USA to have a strong domestic oil industry
Therefore the import of foreign oil should be
restricted through quotas
Thus dependency on outside entities minimized
Economic Impact:
Higher cost, domestic oil producers get assured
captive share of the market
No wonder the regulated seek regulation!
63. Civil Aeronautics Board &
Regulation of Airlines, USA
The Civil Aeronautics Board was set up to help the
fledgling airline industry take off
It allocated routes and regulated pricing
Captured by regulated entities
Throughout its tenure, no new airlines were set up
It was disbanded in the 1970s, during Jimmy
Carter‘s presidency
Main airlines in regulated era—TWA, Braniff,
Eastern, etc., collapsed once competition came in
Since deregulation, there has been a shakeup in
the US airline industry and re-consolidation
Prices are low on busy routes & high elsewhere
64. Regulation is Political: Rent Seeking
Every interest in society will try and create a
monopoly position for itself, using the government
to ensure this (or at least entry/trade barriers). This
way, that interest will capture (monopoly) rents for
itself at the expense of the consumer.
Rent seeking techniques: tariffs, quotas, &
government contracts; favorable regulatory action
Rent seeking leads to inefficient expenditures
(bribes, bureaucratic angling for key posts,
suboptimal investments, wasteful competition
between economic interests for government favor)
In a sense, regulatory arena is another marketplace
where interest groups compete for spoils
65. Wilson‘s Critique of Economic Analysis
of Regulation
Economic arguments interesting but too simple
World is full of regulatory activity that affects
concentrated economic interests harshly (e.g.,
EPA regs & auto industry, FDA regs and drug
approval)
―Captured‖ regulatory bodies like CAB got
eliminated
Look back at origin of regulation, typically in
public interest & large coalition support (Civil
rights, environmental protection, drug safety, etc)
Lots of opponents out there in society to
counterbalance concentrated economic interests
68. Design Regulatory Frameworks
Based on Prevention of Abuse
All strategies for social control of business are imperfect
Optimal institutional design involves a choice among these
imperfect alternatives.
The enforcement theory specifically recognises a basic trade-off
between two social costs of each institution:
Disorder—the ability of private agents to harm others
Dictatorship—the ability of the government and its officials to
impose such costs on private agents.
As we move from private orderings to private litigation to
regulation to public ownership, the powers of the government
rise, and those of private agents fall.
Social losses from disorder decline as those from dictatorship
increase
This tradeoff is called the Institutional Possibility Frontier
70. Bt Cotton
Bt Cotton is produced by inserting a synthetic version
of a gene from the naturally occurring soil bacterium
Bacillus thuringiensis, into cotton.
The primary reason this is done is to induce the plant
to produce its own Bt toxin to destroy the bollworm, a
major cotton pest.
The gene causes the production of Bt toxin in all parts
of the cotton plant throughout its entire life span.
When the bollworm ingests any part of the plant, the
Bt cotton toxin pierces its small intestine and kills the
insect.
Source:
http://www.greenpeace.org/india/campaigns/say-no-
to-genetic-engineering/ge-crops-in-india-the-story
71. Why use genetically engineered
cotton when pesticides exist?
When cotton farming was introduced as a lucrative
alternative to food crops in the 1980s, farmers
invested in expensive varieties of seeds and
pesticides. When crops failed, small farmers found
themselves severely indebted.
Indebtedness triggered a spate of suicides.
Crop failure was caused basically by the resistance
the American bollworm insect developed to all kinds
of pesticides and pesticide cocktails.
Farmers found themselves on a ―pesticide treadmill'
where higher pesticide use led to greater resistance
which in turn led to even higher pesticide use, …
Manufacturers of Bt cotton argued that the
genetically engineered plants would be resistant to
pests at low costs
72. Risks of Bt Cotton
Economic risks:
Crop failure possible even with the use of this technology
Ecological risks:
Increased Pest Resistivity:
As the insects feeding on the Bt crops are exposed to the
toxin regularly, they can develop quicker resistance. If this
happens, both the genes in transgenic plants and Bt
sprays will be rendered ineffective.
Gene flow to wild relatives=>Super Weeds:
As Bt crops are grown close to their wild relatives, it is
possible that the Bt gene can spread to them through
pollen transfer. The new genes in the wild plants may
produce enough toxins to ward off insects that normally
feed on them. Some of the wild plants could grow hardier
and act as weeds. This technology can also contaminate
other species, as transgenic plants displace other plants.
Political risks:
NGOs active in opposing Bt cotton; taking direct action
75. So when Monsanto applied for
permission to sell Bt cotton seeds,
government decided to regulate
Regulatory Response relied on hierarchy
Expertise driven—led by scientific establishment
Multiple ministries involved—Biotechnology,
Environment; some less so (eg, Agriculture)
Top down—driven by Delhi; states less involved,
even though they have to implement
Field level science not well integrated—agricultural
university scientists not fully involved
Non-formal voices kept out—NGOs, Farmers
76. Rational vs Hybrid Regulation:
Scoones (2005)
Professed Ideal
Rational, science-based process, whereby guidelines
developed centrally by experts are enshrined in law and
implemented by bureaucrats with assent of politicians
Actual Reality
Regulations emerge through a political process of
negotiation among a wide range of actors in multiple
sites … an uneven compromise based on technical,
social, political and sometimes moral considerations
Thus
There is a process of ‗co-construction‘ of regulatory
policy, operating in a hybrid world that straddles
science, business, and government interests
77. Regulatory Process for Monsanto-
MAHYCO
Elaborate scientific tests of Bt Cotton
seeds
Monsanto-MAHYCO goes through long
testing period before field trials
Testing process highly contentious on
ground with NGO protests, e.g.,
destroying test beds
Various protection measures insisted
upon—refuges of non-Bt cotton
Process may have been significantly
long and arduous because applying
party was Monsanto
Process subject to significant NGO
scrutiny, particularly using courts
78. The Regulatory Assumptions versus
The Ground Reality
Regulators grant approval based on safety
measures, e.g., refuges
Small farmers unable to provide environmental
refuges of non-Bt cotton
Regulators assume that state and district
administrations can police Bt cotton use
State and district administrations not up to task
Seed market fragmented, unorganized, non-formal
Regulators assume scientists inspect correctly
Scientific teams feel process inadequate
Attention entirely focused on Monsanto
79. Meanwhile, back on the farm …
Farmers in Gujarat found to be planting
seeds with Bt
Seeds obtained from Navbharat, which
claims its their own hybrid
Legal action against Navbharat initiated by
government and MAHYCO
Central government orders destruction of
Bt cotton crop
Gujarat state government balks—says it is
unable to compensate growers for cotton
destruction
Uneasy regulatory stalemate prevails
80. So, the Bt is Out of The Bag
Bt cotton seeds are now
widely available
underground/camouflaged
Hybridization with local
cotton variants rampant
Regulation of seed sellers
practically impossible
Growing practices do not
emphasize safety
Overall, a failure of the
regulatory process
82. Behavior and Politics of
Regulatory Players
Behavior of agency: depends on appointee type
Careerists: work to cover their flanks, risk averse, but
also pass strong rules to survive
Politicians: may take activist role, especially in
preparation for future political office
Professionals: peer group outside agency, in profession,
eg, law, medicine, => activism
Perceptions key:
If any group seen as unfairly benefiting at nation‘s expense,
there will be a countervailing force to eliminate this. Lots of
interest groups exist to counter and fight
Political process accessible; e.g., thru media, judiciary
(Bad implementation because of nature of challenge?)
84. Paradoxes of Regulation
A Regulatory Paradox is a Counterproductive Regulation:
eg, A Clean Air Act that actually makes air dirtier
Overregulation produces underregulation:
Implementability difficult/unjust so bureaucrats/judges
won‘t implement regulation/law;
eg, 3 strikes & you‘re out law => more out of court
settlements
Stringent regulation of new risks can increase overall risk
levels:
Older, riskier cars & drugs stay; new versions kept out
Best Available Technology retards technological development
Industry has no incentive to show feasible improvements
85. …
Redistributive regulation harms those at bottom of
socioeconomic ladder
Minimum wage laws freeze out marginal job seekers;
Rent control laws dry up rental property provision
Disclosure requirements make people less informed
overload, people process information differently
(heuristics & biases); inability to counteradvertise against
tobacco
Independent agencies are not independent
Can get captured or influenced by regulated entities
Magnitude of counterproductive reaction is key:
Sometimes some amount of inefficiency is OK
86. Former US Sen. Mike Gravel on
Legalizing Drugs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3
8ma-nUmySo&feature=related
88. Liberalization: Government as
Facilitator
India liberalized its economy in 1991
Since then many sectors have been thrown
open to private participation
The government has worked to create
appropriate regulatory frameworks
Opening of some sectors to participation by
international players has meant that Indian
regulatory institutions and frameworks
have to meet international best practices
89. The Challenge of Capital Market
Regulation in India
Capital markets provide effective
intermediation of savings, allocation of
investment, price discovery, pricing and
hedging of risk; but they are subject to
information imperfections, excess volatility,
and market manipulation.
The regulator has to be something like a
policeman, but a smart one, who preserves
market integrity through clear and self-
enforcing rules of the game while
encouraging the game itself.
90. SEBI and the Financial Sector
Securities and Exchange Board of India,
tasked with:
Regulating securities and stock markets
Establishing monitoring, surveillance and
implementation of world class rules
Regaining investor confidence after major scams
(Harshad Mehta, Ketan Parekh)
Creating a deeper market that protected the
small investor
Successfully pushed systemic reforms, drove the
movement toward paperless transactions, T=2
settlements, etc.
Still considered weak in terms of enforcement of
penalties against violators
91. Telecom Sector
Challenge:
How to provide a level playing field in
the presence of a dominant publicly-
owned player with bureaucratic support?
92. Department of Telecommunications and
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India
DoT
Allocates territorial licenses for mobile telephony
Criticized for numerous changes in policy
Criticized for allowing backdoor entry to
Reliance into mobile telephony
Highly politicized?
TRAI
Sets rates
Enforces Universal Service Obligation
Weak in terms of enforcement power
Packed with retired bureaucrats rather than
other sector experts
94. Courts step in when Bureaucracy Fails
Bureaucracy (& legislature) fail to regulate or
enforce pollution laws effectively
Normally, since pollution costs are diffused
over society, collective action problems would
have prevented public opposition
But courts have allowed individuals to file
Public Interest Litigations (PILs) on behalf of
an affected public: judicial innovation!
Has led to courts having more impact on
pollution control than legislature or executive
E.g., forced Delhi government to act on CNG
95. Role of Judicial Process
Courts have admitted cases under
Article 21 (Right to Life) (MC Mehta‘s
PILs)
Courts have:
Invoked ―polluter pays‖ principle
Given a clear market signal that polluting
activities of industry will not be tolerated
96. Limitations
PIL-based litigation seems to depend
on individual judges and their
propensity to be activists
Judicial intervention is too often too
late and many cases are dismissed as
the damaging actions have already
occurred and can‘t be overturned
easily.