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BENEFIT/COST ANALYSIS
AND
PUBLIC SECTOR ECONOMICS
Chapter 9
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1/12/2024 2
BENEFIT/COST RATIO
• The benefit/cost ratio (B/C) is an economic analysis technique used commonly, especially by
governmental agencies. In its purest form, the numerator B consists of economic
consequences to the people (benefits and disbenefits), while the denominator C consists of
consequences to the government (costs and savings).
• The units in the calculation can be present worth, annual worth or future worth dollars; they
have to be the same in the numerator and denominator.
• A B/C ratio > 1 indicates that the project is economically attractive.
• If disbenefits are involved, they are subtracted from the benefits; if government savings are
involved, they are subtracted from the costs.
1/12/2024 3
OBJECTIVE
• The benefit/cost (B/C) ratio was developed, in part, to introduce objectivity into
the economic analysis of public sector evaluation to reduce the effects of politics
and special interests.
• However, there is always predictable disagreement among individuals and groups
about how the benefits of an alternative are defined and economically valued.
• The different formats of B/C analysis and associated disbenefits of an alternative,
are discussed in Chapter 9.
• The B/C analysis can use equivalency computations based on PW, AW or FW
values.
• Performed correctly, the benefit/cost method will always select the same
alternative as PW, AW, and FW analyses.
1/12/2024 4
PUBLIC SECTOR PROJECTS (EXAMPLES)
• Hospitals and clinics
• Transportation: highways, bridges,
waterways, airports
• Parks and recreation
• Utilities: water, electricity, gas, sewer,
sanitation
• Police and fire protection
• Courts and prisons
• Sports arenas
• Emergency relief
• Schools: primary, secondary,
Community colleges, universities
• Food stamp and rent relief
programs
• Job training
• Economic development
• Public housing
• Convention centers
• Codes and standards
1/12/2024 5
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Characteristic Public Private
Size of Investment Large Small, medium, large
Life Longer (30 – 50+ years) Shorter (2 – 25 years)
Annual CF No profit Profit-driven
Funding Taxes, fees, bonds, etc. Stocks, bonds, loans, etc.
Interest rate Lower Higher
Selection criteria Multiple criteria Primarily ROR
Environment of evaluation Politically inclined Economic
PUBLIC SECTOR PROJECTS
To perform an economic analysis of public alternatives, the costs (initial and annual),
the benefits, and the disbenefits must be estimated as accurately as possible in
monetary units.
• Costs - estimated expenditures to the government entity for construction,
operation, and maintenance of the project, less any expected salvage value.
• Benefits - advantages experienced by the owners (the public).
• Disbenefits - expected undesirable or negative consequences to the owners if the
alternative is implemented. Disbenefits may be indirect economic disadvantages
of the alternative.
• The following is important to realize: It is difficult to estimate and agree upon the
economic impact of benefits and disbenefits for a public sector alternative.
1/12/2024 7
VIEWPOINTS
• There are often public meetings and debates associated with public sector
projects to accommodate the various interests of citizens (owners). Elected
officials commonly assist with the selection, especially when pressured by voters,
developers and environmentalists.
• The selection process is not as “clean” as in private sector evaluation.
• The viewpoint of the public sector analysis must be determined before cost,
benefit and disbenefit estimates are made and before the evaluation is formulated
and performed.
• There are several viewpoints for any situation, and the different perspectives may
alter how a cash flow estimate is classified.
1/12/2024 8
1/12/2024 9
Water Treatment Facility
IDENTIFY THREE DIFFERENT VIEWPOINTS FOR THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
OF THE PROPOSAL, AND CLASSIFY THE ESTIMATES.
IDENTIFY THREE DIFFERENT VIEWPOINTS FOR THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSAL
AND CLASSIFY THE ESTIMATES.
1/12/2024 10
Consultant defined two viewpoints: a citizen of Allen and the Allen Water Utilities budget.
He wants to identify each of the estimates as a cost, benefit, or disbenefit from each viewpoint.
B/C ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE PROJECT
• All cost and benefit estimates must be converted to a common equivalent
monetary unit (PW, AW or FW) at the discount rate (interest rate). The B/C ratio is
then calculated using one of these relations:
1/12/2024 11
If B/C >1.0, accept the project as economically acceptable for the
estimates and discount rate applied.
If B/C < 1.0, the project is not economically acceptable.
B/C RATIO
1/12/2024 12
 The modified B/C ratio includes maintenance and operation (M&O) costs in the numerator and treats
them in a manner similar to disbenefits.
 The denominator includes only the initial investment. Once all amounts are expressed in PW, AW or
FW terms, the modified B/C ratio is calculated as
Conventional – most commonly used
It makes no difference which approach is used; the ratio values will differ.
But, the same absolute (accept/reject) decision will be the same
SIGN CONVENTIONS
1/12/2024 13
Revenues are assigned (+) signs
Costs are assigned (+) signs
Salvage values are subtracted from costs
Disbenefit values are subtracted from benefits or
Disbenefit values are added to costs
Either approach will result in a consistent analysis – but be consistent through out an analysis
• The Ford Foundation expects to award $15 million in grants to public high schools
to develop new ways to teach the fundamentals of engineering that prepare
students for university-level material.
• The grants will extend over a 10-year period and will create an estimated savings
of $1.5 million per year in faculty salaries and student-related expenses.
• The Foundation uses a rate of return of 6% per year on all grant awards.
• This grant program will share Foundation funding with ongoing activities, so an
estimated $200,000 per year will be removed from other program funding.
• To make this program successful, a $500,000 per year operating cost will be
incurred from the regular M&O budget.
• Use the B/C method to determine if the grant program is economically justified.
1/12/2024 14
15
The project is also not justified by the modified B/C method, as expected. For the (B - C) model, B is the net benefit, and the annual M&O cost is
included with costs.
B -C = (1,500,000 - 200,000) - (2,038,050 + 500,000) = - $1.24 million
Since (B - C) < 0, the program is not justified.
BENEFIT AND COST DIFFERENCE MEASURE OF
WORTH
• The benefit and cost difference measure of worth does not involve a ratio, and is based on
the difference between the PW, AW or FW of benefits and costs (B – C).
• If (B - C) > 0, the project is acceptable. This method has the advantage of eliminating the
discrepancies noted when disbenefits are regarded as costs, because B represents net
benefits. For the numbers 10, 8 and 8 the same result is obtained regardless of how
disbenefits are treated.
• Subtracting disbenefits from benefits: B - C = (10 - 8) - 8 = -6
• Adding disbenefits to costs: B - C = 10 - (8 + 8) = -6
• If the numbers 10, 8 and 8 are used to represent the PW of benefits, disbenefits and costs,
respectively, the correct procedure results in B/C = (10 - 8)/8 = 0.25.
• The incorrect placement of disbenefits in the denominator results in B/C =10/(8 + 8)
=0.625, more than twice the correct B/C value of 0.25.
• Clearly, then, the method affects the magnitude of the B/C ratio.
1/12/2024 16
Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project
A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million
with an annual maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life.
Reduced flood damage is expected to amount to $175,000 per year.
Lost income to farmers is estimated to be $25,000 per year.
At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the project be undertaken?
Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project
A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million
with an annual maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life.
Reduced flood damage is expected to amount to $175,000 per year.
Lost income to farmers is estimated to be $25,000 per year.
At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the project be undertaken?
9-18
B = $175,000
Solution: Express all values in AW terms and find B/C ratio
D = $25,000
C = 1,400,000(A/P,6%,10) + $40,000 = $230,218 B/C = (175,000 – 25,000)/230,218
= 0.65 < 1.0
Do not build project
COMPARING ME ALTERNATIVES
• Alt 1 Alt 2
• B 6 8
• C 2 3
• B/C 3 2.6
• B2-B1 2/1 = 2
C2-C1
1/12/2024 19
Incremental B/C Analysis
so, Alt 2 is better
ALTERNATIVE SELECTION USING INCREMENTAL B/C ANALYSIS
• Follow these steps to correctly perform a conventional B/C ratio analysis of two
alternatives. Equivalent values can be expressed in PW, AW or FW terms.
• 1. Determine the total equivalent costs for both alternatives.
• 2. Order the alternatives by total equivalent cost; smaller first, then larger.
Calculate the incremental cost (∆C) for the larger-cost alternative. This is the
denominator in B/C.
• 3. Calculate the total equivalent benefits and any disbenefits estimated for both
alternatives. Calculate the incremental benefits (∆ B) for the larger cost
alternative. (This is ∆(B - D) if disbenefits are considered.)
• 4. Calculate the incremental B/C ratio using Equation [9.2], (B - D)/C.
• 5. Use the selection guideline to select the higher-cost alternative if B/C >1.0.
1/12/2024 20
9-21
Alternative Selection Using
Incremental B/C Analysis – Two
or More ME Alternatives
(1) Determine equivalent total cost for each alternative
(2) Order alternatives by increasing total cost
(3) Identify B and D for each alternative, if given, or go to step 5
(4) Calculate B/C for each alternative and eliminate all with B/C < 1.0
(5) Determine incremental costs and benefits for first two alternatives
(6) Calculate ∆B/C; if >1.0, higher cost alternative becomes defender
(7) Repeat steps 5 and 6 until only one alternative remains
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
Follow these steps to correctly perform a conventional B/C ratio analysis of two alternatives. Equivalent
values can be expressed in PW, AW or FW terms.
EXAMPLE: INDEPENDENT PROJECTS
Compare two alternatives using i = 10% and B/C ratio
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000
Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000
Life, years 10 20
Solution: First, calculate equivalent total cost
AW of costsX = 320,000(A/P,10%,10) + 45,000 = $97,080
AW of costsY = 540,000(A/P,10%,20) + 35,000 = $98,428
Order of analysis is X, then Y
X vs. DN: (B-D)/C = (110,000 – 20,000) / 97,080 = 0.93 Eliminate X
Y vs. DN: (150,000 – 45,000) / 98,428 = 1.07 Eliminate DN
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-22
EXAMPLE: ∆B/C ANALYSIS; ME PROJECTS
Must select one of two alternatives using i = 10% and ∆B/C ratio
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000
Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000
Life, years 10 20
Solution: Must select X or Y; DN not an option, compare Y to X
AW of costsX = $97,080 AW of costsY = $98,428
Incremental values: ∆B = 150,000 – 110,000 = $40,000
∆D = 45,000 – 20,000 = $25,000
∆C = 98,428 – 97,080 = $1,348
Y vs. X: (∆B - ∆D) / ∆C = (40,000 – 25,000) / 1,348 = 11.1 Eliminate X
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-23
• A city in Florida has received designs for a new patient room wing to the municipal
hospital from two architectural consultants. One of the two designs must be
accepted to announce it for construction bids. The costs and benefits are the same
in most categories, but the city financial manager decided that the three estimates
should be considered to determine which design to recommend at the city council
meeting next week and to present to the public in preparation for an upcoming
bond referendum next month.
• The patient usage cost is an estimate of the amount paid by patients over the
insurance, the building is estimated at 30 years. i=5%
1/12/2024 24
• When the two designs were publicized, another hospital lodged a complaint that
design A will reduce its income by an estimated $500,000 per year; some of the
day-surgery features of design A duplicate its services.
• Subsequently, the merchants’ association argued that design B could reduce its
annual revenue by an estimated $400,000; it will eliminate an entire parking lot
used by their patrons for short-term parking.
• The city financial manager stated that these concerns would be entered into the
evaluation as disbenefits of the respective designs.
1/12/2024 25
1/12/2024 26
Use B/C ratio analysis to select design A or B. Most of the cash flows are already annualized, so the incremental B/C
ratio uses AW values. No disbenefit estimates are considered.
1/12/2024 27
1/12/2024 28
Redo the B/C analysis to determine if the economic decision is still the same as when disbenefits were not
considered.
INCREMENTAL B/C ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE ALTERNATIVES
• Choose the largest-cost alternative that is justified with an incremental B/C > 1.0
when this selected alternative has been compared with another justified
alternative.
1/12/2024 29
• The Economic Development Corporation (EDC) for the city of Bahia, California, and Moderna County is operated as a not-for-
profit corporation. It is seeking a developer that will place a major water park in the city or county area. Financial incentives
will be awarded. In response to a request for proposal (RFP) to the major water park developers in the country, four proposals
have been received. Larger and more intricate water rides and increased size of the park will attract more customers,
therefore, different levels of initial incentives are requested in the proposals. One of these proposals will be accepted by the
EDC and recommended to the Bahia City Council and Modern County Board of Trustees for approval.
• Approved and in-place economic incentive guidelines allow entertainment industry prospects to receive up to $500,000 cash
as a first-year incentive award and 10% of this amount each year for 8 years in property tax reduction. All the proposals meet
the requirements for these two incentives. Each proposal includes a provision that residents of the city or county will benefit
from reduced entrance (usage) fees when using the park. This fee reduction will be in effect as long as the property tax
reduction incentive continues. The EDC has estimated the annual total entrance fees with the reduction included for local
residents. Also, EDC estimated the extra sales tax revenue expected for the four park designs. These estimates and the costs
for the initial incentive and annual 10% tax reduction are summarized in Table 9–1.
1/12/2024 30
SOLUTION
• The discount rate used by the EDC is 7% per year.
• Can the current incentive guidelines be used to accept the winning proposal?
• The viewpoint taken for the economic analysis is that of a county resident.
• The first-year cash incentives and annual tax reduction incentives are real costs to the residents.
• Benefits are derived from two components: the decreased entrance fee estimates and the increased sales tax receipts. These will benefit each citizen indirectly
through the increase in money available to those who use the park and through the city and county budgets where sales tax receipts are deposited. Since these
benefits must be calculated indirectly from these two components, the initial proposal B/C values cannot be calculated to initially eliminate any proposals. A B/C
analysis incrementally comparing two alternatives at a time must be conducted.
• Equivalent AW values are used for benefit and cost amounts per year. Since the benefits must be derived indirectly from the entrance fee estimates and sales tax
receipts, step 4 is not used.
• 1. For each alternative, the capital recovery amount over 8 years is determined and added to the annual property tax incentive cost.
1/12/2024 31
Perform an incremental B/C study to determine which park proposal is the best economically.
1/12/2024
32
• 2. The alternatives are ordered by the AW of total costs in Table 9–1.
• 3. The annual benefit of an alternative is the incremental benefit of the entrance fees and sales tax amounts. These are calculated in step 5.
• 4. This step is not used.
• 5. Table 9–1 shows incremental costs calculated by Equation [9.4]. For the 2-to-1 comparison,
∆C = $93,614 - 66,867 = $26,747
• Incremental benefits for an alternative are the sum of the resident entrance fees compared to those of the next-lower-cost alternative, plus the increase in sales tax
receipts over those of the next-lower-cost alternative. The benefits are determined incrementally for each pair of alternatives. For example, when proposal #2 is
compared to proposal #1, the resident entrance fees decrease by $50,000 per year and the sales tax receipts increase by $10,000. Then the total benefit is the sum of
these, that is,
B = $60,000 per year.
• 6. For the 2-to-1 comparison, Equation [9.7] results in B/C = $60,000 / $26,747 = 2.24
• Alternative #2 is incrementally justified. Alternative #1 is eliminated, and alternative #3 is now compared to #2.
• 7. This process is repeated for the 3-to-2 comparison that has an incremental B/C of 0.62 because the incremental benefits are substantially less than the increase in
costs.
• Therefore, proposal #3 is eliminated, and the 4-to-2 comparison results in
B/C = $220,000 / $120,360 = 1.83
• Since B/C > 1.0, proposal #4 is retained and selected.
• The recommendation for proposal #4 requires an initial incentive of $800,000 that exceeds the $500,000 limit of the approved incentive limits. The EDC will have to
request the City Council and County Trustees to grant an exception to the guidelines. If the exception is not approved, proposal #2 is accepted.
1/12/2024 33
For proposal #1,
AW of total costs = initial incentive (A/P, 7%, 8) + tax cost = $250,000 (A/P, 7%, 8) + 25,000 = $66,867
SUMMARY
• The benefit/cost method is used primarily to evaluate projects and to select from alternatives in
the public sector. When comparing mutually exclusive alternatives, the incremental B/C ratio
must be greater than or equal to 1.0 for the incremental equivalent total cost to be
economically justified.
• The PW, AW or FW of the initial costs and estimated benefits can be used to perform an
incremental B/C analysis.
• If alternative lives are unequal, the AW values should be used, provided the assumption of
project repetition is not unreasonable.
• For independent projects, no incremental B/C analysis is necessary. All projects with B/C > 1.0
are selected provided there is no budget limitation.
• Public sector economics are substantially different from those of the private sector. For public
sector projects, the initial costs are usually large, the expected life is long (25, 35 or more years),
and the sources for capital are usually a combination of taxes levied on the public, user fees,
bond issues and private lenders. It is very difficult to make accurate estimates of benefits for a
public sector project. The interest rates, called the discount rates in the public sector, are lower
than those for corporate capital financing.
1/12/2024 34

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Ch9-Lecture 2018 (2).ppt

  • 3. BENEFIT/COST RATIO • The benefit/cost ratio (B/C) is an economic analysis technique used commonly, especially by governmental agencies. In its purest form, the numerator B consists of economic consequences to the people (benefits and disbenefits), while the denominator C consists of consequences to the government (costs and savings). • The units in the calculation can be present worth, annual worth or future worth dollars; they have to be the same in the numerator and denominator. • A B/C ratio > 1 indicates that the project is economically attractive. • If disbenefits are involved, they are subtracted from the benefits; if government savings are involved, they are subtracted from the costs. 1/12/2024 3
  • 4. OBJECTIVE • The benefit/cost (B/C) ratio was developed, in part, to introduce objectivity into the economic analysis of public sector evaluation to reduce the effects of politics and special interests. • However, there is always predictable disagreement among individuals and groups about how the benefits of an alternative are defined and economically valued. • The different formats of B/C analysis and associated disbenefits of an alternative, are discussed in Chapter 9. • The B/C analysis can use equivalency computations based on PW, AW or FW values. • Performed correctly, the benefit/cost method will always select the same alternative as PW, AW, and FW analyses. 1/12/2024 4
  • 5. PUBLIC SECTOR PROJECTS (EXAMPLES) • Hospitals and clinics • Transportation: highways, bridges, waterways, airports • Parks and recreation • Utilities: water, electricity, gas, sewer, sanitation • Police and fire protection • Courts and prisons • Sports arenas • Emergency relief • Schools: primary, secondary, Community colleges, universities • Food stamp and rent relief programs • Job training • Economic development • Public housing • Convention centers • Codes and standards 1/12/2024 5
  • 6. 1/12/2024 6 Characteristic Public Private Size of Investment Large Small, medium, large Life Longer (30 – 50+ years) Shorter (2 – 25 years) Annual CF No profit Profit-driven Funding Taxes, fees, bonds, etc. Stocks, bonds, loans, etc. Interest rate Lower Higher Selection criteria Multiple criteria Primarily ROR Environment of evaluation Politically inclined Economic
  • 7. PUBLIC SECTOR PROJECTS To perform an economic analysis of public alternatives, the costs (initial and annual), the benefits, and the disbenefits must be estimated as accurately as possible in monetary units. • Costs - estimated expenditures to the government entity for construction, operation, and maintenance of the project, less any expected salvage value. • Benefits - advantages experienced by the owners (the public). • Disbenefits - expected undesirable or negative consequences to the owners if the alternative is implemented. Disbenefits may be indirect economic disadvantages of the alternative. • The following is important to realize: It is difficult to estimate and agree upon the economic impact of benefits and disbenefits for a public sector alternative. 1/12/2024 7
  • 8. VIEWPOINTS • There are often public meetings and debates associated with public sector projects to accommodate the various interests of citizens (owners). Elected officials commonly assist with the selection, especially when pressured by voters, developers and environmentalists. • The selection process is not as “clean” as in private sector evaluation. • The viewpoint of the public sector analysis must be determined before cost, benefit and disbenefit estimates are made and before the evaluation is formulated and performed. • There are several viewpoints for any situation, and the different perspectives may alter how a cash flow estimate is classified. 1/12/2024 8
  • 9. 1/12/2024 9 Water Treatment Facility IDENTIFY THREE DIFFERENT VIEWPOINTS FOR THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSAL, AND CLASSIFY THE ESTIMATES.
  • 10. IDENTIFY THREE DIFFERENT VIEWPOINTS FOR THE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF THE PROPOSAL AND CLASSIFY THE ESTIMATES. 1/12/2024 10 Consultant defined two viewpoints: a citizen of Allen and the Allen Water Utilities budget. He wants to identify each of the estimates as a cost, benefit, or disbenefit from each viewpoint.
  • 11. B/C ANALYSIS OF A SINGLE PROJECT • All cost and benefit estimates must be converted to a common equivalent monetary unit (PW, AW or FW) at the discount rate (interest rate). The B/C ratio is then calculated using one of these relations: 1/12/2024 11 If B/C >1.0, accept the project as economically acceptable for the estimates and discount rate applied. If B/C < 1.0, the project is not economically acceptable.
  • 12. B/C RATIO 1/12/2024 12  The modified B/C ratio includes maintenance and operation (M&O) costs in the numerator and treats them in a manner similar to disbenefits.  The denominator includes only the initial investment. Once all amounts are expressed in PW, AW or FW terms, the modified B/C ratio is calculated as Conventional – most commonly used It makes no difference which approach is used; the ratio values will differ. But, the same absolute (accept/reject) decision will be the same
  • 13. SIGN CONVENTIONS 1/12/2024 13 Revenues are assigned (+) signs Costs are assigned (+) signs Salvage values are subtracted from costs Disbenefit values are subtracted from benefits or Disbenefit values are added to costs Either approach will result in a consistent analysis – but be consistent through out an analysis
  • 14. • The Ford Foundation expects to award $15 million in grants to public high schools to develop new ways to teach the fundamentals of engineering that prepare students for university-level material. • The grants will extend over a 10-year period and will create an estimated savings of $1.5 million per year in faculty salaries and student-related expenses. • The Foundation uses a rate of return of 6% per year on all grant awards. • This grant program will share Foundation funding with ongoing activities, so an estimated $200,000 per year will be removed from other program funding. • To make this program successful, a $500,000 per year operating cost will be incurred from the regular M&O budget. • Use the B/C method to determine if the grant program is economically justified. 1/12/2024 14
  • 15. 15 The project is also not justified by the modified B/C method, as expected. For the (B - C) model, B is the net benefit, and the annual M&O cost is included with costs. B -C = (1,500,000 - 200,000) - (2,038,050 + 500,000) = - $1.24 million Since (B - C) < 0, the program is not justified.
  • 16. BENEFIT AND COST DIFFERENCE MEASURE OF WORTH • The benefit and cost difference measure of worth does not involve a ratio, and is based on the difference between the PW, AW or FW of benefits and costs (B – C). • If (B - C) > 0, the project is acceptable. This method has the advantage of eliminating the discrepancies noted when disbenefits are regarded as costs, because B represents net benefits. For the numbers 10, 8 and 8 the same result is obtained regardless of how disbenefits are treated. • Subtracting disbenefits from benefits: B - C = (10 - 8) - 8 = -6 • Adding disbenefits to costs: B - C = 10 - (8 + 8) = -6 • If the numbers 10, 8 and 8 are used to represent the PW of benefits, disbenefits and costs, respectively, the correct procedure results in B/C = (10 - 8)/8 = 0.25. • The incorrect placement of disbenefits in the denominator results in B/C =10/(8 + 8) =0.625, more than twice the correct B/C value of 0.25. • Clearly, then, the method affects the magnitude of the B/C ratio. 1/12/2024 16
  • 17. Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million with an annual maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life. Reduced flood damage is expected to amount to $175,000 per year. Lost income to farmers is estimated to be $25,000 per year. At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the project be undertaken?
  • 18. Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million with an annual maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life. Reduced flood damage is expected to amount to $175,000 per year. Lost income to farmers is estimated to be $25,000 per year. At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the project be undertaken? 9-18 B = $175,000 Solution: Express all values in AW terms and find B/C ratio D = $25,000 C = 1,400,000(A/P,6%,10) + $40,000 = $230,218 B/C = (175,000 – 25,000)/230,218 = 0.65 < 1.0 Do not build project
  • 19. COMPARING ME ALTERNATIVES • Alt 1 Alt 2 • B 6 8 • C 2 3 • B/C 3 2.6 • B2-B1 2/1 = 2 C2-C1 1/12/2024 19 Incremental B/C Analysis so, Alt 2 is better
  • 20. ALTERNATIVE SELECTION USING INCREMENTAL B/C ANALYSIS • Follow these steps to correctly perform a conventional B/C ratio analysis of two alternatives. Equivalent values can be expressed in PW, AW or FW terms. • 1. Determine the total equivalent costs for both alternatives. • 2. Order the alternatives by total equivalent cost; smaller first, then larger. Calculate the incremental cost (∆C) for the larger-cost alternative. This is the denominator in B/C. • 3. Calculate the total equivalent benefits and any disbenefits estimated for both alternatives. Calculate the incremental benefits (∆ B) for the larger cost alternative. (This is ∆(B - D) if disbenefits are considered.) • 4. Calculate the incremental B/C ratio using Equation [9.2], (B - D)/C. • 5. Use the selection guideline to select the higher-cost alternative if B/C >1.0. 1/12/2024 20
  • 21. 9-21 Alternative Selection Using Incremental B/C Analysis – Two or More ME Alternatives (1) Determine equivalent total cost for each alternative (2) Order alternatives by increasing total cost (3) Identify B and D for each alternative, if given, or go to step 5 (4) Calculate B/C for each alternative and eliminate all with B/C < 1.0 (5) Determine incremental costs and benefits for first two alternatives (6) Calculate ∆B/C; if >1.0, higher cost alternative becomes defender (7) Repeat steps 5 and 6 until only one alternative remains © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved Follow these steps to correctly perform a conventional B/C ratio analysis of two alternatives. Equivalent values can be expressed in PW, AW or FW terms.
  • 22. EXAMPLE: INDEPENDENT PROJECTS Compare two alternatives using i = 10% and B/C ratio Alternative X Y First cost, $ 320,000 540,000 M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000 Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000 Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000 Life, years 10 20 Solution: First, calculate equivalent total cost AW of costsX = 320,000(A/P,10%,10) + 45,000 = $97,080 AW of costsY = 540,000(A/P,10%,20) + 35,000 = $98,428 Order of analysis is X, then Y X vs. DN: (B-D)/C = (110,000 – 20,000) / 97,080 = 0.93 Eliminate X Y vs. DN: (150,000 – 45,000) / 98,428 = 1.07 Eliminate DN © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved 9-22
  • 23. EXAMPLE: ∆B/C ANALYSIS; ME PROJECTS Must select one of two alternatives using i = 10% and ∆B/C ratio Alternative X Y First cost, $ 320,000 540,000 M&O costs, $/year 45,000 35,000 Benefits, $/year 110,000 150,000 Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000 Life, years 10 20 Solution: Must select X or Y; DN not an option, compare Y to X AW of costsX = $97,080 AW of costsY = $98,428 Incremental values: ∆B = 150,000 – 110,000 = $40,000 ∆D = 45,000 – 20,000 = $25,000 ∆C = 98,428 – 97,080 = $1,348 Y vs. X: (∆B - ∆D) / ∆C = (40,000 – 25,000) / 1,348 = 11.1 Eliminate X © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved 9-23
  • 24. • A city in Florida has received designs for a new patient room wing to the municipal hospital from two architectural consultants. One of the two designs must be accepted to announce it for construction bids. The costs and benefits are the same in most categories, but the city financial manager decided that the three estimates should be considered to determine which design to recommend at the city council meeting next week and to present to the public in preparation for an upcoming bond referendum next month. • The patient usage cost is an estimate of the amount paid by patients over the insurance, the building is estimated at 30 years. i=5% 1/12/2024 24
  • 25. • When the two designs were publicized, another hospital lodged a complaint that design A will reduce its income by an estimated $500,000 per year; some of the day-surgery features of design A duplicate its services. • Subsequently, the merchants’ association argued that design B could reduce its annual revenue by an estimated $400,000; it will eliminate an entire parking lot used by their patrons for short-term parking. • The city financial manager stated that these concerns would be entered into the evaluation as disbenefits of the respective designs. 1/12/2024 25
  • 27. Use B/C ratio analysis to select design A or B. Most of the cash flows are already annualized, so the incremental B/C ratio uses AW values. No disbenefit estimates are considered. 1/12/2024 27
  • 28. 1/12/2024 28 Redo the B/C analysis to determine if the economic decision is still the same as when disbenefits were not considered.
  • 29. INCREMENTAL B/C ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE ALTERNATIVES • Choose the largest-cost alternative that is justified with an incremental B/C > 1.0 when this selected alternative has been compared with another justified alternative. 1/12/2024 29
  • 30. • The Economic Development Corporation (EDC) for the city of Bahia, California, and Moderna County is operated as a not-for- profit corporation. It is seeking a developer that will place a major water park in the city or county area. Financial incentives will be awarded. In response to a request for proposal (RFP) to the major water park developers in the country, four proposals have been received. Larger and more intricate water rides and increased size of the park will attract more customers, therefore, different levels of initial incentives are requested in the proposals. One of these proposals will be accepted by the EDC and recommended to the Bahia City Council and Modern County Board of Trustees for approval. • Approved and in-place economic incentive guidelines allow entertainment industry prospects to receive up to $500,000 cash as a first-year incentive award and 10% of this amount each year for 8 years in property tax reduction. All the proposals meet the requirements for these two incentives. Each proposal includes a provision that residents of the city or county will benefit from reduced entrance (usage) fees when using the park. This fee reduction will be in effect as long as the property tax reduction incentive continues. The EDC has estimated the annual total entrance fees with the reduction included for local residents. Also, EDC estimated the extra sales tax revenue expected for the four park designs. These estimates and the costs for the initial incentive and annual 10% tax reduction are summarized in Table 9–1. 1/12/2024 30
  • 31. SOLUTION • The discount rate used by the EDC is 7% per year. • Can the current incentive guidelines be used to accept the winning proposal? • The viewpoint taken for the economic analysis is that of a county resident. • The first-year cash incentives and annual tax reduction incentives are real costs to the residents. • Benefits are derived from two components: the decreased entrance fee estimates and the increased sales tax receipts. These will benefit each citizen indirectly through the increase in money available to those who use the park and through the city and county budgets where sales tax receipts are deposited. Since these benefits must be calculated indirectly from these two components, the initial proposal B/C values cannot be calculated to initially eliminate any proposals. A B/C analysis incrementally comparing two alternatives at a time must be conducted. • Equivalent AW values are used for benefit and cost amounts per year. Since the benefits must be derived indirectly from the entrance fee estimates and sales tax receipts, step 4 is not used. • 1. For each alternative, the capital recovery amount over 8 years is determined and added to the annual property tax incentive cost. 1/12/2024 31
  • 32. Perform an incremental B/C study to determine which park proposal is the best economically. 1/12/2024 32
  • 33. • 2. The alternatives are ordered by the AW of total costs in Table 9–1. • 3. The annual benefit of an alternative is the incremental benefit of the entrance fees and sales tax amounts. These are calculated in step 5. • 4. This step is not used. • 5. Table 9–1 shows incremental costs calculated by Equation [9.4]. For the 2-to-1 comparison, ∆C = $93,614 - 66,867 = $26,747 • Incremental benefits for an alternative are the sum of the resident entrance fees compared to those of the next-lower-cost alternative, plus the increase in sales tax receipts over those of the next-lower-cost alternative. The benefits are determined incrementally for each pair of alternatives. For example, when proposal #2 is compared to proposal #1, the resident entrance fees decrease by $50,000 per year and the sales tax receipts increase by $10,000. Then the total benefit is the sum of these, that is, B = $60,000 per year. • 6. For the 2-to-1 comparison, Equation [9.7] results in B/C = $60,000 / $26,747 = 2.24 • Alternative #2 is incrementally justified. Alternative #1 is eliminated, and alternative #3 is now compared to #2. • 7. This process is repeated for the 3-to-2 comparison that has an incremental B/C of 0.62 because the incremental benefits are substantially less than the increase in costs. • Therefore, proposal #3 is eliminated, and the 4-to-2 comparison results in B/C = $220,000 / $120,360 = 1.83 • Since B/C > 1.0, proposal #4 is retained and selected. • The recommendation for proposal #4 requires an initial incentive of $800,000 that exceeds the $500,000 limit of the approved incentive limits. The EDC will have to request the City Council and County Trustees to grant an exception to the guidelines. If the exception is not approved, proposal #2 is accepted. 1/12/2024 33 For proposal #1, AW of total costs = initial incentive (A/P, 7%, 8) + tax cost = $250,000 (A/P, 7%, 8) + 25,000 = $66,867
  • 34. SUMMARY • The benefit/cost method is used primarily to evaluate projects and to select from alternatives in the public sector. When comparing mutually exclusive alternatives, the incremental B/C ratio must be greater than or equal to 1.0 for the incremental equivalent total cost to be economically justified. • The PW, AW or FW of the initial costs and estimated benefits can be used to perform an incremental B/C analysis. • If alternative lives are unequal, the AW values should be used, provided the assumption of project repetition is not unreasonable. • For independent projects, no incremental B/C analysis is necessary. All projects with B/C > 1.0 are selected provided there is no budget limitation. • Public sector economics are substantially different from those of the private sector. For public sector projects, the initial costs are usually large, the expected life is long (25, 35 or more years), and the sources for capital are usually a combination of taxes levied on the public, user fees, bond issues and private lenders. It is very difficult to make accurate estimates of benefits for a public sector project. The interest rates, called the discount rates in the public sector, are lower than those for corporate capital financing. 1/12/2024 34