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WE ARE  DIFFERENT  Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC and are Not deposits, Not insured by FDIC or any governmental agency, Not guaranteed by the financial institution, Subject to risk, May lose value Raymond James Financial Services Inc. is independent of Christopher Financial Group
“ Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence”  John Adams
Who we are With our personalized approach to wealth planning, accumulation and preservation. Your dreams take effort and energy, leaving little time for wealth management. We can take that responsibility off your hands while helping you achieve your goals. ,[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Portfolio Management Thomas V Christopher
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],&
Independence is... in·de·pen·dent Function: adjective Date: 1611 (1) :not subject to control by others  (2) : not affiliated with a larger controlling unit Webster’s dictionary defines
[object Object]
- Accumulate wealth I am most often asked how to: - Preserve your wealth - Minimize your taxes
How  effective  has the  mainstream  approach been at accomplishing  your  goals ?
* source  www.standerdandpoors.com   **past performance is not assurance of future  results. The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, such that upon sale, an investor may lose their principal.  The Standard  & Poor’s index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size.  you can not invest directly in any index. The S & P 500 experienced almost  uninterrupted  growth  1/1/1990 – 03/01/2000 THE UPSIDE ,[object Object],Huge expansion in the number of individual stockholders ,[object Object]
January, 1990 March, 2000 S&P 500 Index The Standard  & Poor’s index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size.
The Downside   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Average loss of  47.4%
*  The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly S&P 500 Index March, 2000 October, 2002
The Results ,[object Object],[object Object],*returns calculated on a monthly compounding schedule  ** no investment strategy can protect against losses or assure profits ***the  market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, such that upon sale an investor may lose principal
[object Object],82  months to break even @  10%  investment return per year* Let’s talk about “Buy and Hold” 161  months to break even @  5%  investment return per year* ,[object Object],[object Object],*returns calculated on a monthly compounding schedule  ** no investment strategy can protect against losses or assure profits ***the  market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, such that upon sale an investor may lose principal
[object Object],[object Object],The Upside ,[object Object],102%   Return* ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
* The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly **Past Performance is no assurance for future results.  The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal S&P 500 Index October 9th 2002 March 9th 2007
“ It’s deja vu all over again” Yogi Berra
The downside ,[object Object],Dow Jones Industrial Average Index loses   57% NASDAQ 100 Index loses   52% S&P 500 Index loses   57% ,[object Object],Average loss of   56.78%   ,[object Object]
* The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly **Past Performance is no assurance for future results.  The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal S&P 500 Index March, 2007 October, 2009
When the next correction happens will you be ready? ,[object Object],[object Object]
How does the mainstream explain what happened?
[object Object],John F Kennedy
From the home office The top 5 myths from mainstream advisors 5) Buy and Hold.  You have to experience the downs to experience the ups in the market 4)The Market is “On Sale” we should buy more 3) “I only diversify my portfolio I won’t get hurt” 2) “I only buy Blue Chip Stocks, I won’t get hurt” 1) “It was the Perfect storm, it was a once in a lifetime event.  It will not happen again” *Asset allocation and diversification provide no protection from loss. **Past performance is no assurance for future results.  ***The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal.  ****No investment strategy can protect against losses or assure profits.
Reality: Bear Markets Hurt!!! In 47 of 79 years (60% of the time) people have been putting their own money back in their pocket.  All new growth occurred in just 40% of the time period.  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Average time lost making up a bear market loss: 60 months (including last bear #15) ,[object Object],*Source:  www.standardandpoors.com ** The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly
“ Those who cannot remember the past are doomed to repeat it” George Santayana
Lets look at some Statistics
Sobering facts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Source: Dorsey Wright and Associates:  www.dorseywright.com * *Performance data does not include reinvested dividend distributions*
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Source: Dorsey Wright and Associates:  www.dorseywright.com * *Performance data does not include reinvested dividend distributions* The Dow is an unmanaged index and can not be invested in directly.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],the Standard & Poor’s stock index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly
How does the  mainstream deal with Bear markets?
“ A buy-side  bias ”  –  Arthur Levitt, former SEC Commissioner *  From the Wall Street Journal “Point of View: Analysis through Rose-Colored Glasses” 10/21/1990 ,[object Object],They have  No “sell-side” discipline   Don’t want to issue “sell” recommendations on their biggest client’s stocks because… Incentive to support investment banking business by selling stocks their brokerage house has underwritten  Stock salesmen have an incentive to sell proprietary products Such In-house mutual funds
How do real fee-based advisors handle Bear Markets?
[object Object],-If it happens again, what is your plan to seek preservation for my assets from a fall....   Remember It has happened 16 times in the last 80 years! ,[object Object],-Experience, process-based systems, and total independence from investment banking bias - Never Ever  let income  tax  avoidance dictate risk management or override principal preservation -
[object Object]
How We Manage Risk -Trend Based Technical Analysis -Trailing Stop Losses -Investment Selection with Strict  Position Sizing
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What is Fundamental Analysis? What is Technical Analysis? © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 What is Technical Analysis?
Supply and Demand ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],© Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009
What is Trend Following? Trend following From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia In finance trend following is an investment strategy that tries to take advantage of long-term moves that seem to play out various markets.  The system aims to work on the market trend mechanism and take benefit from both sides of the market enjoying the profits from the ups and downs of the stock or futures markets. Traders who use this approach can use current market price calculation, moving averages and channel breakouts to determine the general direction of the market and to generate trade signals. Traders who subscribe to a trend following strategy do not aim to forecast or predict specific price levels; they simply jump on the trend and ride it.
Original point and figure chart circa 1800’s Charles Dow
Point & Figure Basics X’s = Price is rising O’s = Price is falling Alternate columns of X’s and O’s Minimum of 3 X’s or O’s in a column Time = First action in month use number. (1 for January, etc.) Use daily high & low for charting price action. © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source:  www.dorseywright.com
© Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source:  www.dorseywright.com
Citigroup (C) © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Did the fundamental analysts learn from the 2000-2002 Technology Bubble? The following is a quote from the February 9 th  New York Times article, “Why Analysts Keep Telling Investors to Buy”  “ At the top of the market, they urged investors to buy or hold onto  about 95 percent of the time. When stocks stumbled, they stayed optimistic. Even in November, when credit froze, the economy stalled and financial markets tumbled to their lowest levels in a decade, analysts as a group rarely said sell. “ Chart Source:  www.dorseywright.com
© Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source:  www.dorseywright.com
© Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source:  www.dorseywright.com
Trend Following  Technical Analysis can be used for: -Common stocks -Mutual funds -Exchange traded funds
Our Investment Selection and  Position Sizing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A complex stop-loss order in which the stop is set at some fixed percentage below the market price. If the market price rises, the stop loss price rises proportionately, but if the stock price falls, the stop loss price doesn't change. This technique allows an us to set a limit on the maximum possible loss without setting a limit on the maximum possible gain. A trailing stop helps preserve profits while providing downside management.  We employ trailing stop losses set between 7% and 10% of the last high close. Example- XYZ is purchased for $55 per share. Stop loss is set at $51.15  Trailing Stop Losses
Summary “ Buy and Hold” Does not work! “ Blue Chips” Did not work “ I Only Diversify” Does not work What works?  Trend Following Technical Analysis  Trailing Stop Losses Investment Selection with  strict Position Sizing
How we keep you organized
 
Your updated financial status is automatically integrated into your comprehensive financial and estate plan, continuously providing you with a meaningful, up-to-date analysis. We give you the ability to organize all your advisors and assets and consolidate them in the same place at the same time. Imagine a single platform through which all your financial matters may be managed. Your assets. Your private documents. Your financial and estate plan. Your retirement and cash flow models.
Thank you! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(610)897-2698 This presentation is the intellectual property of Christopher Financial Group LLC/Thomas Christopher any use or reproduction in any part is strictly prohibited.
the information contained in this presentation does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material.  the information has been obtained from the sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete.  any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation.  any opinions are those of CFG and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James.  expression of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice.  investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors.  past performance may not be indicative of future results.  you should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional.  inclusion of all indexes is for illustrative purposes only.  keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction  costs and fees, which will affect actual investment  performance.  individual investor’s results will vary.  past performance does not guarantee future results.

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CFG Core Strategies

  • 1. WE ARE DIFFERENT Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services Inc. Member FINRA/SIPC and are Not deposits, Not insured by FDIC or any governmental agency, Not guaranteed by the financial institution, Subject to risk, May lose value Raymond James Financial Services Inc. is independent of Christopher Financial Group
  • 2. “ Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence” John Adams
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Independence is... in·de·pen·dent Function: adjective Date: 1611 (1) :not subject to control by others (2) : not affiliated with a larger controlling unit Webster’s dictionary defines
  • 7.
  • 8. - Accumulate wealth I am most often asked how to: - Preserve your wealth - Minimize your taxes
  • 9. How effective has the mainstream approach been at accomplishing your goals ?
  • 10.
  • 11. January, 1990 March, 2000 S&P 500 Index The Standard & Poor’s index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size.
  • 12.
  • 13. * The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly S&P 500 Index March, 2000 October, 2002
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. * The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly **Past Performance is no assurance for future results. The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal S&P 500 Index October 9th 2002 March 9th 2007
  • 18. “ It’s deja vu all over again” Yogi Berra
  • 19.
  • 20. * The Standard & Poor’s Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged index generally representative of the U.S. stock market without regard for company size and cannot be invested in directly **Past Performance is no assurance for future results. The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal S&P 500 Index March, 2007 October, 2009
  • 21.
  • 22. How does the mainstream explain what happened?
  • 23.
  • 24. From the home office The top 5 myths from mainstream advisors 5) Buy and Hold. You have to experience the downs to experience the ups in the market 4)The Market is “On Sale” we should buy more 3) “I only diversify my portfolio I won’t get hurt” 2) “I only buy Blue Chip Stocks, I won’t get hurt” 1) “It was the Perfect storm, it was a once in a lifetime event. It will not happen again” *Asset allocation and diversification provide no protection from loss. **Past performance is no assurance for future results. ***The market for all securities is subject to fluctuation, including possible loss of principal. ****No investment strategy can protect against losses or assure profits.
  • 25.
  • 26. “ Those who cannot remember the past are doomed to repeat it” George Santayana
  • 27. Lets look at some Statistics
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  • 31.
  • 32. How does the mainstream deal with Bear markets?
  • 33.
  • 34. How do real fee-based advisors handle Bear Markets?
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37. How We Manage Risk -Trend Based Technical Analysis -Trailing Stop Losses -Investment Selection with Strict Position Sizing
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. What is Trend Following? Trend following From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia In finance trend following is an investment strategy that tries to take advantage of long-term moves that seem to play out various markets. The system aims to work on the market trend mechanism and take benefit from both sides of the market enjoying the profits from the ups and downs of the stock or futures markets. Traders who use this approach can use current market price calculation, moving averages and channel breakouts to determine the general direction of the market and to generate trade signals. Traders who subscribe to a trend following strategy do not aim to forecast or predict specific price levels; they simply jump on the trend and ride it.
  • 41. Original point and figure chart circa 1800’s Charles Dow
  • 42. Point & Figure Basics X’s = Price is rising O’s = Price is falling Alternate columns of X’s and O’s Minimum of 3 X’s or O’s in a column Time = First action in month use number. (1 for January, etc.) Use daily high & low for charting price action. © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source: www.dorseywright.com
  • 43. © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source: www.dorseywright.com
  • 44. Citigroup (C) © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Did the fundamental analysts learn from the 2000-2002 Technology Bubble? The following is a quote from the February 9 th New York Times article, “Why Analysts Keep Telling Investors to Buy” “ At the top of the market, they urged investors to buy or hold onto about 95 percent of the time. When stocks stumbled, they stayed optimistic. Even in November, when credit froze, the economy stalled and financial markets tumbled to their lowest levels in a decade, analysts as a group rarely said sell. “ Chart Source: www.dorseywright.com
  • 45. © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source: www.dorseywright.com
  • 46. © Dorsey, Wright & Associates 2009 Chart Source: www.dorseywright.com
  • 47. Trend Following Technical Analysis can be used for: -Common stocks -Mutual funds -Exchange traded funds
  • 48.
  • 49. A complex stop-loss order in which the stop is set at some fixed percentage below the market price. If the market price rises, the stop loss price rises proportionately, but if the stock price falls, the stop loss price doesn't change. This technique allows an us to set a limit on the maximum possible loss without setting a limit on the maximum possible gain. A trailing stop helps preserve profits while providing downside management. We employ trailing stop losses set between 7% and 10% of the last high close. Example- XYZ is purchased for $55 per share. Stop loss is set at $51.15 Trailing Stop Losses
  • 50. Summary “ Buy and Hold” Does not work! “ Blue Chips” Did not work “ I Only Diversify” Does not work What works? Trend Following Technical Analysis Trailing Stop Losses Investment Selection with strict Position Sizing
  • 51. How we keep you organized
  • 52.  
  • 53. Your updated financial status is automatically integrated into your comprehensive financial and estate plan, continuously providing you with a meaningful, up-to-date analysis. We give you the ability to organize all your advisors and assets and consolidate them in the same place at the same time. Imagine a single platform through which all your financial matters may be managed. Your assets. Your private documents. Your financial and estate plan. Your retirement and cash flow models.
  • 54.
  • 55. the information contained in this presentation does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. the information has been obtained from the sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. any information is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation. any opinions are those of CFG and not necessarily those of RJFS or Raymond James. expression of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. investments mentioned may not be suitable for all investors. past performance may not be indicative of future results. you should discuss any tax or legal matters with the appropriate professional. inclusion of all indexes is for illustrative purposes only. keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs and fees, which will affect actual investment performance. individual investor’s results will vary. past performance does not guarantee future results.