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Building business resilience
in the Nordic region




CDP Nordic 260 Climate Change Report 2012
On behalf of 655 investors
with assets of US$ 78 trillion




Scoring Partner




                                            1
Contents

                                                                                            “Nordea periodically
                                                                                            undertakes climate
                                                                                            footprinting of its
                                                                                            portfolios using data
                                                                                            produced via CDP.
                                                                                            This is carried out as
                                                                                            an indicator of the
                                                                                            carbon sensitivity of
                                                                                            its investments.”

                                                                                            Nordea




     CEO Foreword – Paul Simpson, CDP                                                                                                               3
     Guest Foreword – Dr. Janez Potočnik, European Commission                                                                                       4
     Executive Summary                                                                                                                              5
     CDP Investor Signatories 2012                                                                                                                  6
     Investor Perspective                                                                                                                           7
     Key Themes of 2012 Responses                                                                                                                   8
     Responses, Scores and Leaders                                                                                                                  12
     2012 Scoring Commentary                                                                                                                        14
     Key Statistics                                                                                                                                 15
     Appendix                                                                                                                                       18




    Important Notice                                                                     its contributors is based on their judgment at the time of this report and are
    The contents of this report may be used by anyone providing acknowledgement          subject to change without notice due to economic, political, industry and firm-
    is given to Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP). This does not represent a license       specific factors. Guest commentaries where included in this report reflect the
    to repackage or resell any of the data reported to CDP or the contributing           views of their respective authors; their inclusion is not an endorsement of them.
    authors and presented in this report. If you intend to repackage or resell any of
    the contents of this report, you need to obtain express permission from CDP          CDP and its contributors, their affiliated member firms or companies, or their
    before doing so.                                                                     respective shareholders, members, partners, principals, directors, officers
                                                                                         and/or employees, may have a position in the securities of the companies
    CDP has prepared the data and analysis in this report based on responses             discussed herein. The securities of the companies mentioned in this document
    to the CDP 2012 information request. No representation or warranty (express          may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries, nor suitable for all types
    or implied) is given by CDP or any of its contributors as to the accuracy or         of investors; their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be
    completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report. You           adversely affected by exchange rates.
    should not act upon the information contained in this publication without
    obtaining specific professional advice. To the extent permitted by law, CDP          ‘Carbon Disclosure Project’ and ‘CDP’ refer to Carbon Disclosure Project,
    and its contributors do not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty   a United Kingdom company limited by guarantee, registered as a United
    of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to          Kingdom charity, number 1122330.
    act, in reliance on the information contained in this report or for any decision
2   based on it. All information and views expressed herein by CDP and any of            © 2012 Carbon Disclosure Project. All rights reserved.
CEO Foreword

                                                                                                      “CDP has pioneered
                                                                                                      the only global
                                                                                                      system that collects
                                                                                                      information about
                                                                                                      corporate behaviour
                                                                                                      on climate change
                                                                                                      and water scarcity,
                                                                                                      on behalf of market
                                                                                                      forces, including
                                                                                                      shareholders
                                                                                                      and purchasing
                                                                                                      corporations.”




The pressure is growing for companies to build long-term            CDP has pioneered the only global system that collects
resilience in their business. The unprecedented debt crisis         information about corporate behaviour on climate change
that has hit many parts of the world has sparked a growing          and water scarcity, on behalf of market forces, including
understanding that short-termism can bring an established           shareholders and purchasing corporations. CDP works to
economic system to breaking point. As some national                 accelerate action on climate change through disclosure and
economies have been brought to their knees in recent                more recently through its Carbon Action program. In 2012, on
months, we are reminded that nature’s system is under threat        behalf of its Carbon Action signatory investors CDP engaged
through the depletion of the world’s finite natural resources       205 companies in the Global 500 to request they set an
and the rise of greenhouse gas emissions.                           emissions reduction target; 61 of these companies have now
                                                                    done so.
Business and economies globally have already been
impacted by the increased frequency and severity of extreme         CDP continues to evolve and respond to market needs. This
weather events, which scientists are increasingly linking to        year we announced that the Global Canopy Programme’s
climate change1. Bad harvests due to unusual weather have           Forest Footprint Disclosure Project will merge with CDP over
this year rocked the agricultural industry, with the price of       the next two years. Bringing forests, which are critically linked
grain, corn and soybeans reaching an all time high. Last year,      to both climate and water security, into the CDP system will
Intel lost $1 billion in revenue and the Japanese automotive        enable companies and investors to rely on one source of
industry were expected to lose around $450 million of profits       primary data for this set of interrelated issues.
as a result of the business interruption floods caused to their
Thailand-based suppliers.                                           Accounting for and valuing the world’s natural capital is
                                                                    fundamental to building economic stability and prosperity.
It is vital that we internalize the costs of future environmental   Companies that work to decouple greenhouse gas emissions
damage into today’s decisions by putting an effective price         from financial returns have the potential for both short and
on carbon. Whilst regulation is slow, a growing number of           long-term cost savings, sustainable revenue generation and
jurisdictions have introduced carbon pricing with carbon taxes      a more resilient future.
or cap-and-trade schemes. The most established remains the
EU Emissions Trading Scheme but moves have also been made
in Australia, California, China and South Korea among others.
                                                                    Paul Simpson
Enabling better decisions by providing investors, companies         CEO Carbon Disclosure Project
and governments with high quality information on how
                                                                    1: The State of the Climate in 2011 report, led by the National Oceano-graphic and
companies are managing their response to climate change             Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the US and published as part of the Bulletin of
and mitigating the risks from natural resource constraints has      the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)                                             3
never been more important.
Guest Foreword

                                                                                             “We need to promote
                                                                                             competitiveness,
                                                                                             prosperity and
                                                                                             quality of life within
                                                                                             the limits of our
                                                                                             planet.”




      Copyright: EU



    As the world struggles to exit from the financial and            leadership. We need to move from a short-term to a more
    economic turmoil, we must look ahead and focus not only          long-term vision that will help us see that there is a clear
    on jobs and growth, but also on the type of growth we            link between resource efficiency and increased profitability,
    want. We can no longer continue to ignore the severity           and improve on both.
    of debt in our natural capital. Environmental degradation
    is becoming more and more evident everywhere. The                Our most important resource is our natural capital and
    state of our oceans, soils, forests and biodiversity, and        the benefits that we draw from nature year after year.
    the impacts of climate change are just some of the               If we erode that capital for short-term gains, we are
    signs that we are beginning to see. This will have severe        simply gambling with our future. There will be no growth
    consequences not only on health and the environment but          in the future if it is not sustainable, if it is not resource
    also on the economy.                                             efficient. This is already necessary for our generation, but
                                                                     indispensable for the next.
    If we do not want resource scarcities and pressures to be
    a major constraint on growth in the near future, we need
    to promote competitiveness, prosperity and quality of life
    within the limits of our planet. This is why the European
    Commission places resource efficiency at the centre of its
    agenda for economic transformation. The objective is to          Dr Janez Potočnik
    achieve environmentally compatible growth, decoupling            European Commissioner for the Environment
    resource use from economic growth and reducing
    greenhouse gas emissions.

    The important impact of better resource efficiency on
    climate change is too often underestimated. This is why
    I welcome CDP’s vision to widen its scope to include
    natural capital and resources. It reflects an important
    change in the approach of corporations. Companies need
    stronger, more long-term price signals to produce returns
    on investment, and it is for public authorities to provide the
    right signals, incentives, direction and most importantly


4
Executive Summary

                                                                                         “Emissions reduction
                                                                                         measures continue
                                                                                         to generate high
                                                                                         and rapid returns on
                                                                                         investment.”




Incremental improvements                                        explicit target for reducing emissions. However, the great
The number of Nordic companies responding to the CDP            majority of these targets (with some notable exceptions) fall
questionnaire increased again in 2012. The quality of           short of the level of ambition needed to meet stated national
disclosure improved, as evidenced by both an increase in        and international goals for GHG emissions in the longer term.
average disclosure scores and a higher threshold for the        This suggests that large companies are likely to come under
Carbon Disclosure Leadership Index (CDLI). Even more            increased pressure – from consumers and stakeholders as
importantly, average CDP performance scores increased,          well as regulators – to cut emissions in future.
with improvements in all of the key performance indicators.
                                                                Managing risks
Slow progress on emissions reductions                           In a highly uncertain economic environment, GHG
Nordic companies’ greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions                emissions represent a source of risk that firms can
fell slightly in 2011 (the year covered by most CDP 2012        exercise at least a degree of control over. More stringent
responses), but by less than might have been expected           climate-related regulation and taxation is a material risk
given the slowdown in the economy. At most individual           for some companies in emissions-intensive sectors.
companies, emissions reduction activities outweighed the        Elsewhere, most firms cite regulatory risks as significant,
impact of any growth in output by individual companies.         although there are few indications that regulation might
Overall, however, this effect is largely cancelled out by       pose a serious threat to the business. In sectors with
rising output at a number of large emitters.                    limited exposure to regulation, reputational risks appear to
                                                                be a strong driver of efforts to control emissions.
High and rapid returns on investment
At the same time, emissions reduction measures continue         CDP responses provide some concrete indications of the
to generate high and rapid returns on investment. Of a          potential financial implications of failing to mitigate such
total of 490 measures disclosed, 248 are expected to            risks. Estimates from several companies suggest that a
pay off within three years, and 130 of these within one         moderate increase in the price of carbon would increase
year. This implies, on the one hand, a case for continued       total costs by around 1% or less – manageable perhaps,
investments even during a period of careful cost control.       though still sufficient to make a dent in profits or to justify
On the other hand, rapid pay-offs may be a sign that            emissions reduction programmes. While few companies
companies are focusing on low-hanging fruit, and that           attempt to quantify reputational risks, the available
there is scope for additional self-financing measures, albeit   assessments suggest that these may be substantially
with a longer investment horizon.                               higher. Several respondents use the word ‘devastating’,
                                                                while others point out that equity and brand values would
Low ambition on targets - some exceptions                       suffer directly if companies were not seen to be playing
Of a total of 145 respondents, 103 disclosed at least one       their part in addressing climate change.                          5
CDP Investor Signatories 2012
                                                                   KPA Pension                                                      PKA
                   Nordic CDP Investor Signatories 2012
                                                                   Landsorganisationen i Sverige                                    Pohjola Asset Management Ltd
                   Full list of signatories globally at https://
                                                                   LD Lønmodtagernes Dyrtidsfond                                    Sampension KP Livsforsikring A/S
                   www.cdproject.net/investorsignatories
                                                                   Mistra, Foundation for Strategic                                 Second Swedish National Pension Fund (AP2)
                                                                   Environmental Research                                           Seligson & Co Fund Management Plc
                   ATP Group                                       Mutual Insurance Company Pension-Fennia                          Seventh Swedish National Pension Fund (AP7)
                   BankInvest                                      Nativus Sustainable Investments                                  Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB AB)
                   DnB NOR ASA                                     Nordea Bank                                                      Storebrand ASA
                   Erik Penser Fondkommission                      Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM)                         Svenska Kyrkan, Church of Sweden
                   Evli Bank Plc                                   Nykredit                                                         Svenska Kyrkans Pensionskassa
                   FIM Asset Management Ltd                        OP Fund Management Company Ltd                                   Swedbank
                   First Swedish National Pension Fund (AP1)       Opplysningsvesenets fond (The                                    Terra Forvaltning AS
                   Folketrygdfondet                                Norwegian Church Endowment)                                      The Central Church Fund of Finland
                   Folksam                                         Pension Denmark                                                  The Local Government Pensions Institution
                   Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund (AP4)      Pension Fund for Danish Lawyers and                              Third Swedish National Pension Fund (AP3)
                   Gjensidige Forsikring                           Economists                                                       Tryg
                   Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company      Pensionsmyndigheten                                              Unionen
                   KLP Insurance                                   PFA Pension                                                      Unipension

         1                    CDP INVESTOR SIGNATORIES & ASSETS
                     1	       (US$ TRILLION) AGAINST TIME & Assets
                                CDP Investor Signatories                                                                            2	 2012 INVESTOR SIGNATORY
                     	          (US$ Trillion) against time                                                                         	Breakdown
         •                    Investor CDP Signatories
         • •	                 Investor CDP Signatory Assets
                                Investor CDP Signatories                                                                            259	 Asset Managers
           •	                   Investor CDP Signatory Assets                                                                       220	 Asset Owners
                                                                                                                                    143	Banks
                                                                                                                                    33	Insurance




                                                                                                                                    39+33+2242
                                  35    95   155    225    315     385    475     534    551    655                                 13	 Other
                                  4.5   10   21     31     41      57     55      64     71     78
                            700                                                                       80
                                                                                                                                                  5% 2%
                            600                                                                       70
                                                                                                                                                          39%
                                                                                                      60
    Number of Signatories




                            500
                                                                                                           Assets (US$ Trillions)




                                                                                                      50
                            400
                                                                                                      40
                            300                                                                                                       21%
                                                                                                      30
                            200
                                                                                                      20
                            100                                                                       10                                                     33%

                              0                                                                        0
                                  2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008           2009 2010 2011 2012

                     CDP Investor Members 2012                     CCLA                                                             Norges Bank Investment
                                                                   Daiwa Asset Management Co.                                       Management
                   Aegon                                           Ltd.                                                             PFA Pension
                   AKBANK T.A.Ş.                                   Generation Investment                                            Robeco
                   Allianz Global Investors                        Management                                                       Rockefeller & Co.
                   Aviva Investors                                 HSBC Holdings                                                    SAM Group
                   AXA Group                                       KLP                                                              Sampension KP Livsforsikring
                   Bank of America Merrill Lynch                   Legg Mason                                                       A/S
                   Bendigo and Adelaide Bank                       London Pension Fund Authority                                    Schroders
                   Blackrock                                       Mongeral Aegon Seguros e                                         Scottish Widows Investment
                   BP Investment Management                        Previdência S/A                                                  Partnership
                   California Public Employees                     Morgan Stanley                                                   SEB
                   Retirement System - CalPERS                     National Australia Bank                                          Sompo Japan Insurance Inc
                   California State Teachers                       NEI Investments                                                  Standard Chartered
                   Retirement Fund - CalSTRS                       Neuberger Berman                                                 TD Asset Management Inc. and
                   Calvert Asset Management                        Newton Investment Management                                     TDAM USA Inc.
                   Company                                         Ltd                                                              The RBS Group
6                  Catholic Super                                  Nordea Investment Management                                     The Wellcome Trust
Investor Perspective

                                                                                        “It will allow our
                                                                                        portfolio managers
                                                                                        to identify whether
                                                                                        companies are
                                                                                        meeting our
                                                                                        expectation
                                                                                        with regards to
                                                                                        climate change
                                                                                        risk management,
                                                                                        reporting, and
                                                                                        performance, and
                                                                                        compare data across
                                                                                        time, and across
                                                                                        relevant peers.”




What is NBIM’s policy on corporate climate risk                Which CDP data points are disseminated to NBIM’s
management?                                                    portfolio managers?
We expect portfolio companies to identify material risks,      We have produced a framework for assessing companies
define an optimal mitigation strategy and take action to       relative to climate change risk based on our own
implement that strategy. Companies should also have            weighting of individual CDP data points. The framework
a well-functioning governance structure for risk and be        considers indicators related to governance structure,
transparent in their interaction with policy-makers and        risk assessment, strategy implementation, reporting, and
regulators. They should disclose sufficient information        performance, each of which is linked to a CDP data point.
demonstrating an effective approach to climate change          For example, we review the companies’ own assessment
risk, including key performance indicators on greenhouse       of their exposure to various climate change risks, and the
gas emissions.                                                 actions they have taken to reduce their risk exposure.

How does NBIM use CDP data?                                    We also use CDP data to identify whether companies
NBIM uses CDP data as a source of company-level                have lines of reporting up to board level and whether
information on climate change risk for our portfolio           they disclose their position and political activities relative
managers. We are supportive of the standardised                to climate change regulation. We measure performance
questions and answers in the CDP Information Request,          by considering emissions reduction targets and tracking
as this helps us integrate CDP data with our internal data     whether greenhouse gas emission intensity is increasing
platforms in ways that we find beneficial. The growth in the   or decreasing, and whether emissions data have been
number of companies reporting to CDP means a greater           independently verified.
share of our global equities portfolio is covered each
successive year.                                               Christopher Wright
                                                               Senior Analyst at Norges Bank Investment Management
We are in the process of incorporating CDP data into           (NBIM)
our internal investment data platform. It will allow our
portfolio managers to identify whether companies are           NBIM manages the Norwegian Government Pension
meeting our expectation with regards to climate change         Fund Global which owns approximately 2% of European
risk management, reporting, and performance, and               equities.
compare data across time, and across relevant peers. In
turn, each portfolio manager can form an opinion about
the significance and relevance of the information for the
companies they cover.
                                                                                                                                7
Key Themes of 2012 Responses
    Cutting emissions in a period of economic uncertainty                                         GHG emissions in the Nordic region compared with
    With the world economy in a fragile state and the threat                                      international targets
    of renewed financial turmoil yet to recede, many large                                        Figure 1 shows actual total emissions data in the Nordic
    companies are seeking to bolster their resilience to                                          countries (1990–2010) from the European Environment
    negative shocks. Nordic 260 firms in particular, while                                        Agency alongside various international targets. The EU
    most of them are active globally, remain acutely aware                                        targets (in purple) reflect Denmark, Finland and Sweden’s
    of the precarious situation in their home markets – small,                                    contribution to meeting the EU objective of a 20% cut in
    open economies that are heavily dependent on exports,                                         emissions by 2020 (or 30% in the event of a satisfactory
    especially to the euro area.                                                                  global climate deal) together with Norway’s national
                                                                                                  commitment to a cut of 30% (or 40% in the event of a
    In turbulent times, executives might be tempted to                                            global deal).
    think they can afford to ease up in their efforts to cut
    greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, turning attention                                             The IPCC targets (green lines) represent the
    instead to more immediate concerns. Yet an analysis                                           Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (2007)
    of this year’s Nordic company responses to CDP’s                                              assessment that developed countries need to reduce
    questionnaire suggests that emissions reductions should                                       emissions by 80–95% by 2050 (compared with 1990) to
    remain high on the agenda, for three main reasons:                                            stand a reasonable chance of limiting further temperature
                                                                                                  increases to 2°C. The EU Commission in its proposed
    •	   Firstly, in a risky environment firms need to reduce                                     roadmap for a low-carbon economy by 2050 also targets
    	    their exposure to risk; if there are sources of risk that                                an 80% reduction in domestic emissions (i.e. actual
    	    they cannot control, it becomes all the more important                                   reductions in the EU, excluding offsets in third countries).
    	    to focus on those that they can, such as GHG                                             The lines show the constant annual percentage decrease
    	    emissions. The next section details the potential                                        that would be needed to meet these goals.
    	    financial implications of failing to mitigate such risks.

    •	   Secondly, an economic slowdown is unlikely to
    	    provide more than temporary relief from resource
    	    constraints. Current uncertainty does nothing to change
    	    the expectation that firms will, in the medium term,
    	    come under increased pressure from regulators,
    	    stakeholders and consumers.

    •	   Thirdly, efforts to control GHG emissions often generate
    	    a high and rapid return on investment. In other words,
    	    emissions reduction activities may pay for themselves
    	    – for example in the form of lower costs for energy or
    	    emissions allowances – even within the space of a few years.                                           3	 GHG emissions and international
                                                                                                                	targets for Denmark, Finland,
    Investors are naturally interested not only in the short                                                    	  Norway and Sweden combined
    term but also in companies’ longer-term exposure to risks
    and opportunities linked with climate change. While the                                                     •	          Emissions 1990–2010
    Nordic countries have subscribed to relatively ambitious                                                    •	          Kyoto 2012 target
    targets for reducing GHG emissions, it is far from clear                                                    •	          EU 2020 target
    that they are on track to meet these targets. This suggests                                                 •	          Tougher EU target if global deal
    – if the stated objectives of national governments and                                                      •	          IPCC -80% by 2050 (-3.89% per year)
    international organisations are seen as credible – that                                                     •	          IPCC -95% by 2050 (-7.16% per year)
    efforts will need to be stepped up.
                                                                                                                      350
                                                                                                  million tons CO2e




    For example, an 80% fall in domestic emissions over
                                                                                                                      300
    the period 1990–2050 (as shown in Figure 3) implies an
    average annual reduction of 3.9% for the Nordic countries
                                                                                                                      250
    as a whole. This may be on the high side for companies
    with substantial activities in countries where official                                                           200
    targets are less stringent. Nonetheless, most of the targets
    reported by Nordic 260 companies fall far short of this                                                           150
    level of ambition, although there are notable exceptions (a
    selection of which is shown in Table 1).                                                                          100


    Note: The ‘EU 2020’ target entails reductions from 2005 to 2020 of 21% for sectors subject                         50
    to the Emissions Trading System (ETS), and 20%, 16%, and 17% for non-ETS sectors in
    Denmark, Finland and Sweden respectively. For the ‘Tougher EU target if global deal’, these
    factors are converted to base year 1990 and scaled up accordingly.                                                 0
    Source: European Environment Agency for 1990–2010 emissions data (total GHG emissions                              1990      2000    2010    2020    2030     2040   2050
8   excluding LULUCF)
1	         Selected emissions reductions targets from among the more ambitious Nordic
	          260 company responses




                                                                                                                                    Share of Scope 1
                                                                                                                                    and 2 emissions
                                                               specification




                                                                                                                                                                               Annual rate
                                                                                                                                                       Timescale
Company




                                                                                                                                    covered
(Sector)




                                                               Target

 Electrolux (Consumer Discretionary)                            Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions by 28%                                    100%               2005–2012                4.6%
 Hafslund (Utilities)                                           Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions per MWh by 70% 90%                                           2010–2017                12.7–14.1%
 Kesko (Consumer Staples)                                       Reduce Scope 2 emissions by 57%                                      100%               2005–2016                7.3%
 Holmen (Materials)                                             Reduce Scope 1 emissions by 55%                                      100%               2005-2020                5.2%
                                                                                                                      2
 Norwegian Property (Financials)                                Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions per m of                                  90%                2011–2015                6.0–6.7%
                                                                property by 30%
 Novozymes (Materials)                                          Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions by 30%                                    100%               2007–2012                6.9%
 SEB (Financials)                                               Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 45%                                  100%               2008–2015                8.2%
 Storebrand (Financials)                                        Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 14%                                  77%                2010–2012                5.6–7.3%
 TDC (Telecommunications Services)                              Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 40%                                  100%               2010–2020                5.0%
 Tieto (Information Technology)                                 Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 40%                                  100%               2009–2013                12.0%

Note: Annual rate is calculated as the constant annual percentage reduction in absolute emissions needed to hit the target. In the case of intensity targets (emissions divided by some unit of
output), output is assumed to grow at a rate of 2%. Where targets cover less than 100% of Scope 1 + 2 emissions, non-targeted emissions are assumed to fall by between zero (lower rate)
and the same proportion as targeted emissions (higher rate).


Emissions
As reported in last year’s Nordic 260 report, Nordic
companies’ global emissions increased in 2010 as the
economy bounced back dramatically from a severe
recession. Emissions might have been expected to resume
a clear downward trend in 2011 as GDP growth slowed
down, both in the region itself and globally. However, it
is not clear that this has happened. Figure 4 compares                                                4	 Change in reported Scope 1
Scope 1 emissions in 2011 and 2010 for companies that                                                 	emissions 2010–2011
disclosed for both years. At first sight this suggests a 1%
increase in the total.

A closer look at the reasons given by firms suggests that
part of the increase is due to boundary changes (greater
                                                                                                                                                                        3.35
coverage of a firm’s activities in its emissions reporting,                                           3.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Percentage of total Scope 1 emissions in 2010




which is to be welcomed), while nearly all of the large                                               3.0
increase in the Materials sector can be attributed to Norsk
                                                                                                      2.5
Hydro’s acquisition of facilities in Brazil. Stripping out
these factors would mean a small reduction in total Scope                                             2.0

1 emissions.                                                                                          1.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.96
                                                                                                      1.0
Even so, CDP responses suggest that, in the aggregate,
                                                                                                                                                                                         TCOM


                                                                                                                                                                                                 UTIL
                                                                                                                              EGY




                                                                                                      0.5
                                                                                                                                                            IND
                                                                                                                                      FIN


                                                                                                                                                HC
                                                                                                              CD


                                                                                                                      CS




emissions reduction activities were once again largely                                                                                                             0
cancelled out by increased output. In most cases (63 out                                           0.0% -0.02 -0.02
                                                                                                                                    -0.09 -0.01                                     -0.02
                                                                                                                                                                   IT


                                                                                                                                                                        MAT




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Change
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Overall




of 81 firms that give at least one of these two reasons),                                                                                                -0.29
                                                                                                     -0.5                   -0.49
emissions reduction activities outweighed output growth.                                             -1.0
However, among the remaining 18 companies are a
                                                                                                     -1.5                                                                                       -1.45
number of large emitters, especially from the Industrials
sector.2 Higher emissions due to output growth at these
firms appears to have offset reduction efforts elsewhere.
2: The apparent discrepancy between this finding and the fall in reported emissions for the
Industrials sector in Figure 4 may be explained partly by significant net divestment, and partly
by some inconsistencies between reported emissions and the (often more approximate)                   Note: Based on the responses of 127 companies that disclosed Scope 1 emissions in both
reasons given for changes in emission.                                                                2012 and 2011. With a few exceptions, responses relate to the previous calendar year.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  9
Figure 5 shows the different types of emissions reductions    Emissions control as a risk management strategy
     initiatives that Nordic 260 companies are pursuing and        Firms face two main types of risk related to emissions
     the period within which firms expect to recoup their          falling under their control (that is, own emissions and to
     investments. At a time when it may make business sense        some extent those of suppliers and customers)3. Firstly,
     to delay expansions in productive capacity, resources         regulatory developments may affect the cost of carbon
     that might otherwise lie idle can be used to promote          allowances, energy, fuel or raw materials, with both
     improvements in energy and fuel efficiency or to design       direct and indirect effects on profitability. Secondly, the
     less carbon-intensive products and processes. Particularly    reputation of firms that are not seen by consumers and
     in the broad areas of energy efficiency, behavioural change   stakeholders to be playing their part in controlling GHG
     and transport, many initiatives are expected to pay for       emissions may be in danger, with negative implications for
     themselves within a year.                                     sales, profit margins, brand value and the cost of capital.

     The disclosure of high returns on investment and              CDP’s questionnaire asks companies not only to identify
     short payback times suggests that firms, perhaps              risks and opportunities but also to describe the potential
     understandably, are focusing on ‘low-hanging fruit’. Many     financial implications, the methods they use to manage
     say, for example, that the savings from energy efficiency     risks and the costs of such actions.
     programmes greatly outweigh the costs even after only
     a few years. This suggests that there must be scope for       As far as regulation is concerned, the greatest material
     additional energy-saving measures that would offer a          risks are borne by firms in sectors that are energy
     reasonable rate of return, albeit with a longer investment    intensive and/or depend directly on fossil fuels: Energy,
     horizon.                                                      Industrials (especially the Transportation industry group),
                                                                   Materials and Utilities. Most firms in these sectors cite
                                                                   concerns over emissions trading schemes, carbon taxes,
                                                                   international agreements and/or environmental regulation
     5	 Types of emission reduction initiatives
                                                                   in general, a common theme being the uncertainty over
     	and payback time
                                                                   the future of these arrangements.
     •	 <1 year
                                                                   Relatively few firms in these sectors disclose the full
     •	 1-3 years
                                                                   scale of potential risks (in some cases for stated reasons
     •	 >3 years
                                                                   of confidentiality), although there are some interesting
     •	Unspecified	
                                                                   indications. For example:
     Energy efficiency: processes
                                                                   •	 Stainless steel producer Outokumpu Oyj estimates a
                                                                      cost of €45 million due the EU Emissions Trading
     Behavioral change                                                System, assuming a price of €20 per metric ton of
                                                                      CO2e. The firm says that a €10 increase in the carbon
     Energy efficiency: building services                              price would mean an €18 million increase in costs
                                                                      (compared with sales of just over €5 billion and EBITDA
                                                                      of €80 million in 2011).
     Low carbon energy installation

                                                                   •	 Biotechnology company Novozymes A/S discloses that
     Transportation: use                                              energy and water account for around 10% of its costs.
                                                                      A price rise of 10% would raise costs by around
     Transportation: fleet                                             €5.4 million4. In response, the company invested
                                                                      €3.77 million in 2011 to reduce energy and water
                                                                      consumption, with an expected payback time of 1.7
     Other
                                                                      and 3 years respectively.

     Energy efficiency: building fabric                             •	 Electric utility Fortum Oyj estimates that an increase of
                                                                      €1 in the price of carbon leads to an increase of €0.70–
                                                                      0.80 in the price of electricity per MWh. Fortum sees
     Product design
                                                                      this as an opportunity since nuclear and renewables
                                                                      account for a substantial share of its generation
     Low carbon energy purchase                                       capacity, but the estimate may indicate the degree of
                                                                      risk faced by large consumers of electricity.
     Process emissions reductions
                                                                   Many firms in other sectors also cite fuel and energy
                                                                   taxes and caps on emissions as significant, though on
     Fugitive emissions reductions
                                                                   the whole manageable, risks. In Consumer Discretionary,
                                                                   Alma Media Corporation considers it very likely that fuel
     0          20            40           60   80   100     120   and energy prices will rise by 10–15% over the next five
10   Number of companies                                           years due to regulation. In Consumer Staples, food retailer
Kesko Corporation estimates that a €1 increase in the           Reputational risks are hard to quantify, so it is not
price of electricity (per MWh) increases its costs by some      surprising that few respondents are able to specify the
€750,000 (compared with sales of €9.46 billion in 2011).        potential financial impact. Nevertheless, the available
One concrete measure in response to this has been to            indications are that the potential consequences of a poor
install lids on 6.8 km of chest freezers at a cost of around    reputation may far outweigh those of tougher regulation.
€6.8 million, reducing consumption by 30–40% or around
20 GWh.                                                         For example:

Several respondents focus on the EU Emissions Trading           •	 Kesko Corporation’s increased electricity costs (see
System, perhaps because the availability of carbon price           above) appear minor in comparison with the impact that
forecasts makes risk assessment relatively straightforward         a failure to address climate concerns might have on its
(at least on paper). In Health Care, Coloplast A/S estimates       brand, which is valued at an estimated €344 million.
additional costs of €0.4–0.5 million based on a carbon             Likewise, Novozymes rates the cost of severe damage
price of ca. €25 per metric ton. In Industrials, Metso, a          to its reputation at over €13 million, and employs a
supplier of equipment to the Materials and Energy sectors          13-strong sustainability team to counter this risk.
among others, sees a potential cost increase of €2.3
million if it is included in the ETS, assuming a carbon         •	 Elevator maker Kone Oyj says the impact of a loss of
price of €15 per metric ton. In Materials, metals company          reputation could be severe, ‘even devastating’, which
Boliden Group is working on the basis of a ‘moderate’              is part of the reason why the company’s €82.5 million
risk scenario of €17–30 per metric ton. However, with the          R&D budget is squarely focused on energy-efficient
recent slump in the traded price of allowances (around €8          technology.
at the time of writing in September 2012), considerable
uncertainty remains over the future operation of ETS.           •	 Paper manufacturer SCA notes that 21% of its
Some respondents use forward contracts and other                   equity is held by investors who evaluate the company’s
financial instruments to manage the risk of short-term             sustainability performance, meaning that a failure to live
fluctuations.                                                      up to expectations would lead directly to downward
                                                                   pressure on the share price.
Firms in several sectors, particularly Consumer
Discretionary and Industrials, cite concerns with product       Consumer concerns over sustainability are reflected in
efficiency and product labelling regulations. The risk here     the sales figures of several respondents. UPM-Kymmene
involves a small probability of severe consequences:            Corporation, for instance, notes a 4–6% fall in demand in
products that fail to meet environmental and energy             the EU and the US for graphic papers (used for printing
efficiency standards might be excluded from the market,         reports, magazines, etc.) and discloses a cost of ca. €300
but firms report considerable efforts to manage this risk by    million for mill closures in 2011. Carbon footprinting and
staying ahead of regulatory requirements. The response          sustainable forest management are an important part of
of household appliance manufacturer Electrolux is typical:      the strategy for limiting the risks in this area.
failure to meet minimum efficiency performance standards
might cost the firm as much as 25–30% of sales of its           Perception is perhaps as important as reality when it
premium brands, but it devotes substantial resources            comes to reputation, and many respondents stress
to ensuring that this is ‘exceptionally unlikely’. Similarly,   communication as a key tool for risk management. But
heavy vehicle and engine manufacturer Scania invests 4%         communication on these matters must be transparent
of its sales in R&D, of which 60% is focused on engine          and reflect genuine activities; otherwise, as construction
transmission and fuel efficiency. It also employs two staff     company NCC points out, there is the equally serious risk
and five consultants at a cost approaching €500,000 in          of being exposed for ‘greenwashing’.
order to stay on top of EU legislation.
                                                                As noted, CDP Nordic responses show that many firms are
Overall, the Nordic 260 responses suggest that companies        already going beyond minimum regulatory requirements
in most sectors do not regard the risks from climate-           in their efforts to cut emissions and improve energy
related regulation as material in the sense that they           efficiency. At the same time, the question remains whether
might jeopardise the survival of the business. This may         collectively they are doing enough given the scale of the
be gleaned both from qualitative descriptions and from          challenge posed by climate change. Thus the reduction of
quantitative indications of financial risks where provided;     GHG emissions looks set to remain a key element in risk
as noted above, even firms in some of the more energy-          management strategies, helping firms both to reduce their
intensive sectors indicate that the risks from emissions        exposure to tighter regulation and to retain the benefits of
pricing, carbon taxes and so forth are manageable.              a good reputation.

Yet firms in sectors with limited exposure to climate
change regulation are also making substantial efforts
to reduce emissions, which suggests that they must              3: The CDP questionnaire also asks companies to report on physical risks associated with
                                                                climate change. While a firm’s own emissions have a negligible impact on these risks, they
be responding to other drivers. In particular, the most         are highly relevant for risk management in general, even in the Nordic region itself. Please
commonly cited driver of risks in the ‘other’ category          see last year’s CDP Nordic report for analysis of these risks.
                                                                4: Euro equivalents to figures in Danish krone (approximate where appropriate) are based on
(i.e. apart from regulatory and physical) is reputation.        conversion at the rate of DKK1 = €0.1343.                                                      11
Responses, Scores and Leaders
     Improvements in disclosure and performance                                                          scoring companies for disclosure and/or performance
     The number of Nordic companies responding to the CDP                                                enter the CDLI and the CPLI.
     information request increased again this year (56% in
     2012, 55% in 2011). This modest increase was achieved                                               The average disclosure score for all Nordic companies
     despite a large turnover in the Nordic 260 company                                                  increased to 69 in 2012 (64 in 2011, 60 in 2010). This
     sample in 20124 and masks more positive trends.                                                     indicates that the general quality and completeness of
     Fourteen companies responded for the first time and                                                 company responses has improved once again this year.
     voluntary responses were welcomed from a further seven
     companies which were not part of the Nordic 260 list.                                               There is also an improvement in performance scores
     Information on all these company responses can be found                                             and bands. The number of companies achieving a high
     in the Appendix.                                                                                    performance band (A, A- or B) is 23% (18% in 2011) and
                                                                                                         the average performance score increased 10 points from
     Each year, company responses are reviewed, analysed                                                 2011. These increases are despite a tightening of the
     and scored for the quality of disclosure and performance                                            scoring methodology for performance and changes to the
     on actions taken to mitigate climate change. The highest                                            thresholds for each band.



     2	        The Nordic 260 CDLI 2012




                                                                                                                                                                                  years in the CDLI
                                                                                                                                                               Disclosure Score




                                                                                                                                                                                                      Performance
                                                                                                                                                                                  Consecutive



                                                                                                                                                                                                      Band
      Sector                                                        Company Name
      Consumer Discretionary                                        Stockmann                                                                                     87               1                   B
                                                                    Electrolux                                                                                    86               2                   B
      Consumer Staples                                              Kesko                                                                                         88               2                   B
                                                                    Hakon Invest                                                                                  83               1                   C
      Financials                                                    Nordea Bank                                                                                   91               2                   B
      Health Care                                                   Novo Nordisk                                                                                  90               5                   B
      Industrials                                                   Metso                                                                                         97               1                   B
                                                                    Rockwool International                                                                        93               3                   B
                                                                    Finnair                                                                                       92               1                   B
                                                                    SAAB                                                                                          92               5                   B
                                                                    D/S NORDEN                                                                                    90               3                   B
                                                                    Kone                                                                                          90               2                   B
                                                                    Outotec                                                                                       87               4                   B
                                                                    Scania                                                                                        83               1                   C
      Information Technology                                        Nokia Group                                                                                   98               4                   A
                                                                    Tieto                                                                                         89               2                   B
                                                                    Atea                                                                                          86               2                   B
      Materials                                                     UPM-Kymmene                                                                                   98               4                   B
                                                                    Novozymes                                                                                     94               2                   B
                                                                    Holmen                                                                                        91               1                   A
                                                                    Boliden Group                                                                                 85               1                   B
                                                                    Outokumpu                                                                                     84               3                   B
                                                                    Stora Enso                                                                                    84               3                   B
                                                                    SCA                                                                                           84               3                   B
      Telecommunication Services                                    Elisa                                                                                         89               1                   B
      Utilities                                                     Fortum                                                                                        98               5                   B

     4: Turbulence on the stock exchange in late 2011 resulted in greater variation than usual in the list of companies included in the Nordic 260 this year
12   since the selection criteria for the Nordic 260 expansion is based on market capitalisation (17% of companies were replaced).
In order to enter the CDLI this year, companies needed a             “Holmen has a goal to produce
disclosure score of 83 or above (2011: 80). The average
disclosure score of the CDLI companies is 90 in 2012 (84 in
                                                                     renewable electricity to cover 67%
both 2011 and 2010). These two statistics suggest that the           of the electricity we consume by
quality of disclosure within the CDLI has increased this year.
                                                                     2020. In 2011 the production of
Many CDLI companies are demonstrating a long run of                  renewable electricity was 32%.”
consecutive years in the Nordic CDLI including three
companies which have featured in the CDLI for all of the
last 5 years (Fortum, Novo Nordisk and SAAB).                        Holmen
Geographically Finland is strongly over-represented
in the CDLI relative to the overall number of Finnish
companies in the Nordic 260 list. Indeed, Finland was
also over-represented in the Global 500 CDLI (largest
                                                                     “The Nokia Solar Charging
500 companies worldwide). Norway had the weakest                     Project’s goal is to answer
representation in the Nordic CDLI.
                                                                     fundamental questions about how
3	    The Nordic 260 CPLI 2012                                       we can charge mobile phones
                                                                     using the renewable energy of
                                               years in the CPLI




                                                                     solar power, and to find solutions
                                               Consecutive




                                                                     for people in parts of the world
                                                                     where you can’t just plug in to an
                              Company                                electricity network.”
 Sector                       Name
 Materials                    Holmen            1
 Information Technology       Nokia Group       1                    Nokia

The criteria to enter the CPLI were raised in 2012 and
companies now need to: achieve a performance score
of more than 85, score maximum performance points on
question 13.1a (absolute emissions performance), and
disclose and verify Scope 1 and 2 emissions. Nonetheless,
the number of companies achieving this top result
increased modestly from one to two in 2012.

Companies in the CPLI typically show a deeper
understanding of, and address more pro-actively, the
risks and opportunities presented by climate change.
They highlight good practices in reporting, governance,
verification and emissions reduction activities toward
climate change adaptation and mitigation.

More generally, Nordic responders demonstrated
improvements in all key performance statistics in 2012
and the number of companies providing verified/assured
data increased (see page 17).




                                                                   For further information on the CDLI and the CPLI and how
                                                                   scores are determined, please visit https://www.cdproject.
                                                                   net/guidance                                                 13
Scoring Commentary
     FirstCarbon Solutions, CDP’s scoring partner
     The majority of companies responding from the Nordic           Stakeholder Engagement and Verification
     region recognise the business case for evaluating,             A number of issues are included in this category, not the
     reporting and managing issues related to climate change.       least of which is whether companies publish their climate
     And of the 145 Nordic companies which submitted a              change policies and performance. Nordic respondents
     response to the CDP Investor questionnaire in 2012, more       scored well with over 74% publishing their policies or
     than 90% received a disclosure score of 50 or higher           performance in mainstream filings or other external
     which means they provided enough information to also be        communications. Respondents scored less favorably
     scored for performance.                                        on external verification of emissions data. Verification is
                                                                    important as it provides the added assurance that reported
     Findings across the various disclosure categories of           emissions are accurate. As such, there are significant
     questions provide some interesting insights into areas for     points available for emission verification. Verification
     further improvement.                                           proves challenging for most respondents yet 29% of
                                                                    Nordic companies provided verified data for Scope 1 and/
     Governance and Strategy                                        or Scope 2, matching all verification criteria and providing
     92% of Nordic companies include executive oversight in         valuable insight for investment communities.
     their climate management and while 57% of respondents
     indicate the use of incentives for management, only            Summary
     43% provide explanations about the types of incentive          In 2012 Nordic companies are demonstrating the value
     programs in use. Likewise, 68% of respondents indicate         of sustainability as well as the strategic importance of
     actively working on climate mitigation procedures and          addressing the effects of climate change in corporate
     integrating climate change into their strategy planning,       planning. With over 90% of the companies receiving a
     and only 29% provide sufficient details surrounding            performance band, the Nordic region has proven to score
     these initiatives to gain maximum points on this question.     well in 2012.
     Maximum points for governance and strategy are achieved
     with not only executive oversight and incentive programs       But achieving the maximum score and qualifying for the
     but with providing details for climate mitigation procedures   CDLI and CPLI should be the goal for any organisation
     and planning.                                                  submitting to the Carbon Disclosure Project. And it is
                                                                    clear that with some additional attention in the areas of
     Risk and Opportunities                                         transparency, participation in mitigation activities and
     Risks and opportunities posed a greater challenge for          emission verification, respondents will have a positive
     respondents than many other categories of questions.           impact on their disclosure and performance results. To
     As there are significant points available for these            score well in performance, it is particularly important to
     questions, respondents should be diligent to provide a full    actively measure, verify, manage and reduce emissions.
     assessment of their risks or opportunities by identifying
     the specific plans, projects, or actions related to the        FirstCarbon Solutions is available to assist companies to
     risk or opportunity identified. They should also clearly       improve in these important areas and offers a free 2012
     document the costs of the action(s) taken or the revenue       score feedback consultation to Nordic responders. This
     benefits expected from the plans, projects or measures         call will enable benchmarking and provide insights into the
     implemented. If, after a thorough evaluation, a company        strengths and weaknesses in the CDP response.
     determines that it does not have any such risks or
     opportunities then provision of a full description of the      Congratulations on 2012 and best of luck in 2013!
     evaluation indicates good risks management policy and is
     worth significant points.
                                                                      “In 2012 Nordic companies
     Emissions management and reporting
     Nordic respondents did an excellent job completing the
                                                                      are demonstrating the value
     questions regarding Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions                of sustainability as well as
     (96% & 95%, respectively). And results were nearly as
     good for Scope 3 emissions (with 88% describing at least
                                                                      the strategic importance of
     one source of Scope 3 emissions and 72% providing                addressing the effects of climate
     complete information on at least one type of Scope 3
     emission). This positively affected the disclosure scoring.
                                                                      change in corporate planning.”
     Disclosure scoring was generally weaker for the reporting
     of emissions by geography, businesses, or other breakout
     categories.

     Many companies did not disclose any emission reduction
     targets (18% reported only absolute targets, 39% reported
     only intensity targets and 12% reported both). This was an
     area of weakness for Nordic respondents in 2012 and a
     key area for improvement in 2013.
14
Key Statistics
148 companies responded to the CDP Investor request                                        Climate Change Reporting Framework
in 2012. Figure KS1 is based on all these companies,                                       The Climate Disclosure Standards Board (CDSB),
including those that reference a holding company’s                                         a special project of CDP, is an international
response. Analysis in the remainder of this report is based                                organization committed to the integration of
on 145 responses received by 1st July 2012 and does not                                    climate change-related information into mainstream
include companies that reference a holding company’s                                       corporate reporting. CDSB’s internationally accepted
response.                                                                                  Climate Change Reporting Framework is designed
                                                                                           for use by companies in making disclosures in, or
The number of companies disclosing Scope 1 or 2                                            linked to, their mainstream financial reports about the
emissions includes those that have disclosed their                                         risks and opportunities that climate change presents
emissions as zero. This is a change in approach from                                       to their strategy, financial performance and condition.
previous years.                                                                            Designed in line with the objectives of financial
                                                                                           reporting and rules on non-financial reporting, the
                                                                                           Climate Change Reporting Framework offers a
                                                                                           leading example of how to apply the principles of
                                                                                           integrated reporting with respect to reporting on
                                                                                           climate change.



KS1	 YEAR ON YEAR NUMBER OF COMPANIES                                                KS2	 PERCENTAGE RESPONSE RATE BY SECTOR
	    RESPONDING TO CDP PUBLICLY & PRIVATELY                                          	    FOR 2012


•	     Responding publicly to CDP                                                    •	Public	
•	     Responding privately to CDP                                                   •	 Not public	

2007
                    58             26                                                100

2008                                                                                                                                        0
                              74                    37                                80                                                    83
2009
                                                                                                                          7           13
                                        90                     38                                                               20
                                                                                      60                                  62
2010                                                                                         9                 16                     57             0
                                                                                                                     0                               50
                                              103                28                          47                                 47
                                                                                      40           0                 42
                                                                                                               40
2011                                                                                               35    7
                                                         122              22                             29
                                                                                      20
2012
                                                           125             23
                                                                                       0
                                                                                             CD


                                                                                                   CS




                                                                                                                     HC




                                                                                                                                IT




                                                                                                                                            TCOM
                                                                                                               FIN




                                                                                                                          IND
                                                                                                         EGY




                                                                                                                                      MAT




                                                                                                                                                     UTIL


0          30            60              90                120                 150




KS3	 YEAR ON YEAR NUMBER OF COMPANIES                                                KS4	 PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDING COMPANIES
	    DISCLOSING SCOPE 1 OR SCOPE 2 GHG                                               	    IN EACH SECTOR DISCLOSING SCOPE 1 OR
	EMISSIONS                                                                           	    SCOPE 2 GHG EMISSIONS


                                                                                     100
                                                                                            100   100   100               98                100    100
2012                                                                                                           96                     94
                                                                                                                     88
                                                                                      80
                                                                    140                                                         80


2011                                                                                  60


                                                                135
                                                                                      40

2010
                                                                                      20
                                                         124

                                                                                     0%
                                                                                             CD


                                                                                                  CS


                                                                                                        EGY


                                                                                                               FIN


                                                                                                                     HC


                                                                                                                          IND


                                                                                                                                IT


                                                                                                                                     MAT


                                                                                                                                            TCOM


                                                                                                                                                   UTIL




0          30         60                90                120                  150


                                                                                                                                                            15
KS5	 TOTAL SCOPE 1 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY                                     KS6	 TOTAL SCOPE 2 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY
     	    RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES                                             	    RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES
     	(MILLION tCO2e)                                                             	(MILLION tCO2e)

     2008                                                                         2008

                    74.3                                                                                                 17.6

     2009                                                                         2009

                                                    139.2                                                                                          27.2

     2010                                                                         2010

                                                           153.3                                                                           24.8

     2011                                                                         2011

                                                     144.2                                                                                        26.5

     2012                                                                         2012

                                                   135.9                                                                                    25.5
     0         50                    100                       150          200   0                   10                             20                   30


     KS7	 TOTAL SCOPE 1 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY                                     KS8	 TOTAL SCOPE 2 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY
     	    RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES                                             	    RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES
     	(MILLION tCO2e)                                                             	(MILLION tCO2e)
     •	Industrials                         •	 Consumer Staples                    •	Industrials                          •	 Consumer Staples
     •	Materials                           •	Telecommunication                    •	Materials                            •	Telecommunication
     •	Utilities                           •	Financials                           •	Utilities                            •	Financials
     •	Energy                              •	 Health Care                         •	Energy                               •	 Health Care
     •	Consumer                            •	Information                          •	Consumer                             •	Information
     	Discretionary                        	Technology                            	Discretionary                         	Technology

     0              50                                100                   150   0                   10                             20                   30
                                                                                                                      15.6




                                                                                                                                     4.8
                                                                                                                                           1.4
                                                                                                                                           1.0
                                                                                                                                           0.8
                                                                                                                                           0.6
                                                                                                                                           0.5
                                                                                                                                           0.4
                                                                                                                                           0.3
                                                                                                                                           0.2
                          58.5




                                            27.1




                                                            23.8



                                                                     20.2
                                                                     4.6
                                                                     0.9
                                                                     0.4
                                                                     0.1
                                                                     0.1
                                                                     0.06




     KS9	 NUMBER OF SCOPE 3 CATEGORIES REPORTED                                   KS10	 COMMONLY REPORTED SCOPE 3 CATEGORIES
     	    WITH EMISSIONS DATA                                                     	    (WITH EMISSIONS DATA PROVIDED)
     1                                     4                                      106	 Business travel                       17	 Waste generated in
     2                                     5+                                     30	 Downstream trans-                      	operations
     3                                                                            	    portation & distribution              13	 Fuel- and energy-
                                                                                  24	 Purchased goods &                      	   related activities
                                                                                  	services                                  10	 Use of sold products
                                                                                  23	 Employee commuting                     10	 Remaining scope 3
                                                                                  23	 Upstream transport                     	categories
                                                                                  	    & distribution

                                 7         48
                                                                                                                 10     106
                                                                                                           10
                      8
                                                                                                      13


                                                                                                17




                                                                                               23
               22



                                                                                                     23
                                                    35
                                                    35
                                                                                                                                30
                                                                                                                                30
                                                                                                                24
                                                                                                                10
16
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012
Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012

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Cdp nordic-260-climate-change-report-2012

  • 1. Building business resilience in the Nordic region CDP Nordic 260 Climate Change Report 2012 On behalf of 655 investors with assets of US$ 78 trillion Scoring Partner 1
  • 2. Contents “Nordea periodically undertakes climate footprinting of its portfolios using data produced via CDP. This is carried out as an indicator of the carbon sensitivity of its investments.” Nordea CEO Foreword – Paul Simpson, CDP 3 Guest Foreword – Dr. Janez Potočnik, European Commission 4 Executive Summary 5 CDP Investor Signatories 2012 6 Investor Perspective 7 Key Themes of 2012 Responses 8 Responses, Scores and Leaders 12 2012 Scoring Commentary 14 Key Statistics 15 Appendix 18 Important Notice its contributors is based on their judgment at the time of this report and are The contents of this report may be used by anyone providing acknowledgement subject to change without notice due to economic, political, industry and firm- is given to Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP). This does not represent a license specific factors. Guest commentaries where included in this report reflect the to repackage or resell any of the data reported to CDP or the contributing views of their respective authors; their inclusion is not an endorsement of them. authors and presented in this report. If you intend to repackage or resell any of the contents of this report, you need to obtain express permission from CDP CDP and its contributors, their affiliated member firms or companies, or their before doing so. respective shareholders, members, partners, principals, directors, officers and/or employees, may have a position in the securities of the companies CDP has prepared the data and analysis in this report based on responses discussed herein. The securities of the companies mentioned in this document to the CDP 2012 information request. No representation or warranty (express may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries, nor suitable for all types or implied) is given by CDP or any of its contributors as to the accuracy or of investors; their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report. You adversely affected by exchange rates. should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. To the extent permitted by law, CDP ‘Carbon Disclosure Project’ and ‘CDP’ refer to Carbon Disclosure Project, and its contributors do not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty a United Kingdom company limited by guarantee, registered as a United of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to Kingdom charity, number 1122330. act, in reliance on the information contained in this report or for any decision 2 based on it. All information and views expressed herein by CDP and any of © 2012 Carbon Disclosure Project. All rights reserved.
  • 3. CEO Foreword “CDP has pioneered the only global system that collects information about corporate behaviour on climate change and water scarcity, on behalf of market forces, including shareholders and purchasing corporations.” The pressure is growing for companies to build long-term CDP has pioneered the only global system that collects resilience in their business. The unprecedented debt crisis information about corporate behaviour on climate change that has hit many parts of the world has sparked a growing and water scarcity, on behalf of market forces, including understanding that short-termism can bring an established shareholders and purchasing corporations. CDP works to economic system to breaking point. As some national accelerate action on climate change through disclosure and economies have been brought to their knees in recent more recently through its Carbon Action program. In 2012, on months, we are reminded that nature’s system is under threat behalf of its Carbon Action signatory investors CDP engaged through the depletion of the world’s finite natural resources 205 companies in the Global 500 to request they set an and the rise of greenhouse gas emissions. emissions reduction target; 61 of these companies have now done so. Business and economies globally have already been impacted by the increased frequency and severity of extreme CDP continues to evolve and respond to market needs. This weather events, which scientists are increasingly linking to year we announced that the Global Canopy Programme’s climate change1. Bad harvests due to unusual weather have Forest Footprint Disclosure Project will merge with CDP over this year rocked the agricultural industry, with the price of the next two years. Bringing forests, which are critically linked grain, corn and soybeans reaching an all time high. Last year, to both climate and water security, into the CDP system will Intel lost $1 billion in revenue and the Japanese automotive enable companies and investors to rely on one source of industry were expected to lose around $450 million of profits primary data for this set of interrelated issues. as a result of the business interruption floods caused to their Thailand-based suppliers. Accounting for and valuing the world’s natural capital is fundamental to building economic stability and prosperity. It is vital that we internalize the costs of future environmental Companies that work to decouple greenhouse gas emissions damage into today’s decisions by putting an effective price from financial returns have the potential for both short and on carbon. Whilst regulation is slow, a growing number of long-term cost savings, sustainable revenue generation and jurisdictions have introduced carbon pricing with carbon taxes a more resilient future. or cap-and-trade schemes. The most established remains the EU Emissions Trading Scheme but moves have also been made in Australia, California, China and South Korea among others. Paul Simpson Enabling better decisions by providing investors, companies CEO Carbon Disclosure Project and governments with high quality information on how 1: The State of the Climate in 2011 report, led by the National Oceano-graphic and companies are managing their response to climate change Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the US and published as part of the Bulletin of and mitigating the risks from natural resource constraints has the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) 3 never been more important.
  • 4. Guest Foreword “We need to promote competitiveness, prosperity and quality of life within the limits of our planet.” Copyright: EU As the world struggles to exit from the financial and leadership. We need to move from a short-term to a more economic turmoil, we must look ahead and focus not only long-term vision that will help us see that there is a clear on jobs and growth, but also on the type of growth we link between resource efficiency and increased profitability, want. We can no longer continue to ignore the severity and improve on both. of debt in our natural capital. Environmental degradation is becoming more and more evident everywhere. The Our most important resource is our natural capital and state of our oceans, soils, forests and biodiversity, and the benefits that we draw from nature year after year. the impacts of climate change are just some of the If we erode that capital for short-term gains, we are signs that we are beginning to see. This will have severe simply gambling with our future. There will be no growth consequences not only on health and the environment but in the future if it is not sustainable, if it is not resource also on the economy. efficient. This is already necessary for our generation, but indispensable for the next. If we do not want resource scarcities and pressures to be a major constraint on growth in the near future, we need to promote competitiveness, prosperity and quality of life within the limits of our planet. This is why the European Commission places resource efficiency at the centre of its agenda for economic transformation. The objective is to Dr Janez Potočnik achieve environmentally compatible growth, decoupling European Commissioner for the Environment resource use from economic growth and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The important impact of better resource efficiency on climate change is too often underestimated. This is why I welcome CDP’s vision to widen its scope to include natural capital and resources. It reflects an important change in the approach of corporations. Companies need stronger, more long-term price signals to produce returns on investment, and it is for public authorities to provide the right signals, incentives, direction and most importantly 4
  • 5. Executive Summary “Emissions reduction measures continue to generate high and rapid returns on investment.” Incremental improvements explicit target for reducing emissions. However, the great The number of Nordic companies responding to the CDP majority of these targets (with some notable exceptions) fall questionnaire increased again in 2012. The quality of short of the level of ambition needed to meet stated national disclosure improved, as evidenced by both an increase in and international goals for GHG emissions in the longer term. average disclosure scores and a higher threshold for the This suggests that large companies are likely to come under Carbon Disclosure Leadership Index (CDLI). Even more increased pressure – from consumers and stakeholders as importantly, average CDP performance scores increased, well as regulators – to cut emissions in future. with improvements in all of the key performance indicators. Managing risks Slow progress on emissions reductions In a highly uncertain economic environment, GHG Nordic companies’ greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions emissions represent a source of risk that firms can fell slightly in 2011 (the year covered by most CDP 2012 exercise at least a degree of control over. More stringent responses), but by less than might have been expected climate-related regulation and taxation is a material risk given the slowdown in the economy. At most individual for some companies in emissions-intensive sectors. companies, emissions reduction activities outweighed the Elsewhere, most firms cite regulatory risks as significant, impact of any growth in output by individual companies. although there are few indications that regulation might Overall, however, this effect is largely cancelled out by pose a serious threat to the business. In sectors with rising output at a number of large emitters. limited exposure to regulation, reputational risks appear to be a strong driver of efforts to control emissions. High and rapid returns on investment At the same time, emissions reduction measures continue CDP responses provide some concrete indications of the to generate high and rapid returns on investment. Of a potential financial implications of failing to mitigate such total of 490 measures disclosed, 248 are expected to risks. Estimates from several companies suggest that a pay off within three years, and 130 of these within one moderate increase in the price of carbon would increase year. This implies, on the one hand, a case for continued total costs by around 1% or less – manageable perhaps, investments even during a period of careful cost control. though still sufficient to make a dent in profits or to justify On the other hand, rapid pay-offs may be a sign that emissions reduction programmes. While few companies companies are focusing on low-hanging fruit, and that attempt to quantify reputational risks, the available there is scope for additional self-financing measures, albeit assessments suggest that these may be substantially with a longer investment horizon. higher. Several respondents use the word ‘devastating’, while others point out that equity and brand values would Low ambition on targets - some exceptions suffer directly if companies were not seen to be playing Of a total of 145 respondents, 103 disclosed at least one their part in addressing climate change. 5
  • 6. CDP Investor Signatories 2012 KPA Pension PKA Nordic CDP Investor Signatories 2012 Landsorganisationen i Sverige Pohjola Asset Management Ltd Full list of signatories globally at https:// LD Lønmodtagernes Dyrtidsfond Sampension KP Livsforsikring A/S www.cdproject.net/investorsignatories Mistra, Foundation for Strategic Second Swedish National Pension Fund (AP2) Environmental Research Seligson & Co Fund Management Plc ATP Group Mutual Insurance Company Pension-Fennia Seventh Swedish National Pension Fund (AP7) BankInvest Nativus Sustainable Investments Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB AB) DnB NOR ASA Nordea Bank Storebrand ASA Erik Penser Fondkommission Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM) Svenska Kyrkan, Church of Sweden Evli Bank Plc Nykredit Svenska Kyrkans Pensionskassa FIM Asset Management Ltd OP Fund Management Company Ltd Swedbank First Swedish National Pension Fund (AP1) Opplysningsvesenets fond (The Terra Forvaltning AS Folketrygdfondet Norwegian Church Endowment) The Central Church Fund of Finland Folksam Pension Denmark The Local Government Pensions Institution Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund (AP4) Pension Fund for Danish Lawyers and Third Swedish National Pension Fund (AP3) Gjensidige Forsikring Economists Tryg Ilmarinen Mutual Pension Insurance Company Pensionsmyndigheten Unionen KLP Insurance PFA Pension Unipension 1 CDP INVESTOR SIGNATORIES & ASSETS 1 (US$ TRILLION) AGAINST TIME & Assets CDP Investor Signatories 2 2012 INVESTOR SIGNATORY (US$ Trillion) against time Breakdown • Investor CDP Signatories • • Investor CDP Signatory Assets Investor CDP Signatories 259 Asset Managers • Investor CDP Signatory Assets 220 Asset Owners 143 Banks 33 Insurance 39+33+2242 35 95 155 225 315 385 475 534 551 655 13 Other 4.5 10 21 31 41 57 55 64 71 78 700 80 5% 2% 600 70 39% 60 Number of Signatories 500 Assets (US$ Trillions) 50 400 40 300 21% 30 200 20 100 10 33% 0 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 CDP Investor Members 2012 CCLA Norges Bank Investment Daiwa Asset Management Co. Management Aegon Ltd. PFA Pension AKBANK T.A.Ş. Generation Investment Robeco Allianz Global Investors Management Rockefeller & Co. Aviva Investors HSBC Holdings SAM Group AXA Group KLP Sampension KP Livsforsikring Bank of America Merrill Lynch Legg Mason A/S Bendigo and Adelaide Bank London Pension Fund Authority Schroders Blackrock Mongeral Aegon Seguros e Scottish Widows Investment BP Investment Management Previdência S/A Partnership California Public Employees Morgan Stanley SEB Retirement System - CalPERS National Australia Bank Sompo Japan Insurance Inc California State Teachers NEI Investments Standard Chartered Retirement Fund - CalSTRS Neuberger Berman TD Asset Management Inc. and Calvert Asset Management Newton Investment Management TDAM USA Inc. Company Ltd The RBS Group 6 Catholic Super Nordea Investment Management The Wellcome Trust
  • 7. Investor Perspective “It will allow our portfolio managers to identify whether companies are meeting our expectation with regards to climate change risk management, reporting, and performance, and compare data across time, and across relevant peers.” What is NBIM’s policy on corporate climate risk Which CDP data points are disseminated to NBIM’s management? portfolio managers? We expect portfolio companies to identify material risks, We have produced a framework for assessing companies define an optimal mitigation strategy and take action to relative to climate change risk based on our own implement that strategy. Companies should also have weighting of individual CDP data points. The framework a well-functioning governance structure for risk and be considers indicators related to governance structure, transparent in their interaction with policy-makers and risk assessment, strategy implementation, reporting, and regulators. They should disclose sufficient information performance, each of which is linked to a CDP data point. demonstrating an effective approach to climate change For example, we review the companies’ own assessment risk, including key performance indicators on greenhouse of their exposure to various climate change risks, and the gas emissions. actions they have taken to reduce their risk exposure. How does NBIM use CDP data? We also use CDP data to identify whether companies NBIM uses CDP data as a source of company-level have lines of reporting up to board level and whether information on climate change risk for our portfolio they disclose their position and political activities relative managers. We are supportive of the standardised to climate change regulation. We measure performance questions and answers in the CDP Information Request, by considering emissions reduction targets and tracking as this helps us integrate CDP data with our internal data whether greenhouse gas emission intensity is increasing platforms in ways that we find beneficial. The growth in the or decreasing, and whether emissions data have been number of companies reporting to CDP means a greater independently verified. share of our global equities portfolio is covered each successive year. Christopher Wright Senior Analyst at Norges Bank Investment Management We are in the process of incorporating CDP data into (NBIM) our internal investment data platform. It will allow our portfolio managers to identify whether companies are NBIM manages the Norwegian Government Pension meeting our expectation with regards to climate change Fund Global which owns approximately 2% of European risk management, reporting, and performance, and equities. compare data across time, and across relevant peers. In turn, each portfolio manager can form an opinion about the significance and relevance of the information for the companies they cover. 7
  • 8. Key Themes of 2012 Responses Cutting emissions in a period of economic uncertainty GHG emissions in the Nordic region compared with With the world economy in a fragile state and the threat international targets of renewed financial turmoil yet to recede, many large Figure 1 shows actual total emissions data in the Nordic companies are seeking to bolster their resilience to countries (1990–2010) from the European Environment negative shocks. Nordic 260 firms in particular, while Agency alongside various international targets. The EU most of them are active globally, remain acutely aware targets (in purple) reflect Denmark, Finland and Sweden’s of the precarious situation in their home markets – small, contribution to meeting the EU objective of a 20% cut in open economies that are heavily dependent on exports, emissions by 2020 (or 30% in the event of a satisfactory especially to the euro area. global climate deal) together with Norway’s national commitment to a cut of 30% (or 40% in the event of a In turbulent times, executives might be tempted to global deal). think they can afford to ease up in their efforts to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, turning attention The IPCC targets (green lines) represent the instead to more immediate concerns. Yet an analysis Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (2007) of this year’s Nordic company responses to CDP’s assessment that developed countries need to reduce questionnaire suggests that emissions reductions should emissions by 80–95% by 2050 (compared with 1990) to remain high on the agenda, for three main reasons: stand a reasonable chance of limiting further temperature increases to 2°C. The EU Commission in its proposed • Firstly, in a risky environment firms need to reduce roadmap for a low-carbon economy by 2050 also targets their exposure to risk; if there are sources of risk that an 80% reduction in domestic emissions (i.e. actual they cannot control, it becomes all the more important reductions in the EU, excluding offsets in third countries). to focus on those that they can, such as GHG The lines show the constant annual percentage decrease emissions. The next section details the potential that would be needed to meet these goals. financial implications of failing to mitigate such risks. • Secondly, an economic slowdown is unlikely to provide more than temporary relief from resource constraints. Current uncertainty does nothing to change the expectation that firms will, in the medium term, come under increased pressure from regulators, stakeholders and consumers. • Thirdly, efforts to control GHG emissions often generate a high and rapid return on investment. In other words, emissions reduction activities may pay for themselves – for example in the form of lower costs for energy or emissions allowances – even within the space of a few years. 3 GHG emissions and international targets for Denmark, Finland, Investors are naturally interested not only in the short Norway and Sweden combined term but also in companies’ longer-term exposure to risks and opportunities linked with climate change. While the • Emissions 1990–2010 Nordic countries have subscribed to relatively ambitious • Kyoto 2012 target targets for reducing GHG emissions, it is far from clear • EU 2020 target that they are on track to meet these targets. This suggests • Tougher EU target if global deal – if the stated objectives of national governments and • IPCC -80% by 2050 (-3.89% per year) international organisations are seen as credible – that • IPCC -95% by 2050 (-7.16% per year) efforts will need to be stepped up. 350 million tons CO2e For example, an 80% fall in domestic emissions over 300 the period 1990–2050 (as shown in Figure 3) implies an average annual reduction of 3.9% for the Nordic countries 250 as a whole. This may be on the high side for companies with substantial activities in countries where official 200 targets are less stringent. Nonetheless, most of the targets reported by Nordic 260 companies fall far short of this 150 level of ambition, although there are notable exceptions (a selection of which is shown in Table 1). 100 Note: The ‘EU 2020’ target entails reductions from 2005 to 2020 of 21% for sectors subject 50 to the Emissions Trading System (ETS), and 20%, 16%, and 17% for non-ETS sectors in Denmark, Finland and Sweden respectively. For the ‘Tougher EU target if global deal’, these factors are converted to base year 1990 and scaled up accordingly. 0 Source: European Environment Agency for 1990–2010 emissions data (total GHG emissions 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 8 excluding LULUCF)
  • 9. 1 Selected emissions reductions targets from among the more ambitious Nordic 260 company responses Share of Scope 1 and 2 emissions specification Annual rate Timescale Company covered (Sector) Target Electrolux (Consumer Discretionary) Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions by 28% 100% 2005–2012 4.6% Hafslund (Utilities) Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions per MWh by 70% 90% 2010–2017 12.7–14.1% Kesko (Consumer Staples) Reduce Scope 2 emissions by 57% 100% 2005–2016 7.3% Holmen (Materials) Reduce Scope 1 emissions by 55% 100% 2005-2020 5.2% 2 Norwegian Property (Financials) Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions per m of 90% 2011–2015 6.0–6.7% property by 30% Novozymes (Materials) Reduce Scope 1+2 emissions by 30% 100% 2007–2012 6.9% SEB (Financials) Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 45% 100% 2008–2015 8.2% Storebrand (Financials) Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 14% 77% 2010–2012 5.6–7.3% TDC (Telecommunications Services) Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 40% 100% 2010–2020 5.0% Tieto (Information Technology) Reduce Scope 1+2+3 emissions by 40% 100% 2009–2013 12.0% Note: Annual rate is calculated as the constant annual percentage reduction in absolute emissions needed to hit the target. In the case of intensity targets (emissions divided by some unit of output), output is assumed to grow at a rate of 2%. Where targets cover less than 100% of Scope 1 + 2 emissions, non-targeted emissions are assumed to fall by between zero (lower rate) and the same proportion as targeted emissions (higher rate). Emissions As reported in last year’s Nordic 260 report, Nordic companies’ global emissions increased in 2010 as the economy bounced back dramatically from a severe recession. Emissions might have been expected to resume a clear downward trend in 2011 as GDP growth slowed down, both in the region itself and globally. However, it is not clear that this has happened. Figure 4 compares 4 Change in reported Scope 1 Scope 1 emissions in 2011 and 2010 for companies that emissions 2010–2011 disclosed for both years. At first sight this suggests a 1% increase in the total. A closer look at the reasons given by firms suggests that part of the increase is due to boundary changes (greater 3.35 coverage of a firm’s activities in its emissions reporting, 3.5 Percentage of total Scope 1 emissions in 2010 which is to be welcomed), while nearly all of the large 3.0 increase in the Materials sector can be attributed to Norsk 2.5 Hydro’s acquisition of facilities in Brazil. Stripping out these factors would mean a small reduction in total Scope 2.0 1 emissions. 1.5 0.96 1.0 Even so, CDP responses suggest that, in the aggregate, TCOM UTIL EGY 0.5 IND FIN HC CD CS emissions reduction activities were once again largely 0 cancelled out by increased output. In most cases (63 out 0.0% -0.02 -0.02 -0.09 -0.01 -0.02 IT MAT Change Overall of 81 firms that give at least one of these two reasons), -0.29 -0.5 -0.49 emissions reduction activities outweighed output growth. -1.0 However, among the remaining 18 companies are a -1.5 -1.45 number of large emitters, especially from the Industrials sector.2 Higher emissions due to output growth at these firms appears to have offset reduction efforts elsewhere. 2: The apparent discrepancy between this finding and the fall in reported emissions for the Industrials sector in Figure 4 may be explained partly by significant net divestment, and partly by some inconsistencies between reported emissions and the (often more approximate) Note: Based on the responses of 127 companies that disclosed Scope 1 emissions in both reasons given for changes in emission. 2012 and 2011. With a few exceptions, responses relate to the previous calendar year. 9
  • 10. Figure 5 shows the different types of emissions reductions Emissions control as a risk management strategy initiatives that Nordic 260 companies are pursuing and Firms face two main types of risk related to emissions the period within which firms expect to recoup their falling under their control (that is, own emissions and to investments. At a time when it may make business sense some extent those of suppliers and customers)3. Firstly, to delay expansions in productive capacity, resources regulatory developments may affect the cost of carbon that might otherwise lie idle can be used to promote allowances, energy, fuel or raw materials, with both improvements in energy and fuel efficiency or to design direct and indirect effects on profitability. Secondly, the less carbon-intensive products and processes. Particularly reputation of firms that are not seen by consumers and in the broad areas of energy efficiency, behavioural change stakeholders to be playing their part in controlling GHG and transport, many initiatives are expected to pay for emissions may be in danger, with negative implications for themselves within a year. sales, profit margins, brand value and the cost of capital. The disclosure of high returns on investment and CDP’s questionnaire asks companies not only to identify short payback times suggests that firms, perhaps risks and opportunities but also to describe the potential understandably, are focusing on ‘low-hanging fruit’. Many financial implications, the methods they use to manage say, for example, that the savings from energy efficiency risks and the costs of such actions. programmes greatly outweigh the costs even after only a few years. This suggests that there must be scope for As far as regulation is concerned, the greatest material additional energy-saving measures that would offer a risks are borne by firms in sectors that are energy reasonable rate of return, albeit with a longer investment intensive and/or depend directly on fossil fuels: Energy, horizon. Industrials (especially the Transportation industry group), Materials and Utilities. Most firms in these sectors cite concerns over emissions trading schemes, carbon taxes, international agreements and/or environmental regulation 5 Types of emission reduction initiatives in general, a common theme being the uncertainty over and payback time the future of these arrangements. • <1 year Relatively few firms in these sectors disclose the full • 1-3 years scale of potential risks (in some cases for stated reasons • >3 years of confidentiality), although there are some interesting • Unspecified indications. For example: Energy efficiency: processes • Stainless steel producer Outokumpu Oyj estimates a cost of €45 million due the EU Emissions Trading Behavioral change System, assuming a price of €20 per metric ton of CO2e. The firm says that a €10 increase in the carbon Energy efficiency: building services price would mean an €18 million increase in costs (compared with sales of just over €5 billion and EBITDA of €80 million in 2011). Low carbon energy installation • Biotechnology company Novozymes A/S discloses that Transportation: use energy and water account for around 10% of its costs. A price rise of 10% would raise costs by around Transportation: fleet €5.4 million4. In response, the company invested €3.77 million in 2011 to reduce energy and water consumption, with an expected payback time of 1.7 Other and 3 years respectively. Energy efficiency: building fabric • Electric utility Fortum Oyj estimates that an increase of €1 in the price of carbon leads to an increase of €0.70– 0.80 in the price of electricity per MWh. Fortum sees Product design this as an opportunity since nuclear and renewables account for a substantial share of its generation Low carbon energy purchase capacity, but the estimate may indicate the degree of risk faced by large consumers of electricity. Process emissions reductions Many firms in other sectors also cite fuel and energy taxes and caps on emissions as significant, though on Fugitive emissions reductions the whole manageable, risks. In Consumer Discretionary, Alma Media Corporation considers it very likely that fuel 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 and energy prices will rise by 10–15% over the next five 10 Number of companies years due to regulation. In Consumer Staples, food retailer
  • 11. Kesko Corporation estimates that a €1 increase in the Reputational risks are hard to quantify, so it is not price of electricity (per MWh) increases its costs by some surprising that few respondents are able to specify the €750,000 (compared with sales of €9.46 billion in 2011). potential financial impact. Nevertheless, the available One concrete measure in response to this has been to indications are that the potential consequences of a poor install lids on 6.8 km of chest freezers at a cost of around reputation may far outweigh those of tougher regulation. €6.8 million, reducing consumption by 30–40% or around 20 GWh. For example: Several respondents focus on the EU Emissions Trading • Kesko Corporation’s increased electricity costs (see System, perhaps because the availability of carbon price above) appear minor in comparison with the impact that forecasts makes risk assessment relatively straightforward a failure to address climate concerns might have on its (at least on paper). In Health Care, Coloplast A/S estimates brand, which is valued at an estimated €344 million. additional costs of €0.4–0.5 million based on a carbon Likewise, Novozymes rates the cost of severe damage price of ca. €25 per metric ton. In Industrials, Metso, a to its reputation at over €13 million, and employs a supplier of equipment to the Materials and Energy sectors 13-strong sustainability team to counter this risk. among others, sees a potential cost increase of €2.3 million if it is included in the ETS, assuming a carbon • Elevator maker Kone Oyj says the impact of a loss of price of €15 per metric ton. In Materials, metals company reputation could be severe, ‘even devastating’, which Boliden Group is working on the basis of a ‘moderate’ is part of the reason why the company’s €82.5 million risk scenario of €17–30 per metric ton. However, with the R&D budget is squarely focused on energy-efficient recent slump in the traded price of allowances (around €8 technology. at the time of writing in September 2012), considerable uncertainty remains over the future operation of ETS. • Paper manufacturer SCA notes that 21% of its Some respondents use forward contracts and other equity is held by investors who evaluate the company’s financial instruments to manage the risk of short-term sustainability performance, meaning that a failure to live fluctuations. up to expectations would lead directly to downward pressure on the share price. Firms in several sectors, particularly Consumer Discretionary and Industrials, cite concerns with product Consumer concerns over sustainability are reflected in efficiency and product labelling regulations. The risk here the sales figures of several respondents. UPM-Kymmene involves a small probability of severe consequences: Corporation, for instance, notes a 4–6% fall in demand in products that fail to meet environmental and energy the EU and the US for graphic papers (used for printing efficiency standards might be excluded from the market, reports, magazines, etc.) and discloses a cost of ca. €300 but firms report considerable efforts to manage this risk by million for mill closures in 2011. Carbon footprinting and staying ahead of regulatory requirements. The response sustainable forest management are an important part of of household appliance manufacturer Electrolux is typical: the strategy for limiting the risks in this area. failure to meet minimum efficiency performance standards might cost the firm as much as 25–30% of sales of its Perception is perhaps as important as reality when it premium brands, but it devotes substantial resources comes to reputation, and many respondents stress to ensuring that this is ‘exceptionally unlikely’. Similarly, communication as a key tool for risk management. But heavy vehicle and engine manufacturer Scania invests 4% communication on these matters must be transparent of its sales in R&D, of which 60% is focused on engine and reflect genuine activities; otherwise, as construction transmission and fuel efficiency. It also employs two staff company NCC points out, there is the equally serious risk and five consultants at a cost approaching €500,000 in of being exposed for ‘greenwashing’. order to stay on top of EU legislation. As noted, CDP Nordic responses show that many firms are Overall, the Nordic 260 responses suggest that companies already going beyond minimum regulatory requirements in most sectors do not regard the risks from climate- in their efforts to cut emissions and improve energy related regulation as material in the sense that they efficiency. At the same time, the question remains whether might jeopardise the survival of the business. This may collectively they are doing enough given the scale of the be gleaned both from qualitative descriptions and from challenge posed by climate change. Thus the reduction of quantitative indications of financial risks where provided; GHG emissions looks set to remain a key element in risk as noted above, even firms in some of the more energy- management strategies, helping firms both to reduce their intensive sectors indicate that the risks from emissions exposure to tighter regulation and to retain the benefits of pricing, carbon taxes and so forth are manageable. a good reputation. Yet firms in sectors with limited exposure to climate change regulation are also making substantial efforts to reduce emissions, which suggests that they must 3: The CDP questionnaire also asks companies to report on physical risks associated with climate change. While a firm’s own emissions have a negligible impact on these risks, they be responding to other drivers. In particular, the most are highly relevant for risk management in general, even in the Nordic region itself. Please commonly cited driver of risks in the ‘other’ category see last year’s CDP Nordic report for analysis of these risks. 4: Euro equivalents to figures in Danish krone (approximate where appropriate) are based on (i.e. apart from regulatory and physical) is reputation. conversion at the rate of DKK1 = €0.1343. 11
  • 12. Responses, Scores and Leaders Improvements in disclosure and performance scoring companies for disclosure and/or performance The number of Nordic companies responding to the CDP enter the CDLI and the CPLI. information request increased again this year (56% in 2012, 55% in 2011). This modest increase was achieved The average disclosure score for all Nordic companies despite a large turnover in the Nordic 260 company increased to 69 in 2012 (64 in 2011, 60 in 2010). This sample in 20124 and masks more positive trends. indicates that the general quality and completeness of Fourteen companies responded for the first time and company responses has improved once again this year. voluntary responses were welcomed from a further seven companies which were not part of the Nordic 260 list. There is also an improvement in performance scores Information on all these company responses can be found and bands. The number of companies achieving a high in the Appendix. performance band (A, A- or B) is 23% (18% in 2011) and the average performance score increased 10 points from Each year, company responses are reviewed, analysed 2011. These increases are despite a tightening of the and scored for the quality of disclosure and performance scoring methodology for performance and changes to the on actions taken to mitigate climate change. The highest thresholds for each band. 2 The Nordic 260 CDLI 2012 years in the CDLI Disclosure Score Performance Consecutive Band Sector Company Name Consumer Discretionary Stockmann 87 1 B Electrolux 86 2 B Consumer Staples Kesko 88 2 B Hakon Invest 83 1 C Financials Nordea Bank 91 2 B Health Care Novo Nordisk 90 5 B Industrials Metso 97 1 B Rockwool International 93 3 B Finnair 92 1 B SAAB 92 5 B D/S NORDEN 90 3 B Kone 90 2 B Outotec 87 4 B Scania 83 1 C Information Technology Nokia Group 98 4 A Tieto 89 2 B Atea 86 2 B Materials UPM-Kymmene 98 4 B Novozymes 94 2 B Holmen 91 1 A Boliden Group 85 1 B Outokumpu 84 3 B Stora Enso 84 3 B SCA 84 3 B Telecommunication Services Elisa 89 1 B Utilities Fortum 98 5 B 4: Turbulence on the stock exchange in late 2011 resulted in greater variation than usual in the list of companies included in the Nordic 260 this year 12 since the selection criteria for the Nordic 260 expansion is based on market capitalisation (17% of companies were replaced).
  • 13. In order to enter the CDLI this year, companies needed a “Holmen has a goal to produce disclosure score of 83 or above (2011: 80). The average disclosure score of the CDLI companies is 90 in 2012 (84 in renewable electricity to cover 67% both 2011 and 2010). These two statistics suggest that the of the electricity we consume by quality of disclosure within the CDLI has increased this year. 2020. In 2011 the production of Many CDLI companies are demonstrating a long run of renewable electricity was 32%.” consecutive years in the Nordic CDLI including three companies which have featured in the CDLI for all of the last 5 years (Fortum, Novo Nordisk and SAAB). Holmen Geographically Finland is strongly over-represented in the CDLI relative to the overall number of Finnish companies in the Nordic 260 list. Indeed, Finland was also over-represented in the Global 500 CDLI (largest “The Nokia Solar Charging 500 companies worldwide). Norway had the weakest Project’s goal is to answer representation in the Nordic CDLI. fundamental questions about how 3 The Nordic 260 CPLI 2012 we can charge mobile phones using the renewable energy of years in the CPLI solar power, and to find solutions Consecutive for people in parts of the world where you can’t just plug in to an Company electricity network.” Sector Name Materials Holmen 1 Information Technology Nokia Group 1 Nokia The criteria to enter the CPLI were raised in 2012 and companies now need to: achieve a performance score of more than 85, score maximum performance points on question 13.1a (absolute emissions performance), and disclose and verify Scope 1 and 2 emissions. Nonetheless, the number of companies achieving this top result increased modestly from one to two in 2012. Companies in the CPLI typically show a deeper understanding of, and address more pro-actively, the risks and opportunities presented by climate change. They highlight good practices in reporting, governance, verification and emissions reduction activities toward climate change adaptation and mitigation. More generally, Nordic responders demonstrated improvements in all key performance statistics in 2012 and the number of companies providing verified/assured data increased (see page 17). For further information on the CDLI and the CPLI and how scores are determined, please visit https://www.cdproject. net/guidance 13
  • 14. Scoring Commentary FirstCarbon Solutions, CDP’s scoring partner The majority of companies responding from the Nordic Stakeholder Engagement and Verification region recognise the business case for evaluating, A number of issues are included in this category, not the reporting and managing issues related to climate change. least of which is whether companies publish their climate And of the 145 Nordic companies which submitted a change policies and performance. Nordic respondents response to the CDP Investor questionnaire in 2012, more scored well with over 74% publishing their policies or than 90% received a disclosure score of 50 or higher performance in mainstream filings or other external which means they provided enough information to also be communications. Respondents scored less favorably scored for performance. on external verification of emissions data. Verification is important as it provides the added assurance that reported Findings across the various disclosure categories of emissions are accurate. As such, there are significant questions provide some interesting insights into areas for points available for emission verification. Verification further improvement. proves challenging for most respondents yet 29% of Nordic companies provided verified data for Scope 1 and/ Governance and Strategy or Scope 2, matching all verification criteria and providing 92% of Nordic companies include executive oversight in valuable insight for investment communities. their climate management and while 57% of respondents indicate the use of incentives for management, only Summary 43% provide explanations about the types of incentive In 2012 Nordic companies are demonstrating the value programs in use. Likewise, 68% of respondents indicate of sustainability as well as the strategic importance of actively working on climate mitigation procedures and addressing the effects of climate change in corporate integrating climate change into their strategy planning, planning. With over 90% of the companies receiving a and only 29% provide sufficient details surrounding performance band, the Nordic region has proven to score these initiatives to gain maximum points on this question. well in 2012. Maximum points for governance and strategy are achieved with not only executive oversight and incentive programs But achieving the maximum score and qualifying for the but with providing details for climate mitigation procedures CDLI and CPLI should be the goal for any organisation and planning. submitting to the Carbon Disclosure Project. And it is clear that with some additional attention in the areas of Risk and Opportunities transparency, participation in mitigation activities and Risks and opportunities posed a greater challenge for emission verification, respondents will have a positive respondents than many other categories of questions. impact on their disclosure and performance results. To As there are significant points available for these score well in performance, it is particularly important to questions, respondents should be diligent to provide a full actively measure, verify, manage and reduce emissions. assessment of their risks or opportunities by identifying the specific plans, projects, or actions related to the FirstCarbon Solutions is available to assist companies to risk or opportunity identified. They should also clearly improve in these important areas and offers a free 2012 document the costs of the action(s) taken or the revenue score feedback consultation to Nordic responders. This benefits expected from the plans, projects or measures call will enable benchmarking and provide insights into the implemented. If, after a thorough evaluation, a company strengths and weaknesses in the CDP response. determines that it does not have any such risks or opportunities then provision of a full description of the Congratulations on 2012 and best of luck in 2013! evaluation indicates good risks management policy and is worth significant points. “In 2012 Nordic companies Emissions management and reporting Nordic respondents did an excellent job completing the are demonstrating the value questions regarding Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions of sustainability as well as (96% & 95%, respectively). And results were nearly as good for Scope 3 emissions (with 88% describing at least the strategic importance of one source of Scope 3 emissions and 72% providing addressing the effects of climate complete information on at least one type of Scope 3 emission). This positively affected the disclosure scoring. change in corporate planning.” Disclosure scoring was generally weaker for the reporting of emissions by geography, businesses, or other breakout categories. Many companies did not disclose any emission reduction targets (18% reported only absolute targets, 39% reported only intensity targets and 12% reported both). This was an area of weakness for Nordic respondents in 2012 and a key area for improvement in 2013. 14
  • 15. Key Statistics 148 companies responded to the CDP Investor request Climate Change Reporting Framework in 2012. Figure KS1 is based on all these companies, The Climate Disclosure Standards Board (CDSB), including those that reference a holding company’s a special project of CDP, is an international response. Analysis in the remainder of this report is based organization committed to the integration of on 145 responses received by 1st July 2012 and does not climate change-related information into mainstream include companies that reference a holding company’s corporate reporting. CDSB’s internationally accepted response. Climate Change Reporting Framework is designed for use by companies in making disclosures in, or The number of companies disclosing Scope 1 or 2 linked to, their mainstream financial reports about the emissions includes those that have disclosed their risks and opportunities that climate change presents emissions as zero. This is a change in approach from to their strategy, financial performance and condition. previous years. Designed in line with the objectives of financial reporting and rules on non-financial reporting, the Climate Change Reporting Framework offers a leading example of how to apply the principles of integrated reporting with respect to reporting on climate change. KS1 YEAR ON YEAR NUMBER OF COMPANIES KS2 PERCENTAGE RESPONSE RATE BY SECTOR RESPONDING TO CDP PUBLICLY & PRIVATELY FOR 2012 • Responding publicly to CDP • Public • Responding privately to CDP • Not public 2007 58 26 100 2008 0 74 37 80 83 2009 7 13 90 38 20 60 62 2010 9 16 57 0 0 50 103 28 47 47 40 0 42 40 2011 35 7 122 22 29 20 2012 125 23 0 CD CS HC IT TCOM FIN IND EGY MAT UTIL 0 30 60 90 120 150 KS3 YEAR ON YEAR NUMBER OF COMPANIES KS4 PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDING COMPANIES DISCLOSING SCOPE 1 OR SCOPE 2 GHG IN EACH SECTOR DISCLOSING SCOPE 1 OR EMISSIONS SCOPE 2 GHG EMISSIONS 100 100 100 100 98 100 100 2012 96 94 88 80 140 80 2011 60 135 40 2010 20 124 0% CD CS EGY FIN HC IND IT MAT TCOM UTIL 0 30 60 90 120 150 15
  • 16. KS5 TOTAL SCOPE 1 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY KS6 TOTAL SCOPE 2 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES (MILLION tCO2e) (MILLION tCO2e) 2008 2008 74.3 17.6 2009 2009 139.2 27.2 2010 2010 153.3 24.8 2011 2011 144.2 26.5 2012 2012 135.9 25.5 0 50 100 150 200 0 10 20 30 KS7 TOTAL SCOPE 1 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY KS8 TOTAL SCOPE 2 EMISSIONS REPORTED BY RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES RESPONDING NORDIC COMPANIES (MILLION tCO2e) (MILLION tCO2e) • Industrials • Consumer Staples • Industrials • Consumer Staples • Materials • Telecommunication • Materials • Telecommunication • Utilities • Financials • Utilities • Financials • Energy • Health Care • Energy • Health Care • Consumer • Information • Consumer • Information Discretionary Technology Discretionary Technology 0 50 100 150 0 10 20 30 15.6 4.8 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 58.5 27.1 23.8 20.2 4.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.06 KS9 NUMBER OF SCOPE 3 CATEGORIES REPORTED KS10 COMMONLY REPORTED SCOPE 3 CATEGORIES WITH EMISSIONS DATA (WITH EMISSIONS DATA PROVIDED) 1 4 106 Business travel 17 Waste generated in 2 5+ 30 Downstream trans- operations 3 portation & distribution 13 Fuel- and energy- 24 Purchased goods & related activities services 10 Use of sold products 23 Employee commuting 10 Remaining scope 3 23 Upstream transport categories & distribution 7 48 10 106 10 8 13 17 23 22 23 35 35 30 30 24 10 16