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Caterpillar Update
  Director of Investor Relations
  Mike DeWalt




  November 2008
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE                                                              R

SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995




Certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking and involve risks,
assumptions and uncertainties that cause actual results of Caterpillar to be materially
different from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements. In this context,
words such as quot;willquot;, “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “will be,” “should” and
similar words or expressions identify forward-looking statements made on behalf of
Caterpillar. It is important to note that actual results of Caterpillar may differ materially from
those described or implied in such forward-looking statements based on a number of
factors and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, changes in economic conditions;
currency exchange or interest rates; political stability; market acceptance of Caterpillar's
products and services; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in law,
regulations and tax rates; and other general economic, business and financing conditions
and factors.
A more complete summary of risks and uncertainties is described in more detail in
Caterpillar's Form 10Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 31,
2008. Caterpillar undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
Q3 Sales and Revenues                                    R




     Products vs.
                                 By Geography
  Integrated Services

                                       Latin
                                     America
                                        12%
                                                North
    Integrated                   Asia
                                               America
     Services                   Pacific
                                                39%
       35%                       18%
                 New Machines
                  and Engines
                      65%
                                       EAME
                                        31%
2007 Sales and Revenues                                             R




   New Machine Sales                New Engine Sales


                                            Truck
            Other                            9%
            14%                       Marine
                        Heavy
                                       11%
   Quarry            Construction                       Petroleum
    10%                  34%                               35%
                                    Industrial
    General                            15%
  Construction
     20%                                         Electric
                    Mining
                                                 Power
                     22%
                                                   30%
2008 Results                                       R




                    Q3      Q3     YTD     YTD
                   2007    2008    2007    2008

Sales and Revenues $11.4B $13.0B $32.8B $38.4B


EPS                $1.40   $1.39   $3.87   $4.57
Maintained
2008 Outlook                                       R

                        2008 Outlook




                       2007              2008
                      Actual            Outlook

 Sales and Revenues   $45B             Over $50B


                                        About
 EPS                  $5.37             $6.00
2009 Outlook                                                                R




North America

      We believe the National Bureau of Economic Research will
  •
      eventually declare a recession is underway in the U.S.
      Credit markets disruptions almost certainly mean the economy will
  •
      continue to slow sharply in coming quarters.
      The U.S. government & Fed have acted quickly and this should
  •
      eventually benefit economic growth … but not for 3 or 4 quarters.
      The Canadian economy is near recession and the Bank of Canada
  •
      has cut interest rates. We expect further interest rate reductions,
      but the economy will remain weak throughout 2009.
      Overall we expect economic growth in North America to be 1% or
  •
      less in 2009.
2009 Outlook                                                        R




Europe & Japan


 •   Economies in the euro-zone and UK are declining.
 •   We believe much of Europe will be in recession by year end.
 •   Governments and central banks have reacted to the crises.
 •   However, interest rates are well above levels that were
     needed to start the last recovery in Europe. Moving rates
     much lower could take considerable time.
 •   We are not planning on a recovery in Europe in 2009.
 •   The Japanese economy declined in Q2 and is 0robably in
     recession, and we do not expect a recovery in Japan in 2009.
2009 Outlook                                                                  R




Emerging Markets

•   Significant growth over the past few years as a result of lower
    inflation & interest rates, competitive exports and favorable
    commodity prices. Many of those factors remain in place today.
•   Commodity prices have declined sharply from very high levels. We
    expect prices could ease further but not so low that producers will
    sharply curtail investments.
•   Developing countries had been tightening economic policies to slow
    inflation. Some, such as China, have already reversed policies, and
    we believe the financial crisis will cause others to reverse, policies.
•   We expect developing economies to respond by using reserves and
    sovereign wealth funds to maintain economic growth.
•   Overall, we expect growth in developing economies will slow, but
    have fewer problems in 2009 than developed economies.
Outlook                                                                         R




Caterpillar Sales and Revenues
 •   Expect sharp declines in new machine sales in developed economies.
 •   We expect that developing economies, while slowing, will still grow
 •   We believe that commodity prices and our backlog, coupled with the
     need to replace aged equipment, should support continuing demand
     for our products related to mining and energy.
 •   Most dealers report inventories appropriate for their deliveries. We do
     not anticipate a need for dealers to sharply reduce inventories in 2009.
 •   2009 will include a full year of Caterpillar Japan sales.
 •   We expect growth in services.
 •   Price increases announced for 2009 are should be positive for sales.


              2009 Sales and Revenues about the same as 2008
R




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caterpillar Goldman Sachs Global Industrials Conference

  • 1. R Caterpillar Update Director of Investor Relations Mike DeWalt November 2008
  • 2. SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT UNDER THE PRIVATE R SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995 Certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking and involve risks, assumptions and uncertainties that cause actual results of Caterpillar to be materially different from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements. In this context, words such as quot;willquot;, “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “will be,” “should” and similar words or expressions identify forward-looking statements made on behalf of Caterpillar. It is important to note that actual results of Caterpillar may differ materially from those described or implied in such forward-looking statements based on a number of factors and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, changes in economic conditions; currency exchange or interest rates; political stability; market acceptance of Caterpillar's products and services; significant changes in the competitive environment; changes in law, regulations and tax rates; and other general economic, business and financing conditions and factors. A more complete summary of risks and uncertainties is described in more detail in Caterpillar's Form 10Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 31, 2008. Caterpillar undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
  • 3. Q3 Sales and Revenues R Products vs. By Geography Integrated Services Latin America 12% North Integrated Asia America Services Pacific 39% 35% 18% New Machines and Engines 65% EAME 31%
  • 4. 2007 Sales and Revenues R New Machine Sales New Engine Sales Truck Other 9% 14% Marine Heavy 11% Quarry Construction Petroleum 10% 34% 35% Industrial General 15% Construction 20% Electric Mining Power 22% 30%
  • 5. 2008 Results R Q3 Q3 YTD YTD 2007 2008 2007 2008 Sales and Revenues $11.4B $13.0B $32.8B $38.4B EPS $1.40 $1.39 $3.87 $4.57
  • 6. Maintained 2008 Outlook R 2008 Outlook 2007 2008 Actual Outlook Sales and Revenues $45B Over $50B About EPS $5.37 $6.00
  • 7. 2009 Outlook R North America We believe the National Bureau of Economic Research will • eventually declare a recession is underway in the U.S. Credit markets disruptions almost certainly mean the economy will • continue to slow sharply in coming quarters. The U.S. government & Fed have acted quickly and this should • eventually benefit economic growth … but not for 3 or 4 quarters. The Canadian economy is near recession and the Bank of Canada • has cut interest rates. We expect further interest rate reductions, but the economy will remain weak throughout 2009. Overall we expect economic growth in North America to be 1% or • less in 2009.
  • 8. 2009 Outlook R Europe & Japan • Economies in the euro-zone and UK are declining. • We believe much of Europe will be in recession by year end. • Governments and central banks have reacted to the crises. • However, interest rates are well above levels that were needed to start the last recovery in Europe. Moving rates much lower could take considerable time. • We are not planning on a recovery in Europe in 2009. • The Japanese economy declined in Q2 and is 0robably in recession, and we do not expect a recovery in Japan in 2009.
  • 9. 2009 Outlook R Emerging Markets • Significant growth over the past few years as a result of lower inflation & interest rates, competitive exports and favorable commodity prices. Many of those factors remain in place today. • Commodity prices have declined sharply from very high levels. We expect prices could ease further but not so low that producers will sharply curtail investments. • Developing countries had been tightening economic policies to slow inflation. Some, such as China, have already reversed policies, and we believe the financial crisis will cause others to reverse, policies. • We expect developing economies to respond by using reserves and sovereign wealth funds to maintain economic growth. • Overall, we expect growth in developing economies will slow, but have fewer problems in 2009 than developed economies.
  • 10. Outlook R Caterpillar Sales and Revenues • Expect sharp declines in new machine sales in developed economies. • We expect that developing economies, while slowing, will still grow • We believe that commodity prices and our backlog, coupled with the need to replace aged equipment, should support continuing demand for our products related to mining and energy. • Most dealers report inventories appropriate for their deliveries. We do not anticipate a need for dealers to sharply reduce inventories in 2009. • 2009 will include a full year of Caterpillar Japan sales. • We expect growth in services. • Price increases announced for 2009 are should be positive for sales. 2009 Sales and Revenues about the same as 2008