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Data Collection – Vehicle Crashes
 Collected 1,048,575 records of vehicle crashes in New York from 2009 to 2012.
(https://data.ny.gov/Transportation/Motor-Vehicle-Crashes-Case-Information-Beginning-2/e8ky-4vqe)
Queens
New York
Bronx
Hempstead
# of crashes in 2012
(Group by municipality)
Day of Week vs. Time in a Day (Weekday)
 Vehicle crashes in weekday has two peaks in a day (about 8:00 and 17:00)
Day of Week vs. Time in a Day (Weekend)
 Vehicle crashes in weekend has only one peak in a day (after 12:00 pm)
Collision Type vs. Weather Condition
 The part of a car is hit the most under the normal weather condition (clear, cloudy, rain) are in
Rear and Right Angle
Collision Type vs. Weather Condition
 The part of a car is hit the most under the unclear weather (snow, sleet, fog) have the same ratio
of collision types
Data Mining
 Problem: What factors cause multiple vehicle crashes
 Output variables:
 If this crash has more than 3 cars involved
 Input variables:
 Lighting Conditions
 Road Descriptor
 Traffic Control Device
 Road Surface Conditions
 Year, Day of Week, Time
 Modeling: Bayes Point, Logistics Regression, Decision
Forest, Neural Network, SVM
Model Result – Bayes Point as an Example
RecallROC Curve
Precision
 Top 3 variables: Traffic Control Device, Time and Lighting condition
Variable Contribution
Model Result Comparison
SVM
Neural Network
Logits Regression
Decision Forest
 Choose Logistic Regression
as the optimal model
 Lighting Conditions and
Traffic Control Device are
the most important factors
Variable Contribution
Number of Repair Shops in New York
 Collected 3,836 records of repair shops in New York

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Car accident repairshops

  • 1. Data Collection – Vehicle Crashes  Collected 1,048,575 records of vehicle crashes in New York from 2009 to 2012. (https://data.ny.gov/Transportation/Motor-Vehicle-Crashes-Case-Information-Beginning-2/e8ky-4vqe) Queens New York Bronx Hempstead # of crashes in 2012 (Group by municipality)
  • 2. Day of Week vs. Time in a Day (Weekday)  Vehicle crashes in weekday has two peaks in a day (about 8:00 and 17:00)
  • 3. Day of Week vs. Time in a Day (Weekend)  Vehicle crashes in weekend has only one peak in a day (after 12:00 pm)
  • 4. Collision Type vs. Weather Condition  The part of a car is hit the most under the normal weather condition (clear, cloudy, rain) are in Rear and Right Angle
  • 5. Collision Type vs. Weather Condition  The part of a car is hit the most under the unclear weather (snow, sleet, fog) have the same ratio of collision types
  • 6. Data Mining  Problem: What factors cause multiple vehicle crashes  Output variables:  If this crash has more than 3 cars involved  Input variables:  Lighting Conditions  Road Descriptor  Traffic Control Device  Road Surface Conditions  Year, Day of Week, Time  Modeling: Bayes Point, Logistics Regression, Decision Forest, Neural Network, SVM
  • 7. Model Result – Bayes Point as an Example RecallROC Curve Precision  Top 3 variables: Traffic Control Device, Time and Lighting condition Variable Contribution
  • 8. Model Result Comparison SVM Neural Network Logits Regression Decision Forest  Choose Logistic Regression as the optimal model  Lighting Conditions and Traffic Control Device are the most important factors Variable Contribution
  • 9. Number of Repair Shops in New York  Collected 3,836 records of repair shops in New York