A stream of new money flowing into loan and credit funds overwhelmed new issue supply, providing issuers (and their agents) the opportunity to run robust offering processes and gamer attractive economic and structural terms. The recent tightening in monetary policy and strong macroeconomic conditions notwithstanding, all-in-cost of leverage has, thus far, remained near recent lows.
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Fall 2016Duff & Phelps
Middle-market issuers were greeted by strong demand this quarter from mainstream credit sources as well as those seeking higher degrees of risk and return. Macroeconomic fundamentals continued to improve, though the focus remained on monetary policy. With an increasingly stark dichotomy of views at the Federal Reserve, volatility persisted in anticipation of clearer guidance on the pace and timing of rate hikes.
Market conditions at the fourth quarter’s outset largely reflected expectations of continued (albeit modest) economic growth and accommodative monetary policy. At mid quarter, the presidential election portended a period of fiscal stimulus and tightening monetary policy. Overall, the quarter witnessed a sharp rally in equities, tightening credit spreads, a downturn in Treasury prices and a strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
The overall outlook for 2017 Canadian M&A activity remains moderately positive, despite the decrease in the number of Canadian companies sold in 2016. Corporate balance sheets are flush with cash, with corporations actively looking for quality investments. Interest rates remain low, and oil prices are showing signs of improvement. Private Equity firms also have large cash holdings and often see Canadian firms as good "bolt-on" opportunities. Read the report for more detail on trends, public market performance and deal activity.
In this special edition of Valuation Insights, we discuss some of the key valuation and compliance impacts that will likely result from Brexit. Specifically, we review the short-term and long-term economic implications, as well as compliance and regulatory considerations. We also highlight valuation issues, including how companies and investors determine cost of capital and measure risk in the current environment, and discuss implications for transfer pricing with respect to EU Directives. While all industries will be impacted by Brexit, in this issue we focus on the banking and financial services sectors, which stand to be the most heavily affected.
Corporate borrowing activity in the second quarter was robust, particularly in the middle-market, which exceeded the record volume seen in the first quarter. Supply and demand for middle-market credit became more balanced, as opportunistic issuers came to market and/or increased issuance size. Near team market conditions remain compelling for middle-market issues as borrowers are capitalizing on strong institutional appetite by pursing favorably crafted deals for acquisition, recapitalization and growth financing.
Client Alert: Brexit - The Impact on Cost of CapitalDuff & Phelps
On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom held a referendum to decide whether to leave or remain as member of the European Union (EU). Against prior poll prediction, 51.9% of U.K. voters were in favor of leaving the EU, while 48.1% voted to remain a member. This decision is popularly known in the financial press as “Brexit”.
To assist in this discussion, on July 12, 2016, Duff & Phelps held the second of its Brexit webinar series entitled “The Impact on Cost of Capital,” featuring a panel of world-renowned cost of capital experts. The webcast focused on the challenges of estimating the cost of capital from the perspectives of U.S., U.K., and Eurozone investors in a post-Brexit world.
During the second quarter of 2016, acquisitive middle-market issuers capitalized on lenders’ increased risk appetite by entering into attractively priced and structured financings. The dramatic rally in Treasury yields (and other safe haven assets) triggered by the “Brexit” referendum at quarter’s end, augurs well for further improvement in domestic credit market conditions.
Duff & Phelps' Capital Markets Insights - Spring 2018 report states that leveraging costs and structures showed signs of increasing volatility in the first quarter of 2018, as markets reacted to rising economic growth, inflation concerns and trade tensions. Read the report for more detail.
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Fall 2016Duff & Phelps
Middle-market issuers were greeted by strong demand this quarter from mainstream credit sources as well as those seeking higher degrees of risk and return. Macroeconomic fundamentals continued to improve, though the focus remained on monetary policy. With an increasingly stark dichotomy of views at the Federal Reserve, volatility persisted in anticipation of clearer guidance on the pace and timing of rate hikes.
Market conditions at the fourth quarter’s outset largely reflected expectations of continued (albeit modest) economic growth and accommodative monetary policy. At mid quarter, the presidential election portended a period of fiscal stimulus and tightening monetary policy. Overall, the quarter witnessed a sharp rally in equities, tightening credit spreads, a downturn in Treasury prices and a strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
The overall outlook for 2017 Canadian M&A activity remains moderately positive, despite the decrease in the number of Canadian companies sold in 2016. Corporate balance sheets are flush with cash, with corporations actively looking for quality investments. Interest rates remain low, and oil prices are showing signs of improvement. Private Equity firms also have large cash holdings and often see Canadian firms as good "bolt-on" opportunities. Read the report for more detail on trends, public market performance and deal activity.
In this special edition of Valuation Insights, we discuss some of the key valuation and compliance impacts that will likely result from Brexit. Specifically, we review the short-term and long-term economic implications, as well as compliance and regulatory considerations. We also highlight valuation issues, including how companies and investors determine cost of capital and measure risk in the current environment, and discuss implications for transfer pricing with respect to EU Directives. While all industries will be impacted by Brexit, in this issue we focus on the banking and financial services sectors, which stand to be the most heavily affected.
Corporate borrowing activity in the second quarter was robust, particularly in the middle-market, which exceeded the record volume seen in the first quarter. Supply and demand for middle-market credit became more balanced, as opportunistic issuers came to market and/or increased issuance size. Near team market conditions remain compelling for middle-market issues as borrowers are capitalizing on strong institutional appetite by pursing favorably crafted deals for acquisition, recapitalization and growth financing.
Client Alert: Brexit - The Impact on Cost of CapitalDuff & Phelps
On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom held a referendum to decide whether to leave or remain as member of the European Union (EU). Against prior poll prediction, 51.9% of U.K. voters were in favor of leaving the EU, while 48.1% voted to remain a member. This decision is popularly known in the financial press as “Brexit”.
To assist in this discussion, on July 12, 2016, Duff & Phelps held the second of its Brexit webinar series entitled “The Impact on Cost of Capital,” featuring a panel of world-renowned cost of capital experts. The webcast focused on the challenges of estimating the cost of capital from the perspectives of U.S., U.K., and Eurozone investors in a post-Brexit world.
During the second quarter of 2016, acquisitive middle-market issuers capitalized on lenders’ increased risk appetite by entering into attractively priced and structured financings. The dramatic rally in Treasury yields (and other safe haven assets) triggered by the “Brexit” referendum at quarter’s end, augurs well for further improvement in domestic credit market conditions.
Duff & Phelps' Capital Markets Insights - Spring 2018 report states that leveraging costs and structures showed signs of increasing volatility in the first quarter of 2018, as markets reacted to rising economic growth, inflation concerns and trade tensions. Read the report for more detail.
Capital Markets Insights – Late Fall 2018Duff & Phelps
What’s been an increase in growth and acquisition-related financings and recapitalization transactions? Read the fall edition of Duff&Phelps’ Capital Markets Insights.
Buildup in dry powder is driving appetite for new issues and resulting in increasingly issuer friendly spreads and structures. For more detail, read the Duff & Phelps Capital Markets Insights – Summer 2018 report.
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Duff & Phelps
Prospective middle-market issuers are being greeted with robust demand from both traditional private credit investors and crossover public market participants. While monetary policy concerns weighed heavily on market participants for much of the first quarter, the Fed’s more dovish posture of recent weeks has triggered an increase in risk appetite across the credit markets.
Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | July 2019 | Bank M&A Mid-Year UpdateMercer Capital
Brought to you by the Financial Institutions Team of Mercer Capital, this monthly newsletter is focused on bank activity in five U.S. regions. Bank Watch highlights various banking metrics, including public market indicators, M&A market indicators, and key indices of the top financial institutions, providing insight into financial institution valuation issues.
Borrowing costs for middle-market debt issuers generally declined during the third quarter, despite a modest increase in leverage levels and little change in benchmark rates. The Fed, as expected, left benchmark interest rates unchanged in the third quarter, but did announce a program to gradually reduce its balance sheet from $4.5 trillion (a result of recessionary quantitative easing) to $3 trillion over the next three years. Thus, the prevailing combination of low borrowing costs, high leveragability and a generally benign default rate outlook, presents an attractive backdrop for issuance. This "perfect storm" of market conditions provides a compelling (albeit narrowing) window for middle-market issuers.
Now in its third year, Duff & Phelps' Global Enforcement Review provides analysis and commentary on global enforcement trends in the financial services industry. To compile this report, we studied published data released by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong in 2015 and recent years. We have also explored the enforcement trends specifically in various offshore jurisdictions in the chapter: The Changing Tides. As definitions and reporting standards vary across the authorities under review, certain data points may not be unilaterally comparable or available. We have nevertheless sought to examine figures from each regulatory body as indicative of wider trends in the global financial services industry.
From the Desk of the CEO.
The heat is on. While many of us have been vacationing in cooler climes, the Sensex has kept itself rather busy, gaining another 4% during the month of May. The upmove has come largely on the back of better-than-expected corporate results and expectations of a good monsoon. Markets are also taking cognisance of various indicators like improved auto sales, higher steel and cement offtake, public infrastructure spending, etc. which are positive signs of an imminent economic recovery.
Crude prices have silently crept up and are currently hovering at the $50 level, almost double from the January lows. So despite the adverse implications of higher crude prices on the Indian economy, there seems to be some positive correlation between crude prices and the equity markets. Though this pattern may not have always played out in the last few decades, the first few months of 2016 certainly seem to indicate so. The main reason for this is the significantly high weightage that the Energy sector has in indices the world over. When oil plummeted to sub-$30 levels, it seriously impacted the profitability of some of the world’s biggest corporations, not only causing their stock prices to fall sharply, but also impacting the broader markets in general. It also indicated a global recessionary trend, thus affecting investor sentiment and causing them to become nervous and risk-averse. The bounce back in crude has brought the price to a level that makes it profitable for companies to drill, creating a sense of well-being for both, the Energy sector as well as the countries whose economies are dependent solely on oil. Where crude prices go from here remains to be seen.
After several quarters of benign inflation, the WPI rose to 0.34% while retail inflation soared to 5.39% in April 2016. This, coupled with higher oil prices would make it difficult for Governor Rajan to announce a rate cut at the next RBI policy meeting on 7th June. Across the globe however, Janet Yellen’s comments on improving economic data in the US has the markets believing that a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve is a high possibility during its next meeting in mid-June. The outcome of Britain’s referendum on Brexit is also an event that we will be closely watching.
With markets factoring in all the good news for now, conventional logic says that short term investors need to be cautious. But when the stock market catches momentum, all negative predictions may be proven wrong.
There are of course, many more bulls than bears when it comes to a 1 year plus view. Long term investors may continue their investments and look to buy into any dips.
Wish all of you a happy monsoon season.
A noteworthy upward trend was recorded by the Government Bond Index in May that reached a record high of 401 points. Similar levels have not been recorded again since the construction of the index. Furthermore, for the first time, the index recorded a weighted average yield of 7.1%, which is well below its level one month ago. The agreement for the completion on the Greek program evaluation and the three-point plan for debt relief, gave further impetus to the upturn of the index which had already started in mid-March.
Despite a strong start in January, global stock markets became unnerved in the latter part of the first quarter of 2018. Rising trade tensions contributed to the unease investors exhibited as the US took a stronger stance on bilateral trade negotiations through the enactment of targeted tariffs.
USA Podiatry Market High Level OverviewNiraj Singhvi
This report is prepared by Maple Growth Partners, an investment research and strategic advisory firm.
The primary purpose of this quick-turnaround project was to provide a high-level market overview of podiatry practices’ growth prospects and market dynamics in the US. Our client, a US-based healthcare private equity investment professional, was largely interested in understanding the prevailing market trends, growth drivers, and podiatry economics.
Major pointers we highlighted for podiatry industry investment consideration:
- While podiatry overhead expenses has increased significantly, podiatrists are able to pass on the incremental cost to the patient/payer with a year in lag
- Current supply of ~13,000 podiatrists are most likely meeting sufficient portion of the unmet demand and this supply-demand gap will likely diminish going forward
- High student debt will likely inhibit incoming podiatrists to start their own practice and will likely compel them to join a group practice
- Podiatry is a local/regional play as opposed to other limited practitioners such as dentists which is truly a national play
Following trends were presented that influenced the economics of a podiatry practice:
- Gross income and net income for overall types of US podiatry practices have increased in recent years
- Contrary to the market perception, gross income for solo practices in the US has shown signs of decent growth in recent years
- On an overall basis (both solo and group practices) for net income, recently-formed group practices have been driving up the net income range for practices that are less than 10 years old
- They are utilizing new tech to differentiate themselves and to improve the diagnosis and treatment quality
- Podiatrists are looking to utilize assistance of nurse practitioners and physician assistants
- Share of older practices (>30 years) and aging podiatrists (>61 years) has been increasing in recent years
We had also included podiatry transactions in the previous 10 years; one-pager profiles of major competitors; and regulations by states.
Global bond yields are at historical lows which mean global bond prices have rallied across developed markets while S&P 500 is close to its historical high. This by itself is a dichotomy as bond prices and equity prices are not expected to rally together at the same point. Either of the two has to be true.
•Bond prices and yields are inversely related therefore, bond prices rally when yields and interest rates are expected to be low. Interest rates are expected to be low because growth prospects are low. This would entail the central banks to cut rates and because the demand for credits will be low due to the low growth prospects, the yields are expected to be low which explains the rally in bond prices. Considering this, the rally in the equity markets is not possible as there is no expectation for growth. This is the dichotomy that the global world is at particularly in the developed markets. In the light of the current scenario, either of the two has to give in i.e. either bond prices correct leading to normalcy in yields or equity markets give in.
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 resultsDeloitte UK
Find out more at http://www.deloitte.co.uk/cfosurvey
A new mood of confidence pervades the third quarter CFO Survey. Chief Financial Officers see fewer risks in the global economy and greater opportunities for expansion.
Key findings:
- CFOs' perceptions of external macro and financial risk have hit three-year lows.
- The financing environment for corporates has improved still further. Cost of credit is at its lowest and availability at its highest since the survey began in 2007.
- 54% of CFOs say now is a good time to take greater risk onto their balance sheet, a six-year high.
- Austerity is out and expansion is coming in. Cost control and cash conservation are moving out of favour. Expansion is, once again, the top priority for corporates.
About the Deloitte CFO Survey:
The Deloitte CFO Survey, launched in 2007, is a quarterly survey of Chief Financial Officers and Group Finance Directors of major UK companies. Over 300 CFOs, mainly from FTSE 350 companies, have joined the CFO Survey panel. The Survey captures shifts in UK CFOs' opinions on valuations, risks and financing and has become a benchmark for gauging financial attitudes of major corporate users of capital.
The Deloitte CFO Survey has been widely quoted in the media and is firmly established with policymakers. The Bank of England has cited the CFO Survey several times in its publications such as the quarterly Inflation Report and the monthly Trends in Lending report. The findings have also been quoted in the minutes of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee meetings.
Credit market conditions held steady in the fourth quarter of 2017, despite strong economic growth and tightening monetary policy. Read the Duff & Phelps' Capital Markets Winter 2018 report for more detail on current market conditions and trends.
Capital Markets Insights – Late Fall 2018Duff & Phelps
What’s been an increase in growth and acquisition-related financings and recapitalization transactions? Read the fall edition of Duff&Phelps’ Capital Markets Insights.
Buildup in dry powder is driving appetite for new issues and resulting in increasingly issuer friendly spreads and structures. For more detail, read the Duff & Phelps Capital Markets Insights – Summer 2018 report.
Capital Markets Industry Insights - Q1 2016Duff & Phelps
Prospective middle-market issuers are being greeted with robust demand from both traditional private credit investors and crossover public market participants. While monetary policy concerns weighed heavily on market participants for much of the first quarter, the Fed’s more dovish posture of recent weeks has triggered an increase in risk appetite across the credit markets.
Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | July 2019 | Bank M&A Mid-Year UpdateMercer Capital
Brought to you by the Financial Institutions Team of Mercer Capital, this monthly newsletter is focused on bank activity in five U.S. regions. Bank Watch highlights various banking metrics, including public market indicators, M&A market indicators, and key indices of the top financial institutions, providing insight into financial institution valuation issues.
Borrowing costs for middle-market debt issuers generally declined during the third quarter, despite a modest increase in leverage levels and little change in benchmark rates. The Fed, as expected, left benchmark interest rates unchanged in the third quarter, but did announce a program to gradually reduce its balance sheet from $4.5 trillion (a result of recessionary quantitative easing) to $3 trillion over the next three years. Thus, the prevailing combination of low borrowing costs, high leveragability and a generally benign default rate outlook, presents an attractive backdrop for issuance. This "perfect storm" of market conditions provides a compelling (albeit narrowing) window for middle-market issuers.
Now in its third year, Duff & Phelps' Global Enforcement Review provides analysis and commentary on global enforcement trends in the financial services industry. To compile this report, we studied published data released by the UK Financial Conduct Authority, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the U.S. Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, and the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong in 2015 and recent years. We have also explored the enforcement trends specifically in various offshore jurisdictions in the chapter: The Changing Tides. As definitions and reporting standards vary across the authorities under review, certain data points may not be unilaterally comparable or available. We have nevertheless sought to examine figures from each regulatory body as indicative of wider trends in the global financial services industry.
From the Desk of the CEO.
The heat is on. While many of us have been vacationing in cooler climes, the Sensex has kept itself rather busy, gaining another 4% during the month of May. The upmove has come largely on the back of better-than-expected corporate results and expectations of a good monsoon. Markets are also taking cognisance of various indicators like improved auto sales, higher steel and cement offtake, public infrastructure spending, etc. which are positive signs of an imminent economic recovery.
Crude prices have silently crept up and are currently hovering at the $50 level, almost double from the January lows. So despite the adverse implications of higher crude prices on the Indian economy, there seems to be some positive correlation between crude prices and the equity markets. Though this pattern may not have always played out in the last few decades, the first few months of 2016 certainly seem to indicate so. The main reason for this is the significantly high weightage that the Energy sector has in indices the world over. When oil plummeted to sub-$30 levels, it seriously impacted the profitability of some of the world’s biggest corporations, not only causing their stock prices to fall sharply, but also impacting the broader markets in general. It also indicated a global recessionary trend, thus affecting investor sentiment and causing them to become nervous and risk-averse. The bounce back in crude has brought the price to a level that makes it profitable for companies to drill, creating a sense of well-being for both, the Energy sector as well as the countries whose economies are dependent solely on oil. Where crude prices go from here remains to be seen.
After several quarters of benign inflation, the WPI rose to 0.34% while retail inflation soared to 5.39% in April 2016. This, coupled with higher oil prices would make it difficult for Governor Rajan to announce a rate cut at the next RBI policy meeting on 7th June. Across the globe however, Janet Yellen’s comments on improving economic data in the US has the markets believing that a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve is a high possibility during its next meeting in mid-June. The outcome of Britain’s referendum on Brexit is also an event that we will be closely watching.
With markets factoring in all the good news for now, conventional logic says that short term investors need to be cautious. But when the stock market catches momentum, all negative predictions may be proven wrong.
There are of course, many more bulls than bears when it comes to a 1 year plus view. Long term investors may continue their investments and look to buy into any dips.
Wish all of you a happy monsoon season.
A noteworthy upward trend was recorded by the Government Bond Index in May that reached a record high of 401 points. Similar levels have not been recorded again since the construction of the index. Furthermore, for the first time, the index recorded a weighted average yield of 7.1%, which is well below its level one month ago. The agreement for the completion on the Greek program evaluation and the three-point plan for debt relief, gave further impetus to the upturn of the index which had already started in mid-March.
Despite a strong start in January, global stock markets became unnerved in the latter part of the first quarter of 2018. Rising trade tensions contributed to the unease investors exhibited as the US took a stronger stance on bilateral trade negotiations through the enactment of targeted tariffs.
USA Podiatry Market High Level OverviewNiraj Singhvi
This report is prepared by Maple Growth Partners, an investment research and strategic advisory firm.
The primary purpose of this quick-turnaround project was to provide a high-level market overview of podiatry practices’ growth prospects and market dynamics in the US. Our client, a US-based healthcare private equity investment professional, was largely interested in understanding the prevailing market trends, growth drivers, and podiatry economics.
Major pointers we highlighted for podiatry industry investment consideration:
- While podiatry overhead expenses has increased significantly, podiatrists are able to pass on the incremental cost to the patient/payer with a year in lag
- Current supply of ~13,000 podiatrists are most likely meeting sufficient portion of the unmet demand and this supply-demand gap will likely diminish going forward
- High student debt will likely inhibit incoming podiatrists to start their own practice and will likely compel them to join a group practice
- Podiatry is a local/regional play as opposed to other limited practitioners such as dentists which is truly a national play
Following trends were presented that influenced the economics of a podiatry practice:
- Gross income and net income for overall types of US podiatry practices have increased in recent years
- Contrary to the market perception, gross income for solo practices in the US has shown signs of decent growth in recent years
- On an overall basis (both solo and group practices) for net income, recently-formed group practices have been driving up the net income range for practices that are less than 10 years old
- They are utilizing new tech to differentiate themselves and to improve the diagnosis and treatment quality
- Podiatrists are looking to utilize assistance of nurse practitioners and physician assistants
- Share of older practices (>30 years) and aging podiatrists (>61 years) has been increasing in recent years
We had also included podiatry transactions in the previous 10 years; one-pager profiles of major competitors; and regulations by states.
Global bond yields are at historical lows which mean global bond prices have rallied across developed markets while S&P 500 is close to its historical high. This by itself is a dichotomy as bond prices and equity prices are not expected to rally together at the same point. Either of the two has to be true.
•Bond prices and yields are inversely related therefore, bond prices rally when yields and interest rates are expected to be low. Interest rates are expected to be low because growth prospects are low. This would entail the central banks to cut rates and because the demand for credits will be low due to the low growth prospects, the yields are expected to be low which explains the rally in bond prices. Considering this, the rally in the equity markets is not possible as there is no expectation for growth. This is the dichotomy that the global world is at particularly in the developed markets. In the light of the current scenario, either of the two has to give in i.e. either bond prices correct leading to normalcy in yields or equity markets give in.
The Deloitte CFO Survey: 2013 Q3 resultsDeloitte UK
Find out more at http://www.deloitte.co.uk/cfosurvey
A new mood of confidence pervades the third quarter CFO Survey. Chief Financial Officers see fewer risks in the global economy and greater opportunities for expansion.
Key findings:
- CFOs' perceptions of external macro and financial risk have hit three-year lows.
- The financing environment for corporates has improved still further. Cost of credit is at its lowest and availability at its highest since the survey began in 2007.
- 54% of CFOs say now is a good time to take greater risk onto their balance sheet, a six-year high.
- Austerity is out and expansion is coming in. Cost control and cash conservation are moving out of favour. Expansion is, once again, the top priority for corporates.
About the Deloitte CFO Survey:
The Deloitte CFO Survey, launched in 2007, is a quarterly survey of Chief Financial Officers and Group Finance Directors of major UK companies. Over 300 CFOs, mainly from FTSE 350 companies, have joined the CFO Survey panel. The Survey captures shifts in UK CFOs' opinions on valuations, risks and financing and has become a benchmark for gauging financial attitudes of major corporate users of capital.
The Deloitte CFO Survey has been widely quoted in the media and is firmly established with policymakers. The Bank of England has cited the CFO Survey several times in its publications such as the quarterly Inflation Report and the monthly Trends in Lending report. The findings have also been quoted in the minutes of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee meetings.
Credit market conditions held steady in the fourth quarter of 2017, despite strong economic growth and tightening monetary policy. Read the Duff & Phelps' Capital Markets Winter 2018 report for more detail on current market conditions and trends.
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Mark...Mercer Capital
Mercer Capital's Portfolio Valuation: Private Equity and Venture Capital Marks and Trends Newsletter provides a brief digest and commentary of some of the most relevant market trends influencing the fair value regarding private equity portfolio investments.
U.S. MarketBeats provide an overview of quarterly CRE activity and trends, a snapshot of current economic and capital market conditions as well as market-level statistics on key metrics.
The U.S. economy in 2016 was characterized by steady growth in the face of uncertainty. The year began with steep declines in global equity markets in response to concerns about a slowdown in China, the Europe replaced Asia as the focal point of global anxiety after the Brexit vote. In the fourth quarter, the U.S. unexpectedly elected Donald Trump as President. Despite uncertainty, the economy continued to add an average of 180,000 jobs per month during 2016.
Rong Viet Securities - Investment Strategy April 2018Thomas Farthofer
In their recently published strategy report for April 2018, our partner Rong Viet explains that Vietnam's stable economic situation and a strong earnings season should lead to further gains during April. Risks to this positive scenario include a potential trade war between the US and China or rate hikes in the US.
Access to this presentation has been made possible through "Sao Bien. Room for Education", an Austrian-based non-profit organization and cooperation partner of Viet Dragon Securities.
Reprinted with the permission of Viet Dragon Securities. Not for US investors.
Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | December 2019 | 2020 Outlook: Good Fundamentals...Mercer Capital
Brought to you by the Financial Institutions Team of Mercer Capital, this monthly newsletter is focused on bank activity in five U.S. regions. Bank Watch highlights various banking metrics, including public market indicators, M&A market indicators, and key indices of the top financial institutions, providing insight into financial institution valuation issues.
Deloitte India: The beginning of new M&A sessionaakash malhotra
Learn about the changes that mergers and acquisitions are undergoing in the present era with Deloitte India. See More : https://www2.deloitte.com/ie/en/pages/finance/articles/the-beginning-of-a-new-MA-season.html
Grow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a TransactionKegler Brown Hill + Ritter
Presented by Eric Duffee and Michael Shaw, Copper Run Capital, on 10/17 as part of a Four Part Series. This segment of the series offered 8 clear steps to follow in pursuit of facilitating a successful transaction. It covered areas such as securing your assets, awareness of current market trends, a visual analysis of our current market update, and surrounding yourself with the right team.
Four months in, 2017 is shaping up to be a year of harvesting and replanting for the innovation economy.
The SVB Analytics team examined the private-company growth propelled by the large capital raises of 2014-15
and the subsequent plunge in large investments and exits in 2016. Given the activity we’ve seen in the first
quarter of 2017, we are forecasting significant harvesting of returns resulting from the last decade of sweeping
innovations.
Pacific Asset Management is sub-advisor to the AdvisorShares Pacific Asset Enhanced Floating Rate ETF (FLRT)*
2014 has seen the consensus of higher Treasury yields and economic activity fail to materialize. Lower rates and risk premiums have led to strong returns year-to-date. In this commentary, Portfolio Managers David Weismiller, Michael Marzouk, and Bob Boyd discuss the current market environment, outlook, and portfolio positioning.
*Effective but not available for sale at this time. Go to www.advisorshares.com for more information.
Data Digest #8: Vietnam Stock Market in the New Normal: Expensive or Relative...FiinGroup JSC
FiinGroup is pleased to present to you FiinPro Digest Report #8, published on 10 June 2021.
The stock market has been heating up over the past two months with the VNIndex breaking through both technical resistance and psychological mark of 1,100 and most recently at 1,350. Market momentum is driven by strong cash inflows from local retail investors while foreign institutions remain net sellers and share offering plans to raise capital given the booming market.
Concerns have been raised about the "rational" or "irrational" of the current market performance amid recent rallies of stocks of different sectors, including bank and brokerage stocks. As a data and information provider, FiinGroup would like to give a data-driven perspective to provide independent, objective and timely information in order to assist our customers in investment operation and portfolio management.
Download our full report: https://bit.ly/FiinPro-Digest-8-ENG
Mercer Capital's Bank Watch | October 2019 | 2019 Core Deposit Intangibles Up...Mercer Capital
Brought to you by the Financial Institutions Team of Mercer Capital, this monthly newsletter is focused on bank activity in five U.S. regions. Bank Watch highlights various banking metrics, including public market indicators, M&A market indicators, and key indices of the top financial institutions, providing insight into financial institution valuation issues.
How can hospitalist programs manage the ongoing shift to value-based care, along with operating costs and the challenges of managing, recruiting and retaining high-quality physicians? Read the report to find out.
Read Duff & Phelps’ detailed synopsis of the latest news and publications issued by France’s AMF affecting the asset management industry during the third quarter of 2018.
Healthcare Services Sector Update – October 2018Duff & Phelps
healthcare m&a advisory, best performing sectors in healthcare, healthcare services industry, m&a advisors in healthcare industry, Healthcare Services Index
In this edition of Regulatory Focus, the experts in Duff & Phelps round up the latest news and publications issued by the Financial Conduct Authority. Read more
Medical Device Contract Manufacturing Update – Fall 2018Duff & Phelps
The global medical devices contract manufacturing market was valued at $70 billion in 2017, and is forecasted to increase to $115 billion in 2022, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%. Read the Medical Device Contract Manufacturing Update Report for market trends impacting the contract manufacturing organizations (CMO).
The Duff & Phelps cost trend update is now available for both the Construction Cost and Equipment Cost indices. This trend update dates back to 2015 and shows how the last four years has been relatively stable for construction after a decade of volatility, while the equipment cost indices continues to show moderate year-on-year changes. Please be reminded that these indices are just average indicators of change and they are not absolutes. Duff & Phelps advises that after five to seven years, you should establish a new replacement cost basis by using a qualified valuation professional. Please contact Brad Schulz at Duff & Phelps to discuss establishing a new replacement cost basis.
In this edition of Regulatory Focus, the experts in Duff & Phelps round up the latest news and publications issued by the Financial Conduct Authority. Read more
Hedge Fund and Private Equity Fund - Structures, Regulation and Criminal RisksDuff & Phelps
Duff & Phelps Managing Directors Ann Gittleman and Norman Harrison discussed structures, regulation and criminal risks in hedge fund and private equity fund at the Annual FBI conference in Washington, D.C. Read more in this report.
Food and Beverage M&A Landscape - Summer 2018Duff & Phelps
M&A deal activity in the food and beverage industry remains active, with more than 270 deals closed over the last twelve-month (LTM) period ended July 31, 2018. Mega-sized deals continued to make headlines, with several North American transactions closing at multibillion values since our Spring 2018 report. The largest transaction seen was the merger between Keurig Green Mountain Inc. and Dr. Pepper Snapple Group, at a value over $25 billion. Other large transactions include, Conagra Brands’ $10.9 billion acquisition of Pinnacle Foods Inc., a manufacturer and distributor of branded convenience food products in North America, as well as General Mills’ acquisition of Blue Buffalo Pet Products, Inc., a natural pet food company for $8.0 billion.
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
If you are looking for a pi coin investor. Then look no further because I have the right one he is a pi vendor (he buy and resell to whales in China). I met him on a crypto conference and ever since I and my friends have sold more than 10k pi coins to him And he bought all and still want more. I will drop his telegram handle below just send him a message.
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
where can I find a legit pi merchant onlineDOT TECH
Yes. This is very easy what you need is a recommendation from someone who has successfully traded pi coins before with a merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
1. I N D U S T R Y I N S I G H T S :
Capital Markets
S p r i n g 2 0 1 7 R e v i e w
2. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Highlights
Following strong economic data
reports, investors expected the Fed to
announce a fourth rate hike in its
forecast for 2017. Unchanged
guidance led to a Treasury rally in late
March.
A stream of new money flowing into
loan and credit funds overwhelmed
new issue supply, driving pricing and
spreads toward new lows.
Loan issuance surged to recent highs
driven by refinancing, dividend recap
issuance and strong demand from
credit sources across the spectrum.
2
Compelling market conditions this quarter drove non-investment grade
and middle-market loan issuance volumes to the highest levels in several
years. Volume was dominated by refinancing and dividend recap
transactions.
New issuance terms – pricing, call protection and covenants – moved
further in favor of issuers as an expanding universe of credit providers
struggled to deploy capital. We noted particularly aggressive bidding
among credit providers newly empowered with multi-strategy investment
mandates.
Equity markets rallied strongly, reflecting a solid, if unspectacular,
macroeconomic backdrop, as well as optimism regarding regulatory and
fiscal policy under the Trump administration. Despite the setback on the
American Health Care Act in late March, the rally weathered a shift in
fiscal policy expectations as economic data and earnings forecasts
continued to support higher valuations.
Following the Fed’s rate hike in March, Treasurys rallied, driven by the
waning prospect that economic conditions would warrant a fourth rate
hike in 2017. The Fed, while still hawkish, left in place expectations for
two additional quarter-point rate hikes for the remainder of the year.
Finally, we observed a marked increase in market participation by
commercial banks, BDCs and, to a lesser extent, life insurance
companies this quarter. Banks benefitted from a generally rising rate
environment. BDCs, having largely worked through portfolio challenges,
are again trading above net asset value.
3. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Executive Summary
U.S. monetary policy garnered the attention of market participants this quarter,
especially as fiscal policy ceded center stage. The Fed maintained a moderately
hawkish posture in announcing a rate hike in March and a data dependent plan to
raise rates two more times by year end and three times in 2018 (each hike to be
25 basis points). The market reaction has, thus far, been muted, with Treasury
rates generally rallying in relief that policy makers did not adopt a more
accelerated pace of rate increases.
In spite of the modest pace of rate hikes in the Fed’s guidance, and an inflation
rate consistent with the Fed’s 2% target (2.1% in February), the Treasury market is
not without downside risk as a function of monetary policy. Of particular concern is
how well the market will absorb a selling down, as soon as the third quarter, of
Treasury and mortgage securities accumulated during quantitative easing
initiatives in 2008 and 2009. In addition, a selling down of inventory held by the
Chinese government (and related sovereign funds) could trigger a correction.
Conversely, U.S. Treasury yields remain an attractive safe haven, with yields
significantly greater than those of European and Japanese sovereign debt.
Inflow to middle-market credit providers was substantial, which drove pricing
downward and enhanced structural flexibility. In response to robust demand for
issuance, we observed a move by credit providers toward multi-strategy initiatives
in order to be relevant to a broader range of opportunities. We also noted growing
appetite for second lien debt, as traditional first lien buyers reached for yield.
Equities continued the rally begun in the fourth quarter with the S&P 500 having
increased 10% from Election Day and 5% since the beginning of the quarter.
Contributing to the rally were an array of positive economic indicators and
expectations for roughly 9% S&P 500 earnings growth in the first quarter (the
highest since 2011). Equities also continued to be buoyed by optimism that
corporate profits will increase due to the White House’s agenda of deregulation
and tax reform. Despite the setback on new healthcare policy, the rally has
weathered a shift in fiscal policy expectations.
Prevailing market conditions are compelling for middle-market issuers. In the first
quarter, issuers drove the highest quarterly non-investment-grade loan issuance
volume since 2014, fostered primarily by refinancing and dividend recap
transactions. Sponsors took advantage of robust market conditions, paying out
approximately $6 billion in dividends from loan issuance and pushing volume
toward recent highs.
3
4. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
LEVERAGE MULTIPLES
SENIOR
EBITDA OF $10MM – $20MM
2.50x – 3.50x
EBITDA OF $20MM – $50MM
3.00x – 4.00x
TOTAL DEBT
EBITDA OF $10MM – $20MM
3.50x – 4.50x
EBITDA OF $20MM – $50MM
4.00x – 5.50x
Indicative Middle-Market
Credit Parameters
4
6. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
High-yield volume increased in the first quarter of 2017 as companies sought to obtain
favorable deal terms in advance of anticipated interest rate hikes. Issuance was driven
disproportionately by refinancing activity. Dollar volume increased by 73.6% and deal
volume increased by 60.7% versus the fourth quarter of 2016.
Total High-Yield Bond Issuance
Source: LCD Comps
82.5 82.1
68.6
74.9
105.1
68.9
64.5
91.3 94.1
39.8
36.3 36.1
83.4
62.7
47.1
81.7
176
155
146 146
178
123
112
129
163
61 53 55
112 107
89
143
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
THOUSANDS
Total Bond Volume ($B) Number of Tranches
New
Issuance
6
7. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
596.4
547.8
606.7
481.5
621.8
508.0
671.7
436.9
662.7
602.5 604.8
397.4
693.7
501.0
715.4
644.2
1,103
1,054
1,211
1,026 1,214
1,142
1,190 896
1,248
1,026
1,152 879 1,155
1,007
1,129
999
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
THOUSANDS
Total Loan Volume ($B) Number of Deals
Total dollar volume of new loan issuance remained strong in the first quarter of 2017,
having experienced a modest decrease from the recent high of Q4 2016. Volume was
driven largely by refinancing and, to a lesser extent, dividend recap transactions.
Total Loan Issuance
New
Issuance
7
Source: SDC Platinum
Volume data includes deals reported as of 4/7/2017
8. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Total middle-market loan issuance reached a record high in the first quarter of 2017.
The pace of issuance reflected heavy M&A volume as well as a flurry of refinancings
and recaps.
Total Loan Issuance (EBITDA < $50MM)
294.2
217.0
275.9 266.8
306.1
231.3
256.2
174.3
303.0
245.6
269.6
169.7
321.7
256.4
341.4
380.2
854
796
915
800
952
897
895
675
939
805
886
685
905
812
902
779
500
750
1,000
1,250
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17-$20
$50
$120
$190
$260
$330
$400
THOUSANDS
Total Loan Volume ($B) Number of Deals
New
Issuance
8
Source: SDC Platinum
Volume data includes deals reported as of 4/7/2017
9. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Fund
Flows
After a sluggish start to the year, collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managers ramped
up issuance late in the quarter. While less than that experienced in the previous three
quarters (averaging $21.2 billion), CLO issuance was still strong relative to the
comparable period last year and consistent with its share of the institutional market in
the fourth quarter.
Total CLO Issuance
Source: LCD Comps
16.0 17.0
24.6
22.6
38.3
32.4
30.7 30.8
28.6
18.9 19.6
8.2
18.0
19.9
26.2
17.4
34
36
53
45
69
58
63
57
55
36
40
20
42 41
52
32
0
20
40
60
80
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
Total Fund Flows ($B) Number of Deals
9
10. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Net leveraged loan fund inflows were approximately $2.6 billion in each month of the
first quarter. Investors fled bond funds in the five weeks following the election – a
relative blip, as investors returned emphatically in the first quarter.
Mutual Fund Flows
Source: Investment Company Institute; Lipper FMI
Fund
Flows
10
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
($20)
($15)
($10)
($5)
$0
$5
$10
$15
MILLIONS
High-Yield Bond Fund Flows Leveraged Loan Fund Flows
Total Net Fund Flows ($B)
11. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Leverage Second lien loan volume increased as loan providers pressed for incremental yield.
Average purchase price multiples declined slightly to just below 10x, with sponsors, on
average, continuing to provide approximately 35% to 40% equity.
Leverage Multiple (EBITDA < $50MM)
Source: LCD Comps
11
4.7x
5.3x
4.5x
4.7x
5.1x 5.2x
4.8x 4.8x
4.4x
5.6x 5.7x
4.9x 5.0x 5.0x
4.8x 4.7x
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
First Lien Second Lien SubordinatedDebt/EBITDA Multiple
12. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
A record number of middle-market M&A deals were transacted in the first quarter of 2017.
Although dollar volume declined, M&A transaction activity expanded.
Middle-Market M&A Volume (Target EBITDA < $50MM)
126.5
264.0
181.5
135.7
207.3
199.5
166.4
194.3
164.7
262.5
174.5
132.7
207.4 208.9
230.8
152.1
2.1
2.5 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6
2.7 2.8 2.8
2.7
2.5
2.7
2.9
2.8
3.1 3.2
1.0
1.8
2.6
3.4
4.2
5.0
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
THOUSANDS
THOUSANDS
Total M&A Volume ($B) Number of Deals
(thousands)
Transaction
Volume
12
Source: SDC Platinum
Volume data includes deals reported as of 4/7/2017
13. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Dividend recap volume was driven by an abundance of credit availability. Terms – yield,
call protection and covenant structure – continued to move in favor of borrowers. In
contrast, fourth quarter recap volume was propelled by the specter of unfavorable
economic policy under an anticipated Clinton administration, with the majority of volume
taking place in the five weeks leading up to the election.
Loan Issuance for Dividend Recapitalizations
Source: LCD Comps
$27.3
$14.0
$10.7
$17.0
$18.3
$13.4
$4.1
$6.5
$15.2
$12.8
$3.1
$0.2
$14.2
$11.9
$21.6
$18.7
2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
Total Loan Volume ($B)
Transaction
Volume
13
14. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Yields Yields on widely traded leveraged loans fell approximately 28bps this quarter while
yields on high-yield bonds decreased by 19bps. The supply-demand imbalance,
particularly for loans, drove rates down. This rally proceeded in spite of the Fed’s rate
hike.
U.S. Corporate High-Yield Bonds and Leveraged Loans
Source: Bloomberg; LCD Comps
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
4.5%
5.5%
6.5%
7.5%
8.5%
9.5%
10.5%
HUNDREDS
Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield S&P/LSDA U.S. Leveraged Loan 100 All LoansYields (%)
14
15. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Spreads between the Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield index and the 10-year
Treasury yield decreased by approximately 22bps during the quarter. Demand for assets
drove rates and spreads downward.
Source: Bloomberg; LCD Comps
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
U.S. Corporate High-Yield Bond vs. 10-Year Treasury Spread
Spread (bps)
Yields
15
16. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Treasury yields remained roughly flat this quarter, with the 10-year yield decreasing by
approximately 6bps. The Fed’s rate hike this quarter and continued guidance for two
subsequent increases in 2017 had a nominal impact on Treasury yields, suggesting that
the market had already priced in the Fed’s actions.
Source: Bloomberg
2-, 5- and 10-Year Treasury Yields
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2 Year 5 Year 10 YearYield (%)
Yields
16
17. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Spreads between 2- and 10-year Treasury yields decreased by approximately 12bps
during the quarter, reflecting modestly greater sensitivity to monetary policy on the
longer end of the curve.
Source: Bloomberg
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2-Year vs. 10-Year Treasury Spread
Spread (bps)
Yields
17
18. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Macroeconomic
Update
U.S. economic data was generally encouraging in the first quarter.
Projected GDP growth was positive, though less than that of the fourth
quarter. The unemployment rate fell to 4.5% in March, while the labor
force participation rate remained around 63.0%.
U.S. Real GDP Growth
Source: Federal Reserve
First quarter data represents Atlanta Fed GDPNow Projection as of 4/18/17
Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
GDP Growth Rate
18
19. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Macroeconomic
Update
U.S. dollar exchange rates, while volatile throughout the first quarter,
ended the period largely unchanged versus major foreign currencies.
Although the Fed raised the discount rate another quarter point, further
increasing the disparity between U.S. monetary policy and those of Europe
and Japan, the Treasury rally at quarter end dampened the dollar’s rally.
U.S. Dollar Foreign
Exchange Rates
Source: Federal Reserve
Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
EURUSD GBPUSD JPYUSD
Foreign Currencies vs. USD
19
20. Capital Markets Industry Insights | Spring 2017
Contact Us
Michael Brill
Managing Director, U.S. Private Capital Markets
+1 212 871 5179
michael.brill@duffandphelps.com
Bob Bartell, CFA
Global Head of Corporate Finance
+1 312 697 4654
bob.bartell@duffandphelps.com
Steve Burt
Global Head of M&A
+1 312 697 4620
steve.burt@duffandphelps.com
Dave Althoff
Global Co-Head of Industrials M&A
+1 312 697 4625
david.althoff@duffandphelps.com
Josh Benn
Global Head of Consumer, Retail,
Food & Restaurants
+1 212 450 2840
josh.benn@duffandphelps.com
Brian Cullen
Head of U.S. Restructuring
+1 424 249 1645
brian.cullen@duffandphelps.com
Brooks Dexter
Global Head of Healthcare M&A
+1 424 249 1646
brooks.dexter@duffandphelps.com
Ken Goldsbrough
Managing Director, European Debt Advisory
+44 (0)20 7089 4890
ken.goldsbrough@duffandphelps.com
Howard Johnson
Managing Director, Canada M&A
+1 416 597 4500
howard.johnson@duffandphelps.com
Ross Fletcher
Managing Director, Canada M&A
+1 416 361 2588
ross.fletcher@duffandphelps.com
Kevin Iudicello
Managing Director, Technology M&A
+1 650 354 4065
kiudicello@pmib.com
Jon Melzer
Global Co-Head of Industrials M&A
+1 212 450 2866
jon.melzer@duffandphelps.com
Brian Pawluck
Managing Director, Canada Restructuring
+1 416 364 9756
brian.pawluck@duffandphelps.com
Jim Rebello
Global Head of Energy M&A
+1 713 986 9318
james.rebello@duffandphelps.com
20