Can Chip Investments Be Profitable?
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Investing in chip companies should be a profitable undertaking when the supply chain is disrupted and demand exceeds supply. So, why is Intel down when it is benefitting from a government program to greatly expand the US domestic chip sector? Can chip investments be profitable or will they be sink holes that eat your money? https://youtu.be/2wNW_mQuaxY
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presentation.pptx
The global shortage of computer chips is due to several factors including unexpected demand increases during the pandemic for consumer electronics, geopolitical tensions causing supply chain disruptions, and the difficulty and costs associated with chip manufacturing. The shortage is impacting global businesses, expected to increase consumer electronic prices and decrease automobile production. Key stakeholders in the chip industry include TSMC, Samsung, and GlobalFoundries, who are engaged in a competition that involves massive investments in manufacturing capabilities. Countries like the US and China are developing plans to bolster domestic chip production in response to the shortage and geopolitical concerns.
Semiconductors Final Project
This document provides an analysis of the semiconductor industry and three semiconductor companies: Texas Instruments, Skyworks Solutions, and Avago Technologies. It includes an overview of the semiconductor industry, historical performance, current conditions, and future predictions. For each company, it provides an overview, history, qualitative assessment, ratio analysis, and intrinsic valuation. The intrinsic valuation for Texas Instruments ranges from $61.29 to $64.03 depending on the treasury rate used, indicating the stock is undervalued relative to its intrinsic value.
semiconductor_industry
The document provides an overview and analysis of the semiconductor industry. It predicts modest revenue growth of 2.8% in 2016, driven by growth in internet of things and big data applications. The industry faces risks from a potential economic downturn in China, where many semiconductor companies generate around 40% of their revenues. However, increasing demand for areas like wearable devices, memory storage, and sensors is expected to support long-term growth of 6-9% annually. The document recommends an overweight rating for the semiconductor industry based on its positive earnings outlook relative to the S&P 500.
China Survey 2014, Published by China First Capital
China has ambitious goals of becoming a global high-tech power but has achieved little concrete success so far. While China produces many engineers and patents, it struggles with bringing together all the complex parts needed for high-tech manufacturing. For example, after over a decade of effort, China still relies on Russia for advanced jet engines and is roughly 30 years behind the US. Online retailers like Alibaba's Taobao are also disrupting China's retail industry, with malls seeing many vacant storefronts as consumers shift to cheaper online shopping.
TSMC Equity QUMMIF Report
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, manufacturing integrated circuits and wafers for fabless semiconductor companies. TSMC was founded in 1987 and has experienced exponential growth, capturing 81.8% of the foundry market in 2013. The company has numerous manufacturing facilities globally and over 440 customers, including major tech firms like Apple, Qualcomm, and Nvidia. TSMC's financial performance is strong, with high profit margins, increasing revenues, and consistent growth, outperforming its competitors. The company plans to invest $16 billion to expand its manufacturing capacity and take advantage of the growing demand for semiconductors.
Chips are down_ Micron will build a $100 billion semiconductor factory in res...
Micron Technology Inc. is set to invest up to $100 billion in a new semiconductor plant in New York, according to people familiar with the matter.
The move comes as the U.S. chipmaker looks to boost its output of advanced chips used in everything from smartphones to self-driving cars.
Micron is currently the world’s third-largest maker of DRAM chips, behind Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. But it has been struggling to keep up with demand amid a global shortage of chips.
The new plant, which is expected to be operational within two years, will help Micron meet that demand and allow it to better compete against its larger rivals.
It also marks a major investment by the company in the U.S.
Rethinking supply chains under trade wars
Future Watch signal: Trade war between the US and China has triggered the foreign companies in China to rethink their China strategies. Other than multinational companies and those without multi-product lines, are impacted the most, sometimes to the extend that the new situation threatens their business survival. Some companies fear that their businesses might enter into a complete standstill because of a small, low-value component that falls under the sanctions somewhere in their supply chain. Sourcing managers are already busy finding alternate sources in countries where the new US import tariffs don’t apply – at least at this moment.
Eastman Kodak Case Analysis
1. The document provides an analysis of Eastman Kodak Company and the digital imaging industry. It includes a brief history of Kodak, an external analysis of the industry and competitive environment, and an internal analysis of Kodak's financials, resources, and strategies.
2. Kodak struggled to transition from film to digital as demand for digital cameras and smartphone cameras grew. While Kodak had strengths in brand recognition and research, it failed to effectively transition its business model.
3. By 2012, Kodak filed for bankruptcy as it had billions in losses over the previous decade from its inability to adapt. However, the document notes that Kodak remained one of the largest brand
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presentation.pptx
The global shortage of computer chips is due to several factors including unexpected demand increases during the pandemic for consumer electronics, geopolitical tensions causing supply chain disruptions, and the difficulty and costs associated with chip manufacturing. The shortage is impacting global businesses, expected to increase consumer electronic prices and decrease automobile production. Key stakeholders in the chip industry include TSMC, Samsung, and GlobalFoundries, who are engaged in a competition that involves massive investments in manufacturing capabilities. Countries like the US and China are developing plans to bolster domestic chip production in response to the shortage and geopolitical concerns.
Semiconductors Final Project
This document provides an analysis of the semiconductor industry and three semiconductor companies: Texas Instruments, Skyworks Solutions, and Avago Technologies. It includes an overview of the semiconductor industry, historical performance, current conditions, and future predictions. For each company, it provides an overview, history, qualitative assessment, ratio analysis, and intrinsic valuation. The intrinsic valuation for Texas Instruments ranges from $61.29 to $64.03 depending on the treasury rate used, indicating the stock is undervalued relative to its intrinsic value.
semiconductor_industry
The document provides an overview and analysis of the semiconductor industry. It predicts modest revenue growth of 2.8% in 2016, driven by growth in internet of things and big data applications. The industry faces risks from a potential economic downturn in China, where many semiconductor companies generate around 40% of their revenues. However, increasing demand for areas like wearable devices, memory storage, and sensors is expected to support long-term growth of 6-9% annually. The document recommends an overweight rating for the semiconductor industry based on its positive earnings outlook relative to the S&P 500.
China Survey 2014, Published by China First Capital
China has ambitious goals of becoming a global high-tech power but has achieved little concrete success so far. While China produces many engineers and patents, it struggles with bringing together all the complex parts needed for high-tech manufacturing. For example, after over a decade of effort, China still relies on Russia for advanced jet engines and is roughly 30 years behind the US. Online retailers like Alibaba's Taobao are also disrupting China's retail industry, with malls seeing many vacant storefronts as consumers shift to cheaper online shopping.
TSMC Equity QUMMIF Report
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, manufacturing integrated circuits and wafers for fabless semiconductor companies. TSMC was founded in 1987 and has experienced exponential growth, capturing 81.8% of the foundry market in 2013. The company has numerous manufacturing facilities globally and over 440 customers, including major tech firms like Apple, Qualcomm, and Nvidia. TSMC's financial performance is strong, with high profit margins, increasing revenues, and consistent growth, outperforming its competitors. The company plans to invest $16 billion to expand its manufacturing capacity and take advantage of the growing demand for semiconductors.
Chips are down_ Micron will build a $100 billion semiconductor factory in res...
Micron Technology Inc. is set to invest up to $100 billion in a new semiconductor plant in New York, according to people familiar with the matter.
The move comes as the U.S. chipmaker looks to boost its output of advanced chips used in everything from smartphones to self-driving cars.
Micron is currently the world’s third-largest maker of DRAM chips, behind Samsung Electronics Co. and SK Hynix Inc. But it has been struggling to keep up with demand amid a global shortage of chips.
The new plant, which is expected to be operational within two years, will help Micron meet that demand and allow it to better compete against its larger rivals.
It also marks a major investment by the company in the U.S.
Rethinking supply chains under trade wars
Future Watch signal: Trade war between the US and China has triggered the foreign companies in China to rethink their China strategies. Other than multinational companies and those without multi-product lines, are impacted the most, sometimes to the extend that the new situation threatens their business survival. Some companies fear that their businesses might enter into a complete standstill because of a small, low-value component that falls under the sanctions somewhere in their supply chain. Sourcing managers are already busy finding alternate sources in countries where the new US import tariffs don’t apply – at least at this moment.
Eastman Kodak Case Analysis
1. The document provides an analysis of Eastman Kodak Company and the digital imaging industry. It includes a brief history of Kodak, an external analysis of the industry and competitive environment, and an internal analysis of Kodak's financials, resources, and strategies.
2. Kodak struggled to transition from film to digital as demand for digital cameras and smartphone cameras grew. While Kodak had strengths in brand recognition and research, it failed to effectively transition its business model.
3. By 2012, Kodak filed for bankruptcy as it had billions in losses over the previous decade from its inability to adapt. However, the document notes that Kodak remained one of the largest brand
Samsung Growth Pattern
1) The document discusses the growth pattern of Samsung Electronics from its founding in 1969 to becoming the largest electronics manufacturer in Korea by 1997.
2) It analyzes Samsung's strategic choices around product development, technology acquisition, manufacturing scale, export marketing, and building competitive advantages to compete against larger US and Japanese electronics companies.
3) Samsung followed a strategic path of first producing simple electronics through assembly and imports, then gradually developing more technological capabilities through reverse engineering and innovation to design and produce more advanced products.
China-United States competition and the Chip 4 Alliance
In the last years, the competition in the economic field between United States and China have increased. This achieved a new level when former US President Trump began a so called “trade war” against China after decreeing an increase in tariffs against a range of goods. With the new Biden administration there were some expectations that a kind of “truce” could be achieved, but this did not happen. Instead of that, not only the trade restrictions are in place, but the Biden administration is imposing a new range of measures to counter China.
These measures include new restrictions on the sale of goods deeming to be of high technology. Especially these measures look for to deny China the capacity to produce high end semiconductors, which are deemed to be the “brain” of every product, from a washing machine to a fighter jet. Currently the countries or economies considered to produce most of the high-end semiconductors (and the machinery, and parts and components needed to do that) are South Korea, Taiwan, US, and Japan. A U.S. initiative tries to bring them together and control the technology needed to produce them, in the so called “Chip 4 Alliance”. It seems the United States is embarking now in a “tech war” against China.
In this report the so called “Chip 4 Alliance” will be analysed. First, a review to the state of the semiconductor industry is given; second, a look is given to the feasibility of the initiative becoming a reality; third, the possible impact in China capacity to produce high end semiconductors is analysed; and fourth, the consequences for the rest of the world is assessed.
3 d semiconductor packaging
The demand for 3D semiconductor packaging market is globally expected to rise during the forecast period due to increase in demand for miniaturized circuits and short replacement period of electronics products, which are primarily constituted of integrated circuits manufactured with 3D packaging technology.
Why manufacturing will return to the U.S.
The document discusses how manufacturing costs in China and the US are converging:
- Rising wages in China of 15-20% per year will significantly reduce China's labor cost advantage over the US from 55% today to 39% by 2015.
- When total costs like transportation, duties, and real estate are considered, the cost difference between manufacturing in China versus some US states will be minimal within 5 years for many goods destined for North America.
- This convergence, along with rising demand in China and elsewhere in Asia, will lead some companies to bring production for North America back to the US, where manufacturing will be competitive for many goods within 5 years.
EDITORS PICK2,374 views Mar 30, 2020,0937 am EDTForbesCoro.docx
EDITORS' PICK|2,374 views| Mar 30, 2020,09:37 am EDT
Forbes
Coronavirus Highlights U.S. Strategic Vulnerabilities Spawned By Over-Reliance On China
Loren ThompsonSenior Contributor
Aerospace & Defense
I write about national security, especially its business dimensions.
President Trump has been criticized for highlighting the Chinese origins of the current coronavirus crisis. Whether such comments are constructive or not, the crisis has provoked a broader debate about the role that China plays in the American economy.
In the two decades since Beijing was admitted to the World Trade Organization, it has gradually eclipsed America’s preeminence as a manufacturing nation. For instance, the U.S. had two dozen aluminum smelters within its borders when the new century began; by the time President Trump took office, only five remained of which two were functioning at full capacity.
Chinese smelters have no inherent pricing advantage, so critics have correctly concluded that China became the world’s largest producer (and exporter) of aluminum through the use of subsidies and other trade-distorting practices. A similar pattern prevails in steel, which explains why both industries became early targets of Trump tariffs.
More broadly, China has tended to dominate production of every new technology in recent years, from smart phones to wind turbines to solar panels to commercial drones. U.S. officials are unanimous in agreeing that at least part of the reason China has become the world’s biggest manufacturing center is traceable to the kind of mercantilist practices supposedly banned by WTO rules.
What brought coronavirus into this discussion was Washington’s realization early in the pandemic of how dependent the U.S. has become on Chinese sources of drugs. The South China Morning Post reported in December that almost all of the ibuprofen and hydrocortisone, and most of the acetaminophen, consumed in the U.S. originates in China. So do many generic prescription drugs; even when they are manufactured in India or other countries, they often require active ingredients made only in China.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration admits it lacks the capacity to track the supply chain of imported drugs. The value of those pharmaceutical imports, at $350 million per day, exceeds the value of cell phone imports. The U.S. thus may have developed vulnerabilities in the availability of drugs needed during wartime without knowing it.
This is not a xenophobic fantasy. The last penicillin producer in the U.S. closed over a decade ago after facing price competition from heavily subsidized Chinese companies. The South China Morning Post found 80% of antibiotics consumed in the U.S. are made in China.
There is no indication this occurred with a military purpose in mind, but that doesn’t mean Beijing wouldn’t leverage what one author calls its “global chokehold” on drugs and their constituent compounds in a conflict.
But drugs are just the beginning of the problem. The U.S. h.
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::TABLE OF CONTENTS::
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Intel Warned Chinese Companies of Chip Flaws Before U.S. Governmen.docx
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The Economist May 16th 2020 591The 2010s were not a ha.docx
The Economist May 16th 2020 59
1
The 2010s were not a happy decade for
proponents of global trade. Though
fears of an increase in protectionism fol-
lowing the financial crisis of 2007-09 did
not materialise, nor did the growth of the
1990s and 2000s re-establish itself. Fi-
nance was tamer; China was richer and de-
veloping its internal market; transport was
no longer getting cheaper. As a share of glo-
bal gdp, neither global trade, foreign direct
investment, nor stocks of cross-border
bank lending returned to their 2000s peak.
And then, belatedly, fears about protec-
tionism came good with the election of
President Donald Trump. In 2018 he
launched a trade war against China; he ap-
plied tariffs in the name of national securi-
ty; his administration hog-tied the World
Trade Organisation’s appellate court.
Optimists might have seen the 2020s
getting off to a slightly better start. The
“Phase One” deal between America and
China, signed on January 15th, left tariffs
six times higher than they had been before
Mr Trump launched his trade war.
The covid-19 pandemic has since, by
curtailing trade across the Pacific, made it
very hard to see how China can increase
its imports from America in line with the
Phase One deal’s requirements. But that is
the least of the trading world’s worries.
The United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development is predicting that
covid-19 will reduce flows of foreign direct
invest-ment by 30-40%; the World Bank
expects remittances to fall by 20%; the
wto reck-ons trade could fall by as much
as a third. Much of this carnage is because
of crashing demand, not new barriers to
trade. But the crisis has not made
international com-merce any easier.
Travel bans, quarantines and a wide-
spread desire to stay at home even among
those not ordered to do so means that the
movement of individuals from place to
place, the one aspect of globalisation that
had continued from strength to strength,
came to a juddering halt.
Fewer passengers means fewer planes
means less room for air freight. In a fore-
cast of covid-related costs made this April,
the wto took into account higher air-cargo
prices, extra time spent in transit for goods
having to go through more stringent border
checks, and travel restrictions making
trade in services and the delivery of equip-
ment that needs bespoke installation more
difficult. Overall, the wto thinks the rise in
costs could be equivalent to a 3.4% global
tariff. For comparison, in 2018 the global
average tariff was around 8%.
As firms have foundered, fears have
mounted that foreign state-supported
companies will swoop in and snap them
up. The European Commission has urged
member states to be “particularly vigilant”
in making sure businesses are not sold off.
The German, Italian and Spanish govern-
ments have all tightened their processes
for screening foreign investment. The Aus-
tralian government is requiring that all for-
eign investments be approved by the For-
eign .
The Economist May 16th 2020 591The 2010s were not a ha.docx
The Economist May 16th 2020 59
1
The 2010s were not a happy decade for
proponents of global trade. Though
fears of an increase in protectionism fol-
lowing the financial crisis of 2007-09 did
not materialise, nor did the growth of the
1990s and 2000s re-establish itself. Fi-
nance was tamer; China was richer and de-
veloping its internal market; transport was
no longer getting cheaper. As a share of glo-
bal gdp, neither global trade, foreign direct
investment, nor stocks of cross-border
bank lending returned to their 2000s peak.
And then, belatedly, fears about protec-
tionism came good with the election of
President Donald Trump. In 2018 he
launched a trade war against China; he ap-
plied tariffs in the name of national securi-
ty; his administration hog-tied the World
Trade Organisation’s appellate court.
Optimists might have seen the 2020s
getting off to a slightly better start. The
“Phase One” deal between America and
China, signed on January 15th, left tariffs
six times higher than they had been before
Mr Trump launched his trade war.
The covid-19 pandemic has since, by
curtailing trade across the Pacific, made it
very hard to see how China can increase
its imports from America in line with the
Phase One deal’s requirements. But that is
the least of the trading world’s worries.
The United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development is predicting that
covid-19 will reduce flows of foreign direct
invest-ment by 30-40%; the World Bank
expects remittances to fall by 20%; the
wto reck-ons trade could fall by as much
as a third. Much of this carnage is because
of crashing demand, not new barriers to
trade. But the crisis has not made
international com-merce any easier.
Travel bans, quarantines and a wide-
spread desire to stay at home even among
those not ordered to do so means that the
movement of individuals from place to
place, the one aspect of globalisation that
had continued from strength to strength,
came to a juddering halt.
Fewer passengers means fewer planes
means less room for air freight. In a fore-
cast of covid-related costs made this April,
the wto took into account higher air-cargo
prices, extra time spent in transit for goods
having to go through more stringent border
checks, and travel restrictions making
trade in services and the delivery of equip-
ment that needs bespoke installation more
difficult. Overall, the wto thinks the rise in
costs could be equivalent to a 3.4% global
tariff. For comparison, in 2018 the global
average tariff was around 8%.
As firms have foundered, fears have
mounted that foreign state-supported
companies will swoop in and snap them
up. The European Commission has urged
member states to be “particularly vigilant”
in making sure businesses are not sold off.
The German, Italian and Spanish govern-
ments have all tightened their processes
for screening foreign investment. The Aus-
tralian government is requiring that all for-
eign investments be approved by the For-
eign .
When to Buy and When to Sell Bitcoin
Investment advisors use the word outperform to describe how Bitcoin and altcoins Solana and Cardano have been doing. This is a way of saying that an investment is doing well while withholding judgment as to why, how, or any future performance. It does give any in terms of when to buy and when to sell Bitcoin.
https://youtu.be/OLMY91gzTHc
Dangers of Investment Leverage
The rewards of using investment leverage can be impressive. However, the dangers of investment leverage are such that one needs to proceed with caution.
https://youtu.be/1c43BKp4PPY
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Similar to Can Chip Investments Be Profitable?
Samsung Growth Pattern
1) The document discusses the growth pattern of Samsung Electronics from its founding in 1969 to becoming the largest electronics manufacturer in Korea by 1997.
2) It analyzes Samsung's strategic choices around product development, technology acquisition, manufacturing scale, export marketing, and building competitive advantages to compete against larger US and Japanese electronics companies.
3) Samsung followed a strategic path of first producing simple electronics through assembly and imports, then gradually developing more technological capabilities through reverse engineering and innovation to design and produce more advanced products.
China-United States competition and the Chip 4 Alliance
In the last years, the competition in the economic field between United States and China have increased. This achieved a new level when former US President Trump began a so called “trade war” against China after decreeing an increase in tariffs against a range of goods. With the new Biden administration there were some expectations that a kind of “truce” could be achieved, but this did not happen. Instead of that, not only the trade restrictions are in place, but the Biden administration is imposing a new range of measures to counter China.
These measures include new restrictions on the sale of goods deeming to be of high technology. Especially these measures look for to deny China the capacity to produce high end semiconductors, which are deemed to be the “brain” of every product, from a washing machine to a fighter jet. Currently the countries or economies considered to produce most of the high-end semiconductors (and the machinery, and parts and components needed to do that) are South Korea, Taiwan, US, and Japan. A U.S. initiative tries to bring them together and control the technology needed to produce them, in the so called “Chip 4 Alliance”. It seems the United States is embarking now in a “tech war” against China.
In this report the so called “Chip 4 Alliance” will be analysed. First, a review to the state of the semiconductor industry is given; second, a look is given to the feasibility of the initiative becoming a reality; third, the possible impact in China capacity to produce high end semiconductors is analysed; and fourth, the consequences for the rest of the world is assessed.
3 d semiconductor packaging
The demand for 3D semiconductor packaging market is globally expected to rise during the forecast period due to increase in demand for miniaturized circuits and short replacement period of electronics products, which are primarily constituted of integrated circuits manufactured with 3D packaging technology.
Why manufacturing will return to the U.S.
The document discusses how manufacturing costs in China and the US are converging:
- Rising wages in China of 15-20% per year will significantly reduce China's labor cost advantage over the US from 55% today to 39% by 2015.
- When total costs like transportation, duties, and real estate are considered, the cost difference between manufacturing in China versus some US states will be minimal within 5 years for many goods destined for North America.
- This convergence, along with rising demand in China and elsewhere in Asia, will lead some companies to bring production for North America back to the US, where manufacturing will be competitive for many goods within 5 years.
EDITORS PICK2,374 views Mar 30, 2020,0937 am EDTForbesCoro.docx
EDITORS' PICK|2,374 views| Mar 30, 2020,09:37 am EDT
Forbes
Coronavirus Highlights U.S. Strategic Vulnerabilities Spawned By Over-Reliance On China
Loren ThompsonSenior Contributor
Aerospace & Defense
I write about national security, especially its business dimensions.
President Trump has been criticized for highlighting the Chinese origins of the current coronavirus crisis. Whether such comments are constructive or not, the crisis has provoked a broader debate about the role that China plays in the American economy.
In the two decades since Beijing was admitted to the World Trade Organization, it has gradually eclipsed America’s preeminence as a manufacturing nation. For instance, the U.S. had two dozen aluminum smelters within its borders when the new century began; by the time President Trump took office, only five remained of which two were functioning at full capacity.
Chinese smelters have no inherent pricing advantage, so critics have correctly concluded that China became the world’s largest producer (and exporter) of aluminum through the use of subsidies and other trade-distorting practices. A similar pattern prevails in steel, which explains why both industries became early targets of Trump tariffs.
More broadly, China has tended to dominate production of every new technology in recent years, from smart phones to wind turbines to solar panels to commercial drones. U.S. officials are unanimous in agreeing that at least part of the reason China has become the world’s biggest manufacturing center is traceable to the kind of mercantilist practices supposedly banned by WTO rules.
What brought coronavirus into this discussion was Washington’s realization early in the pandemic of how dependent the U.S. has become on Chinese sources of drugs. The South China Morning Post reported in December that almost all of the ibuprofen and hydrocortisone, and most of the acetaminophen, consumed in the U.S. originates in China. So do many generic prescription drugs; even when they are manufactured in India or other countries, they often require active ingredients made only in China.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration admits it lacks the capacity to track the supply chain of imported drugs. The value of those pharmaceutical imports, at $350 million per day, exceeds the value of cell phone imports. The U.S. thus may have developed vulnerabilities in the availability of drugs needed during wartime without knowing it.
This is not a xenophobic fantasy. The last penicillin producer in the U.S. closed over a decade ago after facing price competition from heavily subsidized Chinese companies. The South China Morning Post found 80% of antibiotics consumed in the U.S. are made in China.
There is no indication this occurred with a military purpose in mind, but that doesn’t mean Beijing wouldn’t leverage what one author calls its “global chokehold” on drugs and their constituent compounds in a conflict.
But drugs are just the beginning of the problem. The U.S. h.
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Keith Krach, chairman of the Center for Tech Diplomacy at Purdue, was recently spotlighted by Kearney Consulting as a preeminent technology diplomat.
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Click here to view the whole white paper.
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Investing in Chip Makers
If you are thinking of investing in chip makers don’t just look at the largest chip producers. This situation has favored older, less well known, chip makers such as Microchip, Marvell Technology, STMicroelectronics, NXP Semiconductors, Onsemi and Infineon.
https://youtu.be/8BT57sOmntE
Sf Economic Round Table Presentation
The document summarizes a presentation on the state of the high technology semiconductor industry. It discusses that the industry has undergone significant changes including moving value from hardware to software. It also explores trends like consolidation, outsourcing manufacturing to foundries, and the growth of the fabless business model. It concludes that continued demand driven by data, connectivity, entertainment and other factors could help drive a resurgence in the industry.
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Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corp. Makes an essential component for chipmaking that has grow to be the contemporary bottleneck for automakers and electronics organizations laid low with semiconductor shortages
Chips With Everything
The Global Semiconductor Industry
(Computer Chips)
::TABLE OF CONTENTS::
Overview & Background
Global Shifts & Patterns of Consumption
Production Costs & Technology Development
The Role of the State
Corporate Strategies
Case of East Asia
Discussion
The Internet of Things: The next growth engine for the semiconductor industry
The ongoing explosion of mobile devices---smartphones, tablets, ultramobiles, and wearables---continues to drive growth in the semiconductor industry. But it's the Internet of Things---with sensors in everything from automobiles, to electric meters, to refrigerators---that will drive industry growth over the next five years.
This in-depth report looks at 2015-2019 growth by component, region and application with particular focus on the role of semiconductors in the IoT ecosystem and how companies can capture value from this developing megatrend.
Tech Boom - Beginning or End War Room Slides
This document discusses the possibility of a new tech boom or bust by analyzing technology sector activity and historical scenarios.
It first examines how technology causes disruption in many industries and how this is transforming the economy. It then reviews current venture capital trends and notable winners and losers in tech.
Two historical scenarios from the 1990s are presented: 1) The tech boom from 1995-1999 where stock prices of tech companies greatly increased. 2) The dot-com bust from 2000-2002 where many tech companies failed after overvaluation.
Finally, it outlines three potential future scenarios: 1) "Tech consumes the world" where serious innovation leads to widespread changes. 2) "Dot com déjà vu" where speculative frenz
Intel Corporation ( Intc )
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The World’s Largest Tech Companies in 2018
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China: who are the new unicorns?
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Intel Warned Chinese Companies of Chip Flaws Before U.S. Governmen.docx
- Global stock markets have risen sharply in January 2018, with the S&P 500 up 7.5% for its best start to a year since 1987. Other indexes like the Hang Seng and Nikkei 225 are also up double-digits.
- Strong corporate earnings and economic growth are fueling the gains. However, some investors are nervous that stock valuations appear expensive by historical standards.
- The strong gains have intensified concerns about high prices in a bull market that is almost 9 years old, and comparisons are being drawn to the 2000 tech bubble. Overall, markets are displaying their most bullish positioning on record.
The worldwide semiconductor industry: Trends and opportunities 2016
The worldwide semiconductor industry: Trends and opportunities 2016
Today, the rapid pace of innovation and ever-expending use of technologically advanced devices including smartphones, tablets, flat-screen monitors, smart connected cars and medical devices is multiplying the number of semiconductor components being used around us every day. Digitization, connectivity and the internet of things (IOT) now promise solid growth for the global semiconductor market.
Discover how you can develop your business by looking at this market infographic from The Broker Forum.
The Economist May 16th 2020 591The 2010s were not a ha.docx
The Economist May 16th 2020 59
1
The 2010s were not a happy decade for
proponents of global trade. Though
fears of an increase in protectionism fol-
lowing the financial crisis of 2007-09 did
not materialise, nor did the growth of the
1990s and 2000s re-establish itself. Fi-
nance was tamer; China was richer and de-
veloping its internal market; transport was
no longer getting cheaper. As a share of glo-
bal gdp, neither global trade, foreign direct
investment, nor stocks of cross-border
bank lending returned to their 2000s peak.
And then, belatedly, fears about protec-
tionism came good with the election of
President Donald Trump. In 2018 he
launched a trade war against China; he ap-
plied tariffs in the name of national securi-
ty; his administration hog-tied the World
Trade Organisation’s appellate court.
Optimists might have seen the 2020s
getting off to a slightly better start. The
“Phase One” deal between America and
China, signed on January 15th, left tariffs
six times higher than they had been before
Mr Trump launched his trade war.
The covid-19 pandemic has since, by
curtailing trade across the Pacific, made it
very hard to see how China can increase
its imports from America in line with the
Phase One deal’s requirements. But that is
the least of the trading world’s worries.
The United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development is predicting that
covid-19 will reduce flows of foreign direct
invest-ment by 30-40%; the World Bank
expects remittances to fall by 20%; the
wto reck-ons trade could fall by as much
as a third. Much of this carnage is because
of crashing demand, not new barriers to
trade. But the crisis has not made
international com-merce any easier.
Travel bans, quarantines and a wide-
spread desire to stay at home even among
those not ordered to do so means that the
movement of individuals from place to
place, the one aspect of globalisation that
had continued from strength to strength,
came to a juddering halt.
Fewer passengers means fewer planes
means less room for air freight. In a fore-
cast of covid-related costs made this April,
the wto took into account higher air-cargo
prices, extra time spent in transit for goods
having to go through more stringent border
checks, and travel restrictions making
trade in services and the delivery of equip-
ment that needs bespoke installation more
difficult. Overall, the wto thinks the rise in
costs could be equivalent to a 3.4% global
tariff. For comparison, in 2018 the global
average tariff was around 8%.
As firms have foundered, fears have
mounted that foreign state-supported
companies will swoop in and snap them
up. The European Commission has urged
member states to be “particularly vigilant”
in making sure businesses are not sold off.
The German, Italian and Spanish govern-
ments have all tightened their processes
for screening foreign investment. The Aus-
tralian government is requiring that all for-
eign investments be approved by the For-
eign .
The Economist May 16th 2020 591The 2010s were not a ha.docx
The Economist May 16th 2020 59
1
The 2010s were not a happy decade for
proponents of global trade. Though
fears of an increase in protectionism fol-
lowing the financial crisis of 2007-09 did
not materialise, nor did the growth of the
1990s and 2000s re-establish itself. Fi-
nance was tamer; China was richer and de-
veloping its internal market; transport was
no longer getting cheaper. As a share of glo-
bal gdp, neither global trade, foreign direct
investment, nor stocks of cross-border
bank lending returned to their 2000s peak.
And then, belatedly, fears about protec-
tionism came good with the election of
President Donald Trump. In 2018 he
launched a trade war against China; he ap-
plied tariffs in the name of national securi-
ty; his administration hog-tied the World
Trade Organisation’s appellate court.
Optimists might have seen the 2020s
getting off to a slightly better start. The
“Phase One” deal between America and
China, signed on January 15th, left tariffs
six times higher than they had been before
Mr Trump launched his trade war.
The covid-19 pandemic has since, by
curtailing trade across the Pacific, made it
very hard to see how China can increase
its imports from America in line with the
Phase One deal’s requirements. But that is
the least of the trading world’s worries.
The United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development is predicting that
covid-19 will reduce flows of foreign direct
invest-ment by 30-40%; the World Bank
expects remittances to fall by 20%; the
wto reck-ons trade could fall by as much
as a third. Much of this carnage is because
of crashing demand, not new barriers to
trade. But the crisis has not made
international com-merce any easier.
Travel bans, quarantines and a wide-
spread desire to stay at home even among
those not ordered to do so means that the
movement of individuals from place to
place, the one aspect of globalisation that
had continued from strength to strength,
came to a juddering halt.
Fewer passengers means fewer planes
means less room for air freight. In a fore-
cast of covid-related costs made this April,
the wto took into account higher air-cargo
prices, extra time spent in transit for goods
having to go through more stringent border
checks, and travel restrictions making
trade in services and the delivery of equip-
ment that needs bespoke installation more
difficult. Overall, the wto thinks the rise in
costs could be equivalent to a 3.4% global
tariff. For comparison, in 2018 the global
average tariff was around 8%.
As firms have foundered, fears have
mounted that foreign state-supported
companies will swoop in and snap them
up. The European Commission has urged
member states to be “particularly vigilant”
in making sure businesses are not sold off.
The German, Italian and Spanish govern-
ments have all tightened their processes
for screening foreign investment. The Aus-
tralian government is requiring that all for-
eign investments be approved by the For-
eign .
Similar to Can Chip Investments Be Profitable? (20)
China-United States competition and the Chip 4 Alliance
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The Economist May 16th 2020 591The 2010s were not a ha.docx
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- 2. Investing in chip companies should be a profitable undertaking when the supply chain is disrupted and demand exceeds supply. So, why is Intel down when it is benefitting from a government program to greatly expand the US domestic chip sector? The stock is selling for $25 a share when it sold for $68 a year and a half ago. Intel is not the only chip maker whose shares are selling for less.
- 3. According to companiesmarketcap.com, market caps of all of the major chip makers are down over the last thirty days. These include TSMC, NVIDIA, Samsung, Broadcom, ASML, Texas Instruments, QUALCOMM, Intel, AMD, Analog Devices, Applied Materials, and Micron Technology. Can chip investments be profitable or will they be sinkholes that swallow your money?
- 4. Are Any Semiconductor Companies Profitable These Days?
- 5. You need to get down to number thirteen ranked by market cap to find a company whose market cap has gone up in the last 30 days. SK Hynix, SMIC, Nanya Technology, Aehr Test Systems, and Transphorm are the only five companies out of the top ninety-four to see improvements in their stock prices and market caps in the last month as of October 12, 2022.
- 6. By comparison chip makers generally were profitable in 2021 and a semiconductor company like NVIDIA is still selling for more than it did five years ago despite falling from its 2021 peak. What are the issues affecting these companies and is this sector a good place to put your money going forward?
- 8. Global Power Struggle for Semiconductor Dominance
- 9. The latest reason for chip maker stocks to go down is the ban on advanced chips going to China. The USA and China are steadily sliding into a Cold War stance not seen for decades. China’s support of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, its threats regarding invading and taking over Taiwan, its steady buildup and modernization of military forces, and its production of both advanced weapons and advanced computing technologies have all been seen as a threat to the US as well as the EU.
- 10. China, like Russia, is reliant on the US and Europeans as well as Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung for the most advanced chips needed to further its efforts to achieve global military and high tech dominance. The chip ban is part of efforts to forestall Chinese ambitions.
- 11. Effects of Chinese Chip Ban on Semiconductor Companies
- 12. Bloomberg reports on the initial effects of the chip ban on China with US suppliers starting to pull out staff at mainland Chinese chip companies. At Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. three US companies are getting ready to pull their employees and send them home.
- 13. These companies are Lam Research, KLA Corp., and Applied Materials Inc. This Chinese company is the most advanced in making memory chips in China and is on the “unverified list” of 30 organizations that the US Commerce Department will restrict from access to American chip technology.
- 14. It is unlikely, at least under the current administration, that these restrictions will be rolled back. The US views China’s chip ambitions as a strategic threat in that they are using this advanced technology to fine tune their advanced weaponry, model nuclear weapon blasts for testing, and pivot from intense surveillance of their own citizens to surveillance of their citizens across the globe.
- 15. The worst effects of the ban will be felt in China but US companies with business in China fell several percent on the news as well.
- 16. What Is the Long Term Outlook for the Semiconductor Industry?
- 17. Semiconductors are integral parts of virtually every technology and will likely continue grow in importance over the years and decades. Thus, the industry is expected to grow at a steady pace. According to KPMG, ninety-five percent of the leaders in the semiconductor industry expect to see growth of company revenue and two-thirds expect growth of eleven percent or more.
- 18. Almost ninety percent expect to grow their workforces and increase capital spending. Supply chain problems and other constraints on production capacity are the forces holding things back. More than half of companies believe there will be chip shortages through the end of 2023. All this having been said, can chip investments be profitable? Yes, they can. However, the biggest companies like Taiwan Semiconductor, Samsung, and Intel may not be the most profitable largely because they are big, mature companies.
- 19. Smaller chip makers that are targeted at profitable niches may be better choices. A major problem in this niche is that technology advances rapidly and a chip that is the best of the best today will be old news tomorrow! And no matter how advanced the chips are an economic recession will reduce demand.
- 20. For more insights and useful information about investments and investing, visit www.ProfitableInvestingTips.com.