Louisiana
            Processing Luncheon Meat
                    Since 1974




Cabot Food Company

Inventory Management for Enhanced Performance



                      Andy Wyatt

                    Jordan Drummel

                     Paul Kapcar




                   December 3, 2010
University of Tennessee




Table of Contents

Background
                                            1

Contribution and Cost of Good Sold (COGS) per Case
    2

2006 Sales Projections
                                2

Standard Deviation of Sales
                           3

Safety Stock
                                          3

Stock Protection Level Variation
                      3

Reorder Points
                                        4

Expected Service Level
                                4

Total Cost of Inventory
                               5

    Appendix A: Contribution and Cost of Goods Sold
   6

    Appendix B: Sales Volume and Order Quantity
       7

    Appendix C: Standard Deviation of Sales
           9

    Appendix D: Safety Stock
                          11

    Appendix E: Stock Protection Level
                12

    Appendix F: Reorder Point
                         13

    Appendix G: Service Levels
                        14

    Appendix H: Total Cost
                            15


Name of report
                                         i
University of Tennessee - Logistics 411




Cabot Food Company :
Inventory Management for Enhanced Performance


Background
Cabot is a well-established foods company specializing in luncheon meat and has been selling its products throughout
the United States since 1974. Though the company sold a variety of products, its competitive strength lay in two main
lines of luncheon meat: Lunch Delight and Tasty. 1

Lunch Delight Sales Projection Data

                    2004                                      2005                                      2006
                 $6,000,000                                $6,900,000                               $72,000,000
                    Actual                                    +15%                                     +20%


Approximately 50% of the sales revenue was attributable to direct variable costs for both the brands; 75% of the direct
variable costs were estimated to be actual meat costs (again for both the brands). These costing percentages were
expected to hold for the next few years. Lunch Delight was sold to retail outlets for $9.5 per pound.


                   Profit                    Actual Meat Costs                          Other Variable Costs

                                                   Sales Revenue



                                                      50%



                                                   13%            38%




            Approximately 50% of the sales revenue was attributable to direct variable costs for both the brands




1   Cabot Food Company by Rajiv P. Dant and Daniel L. Kurfees, Appalachian State University. Revised Spring 2007 by Funda Sahin.


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                           1
University of Tennessee - Logistics 411



Contribution and Cost of Good Sold (COGS) per Case
Cabot sells Lunch Delight to retailers at $9.50 per pound, shipments are packed in 30 lb. cases, resulting in a $285
cases. Cabot managers estimate 50% of sales revenue is attributable to direct variable costs, and of the direct variable
costs 75% are the actual meat costs. The current cost approximations are expected to hold for the next few years.
Under these approximations, each case sold has a 50% contribution margin; thus, $142.50 out of every $285 in revenue
remains after variable costs are deducted (see Appendix A for detailed calculation).


              Contribution                   Costs of Good Sold                        Other Variable Costs


                                             Per Case Breakdown




                                              $106.88             $35.63




                                                          $142.50




2006 Sales Projections
As mentioned previously, the 2005 sales indicated a 15% and a 20% growth over the 2004 sales level for Lunch Delight
for 2005 and 2006, respectively. Lunch Delight is shipped in 30 pound cases at a sell price of $285; each order placed
incurs a $40 ordering cost and a 20% inventory carrying cost. Cabot places orders in simple economic order quantities.



                                                       2(D)(S)
                                                        (I)(C)
                                      Formula utilized for Economic Order Quantity2

           D= Demand (annual), S = Order Placement Cost, I = Inventory Carrying cost and C = Product cost


Lunch Delight 2006 Sales Volume Projections (see Appendix B for detailed calculation):

       Annual Volume (cases)                     Average Daily Volume                   Economic Order Quantity
                25,264                                     101                                     308



2Commonly   termed EOQ


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                        2
University of Tennessee - Logistics 411



Standard Deviation of Sales
Cabot’s Lunch Delight product has a 25 case per day standard deviation of sales (see Appendix C for detailed
calculation). The standard deviation of sales was found using data provided by the sales department regarding
distribution of daily demand from retailers for 2005 on reviewing the last 50 working days:

Demand for Lunch Delight During Lead Time, 2005

                                      Cases                                    Frequency
                                        200                                        10
                                        202                                        11
                                        250                                        40
                                        260                                        11
                                        268                                        10




Cabot advised utilization of the following equation for standard deviation of sales calculation:




                                     Formula utilized for standard deviation calculation 3

                                              f= frequency and d= difference



Safety Stock
Cabot’s Lunch Delight product is transported from Texas to Louisiana with an average transit time of 5 days, however
due to the selection of rail as the mode of transportation, Cabot experiences lead time variation. This variation is a
standard deviation of 3 days. Cabot has selected a minimum stock protection level of 95% in it’s Louisiana distribution
center. This requires safety stock levels of 507.09 cases (see Appendix D for detailed calculation).

Safety Stock Calculation =


                                                   SS =    z-score * s’

                                     z-score is directly related to stock protection level


Stock Protection Level Variation
We calculate safety stock as a proportion of the stock protection level. The higher the protection level the more additional
inventory is need to suffice. The fifty day demand data present previous shows a normal distribution of demand, thus we
used 1.645, a z-score from a normal distribution z-score table that corresponds to 95%. Since the safety stock levels are



3   Difference in number of cases from expected value of cases


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                        3
University of Tennessee - Logistics 411



directly related to stock protection levels it is important to determine the effects of raising or lowering the stock protection
level where looking at an optimal service level (see Appendix E for detailed calculation).

Inventory and Inventory Cost Variation with Change Stock Protection Levels :

    Stock Protection             Inventory          Change in Inventory        Inventory Carrying      Change in Inventory
          Level                   (Cases)                  (Cases)                     Cost                Carrying Cost
          92%                       433                       -74                   $9,257.63                -$1,581.37
          95%                       507                                            $10,839.00                      -
          99%                       717                       210                  $15,326.16                 $4,487.15



Reorder Points
As show previously when Cabot alters Stock Protection levels there is a corresponding increase or decrease in Inventory
levels and the costs of inventory. Altering the Stock Protection levels also affects the Reorder point. This is due to the
method of calculating Reorder points:

	         	         	        	                ROP = (d)(LT) + Safety Stock

                                 d = demand (per unit of lead time) LT = Lead time (in days)


Reorder points for the different Stock Protection levels (see Appendix F for detailed calculation):

	         	         At 92% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 433.11 cases = 938.38 cases
	         	         At 95% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 507.09 cases = 1012.35 cases
	         	         At 99% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 717.01 cases = 1,222.276 cases



Expected Service Level
Changes in reorder points, as a result of changes in stock protection levels, yield a change in Expected Service Level. It
is important to set a service level that will allow minimized costs, while serving customers with consistency. Bellow
expected service levels are presented with their corresponding stock protection level, z score, and expected z score.
Expected z scores are found using a table and either the desired service level or z score (see Appendix G for detailed
calculation).




                  Stock Protection                              Expected Z-            Expected Service
                                                Z-score
                       Level                                       Score                    Level
                         92%                      1.405              0.0363                       96.36%
                         95%                      1.645              0.0209                       97.88%
                         99%                      2.326              0.0035                       99.66%




Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                            4
University of Tennessee - Logistics 411




Total Cost of Inventory

Total Cost of Inventory at 95% service level
Cabot requested a total cost calculation at a 95% service level. This allowed them to have a stock protection level of
about 89%. Total Cost were calculated using the following formula (see Appendix H for in depth calculation):
Total Costs =


         [ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ] + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit

Total Cost Components

    Order Placement       Inventory           Safety Stock          Stock Out              Inbound             Outbound
                           Carrying                                                    Transportation       Transportation
       $3,286.34          $3,286.34             $8,289.04          $113,511.83            $8,100.00            $3,240.00


Total Cost at 95% service level was $139713.54. Not surprisingly stock out costs make up the majority of total costs, for
$90 per stock out cost make each stock out a substantial cost. Also a 95% service level increases the amount stock
outs when compared to a higher service level.


                   Order Placement           Inventory Carrying                    Safety Stock
                   Stock Out                 Inbound Transportation                Outbound Transportation


                                       Total Cost Breakdown




                                         81.25%
                                                                               6%
                                                                    2.35%
                                                            5.93%
                                                                    2.35%           2%




                          The two exploded pieces combined comprise total transportation costs


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                              5
University of Tennessee




Appendix A: Contribution and
Cost of Goods Sold

*All data for Lunch Delight

Contribution Margin = $ 142.5 per case
Sales Price per Pound = $9.50
Pounds per Case = 30 lb.
Sales Revenue per Case =
         	         Sales Price per Pound * Pounds per Case
         	         	          $9.50 * 30 = $285
Direct Variable Cost percent of Sales Revenue = 50%
Direct Variable Cost per Case =
         	         Sales Revenue per Case * Direct Variable Cost percent of Sales Revenue
         	         	          $285 * 50% = $142.5
Contribution Margin per Case 4 =
         	         Sales Revenue per Case - Direct Variable Cost per case
         	         	          $285 - $142.5 = $142.5
Percent Contribution Margin per Case =
         
         Contribution per Case ÷ Sales Revenue per Case
         
         
          $142.5 ÷ $285 = 50%

Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case
Direct Variable Cost per Case = $142.5
Actual Product (meat) Cost Percent of Direct Variable Cost = 75%
Assumption: Cost of Goods Sold = Actual Product (meat) Costs
  Cost of Goods Sold =

         	         Direct Variable Cost per Case * Actual Product (meat) Cost Percent of Direct Variable Cost

         	         	          $142.5 * 75% = $106.88 per case




3 Formula given in 11/29/10 class session


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                             6
University of Tennessee




Appendix B: Sales Volume and
Order Quantity

*All data for Lunch Delight

Projected Annual Volume = 25,264 cases
2004 Sales = $6,000,000
Projected percent increase in sales over 2004 =
	        	         2005 projection = 15%
	        	         2006 projection = 20%
2006 Sales Projection =
	        	         2004 Sales * 2006 projection %
	        	         	          $6,000,000 * 1.20 = $7,200,000
Sales Revenue per Case = $285
Projected Annual Volume =

        
         2006 Sales projection ÷ Sales Revenue per Case

        
         
          $7,200,000 ÷ $285 = 25,264 cases

Projected Average Daily Volume = 101.05 cases per year
Projected Annual Volume = 25,264.16 cases
Cabot Working Days in a Year = 250 days
Projected Average Daily Volume =

        
         Projected Annual Volume ÷ Cabot Working Days in a Year

        
         
          25,264 cases ÷ 250 days = 101.05 cases per year

Order Quantity = 307.49 cases
Projected Annual Volume = 25,264 cases
Estimated Order Processing Cost = $40
Inventory Carrying Costs as Percent of Product Cost = 20%
Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case
Given: Cabot purchases meat from Texas Meat Processing Plant, Inc. in simple economic order quantities
Assumption: Cabot utilizes Cost of Goods Sold as the cost component of their simple EOQ calculation




Cabot Food Company
                                                                                      7
University of Tennessee




Appendix B continued

Order Quantity Continued:
  Economic Order Quantity =

        	         	
       Square Root of
        	       	         [   2 * Projected Annual Volume * Estimated Order Processing Cost
                              	         Inventory Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold          ]
        	

         	       	
        Square Root of
         	       	        [   2 * 25,264.16 * $40
                                 20% * $106.88      ]   = 307.49 cases

         	        	




Cabot Food Company
                                                                               8
University of Tennessee




Appendix C: Standard Deviation
of Sales

Expected Value (cases) = 241 cases
Observation: Demand pattern is unstable
Assumption: When demand pattern is unstable, Weighted Moving Average is the appropriate method for calculating the
Expected Value

    Instance of demand              cases            frequency                 weight ( w )
                                                                                                  (w) • (x)
            (n)                      (x)                ( f )                  ( f ÷∑ f )
                1                       200                10                      0.12            24.39
                2                       202                11                      0.13            27.10
                3                       250                40                      0.49           121.95
                4                       260                11                      0.13            34.88
                5                       268                10                      0.12            32.68
             Sum ( ∑ )               1180                  82                      1.00           241.00

Expected Value = 241 cases
	       	

        
          ∑ [(Weight for instance of demand n ) ( number of cases per instance of demand n )]

        
          
       
         
       
           ∑ weights

        
          ∑ [ (.12)( 200)+(.13)(202)+(.49)(250)+(.13)(260)+(.12)(268) ]
                                                                                          = 241

        
          
            ∑ [(.12)+(.13)+(.49)+(.13)+(.12)]
            


Standard Deviation of Sales = 25 cases


Standard Deviation of Sales Equation:
	




                                              f= frequency and d= difference




Cabot Food Company
                                                                                              9
University of Tennessee




Appendix C continued

                cases       frequency        difference ( d )
                                                                        d2    f • d2   f-1
                 (x)           ( f )             ( EV - x )
                 200             10                   41               1681   16,810   9
                 202             11                   39               1521   16,731   10
    EV = 241     250             40                   -9                81     3240    39
                 260             11                  -19               361    3971     10
                 268             10                  -27               729    7290     9
    Sum ( ∑ )                                                                 48,042   77

Sum of frequency multiplied by difference squared: ∑ f • d2 = 48,042
Sum of frequency minus 1: ∑ f - 1 = 77

Standard deviation of Sales = 24.98 cases





         
       
         

                                        48042
                                                     = 24.98

         
       
         
                                          77




Cabot Food Company
                                                                          10
University of Tennessee




Appendix D: Safety Stock

Safety Stock = 512 cases
Stock protection level = 95%
Corresponding z-score (Z) = 1.645
Lead Time (LT) = 5 days
Standard Deviation in Lead Time (σ(LT)) = 3 days

Standard Deviation of Sales (σ(D)) = 24.978


         Variance = σ(D)2 = 623.922

Average Daily Demand (d) = 101.053
Observation: Lead time is uncertain

    S’ = Square root of [ LT(σ(D)2) + d2(σ(LT)2) ]

	         = Square root of [ 5(623.92) + (101.05)2(3)2 ]
	         = Square root of [ 3,119.61 + 91904.71 ]
	         = Square root of [ 95,024.32 ]
	         = 308.26
Safety Stock =

         
          Z * S’
	         	          1.645 * 308.26 = 507.09 cases




Cabot Food Company
                                        11
University of Tennessee




Appendix E: Stock Protection
Level

Inventory and Inventory Cost variation with Change Stock Protection Levels :
S’ = 308.26
Safety Stock = Z * S’
Inventory Carrying Cost = 20%
Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case
Safety Stock Cost = Inventory Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold * Z * S’



              Stock Protection                                           Safety Stock          Safety Stock
                                             Z-score          S’
                   Level                                                    (Z * S’)               Cost
                     92%                       1.405        308.26            433.11               $9,258.06
                     95%                       1.645        308.26            507.09               $10,839.51
                     99%                       2.326        308.26            717.01               $15,326.86

Additional inventory calculation:
Assumption: Changes in inventory levels and corresponding inventory costs effect safety stock costs singularly. The
stock protection level will not alter the order quantity.


At Stock Protection level of 99%:
Additional Inventory held = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock levels - 99% Safety Stock levels |
	         	                = | 507 - 717 | = 210 Cases
Additional Inventory costs = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock costs - 99% Safety Stock costs |
	         	                 = | $10,839.51 - $15,326.86 | = $4,487.15
At Stock Protection level of 92%:
Reduction in Inventory held = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock levels - 92% Safety Stock levels |
	         	                = | 507 - 433 | = 74 Cases
Reduction in Inventory costs = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock costs - 92% Safety Stock costs |
	         	                 = | $10,839.51 - $9,258.06 | = $1,581.37




Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                   12
University of Tennessee




Appendix F: Reorder Point

Reorder Point Corresponding to Stock Protection Levels :
Economic Order Quantity: 307.49 cases
Safety Stock Levels (Z*S’):
	        At 92% Stock Protection: 433.11 cases
	        At 95% Stock Protection: 507.09 cases
	        At 99% Stock Protection: 717.01 cases
Average Daily Demand: 101.053 cases
Lead Time: 5 days
Reorder Point=
	                Average Daily Demand * Lead TIme (Same units as Demand) + Safety Stock
	        	          101.053 * 5 days + Safety Stock
Observation: Only Safety stock varies with Stock Protection level.
    
	        At 92% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 433.11 cases = 938.38 cases
	        At 95% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 507.09 cases = 1012.35 cases
	        At 99% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 717.01 cases = 1,222.276 cases


	




Cabot Food Company
                                                                       13
University of Tennessee




Appendix G: Service Levels

Expected Service Levels :
Economic Order Quantity: 307.49 cases
Expected Z score (Ez) :
	        At 92% Stock Protection: .0363
	        At 95% Stock Protection: .0209
	        At 99% Stock Protection: .0035
Economic Order Quantity = 307.49
S’ = 308.26
Expected Service Level=

        1- [ (S’)(Ez) ÷ Economic Order Quantity ]
    At 92% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0363) ÷ 307.49 ] = 96.36%
    At 95% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0209) ÷ 307.49 ] = 97.88%
    At 99% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0035) ÷ 307.49 ] = 99.66%



               Stock Protection                           Expected Z-    Expected Service
                                              Z-score
                    Level                                    Score            Level
                          92%                   1.405          0.0363          96.36%
                          95%                   1.645          0.0209          97.88%
                          99%                   2.326          0.0035          99.66%




Cabot Food Company
                                                                         14
University of Tennessee




Appendix H: Total Cost

Total Inventory Cost at 95% service level = $139,713.54
Service level = 1- [ (S’)(Ez) ÷ Economic Order Quantity ]
       95% service level = 1 - [ (308.26)(Ez) ÷ 307.49 ]
       1 - .95 = [ (308.26)(Ez) ÷ 307.49 ]
       [ (.05)(307.49) ÷ (308.26) ] = Ez
	           	         	          Ez = .0498
       
                  Z-Score (Z) = 1.258
Total Cost:

           [ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ]5 + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit cost
(D) = 25263.16 cases
(S) = $40
Economic Order Quantity (Q) = 307.49 Cases
(I) = 20%
(C) = $106.88
(Z) = 1.258
(S’) = 308.26
Stock Out Loss (K) = $90
(E(z)) = .0498
Average Daily Demand (d) = 101.05 cases
In-Transit Carrying Cost = 15%
Inbound Transit Costs: $8100
Assumption: Costs due to Lead Time Variation is accounted for in Safety Stock element of Total cost
Lead Time = 5 days
	           = (Average Daily demand * Lead Time) * In-transit Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold
	           = [ (101.05 Cases * 5 days)) ] * .15 * $106.88
	           = $8100
Outbound Transit Cost: $3240
Lead Time = 2 days
	           = (Average Daily demand * Lead Time) * In-transit Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold
	           = [ (101.05 Cases * 2 days) ] * .15 * $106.88
	           = $3240


5   Please note that the equation for inventory carry cost and safety stock costs have been combined in this equation


Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                                      15
University of Tennessee




Appendix H continued

Total Costs =


[ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ] + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit cost


[ (25263.16 cases)($40) ÷ 307.49 Cases ] + (.2)($106.88) [(307.49 Cases ÷ 2) + (1.258)(308.26)]
+ [ ($90)(25263.16 cases)(.0498)(308.26) ÷ 307.49] + $3240 + $8100


= [$3286.34] + [$11,575.37] + [$113513.83] + [$3240] + [$8100] = $139,713.54




Cabot Food Company
                                                                                                         16

Cabot Case

  • 1.
    Louisiana Processing Luncheon Meat Since 1974 Cabot Food Company Inventory Management for Enhanced Performance Andy Wyatt Jordan Drummel Paul Kapcar December 3, 2010
  • 2.
    University of Tennessee Tableof Contents Background 1 Contribution and Cost of Good Sold (COGS) per Case 2 2006 Sales Projections 2 Standard Deviation of Sales 3 Safety Stock 3 Stock Protection Level Variation 3 Reorder Points 4 Expected Service Level 4 Total Cost of Inventory 5 Appendix A: Contribution and Cost of Goods Sold 6 Appendix B: Sales Volume and Order Quantity 7 Appendix C: Standard Deviation of Sales 9 Appendix D: Safety Stock 11 Appendix E: Stock Protection Level 12 Appendix F: Reorder Point 13 Appendix G: Service Levels 14 Appendix H: Total Cost 15 Name of report i
  • 3.
    University of Tennessee- Logistics 411 Cabot Food Company : Inventory Management for Enhanced Performance Background Cabot is a well-established foods company specializing in luncheon meat and has been selling its products throughout the United States since 1974. Though the company sold a variety of products, its competitive strength lay in two main lines of luncheon meat: Lunch Delight and Tasty. 1 Lunch Delight Sales Projection Data 2004 2005 2006 $6,000,000 $6,900,000 $72,000,000 Actual +15% +20% Approximately 50% of the sales revenue was attributable to direct variable costs for both the brands; 75% of the direct variable costs were estimated to be actual meat costs (again for both the brands). These costing percentages were expected to hold for the next few years. Lunch Delight was sold to retail outlets for $9.5 per pound. Profit Actual Meat Costs Other Variable Costs Sales Revenue 50% 13% 38% Approximately 50% of the sales revenue was attributable to direct variable costs for both the brands 1 Cabot Food Company by Rajiv P. Dant and Daniel L. Kurfees, Appalachian State University. Revised Spring 2007 by Funda Sahin. Cabot Food Company 1
  • 4.
    University of Tennessee- Logistics 411 Contribution and Cost of Good Sold (COGS) per Case Cabot sells Lunch Delight to retailers at $9.50 per pound, shipments are packed in 30 lb. cases, resulting in a $285 cases. Cabot managers estimate 50% of sales revenue is attributable to direct variable costs, and of the direct variable costs 75% are the actual meat costs. The current cost approximations are expected to hold for the next few years. Under these approximations, each case sold has a 50% contribution margin; thus, $142.50 out of every $285 in revenue remains after variable costs are deducted (see Appendix A for detailed calculation). Contribution Costs of Good Sold Other Variable Costs Per Case Breakdown $106.88 $35.63 $142.50 2006 Sales Projections As mentioned previously, the 2005 sales indicated a 15% and a 20% growth over the 2004 sales level for Lunch Delight for 2005 and 2006, respectively. Lunch Delight is shipped in 30 pound cases at a sell price of $285; each order placed incurs a $40 ordering cost and a 20% inventory carrying cost. Cabot places orders in simple economic order quantities. 2(D)(S) (I)(C) Formula utilized for Economic Order Quantity2 D= Demand (annual), S = Order Placement Cost, I = Inventory Carrying cost and C = Product cost Lunch Delight 2006 Sales Volume Projections (see Appendix B for detailed calculation): Annual Volume (cases) Average Daily Volume Economic Order Quantity 25,264 101 308 2Commonly termed EOQ Cabot Food Company 2
  • 5.
    University of Tennessee- Logistics 411 Standard Deviation of Sales Cabot’s Lunch Delight product has a 25 case per day standard deviation of sales (see Appendix C for detailed calculation). The standard deviation of sales was found using data provided by the sales department regarding distribution of daily demand from retailers for 2005 on reviewing the last 50 working days: Demand for Lunch Delight During Lead Time, 2005 Cases Frequency 200 10 202 11 250 40 260 11 268 10 Cabot advised utilization of the following equation for standard deviation of sales calculation: Formula utilized for standard deviation calculation 3 f= frequency and d= difference Safety Stock Cabot’s Lunch Delight product is transported from Texas to Louisiana with an average transit time of 5 days, however due to the selection of rail as the mode of transportation, Cabot experiences lead time variation. This variation is a standard deviation of 3 days. Cabot has selected a minimum stock protection level of 95% in it’s Louisiana distribution center. This requires safety stock levels of 507.09 cases (see Appendix D for detailed calculation). Safety Stock Calculation = SS = z-score * s’ z-score is directly related to stock protection level Stock Protection Level Variation We calculate safety stock as a proportion of the stock protection level. The higher the protection level the more additional inventory is need to suffice. The fifty day demand data present previous shows a normal distribution of demand, thus we used 1.645, a z-score from a normal distribution z-score table that corresponds to 95%. Since the safety stock levels are 3 Difference in number of cases from expected value of cases Cabot Food Company 3
  • 6.
    University of Tennessee- Logistics 411 directly related to stock protection levels it is important to determine the effects of raising or lowering the stock protection level where looking at an optimal service level (see Appendix E for detailed calculation). Inventory and Inventory Cost Variation with Change Stock Protection Levels : Stock Protection Inventory Change in Inventory Inventory Carrying Change in Inventory Level (Cases) (Cases) Cost Carrying Cost 92% 433 -74 $9,257.63 -$1,581.37 95% 507 $10,839.00 - 99% 717 210 $15,326.16 $4,487.15 Reorder Points As show previously when Cabot alters Stock Protection levels there is a corresponding increase or decrease in Inventory levels and the costs of inventory. Altering the Stock Protection levels also affects the Reorder point. This is due to the method of calculating Reorder points: ROP = (d)(LT) + Safety Stock d = demand (per unit of lead time) LT = Lead time (in days) Reorder points for the different Stock Protection levels (see Appendix F for detailed calculation): At 92% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 433.11 cases = 938.38 cases At 95% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 507.09 cases = 1012.35 cases At 99% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 717.01 cases = 1,222.276 cases Expected Service Level Changes in reorder points, as a result of changes in stock protection levels, yield a change in Expected Service Level. It is important to set a service level that will allow minimized costs, while serving customers with consistency. Bellow expected service levels are presented with their corresponding stock protection level, z score, and expected z score. Expected z scores are found using a table and either the desired service level or z score (see Appendix G for detailed calculation). Stock Protection Expected Z- Expected Service Z-score Level Score Level 92% 1.405 0.0363 96.36% 95% 1.645 0.0209 97.88% 99% 2.326 0.0035 99.66% Cabot Food Company 4
  • 7.
    University of Tennessee- Logistics 411 Total Cost of Inventory Total Cost of Inventory at 95% service level Cabot requested a total cost calculation at a 95% service level. This allowed them to have a stock protection level of about 89%. Total Cost were calculated using the following formula (see Appendix H for in depth calculation): Total Costs = [ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ] + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit Total Cost Components Order Placement Inventory Safety Stock Stock Out Inbound Outbound Carrying Transportation Transportation $3,286.34 $3,286.34 $8,289.04 $113,511.83 $8,100.00 $3,240.00 Total Cost at 95% service level was $139713.54. Not surprisingly stock out costs make up the majority of total costs, for $90 per stock out cost make each stock out a substantial cost. Also a 95% service level increases the amount stock outs when compared to a higher service level. Order Placement Inventory Carrying Safety Stock Stock Out Inbound Transportation Outbound Transportation Total Cost Breakdown 81.25% 6% 2.35% 5.93% 2.35% 2% The two exploded pieces combined comprise total transportation costs Cabot Food Company 5
  • 8.
    University of Tennessee AppendixA: Contribution and Cost of Goods Sold *All data for Lunch Delight Contribution Margin = $ 142.5 per case Sales Price per Pound = $9.50 Pounds per Case = 30 lb. Sales Revenue per Case = Sales Price per Pound * Pounds per Case $9.50 * 30 = $285 Direct Variable Cost percent of Sales Revenue = 50% Direct Variable Cost per Case = Sales Revenue per Case * Direct Variable Cost percent of Sales Revenue $285 * 50% = $142.5 Contribution Margin per Case 4 = Sales Revenue per Case - Direct Variable Cost per case $285 - $142.5 = $142.5 Percent Contribution Margin per Case = Contribution per Case ÷ Sales Revenue per Case $142.5 ÷ $285 = 50% Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case Direct Variable Cost per Case = $142.5 Actual Product (meat) Cost Percent of Direct Variable Cost = 75% Assumption: Cost of Goods Sold = Actual Product (meat) Costs Cost of Goods Sold = Direct Variable Cost per Case * Actual Product (meat) Cost Percent of Direct Variable Cost $142.5 * 75% = $106.88 per case 3 Formula given in 11/29/10 class session Cabot Food Company 6
  • 9.
    University of Tennessee AppendixB: Sales Volume and Order Quantity *All data for Lunch Delight Projected Annual Volume = 25,264 cases 2004 Sales = $6,000,000 Projected percent increase in sales over 2004 = 2005 projection = 15% 2006 projection = 20% 2006 Sales Projection = 2004 Sales * 2006 projection % $6,000,000 * 1.20 = $7,200,000 Sales Revenue per Case = $285 Projected Annual Volume = 2006 Sales projection ÷ Sales Revenue per Case $7,200,000 ÷ $285 = 25,264 cases Projected Average Daily Volume = 101.05 cases per year Projected Annual Volume = 25,264.16 cases Cabot Working Days in a Year = 250 days Projected Average Daily Volume = Projected Annual Volume ÷ Cabot Working Days in a Year 25,264 cases ÷ 250 days = 101.05 cases per year Order Quantity = 307.49 cases Projected Annual Volume = 25,264 cases Estimated Order Processing Cost = $40 Inventory Carrying Costs as Percent of Product Cost = 20% Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case Given: Cabot purchases meat from Texas Meat Processing Plant, Inc. in simple economic order quantities Assumption: Cabot utilizes Cost of Goods Sold as the cost component of their simple EOQ calculation Cabot Food Company 7
  • 10.
    University of Tennessee AppendixB continued Order Quantity Continued: Economic Order Quantity = Square Root of [ 2 * Projected Annual Volume * Estimated Order Processing Cost Inventory Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold ] Square Root of [ 2 * 25,264.16 * $40 20% * $106.88 ] = 307.49 cases Cabot Food Company 8
  • 11.
    University of Tennessee AppendixC: Standard Deviation of Sales Expected Value (cases) = 241 cases Observation: Demand pattern is unstable Assumption: When demand pattern is unstable, Weighted Moving Average is the appropriate method for calculating the Expected Value Instance of demand cases frequency weight ( w ) (w) • (x) (n) (x) ( f ) ( f ÷∑ f ) 1 200 10 0.12 24.39 2 202 11 0.13 27.10 3 250 40 0.49 121.95 4 260 11 0.13 34.88 5 268 10 0.12 32.68 Sum ( ∑ ) 1180 82 1.00 241.00 Expected Value = 241 cases ∑ [(Weight for instance of demand n ) ( number of cases per instance of demand n )] ∑ weights ∑ [ (.12)( 200)+(.13)(202)+(.49)(250)+(.13)(260)+(.12)(268) ] = 241 ∑ [(.12)+(.13)+(.49)+(.13)+(.12)] Standard Deviation of Sales = 25 cases Standard Deviation of Sales Equation: f= frequency and d= difference Cabot Food Company 9
  • 12.
    University of Tennessee AppendixC continued cases frequency difference ( d ) d2 f • d2 f-1 (x) ( f ) ( EV - x ) 200 10 41 1681 16,810 9 202 11 39 1521 16,731 10 EV = 241 250 40 -9 81 3240 39 260 11 -19 361 3971 10 268 10 -27 729 7290 9 Sum ( ∑ ) 48,042 77 Sum of frequency multiplied by difference squared: ∑ f • d2 = 48,042 Sum of frequency minus 1: ∑ f - 1 = 77 Standard deviation of Sales = 24.98 cases 48042 = 24.98 77 Cabot Food Company 10
  • 13.
    University of Tennessee AppendixD: Safety Stock Safety Stock = 512 cases Stock protection level = 95% Corresponding z-score (Z) = 1.645 Lead Time (LT) = 5 days Standard Deviation in Lead Time (σ(LT)) = 3 days Standard Deviation of Sales (σ(D)) = 24.978 Variance = σ(D)2 = 623.922 Average Daily Demand (d) = 101.053 Observation: Lead time is uncertain S’ = Square root of [ LT(σ(D)2) + d2(σ(LT)2) ] = Square root of [ 5(623.92) + (101.05)2(3)2 ] = Square root of [ 3,119.61 + 91904.71 ] = Square root of [ 95,024.32 ] = 308.26 Safety Stock = Z * S’ 1.645 * 308.26 = 507.09 cases Cabot Food Company 11
  • 14.
    University of Tennessee AppendixE: Stock Protection Level Inventory and Inventory Cost variation with Change Stock Protection Levels : S’ = 308.26 Safety Stock = Z * S’ Inventory Carrying Cost = 20% Cost of Goods Sold = $106.88 per case Safety Stock Cost = Inventory Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold * Z * S’ Stock Protection Safety Stock Safety Stock Z-score S’ Level (Z * S’) Cost 92% 1.405 308.26 433.11 $9,258.06 95% 1.645 308.26 507.09 $10,839.51 99% 2.326 308.26 717.01 $15,326.86 Additional inventory calculation: Assumption: Changes in inventory levels and corresponding inventory costs effect safety stock costs singularly. The stock protection level will not alter the order quantity. At Stock Protection level of 99%: Additional Inventory held = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock levels - 99% Safety Stock levels | = | 507 - 717 | = 210 Cases Additional Inventory costs = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock costs - 99% Safety Stock costs | = | $10,839.51 - $15,326.86 | = $4,487.15 At Stock Protection level of 92%: Reduction in Inventory held = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock levels - 92% Safety Stock levels | = | 507 - 433 | = 74 Cases Reduction in Inventory costs = Absolute Value | 95% Safety Stock costs - 92% Safety Stock costs | = | $10,839.51 - $9,258.06 | = $1,581.37 Cabot Food Company 12
  • 15.
    University of Tennessee AppendixF: Reorder Point Reorder Point Corresponding to Stock Protection Levels : Economic Order Quantity: 307.49 cases Safety Stock Levels (Z*S’): At 92% Stock Protection: 433.11 cases At 95% Stock Protection: 507.09 cases At 99% Stock Protection: 717.01 cases Average Daily Demand: 101.053 cases Lead Time: 5 days Reorder Point= Average Daily Demand * Lead TIme (Same units as Demand) + Safety Stock 101.053 * 5 days + Safety Stock Observation: Only Safety stock varies with Stock Protection level. At 92% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 433.11 cases = 938.38 cases At 95% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 507.09 cases = 1012.35 cases At 99% Stock Protection: 505.265 + 717.01 cases = 1,222.276 cases Cabot Food Company 13
  • 16.
    University of Tennessee AppendixG: Service Levels Expected Service Levels : Economic Order Quantity: 307.49 cases Expected Z score (Ez) : At 92% Stock Protection: .0363 At 95% Stock Protection: .0209 At 99% Stock Protection: .0035 Economic Order Quantity = 307.49 S’ = 308.26 Expected Service Level= 1- [ (S’)(Ez) ÷ Economic Order Quantity ] At 92% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0363) ÷ 307.49 ] = 96.36% At 95% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0209) ÷ 307.49 ] = 97.88% At 99% Stock Protection: 1 - [ (308.26)(.0035) ÷ 307.49 ] = 99.66% Stock Protection Expected Z- Expected Service Z-score Level Score Level 92% 1.405 0.0363 96.36% 95% 1.645 0.0209 97.88% 99% 2.326 0.0035 99.66% Cabot Food Company 14
  • 17.
    University of Tennessee AppendixH: Total Cost Total Inventory Cost at 95% service level = $139,713.54 Service level = 1- [ (S’)(Ez) ÷ Economic Order Quantity ] 95% service level = 1 - [ (308.26)(Ez) ÷ 307.49 ] 1 - .95 = [ (308.26)(Ez) ÷ 307.49 ] [ (.05)(307.49) ÷ (308.26) ] = Ez Ez = .0498 Z-Score (Z) = 1.258 Total Cost: [ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ]5 + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit cost (D) = 25263.16 cases (S) = $40 Economic Order Quantity (Q) = 307.49 Cases (I) = 20% (C) = $106.88 (Z) = 1.258 (S’) = 308.26 Stock Out Loss (K) = $90 (E(z)) = .0498 Average Daily Demand (d) = 101.05 cases In-Transit Carrying Cost = 15% Inbound Transit Costs: $8100 Assumption: Costs due to Lead Time Variation is accounted for in Safety Stock element of Total cost Lead Time = 5 days = (Average Daily demand * Lead Time) * In-transit Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold = [ (101.05 Cases * 5 days)) ] * .15 * $106.88 = $8100 Outbound Transit Cost: $3240 Lead Time = 2 days = (Average Daily demand * Lead Time) * In-transit Carrying Cost * Cost of Goods Sold = [ (101.05 Cases * 2 days) ] * .15 * $106.88 = $3240 5 Please note that the equation for inventory carry cost and safety stock costs have been combined in this equation Cabot Food Company 15
  • 18.
    University of Tennessee AppendixH continued Total Costs = [ (D)(S) ÷ Q ] + (I)(C) * [ (Q ÷ 2) + (Z)(S’) ] + [ (k)(D)(E(z))(S’) ÷ Q ] + Outbound Transit Cost + Inbound transit cost [ (25263.16 cases)($40) ÷ 307.49 Cases ] + (.2)($106.88) [(307.49 Cases ÷ 2) + (1.258)(308.26)] + [ ($90)(25263.16 cases)(.0498)(308.26) ÷ 307.49] + $3240 + $8100 = [$3286.34] + [$11,575.37] + [$113513.83] + [$3240] + [$8100] = $139,713.54 Cabot Food Company 16