Economic Feasibility
Study
INVESTMENT EVALUATION PROCEDURE FOR A
CASE STUDY WITH THREE ALTERNATIVES
Presented By:
Hossein Khoodaverdipoursarbandi 40003814
Adel Khoieiniha 40003181
Sadaf Khoshgoftar 27737882
Mohammadreza Moshayedi 40019305
Roham Narenjiha 27819811
Presented to:
Dr. Budawara
BLDG 6561
MARCH 31th, 2016
Outline
1. Introduction
2. Project Description
3. Project Costs
4. Project Income
5. Assumptions
6. Analysis of Alternatives
7. Comparison of Alternatives
8. Sensitivity Analysis
9. Break Even Analysis
10. Risk Analysis
2
Introduction
A feasibility study is conducted for an investor interested in the real
estate development in Montreal market:
3
 Retrofit and sale of a residential property
 Construction and sale of a 4 storey residential property
 Construction and sale & Rental of a 4 storey residential
property
Introduction Project
Description
Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Project Description
Residential property in lake shore area in Montreal, Quebec.
– Location: H9S4H4 63 point Clair lake shore ,Montreal
– Type: 2 story slab, structural masonry warehouse.
– Size: 9573 sq. ft.
– Length: 174 sq.ft.
– Widgh: 55 sq.ft.
– Age of building 1937
4
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Project Description
5
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Zoning Overview
5
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Near highway 20
Near lake shore
Project Description (Retrofit)
6
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Existing building
Ground 1,299
square
feet
1st floor 484
square
feet
total 1,783
square
feet
Project Description(4 Storey Building)
7
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Project Description
8
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Project Description
9
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Project Description
Percent Utilization of Building Space
10
Resource: Quebec Building Code
Introduction Project Description Project Costs
Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Storey % of
Utilization
Net Area (sq. ft.) Livable
Area
Ground 36% 3,233 1466
1st floor 39% 3,487 3187
2nd floor 39% 3,487 3187
3rd floor 39% 3,487 3187
Total Area 15,477 11027
Project Costs
Land cost: $ 200,000
Building Cost: $326,016 tax included
Construction cost:
Marketing cost:
11
Introduction
Project
Description Project Costs Project
Income
Assumptions Analysis
Retrofit Residential Building $ 86,351 48.43$/SF
Construction Residential Building $ 1,488,645 135$/SF
Alternative 1 - Retrofit. + sale 4.0%
Alternative 2 - Res + sale 4.0%
Alternative 3 - Res + sale & rent 1.5% & 4.0%
Project Income
12
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Income Schedule of Residential Sale Units
Floor
Total Gross
Area of Land
Percentage of Livable
Area
Total Net Area Price per square feet Total Amount
ft2
% ft2
$ / ft2
$
Ground 9,573 36% 1466 263.6 $386,394.73
1st floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00
2nd floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00
3rd floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00
Total $2,906,394.73
Income Schedule of Retrofit Sale Units
Floor
Total Gross
Area of Land
Percentage of
Livable Area
Total Net
Area
welcome,school
and municial tax
Unit Price
Total
Amount
ft2
% ft2
$ / Unit $
House 9,573 19% 1,783 -5984 272 $478,992
Project Income
13
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Income Schedule of Residential Rental Units
Floor
Total Gross
Area of Land
Percentage of rentable
Area
Total Net Area
Price per square feet
per month
Total Amount
ft2
% ft2
$ / ft2
$
Ground 9573 36% 1466 $1.32 $1,931.97
1st floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00
2nd floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00
3rd floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00
Total $14,531.97
Assumptions
14
MARR:
WACC = Debt Cost + Equity Cost
Debt Cost = %Debt * %Debt Interest Rate * [1-Tax Rate]
Equity Cost = %Equity * Factors,
Factors = Risk Free Rate + Beta*[Risk Market Rate – Risk Free Rate]
MARR = WACC + Profit Percentage
Introduction Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Assumptions
15
Risk free rate (Rf) used for 41 countries in 2015
Market risk premium (MRP) used for 41 countries in 2015
Introduction Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Assumptions
16
 Inflation Rate (Bank of Canada): 1.61%.
 Construction Duration : 1 year Retrofit & 2 years Residential Building
 Study Horizon : 30 years
 Property Tax (City of Montreal):
 property tax 0.9177% annually
 Depreciation (Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) ): 4%
 Appreciation (Canadian real state association): 2.5%
 Income tax rate (Federal & Government of Quebec): 26.9%
Introduction Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Loan
17
Introduction Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Retrofit Existing Building
Description Loan Interest Type of loan $ Amount
Total Taken
Loan
House price ( we take a
loan of 70% house price)
2.9%
Buying a house with 30%
Down Payment
$326,016 $228,211
Using Line of credit for
30% rest of house price
3.5%
Line of Credit for all other
possible costs
$97,805
$201,393
the whole Renovation
cost
$86,351
The whole interest of line
of credit
$5,838
loan payment of house $11,400
4 storey Residential Building
Borrowing details Total loan we take the loan in 3 parts ,in first year
Total bank loan ( 80% of the
total amount of construction
cost and house price)
$1,451,729 $483,909.60 $483,909.60 $483,909.60
Interest 8% $38,712.77 $25,808.51 $12,904.26
Analysis of Alternatives
18
Analysis of Alternative 1: Retrofit and sale of House
 Cost of House : $326,016 tax included
 Cost to construction: $86,351
 Amount of money loaned: $429,605
 Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan
 Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, hence, we will repeat
this project 30 times
 Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units
 Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer
 Income for sale of units: $478,992
 Before-tax MARR: 10%
 After-tax MARR: 7.6%
 Income tax rate: 26.90%
 Depreciation and appreciation not considered for this alternative
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Analysis of Alternatives
19
Analysis of Alternative 1: Before Tax Cash Flow
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
($350,000.00)
($250,000.00)
($150,000.00)
($50,000.00)
$50,000.00
$150,000.00
$250,000.00
$350,000.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
EOY
Renovated Residential Selling BTCF
20
Analysis of Alternative 1: After Tax Cash Flow
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
($450,000.00)
($350,000.00)
($250,000.00)
($150,000.00)
($50,000.00)
$50,000.00
$150,000.00
$250,000.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
EOY
Renovated Residential Selling ATCF With Inflation
21
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Selling Renovated Residential Properties in the first year
ATCF-Plan #1
EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.61%)
LCF
Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (1,61%)
Interest Principal
0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($429,604.69) ($429,604.69) ($429,604.69)
1 $373,481.92 $379,494.98 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $367,196.50 $98,775.86 $262,407.58 $268,420.64
2 $47,465.92 $48,230.12 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $35,931.64 $9,665.61 $25,501.83 $26,266.03
3 $47,465.92 $49,006.63 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $36,708.15 $9,874.49 $25,292.95 $26,833.66
4 $47,465.92 $49,795.63 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $37,497.15 $10,086.73 $25,080.71 $27,410.42
5 $47,465.92 $50,597.34 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $38,298.86 $10,302.39 $24,865.05 $27,996.47
6 $47,465.92 $51,411.96 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $39,113.48 $10,521.53 $24,645.91 $28,591.95
7 $47,465.92 $52,239.69 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $39,941.21 $10,744.19 $24,423.25 $29,197.03
8 $47,465.92 $53,080.75 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $40,782.27 $10,970.43 $24,197.01 $29,811.84
9 $47,465.92 $53,935.35 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $41,636.87 $11,200.32 $23,967.12 $30,436.55
10 $47,465.92 $54,803.71 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $42,505.23 $11,433.91 $23,733.53 $31,071.32
11 $47,465.92 $55,686.05 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $43,387.57 $11,671.26 $23,496.18 $31,716.31
12 $47,465.92 $56,582.60 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $44,284.12 $11,912.43 $23,255.01 $32,371.69
13 $47,465.92 $57,493.58 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $45,195.10 $12,157.48 $23,009.96 $33,037.62
14 $47,465.92 $58,419.22 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $46,120.74 $12,406.48 $22,760.96 $33,714.26
15 $47,465.92 $59,359.77 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $47,061.29 $12,659.49 $22,507.95 $34,401.80
16 $47,465.92 $60,315.46 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $48,016.98 $12,916.57 $22,250.87 $35,100.42
17 $47,465.92 $61,286.54 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $48,988.06 $13,177.79 $21,989.65 $35,810.27
18 $47,465.92 $62,273.26 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $49,974.78 $13,443.21 $21,724.23 $36,531.56
19 $47,465.92 $63,275.86 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $50,977.38 $13,712.91 $21,454.53 $37,264.46
20 $47,465.92 $64,294.60 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $51,996.12 $13,986.96 $21,180.48 $38,009.16
21 $47,465.92 $65,329.74 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $53,031.26 $14,265.41 $20,902.03 $38,765.85
22 $47,465.92 $66,381.55 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $54,083.07 $14,548.35 $20,619.09 $39,534.72
23 $47,465.92 $67,450.29 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $55,151.81 $14,835.84 $20,331.60 $40,315.97
24 $47,465.92 $68,536.24 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $56,237.76 $15,127.96 $20,039.48 $41,109.80
25 $47,465.92 $69,639.68 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $57,341.20 $15,424.78 $19,742.66 $41,916.41
26 $47,465.92 $70,760.87 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $58,462.39 $15,726.38 $19,441.06 $42,736.01
27 $47,465.92 $71,900.12 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $59,601.64 $16,032.84 $19,134.60 $43,568.80
28 $47,465.92 $73,057.72 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $60,759.24 $16,344.23 $18,823.21 $44,415.00
29 $47,465.92 $74,233.95 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $61,935.47 $16,660.64 $18,506.80 $45,274.83
30 $47,465.92 $75,429.11 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $63,130.63 $16,982.14 $18,185.30 $46,148.49
Present Worth (PW) $65,473 $166,176
Future Worth (FW) $589,431 $1,496,015
Annual Worth (AW) $5,598 $14,208
IRR 10.54% 13.5%
Analysis of Alternatives
22
Analysis of Alternative 2: construction and Sale of 4 Storey Residential Building
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
 Cost of House : $326,016 tax included
 Cost to construction: $1,488,645
 Amount of money loaned: $1,451,728
 Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan
 Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, therefore, we will repeat
this project 15 times
 Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units
 Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer
 Income for sale of units: $2,906,394 (70% of units= 5 apart, will be sold in first year in order to pay half of loans
and provide the construction cost and the rest of units=2 apart will be sold at the end of second year)
 Before-tax MARR: 10%
 After-tax MARR: 7.6%
 Income tax rate: 26.90%
 Depreciation and appreciation not considered for this alternative
23
Analysis of Alternative 2: Before Tax Cash Flow
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
($400,000.00)
($200,000.00)
$0.00
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
EOY
4 Story Residential Selling BTCF
24
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Analysis of Alternative 2: After Tax Cash Flow
Selling 4 story Residential Properties in 2 years and put the Money in the Bank for the rest
ATCF-Plan #1
EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.61%)
LCF
Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (1.61%)
Interest Principal
0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80)
1 $765,357.53 $777,679.79 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $700,254.25 $188,368.39 $499,563.60 $511,885.86
2 $340,826.68 $346,313.99 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $288,244.84 $77,537.86 $205,219.67 $210,706.98
3 $439,341.53 $453,602.21 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $376,176.67 $101,191.53 $260,724.47 $274,985.15
4 $340,826.68 $357,555.07 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $299,485.92 $80,561.71 $202,195.82 $218,924.21
5 $439,341.53 $468,325.78 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $390,900.24 $105,152.17 $256,763.83 $285,748.08
6 $340,826.68 $369,161.03 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $311,091.87 $83,683.71 $199,073.82 $227,408.16
7 $439,341.53 $483,527.27 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $406,101.73 $109,241.37 $252,674.63 $296,860.36
8 $340,826.68 $381,143.70 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $323,074.55 $86,907.05 $195,850.48 $236,167.49
9 $439,341.53 $499,222.18 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $421,796.64 $113,463.30 $248,452.70 $308,333.35
10 $340,826.68 $393,515.32 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $335,446.17 $90,235.02 $192,522.51 $245,211.15
11 $439,341.53 $515,426.54 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $438,001.00 $117,822.27 $244,093.73 $320,178.73
12 $340,826.68 $406,288.52 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $348,219.37 $93,671.01 $189,086.52 $254,548.36
13 $439,341.53 $532,156.87 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $454,731.34 $122,322.73 $239,593.27 $332,408.61
14 $340,826.68 $419,476.32 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $361,407.17 $97,218.53 $185,539.00 $264,188.64
15 $439,341.53 $549,430.27 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $472,004.73 $126,969.27 $234,946.72 $345,035.46
16 $340,826.68 $433,092.19 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $375,023.04 $100,881.20 $181,876.33 $274,141.84
17 $439,341.53 $567,264.34 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $489,838.80 $131,766.64 $230,149.36 $358,072.16
18 $340,826.68 $447,150.03 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $389,080.87 $104,662.75 $178,094.77 $284,418.12
19 $439,341.53 $585,677.29 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $508,251.75 $136,719.72 $225,196.27 $371,532.03
20 $340,826.68 $461,664.16 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $403,595.01 $108,567.06 $174,190.47 $295,027.95
21 $439,341.53 $604,687.91 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $527,262.38 $141,833.58 $220,082.42 $385,428.80
22 $340,826.68 $476,649.42 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $418,580.26 $112,598.09 $170,159.44 $305,982.17
23 $439,341.53 $624,315.60 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $546,890.07 $147,113.43 $214,802.57 $399,776.64
24 $340,826.68 $492,121.08 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $434,051.93 $116,759.97 $165,997.56 $317,291.96
25 $439,341.53 $644,580.40 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $567,154.86 $152,564.66 $209,351.34 $414,590.20
26 $340,826.68 $508,094.94 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $450,025.79 $121,056.94 $161,700.59 $328,968.85
27 $439,341.53 $665,502.97 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $588,077.43 $158,192.83 $203,723.17 $429,884.60
28 $340,826.68 $524,587.30 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $466,518.15 $125,493.38 $157,264.15 $341,024.77
29 $439,341.53 $687,104.67 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $609,679.13 $164,003.69 $197,912.31 $445,675.44
30 $340,826.68 $541,614.99 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $483,545.84 $130,073.83 $152,683.70 $353,472.01
Present Worth (PW) $1,325,257 $2,116,604
Future Worth (FW) $11,930,762 $19,054,952
Annual Worth (AW) $113,305 $180,963
IRR 18.10% 20.9%
25
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Analysis of Alternative 2: After Tax Cash Flow
($2,000,000.00)
($1,500,000.00)
($1,000,000.00)
($500,000.00)
$0.00
$500,000.00
$1,000,000.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
EOY
4 Story Residential Selling ATCF With Inflation
Analysis of Alternatives
26
Analysis of Alternative 3: construction and Sale & Rental of a 4 storey Residential property
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
 Cost of House : $326,016 tax included
 Cost to construction: $1,488,645
 Amount of money loaned: $1,451,728
 Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan
 Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, therefore, we will repeat
this project 15 times
 Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units and 1.5% of Rent
 Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer
 Income for sale of units: $2,906,394 (70% of units= 5 apart, will be sold in first year in order to pay half of loans
and provide the construction cost and the rest of units=2 apart will be rented at the end of second year)
 Before-tax MARR: 10%
 After-tax MARR: 7.6%
 Income tax rate: 26.90%
 Depreciation is in class 1 =4% and appreciation is 2.5% (Book open assumption)
 BV30 for 2 remaining apartments is $256,830.38
27
Analysis of Alternative 3: Depreciation
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Depreciation
Residential
EOY BV of The building
CCA
4%
1
2 $2,706,394.73
3 $2,706,394.73 $0.00
4 $2,598,138.94 $108,255.79
5 $2,494,213.38 $103,925.56
6 $2,394,444.85 $99,768.54
7 $2,298,667.05 $95,777.79
8 $2,206,720.37 $91,946.68
9 $2,118,451.56 $88,268.81
10 $2,033,713.49 $84,738.06
11 $1,952,364.95 $81,348.54
12 $1,874,270.36 $78,094.60
13 $1,799,299.54 $74,970.81
14 $1,727,327.56 $71,971.98
15 $1,658,234.46 $69,093.10
16 $1,591,905.08 $66,329.38
17 $1,528,228.88 $63,676.20
18 $1,467,099.72 $61,129.16
19 $1,408,415.73 $58,683.99
20 $1,352,079.10 $56,336.63
21 $1,297,995.94 $54,083.16
22 $1,246,076.10 $51,919.84
23 $1,196,233.06 $49,843.04
24 $1,148,383.73 $47,849.32
25 $1,102,448.39 $45,935.35
26 $1,058,350.45 $44,097.94
27 $1,016,016.43 $42,334.02
28 $975,375.77 $40,640.66
29 $936,360.74 $39,015.03
30 $898,906.31 $37,454.43
Appreciation (2.5%)
EOY Land Value
Appreciation Rate
2.5%
0 $200,000.00
1 $205,000.00 $5,000.00
2 $210,125.00 $5,125.00
3 $215,378.13 $5,253.13
4 $220,762.58 $5,384.45
5 $226,281.64 $5,519.06
6 $231,938.68 $5,657.04
7 $237,737.15 $5,798.47
8 $243,680.58 $5,943.43
9 $249,772.59 $6,092.01
10 $256,016.91 $6,244.31
11 $262,417.33 $6,400.42
12 $268,977.76 $6,560.43
13 $275,702.21 $6,724.44
14 $282,594.76 $6,892.56
15 $289,659.63 $7,064.87
16 $296,901.12 $7,241.49
17 $304,323.65 $7,422.53
18 $311,931.74 $7,608.09
19 $319,730.04 $7,798.29
20 $327,723.29 $7,993.25
21 $335,916.37 $8,193.08
22 $344,314.28 $8,397.91
23 $352,922.14 $8,607.86
24 $361,745.19 $8,823.05
25 $370,788.82 $9,043.63
26 $380,058.54 $9,269.72
27 $389,560.00 $9,501.46
28 $399,299.00 $9,739.00
29 $409,281.48 $9,982.48
30 $419,513.52 $10,232.04
28
Analysis of Alternative 3: Before Tax Cash flow
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
($600,000.00)
($400,000.00)
($200,000.00)
$0.00
$200,000.00
$400,000.00
$600,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,000,000.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
EOY
4 Story Residential Selling & Renting BTCF
29
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Analysis of Alternative 3: After Tax Cash flow
Residential Renting
ATCF-Plan #1
EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.6%)
LCF
CCA Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (2%)
Interest Principal
0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80)
1 $765,357.53 $777,679.79 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $700,254.25 $188,368.39 $499,563.60 $511,885.86
2 ($496,215.00) ($504,204.06) $58,069.15 $725,864.40 ($562,273.21) ($151,251.49) ($403,032.66) ($411,021.72)
3 $45,047.28 $46,509.48 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $46,509.48 $12,511.05 $32,536.23 $33,998.43
4 $46,483.52 $48,765.02 $0.00 $0.00 $30,930.23 $17,834.79 $4,797.56 $41,685.96 $43,967.46
5 $47,959.77 $51,123.77 $0.00 $0.00 $29,693.02 $21,430.76 $5,764.87 $42,194.90 $45,358.90
6 $49,476.69 $53,589.89 $0.00 $0.00 $28,505.30 $25,084.60 $6,747.76 $42,728.93 $46,842.14
7 $51,034.91 $56,167.63 $0.00 $0.00 $27,365.08 $28,802.54 $7,747.88 $43,287.03 $48,419.74
8 $52,635.03 $58,861.33 $0.00 $0.00 $26,270.48 $32,590.85 $8,766.94 $43,868.10 $50,094.39
9 $54,277.62 $61,675.46 $0.00 $0.00 $25,219.66 $36,455.80 $9,806.61 $44,471.01 $51,868.85
10 $55,963.18 $64,614.57 $0.00 $0.00 $24,210.87 $40,403.69 $10,868.59 $45,094.59 $53,745.97
11 $57,692.18 $67,683.29 $0.00 $0.00 $23,242.44 $44,440.85 $11,954.59 $45,737.59 $55,728.70
12 $59,465.02 $70,886.34 $0.00 $0.00 $22,312.74 $48,573.59 $13,066.30 $46,398.72 $57,820.04
13 $61,282.04 $74,228.50 $0.00 $0.00 $21,420.23 $52,808.26 $14,205.42 $47,076.62 $60,023.07
14 $63,143.52 $77,714.61 $0.00 $0.00 $20,563.42 $57,151.18 $15,373.67 $47,769.85 $62,340.94
15 $65,049.62 $81,349.54 $0.00 $0.00 $19,740.89 $61,608.66 $16,572.73 $48,476.90 $64,776.81
16 $67,000.46 $85,138.21 $0.00 $0.00 $18,951.25 $66,186.96 $17,804.29 $49,196.16 $67,333.92
17 $68,996.00 $89,085.52 $0.00 $0.00 $18,193.20 $70,892.32 $19,070.04 $49,925.97 $70,015.49
18 $71,036.14 $93,196.38 $0.00 $0.00 $17,465.47 $75,730.90 $20,371.61 $50,664.53 $72,824.76
19 $73,120.63 $97,475.62 $0.00 $0.00 $16,766.85 $80,708.77 $21,710.66 $51,409.97 $75,764.96
20 $75,249.07 $101,928.05 $0.00 $0.00 $16,096.18 $85,831.87 $23,088.77 $52,160.30 $78,839.28
21 $77,420.95 $106,558.36 $0.00 $0.00 $15,452.33 $91,106.02 $24,507.52 $52,913.43 $82,050.84
22 $79,635.55 $111,371.08 $0.00 $0.00 $14,834.24 $96,536.84 $25,968.41 $53,667.14 $85,402.67
23 $81,891.98 $116,370.61 $0.00 $0.00 $14,240.87 $102,129.74 $27,472.90 $54,419.08 $88,897.71
24 $84,189.17 $121,561.09 $0.00 $0.00 $13,671.23 $107,889.86 $29,022.37 $55,166.80 $92,538.72
25 $86,525.80 $126,946.42 $0.00 $0.00 $13,124.39 $113,822.03 $30,618.13 $55,907.67 $96,328.29
26 $88,900.33 $132,530.14 $0.00 $0.00 $12,599.41 $119,930.73 $32,261.37 $56,638.96 $100,268.77
27 $91,310.94 $138,315.41 $0.00 $0.00 $12,095.43 $126,219.97 $33,953.17 $57,357.77 $104,362.23
28 $93,755.55 $144,304.93 $0.00 $0.00 $11,611.62 $132,693.31 $35,694.50 $58,061.05 $108,610.43
29 $96,231.73 $150,500.84 $0.00 $0.00 $11,147.15 $139,353.69 $37,486.14 $58,745.59 $113,014.70
30 $475,428.12 $755,513.03 $0.00 $0.00 $10,701.27 $744,811.76 $200,354.36 $275,073.76 $555,158.66
Salvage $376,691.38 PW ($855,340) ($685,130)
BV30 $256,830.38 FW ($7,700,284) ($6,167,957)
AW ($73,129) ($58,577)
IRR 0.90% 3.11%
30
Analysis of Alternative 3: After Tax Cash flow
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
($1,700,000.00)
($1,200,000.00)
($700,000.00)
($200,000.00)
$300,000.00
$800,000.00
$1,300,000.00
$1,800,000.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
EOY
4 Story Residential Selling & Renting ATCF With Inflation
Comparison of Alternatives
31
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Comparing of Alternatives ( Ranking Approach)
Alternatives ATPW (1.6%) ATFW (1.6%) ATAW (1.6%)
1 $166,176 $1,496,015 $14,208
2 $2,116,604 $19,054,952 $180,963
3 ($721,794) ($6,498,027) ($61,711)
Winner Alternative 2
32
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
-
5,000,000.00
10,000,000.00
15,000,000.00
20,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
30,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
40,000,000.00
45,000,000.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Dollars
Years
Break-Even Analysis
Accumulated Revenue Accumulated Cost
Sensitivity Analysis-PW(Alter 2)
33
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
(4,000,000.00)
(2,000,000.00)
-
2,000,000.00
4,000,000.00
6,000,000.00
8,000,000.00
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
PresentWorth
% Error
Construction and Selling of 4 story residential property
ATMARR Loan Interest Rate Construction Cost
house cost Inflation Rate Annual Selling income
Planning Horizen
Sensitivity Analysis-AW(Alter 2)
34
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
(300,000.00)
(200,000.00)
(100,000.00)
-
100,000.00
200,000.00
300,000.00
400,000.00
500,000.00
600,000.00
700,000.00
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
AnnualWorth
% Error
Construction and Selling of 4 story residential property
ATMARR Loan Interest Rate Construction Cost house cost
Inflation Rate Annual Selling income Planning Horizen
Risk analysis
35
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
Triangular
distribution
initial
investment
Triangular
distribution
first year
revenue
Triangular
distribution
annual fixed
cost
Normal
distribution
annual revenue
growth rate
Normal
distribution
annual variable
cost
percentage
Number of
iteration for
simulation
1000
Risk analysis
36
Introduction
Project
Description
Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
37
Thank You&
Questions?

building group 5

  • 1.
    Economic Feasibility Study INVESTMENT EVALUATIONPROCEDURE FOR A CASE STUDY WITH THREE ALTERNATIVES Presented By: Hossein Khoodaverdipoursarbandi 40003814 Adel Khoieiniha 40003181 Sadaf Khoshgoftar 27737882 Mohammadreza Moshayedi 40019305 Roham Narenjiha 27819811 Presented to: Dr. Budawara BLDG 6561 MARCH 31th, 2016
  • 2.
    Outline 1. Introduction 2. ProjectDescription 3. Project Costs 4. Project Income 5. Assumptions 6. Analysis of Alternatives 7. Comparison of Alternatives 8. Sensitivity Analysis 9. Break Even Analysis 10. Risk Analysis 2
  • 3.
    Introduction A feasibility studyis conducted for an investor interested in the real estate development in Montreal market: 3  Retrofit and sale of a residential property  Construction and sale of a 4 storey residential property  Construction and sale & Rental of a 4 storey residential property Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 4.
    Project Description Residential propertyin lake shore area in Montreal, Quebec. – Location: H9S4H4 63 point Clair lake shore ,Montreal – Type: 2 story slab, structural masonry warehouse. – Size: 9573 sq. ft. – Length: 174 sq.ft. – Widgh: 55 sq.ft. – Age of building 1937 4 Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 5.
    Project Description 5 Introduction ProjectDescription Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Zoning Overview 5 Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Near highway 20 Near lake shore
  • 6.
    Project Description (Retrofit) 6 IntroductionProject Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Existing building Ground 1,299 square feet 1st floor 484 square feet total 1,783 square feet
  • 7.
    Project Description(4 StoreyBuilding) 7 Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 8.
    Project Description 8 Introduction ProjectDescription Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 9.
    Project Description 9 Introduction ProjectDescription Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 10.
    Project Description Percent Utilizationof Building Space 10 Resource: Quebec Building Code Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Storey % of Utilization Net Area (sq. ft.) Livable Area Ground 36% 3,233 1466 1st floor 39% 3,487 3187 2nd floor 39% 3,487 3187 3rd floor 39% 3,487 3187 Total Area 15,477 11027
  • 11.
    Project Costs Land cost:$ 200,000 Building Cost: $326,016 tax included Construction cost: Marketing cost: 11 Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Retrofit Residential Building $ 86,351 48.43$/SF Construction Residential Building $ 1,488,645 135$/SF Alternative 1 - Retrofit. + sale 4.0% Alternative 2 - Res + sale 4.0% Alternative 3 - Res + sale & rent 1.5% & 4.0%
  • 12.
    Project Income 12 Introduction Project Description Project CostsProject Income Assumptions Analysis Income Schedule of Residential Sale Units Floor Total Gross Area of Land Percentage of Livable Area Total Net Area Price per square feet Total Amount ft2 % ft2 $ / ft2 $ Ground 9,573 36% 1466 263.6 $386,394.73 1st floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00 2nd floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00 3rd floor 9,573 39% 3187 263.6 $840,000.00 Total $2,906,394.73 Income Schedule of Retrofit Sale Units Floor Total Gross Area of Land Percentage of Livable Area Total Net Area welcome,school and municial tax Unit Price Total Amount ft2 % ft2 $ / Unit $ House 9,573 19% 1,783 -5984 272 $478,992
  • 13.
    Project Income 13 Introduction Project Description Project CostsProject Income Assumptions Analysis Income Schedule of Residential Rental Units Floor Total Gross Area of Land Percentage of rentable Area Total Net Area Price per square feet per month Total Amount ft2 % ft2 $ / ft2 $ Ground 9573 36% 1466 $1.32 $1,931.97 1st floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00 2nd floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00 3rd floor 9573 39% 3187 $1.32 $4,200.00 Total $14,531.97
  • 14.
    Assumptions 14 MARR: WACC = DebtCost + Equity Cost Debt Cost = %Debt * %Debt Interest Rate * [1-Tax Rate] Equity Cost = %Equity * Factors, Factors = Risk Free Rate + Beta*[Risk Market Rate – Risk Free Rate] MARR = WACC + Profit Percentage Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 15.
    Assumptions 15 Risk free rate(Rf) used for 41 countries in 2015 Market risk premium (MRP) used for 41 countries in 2015 Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 16.
    Assumptions 16  Inflation Rate(Bank of Canada): 1.61%.  Construction Duration : 1 year Retrofit & 2 years Residential Building  Study Horizon : 30 years  Property Tax (City of Montreal):  property tax 0.9177% annually  Depreciation (Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) ): 4%  Appreciation (Canadian real state association): 2.5%  Income tax rate (Federal & Government of Quebec): 26.9% Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 17.
    Loan 17 Introduction Project Description Project CostsProject Income Assumptions Analysis Retrofit Existing Building Description Loan Interest Type of loan $ Amount Total Taken Loan House price ( we take a loan of 70% house price) 2.9% Buying a house with 30% Down Payment $326,016 $228,211 Using Line of credit for 30% rest of house price 3.5% Line of Credit for all other possible costs $97,805 $201,393 the whole Renovation cost $86,351 The whole interest of line of credit $5,838 loan payment of house $11,400 4 storey Residential Building Borrowing details Total loan we take the loan in 3 parts ,in first year Total bank loan ( 80% of the total amount of construction cost and house price) $1,451,729 $483,909.60 $483,909.60 $483,909.60 Interest 8% $38,712.77 $25,808.51 $12,904.26
  • 18.
    Analysis of Alternatives 18 Analysisof Alternative 1: Retrofit and sale of House  Cost of House : $326,016 tax included  Cost to construction: $86,351  Amount of money loaned: $429,605  Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan  Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, hence, we will repeat this project 30 times  Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units  Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer  Income for sale of units: $478,992  Before-tax MARR: 10%  After-tax MARR: 7.6%  Income tax rate: 26.90%  Depreciation and appreciation not considered for this alternative Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis
  • 19.
    Analysis of Alternatives 19 Analysisof Alternative 1: Before Tax Cash Flow Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis ($350,000.00) ($250,000.00) ($150,000.00) ($50,000.00) $50,000.00 $150,000.00 $250,000.00 $350,000.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 EOY Renovated Residential Selling BTCF
  • 20.
    20 Analysis of Alternative1: After Tax Cash Flow Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis ($450,000.00) ($350,000.00) ($250,000.00) ($150,000.00) ($50,000.00) $50,000.00 $150,000.00 $250,000.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 EOY Renovated Residential Selling ATCF With Inflation
  • 21.
    21 Introduction Project Description Project Costs ProjectIncome Assumptions Analysis Selling Renovated Residential Properties in the first year ATCF-Plan #1 EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.61%) LCF Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (1,61%) Interest Principal 0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($429,604.69) ($429,604.69) ($429,604.69) 1 $373,481.92 $379,494.98 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $367,196.50 $98,775.86 $262,407.58 $268,420.64 2 $47,465.92 $48,230.12 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $35,931.64 $9,665.61 $25,501.83 $26,266.03 3 $47,465.92 $49,006.63 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $36,708.15 $9,874.49 $25,292.95 $26,833.66 4 $47,465.92 $49,795.63 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $37,497.15 $10,086.73 $25,080.71 $27,410.42 5 $47,465.92 $50,597.34 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $38,298.86 $10,302.39 $24,865.05 $27,996.47 6 $47,465.92 $51,411.96 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $39,113.48 $10,521.53 $24,645.91 $28,591.95 7 $47,465.92 $52,239.69 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $39,941.21 $10,744.19 $24,423.25 $29,197.03 8 $47,465.92 $53,080.75 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $40,782.27 $10,970.43 $24,197.01 $29,811.84 9 $47,465.92 $53,935.35 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $41,636.87 $11,200.32 $23,967.12 $30,436.55 10 $47,465.92 $54,803.71 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $42,505.23 $11,433.91 $23,733.53 $31,071.32 11 $47,465.92 $55,686.05 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $43,387.57 $11,671.26 $23,496.18 $31,716.31 12 $47,465.92 $56,582.60 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $44,284.12 $11,912.43 $23,255.01 $32,371.69 13 $47,465.92 $57,493.58 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $45,195.10 $12,157.48 $23,009.96 $33,037.62 14 $47,465.92 $58,419.22 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $46,120.74 $12,406.48 $22,760.96 $33,714.26 15 $47,465.92 $59,359.77 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $47,061.29 $12,659.49 $22,507.95 $34,401.80 16 $47,465.92 $60,315.46 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $48,016.98 $12,916.57 $22,250.87 $35,100.42 17 $47,465.92 $61,286.54 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $48,988.06 $13,177.79 $21,989.65 $35,810.27 18 $47,465.92 $62,273.26 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $49,974.78 $13,443.21 $21,724.23 $36,531.56 19 $47,465.92 $63,275.86 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $50,977.38 $13,712.91 $21,454.53 $37,264.46 20 $47,465.92 $64,294.60 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $51,996.12 $13,986.96 $21,180.48 $38,009.16 21 $47,465.92 $65,329.74 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $53,031.26 $14,265.41 $20,902.03 $38,765.85 22 $47,465.92 $66,381.55 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $54,083.07 $14,548.35 $20,619.09 $39,534.72 23 $47,465.92 $67,450.29 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $55,151.81 $14,835.84 $20,331.60 $40,315.97 24 $47,465.92 $68,536.24 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $56,237.76 $15,127.96 $20,039.48 $41,109.80 25 $47,465.92 $69,639.68 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $57,341.20 $15,424.78 $19,742.66 $41,916.41 26 $47,465.92 $70,760.87 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $58,462.39 $15,726.38 $19,441.06 $42,736.01 27 $47,465.92 $71,900.12 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $59,601.64 $16,032.84 $19,134.60 $43,568.80 28 $47,465.92 $73,057.72 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $60,759.24 $16,344.23 $18,823.21 $44,415.00 29 $47,465.92 $74,233.95 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $61,935.47 $16,660.64 $18,506.80 $45,274.83 30 $47,465.92 $75,429.11 $12,298.48 $4,939.52 $63,130.63 $16,982.14 $18,185.30 $46,148.49 Present Worth (PW) $65,473 $166,176 Future Worth (FW) $589,431 $1,496,015 Annual Worth (AW) $5,598 $14,208 IRR 10.54% 13.5%
  • 22.
    Analysis of Alternatives 22 Analysisof Alternative 2: construction and Sale of 4 Storey Residential Building Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis  Cost of House : $326,016 tax included  Cost to construction: $1,488,645  Amount of money loaned: $1,451,728  Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan  Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, therefore, we will repeat this project 15 times  Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units  Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer  Income for sale of units: $2,906,394 (70% of units= 5 apart, will be sold in first year in order to pay half of loans and provide the construction cost and the rest of units=2 apart will be sold at the end of second year)  Before-tax MARR: 10%  After-tax MARR: 7.6%  Income tax rate: 26.90%  Depreciation and appreciation not considered for this alternative
  • 23.
    23 Analysis of Alternative2: Before Tax Cash Flow Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis ($400,000.00) ($200,000.00) $0.00 $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00 $1,000,000.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 EOY 4 Story Residential Selling BTCF
  • 24.
    24 Introduction Project Description Project Costs ProjectIncome Assumptions Analysis Analysis of Alternative 2: After Tax Cash Flow Selling 4 story Residential Properties in 2 years and put the Money in the Bank for the rest ATCF-Plan #1 EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.61%) LCF Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (1.61%) Interest Principal 0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) 1 $765,357.53 $777,679.79 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $700,254.25 $188,368.39 $499,563.60 $511,885.86 2 $340,826.68 $346,313.99 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $288,244.84 $77,537.86 $205,219.67 $210,706.98 3 $439,341.53 $453,602.21 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $376,176.67 $101,191.53 $260,724.47 $274,985.15 4 $340,826.68 $357,555.07 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $299,485.92 $80,561.71 $202,195.82 $218,924.21 5 $439,341.53 $468,325.78 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $390,900.24 $105,152.17 $256,763.83 $285,748.08 6 $340,826.68 $369,161.03 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $311,091.87 $83,683.71 $199,073.82 $227,408.16 7 $439,341.53 $483,527.27 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $406,101.73 $109,241.37 $252,674.63 $296,860.36 8 $340,826.68 $381,143.70 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $323,074.55 $86,907.05 $195,850.48 $236,167.49 9 $439,341.53 $499,222.18 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $421,796.64 $113,463.30 $248,452.70 $308,333.35 10 $340,826.68 $393,515.32 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $335,446.17 $90,235.02 $192,522.51 $245,211.15 11 $439,341.53 $515,426.54 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $438,001.00 $117,822.27 $244,093.73 $320,178.73 12 $340,826.68 $406,288.52 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $348,219.37 $93,671.01 $189,086.52 $254,548.36 13 $439,341.53 $532,156.87 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $454,731.34 $122,322.73 $239,593.27 $332,408.61 14 $340,826.68 $419,476.32 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $361,407.17 $97,218.53 $185,539.00 $264,188.64 15 $439,341.53 $549,430.27 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $472,004.73 $126,969.27 $234,946.72 $345,035.46 16 $340,826.68 $433,092.19 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $375,023.04 $100,881.20 $181,876.33 $274,141.84 17 $439,341.53 $567,264.34 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $489,838.80 $131,766.64 $230,149.36 $358,072.16 18 $340,826.68 $447,150.03 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $389,080.87 $104,662.75 $178,094.77 $284,418.12 19 $439,341.53 $585,677.29 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $508,251.75 $136,719.72 $225,196.27 $371,532.03 20 $340,826.68 $461,664.16 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $403,595.01 $108,567.06 $174,190.47 $295,027.95 21 $439,341.53 $604,687.91 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $527,262.38 $141,833.58 $220,082.42 $385,428.80 22 $340,826.68 $476,649.42 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $418,580.26 $112,598.09 $170,159.44 $305,982.17 23 $439,341.53 $624,315.60 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $546,890.07 $147,113.43 $214,802.57 $399,776.64 24 $340,826.68 $492,121.08 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $434,051.93 $116,759.97 $165,997.56 $317,291.96 25 $439,341.53 $644,580.40 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $567,154.86 $152,564.66 $209,351.34 $414,590.20 26 $340,826.68 $508,094.94 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $450,025.79 $121,056.94 $161,700.59 $328,968.85 27 $439,341.53 $665,502.97 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $588,077.43 $158,192.83 $203,723.17 $429,884.60 28 $340,826.68 $524,587.30 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $466,518.15 $125,493.38 $157,264.15 $341,024.77 29 $439,341.53 $687,104.67 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $609,679.13 $164,003.69 $197,912.31 $445,675.44 30 $340,826.68 $541,614.99 $58,069.15 $725,864.40 $483,545.84 $130,073.83 $152,683.70 $353,472.01 Present Worth (PW) $1,325,257 $2,116,604 Future Worth (FW) $11,930,762 $19,054,952 Annual Worth (AW) $113,305 $180,963 IRR 18.10% 20.9%
  • 25.
    25 Introduction Project Description Project Costs ProjectIncome Assumptions Analysis Analysis of Alternative 2: After Tax Cash Flow ($2,000,000.00) ($1,500,000.00) ($1,000,000.00) ($500,000.00) $0.00 $500,000.00 $1,000,000.00 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 EOY 4 Story Residential Selling ATCF With Inflation
  • 26.
    Analysis of Alternatives 26 Analysisof Alternative 3: construction and Sale & Rental of a 4 storey Residential property Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis  Cost of House : $326,016 tax included  Cost to construction: $1,488,645  Amount of money loaned: $1,451,728  Constructor will not invest anything and the whole cost will be provided by loan  Assumption is to find the house the same as first price and do this project for 30 years, therefore, we will repeat this project 15 times  Marketing cost: 4.0% of sale of the units and 1.5% of Rent  Operations and maintenance costs are the responsibility of the buyer  Income for sale of units: $2,906,394 (70% of units= 5 apart, will be sold in first year in order to pay half of loans and provide the construction cost and the rest of units=2 apart will be rented at the end of second year)  Before-tax MARR: 10%  After-tax MARR: 7.6%  Income tax rate: 26.90%  Depreciation is in class 1 =4% and appreciation is 2.5% (Book open assumption)  BV30 for 2 remaining apartments is $256,830.38
  • 27.
    27 Analysis of Alternative3: Depreciation Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis Depreciation Residential EOY BV of The building CCA 4% 1 2 $2,706,394.73 3 $2,706,394.73 $0.00 4 $2,598,138.94 $108,255.79 5 $2,494,213.38 $103,925.56 6 $2,394,444.85 $99,768.54 7 $2,298,667.05 $95,777.79 8 $2,206,720.37 $91,946.68 9 $2,118,451.56 $88,268.81 10 $2,033,713.49 $84,738.06 11 $1,952,364.95 $81,348.54 12 $1,874,270.36 $78,094.60 13 $1,799,299.54 $74,970.81 14 $1,727,327.56 $71,971.98 15 $1,658,234.46 $69,093.10 16 $1,591,905.08 $66,329.38 17 $1,528,228.88 $63,676.20 18 $1,467,099.72 $61,129.16 19 $1,408,415.73 $58,683.99 20 $1,352,079.10 $56,336.63 21 $1,297,995.94 $54,083.16 22 $1,246,076.10 $51,919.84 23 $1,196,233.06 $49,843.04 24 $1,148,383.73 $47,849.32 25 $1,102,448.39 $45,935.35 26 $1,058,350.45 $44,097.94 27 $1,016,016.43 $42,334.02 28 $975,375.77 $40,640.66 29 $936,360.74 $39,015.03 30 $898,906.31 $37,454.43 Appreciation (2.5%) EOY Land Value Appreciation Rate 2.5% 0 $200,000.00 1 $205,000.00 $5,000.00 2 $210,125.00 $5,125.00 3 $215,378.13 $5,253.13 4 $220,762.58 $5,384.45 5 $226,281.64 $5,519.06 6 $231,938.68 $5,657.04 7 $237,737.15 $5,798.47 8 $243,680.58 $5,943.43 9 $249,772.59 $6,092.01 10 $256,016.91 $6,244.31 11 $262,417.33 $6,400.42 12 $268,977.76 $6,560.43 13 $275,702.21 $6,724.44 14 $282,594.76 $6,892.56 15 $289,659.63 $7,064.87 16 $296,901.12 $7,241.49 17 $304,323.65 $7,422.53 18 $311,931.74 $7,608.09 19 $319,730.04 $7,798.29 20 $327,723.29 $7,993.25 21 $335,916.37 $8,193.08 22 $344,314.28 $8,397.91 23 $352,922.14 $8,607.86 24 $361,745.19 $8,823.05 25 $370,788.82 $9,043.63 26 $380,058.54 $9,269.72 27 $389,560.00 $9,501.46 28 $399,299.00 $9,739.00 29 $409,281.48 $9,982.48 30 $419,513.52 $10,232.04
  • 28.
    28 Analysis of Alternative3: Before Tax Cash flow Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis ($600,000.00) ($400,000.00) ($200,000.00) $0.00 $200,000.00 $400,000.00 $600,000.00 $800,000.00 $1,000,000.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 EOY 4 Story Residential Selling & Renting BTCF
  • 29.
    29 Introduction Project Description Project Costs ProjectIncome Assumptions Analysis Analysis of Alternative 3: After Tax Cash flow Residential Renting ATCF-Plan #1 EOY BTCF (0%) BTCF (1.6%) LCF CCA Taxable Income Income Tax ATCF (0%) ATCF (2%) Interest Principal 0 ($326,016.00) ($326,016.00) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) ($1,451,728.80) 1 $765,357.53 $777,679.79 $77,425.54 $725,864.40 $700,254.25 $188,368.39 $499,563.60 $511,885.86 2 ($496,215.00) ($504,204.06) $58,069.15 $725,864.40 ($562,273.21) ($151,251.49) ($403,032.66) ($411,021.72) 3 $45,047.28 $46,509.48 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $46,509.48 $12,511.05 $32,536.23 $33,998.43 4 $46,483.52 $48,765.02 $0.00 $0.00 $30,930.23 $17,834.79 $4,797.56 $41,685.96 $43,967.46 5 $47,959.77 $51,123.77 $0.00 $0.00 $29,693.02 $21,430.76 $5,764.87 $42,194.90 $45,358.90 6 $49,476.69 $53,589.89 $0.00 $0.00 $28,505.30 $25,084.60 $6,747.76 $42,728.93 $46,842.14 7 $51,034.91 $56,167.63 $0.00 $0.00 $27,365.08 $28,802.54 $7,747.88 $43,287.03 $48,419.74 8 $52,635.03 $58,861.33 $0.00 $0.00 $26,270.48 $32,590.85 $8,766.94 $43,868.10 $50,094.39 9 $54,277.62 $61,675.46 $0.00 $0.00 $25,219.66 $36,455.80 $9,806.61 $44,471.01 $51,868.85 10 $55,963.18 $64,614.57 $0.00 $0.00 $24,210.87 $40,403.69 $10,868.59 $45,094.59 $53,745.97 11 $57,692.18 $67,683.29 $0.00 $0.00 $23,242.44 $44,440.85 $11,954.59 $45,737.59 $55,728.70 12 $59,465.02 $70,886.34 $0.00 $0.00 $22,312.74 $48,573.59 $13,066.30 $46,398.72 $57,820.04 13 $61,282.04 $74,228.50 $0.00 $0.00 $21,420.23 $52,808.26 $14,205.42 $47,076.62 $60,023.07 14 $63,143.52 $77,714.61 $0.00 $0.00 $20,563.42 $57,151.18 $15,373.67 $47,769.85 $62,340.94 15 $65,049.62 $81,349.54 $0.00 $0.00 $19,740.89 $61,608.66 $16,572.73 $48,476.90 $64,776.81 16 $67,000.46 $85,138.21 $0.00 $0.00 $18,951.25 $66,186.96 $17,804.29 $49,196.16 $67,333.92 17 $68,996.00 $89,085.52 $0.00 $0.00 $18,193.20 $70,892.32 $19,070.04 $49,925.97 $70,015.49 18 $71,036.14 $93,196.38 $0.00 $0.00 $17,465.47 $75,730.90 $20,371.61 $50,664.53 $72,824.76 19 $73,120.63 $97,475.62 $0.00 $0.00 $16,766.85 $80,708.77 $21,710.66 $51,409.97 $75,764.96 20 $75,249.07 $101,928.05 $0.00 $0.00 $16,096.18 $85,831.87 $23,088.77 $52,160.30 $78,839.28 21 $77,420.95 $106,558.36 $0.00 $0.00 $15,452.33 $91,106.02 $24,507.52 $52,913.43 $82,050.84 22 $79,635.55 $111,371.08 $0.00 $0.00 $14,834.24 $96,536.84 $25,968.41 $53,667.14 $85,402.67 23 $81,891.98 $116,370.61 $0.00 $0.00 $14,240.87 $102,129.74 $27,472.90 $54,419.08 $88,897.71 24 $84,189.17 $121,561.09 $0.00 $0.00 $13,671.23 $107,889.86 $29,022.37 $55,166.80 $92,538.72 25 $86,525.80 $126,946.42 $0.00 $0.00 $13,124.39 $113,822.03 $30,618.13 $55,907.67 $96,328.29 26 $88,900.33 $132,530.14 $0.00 $0.00 $12,599.41 $119,930.73 $32,261.37 $56,638.96 $100,268.77 27 $91,310.94 $138,315.41 $0.00 $0.00 $12,095.43 $126,219.97 $33,953.17 $57,357.77 $104,362.23 28 $93,755.55 $144,304.93 $0.00 $0.00 $11,611.62 $132,693.31 $35,694.50 $58,061.05 $108,610.43 29 $96,231.73 $150,500.84 $0.00 $0.00 $11,147.15 $139,353.69 $37,486.14 $58,745.59 $113,014.70 30 $475,428.12 $755,513.03 $0.00 $0.00 $10,701.27 $744,811.76 $200,354.36 $275,073.76 $555,158.66 Salvage $376,691.38 PW ($855,340) ($685,130) BV30 $256,830.38 FW ($7,700,284) ($6,167,957) AW ($73,129) ($58,577) IRR 0.90% 3.11%
  • 30.
    30 Analysis of Alternative3: After Tax Cash flow Introduction Project Description Project Costs Project Income Assumptions Analysis ($1,700,000.00) ($1,200,000.00) ($700,000.00) ($200,000.00) $300,000.00 $800,000.00 $1,300,000.00 $1,800,000.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 EOY 4 Story Residential Selling & Renting ATCF With Inflation
  • 31.
    Comparison of Alternatives 31 Introduction Project Description ProjectCosts Project Income Assumptions Analysis Comparing of Alternatives ( Ranking Approach) Alternatives ATPW (1.6%) ATFW (1.6%) ATAW (1.6%) 1 $166,176 $1,496,015 $14,208 2 $2,116,604 $19,054,952 $180,963 3 ($721,794) ($6,498,027) ($61,711)
  • 32.
    Winner Alternative 2 32 Introduction Project Description ProjectCosts Project Income Assumptions Analysis - 5,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 15,000,000.00 20,000,000.00 25,000,000.00 30,000,000.00 35,000,000.00 40,000,000.00 45,000,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Dollars Years Break-Even Analysis Accumulated Revenue Accumulated Cost
  • 33.
    Sensitivity Analysis-PW(Alter 2) 33 Introduction Project Description ProjectCosts Project Income Assumptions Analysis (4,000,000.00) (2,000,000.00) - 2,000,000.00 4,000,000.00 6,000,000.00 8,000,000.00 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% PresentWorth % Error Construction and Selling of 4 story residential property ATMARR Loan Interest Rate Construction Cost house cost Inflation Rate Annual Selling income Planning Horizen
  • 34.
    Sensitivity Analysis-AW(Alter 2) 34 Introduction Project Description ProjectCosts Project Income Assumptions Analysis (300,000.00) (200,000.00) (100,000.00) - 100,000.00 200,000.00 300,000.00 400,000.00 500,000.00 600,000.00 700,000.00 -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% AnnualWorth % Error Construction and Selling of 4 story residential property ATMARR Loan Interest Rate Construction Cost house cost Inflation Rate Annual Selling income Planning Horizen
  • 35.
    Risk analysis 35 Introduction Project Description Project CostsProject Income Assumptions Analysis Triangular distribution initial investment Triangular distribution first year revenue Triangular distribution annual fixed cost Normal distribution annual revenue growth rate Normal distribution annual variable cost percentage Number of iteration for simulation 1000
  • 36.
  • 37.