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INDIA’S BALANCE OF TRADE
AND BALANCE OF PAYMENT




                 PRESENTED BY:
                       PRAVEENA.L
                        II MBA ‘A’
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
Meaning :

       The exports and imports involve finance i.e. receipts and
  payments in money. An account of all receipts and payments
  is termed as Balance of Payments (BOP).

       The balance of payment record is maintained in a
  standard double-entry book-keeping method. International
  transactions enter in to the record as credit or debit. The
  payments received from foreign countries enter as credit and
  payments made to other countries as debit.
Definition:

  According to Kindle berger, "The balance of
  payments of a country is a systematic record of all
  economic transactions between the residents of the
  reporting country and residents of foreign countries
  during a given period of time".
STRUCTURE OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT
1.    Trade account balance:

    It is the difference between exports and imports of
     goods, usually referred as visible or tangible items.

    Trade account balance tells as whether a country
     enjoys a surplus or deficit on that account.

    The Balance of Trade is also referred as the
     'Balance of Visible Trade' or 'Balance of
     Merchandise Trade'.
2. Current account balance:

   It is difference between the receipts and payments on account of
    current account which includes trade balance.

   The current account includes export of services, interests, profits,
    dividends and unilateral receipts from abroad, and the import of
    services, interests, profits, dividends and unilateral Payments to
    abroad.

   There can be either surplus or deficit in current account.

   The deficit will take place when the debits are more than credits
    or when payments are more than receipts and the current
    account surplus will take place when the credits are more than
    debits.
3. Capital account balance:

   It is difference between the receipts and payments on account
    of capital account.

   The capital account involves inflows and outflows relating to
    investments, short tern borrowings/lending, and medium term
    to long term borrowing/lending.

   There can be surplus or deficit in capital account.

   The surplus will take place when the credits are more than
    debits and the deficit will take place when the debits are more
    than credits.
4. Foreign exchange reserves:

   It shows the reserves which are held in the form of foreign
    currencies usually in hard currencies like dollar, pound etc.,
    gold and Special Drawing Rights (SDRs).

    They increase when the individual has a surplus in his
    transactions and decrease when he has a deficit.

   When a country enjoys a net surplus both in current account
    & capital account, it increases foreign exchange reserves.
5. Errors and omission:

   The errors may be due to statistical discrepancies &
    omission may be due to certain transactions may not be
    recorded.

    For eg: A remittance by an Indian working abroad to
    India may not yet recorded, or a payment of dividend
    abroad by an MNC operating in India may not yet
    recorded or so on. The errors and omissions amount
    equals to the amount necessary to balance both the
    sides.
DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BOP

 Though the credit and debit are written balanced in the
 balance of payment account, it may not remain
 balanced always. Very often, debit exceeds credit or the
 credit exceeds debit causing an imbalance in the
 balance of payment account. Such an imbalance is
 called the disequilibrium. Disequilibrium may take place
 either in the form of deficit or in the form of surplus.
CAUSES:

1.   POPULATION GROWTH
2.   DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
3.   DEMONSTRATION EFFECT
4.   NATURAL FACTORS
5.   CYCLICAL FLUCTUATION
6.   INFLATION
7.   POOR MARKETING STRATEGY
8.   FLIGHT OF CAPITAL
9.   GLOBALISATION
Types :


1.   Structural disequilibrium
2.   Cyclical disequilibrium
3.   Technological disequilibrium
4.   Short run disequilibrium
5.   Long run or secular disequilibrium
6.   Monetary disequilibrium
BALANCE OF TRADE

   The difference between a country's imports and its exports.

   Debit items include imports, foreign aid, domestic spending
    abroad and domestic investments abroad.

   Credit items include exports, foreign spending in the domestic
    economy and foreign investments in the domestic economy.
APPENDIX TABLE 17: INDIA’S EXPORTS AND IMPORTS

                                                                                                                                                     (US $ million)

Exports of principal commodities

                                    Commodity/Group
                                                                                                             April-March

                                                                             2007-08                   2008-09               2009-10R               2010-11 P

                                           1                                    2                        3                      4                       5

I. Primary Products                                                                     27,551.9                  25,335.4               26,396.5           35,358.7

A. Agricultural & Allied Products                                                       18,432.1                  17,534.9               17,734.1           24,696.1
B. Ores & Minerals                                                                       9,119.8                   7,800.5                8,662.5           10,662.6


II. Manufactured Goods                                                                 102,978.8                 123,148.9              115,180.7       168,098.1

A. Leather & Manufactures                                                                3,502.5                   3,556.0                3,361.1            3,789.3

B. Chemicals & Related Products                                                         21,193.8                  22,708.1               22,908.8           28,979.6

C. Engineering Goods                                                                    37,365.2                  47,285.6               38,271.3           68,784.1
D. Textiles & Textile Products                                                          19,425.7                  20,016.4               19,853.0           23,312.2


E. Gems & Jewellery                                                                     19,678.7                  27,955.2               28,996.3           40,790.7
F. Handicrafts                                                                             508.2                     301.0                  224.8              233.1


III. Petroleum Products                                                                 28,363.1                  27,547.0               28,192.0           41,918.0

IV. Others                                                                               4,010.4                   6,768.2                8,982.1         9,027.3
Total Exports (I+II+III+IV)                                                            162,904.2                 182,799.5              178,751.4       254,402.1

Imports of principal commodities

I. Bulk Imports                                                                        112,744.7                 138,791.1              125,315.2       150,489.7


A. Petroleum, Petroleum Products & Related Material                                     79,644.5                  93,671.7               87,135.9       106,068.2

B. Bulk Consumption Goods                                                                4,600.3                   4,975.3                9,012.7            8,720.3
C. Other Bulk Items                                                                     28,499.9                  40,144.0               29,166.5           35,701.1


II. Non-Bulk Imports                                                                   138,694.4                 160,042.8              163,057.8       202,085.4

A. Capital Goods                                                                        70,110.5                  71,833.1               65,865.0           71,627.2
B. Mainly Export Related Items                                                          20,768.3                  31,930.8               31,270.0           49,639.4

C. Others                                                                               47,815.7                  56,278.9               65,922.8           80,818.7

Total Imports (I+II)                                                                   251,439.2                 298,833.9              288,372.9       352,575.0

P : Provisional.   R : Revised.

Source : DGCI & S.
TRADE
YEARS     EXPORT            IMPORT            BALANCE



2007-08            162904            251439             -88535



2008-09            182799            298833         -116034



2009-10            178751            288372         -109621



2010-11            254402            352575             -98173
INDIA’S BOT TREND 2007-2011
700000



600000



500000



400000
                                                 TRADE BALANCE
                                                 IMPORT
300000                                           EXPORT



200000



100000



     0
         2007-08   2008-09   2009-10   2010-11
Bop

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Bop

  • 1. INDIA’S BALANCE OF TRADE AND BALANCE OF PAYMENT PRESENTED BY: PRAVEENA.L II MBA ‘A’
  • 2. BALANCE OF PAYMENT Meaning : The exports and imports involve finance i.e. receipts and payments in money. An account of all receipts and payments is termed as Balance of Payments (BOP). The balance of payment record is maintained in a standard double-entry book-keeping method. International transactions enter in to the record as credit or debit. The payments received from foreign countries enter as credit and payments made to other countries as debit.
  • 3. Definition: According to Kindle berger, "The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of the reporting country and residents of foreign countries during a given period of time".
  • 4. STRUCTURE OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT
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  • 7. 1. Trade account balance:  It is the difference between exports and imports of goods, usually referred as visible or tangible items.  Trade account balance tells as whether a country enjoys a surplus or deficit on that account.  The Balance of Trade is also referred as the 'Balance of Visible Trade' or 'Balance of Merchandise Trade'.
  • 8. 2. Current account balance:  It is difference between the receipts and payments on account of current account which includes trade balance.  The current account includes export of services, interests, profits, dividends and unilateral receipts from abroad, and the import of services, interests, profits, dividends and unilateral Payments to abroad.  There can be either surplus or deficit in current account.  The deficit will take place when the debits are more than credits or when payments are more than receipts and the current account surplus will take place when the credits are more than debits.
  • 9. 3. Capital account balance:  It is difference between the receipts and payments on account of capital account.  The capital account involves inflows and outflows relating to investments, short tern borrowings/lending, and medium term to long term borrowing/lending.  There can be surplus or deficit in capital account.  The surplus will take place when the credits are more than debits and the deficit will take place when the debits are more than credits.
  • 10. 4. Foreign exchange reserves:  It shows the reserves which are held in the form of foreign currencies usually in hard currencies like dollar, pound etc., gold and Special Drawing Rights (SDRs).  They increase when the individual has a surplus in his transactions and decrease when he has a deficit.  When a country enjoys a net surplus both in current account & capital account, it increases foreign exchange reserves.
  • 11. 5. Errors and omission:  The errors may be due to statistical discrepancies & omission may be due to certain transactions may not be recorded.  For eg: A remittance by an Indian working abroad to India may not yet recorded, or a payment of dividend abroad by an MNC operating in India may not yet recorded or so on. The errors and omissions amount equals to the amount necessary to balance both the sides.
  • 12. DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BOP Though the credit and debit are written balanced in the balance of payment account, it may not remain balanced always. Very often, debit exceeds credit or the credit exceeds debit causing an imbalance in the balance of payment account. Such an imbalance is called the disequilibrium. Disequilibrium may take place either in the form of deficit or in the form of surplus.
  • 13. CAUSES: 1. POPULATION GROWTH 2. DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME 3. DEMONSTRATION EFFECT 4. NATURAL FACTORS 5. CYCLICAL FLUCTUATION 6. INFLATION 7. POOR MARKETING STRATEGY 8. FLIGHT OF CAPITAL 9. GLOBALISATION
  • 14. Types : 1. Structural disequilibrium 2. Cyclical disequilibrium 3. Technological disequilibrium 4. Short run disequilibrium 5. Long run or secular disequilibrium 6. Monetary disequilibrium
  • 15. BALANCE OF TRADE  The difference between a country's imports and its exports.  Debit items include imports, foreign aid, domestic spending abroad and domestic investments abroad.  Credit items include exports, foreign spending in the domestic economy and foreign investments in the domestic economy.
  • 16. APPENDIX TABLE 17: INDIA’S EXPORTS AND IMPORTS (US $ million) Exports of principal commodities Commodity/Group April-March 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10R 2010-11 P 1 2 3 4 5 I. Primary Products 27,551.9 25,335.4 26,396.5 35,358.7 A. Agricultural & Allied Products 18,432.1 17,534.9 17,734.1 24,696.1 B. Ores & Minerals 9,119.8 7,800.5 8,662.5 10,662.6 II. Manufactured Goods 102,978.8 123,148.9 115,180.7 168,098.1 A. Leather & Manufactures 3,502.5 3,556.0 3,361.1 3,789.3 B. Chemicals & Related Products 21,193.8 22,708.1 22,908.8 28,979.6 C. Engineering Goods 37,365.2 47,285.6 38,271.3 68,784.1 D. Textiles & Textile Products 19,425.7 20,016.4 19,853.0 23,312.2 E. Gems & Jewellery 19,678.7 27,955.2 28,996.3 40,790.7 F. Handicrafts 508.2 301.0 224.8 233.1 III. Petroleum Products 28,363.1 27,547.0 28,192.0 41,918.0 IV. Others 4,010.4 6,768.2 8,982.1 9,027.3 Total Exports (I+II+III+IV) 162,904.2 182,799.5 178,751.4 254,402.1 Imports of principal commodities I. Bulk Imports 112,744.7 138,791.1 125,315.2 150,489.7 A. Petroleum, Petroleum Products & Related Material 79,644.5 93,671.7 87,135.9 106,068.2 B. Bulk Consumption Goods 4,600.3 4,975.3 9,012.7 8,720.3 C. Other Bulk Items 28,499.9 40,144.0 29,166.5 35,701.1 II. Non-Bulk Imports 138,694.4 160,042.8 163,057.8 202,085.4 A. Capital Goods 70,110.5 71,833.1 65,865.0 71,627.2 B. Mainly Export Related Items 20,768.3 31,930.8 31,270.0 49,639.4 C. Others 47,815.7 56,278.9 65,922.8 80,818.7 Total Imports (I+II) 251,439.2 298,833.9 288,372.9 352,575.0 P : Provisional. R : Revised. Source : DGCI & S.
  • 17. TRADE YEARS EXPORT IMPORT BALANCE 2007-08 162904 251439 -88535 2008-09 182799 298833 -116034 2009-10 178751 288372 -109621 2010-11 254402 352575 -98173
  • 18. INDIA’S BOT TREND 2007-2011 700000 600000 500000 400000 TRADE BALANCE IMPORT 300000 EXPORT 200000 100000 0 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11