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Boosting non-Party climate action through Talanoa
- 1. Boosting non-Party climate action through Talanoa 2 May 2018 Katharina Lütkehermöller NewClimate Institute k.Luetkehermoeller@newclimate.org
- 2. Shared responsibility National governments Sub-national and non-state actors Help to achieve and overachieve NDCs Enrich Talanoa Dialogue (e.g. show that more ambitious NDCs by 2020 are achievable) Provide good practice examples, pilot innovative approaches Support and remove barriers Create right conditions for additional voluntary actions
- 3. ICAT non-state and subnational action guidance Potential (additional) impact from non-state/subnational action on national emissions trajectories and targets often not yet fully considered by governments ICAT guidance aims to help analysts & policymakers identify, assess and integrate the impact of such actions into national & sectoral mitigation assessments More realistic assessments of potentials Enhance coordination and communication between all levels of government and with businesses Recognize climate actions and build support for more ambitious actions Identify opportunities for increased engagement Inform policy making Source: http://www.climateactiontransparency.org/icat-guidance/non-state-subnational-action/
- 4. First estimate of impact of US sub- national and non-state action 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 MtCO2e/yr Year Historical emissions Current administration policies Current recorded and quantified individual sub-national and non-state commitments Nationally determined contribution Additional action (not quantified) Source: Kuramochi et al. 2017: States, cities and businesses leading the way: a first look at decentralized climate commitments in the US: https://newclimate.org/2017/09/13/states-cities-and-businesses-leading-the-way-a-first-look-at-decentralized-climate-commitments-in-the-us/ Included Current recorded and quantified individual sub-national and non-state commitments Not included New upcoming commitments Not quantified commitments, e.g. financial sector Global initiatives’ goals Systemic, transformative impacts Example for actions by individual actors
- 5. Analysing impact of international cooperative initiatives Forthcoming quantitative analysis of the following initiatives Source: Upcoming work of NewClimate Institute, Data Driven Yale and PBL Main selection criteria: • Initiative is quantifiable • Significant stakeholder buy-in • Evidence the initiative is actively pursuing its target(s) (likelihood) • Projected impact is meaningful, additional to what is happening "anyway“ • There is no major overlap with any other initiative Name of initiative Sector 2030 Architecture Challenge Buildings C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group (C40) Cities & Regions Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate & Energy Cities & Regions Under2 MoU Cities & Regions Super-efficient Equipment and Appliance Deployment (SEAD) Initiative Energy Efficiency United for Efficiency (U4E) Energy Efficiency Bonn Challenge Forestry Governors Climate and Forests Task Force (GCF) Forestry New York Declaration on Forests Forestry Science-based emission reduction target Industry & Business We are still in Industry & Business RE100 Industry & Business Climate and Clean Air Coalition To Reduce Short-Lived Climate Pollutants Non CO2 Zero Routine Flaring by 2030 Non CO2 Africa Renewable Energy Initiative RE European Wind Initiative (EWI) RE Solar Europe Industry Initiative (SEII) RE SunShot Initiative 2030 RE US Wind Program RE Global Geothermal Alliance RE Collaborative Climate Action Across the Air Transport World Transport Global Fuel Economy Initiative (GFEI) Transport
- 6. Making climate action transparent and traceable/ trackable Continuous aggregation analysis to quantify potential global impact Challenges persist: Data (quality of reported data, no common reporting framework, lack of data for some geographies) Actual achievement of commitments No common approach on how to quantify non-state and subnational action globally Source: UNEP emissions gap report 2017
- 7. Conclusions Sub-national and non-state action is still increasing Sub-national and non-state action helps to achieve and overachieve NDCs (e.g. USA) shows that stronger NDCs by 2020 are achievable (e.g. initiatives) provides good practice examples, pilots innovative approaches (e.g. over 100 cities now get 70% of their electricity from renewable energy*) Impact is potentially significant, but continuous aggregation analysis needed National governments Sub-national and non-state actors 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 MtCO2e/yr Year Historical emissions Current administration policies Current recorded and quantified individual sub-national and non-state commitments Nationally determined contribution Additional action (not quantified) *Source: https://www.cdp.net/en/cities/world-renewable-energy-cities