Economic

1. THE ECONOMICS OF BAISC
INCOME GRANT AND WHY
WE NEED IT
03.02.2022
N.MAKAULA

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Table of Contents
1. SECTION A: Ndzwana
1.1 Background
1.2 Considerations
1.3 Recommendations
2. SECTION B: Expert Panel Study
2.1 Background
2.2 Analysis
2.3 Findings & Conclusions
3. SECTION C: Comprehensive Social Security &
Retirement Reform (CSSRR) Task Team
3.1 Background
3.2 Findings & Conclusions

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1. SECTION A

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1.1 Background
1.1.1 The Basic Income Grant (BIG) is a form of social assistance. Unlike other common social grants (disability grant,
elderly grant or child grant), this particular grant is intended to provide an income source to people who cannot access
employment or make meaningful income.
1.1.2 Brief Background
The social welfare as understood in South Africa, is underpinned and has been made possible by the following (but not
limited) documents;-
• Atlantic Charter – 1941: The charter was agreed upon by both United Kingdom and United State of America
as a New World Order intended to shape the basis of a free world, the charter was contained in eight principles.
• African Claims – 1943: The social welfare was in, South Africa, given impetus by the African National
Congress (ANC)’s adoption of the African Claims document in an annual conference held in Bloemfontein.
• Freedom Charter – 1955: Aspirations of the Freedom charter coincide well with fundamental principles of the
social welfare and support for disadvantaged South Africans. (Section 27 – Health care, food, water & social security)
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1.2 Considerations
1.2.1 Decline in Economic Performance
• The SA economy started to decline in the early 1970s, misguided industry policies and turbulence in the country’s
political events was responsible for this demise.
• The 2008/09 global financial crisis stalled all the strides by the government
• Over 2 million job losses and -0.7% Economic contraction: The coronavirus disease wracked havoc to the economy that
was already on life-support before the various stages of National Lockdown.
1.2.2 Alienation of the Human Spirit
• A lot of people in SA suffered from alienation of the human spirit because of the past experiences from the oppressive
government and for that reason, government of the day owes people a conscientization programme in order to restore
the human dignity of the people.
• The conscientization will rely on a growing and inclusive economy, because social cohesion alone is meaningless if
people are poor, unemployment and systematically excluded.
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1.2 Considerations
1.2.3 Jobless Economy
Although the economy grew by 2.8% on average during 1994 to 2018, it has not been able to absorb the
number of people needing employment;-
• Post-Apartheid jobless growth
• Less than 8 million jobs were created between 1994 and 2019 (in 25 years) and unemployment has
never been lesser than 15%.
• If we hold constant the ‘Covid19 variable’, unemployment rate was sitting at 29.1%(2019) and it has
never been less than 16% in 25 years.
1.2.4 Scrape-Out Planning ill-discipline
• The Government needs to know the importance of long-term planning and stick to it, it is unacceptable that
in 26-years our government has presided over six macro-plans that purport to drive socio-economic
development and ensuring of people’s well-being.
• From the RDP, GEAR, ASGISA, NGP, NDP and in 2019 ‘Reconstruction, Growth and Transformation was
introduced, furthermore in 2020 an Inclusive Economy’ prepared by the Ruling Party and we also have
‘Macroeconomic Plan the -Economic Transformation Inclusive Growth, and Competitiveness’ prepared by
National Treasury.
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1.3 Recommendations
1.3.1 Basic Income Grant is Needed and is 18 years Late
• BIG must be made permanent Policy,
• The first report titled ‘Transforming the Present – Protecting the Future’ was presented to the
Committee of Inquiry into a Comprehensive System of Social Security for South Africa. March 2002.
• Pre-Covid19 socio-economic conditions demanded a grant such as BIG
• Social Grants have increased by 15 271 681 over the past 25 years (3 018 909 in 1995 and
18 290 592 in 2020) and ‘ordinary’ people have had access to basic survival needs.
1.3.2 The Basic Income Grant to be increase from R350 to R1268
• The current set of BIG at R350 is still significantly low, its only 59% of food poverty line of R585
• There is sufficient ground to support a BIG that is at least equivalent to upper bound poverty line of
R1 268 for it to make critical difference.
1.3.3 BIG Can Help Prevent Violent Crimes and Unrest
• Violent crimes and looting in South Africa were not a sign of temporarily angry people, but a
demonstration of deep-seated feelings of inadequacy amongst millions of South African people.
• These inadequacies are driven by low and intolerable levels of socio-economic conditions in the
country, poor transformation and use of policies that continue to marginalized black people
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1.3 Recommendations
1.3.4 Financing of Social Security System
• The financing of the BIG will have to be in line with same realm of resourcing such as Road Accident Fund, Compensation
for Occupation Injuries and Diseases and National Skills Fund which are financed through the proportion of the fuel levy,
levies paid by employers and Skills Development levy respectively.
1.3.5 Strong Oversight by Parliament & PBO in the Budgeting Processes
• SA fiscal deficit would remain higher than 12% of GDP for foreseeable future and rating agencies have downgraded SA’s
investment-grade credit rating, (National Treasury 2021).
• In the event of a debt default or fiscal crisis, it is estimated that this would cost the country at least R2 trillion in lost
economic activity by the end of the decade.
1.3.6 Fiscal Consolidation
• A sound social security will need to be adequately resourced and for that reason a reduction of budget deficit and
containment of Debt to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is important.
• For this reason, the parliament needs to support an evaluation of the Expansionary Fiscal Contraction (EFC) in the context
of South Africa in order to implement it without exacerbating the already problematic austerity measures.
• The SA government needs to evaluation the Expansionary Fiscal Contraction so as to test the nature of causality
relationship between growth and consolidation and such outcomes must inform the approach followed by National Treasury.
1.3.7 Reducing irregular expenditure
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2. SECTION B -
Expert Panel Report on SRD

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2.1 Background
• National Department of Social Development (DSD) and SASSA issued ToRs to appoint a
Service Provider that will conduct: Rapid Assessment of Implementation of Covid-19
Social Relief Distress (SRD).
• The assessment report used mixed method approach;
• Online surveys
• Focus group discussions
• Literature review
• 4 questionnaires with different thematic areas

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Age groups 20-24, 25-29 and 30-34 when
combined make up 61.3% of all applicants
The lower applications submitted by women were at
their peak reproductive ages. This suggests that the
receipt of the Child Support Grant (CSG) was a key
factor driving the applicants submitted by women.
2.2 Analysis

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The rate of approval differs in different ages, notably
higher in teen ages and lowest in mid-twenties. Low
approval rates coincided with peak reproductive ages.

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2.3 Major Findings & Conclusions
• The Special COVID-19 SRD grant is mostly used to purchase food, as reported by 93.3% of
surveyed applicants.
• A total of 9,537,077 applications were received and 6,449,916 approved. Of the approved,
4,379,331 (67.9%) were men compared to 2,070,585 (32.1%) women.
• Metros had disproportionately higher numbers of respondents compared to district
municipalities indicating an urban bias.
• Black Africans made up 82.8% of grant applicants and Gauteng had the highest number
of respondents (28.2%) followed by KZN (18.7%) and Eastern Cape (13%).
• The grant makes an important dent on poverty. In order to reduce the very high levels of
poverty in female-headed households, receipt of Child Support Grant (CSG) benefits must
be disregarded when determining eligibility for the grant or a similar grant (i.e. Basic
Income Grant).
• Mitigate and bridge the digital divide in the administration of social security

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2.3 Major Findings & Conclusions
• The Panel looked at SRD in line with triple challenges in SA (Poverty, Unemployment &
Inequality).
 Poverty: SRD appears to have direct positive impact on poverty by means of combating hunger and ‘ensuring’
food security.
 Unemployment: SRD seems to have mixed impact on unemployment, one hand:- SRD will not on its own help
create jobs –negative- on the other hand;- the R350 will activate labour force, allow people offer themselves
more for employment –positive-
 Inequality: The R350 is a less effective strategy to reduce inequality in S.A. Needs to be complemented by
other plans.
• Funding Models:
 The panel strongly recommended combination of taxes as a funding model, that’s is income tax plus value
added tax (VAT) and attraction of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI).
 Income tax is not a sufficient source since there is not enough people paying tax.
 A phase approach is recommended, as the economy grows taxation must be reviewed.
• The BIS is too little at R350 and it should at least be R1300 and that it includes everyone between 16yrs -
59yrs for those not receiving disability grant.
• Social support is a Constitutional right – right to social security; (Section 27 – Basic Shelter, Basic Nutrition
and Health Carer)
• The importance given to BIG must be the same as the one given to growing the economy; structural
reforms, creating jobs or else we are buying deeper problems

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3. SECTION C -
Comprehensive Social Security
and Retirement Reform (CSSRR)
Task Team

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3.1 Background
The Task Team was resuscitated on 30 June 2014, to engage on Comprehensive Social Security.
In 2016, Cabinet accepted the Comprehensive Report of the Review of the White Paper for Social Welfare 1997, prepared by Professor Vivienne
Taylor.
The Minister of Social Development presented the Comprehensive Social Security and Retirement Reform discussion paper dated 2012, to
Nedlac Exco on 25 November 2016. A Manco Task Team was consequently established to enable social partners to engage on the policy
proposals.
The Task Team produced a draft Nedlac Report which was signed off by Exco on 28 March 2019. The report identified key areas of agreement and areas for
further debate. It also identified further areas of research that needed to be conducted in order to produce a consolidated CSSRR paper.
• The Feasibility of Basic Income Grant (BIG) – was one of areas for further research.
The CSSRR Task Team established a Research Reference Group (RRG) to appoint service providers and engage on the research areas, The
research reports were finalised in February 2021. Thereafter, Government tabled an updated paper, “Green Paper on Comprehensive Social
Security and Retirement Reform” on 06 May 2021, for engagement by social partners.

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3.2 Findings & Conclusions
• All the social partners/ constituencies ( Business, Organised-Labour, Community, Government) at Nedlac
supported the establishment of Basic Income Grant for ages between 18-59yrs.
• National discussion should be initiated to consider the BIG alongside other important national social initiatives
such as NHI and higher education funding.
• The Deloitte report presents a dataset showing that a basic income grant would cost anywhere between R17
billion and R554 billion, depending on eligibility rules and the value of the grant (R350 – R1,268 per month).
• The IEJ paper presents a different range – from R157 billion to R519 billion, based on a grant of R585 to
R1,268 per month
• All these instructions have recommended taxation as main funding model for the Basic Income Grant.

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Questions?
1. Is Basic Income Grant sustainable?
2. What about the fiscal multipliers of the Social
Relief Distress grant?
3. Why are we looking at it as consumption?
4. Can we afford it or can we afford not to have it?
5. What about the poor tax collection?
6. What about illicit tax revenue?

20. Thank You