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Beyond speculation: a data centric
approach to NFTs
April 2022
Our Channel
NFA!
● ❌ IntoTheBlock does not provide financial advice
● 👨🏫 Educational purposes
● 🎰 NFTs -> Highly speculative cryptoasset class
● 😰 Illiquidity -> Higher volatility than tokens/coins
● 💸 Several -50% price drawdowns even in the most consolidated collections
● 🧑🧑🧑 Often designed and fueled by network effects
Agenda
● A glance at our upcoming NFT release
● Overview of NFT activity
● A dive into collections metrics
A quick update about ITB
Partnerships
● XT.com & Wundertrading analytics integrations
A glance at our upcoming NFT
release
1st ITB NFT release
● Top-down approach ⛛ + Ξthereum on-chain activity
● Divided into 3 sections, both of them 🆓
○ Activity and Collections metrics
● Second release (next Q): collectors insights, per collections advanced metrics
Overview of NFT activity
What is the best metric to measure NFT Activity?
● 🔎 Google Search trends
○ 🟢 Discover factor
○ 🔴 Measure activity
● 📊Daily / Weekly / Monthly Volumes
○ 🆗 for short term sentiment
○ 🔀 Highly variable, hard to long term spot trends
○ 🔵 Tends towards -> “It is clearly a bubble”
Total Volume Traded by NFTs
● Shows the accumulated volume
traded in NFTs over time
● April 2022: Over $50B traded
● Both ETH & USD series available
Total Volume Traded by NFTs (USD, logarithmic)
● CSV export is great
● Clear trend starting 2021
● Acceleration & deceleration
phases
Adoption curves
● Upcoming years: likely an S-shape curve
How how much is a blockchain used for NFTs?
● Main use cases of smart contracts blockchains so far:
○ 💵 Decentralized finance (trading tokens, providing liquidity…)
○ 🖼🖼 NFTs
● Most accurate adoption metrics:
○ DeFi -> % ETH supply locked in smart contracts (similar to TVL)
○ NFTs -> % ETH addresses with balance holding NFTs
Addresses Holding NFTs
● 4.5% of ETH addresses with
balance are holding NFTs
● Proxy addresses -> 🧑 Users
● Steady growth pace
Demand side, covered. Supply side?
● Best output of the NFT offer
⬇️
Collections created
● Uncorrelated to demand (sales)
● Usually surplus on # collections lends
to short-timed market cooldowns
Number of NFT Collections
● Over 76K collections created
● Pace accelerated since Feb 22
● No signs of slowdown
Top NFT Sales
● Avg. top sales currently at
~$300k
● Usually most rare NFTs of
valuable collections appear
here
Collections metrics
What is interesting when comparing collections?
● Which collections are currently the most valuable?
● Which collections are gaining popularity?
● Which collections have more fans/holders?
● Which collections have been traded the most?
Most Valuable NFT Collections
● TOP 20 most valuable
● Valuable? -> Market cap = Avg. price * Supply
● Timeframes and Variations
Booming NFT Collections
● 7 day price performance
● Discover 🔎
● Catch the trend 📈
● Many are not expensive (yet)
Trending NFT Collections
● Trending -> those 10 trading the most volume in the last 24h
Collections With Most Unique Owners
● Showcases uses beyond profile pictures.
● Collectibles tied to RWA (Cryptostamps)
● Product gamification (Zapper)
● Trading cards (Parallel)
● Digital Art (Artblocks)
All-time Most Traded Collections
● Recognition
● Filters hype better
● Visual cue of the differences
What will come next?
● Collections
○ Dig deep ⛏️ Correlations of on-chain activity and price
○ Minimum price listed (Floor prices)
○ Number of NFTs listed to be sold
○ Volume sold by price buckets
● Collectors
○ Who is trading the most?
○ Who is making more profit?
Thank You! Questions?
Juan Pellicer
Research & Product at IntoTheBlock
Email: jpellicer@intotheblock.io
Twitter: @juan_p2p

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Beyond speculation: a data centric approach to NFTs

  • 1. Beyond speculation: a data centric approach to NFTs April 2022
  • 3. NFA! ● ❌ IntoTheBlock does not provide financial advice ● 👨🏫 Educational purposes ● 🎰 NFTs -> Highly speculative cryptoasset class ● 😰 Illiquidity -> Higher volatility than tokens/coins ● 💸 Several -50% price drawdowns even in the most consolidated collections ● 🧑🧑🧑 Often designed and fueled by network effects
  • 4. Agenda ● A glance at our upcoming NFT release ● Overview of NFT activity ● A dive into collections metrics
  • 5. A quick update about ITB
  • 6. Partnerships ● XT.com & Wundertrading analytics integrations
  • 7. A glance at our upcoming NFT release
  • 8. 1st ITB NFT release ● Top-down approach ⛛ + Ξthereum on-chain activity ● Divided into 3 sections, both of them 🆓 ○ Activity and Collections metrics ● Second release (next Q): collectors insights, per collections advanced metrics
  • 9. Overview of NFT activity
  • 10. What is the best metric to measure NFT Activity? ● 🔎 Google Search trends ○ 🟢 Discover factor ○ 🔴 Measure activity ● 📊Daily / Weekly / Monthly Volumes ○ 🆗 for short term sentiment ○ 🔀 Highly variable, hard to long term spot trends ○ 🔵 Tends towards -> “It is clearly a bubble”
  • 11. Total Volume Traded by NFTs ● Shows the accumulated volume traded in NFTs over time ● April 2022: Over $50B traded ● Both ETH & USD series available
  • 12. Total Volume Traded by NFTs (USD, logarithmic) ● CSV export is great ● Clear trend starting 2021 ● Acceleration & deceleration phases
  • 13. Adoption curves ● Upcoming years: likely an S-shape curve
  • 14. How how much is a blockchain used for NFTs? ● Main use cases of smart contracts blockchains so far: ○ 💵 Decentralized finance (trading tokens, providing liquidity…) ○ 🖼🖼 NFTs ● Most accurate adoption metrics: ○ DeFi -> % ETH supply locked in smart contracts (similar to TVL) ○ NFTs -> % ETH addresses with balance holding NFTs
  • 15. Addresses Holding NFTs ● 4.5% of ETH addresses with balance are holding NFTs ● Proxy addresses -> 🧑 Users ● Steady growth pace
  • 16. Demand side, covered. Supply side? ● Best output of the NFT offer ⬇️ Collections created ● Uncorrelated to demand (sales) ● Usually surplus on # collections lends to short-timed market cooldowns
  • 17. Number of NFT Collections ● Over 76K collections created ● Pace accelerated since Feb 22 ● No signs of slowdown
  • 18. Top NFT Sales ● Avg. top sales currently at ~$300k ● Usually most rare NFTs of valuable collections appear here
  • 20. What is interesting when comparing collections? ● Which collections are currently the most valuable? ● Which collections are gaining popularity? ● Which collections have more fans/holders? ● Which collections have been traded the most?
  • 21. Most Valuable NFT Collections ● TOP 20 most valuable ● Valuable? -> Market cap = Avg. price * Supply ● Timeframes and Variations
  • 22. Booming NFT Collections ● 7 day price performance ● Discover 🔎 ● Catch the trend 📈 ● Many are not expensive (yet)
  • 23. Trending NFT Collections ● Trending -> those 10 trading the most volume in the last 24h
  • 24. Collections With Most Unique Owners ● Showcases uses beyond profile pictures. ● Collectibles tied to RWA (Cryptostamps) ● Product gamification (Zapper) ● Trading cards (Parallel) ● Digital Art (Artblocks)
  • 25. All-time Most Traded Collections ● Recognition ● Filters hype better ● Visual cue of the differences
  • 26. What will come next? ● Collections ○ Dig deep ⛏️ Correlations of on-chain activity and price ○ Minimum price listed (Floor prices) ○ Number of NFTs listed to be sold ○ Volume sold by price buckets ● Collectors ○ Who is trading the most? ○ Who is making more profit?
  • 27.
  • 28. Thank You! Questions? Juan Pellicer Research & Product at IntoTheBlock Email: jpellicer@intotheblock.io Twitter: @juan_p2p

Editor's Notes

  1. Automated crypto trading platform
  2. The building blocks of a DeFi trading infrastructure. Stories about surviving liquidity manipulation attacks, hacks, governance changes and the many challenges of the DeFi market.