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Beyond Siri on the iPhone: How could
intelligent systems change the way we
   interact with technology and take
                decisions?

             Yousif Almas
             December 2011
Siri: Artificial Intelligence (AI) for All?
Intelligent System
A system that recognizes its environment and
takes actions that maximize its chances of success.
Haven’t we been using AI for years?
Artificial Intelligence - Problems
•   Knowledge Representation
•   Learning – Machine Learning
•   Natural Language Processing (NLP)
•   Perception - Computer Vision and Hearing
Why Beta? Apple Creates “Perfect” Products?




Because language is a complex tool and NLP
       require more advancement
Natural Language Processing (NLP)
•    A field of computer science and linguistics concerned with the interactions
     between computers and human (natural) languages.

•    Approaches
      – Deep analysis (use linguistic resources such as grammar analysis, etc.)
      – Shallow analysis (statistical, use large collections of text )
      – Hybrid

•    Major Tasks
      – Automatic Summarisation (Microsoft Word?)
      – Natural Language Understanding (Siri?)
      – Speech Recognition (Siri?)
      – Machine Translation (Google versus. Sakhr)
      – Sentiment Analysis
      – Information Retrieval
      – Information Extraction
Steps in Natural Language Processing (NLP)
   Deep Approach (Linguistic Analysis)
Natural Language Processing (NLP)

• Deep linguistic analysis so the computer can
  interpret the text:
Natural Language Processing (NLP)
Shallow Approach (Statistical Analysis)
• Systems can use the large amount of textual
  information readily available (e.g. on the web)
  to produce statistical information and drive
  generalisations that can be used as rules for
  predictions/classifications (language
  independent?)
Natural Language Processing
  Accuracy Levels – Varies
How could intelligent language
processing systems assist us further?
Information Overload and Decision Making
     “Intelligent (NLP) Systems to Assist”




              Herbert Simon                   Information Overload and
(Nobel Prize in Economics, Awarded 1978)         Bounded Rationality

 “What information consumes is rather obvious: it consumes the attention of its
 recipients. Hence a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention, and a
 need to allocate that attention efficiently among the overabundance of
 information sources that might consume it.”
                                                                   [Herbert Simon]
News, Blogs, Chats, etc. and their Influence
    “Intelligent (NLP) Systems to Assist”




            Daniel Kahneman
(Nobel Prize in Economics, Awarded 2002)              Human Psychology


  - “Traces of what people feel and believe can be found in text” [Daniel Kahneman]
  - “Frequency Correlates with acceptability” [Richard Kittredge]
Who do we trust? The average opinion ?
Again – Frequency Correlates with Acceptability
Sentiment Analysis – Positive or Negative?
Systems Need to be Cross Language and Dialect
Natural Language Processing - Language is Complex




            falling or rising
             ‫ارتفاع أم انخفاض‬
                                             sick or healthy
                                              ‫صحية أم مريضة‬


                                                    ascending or descending
- Positive for Stock Market or Commodities Market (Oil)?  ‫صعود أم ھبوط‬
-     Positive for Buyer or seller?
    Cartoons Source: http://www.aleqt.com/                             20
Systems Need to be Cross Language
• Arabic:
  – ‫( سنستخدمه‬rich morphology, absence of vowels)
• English:
     • We will use it (simple morphology).
• Chinese:
  – 我们将使用它 (no spaces between words)
Globalisation and Language - Banking and Finance




      Demand in Europe and USA for market researchers and analysts
      fluent in Arabic, Chinese, Hindi, Russian or Turkish
                                                                     22
In the Business World
                    “I have been dealing with these big mathematical models of forecasting the economy and
                    I am looking at what was going on in the last few weeks (credit crunch), if i can figure out
                    whether or not people are more fearful or changing to be euphoric and I have a third way
                    of figuring out which of the two things is working (stronger), i don't need any these of
                    those stuff (mathematical models), i can forecast the economy better than any way i
                    know, the trouble is that we can’t figure that out.“
                                                                      Alan Greenspan on the Daily Show (2007)
                                                                    Chairman of the Federal Reserve 1987-2006


                   Position: “Text Data Mining”
                   Job Description: The successful candidate will mine text data from numerous news
                   sources and incorporate the information into the proprietary trading systems.

                                                                 Posted on www.efinancialcareers.com (2007)



                   “We are exploring how to incorporate techniques of parsing texts in our trading systems.”
                                                                     Head of Trading Research Team (2007)
                                                                             Major Global Investment Bank
                                                                                 (Personal Communication)


28/05/2012 09:09                                                                                         23
Gartner – Emerging Technologies and Mainstream Adoption
Content Analytics – NLP in Action
• Content analytics applications process content to derive
  answers to specific questions:
   – Shall I sell my “Apple” stocks?
   – Shall I buy a Mercedes or a BMW?

• Sources of Content include:
   –   blogs
   –   news portals
   –   databases (corporate)
   –   instant messaging
   –   social networks
   –   search engines
   –   images, audio and video (public and private)
Commercial Software using Content Analysis
Services using Content Analysis (NLP)
Text Analytics Market
• Text analytics solutions market is still
  immature (the vendors with the longest track
  records do not yet have software-as-a-service
  offerings), and some of the underlying
  capabilities are not as robust as the attractive
  user interface may suggest (dealing with non-
  English-language documents and documents
  with many domain-specific terms?).
                                           [Gartner]
Wrap Up – How Could Intelligent Systems
   Change the way we take decisions
 • NLP Intelligent systems will be more:
    - Accurate
    - Cross Language
    - Cross Domain (e.g. finance, sport, medicine)

 As individuals, we will depend more on such systems
 deployed on Phones, Cars, Tablets, PCs, TVs, Kiosks, etc. and
 they will not be perceived as intelligent systems (as least not
 as now) in many daily tasks including:
    -   Buy/Sell decisions.
    -   Advise.
    -   Entertainment.
    -   Education.
Thank You

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Beyond Siri on the iPhone: How could intelligent systems change the way we interact with technology and take decisions?

  • 1. Beyond Siri on the iPhone: How could intelligent systems change the way we interact with technology and take decisions? Yousif Almas December 2011
  • 3. Intelligent System A system that recognizes its environment and takes actions that maximize its chances of success.
  • 4. Haven’t we been using AI for years?
  • 5. Artificial Intelligence - Problems • Knowledge Representation • Learning – Machine Learning • Natural Language Processing (NLP) • Perception - Computer Vision and Hearing
  • 6.
  • 7. Why Beta? Apple Creates “Perfect” Products? Because language is a complex tool and NLP require more advancement
  • 8. Natural Language Processing (NLP) • A field of computer science and linguistics concerned with the interactions between computers and human (natural) languages. • Approaches – Deep analysis (use linguistic resources such as grammar analysis, etc.) – Shallow analysis (statistical, use large collections of text ) – Hybrid • Major Tasks – Automatic Summarisation (Microsoft Word?) – Natural Language Understanding (Siri?) – Speech Recognition (Siri?) – Machine Translation (Google versus. Sakhr) – Sentiment Analysis – Information Retrieval – Information Extraction
  • 9. Steps in Natural Language Processing (NLP) Deep Approach (Linguistic Analysis)
  • 10. Natural Language Processing (NLP) • Deep linguistic analysis so the computer can interpret the text:
  • 11. Natural Language Processing (NLP) Shallow Approach (Statistical Analysis) • Systems can use the large amount of textual information readily available (e.g. on the web) to produce statistical information and drive generalisations that can be used as rules for predictions/classifications (language independent?)
  • 12. Natural Language Processing Accuracy Levels – Varies
  • 13. How could intelligent language processing systems assist us further?
  • 14. Information Overload and Decision Making “Intelligent (NLP) Systems to Assist” Herbert Simon Information Overload and (Nobel Prize in Economics, Awarded 1978) Bounded Rationality “What information consumes is rather obvious: it consumes the attention of its recipients. Hence a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention, and a need to allocate that attention efficiently among the overabundance of information sources that might consume it.” [Herbert Simon]
  • 15. News, Blogs, Chats, etc. and their Influence “Intelligent (NLP) Systems to Assist” Daniel Kahneman (Nobel Prize in Economics, Awarded 2002) Human Psychology - “Traces of what people feel and believe can be found in text” [Daniel Kahneman] - “Frequency Correlates with acceptability” [Richard Kittredge]
  • 16. Who do we trust? The average opinion ?
  • 17. Again – Frequency Correlates with Acceptability
  • 18. Sentiment Analysis – Positive or Negative?
  • 19. Systems Need to be Cross Language and Dialect
  • 20. Natural Language Processing - Language is Complex falling or rising ‫ارتفاع أم انخفاض‬ sick or healthy ‫صحية أم مريضة‬ ascending or descending - Positive for Stock Market or Commodities Market (Oil)? ‫صعود أم ھبوط‬ - Positive for Buyer or seller? Cartoons Source: http://www.aleqt.com/ 20
  • 21. Systems Need to be Cross Language • Arabic: – ‫( سنستخدمه‬rich morphology, absence of vowels) • English: • We will use it (simple morphology). • Chinese: – 我们将使用它 (no spaces between words)
  • 22. Globalisation and Language - Banking and Finance Demand in Europe and USA for market researchers and analysts fluent in Arabic, Chinese, Hindi, Russian or Turkish 22
  • 23. In the Business World “I have been dealing with these big mathematical models of forecasting the economy and I am looking at what was going on in the last few weeks (credit crunch), if i can figure out whether or not people are more fearful or changing to be euphoric and I have a third way of figuring out which of the two things is working (stronger), i don't need any these of those stuff (mathematical models), i can forecast the economy better than any way i know, the trouble is that we can’t figure that out.“ Alan Greenspan on the Daily Show (2007) Chairman of the Federal Reserve 1987-2006 Position: “Text Data Mining” Job Description: The successful candidate will mine text data from numerous news sources and incorporate the information into the proprietary trading systems. Posted on www.efinancialcareers.com (2007) “We are exploring how to incorporate techniques of parsing texts in our trading systems.” Head of Trading Research Team (2007) Major Global Investment Bank (Personal Communication) 28/05/2012 09:09 23
  • 24. Gartner – Emerging Technologies and Mainstream Adoption
  • 25. Content Analytics – NLP in Action • Content analytics applications process content to derive answers to specific questions: – Shall I sell my “Apple” stocks? – Shall I buy a Mercedes or a BMW? • Sources of Content include: – blogs – news portals – databases (corporate) – instant messaging – social networks – search engines – images, audio and video (public and private)
  • 26. Commercial Software using Content Analysis
  • 27. Services using Content Analysis (NLP)
  • 28. Text Analytics Market • Text analytics solutions market is still immature (the vendors with the longest track records do not yet have software-as-a-service offerings), and some of the underlying capabilities are not as robust as the attractive user interface may suggest (dealing with non- English-language documents and documents with many domain-specific terms?). [Gartner]
  • 29. Wrap Up – How Could Intelligent Systems Change the way we take decisions • NLP Intelligent systems will be more: - Accurate - Cross Language - Cross Domain (e.g. finance, sport, medicine) As individuals, we will depend more on such systems deployed on Phones, Cars, Tablets, PCs, TVs, Kiosks, etc. and they will not be perceived as intelligent systems (as least not as now) in many daily tasks including: - Buy/Sell decisions. - Advise. - Entertainment. - Education.
  • 30.