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CAPITAL POWER
INVESTOR MEETINGS
August 2015
Brian Vaasjo, President & CEO
Tony Scozzafava, VP Taxation & Treasury
Capital Power overview
2
1) Based on MW owned capacity as of Jul 31/15; excludes Sundance PPA (371 MW).
2) Subject to Board approval.
3) Market capitalization as of July 31/15. Average daily trading volume on all stock exchanges for the 1-year period ended July 31/15.
Coal/SF
47%
Gas
35%
Wind
18%
 IPP with ownership interest in 17
facilities in Canada and the US
totaling more than 3,200 MW(1)
 Capital Power builds, owns and
operates power plants
 Substantial growth in contracted
operating margins expected to significantly
cover financial obligations and growing
dividends in 2015 & beyond
 Strong contracted cash flow base
supports annual dividend growth(2)
(recently announced a 7.4% increase to
$1.46/share annualized effective Q3/15)
 Well-positioned to weather bottom of
Alberta power market cycle with significant
% of merchant cash flows hedged in the
near term
 TSX (CPX); market cap of $2.2B(3);
average daily trading 430K(3) shares
Capital Power’s value proposition
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Genesee 2
Genesee 1
Genesee 3
Keephills 3
Roxboro
Southport
Joffre
Island Generation
Clover Bar Unit 1
Clover Bar Unit 2
Clover Bar Unit 3
Shepard Energy Centre
Kingsbridge I
K2 Wind
Macho Springs
Quality Wind
Halkirk
Port Dover & Nanticoke
Modern fleet
Helps keep availability high and reduces risk of unplanned outages
 Average weighted facility age of the current fleet is 11.7 years(1)
 Shepard and K2 Wind reached COD this year adding 490 MW to the fleet
 First solar project (Beaufort Solar) expected to be completed by year-end
1) Average facility age and remaining life weighted by owned capacity as of July 31/15.
Facility age
Remaining life
Gas
(~28 years remaining life)
Wind
Canadian coal
(~33 years
remaining life)
Solid fuels
Operational excellence
Average Age
4
Proven track record of high fleet availability
Plant availability consistently 90%+ in past 6 years
Generation
(GWh)
Generation Average plant availability
96%
90%
92%
91%
93%
95%
94%
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015T
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Operational excellence
5
Excellent track record of development
Asset Capacity / fuel On-time On-budget In-Service
Genesee 3(1) (AB) 516 MW / coal  + 2005
Kingsbridge 1 (ON) 40 MW / wind   2006
Clover Bar Energy
Centre (AB)
243 MW / gas +  2009
Keephills 3(1) (AB) 495 MW / coal - - 2011
Halkirk (AB) 150 MW / wind  + 2012
Quality Wind (BC) 142 MW / wind  + 2012
Port Dover &
Nanticoke (ON)
105 MW / wind  + 2013
 Met expectations at full notice to proceed
+ Better than expected
- Worse than expected
Outstanding track record of completing 7 construction projects
(supercritical coal, natural gas, wind) totaling 1,691 MW
Operational excellence
1) Joint venture with TransAlta Corporation; each party has a 50% ownership interest.
6
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Capital Power ENMAX TransAlta ATCO Other
Genesee 4&5 Renewables Thermal
Capital Power is the leading developer in
the AB market
Generation built in Alberta since 2004(1)
1) Includes Shepard Energy Centre and excludes generation for oilsand developments and coal-fired unit expansions.
(MW)
Proposed Genesee 4&5
Proposed Genesee 4&5
Operational excellence
7
Financial strength
 Investment grade credit ratings
 Debt-to-capital ratio remains below
long-term target of 40% - 50%
Debt to total capitalization
33% 30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2014 2015T
Long-term target 40% - 50%
Strong balance sheet and investment grade credit rating
Agency Ratings Outlook
S&P BBB- / P-3 Stable
DBRS BBB / Pfd-3 (low) Stable
Corporate Liquidity(1)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2014
1) December 31, 2014 forward-looking estimate.
Strong financial base
8
1) Metrics applicable to Capital Power L.P.
2) Based on S&P’s weighted average ratings methodology.
Credit metrics(1)
Above DBRS financial criteria for current rating
EBITDA/Adj. Interest
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2015T
Adj. Cash flow/Adj. Debt
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2015T
Within S&P financial criteria for investment grade rating
Adj. FFO/Adj. Debt(2)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2015T
Adj. Debt/Adj. EBITDA(2)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2015T
Capacity for
additional debt
Strong financial base
9
Continued strong cash flow generation
 Cash flow expected to increase
~8% in 2015
 ~40% of 2015 FFO is
discretionary cash flow (DCF)
 At the mid-point of guidance
range, generating ~$200M in
cash flow before growth capex
to reinvest in the business at
the bottom of the Alberta power
market cycle
Funds from operations (FFO)
1) 2015 FFO target represents the mid-point of $365 - $415M guidance range.
2) Discretionary cash flow (DCF) is a non-GAAP financial measure. DCF = FFO - sustaining capex - total common and preferred share dividends and CPLP distributions.
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
2012 2013 2014 2015T
42%
21% 17%
40%
43%
31%
36%
33%($M)
19%
48%
33%
37%
(1)
Discretionary cash flow
Gross dividends (common & preferred shares)
Sustaining capex
(2)
Strong financial base
10
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F
K2 Wind
Shepard
Macho Springs
PD&N
Halkirk
Quality Wind
Island Generation
North Carolina
Kingsbridge 1
Genesee 1&2
Improving contracted cash flow(1,2)
($M)
3 wind
projects}
Shepard
& K2
Wind}
Substantial expansion in contracted operating margin from 2012 to 2016
11
1) Margins have been averaged over the periods except in the year of commissioning.
2) Only includes contracted portions of Halkirk and Shepard plants.
Contracted cash flows
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F
1) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (including interest during construction), sustaining
capital expenditures and general & administration expenses.
2) Dividends include common and preferred dividends. Assumes consistent dividend growth in 2015-17 subject to Board approval.
12
Strong financial coverage
Contracted operating margin to
financial obligations(1) and dividends(2)
 With addition of Shepard
and K2 Wind in 2015,
substantial expansion in our
contracted operating margin
 Annual dividend growth of
10 cents in 2014 (7.9%) and
2015 (7.4%) supported by
growing contracted cash
flows
 Expect significant coverage
(including assumption of
consistent dividend growth)
in 2015 and beyond
Well positioned for consistent dividend growth
Contracted cash flows
Dividend increase
 Effective with Q3/15, quarterly
dividend increased 7.4% to $0.365
from $0.34 per share
 Contracted cash flow base has grown
significantly with the recent additions
of Shepard and K2 Wind in 2015
 Dividend increase based on
Company’s confidence in its growing
and sustainable cash flows from a
solid base of contracted assets
(1) 2013 and 2014 annualized dividend based on year-end quarterly dividend amount.
(2) Subject to Board approval.
A 10 cents per share increase (7.4%) to the annual dividend
Annualized dividend
per common share(1)
$1.26
$1.36
$1.46
2013 Y/E 2014 Y/E Effective
Q3/15
Well positioned to consistently increase the dividend(2)
while also investing in growth opportunities
13
Contracted cash flows
Capital allocation
Dividend
Growth
Growth
Opportunities
Repurchase
Potential
Capital
Allocation
(1) Growing contracted cash flow base supports
dividend growth
(2) Well positioned to fund or partially fund
any new significant growth opportunities in
the near term with discretionary cash flow
(3) Active in debt reduction and share buyback
absent an acquisition or development project
 Recently reduced debt by $75M
 Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) approved in
Apr/15 to purchase up to 5M common shares
over a 1-year period (repurchased 1.6M shares
as of June 30/15)
Strong financial base
14
Oil & gas development drives load growth in Alberta
Alberta demand relative to oil prices
 Alberta demand growing modestly in new oil price environment
 2015 year-to-date load growth of 1.5%
 Long term fundamentals remain strong
AB power market upside
15
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Alberta Load Growth & West Texas Intermediate (1)
Alberta Internal Load Growth (Left) AIL Growth (12-Month Rolling Average) WTI (Right)
Oil Price ($/bbl)AIL Growth (%)
(1) Alberta Internal Load normalized for weather
Source: CPC, EIA
Expected coal unit retirements - CST
Retirements under the federal Capital Stock Turnover (CST) regulations
1) Capital Power holds the PPA (371 MW) for Sundance Units 5 & 6 until PPA expiry in 2020.
2) Represents units that Capital Power has ownership in.
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037
2039
2041
2043
2045
2047
2049
2051
2053
2055
2057
2059
2061
Alberta coal generation (MW)
Facility
Generation
Capacity
(MW)
End of Life
(Final
Regulations)
Battle River 3 149 2019
Sundance 1 288 2019
H.R. Milner 144 2019
Sundance 2 288 2019
Battle River 4 155 2025
Sundance 3 362 2026
Sundance 4 406 2027
Sundance 5(1) 406 2028
Sundance 6(1) 401 2029
Battle River 5 385 2029
Keephills 1 387 2029
Keephills 2 406 2029
Sheerness 1 390 2036
Genesee 2(2) 430 2039
Sheerness 2 390 2040
Genesee 1(2) 430 2044
Genesee 3(2) 516 2055
Keephills 3(2) 495 2061
AB power market upside
16
869 MWs by 2019
Additional 1,329 MWs by 2028
Additional 1,579 MWs by 2029
0
5
10
15
0
25
50
75
100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
($/GJ)($/MWh)
Alberta Energy Prices(1)
Power Gas
Alberta market forecasts
AB power market upside
1) Forecasts represents the average forecast from three leading 3rd party consulting firms.
17
Changes to AB’s emissions regulations
 Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (SGER) in Alberta requires
facilities that emit 100,000 tonnes or more of greenhouse gases per
year to reduce emissions intensity by a specific target
 Alberta Government announced on June 25 changes to SGER:
2015 2016 2017
Emissions intensity reduction 12% 15% 20%
Alberta “Tech Fund” compliance costs
(per tonne)
$15 $20 $30
 Between 2016-2020, Capital Power’s increase in compliance costs
will be partly mitigated by higher wholesale power prices directly
caused by the new regulations
 Company has a significant inventory of low-cost carbon offset credits
that have been developed over the past 8 years, which are expected
to offset the balance of the compliance costs through 2020
Alberta outlook
18
Diverse generation fleet in Alberta
Well positioned to capture value in Alberta’s merchant market
1) Capital Power’s expected percentages reflect ownership interest and excludes Sundance PPA. Source: AESO
Expected AB power generation stack for 2015(1)
Clover Bar Energy Centre
• Most responsive peaking facility in the AB market
• Captures peak pricing, backstops position
Shepard Energy Centre
• 50% JV interest in 800 MW natural gas combined cycle facility
• 50% of Capital Power’s capacity under 20-year PPA
• Most effective gas facility, with lowest heat rate
Joffre Cogen
• 192 MW capacity from jointly-owned mid-merit natural gas
combined cycle facility
Genesee 1, 2, 3; Keephills 3
• G1 & 2 provides 860 MW of low cost baseload coal under PPA
through 2020
• G3 and K3 provides 516 MW of merchant capacity from jointly-
owned and operated plants. Cleanest coal units in Canada with
the longest average life remaining of 43 years.
Halkirk Wind
• One of the largest wind farms in AB; provides Renewable
Energy Credits into California market under long term contract
• Unique geographical location provides greater captured price
Wind
Hydro
Coal
Gas
Cogen
Gas mid-merit
Gas peaking
Other
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
4%
30%
34%
20%
11%
AB power market upside
19
AB commercial portfolio positions
Alberta portfolio hedged positions (% sold forward)
Well positioned to weather the bottom of the power
market cycle with a significant % of merchant cash
flows hedged in the near-term
As of Jun 30/15 2016 2017
Percentage sold forward(1) 86% 25%
Average contracted prices(2) ($/MWh) High-$40 High-$50
1) Based on the Alberta baseload plants and the acquired Sundance PPA plus a portion of Joffre and the uncontracted portion of Shepard Energy Centre baseload.
2) The forecast average contracted prices may differ significantly from the future average realized prices as the hedged and unhedged positions have a varying mix of
differently priced blocks of power.
AB power market upside
20
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Average AB spot power price Capital Power captured AB price
Alberta power market trading
 Portfolio optimization activities focused on managing exposure to
commodity risks, reducing volatility and creating incremental value
Average realized power price has exceeded spot power prices
by 19% on average over the past 5.5 years
2010 2011 2012 2013
($/MWh)
2014
AB power market upside
21
2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F
1) Merchant margin is calculated using $40/MWh and $70/MWh and is based on hedged position as at June 30, 2015.
2) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (including interest during construction), sustaining capital
expenditures and general & administration expenses.
3) Dividends include common and preferred dividends. Assumes consistent dividend growth in 2015-17.
Contracted +
merchant ($40/MWh)
Contracted +
merchant ($70/MWh)
Contracted margin
22
Financial obligations & dividends significantly
covered by contracted cash flow
Operating margin(1) to financial obligations(2) and dividends(3)
AB power market upside
2015F $0/MWh
2016F $0/MWh
2017F $31/MWh
Minimum Alberta power price
required to cover financial
obligations and dividends(3)
Growth opportunities in Canada
Wind
Natural Gas
23
Growth
Natural gas and wind development sites
Genesee 4&5
 Joint venture partners with ENMAX to develop, construct, own, and operate
the 1,060 MW natural gas-fired combined cycle facilities
 8-year tolling agreement with ENMAX for 50% of CP’s share of the output
 All major regulatory approvals received to proceed with construction;
Capital Power will lead the construction project and be the operator
 Executed agreements with Mitsubishi Hitachi for
supply and maintenance of the world’s most
advanced J-Class natural gas turbine technology
in commercial operation in a two train 1-on-1
configuration
 Targeting 2019 commercial operations date for
Genesee 4
Genesee 4&5 to be built on
existing Genesee site west of
Edmonton, AB
Growth
24
 Total project capital cost is $1.4B excluding IDC and
refundable transmission system contribution
payments
 Expected unlevered after-tax IRR of approximately
11% and will be accretive to earnings and cash flow
1
Wind
Natural Gas
Solar
Growth opportunities in the U.S.
Natural gas and renewable development sites
25
Growth
 In Dec/14, completed the acquisition of Element Power US for
~US$69M (includes US$52M of project financing)
 Primary driver for the acquisition was to build a portfolio of
development projects in strategic locations in the U.S.
• 10 wind development sites
• 4 solar development sites, including Beaufort Solar that has a
15 MW solar contract with Duke Energy Progress, Inc.
 Includes Macho Springs, a 50 MW operating wind project in Luna
County, New Mexico
• COD in Nov 2011
• 20-year PPA with Tucson Electric Power; 100% contracted
through 2031
• Tax Equity and Term Loan with MetLife
Element Power US
Growth
26
Element Power US – strategic fit
Market Strategy Element Sites
SPP • Strong wind regime
• Adjacent to
transmission build-out
• Affordable land
positions
• Low construction cost
• 200 MW wind project in Kansas
Upper
Midwest
• Coal dependency
• Strong wind regime
• Affordable land
positions
• Low construction cost
• 99 MW wind project in North Dakota
• 100 MW wind project in North Dakota
• 150 MW wind project in Illinois
• 182 MW wind project in Ohio
• 200 MW wind project in Iowa
• 60 MW wind project in Michigan
• 200 MW wind project in Wisconsin
SERC • Coal dependency
• Large land positions in
agricultural areas
• 15 MW solar project in North Carolina
• 2 x 29 MW solar projects in Georgia
Growth
27
Beaufort Solar
 Construction underway on the
15 MW solar project in North
Carolina, U.S.
 Fully contracted facility with a
15-year PPA with Duke Energy
 Commercial operations date
(COD) targeted for Dec/15
 Sale leaseback structure; sell to
tax equity investor at COD in
exchange for lease payments
Capital Power’s first solar project
28
Growth
Financial outlook
 Average Alberta power price of $43/MWh in first half of 2015,
consistent with our original forecast assumption of $44/MWh
 At the beginning of the year, Alberta baseload position for 2015 was
significantly hedged in the mid-$50/MWh
 No change to revised FFO guidance; expect 2015 FFO in the lower
end of $365M to $415M guidance range
 Company’s financial strength is based on the foundation of strong
contracted cash flow which is not significantly impacted by changing
Alberta power prices – remain confident in our credit rating and
dividend growth outlook
Based on year-to-date results and expectations for balance
of the year, outlook has modestly improved
Outlook
29
2015 YTD performance versus annual targets
Operational and financial targets
94% 94%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2015 YTD Target
Plant availability
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
2015 YTD Target
Funds from operations
($M)
$178
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
2015 YTD Target
Plant operating &
maintenance expenses
($M)
$92
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
2015 YTD Target
$35
Sustaining capex
($M)
$65
$180 - $200 $365 - $415
On-track to meet 2015 targets
Outlook
30
Why invest in Capital Power
31
• Excellent assets in good markets with solid operating
performance
• On-going improvements to operating cost base, fleet
availability and risks
Operational
excellence
• Substantial growth in contracted operating margins
expected to significantly cover financial obligations and
growing dividends in 2015 and beyond
• Supports consistent annual dividend growth(1)
Contracted cash
flows
• Own the best fleet in the best merchant power market in
North America
• Well positioned to weather the bottom of the power market
cycle; significant % of merchant cash flows hedged in the
near-term
Alberta power
market upside
• Genesee 4&5 best positioned to be the next large natural
gas-fired generation project to be built in Alberta
• Strong pipeline of contracted growth opportunities in North
America
Growth
Strong contracted cash flow growth supports annual dividend growth
Summary
1) Subject to Board approval.
Alberta power market
 Competitive wholesale and retail energy market
 Installed generation capacity of 16 GW
 Entire province is a single zone where power prices are determined
by the bid price of the incremental power generator – no capacity
market
 Well functioning and stable market design
 Alberta continues to experience moderate load growth
 Legislated retirement dates for coal fired plants
 Approximately 600 MW of generation projects under construction
that are expected to connect to the grid by end of 2015(1)
1) AESO Long Term Adequacy Metrics, May 2015
Appendix
32
Alberta generation and load mix
Generation mix outlook in 2034(2)Current installed generation(1)
(MW and % of installed capacity)
1) Source: AESO 2014 Market Statistics
2) Source: AESO 2014 Long Term Outlook
Appendix
Coal
2,509 MW
10%
Cogen
6,737 MW
27%
Gas-Fired
11,270 MW
45%
Hydro
894 MW
4%
Wind
2,679 MW
11%
Biomass/Other
864 MW
3%
Coal
6,271
39%
Cogen
4,483
28%
Gas-Fired
2,660
16%
Hydro
894
6%
Wind
1,434
9%
Biomass/Other
409 3%
33
Gas-fired and Cogen account for 44% of current generation, which is
expected to increase to 72% in the next two decades primarily from the
retirement of coal-fired units
Alberta demand by end use
2013 Demand by end use(1)
1) Source: AESO 2014 Long Term Outlook (May 2014)
Appendix
2034 Demand by end use(1)
Industrial
45%
Oilsands
19%
Residential
13%
Commercial
20%
Farm
3%
Industrial
40%
Oilsands
29%
Residential
11%
Commercial
19%
Farm
1%
34
Demand from Industrial and Oilsands account for 64% of current demand,
that is expected to grow to 69% in 2034
Historical Alberta prices
Daily average power prices
Annual average power prices and AECO
(Annual power prices have averaged $65/MWh in the past 14 years)
Appendix
71.29
43.93
62.99
54.59
70.36
80.79
66.95
89.95
47.81 50.88
76.22
64.32
80.19
49.42
5.05
3.84
6.31
6.19
8.27
6.21 6.12
7.74
3.77 3.80
3.44
2.27
3.01
4.36
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
20
40
60
80
100
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
($/GJ)($/MWh)
Annual average AB power price ($/MWh) Annual average AECO ($/GJ)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($/MWh)
35
Alberta market design
Stable market design has signalled the addition of 7 GW of new generation
Appendix
36
1) Source: AESO
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
Reserve
Margin
Capacity
(MW)
New Capacity AESO Reserve Margin
Alberta power market summary
Alberta’s market design framework
 Has attracted continued investment by various parties for different fuel types
 Ensures investment risk is borne by investors and not ratepayers/taxpayers
 Provides participants with options and choices for managing their commodity
price risk
Capital Power believes Alberta’s market design is sustainable and will
continue to attract investment
 No major market reforms required
 Effective implementation of existing policy directives, particularly new
transmission development
“…analysis confirms that, from a resource adequacy and generation
investment perspective, the Alberta electricity market is generally well
functioning based on current market conditions and policies. The current
market design should be able to address the identified resource adequacy
challenges and there is no compelling or immediate need for major design
changes to address these challenges.” (The Brattle Group, Inc., Mar/13)
Appendix
37
Capital Stock Turnover (CST)
(CO2)
Clean Air Strategic Alliance
(CASA) (NOx and SO2)
 Limits unscrubbed coal-fired plant
life to 45-50 years
 Unit Commercial Operation Date
(COD) year
• End of Life COD prior to 1975 = earlier
of 50 years or 2019
• COD in or after 1975 but before 1986 =
earlier of 50 years or 2029
• COD in or after 1986 = 50 year life or
end of PPA
 All Capital Power coal assets given
50 year-life
 Keephills 2 and Keephills 1 only
received 45, 46 year-life
 Compliance through meeting
physical BATEA(1) or use of credits to
financially comply 41st to 50th years
 BATEA limit
• SO2 = 0.65 kg/MWh
• NOx = 0.47 kg/MWh
 Credits must be sourced from same
sector
 Current emission levels from sub-
critical units
• SO2 = 1.7 to 6.8 kg/MWh
• NOx = 1.6 to 2.5 kg/MWh
CST and CASA framework
Appendix
1) BATEA: Best available technology economically achievable
38
$226 US $230
$139
$10
$174
$250
$375
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2026
EPCOR Debt Capital Markets Debt Bank Debt
US $65
Debt maturity schedule(1)
($M)
1) As of June 30, 2015, excludes non recourse debt (CAD $26M for Joffre and USD $63M for Macho Springs).
2) Callable debt, however does not mature until 2016 ($139M), 2017 ($10M), and 2018 ($174M).
$1.0B in credit facilities with 5-year tenor maturing 2020, of which $800M is available
Well spread-out debt maturities are supported by long asset lives
(2)
Appendix
39
Summary of assets
Genesee
1
Genesee
2
Genesee
3
Keephills
3 Joffre
Clover Bar
Energy
Centre
Clover
Bar
Landfill Halkirk
Shepard
Energy
Centre
Alberta Contracted Alberta Commercial
Capacity 430 MW 430 MW 516 MW 516 MW 480 MW 243 MW 5 MW 150 MW 800 MW
% owned /
operated
100 / 100 100 / 100 50 / 100 50 / 0 40 / 0 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 50% / 0%
Location Warburg Warburg Warburg Wabamun Joffre Edmonton Edmonton Halkirk Calgary
Fuel &
equipment
Coal (50%
ownership of
coal mine)
Coal (50%
ownership of
coal mine)
Coal (50%
ownership of
coal mine)
Coal Natural
gas
Natural gas
(Two 100 MW GE
LMS100 turbines;
43 MW GE
LM6000)
Landfill
gas
Vestas wind
turbines
Natural gas
Commercial
Operations
1994 1989 2005 2011 2000 Unit 1 in
2008; units
2&3 in 2009
2005 2012 2015
PPA Expiry 2020 2020 Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant ~40% - 45%
of total
revenues
from 20-year
REC sale
agreement /
Merchant
20-year
tolling
agreement on
50% of
Capital
Power’s
output
Appendix
40
Summary of assets
Kingsbridge
1
Island
Generation
Quality
Wind
Port Dover
& Nanticoke K2 Wind Roxboro Southport
Macho
Springs
Ontario & British Columbia Contracted U.S. Contracted
Capacity 40 MW 275 MW 142 MW 105 MW 270 MW 46 MW 88 MW 50 MW
% owned /
operated
100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 33.3%
owned
100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100
Location Goderich,
Ontario
Campbell
River, BC
Near
Tumbler
Ridge, BC
Located in
the counties
of Norfolk
and
Haldimand,
Ontario
Ashfield-
Colborne-
Wawanosh,
Ontario
Roxboro,
North
Carolina
Southport,
North
Carolina
Luna
County,
New
Mexico
Fuel &
equipment
Vestas
wind
turbines
Natural gas
(Alstom
GT24B gas
turbine &
Alstom steam
turbine)
Vestas
wind
turbines
Vestas wind
turbines
Siemens
wind
turbines
Mixture of
wood
residuals,
tire-derived
fuel and
coal
Mixture of
wood
residuals,
tire-derived
fuel and
coal
Vestas
wind
turbines
Commercial
Operations
2006,
2001
2002 2012 2013 2015 1987 1987 2011
PPA Expiry 2026 /
2027
2022 2037 2033 2035 2021 2021 2031
Appendix
41
Beaufort Solar Genesee 4&5
U.S. Contracted Alberta Commercial
Capacity 15 MW Up to 1,060 MW
% owned /
operated
100 / 100 50 / 100
Location Beaufort County, North Carolina Warburg, Alberta
Fuel &
equipment
Solar Combined-cycle natural gas (Mitsubishi J-Class
natural gas turbine technology)
Commercial
Operations
Expected Dec, 2015 Targeting 2019 for Genesee 4
PPA Expiry 15-year PPA with Duke Energy 8-year tolling arrangement with ENMAX for 50% of
Capital Power’s share of the output.
Expected Capital
Cost
Approximately US$32-$35M $1.4B for total project (excluding interest during
construction and refundable transmission system
contribution payments)
Projects under development/construction
Appendix
42
The Company uses (i) earnings before finance expense, income tax expense,
depreciation and amortization, impairments, foreign exchange gains or losses, and gains
on disposals (adjusted EBITDA), (ii) funds from operations (FFO), (iii) normalized
earnings attributable to common shareholders, and (iv) normalized earnings per share as
financial performance measures.
These terms are not defined financial measures according to GAAP and do not have
standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP and, therefore, are unlikely to be
comparable to similar measures used by other enterprises. These measures should not
be considered alternatives to net income, net income attributable to shareholders of the
Company, net cash flows from operating activities or other measures of financial
performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Rather, these measures are provided
to complement GAAP measures in the analysis of the Company’s results of operations
from management’s perspective.
Reconciliations of these Non-GAAP financial measures are contained in the Company’s
Management’s Discussion and Analysis prepared as of July 24, 2015 for the quarter
ended June 30, 2015, which is available under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at
SEDAR.com and on the Company’s website at capitalpower.com.
Non-GAAP financial measures
43
Forward-looking information or statements included in this presentation are provided to inform the Company’s shareholders and potential investors about
management’s assessment of Capital Power’s future plans and operations. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking
information in this presentation is generally identified by words such as will, anticipate, believe, plan, intend, target, and expect or similar words that suggest future
outcomes.
Material forward-looking information includes expectations regarding:
• future revenues, expenses, earnings and funds from operations,
• the future pricing of electricity and market fundamentals in existing and target markets,
• the Company’s future cash requirements including interest and principal repayments, capital expenditures, dividends and distributions,
• the Company’s sources of funding, adequacy and availability of committed bank credit facilities and future borrowings,
• future growth and emerging opportunities in the Company’s target markets including the focus on certain technologies,
• the timing of, funding of, and costs for existing, planned and potential development projects and acquisitions
• plant availability and planned outages,
• capital expenditures for plant maintenance and other, and,
• future income taxes payable.
These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company in light of its experience and perception of historical trends, current
conditions, expected future developments, and other factors it believes are appropriate. The material factors and assumptions used to develop these forward-looking
statements relate to:
• electricity and other energy prices,
• performance,
• business prospects and opportunities including expected growth and capital projects,
• status of and impact of policy, legislation and regulations,
• effective tax rates, and
• other matters discussed under the Performance Overview and Outlook and Targets for 2015 sections in the Company’s Q2/15 MD&A.
Whether actual results, performance or achievements will conform to the Company’s expectations and predictions is subject to a number of known and unknown
risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results and experience to differ materially from the Company’s expectations. Such material risks and uncertainties
are:
• changes in electricity prices in markets in which the Company operates,
• changes in energy commodity market prices and use of derivatives,
• regulatory and political environments including changes to environmental, financial reporting and tax legislation,
• power plant availability and performance including maintenance of equipment,
• ability to fund current and future capital and working capital needs,
• acquisitions and developments including timing and costs of regulatory approvals and construction,
• changes in market prices and availability of fuel, and
• changes in general economic and competitive conditions.
See Risks and Risk Management in the Q2/15 MD&A for further discussion of these and other risks. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such
forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. The Company does not undertake or accept any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any
updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on
which any such statement is based, except as required by law.
Forward-looking information
44
Investor Relations Contact
Randy Mah
Senior Manager
(780) 392-5305
rmah@capitalpower.com
10423 – 101 Street NW
10th Floor
Edmonton, Alberta
Canada, T5H 0E9
www.capitalpower.com

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August 2015 investor presentation

  • 1. CAPITAL POWER INVESTOR MEETINGS August 2015 Brian Vaasjo, President & CEO Tony Scozzafava, VP Taxation & Treasury
  • 2. Capital Power overview 2 1) Based on MW owned capacity as of Jul 31/15; excludes Sundance PPA (371 MW). 2) Subject to Board approval. 3) Market capitalization as of July 31/15. Average daily trading volume on all stock exchanges for the 1-year period ended July 31/15. Coal/SF 47% Gas 35% Wind 18%  IPP with ownership interest in 17 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than 3,200 MW(1)  Capital Power builds, owns and operates power plants  Substantial growth in contracted operating margins expected to significantly cover financial obligations and growing dividends in 2015 & beyond  Strong contracted cash flow base supports annual dividend growth(2) (recently announced a 7.4% increase to $1.46/share annualized effective Q3/15)  Well-positioned to weather bottom of Alberta power market cycle with significant % of merchant cash flows hedged in the near term  TSX (CPX); market cap of $2.2B(3); average daily trading 430K(3) shares
  • 3. Capital Power’s value proposition 3
  • 4. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Genesee 2 Genesee 1 Genesee 3 Keephills 3 Roxboro Southport Joffre Island Generation Clover Bar Unit 1 Clover Bar Unit 2 Clover Bar Unit 3 Shepard Energy Centre Kingsbridge I K2 Wind Macho Springs Quality Wind Halkirk Port Dover & Nanticoke Modern fleet Helps keep availability high and reduces risk of unplanned outages  Average weighted facility age of the current fleet is 11.7 years(1)  Shepard and K2 Wind reached COD this year adding 490 MW to the fleet  First solar project (Beaufort Solar) expected to be completed by year-end 1) Average facility age and remaining life weighted by owned capacity as of July 31/15. Facility age Remaining life Gas (~28 years remaining life) Wind Canadian coal (~33 years remaining life) Solid fuels Operational excellence Average Age 4
  • 5. Proven track record of high fleet availability Plant availability consistently 90%+ in past 6 years Generation (GWh) Generation Average plant availability 96% 90% 92% 91% 93% 95% 94% - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015T 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% Operational excellence 5
  • 6. Excellent track record of development Asset Capacity / fuel On-time On-budget In-Service Genesee 3(1) (AB) 516 MW / coal  + 2005 Kingsbridge 1 (ON) 40 MW / wind   2006 Clover Bar Energy Centre (AB) 243 MW / gas +  2009 Keephills 3(1) (AB) 495 MW / coal - - 2011 Halkirk (AB) 150 MW / wind  + 2012 Quality Wind (BC) 142 MW / wind  + 2012 Port Dover & Nanticoke (ON) 105 MW / wind  + 2013  Met expectations at full notice to proceed + Better than expected - Worse than expected Outstanding track record of completing 7 construction projects (supercritical coal, natural gas, wind) totaling 1,691 MW Operational excellence 1) Joint venture with TransAlta Corporation; each party has a 50% ownership interest. 6
  • 7. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Capital Power ENMAX TransAlta ATCO Other Genesee 4&5 Renewables Thermal Capital Power is the leading developer in the AB market Generation built in Alberta since 2004(1) 1) Includes Shepard Energy Centre and excludes generation for oilsand developments and coal-fired unit expansions. (MW) Proposed Genesee 4&5 Proposed Genesee 4&5 Operational excellence 7
  • 8. Financial strength  Investment grade credit ratings  Debt-to-capital ratio remains below long-term target of 40% - 50% Debt to total capitalization 33% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2014 2015T Long-term target 40% - 50% Strong balance sheet and investment grade credit rating Agency Ratings Outlook S&P BBB- / P-3 Stable DBRS BBB / Pfd-3 (low) Stable Corporate Liquidity(1) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 2014 1) December 31, 2014 forward-looking estimate. Strong financial base 8
  • 9. 1) Metrics applicable to Capital Power L.P. 2) Based on S&P’s weighted average ratings methodology. Credit metrics(1) Above DBRS financial criteria for current rating EBITDA/Adj. Interest 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2015T Adj. Cash flow/Adj. Debt 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2015T Within S&P financial criteria for investment grade rating Adj. FFO/Adj. Debt(2) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2015T Adj. Debt/Adj. EBITDA(2) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 2015T Capacity for additional debt Strong financial base 9
  • 10. Continued strong cash flow generation  Cash flow expected to increase ~8% in 2015  ~40% of 2015 FFO is discretionary cash flow (DCF)  At the mid-point of guidance range, generating ~$200M in cash flow before growth capex to reinvest in the business at the bottom of the Alberta power market cycle Funds from operations (FFO) 1) 2015 FFO target represents the mid-point of $365 - $415M guidance range. 2) Discretionary cash flow (DCF) is a non-GAAP financial measure. DCF = FFO - sustaining capex - total common and preferred share dividends and CPLP distributions. $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 2012 2013 2014 2015T 42% 21% 17% 40% 43% 31% 36% 33%($M) 19% 48% 33% 37% (1) Discretionary cash flow Gross dividends (common & preferred shares) Sustaining capex (2) Strong financial base 10
  • 11. $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F K2 Wind Shepard Macho Springs PD&N Halkirk Quality Wind Island Generation North Carolina Kingsbridge 1 Genesee 1&2 Improving contracted cash flow(1,2) ($M) 3 wind projects} Shepard & K2 Wind} Substantial expansion in contracted operating margin from 2012 to 2016 11 1) Margins have been averaged over the periods except in the year of commissioning. 2) Only includes contracted portions of Halkirk and Shepard plants. Contracted cash flows
  • 12. 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 1) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (including interest during construction), sustaining capital expenditures and general & administration expenses. 2) Dividends include common and preferred dividends. Assumes consistent dividend growth in 2015-17 subject to Board approval. 12 Strong financial coverage Contracted operating margin to financial obligations(1) and dividends(2)  With addition of Shepard and K2 Wind in 2015, substantial expansion in our contracted operating margin  Annual dividend growth of 10 cents in 2014 (7.9%) and 2015 (7.4%) supported by growing contracted cash flows  Expect significant coverage (including assumption of consistent dividend growth) in 2015 and beyond Well positioned for consistent dividend growth Contracted cash flows
  • 13. Dividend increase  Effective with Q3/15, quarterly dividend increased 7.4% to $0.365 from $0.34 per share  Contracted cash flow base has grown significantly with the recent additions of Shepard and K2 Wind in 2015  Dividend increase based on Company’s confidence in its growing and sustainable cash flows from a solid base of contracted assets (1) 2013 and 2014 annualized dividend based on year-end quarterly dividend amount. (2) Subject to Board approval. A 10 cents per share increase (7.4%) to the annual dividend Annualized dividend per common share(1) $1.26 $1.36 $1.46 2013 Y/E 2014 Y/E Effective Q3/15 Well positioned to consistently increase the dividend(2) while also investing in growth opportunities 13 Contracted cash flows
  • 14. Capital allocation Dividend Growth Growth Opportunities Repurchase Potential Capital Allocation (1) Growing contracted cash flow base supports dividend growth (2) Well positioned to fund or partially fund any new significant growth opportunities in the near term with discretionary cash flow (3) Active in debt reduction and share buyback absent an acquisition or development project  Recently reduced debt by $75M  Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) approved in Apr/15 to purchase up to 5M common shares over a 1-year period (repurchased 1.6M shares as of June 30/15) Strong financial base 14
  • 15. Oil & gas development drives load growth in Alberta Alberta demand relative to oil prices  Alberta demand growing modestly in new oil price environment  2015 year-to-date load growth of 1.5%  Long term fundamentals remain strong AB power market upside 15 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Alberta Load Growth & West Texas Intermediate (1) Alberta Internal Load Growth (Left) AIL Growth (12-Month Rolling Average) WTI (Right) Oil Price ($/bbl)AIL Growth (%) (1) Alberta Internal Load normalized for weather Source: CPC, EIA
  • 16. Expected coal unit retirements - CST Retirements under the federal Capital Stock Turnover (CST) regulations 1) Capital Power holds the PPA (371 MW) for Sundance Units 5 & 6 until PPA expiry in 2020. 2) Represents units that Capital Power has ownership in. - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045 2047 2049 2051 2053 2055 2057 2059 2061 Alberta coal generation (MW) Facility Generation Capacity (MW) End of Life (Final Regulations) Battle River 3 149 2019 Sundance 1 288 2019 H.R. Milner 144 2019 Sundance 2 288 2019 Battle River 4 155 2025 Sundance 3 362 2026 Sundance 4 406 2027 Sundance 5(1) 406 2028 Sundance 6(1) 401 2029 Battle River 5 385 2029 Keephills 1 387 2029 Keephills 2 406 2029 Sheerness 1 390 2036 Genesee 2(2) 430 2039 Sheerness 2 390 2040 Genesee 1(2) 430 2044 Genesee 3(2) 516 2055 Keephills 3(2) 495 2061 AB power market upside 16 869 MWs by 2019 Additional 1,329 MWs by 2028 Additional 1,579 MWs by 2029
  • 17. 0 5 10 15 0 25 50 75 100 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 ($/GJ)($/MWh) Alberta Energy Prices(1) Power Gas Alberta market forecasts AB power market upside 1) Forecasts represents the average forecast from three leading 3rd party consulting firms. 17
  • 18. Changes to AB’s emissions regulations  Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (SGER) in Alberta requires facilities that emit 100,000 tonnes or more of greenhouse gases per year to reduce emissions intensity by a specific target  Alberta Government announced on June 25 changes to SGER: 2015 2016 2017 Emissions intensity reduction 12% 15% 20% Alberta “Tech Fund” compliance costs (per tonne) $15 $20 $30  Between 2016-2020, Capital Power’s increase in compliance costs will be partly mitigated by higher wholesale power prices directly caused by the new regulations  Company has a significant inventory of low-cost carbon offset credits that have been developed over the past 8 years, which are expected to offset the balance of the compliance costs through 2020 Alberta outlook 18
  • 19. Diverse generation fleet in Alberta Well positioned to capture value in Alberta’s merchant market 1) Capital Power’s expected percentages reflect ownership interest and excludes Sundance PPA. Source: AESO Expected AB power generation stack for 2015(1) Clover Bar Energy Centre • Most responsive peaking facility in the AB market • Captures peak pricing, backstops position Shepard Energy Centre • 50% JV interest in 800 MW natural gas combined cycle facility • 50% of Capital Power’s capacity under 20-year PPA • Most effective gas facility, with lowest heat rate Joffre Cogen • 192 MW capacity from jointly-owned mid-merit natural gas combined cycle facility Genesee 1, 2, 3; Keephills 3 • G1 & 2 provides 860 MW of low cost baseload coal under PPA through 2020 • G3 and K3 provides 516 MW of merchant capacity from jointly- owned and operated plants. Cleanest coal units in Canada with the longest average life remaining of 43 years. Halkirk Wind • One of the largest wind farms in AB; provides Renewable Energy Credits into California market under long term contract • Unique geographical location provides greater captured price Wind Hydro Coal Gas Cogen Gas mid-merit Gas peaking Other 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 4% 30% 34% 20% 11% AB power market upside 19
  • 20. AB commercial portfolio positions Alberta portfolio hedged positions (% sold forward) Well positioned to weather the bottom of the power market cycle with a significant % of merchant cash flows hedged in the near-term As of Jun 30/15 2016 2017 Percentage sold forward(1) 86% 25% Average contracted prices(2) ($/MWh) High-$40 High-$50 1) Based on the Alberta baseload plants and the acquired Sundance PPA plus a portion of Joffre and the uncontracted portion of Shepard Energy Centre baseload. 2) The forecast average contracted prices may differ significantly from the future average realized prices as the hedged and unhedged positions have a varying mix of differently priced blocks of power. AB power market upside 20
  • 21. $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 $125 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Average AB spot power price Capital Power captured AB price Alberta power market trading  Portfolio optimization activities focused on managing exposure to commodity risks, reducing volatility and creating incremental value Average realized power price has exceeded spot power prices by 19% on average over the past 5.5 years 2010 2011 2012 2013 ($/MWh) 2014 AB power market upside 21 2015
  • 22. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 1) Merchant margin is calculated using $40/MWh and $70/MWh and is based on hedged position as at June 30, 2015. 2) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (including interest during construction), sustaining capital expenditures and general & administration expenses. 3) Dividends include common and preferred dividends. Assumes consistent dividend growth in 2015-17. Contracted + merchant ($40/MWh) Contracted + merchant ($70/MWh) Contracted margin 22 Financial obligations & dividends significantly covered by contracted cash flow Operating margin(1) to financial obligations(2) and dividends(3) AB power market upside 2015F $0/MWh 2016F $0/MWh 2017F $31/MWh Minimum Alberta power price required to cover financial obligations and dividends(3)
  • 23. Growth opportunities in Canada Wind Natural Gas 23 Growth Natural gas and wind development sites
  • 24. Genesee 4&5  Joint venture partners with ENMAX to develop, construct, own, and operate the 1,060 MW natural gas-fired combined cycle facilities  8-year tolling agreement with ENMAX for 50% of CP’s share of the output  All major regulatory approvals received to proceed with construction; Capital Power will lead the construction project and be the operator  Executed agreements with Mitsubishi Hitachi for supply and maintenance of the world’s most advanced J-Class natural gas turbine technology in commercial operation in a two train 1-on-1 configuration  Targeting 2019 commercial operations date for Genesee 4 Genesee 4&5 to be built on existing Genesee site west of Edmonton, AB Growth 24  Total project capital cost is $1.4B excluding IDC and refundable transmission system contribution payments  Expected unlevered after-tax IRR of approximately 11% and will be accretive to earnings and cash flow
  • 25. 1 Wind Natural Gas Solar Growth opportunities in the U.S. Natural gas and renewable development sites 25 Growth
  • 26.  In Dec/14, completed the acquisition of Element Power US for ~US$69M (includes US$52M of project financing)  Primary driver for the acquisition was to build a portfolio of development projects in strategic locations in the U.S. • 10 wind development sites • 4 solar development sites, including Beaufort Solar that has a 15 MW solar contract with Duke Energy Progress, Inc.  Includes Macho Springs, a 50 MW operating wind project in Luna County, New Mexico • COD in Nov 2011 • 20-year PPA with Tucson Electric Power; 100% contracted through 2031 • Tax Equity and Term Loan with MetLife Element Power US Growth 26
  • 27. Element Power US – strategic fit Market Strategy Element Sites SPP • Strong wind regime • Adjacent to transmission build-out • Affordable land positions • Low construction cost • 200 MW wind project in Kansas Upper Midwest • Coal dependency • Strong wind regime • Affordable land positions • Low construction cost • 99 MW wind project in North Dakota • 100 MW wind project in North Dakota • 150 MW wind project in Illinois • 182 MW wind project in Ohio • 200 MW wind project in Iowa • 60 MW wind project in Michigan • 200 MW wind project in Wisconsin SERC • Coal dependency • Large land positions in agricultural areas • 15 MW solar project in North Carolina • 2 x 29 MW solar projects in Georgia Growth 27
  • 28. Beaufort Solar  Construction underway on the 15 MW solar project in North Carolina, U.S.  Fully contracted facility with a 15-year PPA with Duke Energy  Commercial operations date (COD) targeted for Dec/15  Sale leaseback structure; sell to tax equity investor at COD in exchange for lease payments Capital Power’s first solar project 28 Growth
  • 29. Financial outlook  Average Alberta power price of $43/MWh in first half of 2015, consistent with our original forecast assumption of $44/MWh  At the beginning of the year, Alberta baseload position for 2015 was significantly hedged in the mid-$50/MWh  No change to revised FFO guidance; expect 2015 FFO in the lower end of $365M to $415M guidance range  Company’s financial strength is based on the foundation of strong contracted cash flow which is not significantly impacted by changing Alberta power prices – remain confident in our credit rating and dividend growth outlook Based on year-to-date results and expectations for balance of the year, outlook has modestly improved Outlook 29
  • 30. 2015 YTD performance versus annual targets Operational and financial targets 94% 94% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 2015 YTD Target Plant availability $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 2015 YTD Target Funds from operations ($M) $178 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 2015 YTD Target Plant operating & maintenance expenses ($M) $92 $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 2015 YTD Target $35 Sustaining capex ($M) $65 $180 - $200 $365 - $415 On-track to meet 2015 targets Outlook 30
  • 31. Why invest in Capital Power 31 • Excellent assets in good markets with solid operating performance • On-going improvements to operating cost base, fleet availability and risks Operational excellence • Substantial growth in contracted operating margins expected to significantly cover financial obligations and growing dividends in 2015 and beyond • Supports consistent annual dividend growth(1) Contracted cash flows • Own the best fleet in the best merchant power market in North America • Well positioned to weather the bottom of the power market cycle; significant % of merchant cash flows hedged in the near-term Alberta power market upside • Genesee 4&5 best positioned to be the next large natural gas-fired generation project to be built in Alberta • Strong pipeline of contracted growth opportunities in North America Growth Strong contracted cash flow growth supports annual dividend growth Summary 1) Subject to Board approval.
  • 32. Alberta power market  Competitive wholesale and retail energy market  Installed generation capacity of 16 GW  Entire province is a single zone where power prices are determined by the bid price of the incremental power generator – no capacity market  Well functioning and stable market design  Alberta continues to experience moderate load growth  Legislated retirement dates for coal fired plants  Approximately 600 MW of generation projects under construction that are expected to connect to the grid by end of 2015(1) 1) AESO Long Term Adequacy Metrics, May 2015 Appendix 32
  • 33. Alberta generation and load mix Generation mix outlook in 2034(2)Current installed generation(1) (MW and % of installed capacity) 1) Source: AESO 2014 Market Statistics 2) Source: AESO 2014 Long Term Outlook Appendix Coal 2,509 MW 10% Cogen 6,737 MW 27% Gas-Fired 11,270 MW 45% Hydro 894 MW 4% Wind 2,679 MW 11% Biomass/Other 864 MW 3% Coal 6,271 39% Cogen 4,483 28% Gas-Fired 2,660 16% Hydro 894 6% Wind 1,434 9% Biomass/Other 409 3% 33 Gas-fired and Cogen account for 44% of current generation, which is expected to increase to 72% in the next two decades primarily from the retirement of coal-fired units
  • 34. Alberta demand by end use 2013 Demand by end use(1) 1) Source: AESO 2014 Long Term Outlook (May 2014) Appendix 2034 Demand by end use(1) Industrial 45% Oilsands 19% Residential 13% Commercial 20% Farm 3% Industrial 40% Oilsands 29% Residential 11% Commercial 19% Farm 1% 34 Demand from Industrial and Oilsands account for 64% of current demand, that is expected to grow to 69% in 2034
  • 35. Historical Alberta prices Daily average power prices Annual average power prices and AECO (Annual power prices have averaged $65/MWh in the past 14 years) Appendix 71.29 43.93 62.99 54.59 70.36 80.79 66.95 89.95 47.81 50.88 76.22 64.32 80.19 49.42 5.05 3.84 6.31 6.19 8.27 6.21 6.12 7.74 3.77 3.80 3.44 2.27 3.01 4.36 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 20 40 60 80 100 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 ($/GJ)($/MWh) Annual average AB power price ($/MWh) Annual average AECO ($/GJ) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ($/MWh) 35
  • 36. Alberta market design Stable market design has signalled the addition of 7 GW of new generation Appendix 36 1) Source: AESO 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E Reserve Margin Capacity (MW) New Capacity AESO Reserve Margin
  • 37. Alberta power market summary Alberta’s market design framework  Has attracted continued investment by various parties for different fuel types  Ensures investment risk is borne by investors and not ratepayers/taxpayers  Provides participants with options and choices for managing their commodity price risk Capital Power believes Alberta’s market design is sustainable and will continue to attract investment  No major market reforms required  Effective implementation of existing policy directives, particularly new transmission development “…analysis confirms that, from a resource adequacy and generation investment perspective, the Alberta electricity market is generally well functioning based on current market conditions and policies. The current market design should be able to address the identified resource adequacy challenges and there is no compelling or immediate need for major design changes to address these challenges.” (The Brattle Group, Inc., Mar/13) Appendix 37
  • 38. Capital Stock Turnover (CST) (CO2) Clean Air Strategic Alliance (CASA) (NOx and SO2)  Limits unscrubbed coal-fired plant life to 45-50 years  Unit Commercial Operation Date (COD) year • End of Life COD prior to 1975 = earlier of 50 years or 2019 • COD in or after 1975 but before 1986 = earlier of 50 years or 2029 • COD in or after 1986 = 50 year life or end of PPA  All Capital Power coal assets given 50 year-life  Keephills 2 and Keephills 1 only received 45, 46 year-life  Compliance through meeting physical BATEA(1) or use of credits to financially comply 41st to 50th years  BATEA limit • SO2 = 0.65 kg/MWh • NOx = 0.47 kg/MWh  Credits must be sourced from same sector  Current emission levels from sub- critical units • SO2 = 1.7 to 6.8 kg/MWh • NOx = 1.6 to 2.5 kg/MWh CST and CASA framework Appendix 1) BATEA: Best available technology economically achievable 38
  • 39. $226 US $230 $139 $10 $174 $250 $375 $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2026 EPCOR Debt Capital Markets Debt Bank Debt US $65 Debt maturity schedule(1) ($M) 1) As of June 30, 2015, excludes non recourse debt (CAD $26M for Joffre and USD $63M for Macho Springs). 2) Callable debt, however does not mature until 2016 ($139M), 2017 ($10M), and 2018 ($174M). $1.0B in credit facilities with 5-year tenor maturing 2020, of which $800M is available Well spread-out debt maturities are supported by long asset lives (2) Appendix 39
  • 40. Summary of assets Genesee 1 Genesee 2 Genesee 3 Keephills 3 Joffre Clover Bar Energy Centre Clover Bar Landfill Halkirk Shepard Energy Centre Alberta Contracted Alberta Commercial Capacity 430 MW 430 MW 516 MW 516 MW 480 MW 243 MW 5 MW 150 MW 800 MW % owned / operated 100 / 100 100 / 100 50 / 100 50 / 0 40 / 0 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 50% / 0% Location Warburg Warburg Warburg Wabamun Joffre Edmonton Edmonton Halkirk Calgary Fuel & equipment Coal (50% ownership of coal mine) Coal (50% ownership of coal mine) Coal (50% ownership of coal mine) Coal Natural gas Natural gas (Two 100 MW GE LMS100 turbines; 43 MW GE LM6000) Landfill gas Vestas wind turbines Natural gas Commercial Operations 1994 1989 2005 2011 2000 Unit 1 in 2008; units 2&3 in 2009 2005 2012 2015 PPA Expiry 2020 2020 Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant ~40% - 45% of total revenues from 20-year REC sale agreement / Merchant 20-year tolling agreement on 50% of Capital Power’s output Appendix 40
  • 41. Summary of assets Kingsbridge 1 Island Generation Quality Wind Port Dover & Nanticoke K2 Wind Roxboro Southport Macho Springs Ontario & British Columbia Contracted U.S. Contracted Capacity 40 MW 275 MW 142 MW 105 MW 270 MW 46 MW 88 MW 50 MW % owned / operated 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 33.3% owned 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 Location Goderich, Ontario Campbell River, BC Near Tumbler Ridge, BC Located in the counties of Norfolk and Haldimand, Ontario Ashfield- Colborne- Wawanosh, Ontario Roxboro, North Carolina Southport, North Carolina Luna County, New Mexico Fuel & equipment Vestas wind turbines Natural gas (Alstom GT24B gas turbine & Alstom steam turbine) Vestas wind turbines Vestas wind turbines Siemens wind turbines Mixture of wood residuals, tire-derived fuel and coal Mixture of wood residuals, tire-derived fuel and coal Vestas wind turbines Commercial Operations 2006, 2001 2002 2012 2013 2015 1987 1987 2011 PPA Expiry 2026 / 2027 2022 2037 2033 2035 2021 2021 2031 Appendix 41
  • 42. Beaufort Solar Genesee 4&5 U.S. Contracted Alberta Commercial Capacity 15 MW Up to 1,060 MW % owned / operated 100 / 100 50 / 100 Location Beaufort County, North Carolina Warburg, Alberta Fuel & equipment Solar Combined-cycle natural gas (Mitsubishi J-Class natural gas turbine technology) Commercial Operations Expected Dec, 2015 Targeting 2019 for Genesee 4 PPA Expiry 15-year PPA with Duke Energy 8-year tolling arrangement with ENMAX for 50% of Capital Power’s share of the output. Expected Capital Cost Approximately US$32-$35M $1.4B for total project (excluding interest during construction and refundable transmission system contribution payments) Projects under development/construction Appendix 42
  • 43. The Company uses (i) earnings before finance expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, impairments, foreign exchange gains or losses, and gains on disposals (adjusted EBITDA), (ii) funds from operations (FFO), (iii) normalized earnings attributable to common shareholders, and (iv) normalized earnings per share as financial performance measures. These terms are not defined financial measures according to GAAP and do not have standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP and, therefore, are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures used by other enterprises. These measures should not be considered alternatives to net income, net income attributable to shareholders of the Company, net cash flows from operating activities or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Rather, these measures are provided to complement GAAP measures in the analysis of the Company’s results of operations from management’s perspective. Reconciliations of these Non-GAAP financial measures are contained in the Company’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis prepared as of July 24, 2015 for the quarter ended June 30, 2015, which is available under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at SEDAR.com and on the Company’s website at capitalpower.com. Non-GAAP financial measures 43
  • 44. Forward-looking information or statements included in this presentation are provided to inform the Company’s shareholders and potential investors about management’s assessment of Capital Power’s future plans and operations. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking information in this presentation is generally identified by words such as will, anticipate, believe, plan, intend, target, and expect or similar words that suggest future outcomes. Material forward-looking information includes expectations regarding: • future revenues, expenses, earnings and funds from operations, • the future pricing of electricity and market fundamentals in existing and target markets, • the Company’s future cash requirements including interest and principal repayments, capital expenditures, dividends and distributions, • the Company’s sources of funding, adequacy and availability of committed bank credit facilities and future borrowings, • future growth and emerging opportunities in the Company’s target markets including the focus on certain technologies, • the timing of, funding of, and costs for existing, planned and potential development projects and acquisitions • plant availability and planned outages, • capital expenditures for plant maintenance and other, and, • future income taxes payable. These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company in light of its experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments, and other factors it believes are appropriate. The material factors and assumptions used to develop these forward-looking statements relate to: • electricity and other energy prices, • performance, • business prospects and opportunities including expected growth and capital projects, • status of and impact of policy, legislation and regulations, • effective tax rates, and • other matters discussed under the Performance Overview and Outlook and Targets for 2015 sections in the Company’s Q2/15 MD&A. Whether actual results, performance or achievements will conform to the Company’s expectations and predictions is subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results and experience to differ materially from the Company’s expectations. Such material risks and uncertainties are: • changes in electricity prices in markets in which the Company operates, • changes in energy commodity market prices and use of derivatives, • regulatory and political environments including changes to environmental, financial reporting and tax legislation, • power plant availability and performance including maintenance of equipment, • ability to fund current and future capital and working capital needs, • acquisitions and developments including timing and costs of regulatory approvals and construction, • changes in market prices and availability of fuel, and • changes in general economic and competitive conditions. See Risks and Risk Management in the Q2/15 MD&A for further discussion of these and other risks. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. The Company does not undertake or accept any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based, except as required by law. Forward-looking information 44
  • 45. Investor Relations Contact Randy Mah Senior Manager (780) 392-5305 rmah@capitalpower.com 10423 – 101 Street NW 10th Floor Edmonton, Alberta Canada, T5H 0E9 www.capitalpower.com